"Will you shut up, man?" US Politics October 2020

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Hi!

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 1 October 2020 12:33 (five years ago)

I wonder when he'll drop the (false) 'vaccine is now ready' bomb. A week prior? Two days prior?

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 12:46 (five years ago)

Knowing him, he'll probably start selling his own branded vaccines after he loses.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 12:47 (five years ago)

Covid-19 and vaccines are both fake, but only a loser would say no to the MAGA vaccine.

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 12:48 (five years ago)

we're gonna get rid of covid and replace it with something much, much better, believe me

and this time it's not just bleach, i swear

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 October 2020 12:50 (five years ago)

Got my DC ballot last night. Will probably cast it on Monday when the drop boxes open.

Infanta Terrible (j.lu), Thursday, 1 October 2020 12:56 (five years ago)

Interesting fact: my mom (retired but still sharp MD) told me that drinking bleach probably won't kill you. So for all you abstainers, that means more for me!

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:32 (five years ago)

another part that Chris Wallace punted: when Trump kept insisting that his own officials were wrong about the vaccine and that some random CEOs told him there would be one in a month, he should've pressed him to give a name.

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:33 (five years ago)

I can at least confirm that drinking only about a mouthful of bleach won't kill you. (It was a close friend, not me, I promise.) xp

the typo doer (Simon H.), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:33 (five years ago)

ILX BLEACH CHALLENGE

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:36 (five years ago)

bleached assholes

the typo doer (Simon H.), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:40 (five years ago)

You first

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:42 (five years ago)

The debat.

— Rudy W. Giuliani (@RudyGiuliani) October 1, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:45 (five years ago)

It's really kind of incredible that everyone understands he constantly lies, mistakes and muddles that there's no point following up with him on anything and in fact it's probably better off in the end just moving on, because getting mired in contradictions and corrections is how he dominates everything.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:47 (five years ago)

the debat

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

pon de river, pon debat

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

The debavfefe

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

You bat, then you debat.

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:54 (five years ago)

Thred title already obsolete GREAT JOB

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 1 October 2020 13:58 (five years ago)

ohhhh. the de bat

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/71OYcrWWklL.jpg

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 1 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

You can get with this, or you can get with bat. The choice is yours.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

I wanna know if you can get with bat.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 1 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

The English translation of 'El DeBarge' iirc.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 1 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

I voted/posted my ballot today at the US Embassy drop box. Embassy Gardens is some next-level edge city.

santa clause four (suzy), Thursday, 1 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

srsly

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 1 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

Hopefully a Biden quote in the thread title is a good omen.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 1 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

I actually think Biden needs to push the "if I'm president, you don't have to hear from this guy any more" angle harder

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

I need to go there to renew my iVisa once everything returns to something close to normal, and am dreading it. The old embassy was terrifying enough. xps

Just a few slices of apple, Servant. Thank you. How delicious. (stevie), Thursday, 1 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

I liked the new embassy when I got a tour of the place last year. But I don't have to live with it.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Thursday, 1 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

I actually think Biden needs to push the "if I'm president, you don't have to hear from this guy any more" angle harder

it is 1000% the best (true) angle he's got

the typo doer (Simon H.), Thursday, 1 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

For Voters Still Mulling, One Thing Is Clear: That Debate Didn’t Help

A small but crucial segment of likely voters say they remain uncommitted — to a candidate or to voting at all — and nothing they heard on Tuesday clinched things for them.

via NYT article. who the fuck are these people?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

narcissism

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

The kingmakers.

xp

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

they have been inspired by susan collins and are now emulating her methodology

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

HERE’S WHY I’M AN UNDECIDED VOTER pic.twitter.com/kg7GBwNpgn

— blaire erskine (@blaireerskine) September 30, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

Poll: Most voters didn’t enjoy Trump-Biden clash, say they should still keep debating

...wut

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

https://iep.utm.edu/derrida/#H5

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

Doesn't seem that weird to me. People have internalized that debates are a normal and necessary part of presidential elections. Even if they don't personally enjoy them, they may feel that canceling them would be undemocratic, or would have unexpected consequences.

jaymc, Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

Trump requires food aid boxes to come with a letter from him
The Agriculture Department last week began mandating that millions of boxes of surplus food for needy families include a letter from President Donald Trump claiming credit for the program...

Let them eat government cheese! If you don't vote for me.. no more food for you!

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

wasn't his $100 Medicare gift card tanked for basically this reason

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

The letter also mentions you should wash your hands, and stay home if you don't feel well. See, he's totally on it! The Churchill of Covid-19.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

If you don't do any reporting, have never demonstrated any insight about politics, and don't even write particularly well, you'd think you could at the very least understand that 20% ≠ 0%. https://t.co/G1eONuBP1m

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 1, 2020

https://clickhole.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/dnmtn4ksijwyep0xmljk.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

I have no clue how the 538 model works but given Biden is ahead by more than the MOE in basically every swing state am I to assume that "Trump has no chance" would be true if the election were held TODAY?

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

In an election held today — Trump has no more time to make up ground — his chances would be 9 percent, not 21 percent, according to our forecast.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

that's from https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-chances-are-dwindling-that-could-make-him-dangerous/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

I saw that CNN headline... such a bummer, laurel-resting is really not what we need right now.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:37 (five years ago)

Yeah, this made me tense up.

Seeing some chatter/ads on social media urging third party voting because Biden is ahead. Anyone looking into that? Feels like 2016.

— Melody Joy Kramer (@mkramer) October 1, 2020

jaymc, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

To paraphrase Tommy Boy, what Chris Cillizza doesn't know is what makes him Chris Cillizza.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

After what happened in 2016 I don’t think you have much to worry about

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

I think that's probably right, frogbs.

jaymc, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:45 (five years ago)

There's an old saying in Tennessee—I know it's in Texas, probably in Tennessee—that says, 'Fool me once, shame on...shame on you. Fool me—you can't get fooled again.

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

really hope idea of an already given success isn't going to lead to people thinking the vote is already in the bag and staying home.
Would think everybody who could do anything to prevent another 4 years of this mess should see their input counting and necessary and things like that.

Stevolende, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

i don't think people are going to stay home. the point of that tweet is that chris cillizza is unbelievably stupid.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

They say the Democrats are very motivated this year, including the youngins... I pray this is true.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

xps: pretty sure it's 'fooled man can't get fooled again.'

📺👁️ (peace, man), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

Republicans fear Trump's debate comments on white supremacy could harm them in November

This implies they're otherwise fine with them.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

duh

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 1 October 2020 17:54 (five years ago)

La Crosse Mayor Tim Kabat tells me the city's airport has been notified Air Force One will no longer be arriving on Saturday, when President Trump was supposed to hold one of two rallies in Wisconsin this weekend.

— Molly Beck (@MollyBeck) October 1, 2020


Kabat says state sen candidate @DanKapanke inquired about what would be needed for a permit to hold a rally in La Crosse's Copeland Park, where his La Crosse Loggers play, but city said it would be unlikely a permit would be issued because of the COVID-19 situation in the city.

— Molly Beck (@MollyBeck) October 1, 2020

wisconsin is in a bad way with covid. if the GOP are cancelling an event it sounds like it might be bad enough shut down campaigning there until the election.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:22 (five years ago)

no kidding!! I was fucking furious that asshole wanted to come here right now!!

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

Things must have been getting a little too close in Texas... I'd be interested to see the internal polling that prompted this move.

BREAKING: Gov. Abbott issues proclamation CLOSING (as of Oct. 2) satellite offices where voters can drop off completed mail-in ballots.
Counties can only have 1 dropoff point, he says.
Travis has 4, including 3 downtown.
Harris has 12.

— Chuck Lindell (@chucklindell) October 1, 2020

Abbott says move, which also requires early voting clerks to let poll watchers observe ballot delivery, is an election security measure.
Clerks said the multiple dropoff spots were to help voters, particularly amid questions about Postal Service efficiency.

— Chuck Lindell (@chucklindell) October 1, 2020

Read the proclamation, which amended Abbott's July 27 order that extended early voting and allowed early dropoff of mail ballots, here: https://t.co/uPc4MtYMis

— Chuck Lindell (@chucklindell) October 1, 2020

Democrats criticized Abbott's order as a thinly veiled effort to suppress votes in a tight election. pic.twitter.com/ibDg0xtkB9

— Chuck Lindell (@chucklindell) October 1, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

The president claimed Biden would propose a "700 percent increase in refugees coming from the most dangerous places in the world, including Yemen, Syria, and your favorite country, Somalia."

"Biden will turn Minnesota into a refugee camp … overwhelming public resources, overcrowding schools and inundating your hospitals," he added.

This is really, really dark stuff.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

If it talks like a fascist…

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

Biden launching in-person canvassing

jaymc, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

Relevant to Trump's anti-refugee remarks in MN: His campaign is running an ad that warns Biden will increase refugee resettlement "by 700 percent." And it's true - bc Trump drastically cut down on refugee resettlement, so restoring it surges the total. https://t.co/wUJlSVQcii

— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) October 1, 2020

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

If not for refugee resettlement, we wouldn't have Jared Kushner.

Oh...wait...

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

"What is going on with Omar?" he continued, citing unproven claims tying Omar to a ballot harvesting scheme. "I’ve been reading these reports for two years about how corrupt and crooked she is. Let’s get with it. Let’s get with it."

The rally crowd then broke into a chant of "lock her up..."

America at her best.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

jfc

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

somehow every day i increasingly look forward to his death

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:57 (five years ago)

This alone just caused me to make a donation to Joe Biden.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 18:59 (five years ago)

"she want to tell us how to run our country"

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

Icky Trump, nothing better to do? Why don't you kick yourself out? You're an immigrant too

Just a few slices of apple, Servant. Thank you. How delicious. (stevie), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

christ what an asshole

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

I hope the date he passes becomes a national holiday so I can hose down his grave every year without having to dip into my PTO.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

I keep imagining the huge party in Chicago when they finally pull down those giant ass letters from his building.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

Whoa!

MSNBC anchor Ayman Mohyeldin has enough of Trump campaign advisor Steve Cortes baselessly claiming the Biden campaign agreed to earpiece inspections and backed out, cuts off the interview.

Tells him he can come back when he can provide proof to substantiate the claim. pic.twitter.com/eHeKFkXyPR

— Justin Baragona (@justinbaragona) October 1, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:39 (five years ago)

.@ScottAdamsSays feels personally abused by Trump bombing on the white supremacy question during the debate. Adams says Trump lost his vote. pic.twitter.com/VQxQstqKso

— JD-800 💽 (@thejd800) October 1, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

gonna change thread title to "Whoa!"
xp

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

"I'm not gonna allow you to call me a LIAR on TV!"
Awesome.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Scott Adams's weirdly empty shelves make me uneasy

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

It's like he's broadcasting from a hastily arranged safehouse

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

Trump must've really bombed it if he's willing to vote for this guy instead:

If Biden is elected, there's a good chance you will be dead within the year.

— Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) July 1, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

Did he say anything about voting for Biden?

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

What you're missing is that Scott Adams actually wants us all dead

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 1 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

He'll be writing in a vote for Dogbert iirc

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

The Trump campaign appears to be declaring war on the Commission on Presidential Debates in a call happening right now, describing it as biased against POTUS

— Alex Isenstadt (@politicoalex) October 1, 2020

The obvious move here is, if Trump backs out of the next debate, Biden should just show up and take audience questions for 90 minutes.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

He's such a fucking baby.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

honestly, my fear now is that this asshole is gonna read the writing on the wall and do something completely novel and dangerous: declare war on a country, shut down the stock market, claim that coastal states are seceding... who knows!

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

The Trump campaign appears to be declaring war on the Commission on Presidential Debates in a call happening right now, describing it as biased against POTUS
— Alex Isenstadt (@politicoalex) October 1, 2020
The obvious move here is, if Trump backs out of the next debate, Biden should just show up and take audience questions for 90 minutes.

― but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, October 1, 2020 4:03 PM (eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

and hire a really good Trump impersonator to stand at the other podium and violently shit his pants.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

we're only a few steps away from him tweeting that he has the nuclear codes so if we know what's good for us we better fall in line.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

"Some people say I might just use this football thing, whatever you call it."

DJI, Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

he's gonna bark a lot but there is no way he will pass up being on a high-rated TV event

its quite literally the one thing he actually cares about

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

well, that and staying out of jail

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

And rawdoggin' faded softcore stars

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

And the Gorilla Channel.

henry s, Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

Vote Trump/McGrath? -- It's another episode of "Swamp Turtle"

"You let China take our mask! I don't know why Kentucky keeps reelecting this guy!" pic.twitter.com/4Y8HSCWzBR

— David M.F. Schankula 🤔😬😷🔥 (@davidschankula) October 1, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 1 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

Scott Adams is as self obsessed as Trump. Like he's the fuckimg victim when the president calls on a fascist militia to stand by! He's just another fucking mark and he's upset it's taken this long for the penny to finally drop.

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:24 (five years ago)

yeah if you read his blog back in '16 (and I highly recommend you don't) it's clear that his love of Trump is mostly because he sees his reflection. underqualified dude who nevertheless used the ~~powers of persuasion~~ to succeed in a field he should never have been in. he is also remarkably thin-skinned and has a habit for just saying shit, the man has no consistency whatsoever. he goes on and on about how dumb metaphors are then compares vote-by-mail to snorting fentanyl. they clearly have the same personality disorder.

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:31 (five years ago)

Jacob Wohl and Jack Burkman have been charged with election-related felonies in Michigan.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjRhR91WAA44JTA.png

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:40 (five years ago)

somehow every day i increasingly look forward to his death

― mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, October 1, 2020 1:57 PM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

i think about it all the time

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

If he dies now, he'll be a folk hero. I'd much prefer him with a massive stroke, unable to speak. That would be delicious.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:50 (five years ago)

Dunno how good this one is but this kinda poll 5 weeks out from the election is pretty fuckin bad for Republicans

#NEW National Post Debate Poll:

Biden 54% (+13)
Trump 41%@ChangePolls/@CNBC, LV, 9/29-30https://t.co/jnLsgtb0dR

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 1, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:56 (five years ago)

Like there seems to be a reason every R is freaked out right now

frogbs, Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:56 (five years ago)

Hope everyone has steeled their nerves and laid in a supply of ativan for the polls tightening up over the next few days.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, September 29, 2020 7:06 PM (two days ago) bookmarkflaglink

I'm starting to doubt this (mid-debate) prediction is going to happen

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 1 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

Texas is gonna have a statewide single polling station at the Alamo... must wear a ten gallon hat to vote.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

^^Joke's on us--it's in the basement.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:22 (five years ago)

trump got very bad coverage from the debate, but the assumption should be that this is a temporary polling bounce. debate bounces don't tend to last, but let me know if it's still around in a week. (it might be! i'm saying don't get excited yet.)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

It could just be projection on my part, but I get the feeling that everybody is just so sick of his shit to a historic degree. Like, I had a guitar lesson today, and my teacher confessed he spent half the day yesterday just walking around yelling "motherfucker!"

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:47 (five years ago)

my brother in law's entire family, who live in North Carolina and have all been Trump supporters this entire time, are totally done with his ass and ready to vote Biden because they feel like they've been taken for chumps.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

I'll take it, but, well ...

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:53 (five years ago)

Are there any, like literally any, stories to the contrary?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:53 (five years ago)

There is a new McConnell add which goes into how much money he has raised for drug addiction help in KY that ends with him smiling into some laptop looking pretty much like Mr. Burns. It's pretty much prime meme ready.

earlnash, Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

I believe that, among people who watched the debate, Trump made a notably horrible impression and almost certainly lost votes.

There was none of the transgressive "bad boy" quality to his theatrics the other night. He came off like a sneering, condescending bully.

treeship., Thursday, 1 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

Or even worse like a drunken, abusive father.

treeship., Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

He totally pwned Biden's dead son, though. Like a real alpha male.

pomenitul, Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:01 (five years ago)

did we see this? DHS memos after the Kenosha shooting were full of talking points to defend and apologize for the shooter:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/internal-document-shows-trump-officials-were-told-make-comments-sympathetic-n1241581

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:02 (five years ago)

Today I learned that agreeing with Democrats and saying I won’t vote for Trump makes them hate me extra and threaten me. So I’ll be voting for Trump.

— Scott Adams (@ScottAdamsSays) October 1, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:03 (five years ago)

A new poll shows the Democrat up by 12 in Iowa.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

trump's debate performance was bad, but the really the only consistent thing about his polling has been: when he is in the news a lot (saying things, not coverage of things he may have done in the past, e.g. russia, etc.) his polling goes down, and then slowly creeps back up as he is less in the news and swing voters forget how much they physically despise his person.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:05 (five years ago)

most people who aren't in his base hate him more when they see him! that explains 80% of polling movements over the past 3.5 years IMO.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

Did... did Scott Adams literally just go "hahaha JOKES ON U IDIOTS AS IF"

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:17 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ruOGeIZHTRw

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:18 (five years ago)

*borat voice*: I am NAAAAHT voting for trauump

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

Jacob Wohl and Jack Burkman have been charged with election-related felonies in Michigan.


I literally just heard about this on a Michigan public radio local news blip but no names were announced so I assumed it was a couple of homegrown assholes. This is great

joygoat, Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

Did... did Scott Adams literally just go "hahaha JOKES ON U IDIOTS AS IF"

Shocked he didn't frame it as "I was just running a psychological experiment on you cucks and I WAS PROVEN RIGHT"

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

We should tell him we really didn't hate him any worse than usual

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

Yeah, we've entered the era of no take backs. If you're an asshole for years, you're an asshole forever.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

I would never kink-shame anyone, but it seems like Wohl and Burkman have really let their humiliation-and-punishment fetish run wild and I hope they get the help they need. After prison.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 1 October 2020 23:48 (five years ago)

NEWS: Hope Hicks, who traveled with Trump aboard Air Force One to and from the presidential debate on Tuesday, and to his Minnesota rally yesterday, has coronavirus, sources tell me.

— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

i thought she was fired or something

treeship., Friday, 2 October 2020 00:20 (five years ago)

She came back...and was rewarded with Covid-19.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 00:38 (five years ago)

I heard that Posdnuos has dandruff.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

https://jeffstafford76.files.wordpress.com/2019/03/monkees-as-dandruff.jpeg?w=584&h=329

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 00:48 (five years ago)

Wait, Dilbert is voting for Trump after all?? <clutches pearls> ALL HOPE IS LOST

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 00:49 (five years ago)

Not sure if anyone posted this earlier. Typical alarmist headline, but most of the piece I found reassuring...sort of: there's a circularity at work that isn't.

So we could be headed for a vicious cycle where Trump increasingly gives up on trying to persuade or turn out voters and voters increasingly give up on him. But from a polling standpoint, this is one of the clearer elections to diagnose: Biden isn’t home-free, but he’s in a strong position. Nonetheless, the outlook for what’s actually in store for America has rarely been more cloudy.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-chances-are-dwindling-that-could-make-him-dangerous/

clemenza, Friday, 2 October 2020 00:50 (five years ago)

If Hope has the Cove... well....

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 00:51 (five years ago)

Abandon all Hope, etc. . .

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 00:55 (five years ago)

Trump being forced to quarantine for two weeks would probably be a big relief to his campaign at this point, to the extent that he has a campaign.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

He likely accosted her near the restroom, so we can only Hope...

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

Trump will get coronavirus and survive

― honky wonk badonkadonk (crüt), Friday, March 13, 2020 8:33 AM

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

I like this concept where he’s gonna follow quarantine instructions.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

Hope is the thing with feathers!

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:13 (five years ago)

He's the healthiest president since Bob Dole.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

The virus he gets will be the best virus. Bigly.

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

So by normal guidelines the entire campaign team should quarantine now, but instead they will go to rallies all over the country where they refuse to wear masks, right? https://t.co/BVgCk4TiO6

— Schooley (@Rschooley) October 2, 2020

Calling It Now: Playing Hope Hicks will be Lindsay Lohan's comeback role.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

Trump dying or getting really sick before the election would be bad - need him driving turnout for Democratic Senate candidates.

Let him drop dead November 4th.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:26 (five years ago)

is that stephen miller goose-stepping

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

"Let him drop dead November 4th..."

That's my birthday. That'd be awesome.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:29 (five years ago)

I swear when I played this, I thought it was someone parodying Melania Trump's voice.

Full Melania Trump video: “They said, ‘Oh what about the children that were separated?’ Give me a fucking break.” pic.twitter.com/FQF3AJshXP

— Matt McDermott (@mattmfm) October 2, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

I kinda like that the inner circle is so defiantly anti-masker... like a petri dish waiting for a spore.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Xxp

Please to remember
The fourth of November

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

XP Developing that Herd Mentality...

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

I'm pleased to read about planning:

Some House seats might count a lot more than others in this chaotic campaign season.

Take Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District, where Joe Biden is expected to visit Friday. Though Biden’s trip to Grand Rapids will boost his bid to claim a state President Trump narrowly won four years ago, Hillary Scholten hopes the former vice president can help her win a Western Michigan district that Democrats have not held in 28 years.

And, if successful in elevating Scholten, Biden’s trip could serve as a backstop for his own presidential bid.

A Scholten victory would likely give Democrats eight of Michigan’s 14 seats in the House, helping House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s newly stated goal of blocking Trump from a last-gasp effort to remain in the White House if he does not win the November election.

It’s all very complicated, but there is a remote chance that neither Trump nor Biden will be a clear winner in the electoral college.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

Look, Christmas comes but once a year... migrant children are 24/7/365. It's still a big deal in Slovakistan.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

Slovenia

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:41 (five years ago)

“Slovakistan”

Wtf?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

SLOW WALK GEDDIT

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

Sorry, sorry... I'm being facetious. I never felt like she had a nice attitude towards fellow immigrants.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 01:48 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/wyjHuU7.jpg

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 02:23 (five years ago)

Of course she fucking hates him too

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 02:24 (five years ago)

Trump, when asked on “Hannity” about Hope Hicks’ coronavirus, blamed members of military and law enforcement for approaching White House staff. “They want to hug you and they want to kiss you because we really have done a good job for them. You get close and things happen.” pic.twitter.com/fZ0oz5ps8B

— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) October 2, 2020

JoeStork, Friday, 2 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

jfc

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

Lawrence! As promised, @Lawrence , here's the fuller version of Representative @malcolmkenyatta at yesterday's hearing in Pennsylvania. It's 🔥:https://t.co/okkVbcPcxK

— Rachel Maddow MSNBC (@maddow) October 2, 2020



Malcolm is awesome! Must watch

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 02:58 (five years ago)

“No one is getting Malcolm Kenyatta under control”
lol

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 03:07 (five years ago)

welp, looks like trump is going to begin a "quarantine process" as they await test results

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 03:12 (five years ago)

so uh....we hopin Trump does or does not get sick?

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 03:12 (five years ago)

I'm hoping not yet.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 03:13 (five years ago)

Dying of the 'rona might be poetic justice but I'm still hoping he dies on the shitter like Elvis, mid-tweet

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 03:13 (five years ago)

I can’t think of any way I’d prefer him to die than after 30 days intubated on a respirator, unable to appear on TV or open his foul fat mouth, watching the election results roll in as he takes his last desperate breath.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 03:26 (five years ago)

Malcolm Kenyatta did a good job explaining why he was opposed to that resolution.
Chairman Garth ignoring the question about whether it would be effective immediately or retroactively post-election, and then threatening to have security remove Malcolm Kenyatta for his tone, did not so much do a good job.

Also, you know how some people are repulsed by images of surfaces covered with little holes? I react similarly to twelve-legged octopus-like power-splitter boxes lurking in the center void beneath a conference room ring-table.

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 2 October 2020 03:27 (five years ago)

we have a thread for that

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 03:28 (five years ago)

for twelve-legged octopus-like power-splitter boxes lurking in the center void beneath a conference room ring-table?! goddamn, what isn't there a thread on!

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 2 October 2020 03:30 (five years ago)

xp *shudder*

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 03:31 (five years ago)

since Trump is incapable of doing or saying anything that will help his numbers this might be his only way back in the race

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 03:45 (five years ago)

Here's Hope Hicks with Jared Kushner, Stephen Miller, Dan Scavino, and Nicholas Luna -- none of them wearing masks -- on their way to board a helicopter on Wednesday, hours before Hicks tested positive for coronavirus (Getty Images) pic.twitter.com/v1hFLjg06x

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

how the fuck is something like this the 5th biggest story today

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/01/us/politics/mcmaster-trump-russia-election.html

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

so there is no way Trump is gonna quarantine for 2 weeks but doing one of those fucking rallies next week guarantees yet another week of bad news & a perfect angle for the Dems and he's already way behind

what to do, what to do

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:19 (five years ago)

sad thing is, i'm sure biden's getting tested too. you can pass covid19 without symptoms, or pre-symptoms, and 2 days ago he was standing 6 feet away from an angry sweaty guy spewing out invective and potentially covid19 for 90 minutes

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:26 (five years ago)

Commercial All Over TV In 2022: "Did you or a loved one attend a Rally For Former President Trump in 2020, and contract Covid-19? You may be eligible to take part in a class-action suit..."

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:27 (five years ago)

and also, who knows who hope hicks got it from. possibly from "people from the military, or from law enforcement, and they come over to you, and they want to hug you, and they want to kiss you because we really have done a good job for them. You get close, and things happen" like trump said tonight. or possibly she got it from someone else in the close orbit. who the fuck knows, because they don't wear masks or practice basic social distancing or anything like that

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:31 (five years ago)

Amazed he didn't turn that into "she really gets around folks, you know what I mean? Very... giving."

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:36 (five years ago)

this might be a long post and I'll probably get slagged for it. idgaf!

I'm actually really bothered by this Hope Hicks news. They were supposed to be testing the staff on a very regular basis. I imagine the USSS details were getting tested all the time. I imagine all the other WH (non-campaign) staff were getting tested all the time. Then they just let whomever on the plane, with no masks, no distancing at all, because Big Daddy Said So.

I have worked in federal government, in one form or another, since I stopped being an undergraduate. I have put an at-times-unreasonable amount of faith in the system, that people follow procedures and checklists to ensure things are going to be predictable and consistent, if rarely "good." I'm learning as I grow older that I'm probably that guy nobody wanted to play in D&D, the "lawful neutral" asshole (I'd like to be "lawful good," but posters like table keep reminding me how far we are from good - and that good is never just an individual choice, good is a thing that a society does together).

But predictable and consistent. That seems fundamental to civilization. Let's try to aim for that. Doing that would require ensuring the duly elected President is safe from harm, including infectious diseases that we know have a 2.5% fatality rate (even higher for his demographic) and that we have procedures to protect against - testing, tracing, masks. Nobody did that. They just straight up let a campaign staffer hang out with the President and all of his staff and family (is there a difference? no) without any of the preventative measures we already know work.

On this board, we all hate this guy. We don't care much for his staff or his family either. But I'm kinda shook that all of the protective measures fell down. After the vote - which we're also in the process of fucking up, thanks Governors Abbott and DeSantis - the "protect the President from an incurable and potentially fatal infectious disease" checklist is pretty high on the list of procedures that the government should be able to follow through on. The fact that we can no longer do that tells me two things, both of which I already basically knew, but it puts it in very stark terms:

1. The only thing this administration really knows how to do is get Trump paid.
2. That's why the only major legislation they passed was a tax cut.

To repeat myself, they have disintegrated the core of the federal executive branch to the point where it is no longer capable of protecting its own commander-in-chief. This bothers me, because even though I also hate the fucking guy, this Hope Hicks COVID case isn't funny to me at all. It's a WTF moment of "how did we let it get this bad?" - it's been like that all along, I know, he's been forcing the federal government to do terrible things since January 2017, but now we're at the point of "sir, you shouldn't wipe your ass with your bare hands and then eat" and he's saying NO I WILL IT'S PART OF MY DIET NOW

I don't know, this is a waste of words. Everything has broken down, I knew it was broken, I just somehow felt surprised that the "perimeter" was such a joke that they just let a staffer in with a hot cup of COVID and she got to hang around with everyone. It feels like if anybody seriously wanted to kill this man at any point in the last four years they probably could have done so, all they needed was a half-decent story about how they were going to help him get bigger ratings with demographic XXX. Jesus Christ.

TL;DR I am actually sad that Hope Hicks brought COVID on the plane, because I am a safety & security checklist dickhead.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:38 (five years ago)

Well said.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:46 (five years ago)

xp soooo, you're concerned now that high-profile people are getting sick?

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:46 (five years ago)

every security measure in place to prevent him from contracting a deadly illness broke down for one reason and one reason only

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:48 (five years ago)

It seems likely to me that Asshole would insist that he had absolute authority in such decisions, and after four years of his autocratic, stupid bullshit I can imagine that nobody would be too invested in fighting him on that.

assert (MatthewK), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:49 (five years ago)

Texas Republicans have been rigging elections here for decades, Abbott's recent moves are public enough to make me think they're truly scared of losing Texas this go around, they're usually content to let gerrymandering and high hoops for voter registration do the trick. Their concern is less about Trump winning or losing than the fact that the Texas House is in danger of flipping in a Census year... let Dems have a hand in redistricting Texas is truly terrifying to the Texas GOP.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:51 (five years ago)

We're not getting the straight-ticket voting option this year either.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 04:55 (five years ago)

And here we go

The president and the first lady have tested positive for COVID. The president is among the higher-risk groups given his age. https://t.co/QXpfm57K2P

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:57 (five years ago)

trombone sound

Evan, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:58 (five years ago)

My conspiracy theory -- it's just his excuse to get out of the rest of the debates.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 04:59 (five years ago)

"protect the President from an incurable and potentially fatal infectious disease" checklist is pretty high on the list of procedures that the government should be able to follow through on.

In full agreement with you there.

It's a WTF moment of "how did we let it get this bad?"

Simple. "We" elected Trump to an office at the very pinnacle of the chain of executive command, which gives him the legal power and ultimate authority to fuck things up in every respect not hedged by the Constitution or law. The only remedies provided for a seated president like Trump (which the framers of the Constitution did foresee as possible and feared) are impeachment or invoking the 'incapacity' provision of the 25th amendment.

The framers did deploy a further mechanism designed to forestall the possibility of a Trumpian president, but it was the fucking Electoral College and we all know how effective that has been. It was the best solution that occurred to a group of patrician and paternalistic rich white men in a nation partly run on chattel slavery. It has been a dismal failure and a millstone around all our necks since the very beginning.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:01 (five years ago)

guess that hydroxychloroquine didn't work

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:02 (five years ago)

i assume trump and melania are not the only one in the gang we don't know about yet.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:05 (five years ago)

well, this is an interesting late season plot twist

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:09 (five years ago)

The monkey's paw curls...

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:10 (five years ago)

Ahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha hope his ventilator fails, the dumb fuck.

Tsar Bombadil (James Morrison), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:11 (five years ago)

My conspiracy theory -- it's just his excuse to get out of the rest of the debates.

― Ned Raggett, Thursday, October 1, 2020 11:59 PM (yesterday)

it is pretty convenient that it happened 2 days after one of the lowest points (the lowest?) of his presidency

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:12 (five years ago)

I know this is buzzfeed not like USA today but I think this is what a lot of people including swing voters will be thinking right now. Not expecting a sympathy vote!

"Trump has tested positive for the coronavirus after he spent months downplaying its severity, refusing to regularly wear a mask, undercutting the government's top scientists, and so severely mismanaging the nation's response that 200,000+ are now dead."https://t.co/ZdnIl36vNm

— Stephanie M. Lee (@stephaniemlee) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:13 (five years ago)

that debate was a pure disgrace, but it was not a moral or humanitarian outrage, so it doesn't even make the top ten lowest points

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:15 (five years ago)

My conspiracy theory -- it's just his excuse to get out of the rest of the debates.

honestly my first thought too, the doctor's statement is from his pet navy dude

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:16 (five years ago)

Lolololololololol

What a stupid fucker, see you in hell.

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:16 (five years ago)

like Boris "testing positive" a few weeks after hiding in a fridge, on camera, to avoid answering hard questions from serious journalist Piers Morgan on camera

xp to me

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:19 (five years ago)

honestly surprised he didn't catch it months ago

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:20 (five years ago)

Other aides to the president would not say whether he was experiencing symptoms, but people at the White House noticed that his voice sounded raspy on Thursday, although it was not clear that it was abnormal for him, especially given the number of campaign rallies he has been holding lately.

here we go

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:20 (five years ago)

Hooboy

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:21 (five years ago)

Yeah I'm also finding the timing sus.

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:21 (five years ago)

Orange very sus

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:22 (five years ago)

Even if Mr. Trump, 74, remains asymptomatic, he will have to withdraw from the campaign trail and stay isolated in the White House for an unknown period of time. If he becomes sick, it could raise questions about whether he should remain on the ballot at all.

this seems a stretch (https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/02/us/politics/trump-positive-coronavirus.html)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:22 (five years ago)

well, this is an interesting late season plot twist


In the books, it won’t seem like a plot twist at all.

The 10th graders will be like “duh” until their AP American History teacher, who is also the softball coach, claps his hands and yells “WELL! Do you think Trump saw that coming?!? NO. He did not. Now let’s check out this message board post by somebody called ‘EL TOMBOTO’ for a sense of what people were thinking back then as it happened.”

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:24 (five years ago)

i don't find it sus at all. we're in the middle of a pretty intense ~third wave. he's traveling and holding weekly rallies again, having refrained through a lot of the summer. and he's a huge idiot who takes no precautions. stands to reason.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:24 (five years ago)

who would have thought the president donald trump emulated most was william henry harrison

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:25 (five years ago)

Then he will read that post I just posted and realize time is a flat circle

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:25 (five years ago)

Kinda hope he didn't give Biden covid, with all the time he spent screaming directly at him.

Lily Dale, Friday, 2 October 2020 05:26 (five years ago)

no one away right now will get this joke, but for the UK crowd:

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/04/28/13/282C55AB00000578-3563463-image-a-47_1461846260972.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:30 (five years ago)

*awake

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:30 (five years ago)

Boris is mid-50s, got it, recovered... Bolsonaro is mid-60s, got it, recovered... time for round 3 I guess

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:30 (five years ago)

Holy shit

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 05:31 (five years ago)

congrats to wisconsin btw. they get out of his visit this weekend.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:32 (five years ago)

crowd:

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/04/28/13/282C55AB00000578-3563463-image-a-47_1461846260972.jpg

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, October 1, 2020 10:30 PM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

lol

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:38 (five years ago)

October surprise?

beard papa, Friday, 2 October 2020 05:38 (five years ago)

Somebody has already updated the "October surprise" wikipedia entry

On October 2, 2020, Donald Trump and Melania Trump, the First Lady of the United States, tested positive for COVID-19.

beard papa, Friday, 2 October 2020 05:39 (five years ago)

this guy called it!

Here's another E6-B that just popped up visible on MLAT on the west coast. IMO Stratcom wants them to be seen. pic.twitter.com/nvN03Rnnh9

— Tim Hogan (@TimInHonolulu) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:40 (five years ago)

has trump seen pence recently?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:42 (five years ago)

good point!

Question: Will Judge Coney Barrett will be quarantining for the next two weeks. How will this impact the US Senate schedule?

— Chris Cristi (@abc7chriscristi) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:45 (five years ago)

sorry i'm just pure vibing right now.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:45 (five years ago)

Is that plane thing true or tinfoil?

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:52 (five years ago)

CAN’T STOP SMILING I KNOW THERE ARE NEGATIVE ASPECTS BUT I AM SO HAPPY LET ME HAVE THIS

Cow_Art, Friday, 2 October 2020 05:53 (five years ago)

xp, the guy said this is what they'd do if he had covid and 20 minutes later he announced he had it so 🤷🏻‍♂️

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 05:54 (five years ago)

who would have thought the president donald trump emulated most was william henry harrison

time for ethan and jess to return to ILX for five weeks

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:02 (five years ago)

THIS IS A HELL OF A FUCKING INFRASTRUCTURE WEEK

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:07 (five years ago)

like Boris "testing positive" a few weeks after hiding in a fridge, on camera, to avoid answering hard questions from serious journalist Piers Morgan on camera

xp to me


You say this but he looks and sounds absolutely terrible even now, I fully believe he had it and is still struggling to recover. His colour and hair have both changed, whatever he was doing he wasn’t faking.

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:07 (five years ago)

he looked and sounded absolutely terrible before tbf

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:26 (five years ago)

What I’d like to do is to give Asshole a wide range of potential treatments, including some not for COVID, and get him to make a decision without advice from “experts” and “scientists”.

assert (MatthewK), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:27 (five years ago)

He'll probably be fine

JRN, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:29 (five years ago)

betting markets think the big winner is mike pence (was 1%, now 7% chance to be the next president)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:33 (five years ago)

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjTce9LVoAARcyI?format=png&name=small

Tsar Bombadil (James Morrison), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:33 (five years ago)

Judging by the betting markets and Dow futures this is not good for his re-election chances

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:34 (five years ago)

well, if he's going to go down, at least he went down on top shortly after an offensive annoying petulant public meltdown

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:37 (five years ago)

Tonight, @FLOTUS and I tested positive for COVID-19. We will begin our quarantine and recovery process immediately. We will get through this TOGETHER!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 2, 2020

THE RESPONSES TO THIS ARE SO FUCKING BIZARRE WHAT IS GOING ON

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:39 (five years ago)

Like are these Iranian bots wishing death on him? The translations are kinda spooky. What’s with all these unsettling images? This is so weird

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:40 (five years ago)

I can’t think of any way I’d prefer him to die than after 30 days intubated on a respirator, unable to appear on TV or open his foul fat mouth, watching the election results roll in as he takes his last desperate breath.

live long enough to die in prison, please

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:48 (five years ago)

So, Trump brought down by Hope.

Mark G, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:49 (five years ago)

Frogbs, the same sort of tweets popped up recently when Taylor Swift fans took to p4k etc because they thought she didn't get a good enough review.

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:56 (five years ago)

Hoping this thread title finally delivers for good.

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:56 (five years ago)

he’s gonna be fine and emerge bragging about how some people are saying he has the greatest immune system the world has ever seen

i got a homogenic björk wine farmer permabanned (voodoo chili), Friday, 2 October 2020 06:57 (five years ago)

yeah people are really into posting "curses" in Amharic because they think it looks demonic or something? pretty dumb and racist imo!

JoeStork, Friday, 2 October 2020 06:58 (five years ago)

original language of the Bible?

assert (MatthewK), Friday, 2 October 2020 07:05 (five years ago)

Nope

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Friday, 2 October 2020 07:27 (five years ago)

You're thinking of aramaic, most of the original bible was written in Hebrew with some aramaic

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Friday, 2 October 2020 07:28 (five years ago)

duh, stupid of me sorry

assert (MatthewK), Friday, 2 October 2020 07:44 (five years ago)

Time to go back and watch Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade for a refresher course.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 07:45 (five years ago)

Boris got such a numbers boost from being in the hospital it was wild to watch. Surely not in this case though, right?

stet, Friday, 2 October 2020 08:09 (five years ago)

Taking that back - he didn’t get a boost (though his numbers were very high at that point anyway)

This is not what happened. Two separate polls (by us and Opinium) done BEFORE Johnson announced his positive test on 27th March put the Tories on 54% with a 26 point lead. We had him on 72% satisfaction. Neither that, nor his ICU admission, had a discernible effect on the polls. https://t.co/k1TRs2k2en pic.twitter.com/1K7YVwiKoL

— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) October 2, 2020

stet, Friday, 2 October 2020 08:23 (five years ago)

Trump was never one for shaking hands with Covid patients, I'm guessing

Mark G, Friday, 2 October 2020 08:24 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/BAFU9Qd3Fi

— Simon Young (@iamsimonyoung) October 2, 2020

Just a few slices of apple, Servant. Thank you. How delicious. (stevie), Friday, 2 October 2020 08:33 (five years ago)

A+

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Friday, 2 October 2020 08:38 (five years ago)

so uh will Amy Coney Barrett quarantine?

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 09:35 (five years ago)

not sure blaming the military for infecting him is the best plan

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Friday, 2 October 2020 09:41 (five years ago)

lol the NYT's political story already reads like an obit:

No modern president has publicly endured a health crisis this close to a re-election attempt. Ronald Reagan was shot and convalesced in 1981, just over two months after he was first sworn in. And Dwight D. Eisenhower suffered a heart attack while in office, but it was more than a year before he faced the voters for a second time.

Ever since he began his unlikely political rise five years ago, Mr. Trump alone has been the driving force behind his campaign and then his presidency. A real estate developer who eventually became a marketer of himself, he has dismissed the advice of experts in politics, government and, most recently, public health.

To the shock of his legions of critics, his bombastic style won him the Republican nomination followed by the presidency four years ago.

And for over three years as president, he was able to steer the political conversation any way he wanted, sometimes to his benefit but often to his detriment.

After the coronavirus shut down the country in March, though, Mr. Trump finally ran headlong into a foe that could not be attacked, ignored or fully overwhelmed with his usual tactics.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 09:45 (five years ago)

RIP big man

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Friday, 2 October 2020 09:46 (five years ago)

Do we have confirmation that Biden and his wife are OK?

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 2 October 2020 10:38 (five years ago)

Remember when Trump's rebuttal for the "pee tape" story was that he would never get near urinating Russian prostitutes... because he's a germophobe?

Good times, good times.

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 10:49 (five years ago)

good morning y'all, i miss anything big on the UK shift?

Doctor Casino, Friday, 2 October 2020 11:41 (five years ago)

I can’t think of any way I’d prefer him to die than after 30 days intubated on a respirator, unable to appear on TV or open his foul fat mouth, watching the election results roll in as he takes his last desperate breath.

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, October 1, 2020 11:26 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

This, except he lingers on in a painful state until inauguration day.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 11:46 (five years ago)

can we just move straight onto harris v pence please

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 11:50 (five years ago)

I feel like Biden's gonna be governing from a bunker for the first hundred days, while they sterilize the White House until it's basically a clean room.

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 2 October 2020 11:52 (five years ago)

They need to rush Trump massive doses of bleach and hydroxychloroquine, stat.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:14 (five years ago)

Trump getting the 'ronnie gives him a lovely out/excuse he can use for losing so it seems like a win-win all around. I hope he survives (this).

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:17 (five years ago)

live long enough to die in prison, please

― erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, October 2, 2020 2:48 AM (five hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

prison would be nice, but death by COVID seems the one true way to prevent his martyrdom....

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:30 (five years ago)

he would forever be stuck with World's Dumbest Criminal

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:31 (five years ago)

death by COVID seems the one true way to prevent his martyrdom....

surely the q massif would just say that he was murdered somehow and it was a cover up?

Just a few slices of apple, Servant. Thank you. How delicious. (stevie), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:42 (five years ago)

damn they didn't have to shoot him with the COVID gun

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:46 (five years ago)

Yeah, Deep State strikes again. Introduce an unknown virus, spark a deadly pandemic, encourage its global spread, the White House is yours for the taking. Thanks, Soros, Gates, Epstein, etc.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 12:47 (five years ago)

I'm feeling El Tomboto's post. For a time since the 2nd World War the USA has been seen globally as a competent place. It's a reason that the global reserve currency is the US dollar, and that the international language has been English. Alongside Boeing's recent failures, and of course the failures of the US military strategy in the Middle East, this is another sign that that era of competence is over.

All cars are bad (Euler), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:52 (five years ago)

it seems weird that Trump getting it would be the signpost for competency-breakdown when 200,000+ have died

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:58 (five years ago)

I can think of approximately 199,999 instances prior to this one that better speak to systemic incompetence. This is just one man's idiocy.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 12:59 (five years ago)

You mean his incompetency at catching a relatively easily transmissible deadly virus while taking no serious precautions.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:00 (five years ago)

If you're having health problems, I feel bad for you, son

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:01 (five years ago)

I can think of approximately 199,999 instances prior to this one that better speak to systemic incompetence. This is just one man's idiocy.

You are drastically underselling both people's inability to grasp large numbers and the ripple effect one moron in a position of prestige and power can have.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:02 (five years ago)

Pence is going to try to ropadope the debate into taking a moment of silence to pray for the recovery of this asshole.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

Cf how it wasn’t actually a real thing until Tom Hanks had it

stet, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:09 (five years ago)

xxp I wasn't speaking to public perception. I'm saying it strikes me as odd that someone would saddened by this because it somehow reflects systemic incompetence.

There was an effective system for managing infectious diseases in place that this guy dismantled.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:09 (five years ago)

I hear the president is becoming increasingly isolated.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:10 (five years ago)

Deep State strikes again

I was unable to sleep at 3 am ET and stupidly looked at my phone. By 4 am this was already a right wing talking point - that forces in the government had deliberately infected the Greatest President Ever.

By 5 am every possible take, and evry possible counter-take, were definitely in play.

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:17 (five years ago)

It's borderline criminal that Trump was aware he was exposed to the coronavirus by Hope Hicks, who tested positive on Wed., but he still traveled to his club for a fundraiser on Thurs. "where one attendee said POTUS came in contact with about 100 people" & he was having symptoms https://t.co/fRJJuyCQrY

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 2, 2020

We got our asses kicked by this early and are currently one of the best states as far as covid control goes. fucking asshole brought it here!

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:19 (five years ago)

#BREAKING: New Jersey has started coronavirus contact tracing for people who attended President @realDonaldTrump's fundraiser at his Bedminster golf club Thursday evening, @GovMurphy said Friday morning. https://t.co/1LsVGIC3kF pic.twitter.com/V3Q3bzZwLH

— NBC10 Philadelphia (@NBCPhiladelphia) October 2, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:27 (five years ago)

also we don't know that Hope Hicks or anyone else on staff gave it to him...it's just as likely the other way around

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:27 (five years ago)

BREAKING - Ronna McDaniel, the RNC chairwoman, tested positive for the coronavirus on Wednesday, multiple sources say. She has mild symptoms. She was last with POTUS last Friday and has been in Michigan since then.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 2, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:29 (five years ago)

You know, I'm starting to think this covid thing might be serious.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

ChiNeSE HoAX

FAkE nEwS

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:34 (five years ago)

I mean...there's a good chance a ton of high profile people in this administration have it now, correct?

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:35 (five years ago)

Wait, Chinese hoax, c hoax, coax, coaxial ... the virus is being spread by your TV! Unplug everything!

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:35 (five years ago)

5G my man

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 13:36 (five years ago)

Dana Bash reporting that Hicks, Trump, Stephen Miller, Bill Stepien, Chris Christie, among others were basically in a small conference room, unmasked, for days prepping for the debate.

— Person Woman Man Camera TV (@ClaraJeffery) October 2, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:37 (five years ago)

this is all because Biden said Inshallah

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 13:38 (five years ago)

so in the last FOUR DAYS you've got a bombshell story about the President committing tax fraud, a diasterous debate in which Trump literally told Nazis to "stand by", Melania saying "fuck Christmas" on tape, his ex-campaign manager going berserk and embezzling $40 million from the campaign, now the POTUS has Covid and we're gonna spend all today finding out which high level officials have it as well? could this be the greatest infrastructure week of all time?

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:04 (five years ago)

good morning!

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:04 (five years ago)

Melania saying "fuck Christmas" on tape

ok she's now easily the best trump

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:05 (five years ago)

he's lying about COVID, like he lies about everything

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

every single thing he says is a lie, it's so fucking obvious

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:14 (five years ago)

that being said, I'd love to see these fuckers all die

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:14 (five years ago)

What does he gain from lying about this? What advantage, what ego-stroking, what self-mythology does this play into?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:15 (five years ago)

yeah this is not some orchestrated thing

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

dominates the news cycle, for starters

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

"cured with hydroxychloroquine"

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

Yeah, getting sick is a sign of weakness in Trump's mind...not sure what he would have to gain from lying about it

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

outpouring of bot-dominated sympathy

I can keep going?

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

I'd love to see these fuckers all die

Only if they can do so without taking out any of the huge number of innocent people they happen to breathe near

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

Exhibit A is still "he lies about everything, compulsively"

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

i do not buy this theory at all

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:18 (five years ago)

But sympathy, too, is not something he respects. This just brings *more* attention to the one issue he desperately wants to avoid.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:18 (five years ago)

That would mean that Hope Hicks is also faking it, and whomever else we've yet to learn about...

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

Has anyone said if he was tested because of symptoms, or if it was just routine?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

I was wondering how long it would take for us to have a truther on this

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

he "dominates the news cycle" with extensive coverage of an issue, COVID response, that has been absolutely terrible for him and where polls show the public overwhelmingly favoring the other guy. also endless conversation on TV and around virtual water coolers for the next month about how this is the guy who opposed masks, said the virus was nbd, etc. etc. also extensive conversation about the vulnerability of his aging and ill-maintained physical body, not exactly a favorite topic of a man who is visually defined by a toupee and a spray tan.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:20 (five years ago)

They tried to keep the fact that hicks had it secret.

People with serious illnesses do not get polling boosts.

Everything about his behavior guaranteed he would get it.

He has it. Absolutely love it.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:21 (five years ago)

Trump clearly sees getting ill as a weakness, he mocked Hillary relentlessly for it in 2016, and getting sick means he can't do the thing he loves most, which is hold rallies and get his voting base killed

I think the "conspiracy" here is this - they absolutely knew about this as early as Wednesday night, had news of Hope's diagnosis not leaked out yesterday they would've kept this under wraps

which is fucking stupid, obviously someone close to him would've contracted it and shown symptoms but we all know they are that fucking stupid and selfish

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

We have some Boris covid truthers too IIUC. Real galaxy brains.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

All of his lies are in service of some form of self-aggrandizement. Everything ties back to the narcissistic world view where he is the absolute best at everything. He is the smartest, he is the strongest, he is the cleverest, he is the most insightful, he is the best. This paints him as being like everyone else. He is not built to take a weaker position for long-term gain; it is evident in everything we know about him. He's a bloviating moron so haunted by his father's disapproval that he has to bluster his way through being the greatest at everything and, if something doesn't go his way, it's the fault of everyone around him rather than his. You are projecting cunning and artifice upon him that he is not capable of.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

also I would like to point out the way the Dow Futures & betting markets reacted to this news implies that this wasn't some weird ass ploy to help his re-election chances

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

I'm happy to be proved wrong but y'know we are never gonna see his tests

I sincerely believe he's lying, but also he is very very stupid so I could be wrong! I sure hope so.

ha, xp with DJP, OK yeah I agree with all of that and am not trying to be a truther, but my first reaction was "no way"

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

so was this was the military coup we've been waiting for?

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

we can only hope

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

tbh, I'm surprised he isn't wheezing his way to a podium to strenuously deny these fake reports of his illness

THAT would be a "Trump is obviously lying" conspiracy that I would buy

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:25 (five years ago)

If he dies before the election, what happens to votes already cast for him?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:25 (five years ago)

This is critical. The White House didn’t disclose this. Jennifer Jacobs got the story that Hicks had covid, something the White House had apparently known since the previous day. That put all eyes on the President. https://t.co/r5bnOB96Ob

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) October 2, 2020

jaymc, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:25 (five years ago)

If he dies before the election, what happens to votes already cast for him?

they turn into beautiful swans

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:26 (five years ago)

xxp good question, I think the Trump/Pence team is still considered the "candidate" in that case and theoretically Pence could win?

lol DJP

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

It's also just far from improbable that he would contract coronavirus.

jmm, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

sleeve all I'm saying is if Trump really was gonna fake COVID I don't think he'd do it in a way that straight up implies he took no precautions whatsoever and knowingly put a ton of people at risk

this has the feel of the "grab 'em by the pussy" tape, one of the very few times he's actually had to come face-to-face with the real world

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

sorry everyone, having a hard time this morning. it sucks to not be able to trust anything these assholes say or do.

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

Wasn’t he with Chris Christie and giuliani for debate prep? Can’t imagine either of those two have great general health.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

Whatever the case, nobody is talking about his taxes anymore.

Sam Weller, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

fwiw this was the first thing I saw when I woke up, from Sept. 18th:

Trump’s October surprise will be the announcement of “his infection.” Fake, but quite dramatic. This twist will blow Biden off the screens, the “Trump COVID watch” dominating every minute of every day. Then, 14 days later, Trump will emerge, 100% cured by hydroxychloroquine.

— JohnCammo (@JohnCammo) September 18, 2020

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

Apparently, if Trump were to withdraw or die before the election, the RNC would vote on a replacement candidate: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/02/were-final-stages-presidential-election-what-happens-if-candidate-withdraws-or-dies/

jaymc, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

Welcome, President Romney

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

Lol how will Biden get any votes without the "stop the fascist" coalition?

1000 Scampo DJs (Noodle Vague), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

Oooh, can they get Ryan to be the nominee? I'd pay to see that debate again.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:40 (five years ago)

Harris tested negative yesterday as part of routine testing, according to NPR.

jaymc, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

fwiw this was the first thing I saw when I woke up, from Sept. 18th:

🐦[Trump’s October surprise will be the announcement of “his infection.” Fake, but quite dramatic. This twist will blow Biden off the screens, the “Trump COVID watch” dominating every minute of every day. Then, 14 days later, Trump will emerge, 100% cured by hydroxychloroquine.
— JohnCammo (@JohnCammo) September 18, 2020🕸]🐦
fwiw this was the first thing I saw when I woke up, from Sept. 18th:

🐦[Trump’s October surprise will be the announcement of “his infection.” Fake, but quite dramatic. This twist will blow Biden off the screens, the “Trump COVID watch” dominating every minute of every day. Then, 14 days later, Trump will emerge, 100% cured by hydroxychloroquine.
— JohnCammo (@JohnCammo) September 18, 2020🕸]🐦


Again that’s insane. Why would he spend two crucial weeks not able to yell in person at his shitty rallies, the only thing that gives him any joy.

Boring, Maryland, Friday, 2 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

CONFIRMED: There was no contact from the Trump campaign or the White House to alert the Biden campaign of possible exposure. The campaign learned of the situation from the news reports, a Biden campaign aide tells me.

— Yamiche Alcindor (@Yamiche) October 2, 2020

Just a few slices of apple, Servant. Thank you. How delicious. (stevie), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

well, yeah

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

these motherfuckers

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

I find the fact biden hasn’t announced a test result yet a little ominous tbh

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

am I correct that as per Democracy Now this morning, no journalists who came into contact have been tested?

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

Was there any goddamn reason the two of them had to be anywhere near one another on that goddamn debate stage?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

oh, you all thought the Rogan debate was a bad idea, but just think, ALL THREE of them could have been on their deathbeds as we speak!

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

I bet Rogan could have brought some supplements that would have prevented this

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

Rogan's 53 and fit in his own bulky kind of way, he'd be fine.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

suddenly, an alex jones appears

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

just got the latest Q drop btw: Trump infected himself so he can go after Epstein in hell.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

I find the fact biden hasn’t announced a test result yet a little ominous tbh

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, October 2, 2020 10:00 AM

i do, too. harris and pence already confirmed negative.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

Makes you think....

Does anyone else find it odd that no prominent Democrats have had the virus but the list of Republicans goes on and on?

— DeAnna Lorraine 🇺🇸 (@DeAnna4Congress) October 2, 2020

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

sad lol

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

speculation about how the transmission to/from the president and the timing

I'm puzzled about the timing here. It's not clear to me that both POTUS and FLOTUS would be testing positive 48 hours after exposure.

Prior exposure? Others infected? https://t.co/xKDnzII8YJ pic.twitter.com/91nARNWuXb

— Carl T. Bergstrom (@CT_Bergstrom) October 2, 2020

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

somehow every day i increasingly look forward to his death

― mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, October 1, 2020 2:57 PM

Coming clearly into the foreground now...

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:22 (five years ago)

the president has a cough and a mild fever, WH reports.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

Lots of assumptions happening around when and where they were infected. There probably have been many different opportunities.

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

yeah, why are we speculating?

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

Trump clearly sees getting ill as a weakness, he mocked Hillary relentlessly for it in 2016, and getting sick means he can't do the thing he loves most, which is hold rallies and get his voting base killed

I think the "conspiracy" here is this - they absolutely knew about this as early as Wednesday night, had news of Hope's diagnosis not leaked out yesterday they would've kept this under wraps

which is fucking stupid, obviously someone close to him would've contracted it and shown symptoms but we all know they are that fucking stupid and selfish

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

the fact they didn’t tell biden is insane to me.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

What if only Melania dies and everyone votes for Trump out of compassion for the bereaved.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

idk seems perfectly in character to me xp

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

gee would be unfortunate if Melania's last public statement was "fuck the kids and fuck Christmas"

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

_I find the fact biden hasn’t announced a test result yet a little ominous tbh

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, October 2, 2020 10:00 AM_

i do, too. harris and pence already confirmed negative.


Pence has access to 15 minute testing. Harris happened to take one yesterday. Biden is on a train iiuc.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

Bernie still has a chance.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

lol

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

Isn't Biden always on a train? Like the plot of Snowpiercer?

Apres moi, le debat. (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

Refreshing honesty from 538 today

https://i.imgur.com/pJ8xbg2.png

好 now 烧烤 (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

There is timing, there is good luck, and then there's flat out total sorcery:

Omfg @alexgibneyfilm does it again.

pic.twitter.com/7vvW5iqb2W

— Molly Jong-Fast🏡 (@MollyJongFast) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

Mike Lee has tested positive for COVID after meeting (maskless) with SCOTUS nominee Judge Barrett earlier this week. https://t.co/lJBQ9O4FmT

— Addy Baird (@addysbaird) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

but she has reportedly tested negative.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

Typhoid Barrett

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

"We need you to get approved by this committee, so make sure none of them die." "Okay!"

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

What if only Melania dies and everyone votes for Trump out of compassion for the bereaved.

If she was the one who got the 'rona bad it'd be amusing to watch Trump publicly try and pretend he gives the slightest shit about whether his missus lives or dies.

your response will be deleted unread (Matt #2), Friday, 2 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

This is a double blow to Melania, since Christmas came early.

— Ken Jennings (@KenJennings) October 2, 2020

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

god I love Ken

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

haaaaaaaaaaaa

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

NEWS: @mikememoli reports Biden has tested NEGATIVE.

— Alex Seitz-Wald (@aseitzwald) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

btw everyone keep in mind that you can test negative for a while and then be positive a week later, in fact this has happened on several professional sports teams already

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

Yeah it's a matter of follow-ups and precautions. I suspect the campaign was already going to be even more vigilant anyway.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

There's your subtweet

I’m happy to report that Jill and I have tested negative for COVID. Thank you to everyone for your messages of concern. I hope this serves as a reminder: wear a mask, keep social distance, and wash your hands.

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

That last sentence. Nice.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

expert level shade there, nice

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

PHEW

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

He has the virus. We won't entertain talk of otherwise. It must be taken seriously. Him lying about it makes no historical, logical, strategic, or political sense. Beyond anyone's sense of vengeance or what have you, there are serious consequences at stake, even if he recovers.

— Richard M. Nixon (@dick_nixon) October 2, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

Him lying about it doing anything makes no historical, logical, strategic, or political sense.

Evan, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

reposting all of this, even though it's a premium EXCLUSIVE TPM

The timeline of events leading up to the disclosure of President Trump’s diagnosis point overwhelmingly to some mix of a coverup and gross negligence and likely both.

Let’s review some key facts, as far as we presently know them.

The New Jersey Trip

Yesterday morning Hope Hicks received test results showing she was COVID positive. It’s not clear when the test was administered (we’ll get to that in a moment). But she received the confirmed positive test yesterday morning before Trump left for a campaign/fundraiser trip to New Jersey. On that trip Trump was frequently observed unmasked, including in an indoor roundtable meeting. He appears to have exposed dozens of people during that trip.

It is clear that the President’s medical staff and top staff (and almost certainly the President himself) knew before leaving on that trip that he had been exposed to COVID. But he went anyway and exposed dozens more.

That was at a minimum an act of gross irresponsibility.

As I’ll note in a moment it also suggests the strong possibility that the White House tried to keep the whole situation secret.

Who Infected Who and When?

Most people are assuming that Hicks infected President Trump. But based on what we know that’s not the only or even the most likely scenario. Indeed, their infections being discovered so close in time makes it probably more likely that some other person or persons infected both of them. But there are details here that don’t add up.

We’ve been led to believe that the President and the people around him are tested either daily or close to daily. The White House medical staff have both the rapid saliva tests which take on the order of 15 minutes or so and the PCR tests which a dedicated lab can turn around in something like an hour and a half. If these tests are being done that frequently there should never been more than hours between someone becoming virus positive (and thus infectious) and tripping off a test.

We know that you can be infectious before becoming symptomatic. Indeed there’s significant evidence that you’re more infectious before developing symptoms. But your infectiousness is about your viral load. A significant viral load should trip off a test.

But here’s the problem. We don’t just know Trump, Melania Trump and Hicks are COVID-positive. They all appear to be actively symptomatic, sick. Presumably their symptoms are currently mild. But it is unlikely that all three people reached viral levels capable of testing positive and became actively sick on the same day.

This throws into some question whether the top people at the White House, including the President, are actually being tested on a daily basis. It also suggests that these three and likely others have been infectious and possibly actively sick for a significant period of time. There’s some mix of failed surveillance and/or secrecy about what the surveillance has found.

Were They Keeping It a Secret?

A critical part of this equation is that the White House didn’t come forward with any of this. Jennifer Jacobs of Bloomberg News learned that Hicks had tested positive and reported that last night. That immediately focused attention on the President’s exposure and forced the overnight disclosure of his illness. Were they planning on disclosing that Hicks had tested positive? That is at best unclear. They hadn’t disclosed that Ronna McDaniel, the head of the RNC who met with Trump last week, tested positive. We just found that out this morning. And what about Trump himself? Trump had repeatedly traveled with Hicks. Her diagnosis Thursday morning should have led to President Trump’s being immediately tested and possibly diagnosed yesterday morning or at the latest in the afternoon. But news reports last night suggested – though without saying so directly – that they were being tested and waiting on results last night.

This timeline has serious holes in it.

This is a crisis situation. Things can get confused. And because it is a crisis situation we can’t assume that all the reporting we have is complete or entirely accurate. We can’t point with total confidence to the contradiction between two apparent facts. Because none of them are that certain. But there are lots of indications that the White House was trying to keep this information under wraps and possibly endangered the lives of numerous people in doing so, including that of the President himself and possibly his challenger Vice President Biden.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

Lemme know when you get the good stuff from TPM EXTREME.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

can't stress enough that the whole TRYING TO KEEP IT SECRET thing is gonna undermine any shred of goodwill people feel towards him for this

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:44 (five years ago)

Garry Kasparov @Kasparov63

It takes a lot to impress a Russian with surprises in October, but this one is off to a rather impressive start.

nickn, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

can't stress enough that the whole TRYING TO KEEP IT SECRET thing is gonna undermine any shred of goodwill people feel towards him for this


Who? His cult are always with him and are already blaming antifa. Most Americans won’t pay attention to the timeline.

Boring, Maryland, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

savage

pic.twitter.com/ZnD9jStNZ4

— TJ Ducklo (@TDucklo) October 2, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

whoever the fuck these people are who keep bouncing Trump's approval from 39% to 45% and back and forth depending how much he's in the news. I think in a "normal" situation a sitting president contracting a serious disease would generate some sympathy but pretty much all the coverage I've seen of this is pretty clear that this is entirely his fault and most likely he put a ton of other people at risk by not disclosing this asap

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

After Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) announced he tested positive for COVID-19, journalists on Twitter pointed out that he met with Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett earlier this week. Neither of them wore masks during the meeting.

looks like Barrett thinks she's above common sense and public health and safety, too. shouldn't be surprised

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

(she tested negative, btw)

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

she already had it a few months ago I thought

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

Just announced that the president of Notre Dame, who was also at the Rose Garden ceremony for Barrett, has COVID now, too.

jaymc, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

It's almost as though it were spreading like a virus or something.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

lol plague inside the castle

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

A Senate GOP aide, on background, tells the Post that some Rs are now discussing asking Leader McConnell to "take the Senate out of session next week" before the ACB hearings start in mid-October.

"If some in the Republican caucus get sick, we are screwed," the aide says.

— Robert Costa (@costareports) October 2, 2020

interesting if true

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

Just announced that the president of Notre Dame, who was also at the Rose Garden ceremony for Barrett, has COVID now, too.

― jaymc, Friday, October 2, 2020 11:57 AM

i was glued to the livestream of the aftermath of that Barrett/Rose Garden ceremony, as it happened, since a WashPost camera kept rolling after the ceremony, as all the VIPs stood up to schmooze and make plans to make even more money in the near future.

what was captivating me at the time was a conversation that bill barr and kellyanne conway were having in clear view of the camera. never did get to the bottom of that (even after performing some "Enhance!"-like equalizer/remixing to isolate the speech frequencies), but as it was happening, it was impossible not to be astonished by the total non-covid-19 awareness. almost everyone there was standing in groups of 5-6, tightly spaced, no mask, laughing and talking to each other.

i'm sure you can look in that footage and see the Notre Dame president, too. reports were that he was not wearing a mask and shaking everybody's hands. fucking idiot, but you wouldn't be able to spot him in this crowd, they were all fucking doing that.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

A Senate GOP aide, on background, tells the Post that some Rs are now discussing asking Leader McConnell to "take the Senate out of session next week" before the ACB hearings start in mid-October.

i don't want to jump the gun, but is this possibly evidence of god finally paying attention to earth?

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

here's some of that footage xp

Video of the ACB announcement event on Saturday at the WH featuring Sen. Mike Lee of Utah, who has now tested positive for Covid-19. pic.twitter.com/aCqP2JCH73 via @bubbaprog

— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

YES! that's (part of) the exact footage! and i feel like such a dumbass - i didn't recognize that was Mike Lee while I was watching! during that footage (there's much more than that clip, before and after), Lee is walking all over the place gregariously chatting it up with everyone, he hits the cameraman on accident and apologizes, all sorts of shit happens

amazing

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

with a mask in his hand!

visiting, Friday, 2 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

can i just say i may be even happier that mike lee tested positive than the t man

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

also, i mean, LOTS of people were at that ceremony. Bill Barr, etc. and i know it was outside, and everything. but that 16 seconds of footage is only a small part of the 5-10 minutes of close contact schmoozing going on after that. in addition to the big names everyone would recognize on sight:

...When the press is escorted to the Rose Garden, many guests are already seated. There is some slight distance between the chairs because of COVID-19, but only a few guests are wearing masks. A military band is out on the South Lawn, playing the “Battle Hymn of the Republic” and similar martial choices.

It’s time to see who’s here. Corey Lewandowski, the president’s one-time campaign manager, had walked past the press office earlier and now is seated near the front. Gary Bauer, who served in President Ronald Reagan’s administration, led the Family Research Council, and ran for the Republican presidential nomination, is seated in the middle.

Mercedes Schlapp, a former Trump White House staff member who is now working on the president’s re-election campaign, is seated near the front. Her husband, Matthew Schlapp, the chair of the Conservative Political Action Committee, is seated farther back, next to Thomas Fitton, the president of Judicial Watch.

John Malcolm of the Heritage Foundation, who has helped draw up names for Trump’s Supreme Court lists, is here, wearing a mask. I don’t see Leonard Leo, who also helped draw up such lists when he was with the Federalist Society.

Christine Rousselle, a reporter with the Catholic News Agency, helps me identify a few other guests, including Marjorie Dannenfelser, the president of the anti-abortion group Susan B. Anthony List, and Jeanne Mancini, the president of March for Life, a similar group.

Rousselle also points out the Rev. John I. Jenkins, the president of the University of Notre Dame, where Barrett is still on the faculty even after joining the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit in 2017.

https://www.scotusblog.com/2020/09/a-view-from-the-rose-garden-the-nine/

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

along with "At least five Republican members of the Senate Judiciary Committee": aMike Lee of Utah, Mike Crapo of Idaho, Ben Sasse of Nebraska, Thom Tillis of North Carolina, and Josh Hawley of Missouri.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

i'm not pro biden beyond any of the obvious reasons but that clip has major actor-of-a-certain-age going for the oscar vibes 2 me

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:15 (five years ago)

Tbh I hope they all die.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

Well well

News: I have obtained a memo from the @WHCA board to WH reporters with word of "two additional cases of COVID-19 at the White House." A journalist received a preliminary positive result. And a WH staffer who sits in the "lower press" area received a confirmed positive result.

— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

Also, a useful little thread.

1/ Quick reminder that Sen Judiciary Comm. rules require a quorum to be "actually" present to conduct business (such as recommending ACB for SCOTUS seat). Related Senate standing rule requires committee quorums to be "physically" present to report measure/matter to full Senate.

— Sarah Binder (@bindersab) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

I was already thinking the whole Trump testing positive reveal and Karl's story/video above about the Rose Garden event seemed like a Pynchon set piece, but "Senator Mike Crapo" just seals the deal.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

It's almost as though it were spreading like a virus or something.

It may be going...

Wait for it...

Viral

(CSI Miami sunglasses gif)

Pancho Viral (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

😎

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

Daltrey: "YEEEEEAAAAAAH!"

Pancho Viral (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

bummer - the previous version of the archived WashPost video had ALL of the footage, including the minutes before and after when everyone else clearly thought the cameras were down.

this is the same video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mDcz4laYqxY

but it's been trimmed down substantially. you see just a couple of minutes (starts at around 20 minutes in) of the people milling around, which is enough to give you an idea of the density of the seating there as well as how almost no one is wearing a mask. but the good stuff was after that, another 10-15 minutes where everyone's got their guard down and you can clearly hear mike lee and others just a couple feet away from the mic. all that's been removed from the video. oh well.

hopefully someone kept it, because honestly i think it's a historical document of stupidity, from several angles all at once.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

to me it's like if you had 1944 footage of hitler sarcastically joking about killing himself in his bunker

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

lol

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

until the very end, where I spied a grand total of three masks you couldn't even tell the event was happening in the Covid era

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

given the way these people live it's amazing they've dodged the Vid for so long

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:55 (five years ago)

It's like a guy getting pink eye after 6 months of wiping his ass with his hands

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

nah it makes sense that he got it when he started doing dozens of rallies and fundraisers (which other than mt rushmore and that half empty indoor arena thing he wasn't over the summer i don't think)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

I guess we'll see what a diet of Cool Ranch Pringles, KFC & diet coke does for one's health & vitality.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 17:59 (five years ago)

Nothing good so far

Trump cancels events, goes without tweeting for 12 hours following coronavirus diagnosis https://t.co/riCZRSRIg1

— The Independent (@Independent) October 2, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

xxpost sure but there were also a bunch of cases in the White House and directions that mask wearing was a bad look

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

Bearing in mind the iron law that they're liars and it's always worse than it seems with these people, I note he has "mild symptoms".

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

It's now beginning to look to me like the White House was at the center of a super-spreading event, or multiple such events. This seems more horrifying than cause for glee, but this is a rich harvest of payback for Trump's enablers.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

President Trump’s advanced age and his immune system’s response will most strongly influence the course of his battle with covid-19, a disease whose impact ranges unpredictably from no symptoms at all to rapid death, according to experts and research.

sounds good. keep me posted.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

Bearing in mind the iron law that they're liars and it's always worse than it seems with these people, I note he has "mild symptoms".


This was how it went with Boris tbh, he went from being fine to coughing to intensive care to rumours of being ventilated to still struggling months later.

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

someone mentioned he was notably off during his NJ fundraiser, not taking time to chat with anyone and appearing out of breath

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

By official medical standards, "mild" symptoms could mean flu-like, which could still be shitty for him, and yeah, it could get worse, because he is old and fast and an asshole.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

Impatiently awaiting word on Attorney General Barr.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

I note he has "mild symptoms".

Born to be mild

Pancho Viral (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

Negative, I’m afraid.

xp

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Negative, I’m afraid.

Ah, well. But I hear there are plenty of false negatives, and any one negative test is unreliable.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

Boris is like Usain Bolt compared to Trump.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

Meanwhile, Florida!

Wow. Look at these returned vote by mail numbers in Florida. @FlaDems +91,340 vote advantage.

DEM: 184,552 (7.6% return rate)
GOP: 93,212 (5.6%)
N/3/I: 64,119

Total: 341,877

In 2016, this far out from E-Day, GOP held +1,304 advantage with only 7,487 mail ballots returned.

— Kevin Cate (@KevinCate) October 2, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:18 (five years ago)

awesome

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

Let me point out: Miami-Dade and Broward haven't voted yet. So.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

with this many ballots already cast it's gonna be fucked up if Trump actually died from this

not bad, just fucked up

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

More positive tests in the White House. Details to come

— Frida Ghitis (@FridaGhitis) October 2, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:34 (five years ago)

with this many ballots already cast it's gonna be fucked up if Trump actually died

there is no time left for ballots to be reprinted. should trump die or withdraw all votes cast for trump-pence would be assigned to whatever substitute ticket the Republicans might designate. this is the only solution that even approximates an orderly process.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

"We've replaced Donald Trump with... Hillary Clinton"

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

b/c the Republicans care so much about an orderly process, yes yes

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

Aimless you might be right, but that seems kinda fucked up. wouldn’t there be a metric assload of maga chuds who’d rather go vegan than vote Romney?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

i'm pretty sure that process for dealing with last-minute death or withdrawal of a candidate is codified in various state election laws. plus, since a dead man can't be president, the Republicans have a vested interest in still having a shot at winning, so they would be quite happy that such a process exists.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

have to figure the national party would nominate Ivanka, to keep the name. and start madly spinning out propaganda that while she may have been out of the spotlight, she's JUST as much of an egomaniacal racist lib-owning piece of shit asshole who built a great company and will build the wall and make America great again

Doctor Casino, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

At the rate we are going, I wouldn't be shocked if Trump fully recovered and then said having antibodies made him a better candidate, because Biden was too at risk of catching covid.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:49 (five years ago)

the best antibodies!

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

xxxpost afaict, the party convention would reconvene and select a name. electors won by Trump/Pence would be encouraged to vote for that person (hard to imagine many of them bailing).

Doctor Casino, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

there's a chance this tanks his Supreme Court nomination, right? like we don't know who all has it but it would be nuts for the Senate to convene right now

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

Has it been noted that supposedly Trump has gone 12 hours without tweeting? Usually that only happens when he is traveling overseas, but apparently you also go silent while you are traveling the River Styx.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

yeah that got noted upthread but not sure if it's in this one or TRUMP HAS COVID

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

i'm really looking forward to hearing trump promoting the idea of herd immunity after this

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

Do they make ventilators that will accommodate someone of his... size?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

FFS

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

I keep humming "Who's Got The Crack?" to myself only it's "Who's Got The COVID?" and then I think "TRUMP" and smile

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

Do they make ventilators that will accommodate someone of his... size?

This is an extremely odd question, ventilators aren't pants

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:57 (five years ago)

i'm really looking forward to hearing trump promoting the idea of herd immunity after this

― idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, October 2, 2020 1:55 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

Um, I believe it's called 'herd mentality'.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

i guess i shouldn't count my eggs before they're hatched, but i'd have to hope that perhaps the trump admin will take this more seriously now. if so, it perfectly fits into the longstanding tradition of conservatives never expressing belief or support about anything they don't like until it directly happens to them (see: children coming out as gay to conservatives, who then suddenly find the courage to stop expressing constant hatred toward the LGBTQ+ community)

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

breaking: Trump has died.
cause of death: couldn't find ventilator that wold fit Trump

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

wold!

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 18:59 (five years ago)

buried in a piano box

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

Someone needs to bump Shakey's apposite thread.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

that's totally otm, I do think this will cause some conservatives to take this more seriously, plus all those cancelled rallies are going to directly correlate to lives saved, if you believe all lives matter it's absolutely a good thing he's got the 'rona

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

he had the biggest covid

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

xxpost When I woke up this morning to 'TRUMP GOT COVID' I was genuinely expecting to find a 'Not really.' from shakes upon clicking through. Sad!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

can't tell you how giddy I was creating that thread for all y'all to wake up to

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

I'd never do that to you

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

Thank you for your service. And the caps – it just wouldn't have been the same without them.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

I was just about to go to bed and randomly decided to check Twitter one last time, put on CNN and bam there it was

struggled for a few minutes to decide whether or not to wake up my wife, and I decided I had to...she's been waiting too long for this day. I mean in retrospect it's a damn miracle he didn't catch it sooner

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

Trump hasn't tweeted in 12 hours. Notably neither have I because I got suspended for the day for telling him to die.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

He's actually up to 14 hours now.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

i woke up my partner when i went to bed, around 1:30 last night. i couldn't help it. how often do you get to wake up someone you love and say that someone's severely ill, and it's immediately understood to be the best news

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

He's actually up to 14 hours now.

ok so my newest theory is he's already dead

the typo doer (Simon H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:12 (five years ago)

I really wonder what this quarantine is like. I can't imagine choad willingly not tweeting through this. He's either sicker than they are saying, or they took his phone away from him in the interest of national security.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:13 (five years ago)

Did even his ghost-tweeters catch the 'ronus?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:14 (five years ago)

my newest theory is he's already dead

When FOX News puts up a static screen showing a picture of the White House and plays somber music for hours on end, we'll know.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:14 (five years ago)

seemed like a Pynchon set piece, but "Senator Mike Crapo" just seals the deal.

lol

" a disease whose impact ranges unpredictably from no symptoms at all to rapid death, according to experts and research."

sounds good. keep me posted.

lol

rather go vegan than vote Romney?

lol

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:14 (five years ago)

I guess he was supposed to be on some call 12:30 or something, but they replaced him with Pence? My wife's theory is that he is just napping, which is not a bad theory.

She woke me up with the news. I've kind of been happy all day in a way I haven't been in a week or so, I honestly wonder if that's what's doing it.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:15 (five years ago)

we won't officially know until the pearl-clutching about the massive weeklong global party that spontaneously erupts upon news of his death

xp

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:15 (five years ago)

What this whole experience has taught me is that you should, in fact, count your chickens before they're hatched. It's wayyy more fun than the alternative.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

When he dies a whole lot of flags will be at full mast, if you get my drift.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

boners

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

There will be a global spike in COVID cases because people will not be able to resist running into the streets and hugging everyone they see

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

lol, all the neighborhood Facebook groups will be asking, were those gun shots, fireworks, or just people celebrating that Trump is dead?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

as a soldier in the war on Christmas I just want to

Trump hasn't tweeted in 12 hours. Notably neither have I because I got suspended for the day for telling him to die.


o7

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

"I've kind of been happy all day in a way I haven't been in a week or so" me too! I was on the brink of suicidal depression for two weeks until today

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

I really wonder what this quarantine is like. I can't imagine choad willingly not tweeting through this. He's either sicker than they are saying, or they took his phone away from him in the interest of national security.

good shit doesn't happen in this hellworld but lets not forget that 1) they almost certainly covered up a heart attack in 2019, 2) they fucking hid Melania for like 2 weeks, and 3) they absolutely planned to cover this up until some pesky reporter leaked that Hope was positive

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

and as a soldier in the War on Christmas just want to throw a begrudging shoutout to Melania

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

He's going to nuke Denmark in a fever dream... they should have sold Greenland, they brought this on themselves.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

Between his mouth and his toilet habits, just imagine how disgusting his phone must be. They're probably in the process of burying that thing in the desert with all the nuclear waste.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

right, Melania purportedly had a kidney thing, which also increases her chances. Honestly I don't hate her nearly to the degree I hate her husband so I don't really wish death on her the way I do DJT, and his children.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

still, I'd take it.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

I mean she is absolutely as horrible as the rest of them

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

anyone who hates christmas is cool with me

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

Yeah, did ye not see the audio released of her yesterday? Kids in cages, “give me a fucking break”, wasn’t it? Also recall her going on TV to push birther conspiracies.

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

Kids in cages, “give me a fucking break”, wasn’t it?

B-BUT OBAMA!!!!!

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

I don't think this is fake anymore. If it was, he'd be giving constant twitter updates on how he's battling the puny virus, and that his symptoms are already fading, ala Bolsonaro.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

Yeah, have we discussed Melania's Christmas cheer anywhere? Because it's completely nuts.

Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

I think we started to and then they all got hit by the plague bat

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

We live in a timeline where it's only like the 50th most notable story in the news cycle right now.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

I'm beginning to wonder whether someone other than Trump tweeted the announcement maybe because Trump himself was in no condition to do so.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

Melania's rant was posted somewhere yesterday afternoon, but has since been swallowed by other conversational interests.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

if there's no word or sign of him throughout the weekend, assume the best.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

I like the way you think.

2xp

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

I mean the text of the tweet itself was clearly not him

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

Relevant:

TIL the opposite of doomscrolling is schadensurfing

— N’Gai Croal (@ncroal) October 2, 2020

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

The announcement tweet was much more grammatically and syntactically subdued than anything Trump would write on his own. More like an official communique.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

If it was genuine, it's be: "Do-Nothing Democrats and CNN might be Pleased to find out that Melania and I have the loser Chinese Virus, but they won't hear it from me! The Wall is almost finished, MAGA!"

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

I know people hate this genre of statement but it does make me happy to know that this is almost certainly the worst week of Trump's life. get exposed as a broke tax cheat, completely bomb a debate performance, "accidentally" make a nod to the Nazis AGAIN, have tapes of your wife saying nasty shit, then the both of you contract the deadly disease that you've been handwaving away for months? and it's only Friday??!?

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

There was a statement from Meadows that something about how "we" decided to release a statement. So.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

So, tomorrow he has a catastrophic anal prolapse?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

I've never felt more rayliottalaughing.gif than I do today

Fetchboy, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

‘catastrophic’

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

Comforting when your doctor doesn't know how to spell "comorbidities." https://t.co/pjQneIhCvs

— James Surowiecki (@JamesSurowiecki) October 2, 2020

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

"mild symptoms" = coughing blood, uncontrollably weeping

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

BREAKING UPDATE — Trump has notified FOX35 that he won’t hold a Rally tonight https://t.co/3OR8DEfPi8

— FJ News Reporter (@FJNewsReporter) October 2, 2020

not even doing a virtual rally

there's a nonzero chance he's dead

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

xpost "Asymptotic" as well.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

guys I think the pivot is finally happening

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

The pivot to death?

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

You can be asymptotic and symptomatic at the same time.

xps

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

They are rapidly approaching symptom-free but will never reach it

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:49 (five years ago)

the pivot to Infrastructure Week

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

Was Ronny Jackson the Dr. Feelgood that was handing out pills like Sweetarts?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

Apologies if this was already posted:

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/519360-pence-subbed-in-for-trump-on-call-with-governors-after-presidents

A mild no-show.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

I don't know if my brain can handle anymore dopamine today.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

any more

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

Isn't Pence the task force leader anyway?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:56 (five years ago)

I don't know if my brain can handle anymore dopamine today.

― Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, October 2, 2020 3:54 PM (two minutes ago)

https://thehill.com/homenews/media/519387-fox-news-anchors-executives-to-be-tested-after-potential-covid-19-exposure-at

rob, Friday, 2 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

Guys, I just realized that Trump's insistence on presenting physically as a horrific, shambling mockery of a human being has been strategic all along, allowing for his staff to hastily assemble a crude dummy from whatever leftovers happen to be floating around the WH at a given time (a hefty quantity of ham topped with a fistful of bean sprouts, for example), stuff it in an ill-fitting suit, and wheel it before an unsuspecting public that's used to seeing a president that's made of day-old meat products. The untrained eye might never penetrate the charade.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

there's a nonzero chance he's dead

― frogbs, Friday, October 2, 2020 3:41 PM (eighteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Can you die of covid within one day?

treeship., Friday, 2 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

If he had a heart attack or something, sure.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

You can die of anything within a day.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

Giuliani negative. You can't have 'em all.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

We can be certain that somewhere in DC and various other power centers, hundreds of Republican power brokers and consultants, broken into smaller working groups, are grimly war-gaming a couple dozen scenarios to discover how this all can be managed in such a way as to ensure their continuation in power.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:04 (five years ago)

What the hell? https://t.co/zPdOa51OSp

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) October 2, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

"Giulian Negative" sounds like a diagnosis itself. Like, "I got real drunk at a party last month and slept with someone I shouldn't have, so thank God I just found out I am Giuliani negative."

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

Can you die of covid within one day?

if anyone could I would venture to say it's a man who believes exercise drains the body's finite energy stores

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

So Randy Jackson is former WH physician... but it seems they've deputized him as a spin doctor.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

I mean:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9Kp_eHMQ7s

2xp

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

"They are rapidly approaching symptom-free but will never reach it"

This is fucking world class ILX-ing, DJP. My respects.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

okay so I turned on the news and yes people are very much wondering where the President is right now

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

The president's symptoms are said to include a cough, nasal congestion, low-grade fever https://t.co/gCS9KKn9Us

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 2, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

Trump's absence from the governor's call is sure to raise questions, however, about whether he will be able to carry out his usual duties without issue.

WHAT FUCKING "USUAL DUTIES"? All he does is sit on the can and tweet stuff he sees on Fox News. OK, to be fair, he seems to not be doing that today, so I guess he's not carrying out his usual duties.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

When he kicks the bucket people are going to look at those unused rally tickets like people looked at Skynyrd tickets after the plane crash.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

I turned on the news and yes people are very much wondering where the President is right now

are those the same 'yes people' he regularly hires to lick his, uh, how about we say boots?

said to include

good old maggie dutifully acting as the unfiltered conduit for whatever the administration says, because what else does a reporter do but parrot news releases?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

yeah it was surreal watching CNN people freaking out about how the government is going to continue to function as though it was fucking functioning at all in the first place. two weeks ago Trump said at a press conference that he watched 9 hours of TV last night

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

Ronny Jackson's tweet certainly doesn't align with other reports of him absolutely having symptoms.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

I really kind of want to hurl when I imagine Trump with nasal congestion. You know he's one of those guys who can't be bothered to actually go get a tissue and blow his nose, he just sits there looking glum and occasionally making NOISES

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

this is how you do it

My statement on Trump’s COVID-19 positive diagnosis: pic.twitter.com/03VF1oGF8a

— Rep. Ilhan Omar (@Ilhan) October 2, 2020

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

well so much for the sympathy angle

Chris Wallace just said on Fox that Trump arrived too late in Cleveland to have been tested by the clinic and that there was an "honor system" for the candidates to have arrived after already testing negative. pic.twitter.com/8jGZGWJjPT

— Andrew Kirell (@AndrewKirell) October 2, 2020

it's absolutely gonna come out that they new he was positive during the debate

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

I just want to point out that "duties" is a typo, it's supposed to be "doodies"

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

I'm disappointed that this news couldn't have come out on another day, one when I wasn't having a profoundly shitty day for so many other reasons. I wish I could be enjoying this more.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

polyclonal antibodies sounds fancy

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

I just want to point out that "duties" is a typo, it's supposed to be "doodies"

He doesn't carry them out, though, he has people for that

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

Kudlow: LPrez has “very moderate case”

That's louder than 'mild,' innit?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:23 (five years ago)

extremely moderate right down the middle the most normal case possible

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

Be that as it may, there is absolutely no reason whatsoever to trust what these snakes and their handlers have to say on this and everything else.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

Friend who works with Scaramuci said that Mooch spoke with Hicks this morning.

She said that Trump showed symptoms before her, and that she's being used as a scapegoat

— (((ben))) 🏳️‍🌈 (@BenResists) October 2, 2020

uncollaborated but the Mooch is the only straight shooter in that entire orbit so I'd believe him

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

I don't think people think Hicks infected Trump, I thought the running assumption based on time of onset was someone else infected them both (for some reason I'm inclined to go with Father Jenkins)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

Look, is he symptomic or asymptomic?!?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:27 (five years ago)

theres def a super spreader in their orbit

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

He's symphonic.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

Per @PressSec, @realDonaldTrump has received an experimental COVID treatment that is still in trials and not available to most Americans. pic.twitter.com/StTnM1KeIK

— Andrew Feinberg (@AndrewFeinberg) October 2, 2020

wait a second why are they using experimental treatments on him

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

Hopefully the treatment is submerging him in a vat of clorox.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

I'm cool with using Donnie as a guinea pig tbh.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

I wrote a little bit here about the race for monoclonal antibodies -- like the one Trump is now receiving: https://t.co/JKwHE6krZH

— Paul Sonne (@PaulSonne) October 2, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

a vote for Clorox

goddammit Brocc

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

I prefer the polyclonal with a splash of bitter and lemon zest.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

custos?

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

The experimental treatment is prayer, they've been working on that one for a while.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

But it only works in conjunction with thoughts.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:33 (five years ago)

Well then they're fucked.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:34 (five years ago)

This is so awesome

xyzzzz__, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

very "normal" where experimental treatment is only available for the worst person alive who is also president

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

honestly I didn't know how I'd react with this kind of news and apparently the answer is pure joy

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

His presidency was designed as an experiment from the very start.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

Paul Sonne
@PaulSonne
I wrote a little bit here about the race for monoclonal antibodies -- like the one Trump is now receiving

THEY'RE CLONING TRUMP?!?!?!?!

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:39 (five years ago)

NEW: White House doctor confirms that President Trump is being treated with an 8 gram dose of Regeneron's polyclonal antibody cocktail as well as a series of vitamins. Says he's "fatigued but in good spirits." pic.twitter.com/3iLyq3DYXj

— Lewis Goodall (@lewis_goodall) October 2, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Ghost of Herman Cain heard wandering the West Wing halls, emitting a mournful belly laugh and singing "Waltzing Mathilda"

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

so like is this the end of his campaign? like wtf do you do from this point. he's not gonna be better in 2 weeks is he?

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Ghost of Herman Cain heard wandering the West Wing halls, waving Godfather's pizza laced with COVID under President's nose.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

fucking lmao

https://i.imgur.com/AssQf4i.jpg

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

Biden's delivering the most emphatically pro-union speech I've heard from a Dem candidate in years.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

just like with his fucking tax returns, if asshole was doing okay and in good spirits it'd be easy enough for him to post an image of himself with a thumbs up or a short message to his fans or whatever. but he hasn't, so he isn't.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

I honestly haven't enjoyed following a news story this much since they took BoJohnson into intensive care. Here's hoping this one ends better than that did (i.e. with the subject's painful and humiliating demise)!

your response will be deleted unread (Matt #2), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

imagine being on the tail end of that guy's open hospital gown.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

Biden actually giving a pretty good speech right now

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

"so like is this the end of his campaign? like wtf do you do from this point. he's not gonna be better in 2 weeks is he?" who knows. I can't see any responsible manner in which he can return to in person campaigning anytime within the next 2 weeks. That leaves him like, 2 more weeks to campaign and I also can't see anyone approving rallies at that point.

I've said all week he's done. Could always be wrong, but there is no way in which this situation helps him.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

everyone fp Josh

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

imagine being on the tail end of that guy's open hospital gown.

― Josh in Chicago, Friday, October 2, 2020

https://i.makeagif.com/media/2-20-2015/M4Qq2h.gif

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

hey map Andy is supra-custos at worst

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/MA6N2FXPRk

— Muni (@muni_d1) October 2, 2020

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

this quote is why this is disastrous for trump (assuming he doesn't die)

“If there are two things the Biden campaign wants this election to be about its Donald Trump the person and his handling of the coronavirus”

Trump diagnoses refocuses race on the pandemic -- again.

W/@fran_chambers (and an assist from @davecatanese)https://t.co/oASB8CzS9G

— Alex Roarty (@Alex_Roarty) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

It's so weird, and so typical, that they keep saying Trump "seemed lethargic," like he's a pet that can't talk and you just have to notice that his nose is dry and his tail is droopy.

Lily Dale, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:57 (five years ago)

Donald and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Week

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

also you don't immediately open with experimental treatments if the symptoms are mild.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

that's what i was wondering about. they just announced this and hours later they're giving him 12 different treatments.

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

aka "The Works."

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:03 (five years ago)

If I was being generous I'd say they are preemptively doing absolutely everything in their power both to make sure he doesn't get worse and to make him better.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:03 (five years ago)

Not what we want to hear, but yes, I'm fairly certain that's what's happening here.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

also you don't immediately open with experimental treatments if the symptoms are mild.

you probably do, if you're hoping to avoid severe symptoms... definitely true for antivirals, dunno about monoclonal antibodies but

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

Choice of thread title this month was almost magically serendipitous. Hats off to ya, Alfred!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

experimental treatment

https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/nausicaa/images/a/a6/ImmersionTank.jpg

sadly could not find any of the scenes where the minions are all like "no, my liege! you must not leave the tank before the treatment is complete! your fragile body!"

Doctor Casino, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

The sooner the experimental treatments, the sooner he can be back on the campaign trail etc. etc. etc.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

experimental treatments work*

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

If I was being generous I'd say they are preemptively doing absolutely everything in their power both to make sure he doesn't get worse and to make him better.

― Josh in Chicago, Friday, October 2, 2020 5:03 PM (six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

belt and suspendes is fine, but this treatment has not been through large scale safety tests, i.e. this is belt, suspenders and a gun.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:13 (five years ago)

Currently phase III, no? Could be way riskier.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Trump, who revealed early this morning he has coronavirus, is leaving the White House for Walter Reed Military Medical Center.

— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) October 2, 2020

here we fuckin go lads

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

At least let's hope it's an experimental gun? Like, a super-duper gun.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

maybe he's just going there to finish his physical.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:15 (five years ago)

If this is somehow fake news, then the 5D chess here is that this “miracle vaccine” will resurrect him in 2 weeks’ time and he will reenter the race having defeated Covid and promising his followers that magic cure he’s been barfing about just in time for Election Day. The reality tho is that he likely had it first, gave it to everyone else and even came to the debate as The Orange Superspreader.

vmajestic, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:15 (five years ago)

GL USA.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:16 (five years ago)

Currently phase III, no? Could be way riskier.

― pomenitul, Friday, October 2, 2020 5:14 PM (thirty-five seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

this is not a vaccine (some of those are in phase III). IIUC. the largest trial of this treatment is like 250 people.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:16 (five years ago)

Anyway, doesn't seem that strange to me that he would go to the hospital. If he's getting some sort of blood treatment, experimental or no, they probably don't want to administer that in his bedroom. That seems more like Rudy's jam.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

I don't think it's fake... he'd be tweeting nonstop is it was fake.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

Phases refer to clinical research in general, not just vaccines as far as I know.

2xp

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

This really does feel like BoJo all over again. Hopefully we'll get a happy ending this time.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:18 (five years ago)

Anyway, doesn't seem that strange to me that he would go to the hospital. If he's getting some sort of blood treatment, experimental or no, they probably don't want to administer that in his bedroom. That seems more like Rudy's jam.

― Josh in Chicago, Friday, October 2, 2020 5:17 PM (fifteen seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

he's already had the experimental treatment. it's an injection. it's not a plasma thing.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:19 (five years ago)

Phases refer to clinical research in general, not just vaccines as far as I know.

yes but regeneron is not in phase 3! https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-29/regeneron-antibody-cocktail-lowers-virus-in-covid-19-patients. the trial was 275 people.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:20 (five years ago)

it’s all about Day 10. anybody got a back of the envelope estimate of when that is?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:20 (five years ago)

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2016/04/28/13/282C55AB00000578-3563463-image-a-47_1461846260972.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:20 (five years ago)

xpost If he's already had the injection then I imagine they did what they did with Boris, get him closer to the ICU just in case.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

WASHINGTON (AP) — White House: Trump to travel to military hospital after COVID-19 diagnosis, remain for 'few days' on advice of doctors.

— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

lol this guy doesn't do work in an office, why do they bother

“Out of an abundance of caution, and at the recommendation of his physician and medical experts, the president will be working from the presidential offices at Walter Reed for the next few days,” Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany says in a statement.

— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) October 2, 2020

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

That's louder than 'mild,' innit?

captain beef-fart - louder than "mild"

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:22 (five years ago)

This, ladies and gentlemen, is how you pwn the libs.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:22 (five years ago)

Found this, from July:

https://investor.regeneron.com/index.php/news-releases/news-release-details/regeneron-announces-start-regn-cov2-phase-3-covid-19-prevention

― pomenitul, Friday, October 2, 2020 5:21 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

ah, well further along than i realised, but whatever they reported earlier this week was not phase 3, and phase 3 is not finished. my understanding is that phase 3 is when you find out if its safe btw. you already know it works when it reaches that stage.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:24 (five years ago)

I keep wondering if China or Russia during some of this mess the past few months might take a shot at something figuring the US is too much of a basket-case really do do anything about it. I would think if they wanted to by force say take back Tiawan or make a big push in Hong Kong or something in Ukraine, what would happen? Probably too much risk but...

earlnash, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

my point is: it's possible (and would not be particularly surprising, given his general health and what they've said publicly about his treatment and their track record of massively underplaying the seriousness of anything covid related) that he's already quite ill.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

being moved by helicopter apparently

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

trump would absolutely not want to be moved to the hospital is something if were reading da tea leaves

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:27 (five years ago)

Yeah sign of weakness or whatever

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:28 (five years ago)

xxpost They might face a stiff rebuke from Pompeo!

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:28 (five years ago)

Trump has had a long distaste for hospitals, and a distrust of medical treatments. Some of his closest allies note Trump wouldn’t allow himself to be hospitalized unless he absolutely had to.

— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) October 2, 2020

reporter who broke the story

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

Figured as much.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

It would be funny to get Trump locked up into a Hyperbaric tank and then switch the TV to just The View on endless loop.

earlnash, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

My wife just stumped me with this question: when was the last time a sitting president spent multiple days (or even an overnight stay) in the hospital (at least that they public was made aware of).

I guessed Reagan but I'm not sure about the Bushes...

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:37 (five years ago)

So, I left the computer to go to the store briefly. Anything new to report, lol?

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:40 (five years ago)

https://t.co/ks8d5g7Off

— Bilge Ebiri (@BilgeEbiri) October 2, 2020

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:40 (five years ago)

Well y'all, this has been a wild fucking ride

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

xpost - Didn't Trump have a 'routine physical' than was anything but?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

last January

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:43 (five years ago)

occurs 2 me that if the rumored heart condition is true that would put him at a greater risk of mortality via covid

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

That and the mini-strokes

Lily Dale, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

it’s all about Day 10. anybody got a back of the envelope estimate of when that is?

― Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, October 2, 2020 10:20 PM (twenty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

see you all back in heaven next friday

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:45 (five years ago)

And all the kfc double downs

xp

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:45 (five years ago)

My wife just stumped me with this question: when was the last time a sitting president spent multiple days (or even an overnight stay) in the hospital (at least that they public was made aware of).

I’d guess it was when Bush sr got food poisoning in Japan.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_H._W._Bush_vomiting_incident

Dan Worsley, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:46 (five years ago)

When I was a kid Reagan/Bush invoked the 25th Amendment for some kind of surgery? I remember it being a big deal at the time.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

that man drank too much sake xp

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

Some kinda irony of him going to Walter Reed after calling the war dead “losers” ... hope the vets find a way to code-red him

terminators of endearment (VegemiteGrrl), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

Read to the end for a non-surprise.

https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/day-trump-bedminster-fundraiser-guests-flabbergasted-learn-stricken/story

Ned Raggett, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

Pence can't be president, 'cause all that TV watchin'the job entails would require Mother in the room too much, what with Fox wardrobe choices.

BlackIronPrison, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:52 (five years ago)

"I wasn't able to get a picture with him," Sembrat said. "I assume they were taking pictures inside the clubhouse, but I'm not positive."

burn

epistantophus, Friday, 2 October 2020 21:57 (five years ago)

NEWS: @JoeBiden is taking down his negative ads, going all-positive, per source familiar.

Decision was made *before* WH put out word Trump was going to Walter Reed

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 2, 2020

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:57 (five years ago)

oh come on

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 2 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

Dr. Rich Roberts said in a video posted on the website The Lakewood Scoop that he attended the event and was part of the "small group" of roughly 20 donors that participated in a roundtable discussion on Iran, China, debate strategy and other topics. It was held at a rectangular table.

jmm, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

Biden only running positive ads to make fun of trump being positive

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:02 (five years ago)

I guess Clinton didn't stay in the hospital long when he fell and hurt his leg. The only reason (or maybe anyone) remembers that is because he had a Lewinsky liaison right after.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:02 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/mdkdpZuPLt

— Nille af Ekenstam (@nilrod) October 2, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:05 (five years ago)

Greg Gutfeld is on Fox News saying Trump got coronavirus because he’s brave and he was “doing it for us.” Gutfeld says Trump “didn’t hide from the virus” because he didn’t “want America to hide from the virus.”

— Max Tani (@maxwelltani) October 2, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:07 (five years ago)

If this is somehow fake news, then the 5D chess here is that this “miracle vaccine” will resurrect him in 2 weeks’ time and he will reenter the race having defeated Covid and promising his followers that magic cure he’s been barfing about just in time for Election Day. The reality tho is that he likely had it first, gave it to everyone else and even came to the debate as The Orange Superspreader.

― vmajestic

Provides a nice Jesus metaphor as well.

nickn, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:08 (five years ago)

This is really sumfink

Never changed username before (cardamon), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:08 (five years ago)

I looked at news reports of the GHWB vomiting incident. Doesn't seem like he was hospitalized for it. But he was hospitalized for at least a couple of days in May 1991 for an irregular heartbeat, which was diagnosed at Graves' disease.

Reagan had several operations at Walter Reed during which he stayed overnight: a polyp removal in 1985, prostate surgery in 1987, and hand surgery in 1989.

jaymc, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:10 (five years ago)

unperson, your tweet was deleted. what was it?

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:11 (five years ago)

that virus took down that elephant thing hardcore dayummmmmmm

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:11 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Trump, Barron Trump to Have Full Blood Exchange

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

xpost - gif from Weekend at Bernie's

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

Clinton tore a knee tendon at Greg Norman's house in '97, and had to have surgery. Still not a patch on Reagan.

https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/ct-xpm-1997-03-15-9703150113-story.html

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:13 (five years ago)

Gutfields take is so fucking stupid. Of course we should hide from the virus what the fuck is wrong with you???

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:16 (five years ago)

fyi

Twitter says it will suspend people who tweet that they hope Trump dies. Facebook will let you wish death upon Trump so long as you do not tag him https://t.co/Ngfo0aWkSQ

— Jason Koebler (@jason_koebler) October 2, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:17 (five years ago)

Oh good, I'm assuming this means Twitter will start being more diligent about all of the regular people getting death threats, daily, on Twitter! No? What's that? Hello?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

medical expert on bbc says this experimental treatment means the doctors are concerned.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

which i guess stands to reason!

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

rotors a-churnin

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

yeah cant imagine testing drugs on the president is the normal corse of action

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:21 (five years ago)

This entire day has just been a never-ending streak of

https://i.imgur.com/QONVIyz.gif

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:21 (five years ago)

off he goes

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:22 (five years ago)

Nancy Pelosi has just been contacted by the White House on the protocols of continuity of government, according to MSNBC.

— chris evans (@notcapnamerica) October 2, 2020

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:23 (five years ago)

have we considered the possibility that pence doesn't exist anymore

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:23 (five years ago)

If Trump kicks the bucket does that mean Kamala has to debate Pelosi

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:24 (five years ago)

Forgive me if I'm skeptical about that @notcapnamerica tweet, who is that guy?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

Perhaps Pence never existed. He sorts sort of ghostly.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

actually yeah possibly https://www.speaker.gov/newsroom/10220-3

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:28 (five years ago)

White House press sec. Kayleigh McEnany waits with others as Pres. Trump prepares to leave the White House to go to Walter Reed Medical Center after he tested positive for COVID-19. https://t.co/mlovJ1h6eD pic.twitter.com/sebrRfx1Gg

— Evan McMurry (@evanmcmurry) October 2, 2020

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

Not a dig at you katherine, just skeptical (especially today!) of unverified accounts with comedy names claiming insider info, but I may just be uninformed about who that guy is.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

'…according to MSNBC' doesn't sound like 'insider info' to me.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:31 (five years ago)

Right, fair.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:31 (five years ago)

gotta love the crucifix / peekaboo dress combo

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:32 (five years ago)

He's a Twitter famous K-Hive weirdo

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:32 (five years ago)

explains why he has me blocked

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:32 (five years ago)

I’m blocked by him too

Dan S, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

Just one anecdotal data point: friends of friends I am friends with on Facebook who are Trump supporters have started posting memes making fun of Trump.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:37 (five years ago)

Lol @ that sad photo posted by lagoon of staffers finally wearing masks.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:38 (five years ago)

After the disastrous success of 2016, Cubs losing the playoffs bodes well for a Biden win.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:38 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/B4H105KVSs

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 2, 2020

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:40 (five years ago)

CGI has gotten scary good these days.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:41 (five years ago)

he looks and sounds like shit

relative to his usual I mean

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:48 (five years ago)

"Just one anecdotal data point: friends of friends I am friends with on Facebook who are Trump supporters have started posting memes making fun of Trump."

my pro-trump extended family hasn't posted a single thing related to this yet. maybe they also have covid and have died. one can hope.

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

he looks and sounds fine in that video sadly

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

Yeah, he seems more with it than normal in that video tbh

Lily Dale, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:50 (five years ago)

So I guess there was no camera or lights crew or secret service or anyone around for that video, because of course he’d be wearing a mask. Right....? Right?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:50 (five years ago)

I think he looks like he's gathered up all his energy for that short speech. and he looks scared.

好 now 烧烤 (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

Bingo.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

None of his usual bravado.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

Yep, and he sounds wheezy, unsurprisingly.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

He does look scared. I think that's why he seems more with it - he's aware that this is bad. Usually we see him completely divorced from reality.

Lily Dale, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

I’d like to think that the moment they got the shot he turned on his heel and shat his pants

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

yeah pulling it together for 10 seconds doesnt really mean much

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

hes looks pale tho

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:53 (five years ago)

Hair and tan games gonna take a hit in the hospital

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:53 (five years ago)

when he says "Walter Reed" you can hear him struggle for breath, just a little.

好 now 烧烤 (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:54 (five years ago)

to be fair he struggles for breath in the best of circumstances

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

I’d like to think that the moment they got the shot he turned on his heel and shat his pants

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII),

I like to think that this is when he became president

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

all of my pro-Trump FB friends are silent actually it's kind of shocking I haven't seen a single "prayers up for the President" post

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

ends on a bit of a grimace. still far too not-dead to suit me though

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

well he's probably only on Day 4 or 5, I think Days 8-10 is when the shit really happens

frogbs, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:58 (five years ago)

That's a deep fake, you guys totally fell for it.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

News that Trump's heading to Walter Reed breaks 15 minutes after Wall Street futures close for the weekend lmao Monday's gonna be incredible.

— Michael Tae Sweeney (@mtsw) October 2, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

I hope he does fine. I can’t wish death on him and it would be so much better to see him recover and then beaten on nov 3

Dan S, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/H3BcaRJU8B

— food truck drove away with my debit card (@fart) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

day 10 of symptoms. not from when you caught it (which is notoriously hard to pin down)

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:01 (five years ago)

I don't get that, sorry. explain (xpost)

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:01 (five years ago)

They probably shot him up with goofballs before that vid and before he walked to the helicopter.

Minutes later, he was shivering, drooling, amd repeating "what's it all about,Alfie?"

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:02 (five years ago)

I don't get that, sorry. explain (xpost)

― akm, Friday, October 2, 2020 7:01 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUz9xCTOPRw

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

I hope he does fine. I can’t wish death on him and it would be so much better to see him recover and then beaten on nov 3


Why, so he can continue to make life miserable for millions upon millions as a hero to his death cult?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:06 (five years ago)

I think it would be good for him to be prosecuted for his crimes and die in jail but this is in my top 3 alternatives.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

oh, ha (xpost)

akm, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

Honestly I respect the sentiment but can’t begin to relate. I only have to think of one child torn away from his mother and father at the border to wish immediate death on him.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:08 (five years ago)

yeah but i have to admit i would be kinda sad if by dying trump avoids prosecution for rape, tax crimes and fraud, and is spared the experience of being shellacked at the polls. it would be better if he were beaten properly and soundly in november

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:09 (five years ago)

Not to mention that wishing death upon him – now that he's caught Covid-19, of all things – is not the same thing as plotting and carrying out his assassination. Don't panic, there might still be a place in Heaven for you.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

I think the surest way to stamp out his insidious movement is not an electoral loss, or prison, or even assassination, but to have him die of his own idiocy.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:12 (five years ago)

It would be humiliating and make his martyrdom a heavy lift

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:13 (five years ago)

Inshallah

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:13 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/hz49c9z5lG

— Big Boy (@deep_beige) October 2, 2020

Fetchboy, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:13 (five years ago)

Dan S is like one of the people who was scolding me for posting hilarious memes when noted sociopath and murderer John McCain died.

The guy has blood on his hands. The faster he gets to hell, the better we all are.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:14 (five years ago)

he's not going to prison; this is America

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:16 (five years ago)

The bright side re: pending criminal cases in the event he died is he would no longer be around to obstruct.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:17 (five years ago)

We could get a lot of this shit on the books in record time.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:18 (five years ago)

I think him dying now would inflame his cult. I have no insight but it seems better to me that he be humiliated in the election and then prosecuted for his crimes

Dan S, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:18 (five years ago)

Anyway we are all bracing for disappointment, right? He’s probably going to be fine :-/

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

Then he'll get reelected.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:20 (five years ago)

But fuck such thoughts.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:20 (five years ago)

I remember you thought the same of Warren Harding

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:20 (five years ago)

How would dying of the very disease he mocked and called a hoax burnish his rep with the cult? I mean as opposed to other outcomes?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:21 (five years ago)

Never forget:

We'd like him to be able to come home now, which is frustrating, but we're glad the doctors are being thorough and making sure they do the job right. Thank you for praying, everyone. Please keep doing it. He really is getting better, which means it is working.

— The Cain Gang (@THEHermanCain) July 27, 2020

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:24 (five years ago)

He's not going to die, sadly. Even in his age group, the vast majority of people recover. Instead, in a couple of weeks' time, he's going to be bragging about how he "aced it", there will be NYT stories about how he has privately called people who died from it "losers" etc etc

Zelda Zonk, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

it would be so much better to see him recover and then beaten on nov 3

Why, so he can continue to make life miserable for millions upon millions as a hero to his death cult?

The death cult will remain and its brains have been thoroughly scrambled by Trump's misrule. The best we can hope for is a landslide loss in November, so as to drive home to the cult leaders his repudiation by the public. Dan S may be right in that a dead man losing an election would not carry the same weight going forward.

Despite its moral irrelevance, the way in which his illness, recovery, or death plays out will no doubt affect the politics around investigating the official misdeeds of his administration and prosecuting his many crimes. There are so many ways for this to play out they are past predicting.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

nice

POTUS was spooked after he tested positive for coronavirus and became increasingly alarmed as he developed symptoms — like a fever — overnight, person familiar with his reaction says.

— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:26 (five years ago)

"I’d like to think that the moment they got the shot he turned on his heel and shat his pants"

I like to think that this is when he became president

lol

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

xp That might be true in the context of a Republican electorate who hadn’t already been convinced the whole thing is rigged. A landslide loss will do nothing to calm his followers.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

Did we ever find out whether his brother died of covid btw?

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

A landslide loss will do nothing to calm his followers.

True enough. But the people at the top who must win elections to keep the gravy train rolling tend to notice landslide losses in a more professionally interested light.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:33 (five years ago)

xxxp Hadrian I don’t know exactly, but if he died now I worry that the Trump cult would concoct a story somehow to make him a martyr and then repeat the story a million times until it became folklore

I want to see him become a disappointment to everyone

Dan S, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

I'm inclined to agree:

There are a lot of "why is Biden unliterary disarming?!" hot takes but pulling negative ads for a few days generates a lot of positive headlines that probably outweigh the value of said ads, especially given the "we must bring the country together" message that Biden is offering. https://t.co/Lv7s8T1pHI

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 2, 2020

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

lol @ 'unliterary' tho.

pomenitul, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

consider if he died he would go away

lag∞n, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:42 (five years ago)

He's not going to die, sadly. Even in his age group, the vast majority of people recover. Instead, in a couple of weeks' time, he's going to be bragging about how he "aced it", there will be NYT stories about how he has privately called people who died from it "losers" etc etc


He could recover but still have debilitating after effects.

Boring, Maryland, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:43 (five years ago)

yeah c'mon, let's stay positive here

sleeve, Friday, 2 October 2020 23:44 (five years ago)

I want to see him drawn and quartered followed by a parade of children of all ethnicities shitting directly onto his screaming face but I am preparing myself to be disappointed; I suggest you do the same

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:44 (five years ago)

^zweckpessimismus

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:46 (five years ago)

But imagine if it made him really bloated and stupid

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:46 (five years ago)

(stretches imagination to its limit) success!

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

WH officials have serious concerns about Trump's condition tonight and his symptoms are worse than those of the First Lady at this point, according to our sources.

— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) October 2, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 2 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

But he’ll be fine, they say

Trump adviser said there is reason for concern about Trump's health tonight. "This is serious," the source said. The source went on to describe Trump as very tired, very fatigued, and having some trouble breathing. WH officials continue to say Trump will be fine.

— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) October 2, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:01 (five years ago)

keegan.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:04 (five years ago)

yeah i mean if hes got all this stuff on day ~3 and hes got a week left to the worst i can see why theyre worried

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:05 (five years ago)

thought I read somewhere that Hope Hicks said he got symptoms before she did.

Dan S, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:12 (five years ago)

Starting to get irritated at the clip of Biden saying “this isn’t politics” that’s going around. Tell that to the tens of thousands of people who died needlessly because Trump wanted to improve his poll numbers.

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

NEW from a source: The Director of the Secret Service sent a note a few minutes ago to the agency that they are following protocols on “contact tracing and additional testing and isolation as applicable” after “protectees” (POTUS & the First Lady) test positive for COVID-19 pic.twitter.com/ms2sZ3kOsf

— Elizabeth Landers (@ElizLanders) October 2, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

Get in

Thom Tillis, another Republican Senator in attendance at the Rose Garden tests positive — pic.twitter.com/JxxgV5VfoN

— Emily Cochrane (@ESCochrane) October 3, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

fuck yeah

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

best news yet tbh, taking the Senate majority down right now would solve a whole lot of fucking problems

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

wonder who the super spreader is

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

i am the superspreader

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:20 (five years ago)

Coo coo ca choo

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel has tested positive for coronavirus.

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

i am the superspreader

― Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, October 2, 2020 8:20 PM (twenty-one seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

and I can do anything

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:22 (five years ago)

Get in

the nearest mass grave

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:23 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BshxCIjNEjY

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:28 (five years ago)

Calling them "protectees" seems a trifle cold.

Let's think of them as "people who have been tested."

Or, for short, "testees."

Pancho Viral (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:28 (five years ago)

thom tillis is a midbrow pseud, he stinks

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

I don't know if my brain can handle anymore dopamine today.

― Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Friday, October 2, 2020 3:54 PM (four hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Seriously, this has been some day.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:34 (five years ago)

Any word on Mitch?

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:35 (five years ago)

A mask-less Senator Tillis, who tested positive for #coronavirus, and maskless Amy Coney Barrett met on Wednesday.

Time for Mitch McConnell to suspend the mad rush to fill court vacancies, placing lives in jeopardy. pic.twitter.com/rn3HAuhuVe

— Kristen Clarke 866-OUR-VOTE (@KristenClarkeJD) October 3, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:36 (five years ago)

She’s already had it

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:39 (five years ago)

right, but theoretically she could still re-transmit, yeah? 2nd infections are rare but documented?

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

maybe she kept her germs in a secret vial to be released at the right time, maybe this was her plan all along

superdeep borehole (harbl), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:45 (five years ago)

Amy Cunning Barrett

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

harbl, I think you misspelled "plandemic."

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:49 (five years ago)

hah nice

https://t.co/e4HWL7RoNt pic.twitter.com/S0Yl1PfrWv

— Ilhan Omar (@IlhanMN) October 3, 2020

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 00:56 (five years ago)

that is not a good look

Dan S, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

Why?

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

...from Omar, @jack, or Donna Meagle's face?

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:09 (five years ago)

Omar’s tweet (or gif response?) could be interpreted multiple ways

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:09 (five years ago)

It's obvious that the company has a double standard, I think that's all she's saying.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

Her mentions are filled with the most hateful social media whackos this side of 4-chan.

Fetchboy, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:13 (five years ago)

yeah, but being vague is not a good look for any politician imo - don’t expect your enemies to interpret you in good faith

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:13 (five years ago)

Yeah that she receives death threats all the time is how I took it

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

don’t expect your enemies to interpret you in good faith

She doesn't, which is one of my favorite things about her. She's one of the most genuinely DGAF people on Twitter, at least when it comes to dealing with shitheads.

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

shes obvs saying she gets worse than death wishes everyday, find ambiguity where u please i guess

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

yeah, but being vague is not a good look for any politician imo - don’t expect your enemies to interpret you in good faith

Omar's enemies think she's a literal terrorist who married her brother (??), who cares how they interpret her

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

The amount of hate and number of death threats that people receive for deigning to advocate for their human rights on Twitter is shocking, and the president has spent the past eight years of his life spreading vile bullshit over the platform, and yet when people start giving him a taste of his own medicine, it's too much? Big powerful white man can't get his feelings hurt? Gtfoh with that nonsense

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

Someone should make a video of the Drugstore track "El Presidente" with a Covid molecule chasing Trump

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

shes obvs saying she gets worse than death wishes everyday, find ambiguity where u please i guess

― lag∞n, Friday, October 2, 2020 6:16 PM

that makes sense to me and makes appreciate the tweet.

Dan S, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

It’s very comforting that the White House is giving progressively worse health updates in the same way the Mets do when a starter leaves with forearm pain

— Richard Staff (@RichardStaff) October 2, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

Ilhan Omar otm

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

lmao what

Hannity is asking Trump to call in to his show rn

— Sam Adler-Bell (@SamAdlerBell) October 3, 2020

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:26 (five years ago)

<Through tears> "Daddy, I need to hear that voice one... more...time"

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:48 (five years ago)

"You're risking getting it..." said Woodward. "The way you move around and have those briefings and deal with people. Are you worried about that?"

"No, I'm not. I don't know why I'm not. I'm not," Trump said

"Why?" Woodward asked.

"I don't know," Trump said. "I'm just not.” https://t.co/XQqAdTRAAc

— Manu Raju (@mkraju) October 2, 2020

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:55 (five years ago)

Uhhhh https://t.co/oQVFqUcDPw

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) October 3, 2020



Please be true

(•̪●) (carne asada), Saturday, 3 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

As Trump’s conditioned worsened, he and his team made the decision to send him to Walter Reed before he deteriorated further — and while he could still walk to Marine One on his own. Our latest on the White House Coronavirus Crisis. https://t.co/H05J3Ndljc

— Ashley Parker (@AshleyRParker) October 3, 2020



Nice

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:00 (five years ago)

Is this Christmas

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:01 (five years ago)

yes but hopefully not in the same way as when you're like 8 just starting to realize you anticipated xmas and nothing really amazing happened? i want some real magic this christmas!

superdeep borehole (harbl), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:06 (five years ago)

I got chicken pox on Christmas 87, that's worse than poo in stocking.

But i also got an Atari 2600

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

i am the superspreader

― Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, October 2, 2020 5:20 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

and i am the light

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:13 (five years ago)

the life*

lol, a little drunk tonight

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:13 (five years ago)

Is this Christmas

― LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, October 2, 2020 10:01 PM (sixteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

maybe that's why melania hates it so much

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

the entirety of social media rn

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jnuIT3p5t6o

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

Claudia Conway just revealed on TikTok that her mom, Kellyanne Conway, has COVID: "She told me not to post this but I'm so furious please wear your masks guys" pic.twitter.com/oQWGLQC2si

— Spencer Althouse (@SpencerAlthouse) October 3, 2020

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

lmao

call all destroyer, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

you got an Atari for Christmas in 87??

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

And there it is:

Tonight I tested positive for COVID-19. My symptoms are mild (light cough) and I’m feeling fine. I have begun a quarantine process in consultation with physicians.

As always, my heart is with everyone affected by this global pandemic. ❤️

— Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) October 3, 2020

Alba, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

Claudia Conway should run for Congress

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:26 (five years ago)

Amazing

(•̪●) (carne asada), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

day just keeps on giving

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:31 (five years ago)

At what point to the evangelical right see it as a sign that God is angry?

Alba, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

he is not angry, this is all a test of resolve!

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:34 (five years ago)

OTM

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

God trolls in mysterious ways

Alba, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

a kind of startling sentence, here in the middle

On Thursday, Hicks’s diagnosis was kept secret from the public and even from some of her own colleagues. Press secretary Kayleigh McEnany did not know Hicks had the virus when she briefed reporters about 11 a.m., but learned midafternoon, as the president was preparing to depart for another campaign fundraiser, this one at his private golf club in Bedminster, N.J.

By then, word about Hicks’s condition had begun spreading among Trump aides. Some staffers suddenly started wearing masks, a sign that something was amiss. A few senior aides were pulled from the Bedminster trip, including McEnany, who had been around Hicks extensively that week and was replaced by one of her deputies, Judd Deere.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:37 (five years ago)

At what point to the evangelical right see it as a sign that God is angry?

They're still thinking they're dealing with the god from the Bible, not one a little...let's say...Elder.

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

can I just say something

THEY ARE SO FUCKING STUPID

like it terrifies me how stupid our top level of government is

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

Imperfect vessels

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 02:59 (five years ago)

The stupidest thing is that there will still be fervent anti-maskers even after the entire WH staff has been flattened by the 'vid.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:08 (five years ago)

Pence next let’s do this

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:15 (five years ago)

took a walk a couple of hours ago, and yet again was just soaked in the dissonance of the two facts that the president of the united states could die at any moment from a self-inflicted virus, but meanwhile half the people around are still unmasked and hanging out in crowds

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:18 (five years ago)

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjXxb4FXgAAG5Jh?format=jpg&name=small

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:19 (five years ago)

+ conway

is the purple circle hicks, next to pence?

https://i.imgur.com/elcIkFU.jpg

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:30 (five years ago)

OH MY GOD YOU GUYS IT MAKES A CROSS

or an airplane

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:30 (five years ago)

purple circle is just pence i think, i didnt do the circling

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:31 (five years ago)

Barr more likely than (and, imo, preferable to) Pence.

If I were at all religious rn I feel like I'd be thinking

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/92/Sinners_in_the_Hands_of_an_Angry_God_by_Jonathan_Edwards_1741.jpg

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

but pence doesn't have it yet, right?

or do the circles just mean who the biggest assholes are, and some of them happened to get coronavirus

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

The vice president is seated next to a whole bunch of people who have tested positive and although he's tested negative, he's a long ways from being out of the incubation period. Not sure that they should be doing the VP debate in person next week. pic.twitter.com/0Ac8cetvSm

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 3, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

Going welI, I think! Thank you to all. LOVE!!!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 3, 2020

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:38 (five years ago)

I think

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

yeah hes questioned his own judgement as to whether its going well in both communications so far

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

that's a staffer tweet if I ever saw one

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

he said almost exactly the same thing in the video

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:41 (five years ago)

The funniest possible outcome is the right-wing dealing with three months of President Pelosi.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:41 (five years ago)

An update from President ⁦@realDonaldTrump⁩’s physician: pic.twitter.com/8xzB8FShkd

— Kayleigh McEnany (@PressSec) October 3, 2020



They’re just throwing every treatment at him now

(•̪●) (carne asada), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:42 (five years ago)

If Trump and Pence both wound up in comas but not dead, would Pelosi withdraw Barrett’s nomination?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:43 (five years ago)

they shd try that thing they did with james garfield where they shoved food up his ass until he died

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:45 (five years ago)

he said almost exactly the same thing in the video

you know, maybe

I have the feeling we might hear Donald say some weird shit (for him at least) these next 2 weeks. he may have Coronabrain right now

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:45 (five years ago)

I’m assuming he went to hospital now because it’s better walking to the helicopter than being moved on a gurney later. (He may or may not get to that stage)

American Fear of Scampos (Ed), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:46 (five years ago)

yeah they said as much in the post article

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

Leeches for m'man Donnke

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

lol, just left the typo because fuck him

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

NEW: Trump’s 2020 campaign manager Bill Stepien has tested positive for Covid-19.

One month from Election Day, the president, the chair of the RNC and the head of Trump’s campaign are all hobbled to varying degrees by the coronavirus. https://t.co/OLE5mYtzJB

— Sudeep Reddy (@Reddy) October 3, 2020

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:48 (five years ago)

Going welI, I think! Thank you to all. LOVE!!!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 3, 2020

wait a second

Going welI, I think! Thank you to all. LOVE!!!
Going welI
welI

lol ok it's him and he's on morphine

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:48 (five years ago)

you got an Atari for Christmas in 87??

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, October 2, 2020 10:21 PM bookmarkflaglink

Yea, it was "under $50" as they had just redesigned the 2600 and released the new 7800. Pretty obsolete but i knew no better!

Then my brother got a Nintendo the next year which was fuckin' unfair.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:48 (five years ago)

oh you can't see it here

welI is spelled with an l and and uppercase i

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:49 (five years ago)

fuck lmao

NEW: Trump’s 2020 campaign manager Bill Stepien has tested positive for Covid-19.

One month from Election Day, the president, the chair of the RNC and the head of Trump’s campaign are all hobbled to varying degrees by the coronavirus. https://t.co/OLE5mYtzJB

— Sudeep Reddy (@Reddy) October 3, 2020

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:49 (five years ago)

The fun is back oh can’t you see it’s the 2600 from A TAR RI

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

Yeeeesssss

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

It’s under 50 bux (50 BUXXX!?) well isn’t that nice

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

hey didn't Trumps brother die in a Covid ward a few months ago

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:53 (five years ago)

Does it make me a ghoul that I start whistling 'Celebration' every time another Trump-adjacent POS tests positive?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:54 (five years ago)

has this become a conspiracy yet: the democrats sent in an "agent" to spread it among the key people in the trump campaign - campaign manager, RNC chair, and trump himself. first, ignore the fact that the following plan would be foil by any of the targets just wearing a mask, like most the rest of us have been doing since march. then, imagine that the democrats did it to them

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:59 (five years ago)

i will not rest until pence has it

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 03:59 (five years ago)

YOU ACTIVELY ABET A REGIME THAT HAS FACILITATED THOUSANDS OF NEEDLESS INFECTIONS AND DEATHS FROM THE ILLNESS THAT HAS NOW TAKEN ROOST IN YOUR BODY. IRONING DOES NOT GET MORE DELICIOUS THAN THIS, YOU VENAL FUCKS.

Ceeeeelebrate good times, come on!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:00 (five years ago)

IRONING DOES NOT GET MORE DELICIOUS THAN THIS

lol OL

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:01 (five years ago)

"Going welI, I think! Thank you to all. LOVE!!!"

does twitter do memorial profiles like facebook? that would be a great last tweet.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:01 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iaR3WO71j4

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

https://t.co/M3TA6jE9EJ pic.twitter.com/77OakUAJyO

— no cops in libraries (@megan_e_riley) October 3, 2020

hahahahahah

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7er_xx7Wmg8

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:03 (five years ago)

imagine a last-minute conversion of trump to peace and love
it's easy if you try

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:04 (five years ago)

well you know what...ok I FORGIVE HIM, WE LOVE YOU TOO TRUMP!!!! <3

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

Trump adviser said there is reason for concern about Trump's health tonight. "This is serious," the source said. The source went on to describe Trump as very tired, very fatigued, and having some trouble breathing. WH officials continue to say Trump will be fine.

— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) October 2, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:06 (five years ago)

how high do you have to be to type an upper case I instead of a lower case l. pretty high!

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:06 (five years ago)

Cal Cunningham caught sexting with a campaign strategist. He's presently up over Thom Tillis by 13 or so points, but I don't know if this is something that would sink him in North Carolina or not. They seem a little less pearl-clutchy than other parts of the south, but are they?

Johnny Fever, Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:07 (five years ago)

"Sexting" used loosely. They were flirting like nerds.

Johnny Fever, Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:10 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-bmJ2AYZK4

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article246191610.html

what a dum-dum

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

saw someone point out: this may be the best day in human history for that news to break

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:12 (five years ago)

WH debate prep room so far with Covid-19:

President Trump: Positive
Kellyanne Conway: Positive
Bill Stepien: Positive
Hope Hicks: Positive
Chris Christie (tbd)
Rudy Giuliani (tbd)
Jason Miller (tbd)
Stephen Miller (tbd)

— Dana Bash (@DanaBashCNN) October 3, 2020

hit after hit

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:13 (five years ago)

I've changed my mind. Trump dying would be more than funny enough to justify the chaos. Bring it on ASAP, inshallah.

the typo doer (Simon H.), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

i don't believe giuliani hasn't already had it several times already though. he looks like he licks doorknobs.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RlP_9HRi78Q

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:19 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=59RwZFbh1QI

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:23 (five years ago)

has this become a conspiracy yet: the democrats sent in an "agent" to spread it among the key people in the trump campaign

I’m just going to say what we’re all thinking.

Trump was fine until the debate, where they set up microphones & podiums for him.

Incubation period is usually 2-3 days.

He tests positive a couple of days after the debate.

I put nothing past the left. NOTHING.#TrumpHasCOVID

— DeAnna Lorraine 🇺🇸 (@DeAnna4Congress) October 2, 2020

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:36 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-EF60neguk

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:38 (five years ago)

The line between insultingly disingenuous and deeply stupid is sometimes hard to discern.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:43 (five years ago)

Why would Biden delay or suspend his campaign when we know Trump would’ve had ads up by noon today ridiculing Biden for testing positive?

Get it together.

— Ilhan Omar (@IlhanMN) October 3, 2020

makes a good point

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:53 (five years ago)

dude mocked Hillary for getting pneumonia and Romney for getting COVID, who needs to give this motherfucker any respect at all

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:54 (five years ago)

this discrepancy is because Omar is a scrapper who actually savors a fight with her evil foes and Biden is a wimp who respects the GOP

the typo doer (Simon H.), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:56 (five years ago)

Biden is well ahead, so why would he fuck around telling people that there is a blinding light shining in their eyes? Only blind people can miss it.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 3 October 2020 04:57 (five years ago)

listen I was thinking about it today and I really am glad this happened. anyone like Maddow or Obama who says shit like "wishing him a speedy recovery" is either doing it performatively or puts appearances above the good of the people. Biden gets a pass because he is running for President and therefore the ONLY thing between us and 4 more years of this bullshit (fuck Biden though for real). if he would not have gotten COVID then he would have travelled to Wisconsin and gotten god knows how many more people infected due to his dumbass Nazi rallies. people in my state would have died, like the guy who worked at the meat department at my local Festival Foods, who got COVID and died, seriously one of the most friendly people I have ever met, how many other guys that work in the meat department ask you how things are going when your wife is pregnant and remembers the names of your kids??? Well, he's dead and there's like an 80% chance it's Donald Trumps fault. fuck you, nobody deserves this sit more than you. like if a dude who spend his entire life poking tigers in the eyeballs was suddenly eaten by one. fuck yeah lmao

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:02 (five years ago)

yes I AM celebrating this a little bit tonight

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:02 (five years ago)

Biden going poz-only is smart, I can't imagine anyone in his camp is seriously talking about suspending campaigning.

Probably running polling on how best to deal with President Pence tho.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:03 (five years ago)

The main problem with Pence is that he is such a non-entity that it may be possible to quickly project an image onto him, like he was a blank white movie screen and make people like him just long enough to snag back some traditional older republicans who were sick of Trump.

Best way to counter that would be to remind everyone that Trump put Pence in charge of COVID-19 response at the very beginning and he was never officially removed from that responsibility. Just pin that tail on that ass - with a vengeance.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:09 (five years ago)

Ironically, Trump definitely dumped that job on Pence so he could be a political heat shield and a scapegoat if things got out of hand.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:14 (five years ago)

Like I said, everything about this is amazing

The fact that he’s not even on the one drug he promoted so heavily that it became the de facto “Trump drug” is also quite funny

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:32 (five years ago)

No amount of projecting will make Pence a Trump replacement, his only constituency is the anti-abortionists and maybe the "oh well, at least he's a republican" faction. People like Trump because he's Trump, and Pence can't come close to being that.

nickn, Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:57 (five years ago)

The election is already underway. People are already voting. It doesn’t matter.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 05:59 (five years ago)

I'm not saying it matters, I'm just saying the spec ops team for Biden 2020 is working quietly in a Zoom meeting spitballing about Pence tonight on the off chance Trump eats it overnight.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 06:21 (five years ago)

"How can we creep people out about him calling his wife 'mommy' without making it too obvious that's what we're doing?"

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 06:22 (five years ago)

https://public.tableau.com/profile/peter.james.walker#!/vizhome/COVID-19attheWhiteHouse-ContactTracking/OverviewDash

American Fear of Scampos (Ed), Saturday, 3 October 2020 06:24 (five years ago)

Hoping that he's in ICU by election day, so the MAGAs will worry they might be actually voting for Pence, and the mainstream Republicans will worry their could-it-be-Pence vote might end up being a Trump vote if he recovers, and none of them vote at all. Not that I'm even in the US so don't especially have a horse in this race, but you know what they say about America sneezing.

your response will be deleted unread (Matt #2), Saturday, 3 October 2020 09:22 (five years ago)

lol rough

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EjXjBvPXcAEHU9m?format=jpg&name=900x900

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 11:14 (five years ago)

i don't believe giuliani hasn't already had it several times already though. he looks like he licks doorknobs.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, October 2, 2020 11:15 PM (six hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Rudy Giuliani Tests Positive For Slew Of Obscure Bat Diseases Unrelated To Covid-19 https://t.co/U4mzP9Mzko pic.twitter.com/qbezLwl7wg

— The Onion (@TheOnion) October 2, 2020

i got a homogenic björk wine farmer permabanned (voodoo chili), Saturday, 3 October 2020 11:17 (five years ago)

just so i've got this straight, according to trump he's doing pretty good

got it

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 3 October 2020 11:47 (five years ago)

Biden should not take his foot off the gas for long. As it was noted somewhere, the ad writes itself: how can Trump claim to have protected the country when he couldn't even protect himself?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 12:46 (five years ago)

Couldn't happen to a nicer guy more worthless piece of shit:

🚨🚨BREAKING … SEN. RON JOHNSON has Covid. 3rd Senate Republican to test positive

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 3, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:02 (five years ago)

maybe he got it from the Russians.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

Huh? Ron Johnson was supposedly self quarantining from September 15-29

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:09 (five years ago)

He got it *after* that! What a dummy.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:09 (five years ago)

omg so goooooood

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:12 (five years ago)

this discrepancy is because Omar is a scrapper who actually savors a fight with her evil foes and Biden is a wimp who respects the GOP

― the typo doer (Simon H.), Saturday, October 3, 2020 12:56 AM bookmarkflaglink

Can y'all literally not see the diff between a HOUSE OF REPS candidate being willing to throw arms, when you only have to win your district's vote, so you can piss the nation off but still win. Worst that happens is Ds lose one seat and probably keep the House.

Ffs, look at all of the pearl-clutching on the internet yesterday when people cheered on his death. Why would Biden say something that maybe destroys his lead?

Esp when they want to win decisively to avoid election disputes.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:46 (five years ago)

now taht the lord and master has it won't all the minions want it to prove loyalty and authenticity and fun things like that

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

It’s not about winning, man, it’s about pwning.

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

Xpost Lol they all get it in solidarity.

#HeavensGate2020

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Xpost pwning to the oldies

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Can y'all literally not see the diff between a HOUSE OF REPS candidate being willing to throw arms, when you only have to win your district's vote, so you can piss the nation off but still win. Worst that happens is Ds lose one seat and probably keep the House.

hear me out: two things can be true

the typo doer (Simon H.), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:52 (five years ago)

Ilhan Omar is a House whip. Dems need outriders on the leftmost side of the party to keep in with left voters when the party is led by centrists.

santa clause four (suzy), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:55 (five years ago)

Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien tests positive for COVID-19 https://t.co/1VNGbCuNy5 pic.twitter.com/rDRaUfvAIl

— The Hill (@thehill) October 3, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

nice

the typo doer (Simon H.), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:00 (five years ago)

Hahahahahaha fuck you Ron Johnson

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

My takeaway is that the rona is neither good nor bad, it’s what you make of it that matters.

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

I’m in the camp of I’d really like for Trump to live long enough to suffer a historical (by modern standards) popular and electoral defeat. Any legal ramifications afterwards would be gravy.

Now for any GOP senators who’d be voting in favor of ACB and managed to get infected, well...

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

John Harwood reporting on Twitter that one of the Scotts in the Senate is infected too. Tim or Rick, of course.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

I’m in the camp of I’d really like for Trump to live long enough to suffer a historical (by modern standards) popular and electoral defeat. Any legal ramifications afterwards would be gravy.


I was too but if this goes on past a couple of days (which obv it will) you get past the point where it would be the proper humiliation he deserves. Too easy to say “would have won if I’d be able to campaign properly” and go on about how unfair the China virus was to him

stet, Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

Rick Scott says he has tested positive in interview on Fox News.

“I was tested yesterday I think for the 6th time and I tested positive again,” the Senator told Fox News Saturday morning.

— Lauren Fox (@FoxReports) October 3, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:48 (five years ago)

4 down
48 to go?

There's more Italy than necessary. (in orbit), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

Only two more to fuck the majority, right?

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

Can y'all literally not see the diff between a HOUSE OF REPS candidate being willing to throw arms, when you only have to win your district's vote, so you can piss the nation off but still win. Worst that happens is Ds lose one seat and probably keep the House.

Ffs, look at all of the pearl-clutching on the internet yesterday when people cheered on his death. Why would Biden say something that maybe destroys his lead?

Esp when they want to win decisively to avoid election disputes.

― LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, October 3, 2020 9:46 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

looks like weve got a bad case of dem brain on our hands

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

xp why stop there though

There's more Italy than necessary. (in orbit), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

Rick Scott claims he misspoke and is actually negative.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

Per @mkraju Sen. Rick Scott is NEGATIVE for COVID-19. He misspoke in an interview this morning, per his office.

— Abby D. Phillip (@abbydphillip) October 3, 2020

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

remember the tax returns? that was this week

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 3 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

Rick Scott may be even more evil than Trump.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

remember melania gimme a breakin kids in cages, no one does cause trump got covid like an hour later and they reported it as her not caring about christmas, anyway that was a couple days ago

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

positively negative

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

batboy got the Wuhan flu eh snap

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

looks like weve got a bad case of dem brain on our hands

― lag∞n, Saturday, October 3, 2020 10:54 AM bookmarkflaglink

Stfu joe

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

is this all a ruse to distract fro the tax returns.
I mean couldn't he take it all the way he's got so much to cover up.
Pretend to be dead for the next few years or soemthing.
we're rooting for that part of teh scam.

Or not cos it would mean he didn't go to jail but if he had to live out of the limelight would it be enough of a punishment for him?
Or does it depend on how society feels about what it takes to redress the balance.

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

we covered this already, he's really sick

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

being dead for the next 10 years for tax purposes?

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

Yea I'm sure Trump can just disappear into society, he has such generic features

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

well do know how much he ought to suffer, see how the other half has been forced to live. By him, like.

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

Well, well, and this isbefore COVID:

By overwhelming margins, voters in Pennsylvania and Florida were repelled by President Trump’s conduct in the first general election debate, according to New York Times/Siena College surveys, as Joseph R. Biden Jr. maintained a lead in the two largest battleground states.

Over all, Mr. Biden led by seven percentage points, 49 percent to 42 percent, among likely voters in Pennsylvania. He led by a similar margin, 47-42, among likely voters in Florida.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

"“I was tested yesterday I think for the 6th time and I tested positive again"

he's one of those people who thinks that a positive is always a good thing, got it

he's a senator from florida

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

Does anyone else find it odd that no prominent Democrats have had the virus but the list of Republicans goes on and on?

— DeAnna Lorraine 🇺🇸 (@DeAnna4Congress) October 2, 2020

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

stevolende:

If you’re feeling like you’re crazy because you can’t figure out if this news is real or a ploy, it’s because we’ve been gaslit by this administration for 4 years. There’s nothing wrong with your judgment and reasoning skills. This is a result of abuse. #ThanksTherapy

— Jill Krause (@babyrabies) October 2, 2020

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

Ha yes, that's fair

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

YES

I just received word that I am positive for COVID-19. I want to thank all of my friends and colleagues who have reached out to ask how I was feeling in the last day or two. I will be receiving medical attention today and will keep the necessary folks apprised of my condition.

— Governor Christie (@GovChristie) October 3, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

You won't be happy unless Ron gets it somehow.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

what a delight!

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

xxp this day just keeps getting better and it's only 8:43 AM!

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

These stupid motherfuckers. Christie was commentating live in studio on ABC the night of the debate.

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

and he already looked spooked yesterday morning on GMA.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

Talk about comorbidities.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

Like as a former fat person, I am very aware of not being a fatphobic asshole, but Christie looks like Violet Beauregarde when she chewed the special gum. But that's just the way he looks!

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

well I can't really put anything past t at any time.
has no sense of shame, though dunno if he would understand the concept of empathy which this being a ruse would rely on.
JUst thinking it would be hypothetically pretty 'kin great if he disappeared right now.
Hope taht wouldn't effect the way people vote to the negative.
Having a piece of malfeasance quite that putrid in a position of power is disturbing the rest of teh world.
Haven't heard anything about McConnell getting what he deserves either which is a shame, hope that's coming soon.

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/mWKNTF8.png

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

Man, we sure these mf-ers weren't dripping all over one another at some GOP orgy or something? Gives 'superspreader' a whole new meaning.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

In the doctor press conference just now, Trump’s medical team said he’s been getting treatment since his diagnosis 72 hours ago

EVERYONE OUT YOUR MATH PANTS ON

shout-out to his family (DJP), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

what was the story on Chris Wray being Christie's sidekick during bridgegate.
I heard somebody extolling his goodness on some podcast over the last couple of days.
Hope there isn't a different true colour waiting to show

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

get well soon governor, hope all the bridges are open en route to your medical attention https://t.co/FVqB0eZXn4

— kilgore trout, acting president (@KT_So_It_Goes) October 3, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

I'm telling you, these assholes will all recover, then say, see, nbd, and not only that we are all now likely immune, unlike those vulnerable Democrats ...

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

can we not

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

not what?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

do that kind of pessimistic speculation

focus on the Senate not being able to meet until after the election

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

josh is q

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

Wait, is it now being reported that Trump knew about his diagnosis earlier than they revealed, and still attended mask-free ceremonies?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

I mean tbf if there’s anything I’ve taken away from this century is that bad ppl are virtually indestructible

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

JUST IN: A source familiar with the president's condition tells reporters:

“The president’s vitals over the last 24 hours were very concerning and the next 48 hours will be critical in terms of his care. We’re still not on a clear path to a full recovery.”

— Steven Portnoy (@stevenportnoy) October 3, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

xp for fuck's sake y'all. this is a glorious moment, just enjoy it.

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

THANK YOU

1000 Scampo DJs (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

"Guys, Mussolini is a monster, but we must remember he is a human being..."

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

not bullet proof?

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:18 (five years ago)

MATH PANTS ON

I guess the appropriate Nixon reference is "What did the President breathe, and when did he breathe it?"

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

place Hands To Heaven video here

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

Might be time for the Biden camp to rethink pulling those negative ads. https://t.co/CxdyXJAFfr

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 3, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

How are mainstream repubs spinning early Xmas so far? I haven’t kept up today.

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:27 (five years ago)

by "mainstream" do you mean "those without covid"? because that number is shrinking.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

Who will Pence pick as lame duck VP? My guess is Hayley but only if she can spin it as a way to elevate her profile and not as the terminal, apex of her political career

akm, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

Ivanka

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

(not least because they could still use all the Trump/Pence merch but just turn it upside-down)

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

One point in favour of an early checkout for trump is it would be disastrous for Republican turnout in senate elections.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

Ok, so if he has known he's been positive since at least Wednesday morning, that means they went days without notifying the Biden campaign, or anyone else, not least that New Jersey fundraiser, that they were potentially exposed.

Fuck these dangerous and incompetent ghouls.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

or was that just more timeline confusion because these assholes lie about everything and can't be trusted?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

From ye Post:

Maryland Republican Party tells supporters to go to Walter Reed to ‘stand with the president’

Yes. Stand really, really close.

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

Doesn't Biden have a Secret Service detail? Didn't they inform his campaign of the president's status?

lol

All cars are bad (Euler), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:44 (five years ago)

xpost they should all lay hands on him.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:44 (five years ago)

I understand Biden needs to be respectful right now but he needs to hit this shit hard if/when he recovers

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

Yes, Christie!

Biden can stand down for the weekend, it will be fine.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Saturday, 3 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

the thing thats worth considering is that biden, dem establishment, tv news et al really believe this sanctimonious loser bullshit, not that theyre exactly sincere but they believe that this is how you perform politics and its the winning and good poltics, and tbf it has won for them theyre all powerful and wealthy, it just loses for the rest of us

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

strong rushing the country into war with iraq vibes

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

BETHESDA, Md. (AP) — AP source: President Trump was administered supplemental oxygen at the White House on Friday before going to hospital.

— Julie Pace (@jpaceDC) October 3, 2020

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

Curious as to what sensible alternative there would be to “Wish you a speedy recovery!” from the dems right now? “Lol suck it!”?

circa1916, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

That video he posted before leaving for the hospital was totally a deepfake wasn’t it?

DJI, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

Maybe shot a bit earlier before condition degraded?

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

Curious as to what sensible alternative there would be to “Wish you a speedy recovery!” from the dems right now? “Lol suck it!”?

― circa1916, Saturday, October 3, 2020 1:08 PM (six seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

trump got the virus by being completely cavalier and callous which is the same way he killed 200k people which are also his prime personality traits its the most obvious thing in the world

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

hes not fit to lead

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

i mean if the want to have a lil prayer weekend fine but the dems better start asking questions soon or theyre just going to be doing trumps campaigning for him

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:15 (five years ago)

OK dude

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

alright

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

Yeah, you’re not saying anything any of us disagree with, but I’m just not clear on what kinda road you think dems should be taking here other than the half-sincere “tactful” one they’re taking now?

circa1916, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

Dems should offer polite condolences for his disease and hammer him on everything else. Just stay on message.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

Well maybe “what did he know and when did he know it this week?” Might be worth getting into just spitballin

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

Oh yes

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

I fully understand their hands are kinda tied here but it’s not like Trump contracted some rare blood cancer, it’s a disease he’s taken every measure to spread to as many people as possible, and I think the Dems need to push the whole “you dishonest assholes knowingly put our candidate at risk” angle

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

I don’t think it matters a ton what the democrats do btw. Purely in terms of short term electoral politics the smart move is probably not to interrupt him.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

If he knew he was positive before the bedminister event, that is a major scandal.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

Yeah, one in a million major scandals. I’m not sure anyone cares anymore.

circa1916, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

I don’t think it matters a ton what the democrats do btw. Purely in terms of short term electoral politics the smart move is probably not to interrupt him.


Sayin. GOP doling out a lot of rope for themselves right now.

circa1916, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

I think people would care that he is knowingly spreading the virus. All of us have overturned our lives to prevent the spread. People have given up everything.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

Also talking about covid is implicitly extremely damaging to all republicans so by all means do that

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

Jobs. Businesses. Time with loved ones.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

caek otm on all counts

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

I think people would care that he is knowingly spreading the virus. All of us have overturned our lives to prevent the spread. People have given up everything.


True I feel like there’s a good advert of voters saying they missed weddings and funerals and births and stuff and then cut to that rose garden party.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

I don’t think it matters a ton what the democrats do btw. Purely in terms of short term electoral politics the smart move is probably not to interrupt him.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, October 3, 2020 1:26 PM (three seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

trump is def in to say the least a very tough spot in many ways but it would be dangerous if everyone is just all pray for the president come together as a nation, someones at the very least gotta be asking questions about when he was diagnosed, why they werent wearing masks at any events, and it wldnt be bad to point out that the trumps shitty behavior has not only got himself sick but killed 200k americans, im not saying biden himself should be jumping on this but the dems have to keep campaigning

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

^^ this too

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

Totally. There is no need for performative/sincere thoughts and prayers stuff. Xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

I think what the gop has done is so bad that thoughts and prayers would almost be damaging to the democrats with so many people who’ve sacrificed so much. If you can’t say anything mean don’t say anything at all.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

Third GOP senator, Sen. Ron Johnson tests positive.

RBG may have obtained her final wish.

Sanpaku, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

Gloves off in senate races of course.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

Seriously, the virus *which he has* underscores his incompetence, so they should emphasize that at every juncture. "We pray for him to get better, but this was possibly avoidable. Millions of people are catching this, many of them are dying, and there are very simple steps anyone, including the White House, can take to reduce the risk."

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:37 (five years ago)

Drop the first eight words

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

Show things like this

I’ve seen enough Republican senators test positive to tweet this photo. @SenatorWicker — because you refused to wear a mask on our @Delta flight last night, please let your fellow passengers know your status once you’ve been tested. pic.twitter.com/j2TW6g1gwO

— Matt Harringer (@MattHarringer) October 3, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

Conversations w Republicans close to WH over last 12 hours indicate it’s been far more dire than WH has said. Before being taken to Walter Reed, Trump kept asking aides, “Am I going out like Stan Chera? Am I?” (Chera was Trump’s NYC friend who died of Covid in April)

— Gabriel Sherman (@gabrielsherman) October 3, 2020

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

"Never interrupt your enemy while he's in the process of dying of covid"

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

hahahahha fucking bitch

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

Yeah, agree with all that. This shit is JUST settling in though, coming out of the gate with “thoughts and prayers” isn’t ridiculous.

circa1916, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

Haha that rules but Gabriel Sherman has published a lot of bullshit

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

yeah, shame these fuckers. all this stuff none of us can do, weddings, funerals, graduations, and they don't do shit and put others at risk.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

lol Win one for Stan Chera, rip.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

Out of respect for Donald Trump and everything he stood for, it is important that we respond to this news with a total lack of empathy #TrumpHasCovid

— The Shovel (@TheShovel) October 3, 2020

Sanpaku, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

RBG died on Rosh Hashanah
The Tax story (NYT) broke on Yom Kippur
Major COVID superspreader event for R’s confirmed on Sukkot

Simchat Torah is next weekend

You’ve been warned

— Scary Parcak 👻🎃 (@indyfromspace) October 3, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

Doctors, Nurses and ALL at the GREAT Walter Reed Medical Center, and others from likewise incredible institutions who have joined them, are AMAZING!!!Tremendous progress has been made over the last 6 months in fighting this PLAGUE. With their help, I am feeling well!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 3, 2020

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NiloWOFuY08

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

OUR GREAT USA WANTS & NEEDS STIMULUS. WORK TOGETHER AND GET IT DONE. Thank you!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 3, 2020

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

The absolute fucking BEST these people deserve to be treated is the same way Trump treated Hillary when she got pneumonia

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

Trump has the plague?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

just occurred to me that RBG’s last words may have actually been a curse pic.twitter.com/dcF7tQ0E8s

— Jules Suzdaltsev (@jules_su) October 3, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

Bubonic Donnie.

pomenitul, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

RBG as Old Testament prophet raining curses down on apostates otm

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

the oxygen makes sense. you’ve all read about the bizarre way that covid patients can get dangerously low blood oxygen levels that would normally indicate imminent collapse and just be chatting and instagramming normally. until the moment they need a ventilator. so it’s not necessarily incongrous that trump was walkin, talkin, etc - and that he was being rushed to the hospital.

as far as messaging goes, i feel like even if you’re a mega-maga, or ESPECIALLY then, isn’t getting covid so cavalierly just consummate stupidity? if the greatest guy is trump, then why take trump out of the equation? or from the other direction, kind of a “you may not respect yourself or others, but please respect the office mr president”

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:51 (five years ago)

Aggregate timeline:

This looks bad. pic.twitter.com/5Ewb3oLa11

— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) October 3, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:55 (five years ago)

I guess the Dems do have to be careful not to imply that Trump and pals “deserve” Covid cuz 7 million people have been infected and certainly a lot of them got it through no fault of their own. And the people I know who have gotten it, even as a direct result of their own carelessness, you do still feel bad for them. The message needs to tie into the fact that other than patient zero he’s the one guy more responsible than anyone on the planet for the spread of this disease.

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

Lack of empathy was the platform from Him on down the GOP line. They are now on the defense. The Trump Virus is no longer figurative but literal. Hammering away and performative condolences don’t have to be mutually exclusive. His inability to tweet and deflect/project at the moment is a once in 4 years opportunity so it shouldn’t be squandered. The bonus here is that his malignant narcissism will make him implode at his inability to counterattack and that will in turn hamper his immune response and ability to get better. Now is the time to break the vicious cycle of dems forever bringing knives to gunfights.

vmajestic, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

There’s a lot of confusion about the diagnosis time, since acknowledged by the person who posted that timeline xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

Which is not to say the confusion will not be resolved by confirmation that timeline is correct

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

I'm just listening to Pods Save America from yesterday so I know they at least are asking similar questions as to the why and teh when.
I think other podcasts are doing the same so there will be audiences for them at least doing that.
I think Opening Arguments was saying something similar yesterday.
NOt sure if taht is all the same demographic and possibly preaching to the choir since they would possibly already be asking similar questions. Hope the rest of the country is thinking some of taht,

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

Hammering away and performative condolences don’t have to be mutually exclusive.

otm

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:01 (five years ago)

I think much like sticking Arlington cemetery right outside Rober E lee's door to remind him of what he was responsible for, the Virus should carry trump's name to remind him.
Or is that too much of a legacy for him. & what he really deserves is an unmarked grave?

Stevolende, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

Even if trump really wasn’t diagnosed until thursday night, he still had the bedminster event after hicks had tested positive and gone into quarantine. So that is itself extremely negligent as he had been exposed to her on air force one.

However, it is very hard to understand why Trump wasn’t tested until Thursday night. Why wouldn’t he be tested as soon as Hicks got a positive test back?

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

Bored with the Trump storyline now, I want more Senators to enter in the second act.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

The way news cycles work, Dems have to realize the first 48 hours of a situation like this will be consumed with piety; they'll be lucky to get even one complaint in. And from what I've seen of cable media the last 24 hours suggests Blitzer, MSNBC, et. al have ho patience with Trump's bullshit anymore. The exposure of members of the WH press pool might have something to do with it. But reporters aren't the voters Biden-Harris want to reach.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

And the people I know who have gotten it, even as a direct result of their own carelessness, you do still feel bad for them.

Of course. But Trump was carelessly exposing others, seemingly.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

Ooh, are we one day going to get a covid memorial on the national lawn?! I bet we do!

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

New from Trump’s physician pic.twitter.com/jxaCIN18Lk

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 3, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

There will be a covid memorial in the U.S. someday. There have already been proposals in italy.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

Right treesh. That’s what you gotta go after. If a reporter or one of Biden’s debate guests gets it you gotta hammer them nonstop on it.

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

it is very hard to understand why Trump wasn’t tested until Thursday night. Why wouldn’t he be tested as soon as Hicks got a positive test back?

Reports are that he tested positive midday on Wed. Much worse.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Maybe this timeline is true. But it still seems odd he wasn’t tested as soon as it was known he was exposed. No matter how you slice it, the bedminster event is inexcusable.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

xpost with Alfred

The Democrats don't have to do any messaging on this; the media - meaning the White House press corps - is doing it all on their behalf. Nobody except Fox and OANN is accepting team Trump's word on anything; they're all doing calendar math and shouting "WTF?" Probably at least in part because they know these motherfuckers have placed their (the reporters') lives in danger with their recklessness and lies. The Biden campaign should stick to a 100% "what I'll do when I'm president" message/ad campaign, and let Trump a) sink and b) drag the whole fucking Republican party down with him, preferably into the grave.

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

Yeah hadrian that’s what i am saying. I think he was diagnosed wednesday. But even if he wasn’t, his behavior is inexcusable given other relevant facts.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

lol what else is new?

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

New from Trump’s physician... who is also a naval officer subject to the orders of the commander in chief.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

Yeah, lot of confusion and misstatements coming from physicians, who are generally not known for confusion and misstatements. in service of an administration notorious for sewing confusion by way of misstatements.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:14 (five years ago)

The fact that he wouldn’t take a test before the debate must be questioned now too. Why didn’t he?

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:14 (five years ago)

Q: will we actually see any R blowback when one their infected actually croaks from Trump-traceable Covid?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:15 (five years ago)

nope. they've overlooked 208,000 deaths. what's one or two more?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

I think it’s very possible he was already positive then. That would square better with the way his symptoms have developed.

According to the official account, he had severe symptoms almost immediately after testing positive. Since this virus has a long incubation period—2 to 5 days usually, but up to 14–he was likely infected far before then. And theoretically he is getting tested often.

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

Just a quick reminder:

Stories you’ve forgotten about from this week:

* Brad Parscale taken into custody, under investigation for $25M+ theft from the campaign

* Trump paid just $750 in taxes (!)

* Fox paid $4M to settle accusations of sexual harassment by Don Jr.’s girlfriend’s

* Melania’s tapes

— Garrett M. Graff (@vermontgmg) October 3, 2020

And, of course:

* The debate performance, where Trump couldn’t bring himself to condemn white supremacy

— Garrett M. Graff (@vermontgmg) October 3, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:18 (five years ago)

MacIntire, FDR's doctor in the final days, was also a Navy man.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:18 (five years ago)

Per AP: "Trump’s chief of staff, Mark Meadows, said the president went through a 'very concerning' period Friday and the next 48 hours will be critical in terms of his care." https://t.co/Pw0WvmPltp

— Seung Min Kim (@seungminkim) October 3, 2020



This statement was originally off the record but meadows keeps fucking up going off the record by doing it live on camera etc.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

"Two monoclonal antibodies don't make one polyclonal antibody, Doc"

NEW: Regeneron spox Hala Mirza tells @CBSNews's @amybirn that it's incorrect to call what the President has received "polyclonal antibodies."

“It is two monoclonal antibodies. It was incorrect in the physician’s letter.” https://t.co/rYtEQlWQNm

— Sara Cook (@saraecook) October 3, 2020

Alba, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

They also spelled regeneron wrong on that release

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

Oh no, he’s tweeting again

curmudgeon, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

xp also failed to capitalize several words and left out numerous exclamation marks

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

SEAN P. CONLEY DO FUCUP

the burrito that defined a generation, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:34 (five years ago)

regeneron sounds like the kind of thing x-men or avengers would be fighting bad guys for

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

Someone dressed as the Hulk destroyed Trump's star on the Walk of Fame with a pickaxe. The hero America needed in this fragile moment imo.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

Or someone for him. 1 about stimulus checks and 1 thanking frontline hospital workers

curmudgeon, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

More like coDONALDvirus, amirite?

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

it is very hard to understand why Trump wasn’t tested until Thursday night. Why wouldn’t he be tested as soon as Hicks got a positive test back?

Reports are that he tested positive midday on Wed. Much worse.

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, October 3, 2020

nope, not any more. now, according to Conley, he was tested Thursday night, and he just misspoke earlier. sounds like a pro!

we have always been at war with eastasia!

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

White House incompetence on full display for the world to see!
On Monday, the entire city of DC had only 14 new cases of COVID.
Trump WH alone is now responsible for 23 new cases & rising. They had every privilege available to them to limit the spread of the virus & they blew it. pic.twitter.com/cFjPggBppW

— Rula Jebreal (@rulajebreal) October 3, 2020

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:49 (five years ago)

🚨 NEW TONE ALERT 🚨

An MSNBC anchor just said President Trump, who days ago instructed white supremacists to disrupt polling places and mocked people for wearing masks, now has a "gentler tone" and his tweet was "heartfelt"!!!

I cannot believe this is happening before our eyes pic.twitter.com/pXc6PYuMXz

— Matt Negrin, HOST OF HARDBALL AT 7PM ON MSNBC (@MattNegrin) October 3, 2020

MSNBC really needs to improve their B-team.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

Q: will we actually see any R blowback when one their infected actually croaks from Trump-traceable Covid?

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, October 3, 2020 1:15 PM (thirty-five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Has anyone on their side said a damn word about Herman Cain

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

lol milo

treeship., Saturday, 3 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

from what I've seen of cable media the last 24 hours suggests Blitzer, MSNBC, et. al have ho patience with Trump's bullshit anymore.

Incubation period for DJT'S bullshit: 40 years

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 3 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

But he's the preznit. Like Van Jones, they wait for the moment he's newly baptized.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 3 October 2020 19:13 (five years ago)

I think much like sticking Arlington cemetery right outside Rober E lee's door to remind him of what he was responsible for, the Virus should carry trump's name to remind him.

the Cummings virus

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Saturday, 3 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

MSNBC can fuck right off with that shit.

Boots Riley needs to start his own network

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 3 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

a fun wrinkle in all this: when Trump emerges he either has to decide to start wearing masks or keep going without, and either choice is politically catastrophic for him

— Owen Ellickson (@onlxn) October 3, 2020

Pretty much my thought and a good part of why this is so fucking hilarious

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

He's obviously going to go no mask, believe he's immune, saying the virus is still a hoax etc etc

Nhex, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

Btw can I just mention that for the first time since Election Day 2016 it feels like we’re off the hellworld timeline, even if only for a moment. We all knew how Russiagate, Kavanaugh, and impeachment would end. It was never in doubt. But there ain’t shit they can do to protect him from from this. He will, for once in his goddamn life, have to face the direct consequences of his own actions. There’s no fucking “both sides”ing any of this. It’s a disaster any way you look at it.

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

xp come on he’s not gonna be able to escape the fact that the entire nation just saw him get fucking airlifted to the hospital

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

I kind of feel the same way. Like, finally.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

he may not be out of the woods for awhile.

i had covid, it was extremely not fun, and i was feeling the brunt of the effect for about 9 days. my wife had it for 11. neither of us had low blood oxygen. neither of us went to the hospital. we were feeling basically better after about 2 weeks.

trump is already in the hospital. it looks like his blood oxygen is low. he's fat and in his 70s. i think it's going to hit him very hard. i'd be surprised if he's able to do any public appearances at all between now and the election tbh.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

The fact that he is not tweeting non-stop, despite being locked in place, lying down with nothing better to do - standard operating procedure for recovering from illness, for all of us - definitely indicates there is more going on than they are letting on.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8W_QerWy65Y

sleeve, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

the story of bolsonaro is a warning, though:

Seven television debates, featuring all the candidates, were scheduled once campaigning began. Starting in August, they exposed Bolsonaro’s disadvantage in the medium: poorly prepared and ill at ease, he was ineffectual. The more he was exposed to it, the flakier he was likely to look. In the first week of September, however, this danger was suddenly lifted. Stabbed by a mentally ill man at a provincial rally and rushed to hospital for an emergency operation, he spent the rest of the election safely in bedridden recovery, protected not only from debates or interviews, but from the demolition that Alckmin’s managers had been readying on their TV slots – sympathy for a victim who had nearly lost his life now precluded anything so tasteless.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

residents otm

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

xpost Yes but, as various people have pointed out with similar examples elsewhere, it's not like Bolsonaro spent six months beforehand denying the existence of mentally ill men with knives in the middle of a situation where hundreds of thousands had died because of them.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

(Which, if that were the case, would probably have attracted attention.)

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

Another good angle for the Dems: Trump’s stupidity directly leading to a Covid outbreak in the White House has huge national security implications which could have been prevented with a 3 dollar piece of cloth

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

Note to Schumer: here is what McConnell would do if situation reversed. 53 D’s, 5 or more quarantined. Keep Senate in session, bring in all Rs, replace you as leader, change committee chairs, direct Sergeant at arms to bar entry to any with Covid, reject SCt nominee. Just sayin.

— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) October 3, 2020

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:51 (five years ago)

“National security” is an argument that convinces never trumpers and Susan rice and that’s about it.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

OK dude

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 3 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

ok computer

lag∞n, Saturday, 3 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

Ok go

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 3 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

Ok Cupid!!

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

That’s all four

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Saturday, 3 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

If “trump is a national security risk” was a compelling argument for a significant number of people then the last four years would have gone differently, and biden would be mentioning is more often than never.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 21:13 (five years ago)

Republican Rep @McCaulforTexas @RepMcCaul REFUSING 2wear a MANDATED mask on our IAD-AUS flight despite being asked THREE TIMES by flight attendant b4 we have even left gate. Walking around w/o mask bc he thinks rules don’t apply 2him. VOTE HIM OUT! @SiegelForTexas @HouseMajPAC pic.twitter.com/IoDB9xO3f0

— AUSborn&bred (@AusbornBred) September 25, 2020

My piece of shit rep who only holds office because the citizens of Austin have been disenfranchised via extreme gerrymandering.

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Saturday, 3 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

meanwhile if anyone was excited about the thom tillis thing it turns out his opponent got caught in a cheating scandal, because there is no good news out of north carolina, ever

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:14 (five years ago)

MEANWHILE, a reliable source

BREAKING: The news at this point couldn't be much better than this. #Coronavirus #DonaldTrump https://t.co/uoHdQlIezy

— The Cain Gang (@THEHermanCain) October 3, 2020

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

xpost Apparently they were flirty, consensual texts. He better not drop out for that, I think we're well beyond that level of bullshit.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:24 (five years ago)

the texts read like they were semi-planning to fuck, but unless a politician has advocated for any kind of sexual restriction on others, then nobody should care at all what they text or do IRL

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

...with their genitals

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:31 (five years ago)

In non-Trump political news: remember Glenn Greenwald's favorite House candidate, the revenge porn kid? Well...

Kansas House candidate faced charges at age 14 for threatening shooting at a school

Aaron Coleman, a 20-year-old candidate for a Kansas House seat in Wyandotte County, was arrested and charged in 2015 with threatening to shoot a student at a Turner School District school.

Police and court records show that Coleman, 14 at the time, was charged with making a criminal threat, a felony charge, in May 2015. He later pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor charge of harassment.

A Kansas City, Kansas, police officer stationed at Turner High School learned of a text message that Coleman sent saying “Imma go up to the THS and shoot her then myself,” with THS believed to be a reference to Turner High School.

...

The Star contacted Coleman through email and phone messages seeking comment and context about the shooting threat.

“I find it insane to use someone’s juvenile record to distract from the fact Republicans and Democrats are engaging in full on class warfare right here in Wyandotte County and keeping people trapped in poverty in order to maximize profits,” Coleman responded in a text message.

The Star asked Coleman if he could contextualize the allegations against him from the police report, or otherwise discuss whether it was a serious or idle threat. Coleman declined to comment further.

...

Coleman made the threat after the girl posted to Facebook a photograph he sent her of his penis. Coleman told police, according to the report, that he sent her the photo to be funny and prove her wrong after she insulted him and claimed he had a small penis.

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/F7bX2kX7EQ

— lvl 45 covid positivus (@thetomzone) October 3, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

This sounds right. He said something like “if I get it I get it” on the hannity call.

NEW: Despite the WH learning of Hope Hicks's positive diagnosis just before leaving for NJ, Pres Trump didn't get a rapid test until AFTER his return. It was positive, prompting the PCR test, a WH official tells @CBSNews.

He called into Hannity while awaiting the PCR results.

— Sara Cook (@saraecook) October 3, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

So I just went for a test and we’ll see what happens. I mean, who knows? But you know Hope very well. She’s fantastic and she’s done a great job. But it’s very, very hard when you are with people from the military or from law enforcement and they come over to you and they want to hug you and they want to kiss you because we really have done a good job for them. And you get close and things happen.

Donald Trump: (08:51)
I was surprised to hear with Hope, but she’s a very warm person with them, and she knows there’s a risk, but she’s young. And I just went out for a test. They just do it. It’ll come back later, I guess. And the first lady also, because we spend a lot of time with Hope and others. So we’ll see what happens, but you have to treat our people great. You can’t just say, “Stay away, stay away.”

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:01 (five years ago)

But you can, though, You just didn't, is all.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

You can't just wash your hands after taking a dump. You just can't. You understand.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:12 (five years ago)

But Lunch, you hafta realize, the military and law enforcement are just coming up to hug and kiss the hands of Trump and his advisors right after they take a dump. Because he's doing such a great job for them. There simply isn't time for handwashing.

What is wrong with you? Don't you respect our brave troops?

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:15 (five years ago)

Grab them by their MREs.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:16 (five years ago)

And that’s not even taking into consideration how much and how repeatedly everybody wants to call him Sir. From what I understand every sentence ends with Sir.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

Sources: Trump had heart palpitations on Friday, a possible negative side effect of Regeneron antibody treatment. His fever reached 103. And a G7 ally wonders if he’ll appoint Ivanka president instead of Pence. My latest:
https://t.co/ND8zVtyodU

— Gabriel Sherman (@gabrielsherman) October 3, 2020

more details emerging all the time

seumas milm (gyac), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:23 (five years ago)

so not to speculate too much here but even if it's *unlikely* he's gonna die or get vented from this it does seem like he's possibly gonna have one of those debilitating cases where you're basically sick with different symptoms for several months on end, right?

frogbs, Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:26 (five years ago)

Note: Gabriel Sherman

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

what’s the keypad boner emoji

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

Ivanka instead of Pence?

I am not ordinarily one to boast, but I FUCKING CALLED IT

"Will you shut up, man?" US Politics October 2020

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:30 (five years ago)

Assume it’s fan fiction until someone else corroborates.

JoeStork, Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

JoeStork: well, yeah, of course. Just kidding but I still thought it was funny.)

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

Oh I meant the Sherman tweet!

JoeStork, Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

Apparently Hillary is currently higher than Pence or Harris in betting markets to be our next president.

JoeStork, Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:43 (five years ago)

they rarely vent people any more, from what I've heard. It's an absolute last resort and had caused more harm than good previously. Totally ready, in fact welcome, to be called out on that, if it's wrong. The "very urgent" ventilators from 4-5 months ago are mostly unused.

Gerneten-flüken cake (jed_), Saturday, 3 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

omg that Vanity Fair article is amazing

sleeve, Sunday, 4 October 2020 00:12 (five years ago)

Jaime Harrison brought his own plexiglas divider to his Senate debate with Lindsay Graham. #SCSen pic.twitter.com/MX15BaY5S2

— Amy S. Rosenberg (@amysrosenberg) October 4, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

and that's where we are folks

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Sunday, 4 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

Hoping Kamala brings a comically large shield to hers

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

"Colleagues – our thoughts and best wishes are with the President, the First Lady and Mike, Thom and Ron. I have discussed our situation with Chuck and believe the followIng course of action is prudent. The Senate will go into pro forma session until October 19th. On that day, we will need all Republican Senators back and healthy to ensure we have a quorum.

Lindsey and his committee will be able to conduct the confirmation hearings of Judge Barrett as planned, beginning on October 12th. Should we need to break into a pro forma to conduct covid or other related business requiring votes, you will be given at least 24 hours notice to return.

I had a good conversation with the President yesterday and he is in good spirits. I am mindful, though, that these times are unsettling in the life of our country. We need to lead now, with extra prudence and care, not just for our own health and well being, but to be able to perform our elected duties and to be examples to the country. Wear masks, stay distant, and come back safely on the 19th.

Best,

Mitch"

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Sunday, 4 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

just imagine I'm posting that Residents video again

sleeve, Sunday, 4 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

oh shit

Chris Christie's been moved to the Intensive Cake Unit

— blaine capatch (@blainecapatch) October 3, 2020

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

don't play with my heart dammit

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Sunday, 4 October 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

lol, had me for a second.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 4 October 2020 02:15 (five years ago)

He's going the distance!

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Sunday, 4 October 2020 02:17 (five years ago)

trump's gonna end up fine isn't he. he could end up as a fucking brain in a jar of formaldehyde and still go grift and crime into his next stolen term.

*_*

ok i'm better now, sorry.

retail rage is for suckers (Hunt3r), Sunday, 4 October 2020 03:02 (five years ago)

surely Mitch McConnell should get with the programme grandad.
I mean to be a loyal -party member shouldn't he be courting the vid?

Stevolende, Sunday, 4 October 2020 08:30 (five years ago)

McConnell is a Republican, not a Trumpian.

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Sunday, 4 October 2020 10:30 (five years ago)

a bygone disctinction

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 4 October 2020 11:59 (five years ago)

he also unfortunately is a regular mask-wearer, who’s repeatedly urged people to wear them. he’s a horrible heartless ghoul, but he’s not a covidiot

i got a homogenic björk wine farmer permabanned (voodoo chili), Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:13 (five years ago)

McConnell knows that Trump is a repugnant idiot, and most likely holds him in utter contempt. McConnell has never taken his eyes off the prize of using Trump"s gift for public chaos and negative interest in governance to advance his own previous-gen Republican mission of stacking the courts.

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:32 (five years ago)

He's way less interested in governance than Trump is!

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:36 (five years ago)

an overstatement—they come at their equal disdain for gov't from different places

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:38 (five years ago)

he also unfortunately is a regular mask-wearer, who’s repeatedly urged people to wear them. he’s a horrible heartless ghoul, but he’s not a covidiot

his is very much a face that was made to be masked

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:48 (five years ago)

It's like his face needed a shell too.

pplains, Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:50 (five years ago)

lol

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Sunday, 4 October 2020 12:54 (five years ago)

shame really since he's helped so many of the population feel like dirt and not helped control the virus for so many people. You'd think he must need to share the experience himself.
& otherwise how is he going to share the feeling of extreme pain and desperation he's inflicting on others.

Stevolende, Sunday, 4 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

Headlines from new NBC/WSJ poll (conducted after the debate, 9/30-10/1)

1. Biden's national lead among registered voters expands from 8pts to 14pts

Biden 53%
Trump 39%

Was Biden 51%, Trump 43% in Sept poll before debate

— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) October 4, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 14:09 (five years ago)

lol

shout-out to his family (DJP), Sunday, 4 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

Good morning!

In Florida, 550,338 vote by mail ballots have already been cast

Votes cast by party:

Dems293,835
Republicans 152,079
No major party: 104,424

It’s Election Day in Florida

— Matt Dixon (@Mdixon55) October 4, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

More people have voted in Florida a month before Election Day than theses states have total registered voters pic.twitter.com/E5ikXdIOrE

— Matt Dixon (@Mdixon55) October 4, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

It's really refreshing to see ballots rolling in without his airhorn blare accusations of fraud shitting up the feed.

Fetchboy, Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

Got my mail in ballot yesterday, will be taking it with me to vote in person this week. Voting without getting my "I voted" sticker is just not voting at all.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

Excuse my ignorance, are “no major party” voters for small parties or voters not registered to either major party?

seumas milm (gyac), Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

I found that strange as well, because as we all know, Florida *is* a major party state, dude, and no poll is going to tell me otherwise.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

I interpret that as registered independents and third party registrants all lumped together

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

I just moved & registered to vote in Florida at the DMV. I told them "Independent", and it looks like I'm now registered with the "Independent" party: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independent_Party_of_Florida

Pataphysician, Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

put my ballot in the mail today! felt good

also, i clicked an article with the headline As virus spreads across GOP ranks, some Republicans say party will pay price for ‘stupid’ approach hoping for some schadenfreude, but all i got was this:


Pence’s debate is seen by some Republicans as an opening to both boost Trump with skittish voters and refresh the party’s message on the pandemic since Pence has led the coronavirus task force.

“All he has to do is be kind and pleasant, to be reassuring and competent,” said former House speaker Newt Gingrich (R).

let us all meditate on trump's ability to be these five things: kind. pleasant. reassuring. competent. and how that's all he has to do.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

No major party = everything other than R and D, including independents, minor parties, and no party affiliation.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

I believe ol' Newt is talking about Pence there, not Trump.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 4 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

The lying from the White House on Friday and from Conley yesterday about the president's condition is staggering.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 4, 2020



When you’ve lost maggie...

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

So dexamethasone was found to be beneficial ONLY in patients on a ventilator OR on oxygen.

NOT on patients who don't need oxygen.

There was even the possibility of harm in that patient population.

— Craig Spencer MD MPH (@Craig_A_Spencer) October 4, 2020



This is the drug they just revealed that he’s on. So either he’s sick or they’re killing him.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

lol, seriously

it is staggering, though. it couldn't be a better october surprise, really - in my mind the major scandal is all the people he (and his inner circle, i assume) knowingly exposed. you'd think they'll be spending 99% of their effort this month trying to prevent negligent manslaughter lawsuits

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

So either he’s sick or they’re killing him.

let's not either/or this

let's both/and this

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

Trump is going to have the world's best ghost costume this Halloween.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

very convincing.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

Lmao

There’s a long history of White Houses lying about the president’s health — JFK, FDR, etc. The distinction here is the incompetence.

— Jonathan Swan (@jonathanvswan) October 4, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

People have been lying about JFK's health for decades.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

for the record, he didn't make it.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

So they’re saying he’s gonna be discharged tomorrow? Lmao okay

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

yeah, here's what's coming out of this announcement, in the first wave of coverage:

President Trump has “improved,” according to White House physician Sean Conley, but experienced significant oxygen drops on Friday and on Saturday. His doctors said he has had no fever since Friday morning, and could be discharged as early as tomorrow.

The doctor declined to answer questions about the president’s lungs, including whether there is scarring or if the President has pneumonia.

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

ok dr nick riviera

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

i am, honestly, truly surprised that dr phil and dr oz are not on this team

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:18 (five years ago)

Dishcharged to the whitehouse is not exactly discharged from hospital. It’s like being moved to a different hospital!

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

Or funeral home.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

"I didn't want to give any information that might steer the course of illness in another direction," Dr. Conley says when asked why he was reluctant to answer specific questions about the president's health yesterday. pic.twitter.com/TbzY1JKplO

— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) October 4, 2020



This plus the white coats. They have an audience of one.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

“Think happy thoughts”

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

I'm not UNpleased to learn that a yes-man quack has Trump's life in his hands.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

Is it not very well known that people with Covid get better and worse on a daily basis and that based on the timetable the worst days are almost certainly gonna be coming up this week

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

in other words, yes, they should send him home.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

yeah it would be pretty sweet to see him slink back into Walter Reed in a day or two

sleeve, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

Jokes aside, can anyone tell me what Dr Conley was trying to say with "I didn't want to give any information that might steer the illness in another direction"? I genuinely don't understand what it means. Some kind of positive thinking mantra?

Alba, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

apparently, yes, he knows Trump is watching

sleeve, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

If I guessed I would say he was under some pressure from the administration or family to keep things positive or under wraps, and was torn between his public and private duties as a doctor.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:44 (five years ago)

Xpost

But he knows Trump would be watching now so doesn't that give the game away? Unless he really thinks he is out of the woods now and can handle the truth. But he won't trust him next time!

Alba, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

Or maybe it's like how the placebo effect works even when people are told it's a placebo.

Alba, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

i shall not count the chickens before they have hatched, but this feels like a culmination of a lifetime of "positive thinking"

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

I think it’s more simple than that, like literally everything this administration does and says there’s a huge difference between how he’s doing (based on what the media knows) and how he’s doing (in reality)

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

"I didn't want to give any information that might steer the illness in another direction"

probably misspoke and meant to say "might steer perception in another direction"

I'm sure they're working on the errata as we speak.

a certain derecho (brownie), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

Also, I think there's a chance Trump *isn't* watching, but his leaderless minions are scrambling for the right thing to do and say.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

If he actually does die we’re absolutely gonna find out through some hospital staffer leaking it to the press

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

I thought he meant coronavirus was watching the TV, ready to attack on any sign of weakness

timber euros (seandalai), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

Right, that makes sense, brownie. Steer the prognosis.

Alba, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

hopefully in a few days dr nick will be like "i misspoke when i said he was diagnosed 72 hours ago. i meant he was going to DIE in 72 hours."

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

We'll know he's dead when the hospital chimney smoke burns black.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

i kind of think there's going to be an audio signal, too - like some high pitched whiny squeal that will blasted through the EMS at the moment of death

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

Wonder if this is partly about avoiding a market tank Monday am

stet, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

I have a lifetime's-worth of 'not being a ghoul' chips that I've been just burning through the last several days, lemme tell you.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

xxpost It will be a loud Scooby Doo foghorn.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

But he knows Trump would be watching now so doesn't that give the game away? Unless he really thinks he is out of the woods now and can handle the truth. But he won't trust him next time!

the physician is demonstrating an awareness that his president would not perseverate to deconstruct & comprehend said acknowledgment of previous circumlocution

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

i kind of think there's going to be an audio signal, too

I believe the audio signal will be a certain Martha & The Vandellas song.

Montgomery Burns' Jazz (Tarfumes The Escape Goat), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BUBd9dQvtY

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Sunday, 4 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

I believe the audio signal will be a certain Martha & The Vandellas song.


And if he comes out of hospital not in a box there'a another of their songs that'll work fine

Alba, Sunday, 4 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

https://images.app.goo.gl/458moJx4RnQ7Jvou9

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

What kinda sucks about this is acting like all the dipshits in 2016 who endlessly speculated that Hillary Clinton was actually dying based on 3 seconds of film. But we’re being gaslit so hard about everything all the time and I think it’s telling that you have multiple newscasters saying “even with the most charitable reading possible none of this is adding up”

frogbs, Sunday, 4 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

Meanwhile in more cutting edge comedy that isn’t SNL but is as funny

WARNING: May cause your sides to split pic.twitter.com/jt7jOcrHkx

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 4, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 4 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

if he comes out of hospital not in a box there's another of their songs that'll work fine

May I suggest...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wPt7BN7ZuJk

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 4 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

Frogbs and sleeve otm. Having him back at the WH quickly (for optics) is short-sighted, because it will make the optics of a relapse worse.

And as far as Trump being "discharged," I think I want to prank call those doctors and say "Doctor, I'm noticing a foul-smelling, unpleasant discharge."

"A discharge? From where?"

"From your hospital."

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 4 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

"Mr. Trump, You need to settle up on your hospital bill."

"Discharge it to my card."

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 4 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

WARNING: May cause your sides to split pic.twitter.com/jt7jOcrHkx

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 4, 2020

the Depends budget on this show must be astronomical

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Sunday, 4 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

why is 1996 bob dole doing a 2020 joe biden impersonation?

idkwtf (Karl Malone), Sunday, 4 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Joe Biden tested negative for covid again today.

From his campaign: “Vice President Biden underwent PCR testing for COVID-19 today and COVID-19 was not detected.”

— Matt Viser (@mviser) October 4, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 4 October 2020 23:30 (five years ago)

weaponized prez went for a ride

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/04/politics/donald-trump-coronavirus-alternate-reality/index.html

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 4 October 2020 23:50 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/IAToecn.jpg

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 4 October 2020 23:52 (five years ago)

Because futures start trading at 6pm East Coast time. https://t.co/ymuM8szaSt

— Kai Ryssdal (@kairyssdal) October 4, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 4 October 2020 23:54 (five years ago)

Same, Julie, same

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Sunday, 4 October 2020 23:54 (five years ago)

lol. reminds me of the thought I saw expressed somewhere on twitter recently, that we now understand the opposite of doomscrolling is schadensurfing

Dan S, Sunday, 4 October 2020 23:59 (five years ago)

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/04/business/media/trump-coronavirus-coverage.html

In 2017, Mr. Bresnahan and his colleague Anna Palmer wrote that the powerful Republican chairman of the Senate’s appropriations committee, Thad Cochran, was “frail and disoriented,” a story that sped his retirement. Last month, Mr. Bresnahan and Marianne LeVine reported that fellow Democrats were worried whether Dianne Feinstein was up to leading her side of the Amy Coney Barrett confirmation hearings because she gets “confused by reporters’ questions, or will offer different answers to the same question depending on where or when she’s asked.”

...

Physical decline is likely to be a major feature of the next few years of American politics, at least. The current line of succession, after Mr. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, features Speaker Nancy Pelosi, who is 80, and the Senate president pro tempore, Charles Grassley, 87, who also runs the Senate Finance Committee. Ms. Pelosi’s two most powerful deputies in the House, James Clyburn and Steny Hoyer, are both 80 or older. Over in the Senate, the chairman of the Armed Services Committee is 85 and coasting to re-election. The chairman of the Appropriations Committee is 86. Joe Biden, who turns 78 next month, is nearly a year younger than the Senate majority leader, Mitch McConnell, who is also seeking re-election in November.

This concentration of power in the hands of the old is an American phenomenon, Derek Thompson recently wrote in The Atlantic, noting that our leaders are getting older as European leaders get younger.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 5 October 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

Yeah it has always staggered me how old your leaders are. Old white men in particular. No one in any other field works past like 70 or so but theyre still running for office at this age, why!? Go sit by a fire in the alma mater club FFS.

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Monday, 5 October 2020 05:32 (five years ago)

lol they already do that anyways! Why quit?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 5 October 2020 06:21 (five years ago)

Good morning

https://i.imgur.com/QorzKq2.jpg

Alba, Monday, 5 October 2020 11:13 (five years ago)

US election poll: Trump BEATING Biden despite being hospitalised with Covid – EXCLUSIVE

The monthly Democracy Institute Sunday Express poll for the Presidential election shows that Mr Trump is still on course for victory with 46 percent of the popular support compared to his Democrat rival Joe Biden’s 45 percent.

However, his overall lead has dropped by two points since the last poll in September.

The poll was completed after the news broke that President Trump and his wife Melania have been infected by Covid-19.

But 68 percent said the illness would not affect their vote while 19 percent said they were “more likely” to support Trump and only 13 percent “less likely”.

Almost two thirds said they felt sympathy and concern for the President while 38 percent said him getting the disease was “karma” in an indication of the current divisive nature of US politics.

Crucially, Mr Trump’s lead in key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin remains at 4 percent by 47 percent 43 percent.

This gives a projected Electoral College split of 320 to Trump and 218 to Biden.

While other polls have Biden ahead, the Democracy Institute, which correctly predicted Brexit and Trump’s win in 2016, only considers people who identify as “likely voters” rather than all registered voters and also asks about the so called shy vote.

English people: Is this paper for real?

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 5 October 2020 11:18 (five years ago)

I mean, it exists.

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Monday, 5 October 2020 11:19 (five years ago)

But

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Monday, 5 October 2020 11:19 (five years ago)

Mostly its front covers either spread anti-refugee racism, push cuckoo fake medical bullshit or conspiracy theories about Princess Diana.

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Monday, 5 October 2020 11:19 (five years ago)

It's for people for whom the Daily Mail isn't quite frothingly racism, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic or awful enough.

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Monday, 5 October 2020 11:20 (five years ago)

And need more stories about long-term weather forecasts, medical "breakthroughs", Princess Diana and Madeleine McCann.

Alba, Monday, 5 October 2020 11:24 (five years ago)

I don’t think that pollster is recognised or regulated btw

seumas milm (gyac), Monday, 5 October 2020 11:26 (five years ago)

That paper saying anything about the election is the equivalent of a random drunk European poster rocking up in this thread giving it the Big Thoughts on What Will Happen

stet, Monday, 5 October 2020 11:34 (five years ago)

only considers people who identify as “likely voters” rather than all registered voters and also asks about the so called shy vote

how do you ask about the shy vote? isnt that the point of the shy vote?

turn the jawhatthefuckever on (One Eye Open), Monday, 5 October 2020 12:24 (five years ago)

Lolling at “the so called shy vote”

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 5 October 2020 12:30 (five years ago)

“ask me, I won’t say no, how could I?”

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 5 October 2020 12:32 (five years ago)

lol

May you live in interesting Times New Roman (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 5 October 2020 12:34 (five years ago)

‘Biden? For real?’ ‘Ok, ok, I lied, I’m a full-blown MAGA Man, are you happy now?’

Enhanced polling techniques.

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 12:35 (five years ago)

Without clicking through I'm guessing it's the Express?

Wasn't that the paper that got all its long term weather forecasts from a bloke in a terraced house in a small English village? I'm sure it was discussed on ILX somewhere.

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Monday, 5 October 2020 12:51 (five years ago)

Yes. The Mail has used them too

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/georgemonbiot/2012/jan/26/weather-forecasters-daily-mail

Alba, Monday, 5 October 2020 13:21 (five years ago)

That paper saying anything about the election is the equivalent of a random drunk European poster rocking up in this thread giving it the Big Thoughts on What Will Happen


Don’t think drunkenness can explain Fred B.

Boring, Maryland, Monday, 5 October 2020 14:26 (five years ago)

lol

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

Misread that as 'random drunk European popstar rocking up the thread' and expected one of the Gallaghers to give their thorough analysis of USA today.

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

Y'know, or Gay Dad's drummer.

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

only considers people who identify as “likely voters” rather than all registered voters

My understanding is that most reputable pollsters in the U.S. already do this during the last couple of months of a campaign. Often they start with registered voters but then shift to a likely-voter model after Labor Day. I did see the other day that NBC had decided to keep using registered voters for its current polls, but this was seen as anomalous.

jaymc, Monday, 5 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

meanwhile

What was surprising was that the first three years went a lot better than I expected, 2020 seems like the arrival of exactly what we were worried about. https://t.co/6xFCDPZ6fl

— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) October 4, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:48 (five years ago)

Donated to MJ Hegar and Mike Siegel campaigns

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

if this works theres nothin you can do but tip yr cap and go home

Trump campaign attacks Joe Biden for lack of ‘firsthand experience’ being infected with COVID-19 https://t.co/V9LHjyKJme

— Raw Story (@RawStory) October 5, 2020

lag∞n, Monday, 5 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

lmao

the typo doer (Simon H.), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

How can you lead the country if you've never danced with death?

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Monday, 5 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

I think I’m gonna be out of lulz forever after this.

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

Man...there's spin and then there's spinning so fuckin' hard you throw up all over yourself and fall and get a traumatic brain injury and spend the rest of your life as a vegetable.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 5 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

Fuck, I was joking with someone that Trump would take that angle.

jmm, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Do his lapdogs fall for it because they gobble it up or because they think it’s daring and oh-so-clever?

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Needless to say, I think Biden should end his negative detente.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

negative ad detente, that is.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

The WH press secretary says she has tested positive for COVID. https://t.co/n0K79d1Hmz

— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) October 5, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 5 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

No one could have foreseen this.

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

Queue a million clips of her prevaricating about COVID

Mario Meatwagon (Moodles), Monday, 5 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

"as an essential worker"

superdeep borehole (harbl), Monday, 5 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

For the more masochistic among us:

https://www.reddit.com/r/AskTrumpSupporters/

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

If she was covering her ass any more she’d be an, uh, a very assiduous ass-coverer!!

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 5 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

xpost the scary and sad thing is, those people are among the more reasonable of supporters.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

didn't she brief the press yesterday

frogbs, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

She brief-ened the life of the press, at the very least.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 5 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

Dunno, Josh, presenting Trump’s actions in a purportedly ‘rational’ light strikes me as even more irrational than frothing at the mouth.

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

no choice but to bring back the Mooch now

frogbs, Monday, 5 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

I think a lot of the people on that reddit thread are rational to the point of being sociopaths. like, if literally all I cared about was the second amendment or abortion, then of course I would support Trump. a lot of the people on that thread concede they hate the man, think he's a moron, don't like his decisions, don't agree with a lot of the things he says or does, and still are so fervently anti-abortion or pro second amendment that they are supporting him.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 5 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

unless you're talking about something specific you linked to, I'm talking about the forum in general.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 5 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Fair enough, that segment of the population does indeed strike me as less insane than the true sycophants, but there’s no dearth of the latter either on that subreddit ime.

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

NEW NYT/SIENA poll of ARIZONA

President
Biden (D): 49% (+8)
Trump (R-inc): 41%#AZSEN
Kelly (D): 50% (+11)
McSally (R-inc): 39%

read more here--> https://t.co/CS7CNcDOaN

— Jackson Bryman (@kilometerbryman) October 5, 2020

this was a Trump +6 sample in 2016

frogbs, Monday, 5 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

fwiw a lot of the people who I expected to say "I usually vote Republican/3rd party/don't vote but now have to vote Democrat because of this fucking bozo" in 2016 are definitely saying this now

frogbs, Monday, 5 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

Yup

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Monday, 5 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

btw Eric Trump's being deposed by the NYAG's office today.

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Monday, 5 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

Also, Toomey announced he's not running again in 2022

Fetchboy, Monday, 5 October 2020 21:09 (five years ago)

That subreddit shared upthread seems pretty useless, given that it appears that almost all of the "Nonsupporter" sides of the discussion have comments that are downvoted and hidden.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 5 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

I don't think it would be crazy—from a purely strategic standpoint, notwithstanding the health risk—for Harris to put her foot down and say leaders need to take COVID seriously and she won't debate in person until Pence is out of the quarantine period.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 5, 2020

https://clickhole.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/dnmtn4ksijwyep0xmljk.jpg

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 5 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

COVID stood NO chance against @realDonaldTrump! pic.twitter.com/GtNPOHkDqF

— Kelly Loeffler (@KLoeffler) October 5, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 5 October 2020 22:02 (five years ago)

^ i wish i still lived in georgia so i could help send this walking b3n g4rr1s0n cartoon packing at the ballot box

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Monday, 5 October 2020 22:06 (five years ago)

OK, the Pustule-in-Chief is back in his temporary residence, so...can anyone name any subgroup of Americans that will be voting for him in larger numbers this year than voted for him four years ago? I have seen polls that show he has lost major ground with old people, white women, the uneducated...every group that helped push his Glad-bag-of-discarded-ham person across the finish line in 2016 has retreated, and he's underwater in every one of the states that provided his electoral victory last time. So how does he possibly pull this out?

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:08 (five years ago)

i don't know, are you afraid of covid? do you want to vote for the party that's afraid of covid? well, well. interesting.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:09 (five years ago)

latinos xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:12 (five years ago)

I know I don’t represent any “group” of voters but personally I have to admit that seeing the President’s fighting spirit and resilience is sort of inspiring and I am thinking of changing my vote.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:13 (five years ago)

I hope his lungs prolapse during the town hall.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

can anyone name any subgroup of Americans that will be voting for him in larger numbers this year than voted for him four years ago?

Yes. Racists, sexists, and homophobes who were too young to vote in 2016.

I don't know if any reputable polling organization has specifically polled neo-nazis aged 18-23, but I suspect Trump is doing pretty well with that demographic.

Note: there may not be enough of them, though. I suspect the growth in POC of that age group will turn out to be larger. Of course, whether they vote and where they vote matters. I guess we'll see.

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:49 (five years ago)

In serious btw. The Latino vote for trump is up compared to 2016.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:51 (five years ago)

Well the polling is up. The vote I guess we’ll see.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:52 (five years ago)

Dunno about you, but when I see my cousins locked up in cages like so much cattle, there’s nothing I want more than to re-elect the man who wrought it all in the first place.

pomenitul, Monday, 5 October 2020 23:54 (five years ago)

“I feel better than i did 20 years ago.”

ima trumpcovid truther now. 😐

he aint got no covid gtfo.

retail rage is for suckers (Hunt3r), Monday, 5 October 2020 23:58 (five years ago)

This ain't no covid
This ain't no bird flu

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

both 538 and the Atlantic had recent articles about the fact that there’s no clear “Latino” voting bloc, which makes a lot of sense to me

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/theres-no-such-thing-as-the-latino-vote/

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/09/pandemics-assault-latino-political-power/615979/

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:03 (five years ago)

In serious btw. The Latino vote for trump is up compared to 2016.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, October 5, 2020 7:51 PM (forty-eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Well the polling is up. The vote I guess we’ll see.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, October 5, 2020 7:52 PM (forty-eight minutes ag

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article246216955.html

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:41 (five years ago)

It's not your fault, caek, but I REALLY wish voters would fucking stop referring to the Latino/Hispanic vote. A Venezuelan or Cuban thinks differently from a Dominican or Peruvia.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

*Peruvian

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

A Peruvia is, of course, a Grasshopper made with Pisco

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

haha awesome

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:49 (five years ago)

stop

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:50 (five years ago)

for a second I thought Alfred knew some Peruano slang I was unfamiliar with

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

so have we talked about Thom Tillis being a no-show yet?

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

I heard my name.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

I get that talking about groups as electoral monoliths elides complexity and I get that this happens in particular about “the hispanic vote” and “the black vote” in ways that dismisses those groups but...

you can get so granular you miss the wood (the average Hispanic voter is more likely to vote trump this time round than last. This is important!) for the trees (Miami’s Cubans are breaking for biden. Also important!)

(Also the naive belief that those groups are monoliths can give them more power in some situations, eg “the black vote” in LA).

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:03 (five years ago)

This is now the Englishman explain racial politics thread, sorry

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:03 (five years ago)

you miss the wood

Hey, careful

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:09 (five years ago)

hear for the woo

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:12 (five years ago)

d

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:12 (five years ago)

(the average Hispanic voter is more likely to vote trump this time round than last. This is important!)

That's a stunning misrepresentation of the numbers. Biden is leading Trump among Latino voters 62-26. Yes, he's getting less of the Latino vote than Clinton got, but look at this graphic:

https://media1.s-nbcnews.com/j/newscms/2020_38/3413520/image001_c58c14027b0ee7699868632506c2a44c.fit-1120w.png

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:12 (five years ago)

maybe it's that the pundits are possibly setting up the Latino voters to be scapegoats if Trump ekes out a win, conveniently eliding Trump's massive support from aggrieved white people

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

it's also because pundits know jack shit except there's a bloc called "Hispanics" and few media folk are Hispanic

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

That's a stunning misrepresentation of the numbers. Biden is leading Trump among Latino voters 62-26.


Two things can be true at the same time.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:26 (five years ago)

maybe it's that the pundits are possibly setting up the Latino voters to be scapegoats if Trump ekes out a win, conveniently eliding Trump's massive support from aggrieved white people


Tbh I get the impression this Latino vote meme (which is indisputably true afaict but is probably not be a big deal for the presidential election) is getting trotted out more by people who object to Biden’s decision to eschew retail/traditional tv advertising politics either because it doesn’t comport with their view of how elections are won (jacobin readers etc) or because they have a personal financial/professional interest in elections being fought that way (eg democrat establishment, community leaders etc.)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

It’s a bit like the focus on working-class voters going Republican in 2016. Yes it’s unfair to let the rich voters off the hook when they remain Trumpier then poorer ones, but it’s the shift that changed the election so you can understand why that’s what people focus on. Just good to remember the raw numbers as well as the trend every so often.

Not suggesting Republican Latinos are going to swing 2020 for Trump but I can see why the change is of interest. As for the segmentation thing, what is the wider value, if there is one in lumping all these ethnic groups together as Latino?

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

From @DanaBashCNN: Source says Treasury Sec. Steve Mnuchin asked Speaker Pelosi if he could come to the Hill Friday for stimulus talks & she said no. She said she can’t trust anyone in the WH on Covid. “The way they treat people – I don’t want them here.”

— Kristin Wilson (@kristin__wilson) October 5, 2020



Good

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 03:33 (five years ago)

the entire Republican party is gonna be treated like a leper colony for the next month, lets see how forcing through this SC justice goes

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 03:46 (five years ago)

White people, even "non-college educated whites" aren't a monolithic bloc of experiences and socioeconomic backgrounds but we still talk about them as a demographic.

Hispanic voters seem to have a greater variance based on class and education, the question of how you win a greater share of their votes factors that in more than establishment Democrats are comfortable with. Approaching them purely on identity is how you get a declining share from 2012 to 2016 and from 2016 to 2020.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 03:50 (five years ago)

speaking of

🚨 this is a five-alarm fire for the president’s campaign, if true pic.twitter.com/KsM7g58Ixm

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 6, 2020

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

come on, what's one thing he's ever done to hurt seniors

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 04:13 (five years ago)

i feel like there are some extremely bad polls coming for trump over the next few days

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 04:18 (five years ago)

yes, he must be reeling from that Access Hollywood recording leak

assert (MatthewK), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 04:34 (five years ago)

"When you're a star, they let you do it. Cough on 'em, fart in the Suburban, spread it all around..."

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 04:41 (five years ago)

horrifying to think what this president has done to the once-great Hokey Pokey

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 11:28 (five years ago)


@realDonaldTrump
Flu season is coming up! Many people every year, sometimes over 100,000, and despite the Vaccine, die from the Flu. Are we going to close down our Country? No, we have learned to live with it, just like we are learning to live with Covid, in most populations far less lethal!!!

so we're back to this fucking shit now?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:09 (five years ago)

I will never love another President again! https://t.co/KntLywoHcf

— Matt Gaetz (@mattgaetz) October 6, 2020

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:13 (five years ago)

Dignity is a foreign country to Gaetz

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:14 (five years ago)

(CNN)Joe Biden's advantage over President Donald Trump has expanded and the former vice president now holds his widest lead of the cycle with less than a month remaining before Election Day, according to a new nationwide CNN Poll conducted by SSRS.

Among likely voters, 57% say they back Biden and 41% Trump in the poll that was conducted entirely after the first debate and mostly after the President's coronavirus infection was made public.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:16 (five years ago)

nobody likes a sick loser

the typo doer (Simon H.), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:26 (five years ago)

The only rational explanation I can ascribe (a completely misguided attempt on my part, but) to his current behavior is that he strongly suspects that he's about to die and wants to burn down as much shit on the way out as he can.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:27 (five years ago)

The 30-35% who buy into it are what keeps me up at night.

pomenitul, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:29 (five years ago)

He died for your sins.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:32 (five years ago)

Really, if it's all been about personal gain and building his brand and whatnot, dying in office a martyr could help boost the prospects of his family business. They would sell so many memorial plates.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:50 (five years ago)

I just imagined seeing one of those ads on the MeTV channel that shows Gunsmoke at noon, and man, I felt this wash of calm go over me.

pplains, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 12:56 (five years ago)

Is it wrong to find this Claudia Conway stuff hilarious?
I think if it were any other parent I might feel a sliver of sympathy for having to deal with a such a bratty teenager, but it's really the lowest of karmic punishments for such an enabler of evil

Nhex, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 13:45 (five years ago)

wonder why it took so long honestly

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 13:45 (five years ago)

I am loving Claudia Conway at the moment, yes

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

I did find it hilariously embarrassing to see that comedian on Twitter suggest Claudia, a minor, take advantage of her fame to start an OnlyFans account, then proceed to lecture the entire internet on how they don't understand comedy when he was, rightfully, called out for it,

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:00 (five years ago)

yeah that was Neal Brennan, his reaction doesn't surprise me

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:04 (five years ago)

An interesting thought (one I've had numerous times) from LGM:

For marginal voters in particular, there may be particular value in being able to say honestly, in the future, “no of course I didn’t vote for Trump, are you kidding?” while tactfully omitting that you did in fact (vote) for him in 2016. But now he’s a loser with loser stench on him, and sick to boot. And another group of marginal Trump supporters may just be discouraged enough not to vote at all.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

Speaking of Conway

Kellyanne Conway on tiktok cussing her daughter OUT 😭😭🤣🤣😭😭😭😭 pic.twitter.com/iEuMySvRYB

— Esquiggle (@ToyaRochelle) October 6, 2020

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

https://twitter.com/ella_nilsen/status/131346768183687168

I don’t think “just post through it” works with this group.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

Is it wrong to find this Claudia Conway stuff hilarious?

The now-deleted stuff alleging her parents abused and abuse her is less than funny though.

stet, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

I mean it's definitely hilarious that a 15 year old girl has more information about the health of the President of the United States than 99.999% of the nation

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

An interesting thought (one I've had numerous times) from LGM:

_For marginal voters in particular, there may be particular value in being able to say honestly, in the future, “no of course I didn’t vote for Trump, are you kidding?” while tactfully omitting that you did in fact (vote) for him in 2016. But now he’s a loser with loser stench on him, and sick to boot. And another group of marginal Trump supporters may just be discouraged enough not to vote at all._


Yep. This is why “that won’t persuade a trump voter to switch to biden” is probably not relevant at this point.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

amazing how Trump is the one candidate in history who can get infected with a deadly disease right before the election and turn it into a political disaster on multiple fronts

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

_An interesting thought (one I've had numerous times) from LGM:

_For marginal voters in particular, there may be particular value in being able to say honestly, in the future, “no of course I didn’t vote for Trump, are you kidding?” while tactfully omitting that you did in fact (vote) for him in 2016. But now he’s a loser with loser stench on him, and sick to boot. And another group of marginal Trump supporters may just be discouraged enough not to vote at all.__


Yep. This is why “that won’t persuade a trump voter to switch to biden” is probably not relevant at this point.


Surprised even savvy people don’t realize a big part of modern political campaigns is to try to discourage the other side’s turnout (through negative campaigning, etc., or outright disfranchisement).

Boring, Maryland, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

do over 100k people in the US ever ever die from the flu? I don't think so.

akm, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:46 (five years ago)

it's not difficult information to find:

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

"Between 12,000 – 61,000 deaths annually since 2010"

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:48 (five years ago)

thanks for being my google, I am lazy and just woke up

akm, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

I'll have more questions for you later

akm, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

So I know there are more competitive senate races than expected, but I'm wondering how voters that are flipping from Trump to Biden will play into this. Will they also flip senate votes or is vote splitting the more likely outcome?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

Hey Tracer - do you know where my grey socks are?

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:51 (five years ago)

lol :)

If you look at the individual year breakdowns, COVID has currently killed about as many people in 9 months as the flu has killed in the last 4 years combined.

Of course it's not comparable, because there's a flu vaccine. Approx 80% of children who die of the flu aren't vaccinated. (No numbers exist for the adult population)

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

Also, don't forget that many radical leftists like Joe Biden would've done less than nothing and millions of people would've died, so really the number of lives saved is massive.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

Ya know, a 16-point Biden lead nationally suddenly makes Georgia and Texas uh competitive.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

do over 100k people in the US ever ever die from the flu? I don't think so.

sure, in 1918, read one history book

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

Ya know, a 16-point Biden lead nationally suddenly makes Georgia and Texas uh competitive.

There's not a 16-point Biden lead (but I do actually think Georgia and Texas are competitive)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

#earlyvote updates in from AL, PA, and WI posted. Now at least 4.25 million people have voted in the 2020 general election https://t.co/s8K2xFDeSA

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 6, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

I do wonder whether we’d be seeing the same numbers with Bernie instead of Biden.

Just a thought experiment...

2xp

pomenitul, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

3xp rather.

pomenitul, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

xposts There are some estimates that the 1958 and 1968 flus took out 100k Americans, too.

According to the CDC, "During the 2019-2020 influenza season, CDC estimates that influenza was associated with 38 million illnesses, 18 million medical visits, 405,000 hospitalizations, and 22,000 deaths."

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

There's not a 16-point Biden lead (but I do actually think Georgia and Texas are competitive)

― Guayaquil (eephus!)

I refer to this: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/06/poll-biden-national-lead-election-day-426688

Cavils about the rationality of national polls implied.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

Biden campaigning in Texas - or at least some well-placed ad buys - could spook Rs into feeling like they need to defend it, which could be strategically useful.

And as Beto and others have pointed out, Texas doesn't do mail voting and therefore we will know the winner on election night. If Texas were to flip there would be no way Trump can win, and it would avoid us weeks of nail-biting.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/10/04/joe-biden-win-texas/

Not sure I buy it but the prospect of knowing the winner faster is pretty tempting.

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

The closing of polling stations suggests Texas GOP has seen ominous numbers.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

otm

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

New Monmouth poll of Pennsylvania, trend from August:

Biden: 54% (+5)
Trump: 42% (-3)https://t.co/caIwTDRLho

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 6, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

The fact that voting is underway has got to be a part of the idiot president’s current rona theatrics no? His loser polling isn’t just anticipating Election Day in November but reflects current voting.

All cars are bad (Euler), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

Polling station closures in TX started well before things started to go really sideways with the election. Removing all but one ballot drop box in Houston and other cities is a different story though.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

Rudy has the same problem as Trump, in that he seems unhealthy in the best of circumstances, but has he announced the results of his covid test? I'd be OK with him dying (again).

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

So I know there are more competitive senate races than expected, but I'm wondering how voters that are flipping from Trump to Biden will play into this. Will they also flip senate votes or is vote splitting the more likely outcome?

― Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 9:50 AM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

There are only two states that are safe blue states on the presidential level that also have Republican senators up for reelection: Maine (Collins) and Colorado (Gardner). Based on polling, there's a very good chance that those Senate seats will be flipped.

I'd say there are four swing states with Republican senators up for reelection: Arizona (McSally), North Carolina (Tillis), Iowa (Ernst), and Georgia (Loeffler and Perdue). And I think their chances of reelection are probably proportional to the chances that those states go for Trump. (Basically, in reverse order of how I've listed them.)

I'm sure there will be some ticket-splitting, but I don't think it will have a significant effect.

jaymc, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

"so have we talked about Thom Tillis being a no-show yet?"

what did he not show up at? I did see he now says he's free of symptoms.

akm, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:21 (five years ago)

"sure, in 1918, read one history book" I meant in recent history you deflated turd

akm, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:22 (five years ago)

xxp My guess is that moderate Democratic-leaning voters in the suburbs who may once have been content to vote for a moderate Republican once in a while are no longer as willing to do so.

jaymc, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

xxp I thought I heard something on Democracy now with the challenger saying Tillis has not been responding? would love some clarification on that if available.

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

When they’re all like this at some point we have to stop calling these polls outliers

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

Texas has high stakes state elections as well, so local gop shenanigans are likely and not necessarily a sign that the presidential election is close. I mean it probably is. But state politics there are a cesspool and there’s a lot going on there this year.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

Texas is not going to flip for Biden.

pplains, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

Will they also flip senate votes or is vote splitting the more likely outcome?

The Texas senate race has Cornyn (Republican) about +7 in recent polls while Trump is only +2... and Texas eliminated straight-ticket voting this year. It looks like Trump hatred won't be enough to flip the Texas senate race blue, but if there's a real blue wave it's possible.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

Correct, the polling closures have a lot to do with what's going on at the state level and is part of the overall package of gerrymandering and disenfranchisement.

xxp

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

I think we’re starting to see trump do stuff because he enjoys it even though he knows it’s electorally counterproductive for him (down by 25 points with seniors!) and brutal for the entire GOP ticket (not just the senate races), which depends on a tenable presidential candidate.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

By all means run up the score in the electoral college but there’s dozens of local elections I’d trade for an extra 100 ec votes.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

this seems crazy to contemplate, but there's also the possibility that trump will mess up even MORE in the coming weeks. how? who the fuck knows. the man surprises me every week with how poor his judgment is. but i wouldn't bet against it

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

Texas GOP is most scared about losing more judges and congressional seats, and they're also trying to regain ground in both these areas lost in '18. I swear, every other commercial I see on network TV is either an official ad or PAC dispatch for District 7, which flipped D last time, and they want it back BAD.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

By all means run up the score in the electoral college but there’s dozens of local elections I’d trade for an extra 100 ec votes.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 10:37 AM (five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

i feel like a huge electoral college/popular vote win would only have a positive effect on downballot local elections?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-early-vote-idUSKBN26R1LR

If turnout is very high, which is what early voting numbers suggest it will be (and not just people voting early/by mail to avoid exposure to COVID) then Republicans are going to get crushed at every level.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

certainly. my point is that even if, e.g. texas's EC votes are out of reach, then every trump fuckup is still good news for the many elections that have the potential to change more people's lives for the better.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

(xp)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

three of these people were 2020 presidential candidates and one of them is a stock image pic.twitter.com/sEXIyjDV6y

— Tossup Bot (@TossupBot) October 6, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

I only recognize Swalwell there.

akm, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

By all means run up the score in the electoral college but there’s dozens of local elections I’d trade for an extra 100 ec votes.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 11

Let me introduce the boar to MDC's mayoral race, for the first time in memory a nonpartisan-in-name-only race in which the GOP candidate Steve Bovo has explicitly campaigned as the "conservative candidate" (I quote from the literature), posts photos of himself and Trump....and is down 10 points as of today. The state Dem party, wisely, said, "Oh, you wanna play this game?" and put its weight behind Danielle Cava.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/community/miami-dade/article246231935.html

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

*board

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

this seems crazy to contemplate, but there's also the possibility that trump will mess up even MORE in the coming weeks. how? who the fuck knows. the man surprises me every week with how poor his judgment is. but i wouldn't bet against it

idk if you're being sarcastic here but he's put himself in such an idiotic no-win situation right now and I cannot see how his numbers could possibly improve within 4-5 weeks

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

he could die

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

Betting on the 2000 Missouri Senate race strategy?

jaymc, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

Welcome President Melania.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

you picture a campaign meeting where they're like "does ANYONE have any ideas to turn this thing around?" and Pence slowly raises his hand

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

xp not being sarcastic!

it seems like he couldn't possibly shoot himself in the foot more, but i thought the same thing just a couple weeks ago. he might actually make things even WORSE between now and election day. it almost seems likely - he's doubling down on the flu thing (again), he has a debate (a fucking _town hall_!) that's he pledged to attend, etc.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

From a Politico piece that's half decent, half idiotic (I mean, it's Politico):

2. The “silent majority” in this election is not who you think it is.
People who love the president are vocal about it. People who hate the president are vocal about it. The polarization on display this election cycle is the most palpable, the most visible, of our lifetimes. People wave flags from their porches and wear shirts to the grocery store and turn out by thousands to rallies and marches. I don’t believe there is a “silent majority”—that is, a group whose views are kept quiet—for either Trump or Biden.

I do believe, however, there is a silent majority against Trump. In my travels, this group could be considered “the kid curmudgeons.” They are younger Gen Xers and older millennials: college-educated folks ages roughly 28 to 42, who are not ideological, who are not partisan, who consume little political news, who rarely if ever vote, but who might flood the polls this fall simply because Donald Trump annoys them.

Is that overly simplistic? Perhaps. But I’ve been stunned at how many people I’ve encountered who fit this description. They’re establishing careers, starting families, buying first homes—building a life—and don’t really have the time or inclination to get engaged politically. They don’t know a ton about either party’s policy platform or legislative record. What they do know is Trump irritates them to no end. He reminds them of the lightweight underclassmen at a college kegger; his raucousness was entertaining at first, but the act has worn awfully thin. They just want to get rid of him and get on with the party.

...

4. Trump might lose women voters by numbers we’ve never imagined.
Stop me if you’ve heard this before: The president has a problem with female voters. Yes, this has been observed by every pollster, every political professional, in both parties over the past four years. Trump has been briefed on it—time and again—by his team, who warned him that the 2018 Democratic wave could repeat itself without a course correction. But what we’re seeing now, in polling conducted by both parties, isn’t a wave. It isn’t even a tsunami. It’s something we don’t have a name for, because we’ve never seen anything like it. The president’s standing with women voters of every race, every educational background, every socioeconomic stratum, has fallen off. But when it comes to the white, college-educated women who made up a sizable chunk of Trump’s base—he won 44 percent of them against Hillary Clinton—his numbers have collapsed entirely.

The president, seeing ominous signs of this earlier in the year, sought to scare these voters back into his camp, warning of an assault on the suburbs and violence visiting their families and communities. But this tactic appears to have backfired. Recent internal polling from Republicans and Democrats alike suggests that Trump’s law-and-order messaging alienated far more women than it attracted.

This isn’t just a problem for Trump in purple states. Last week, I heard from one of the smartest Republicans alive, a longtime party operator who lives in a state Trump carried by double digits. He told me the polling he was seeing there was something out of a nightmare; these were numbers he never expected to see in his lifetime. The only thing more dizzying than that? I had another conversation, with another dependable red-state Republican, the very next day, and heard the very same thing. Both of these men were sounding the alarm, alerting me that Trump could actually lose their states, and would at the very least drag down a number of down-ballot Republicans, because women have turned on the GOP at a historic clip. Trump lost women by 13 points to Clinton, according to exit polls, and Republicans have long worried that the figure could climb into the high teens. There is now genuine worry that the margin could explode north of 20 points—the biggest gender gap in modern election history.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

also, i know no one likes to think about it, but another 1.2M covid cases are coming in the next month (40K/day * about 30 days), and it's supposed to get worse with cold weather, not better, and with interactions from flu season. that, alone, would be enough to sink an incumbent in any other timeline, alas

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

I almost quoted the non-stupid parts a couple hours ago.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

re: women voters hating trump, it would be a very good thing to connect the GOP as much as possible to trump. trump will, hopefully, go away in a few months. the rest of the handmaid's tale GOP posse will still be there, and they aided and abetted him almost the entire way (after cowardly submitting to him in 2016).

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:27 (five years ago)

Last week, I heard from one of the smartest Republicans alive

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

Dwayne Johnson?

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

last night I dreamt that one of the smartest Republicans alive loved me

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

Some polls are bigger than others

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

The first of the gang to die?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

Donald, it was really nothing!

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

(5/9) Another issue, explained by the Trump tax representative: “There have been a multitude of charities who throw annual events at the property, and they have canceled, because, they say, ‘We can’t, in good conscience, be associated with this name.’” pic.twitter.com/NxD9yVKTnf

— Dan Alexander (@DanAlexander21) October 6, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

Sorry, start of the thread here:

(1/9) When Donald Trump became the president of the United States, his brand got bigger, but it didn’t get better. Just take a look at what happened to Trump National Doral, his golf resort in Miami. https://t.co/FR7lMlA2lP

— Dan Alexander (@DanAlexander21) October 6, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

Last night I dreamt I went to Mar-a-Lago again
“You thought I loved Donald? I hated him!”

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

SurveyUSA is Biden+10, but notes they had Biden+16 in interviews after the president was hospitalized https://t.co/912PsXzd4c

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 6, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)


When voters are asked whether, financially, they are falling behind, just getting by, making ends meet, setting aside some for a rainy day, or prospering, Trump leads only among those who are prospering. Biden leads among all other groups. When voters are asked whether they identify as poor, working class, middle class, upper-middle class or rich, Trump leads only among those who are rich or upper-middle class. Among the 82% of voters who are not rich, Biden leads in double digits.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

lol that CNN 57/41 poll is within the margin of error of 1984's 58.8/40.6 result

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

Number 2 from that Politico article - "The “silent majority” in this election is not who you think it is." - seems very otm to me. important to remember that in 2016, for those who did not give a shit about politics, Trump was still more amusing than annoying. there was still stuff like "Can't Stump The Trump" floating around where people marveled at his ability to weasel out of every question. or the "because you'd be in jail" moment at the debate. this was when people who voted for Trump passed along Vic Berger videos not getting that he was making fun of him. these people aren't really attached to Trump, they found him funny and conversely thought Hillary was one of the most boring/unlikeable people on Earth. I know some people like that and maybe they're not all voting Biden but they are all fucking sick of him and actively spreading the plague isn't gonna win any of those people back. even the most conservative guy I call a friend says "I just want things to go back to normal" (he's just not voting, the prick)

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

so yes as shellshocked as I still am from 2016 I do think there's the possibility this becomes a historic blowout

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), who tested positive last week, said in an interview with a conservative talk-show host that there is “a level of unjustifiable hysteria” about a virus that has killed nearly 210,000 Americans and asked, “Why do we think we actually can stop the progression of a contagious disease?”

excuse me for a second.

FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

i want to be there in person, to point my finger and say "LISTEN HERE, YOU STUPID FUCK", etc and really show him

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

You'd throw a rock at him but it would just be adding to the pile knocking around his skull

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

even the most conservative guy I call a friend says "I just want things to go back to normal" (he's just not voting, the prick)

I mean I understand wanting the total run up even more but I'll take this.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/02/trump-coronavirus-test-unlikely-to-prompt-sympathy-vote-analyst-says.html

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

considering the story on every non-explicitly fascist network is "Trump is personally and recklessly spreading the disease he inexcusably decided to expose himself to" yeah I'd say that's about right

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

You’re obviously letting it dominate your life.

pomenitul, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mDzB-Eu8YeQ

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

if he had played it like a person with a normal brain he definitly could have gotten a sympathy bounce.

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

but then we wouldn't be here in the first place...ffs! I'm so tired of this shit

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

And not "I probably got this from a soldier who tried to kiss me, not sure why everyone thinks it's such a big deal, just take these fancy unapproved drugs that I got!"

DJI, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

Sure, but his presidency is all about performing experiments and seeing where it takes you. Very stable genius indeed.

xps

pomenitul, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

This made me laugh.

My glorious AF wife Kathryn helped with my latest campaign video. Whatever the polls say we have to stay calm and resolute in this fight, giving whatever time, money and power we can. Get active to get out the vote TODAY. https://t.co/JMq7rJIXuE #GOTV #createtheoutcome #VOTE pic.twitter.com/5K7DHjkWFo

— Mandy Patinkin (@PatinkinMandy) October 6, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

When voters are asked whether, financially, they are falling behind, just getting by, making ends meet, setting aside some for a rainy day, or prospering, Trump leads only among those who are prospering. Biden leads among all other groups. When voters are asked whether they identify as poor, working class, middle class, upper-middle class or rich, Trump leads only among those who are rich or upper-middle class. Among the 82% of voters who are not rich, Biden leads in double digits.

As much as I'd like to believe this, after driving through the upper peninsula of Michigan and northern Wisconsin a couple weeks ago, my unscientific observation was that it was all Trump signs except for the nice houses on lakefronts, or the nice houses when passing through slightly larger towns. Those were the only Bidens I saw.

change display name (Jordan), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

We were driving through southern Vermont and found the same but unless a massive massive Vermont-sized upset is coming, road signs are just a bad indicator.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

I heard something about how Trump signs are in ready free supply in a way the Biden campaign has not generally prioritised.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

in rural PA I'm still seeing a lot of Biden signs, but the Trump signs are much BIGGER

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

If you thought Tombot was mad before...

DJI, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

When voters are asked whether they identify as poor, working class, middle class, upper-middle class or rich, Trump leads only among those who are rich or upper-middle class.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

There are a lot of old angry racist white yoopers who would rather be broke and live shitty lives than to think they're getting any sort of free help. Personally I was really surprised at the number of biden signs I saw in the UP compared to any previous election

Also of note is that there are like twice as many people within a half an hour of me as there are in the entire UP and I'm not in either of the big michigan metro areas

joygoat, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

Our neighbors across the street are seemingly decent old farts but they had Trump signs in their yard for a while.

The day after the debate the signs were gone.

Cow_Art, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

My parents have had their Biden signs stolen three times. They’re putting up some kind of netting/fencing like you might do with animals. Not sure how anyone’s going to see their signs now, of course..

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

yeah there are a number of people with Trump signs in my neighborhood including one person with 4 flags including one where Trump is photoshopped onto Rambo's body

I'm sure we've gone over this before but proudly displaying your allegiance to a political party/candidate is way more a GOP/Trump thing than the Dems, especially with a Wonder Bread candidate like Joe Biden. like its all about making people mad, that's it. if your $200 giant sign makes one liberal mad it's money well spent.

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

I agree covid is bad, but it's gender reveal parties that really scare me.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

Signs outside the White House currently: pic.twitter.com/z04YvWwA2Z

— 𓂀 (@groovyambs) October 5, 2020

no doubt there was originally some good intention behind these signs but, uh, sing Breonna Taylor's name in the Trump font is really gross to me

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:14 (five years ago)

"I just want things to go back to normal"

This is the silent majority right here, imo. I live in a very politically active, politically motivated Dem hotbed, and while I don't see too many signs, either, but I think it has everything to do with everyone being so tired of this shit they don't even need to make their allegiances known. They're just waiting out the clock, like we all are.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

also can I point out that only idiots on the right think yard signs are the real indicator, hence why they keep putting cameras and alarms outside them despite the fact that Biden signs are generally the ones being stolen

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

"I just want things to go back to normal"

tbc these people are also idiots, albeit understandable ones

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Meanwhile, back on earth again...

U.S. trade deficit jumps to largest in 14 years in August
(Reuters) - The U.S. trade deficit surged in August to the largest in 14 years with imports climbing again, suggesting that trade could be a drag on economic growth in the third quarter.

The Commerce Department said on Tuesday the trade deficit jumped 5.9% to $67.1 billion, the widest since August 2006...

1234 let's have a tariff war! Will the Trump faithful even hear this news?

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

he just tweeted that he's called off stimulus negotations until after he wins the election, which seems like a dumb move electorally but also means that no one will get any federal relief until january, which is terrible.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

Try spotting the moment where Trump just killed the stimulus https://t.co/M2O6hvFfl7 pic.twitter.com/BiVaOjFzi1

— Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) October 6, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

jesus fucking christ

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

he just tweeted that he's called off stimulus negotations until after he wins the election, which seems like a dumb move electorally but also means that no one will get any federal relief until january, which is terrible.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 2:53 PM bookmarkflaglink

frankly it's fuckin' ridiculous that we didn't have the next round ready to go in September, largely because of GOP stonewalling and Trump's White HOuse insisting "we don't need it anymore, shit's normal!".

no idea how some are getting by. my mother had to get rent assistance from the county for three months.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

well I guess there's Karl's answer to "what stupid thing will he do next that costs him more votes"

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

not that the markets themselves matter, but to the extent he thinks they do, and it's good for him when they go up and bad when they go down: dumbest mother fucker on earth

Imagine choreographing your hospital visit to occur completely outside market hours because you're worried about the dow going down and then the next day you nuke the market intraday by tweeting that stimulus is over forever

— Quantian (@quantian1) October 6, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

lol was gonna say I couldn't imagine how he could tank his position even further but there it is

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

lol getting people a nice check in October would have been such a slam dunk politically. he is an idiot!

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

Trump’s closing argument of More Covid, Less Stimulus seems like a bit of a gamble.

— Sam Stein (@samstein) October 6, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

xxxp regarding the graph it's just a tiny ~1% correction, in a stock market that has made impressive gains over the past 6 months. that the stock market is doing so well is what is surprising to me

Dan S, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

there's also...just..

i mean, he's in the middle of suffering from covid-19 right now. to turn around and deny help to anyone ELSE that is going through the same thing and happens to NOT be the president of the country and/or from a wealthy family? fucking prick

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

xxxp regarding the graph it's just a tiny ~1% correction, in a stock market that has made impressive gains over the past 6 months. that the stock market is doing so well is what is surprising to me


Trump doesn’t know that.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

I have the line from Michael Clayton going through my head: "I'm not the guy that you kill. I'm the guy that you buy. Are you so fuckin' blind that you don't even see what I am?"

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

We were discussing Texas potentially going blue?

Trump killing the airline bailout could be a major deal electorally. Major airlines are based in Dallas, Atlanta and Phoenix, with major hub operations in Detroit, Minneapolis, Houston, Dallas again, Miami, Philadelphia... https://t.co/TuqgGGWl9o

— Josh Barro (@jbarro) October 6, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

didn't trump just order (via twitter) congress to "GET IT DONE!" with democrats, just...2 nights ago? from walter reed?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

if you've lost Erick Erickson...

Talked to a friend who lost two relatives to COVID and she is so angry with the President. Then had the same conversation with a different person. I get the sense outside the Twitter bubble that it isn’t going over well.

— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) October 6, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

and as soon as he gets back, he declares all negotiations over?

is he throwing a pissy fit because not every single democrat had positive things to say about his ongoing superspreader status?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

I think the massive dose of 'roids is having side effects with his syphilitic dementia.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

I'm starting to think it's just a mob-style bust-out. He knows he's gonna lose the election so he's burning the whole place down around him.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

hey Andy, shut the fuck up

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

i'm doubling down on my long suggested prediction of escape to russia with his inner circle

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

it's so dumb, it has to happen

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

Potential preview of things to come, eventually. This morning we got a note from my daughter's piano teacher apologizing for the appearance of a few Trump/Pence signs on her front lawn overnight, emphasizing not just how Trump's very name is something to be ashamed of, but also that's it's a prank-ready punchline, like subscribing someone to Fat Ass Monthly magazine or something. I mean, are there places in this country, even in deep red states, where the appearance of a *Biden* sign on someone's front lawn would actually require an apology? Extra security, perhaps, but not panicked emails to piano students.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

It's funny that when someone like Erick Erickson decides it's time to figure out what's going on "outside the Twitter bubble," he turns, not to polls of hundreds of randomly selected people, but to a couple of friends of his.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

i'm doubling down on my long suggested prediction of escape to russia with his inner circle

Russia is not going to let his COVID-riddled ass across the border

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

hear me out: he thinks "no stimulus unless I WIN" is going to make his numbers go up because that's the sort of power move that worked for those businesses he ran into the ground

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

you lost me at "he thinks"

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

snap

Claudia Conway is Q for people who own over $150 in notorious RBG merch

— patrick (@redford) October 6, 2020

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

Therefore he is not?

xp

pomenitul, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:39 (five years ago)

hear me out: he thinks "no stimulus unless I WIN" is going to make his numbers go up because that's the sort of power move that worked for those businesses he ran into the ground


He thinks it’ll bring all 400 million Americans back to the negotiating table.

Boring, Maryland, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

i keep going back to how unfairly he has been treated throughout this whole time

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

I think America is going to respond really well to "you'll get nothing and like it"

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

_hear me out: he thinks "no stimulus unless I WIN" is going to make his numbers go up because that's the sort of power move that worked for those businesses he ran into the ground_


I've been saying it since the beginning, if you want to understand people's reaction to Trump you really need to spend less time studying Mussolini or whatever and more time studying families with abusive fathers.

— Michael Tae Sweeney (@mtsw) October 6, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

lol that’s gotta be it.

for a brief second I wondered if maybe he understands that the likelihood of him winning is incredibly low, and figured why not fuck everything as much as possible on the way out (v much in keeping with his party and cohort)

but nah. it’s DEAL TIME BABY

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

including one where Trump is photoshopped onto Rambo's body

Oh yeah I saw this one on the road, the caption was "No man, No Woman, No Commie Can Stump Him".

"Stump" is such a bizarre choice on any level, especially paired with the iconography of noted quiz show champion Rambo.

change display name (Jordan), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

i spend so much time thinking about how much i hate Trump for being a fascist, racist asshole, that i never really sit down and process what an absolute fucking dumbass he is.

like it's not news that he's a complete moron! i used to be a real hot pencil at doing impressions of Trump interview transcripts! but the real-life horror of the last four years has sorta blotted out my day to day comprehension of the fact that one of the dumbest people i've ever beheld is the President of the United States.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

I’ve thought of the angle in that tweet a lot but didn’t want to be caught betting on the favorite.

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

Doesn't Trump know he could just not run? That would be the perfect end, if the night before the election he just says fuck it and quits.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

yeah the "abusive dad" thing came across pretty loud and clear during the debate

the reason why I somewhat suspect he is doing this as a political move is because this is exactly the sort of dumbass strategy he's been tweeting about since Obama was president

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

he needs to close his eyes and never open them again. COVID in teh 12th round, $20 wager. who's taking wagers?

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

I truly don't understand this, and nor do a number of people who advise the president. It's like he's trying to lose. https://t.co/GNOwrZEhx9

— Jonathan Swan (@jonathanvswan) October 6, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

You’re still a hot pencil to me Doc

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

he's going to lose and say he was mis-advised and then give out the addresses to all of his aides after they leave the White House.

and twitter will ban him.

and suddenly @the2ndrealdonaldtrump will show up.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

this is going to end up like Who Shot Mr Burns?

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

”No Woman, No Commie Can Stump Him"

— Bob Marley

Regard the timeless piano balladeeress! (breastcrawl), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

poet and a prophet

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:27 (five years ago)

WH economic adviser Stephen Moore on Trump walking away from stimulus talks:

"From a political and a policy standpoint, this was a shrewd move .

"A deal on the Pelosi plan would have completely divided the Republican Party on the eve of the election."https://t.co/PevJsXZOSb

— Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) October 6, 2020

wonder if publicly saying WE ARE DOING THIS FOR POLITICAL REASONS is gonna help them in November

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

pic.twitter.com/VfhWsCCELd

— Brian Tashman (@briantashman) October 6, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

Yes, by all means, keep the GOP united so they can all sink into the ocean together on election night.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:39 (five years ago)

honestly this might be the worst week any political campaign has ever experienced and it's entirely self-owns

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

the composition of that photo is incredible

treeship., Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

like it's looking like all the early voting might have actually been good for Trump

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

they're morons if they think scuttling stimulus negotiations will have positive political results

treeship., Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

Vice President Pence is requesting that no plexiglass dividers be placed on his side of the stage during the vice presidential debate in Utah against Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) on Wednesday, according to The Washington Post.

The Biden campaign said Monday that plexiglass dividers would be installed on the debate stage in Salt Lake City.

...Marc Short, chief of staff to Pence, said his team did not see plexiglass dividers as medically necessary, according to the Post. Other safety measures have already been agreed to, such as daily testing for both Pence and Harris and a 12-foot distance between them.

“If she wants it, she’s more than welcome to surround herself with plexiglass if that makes her feel more comfortable,” Short said according to the newspaper. “It’s not needed.”

"patriots don't need walls"

or wait, that's not a good slogan for them

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

oh idk the GOP precipitating a recession just as they’re very likely to lose both executive and legislative branches for at least two years could be the ‘smart’ play

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

lol I'm sure there are plenty of GOP politicians who really want a stimulus to save their campaigns but they have no choice but to follow roided up strong daddy

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

destroy the country they are entrusted with governing in order to possibly make their opponents look marginally worse (if things shake out electorally like we preddict)

treeship., Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

on Jan 21 or whatever this all becomes a “Democrat problem” and then it’s just a drunken turkey shoot

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

aren't we still already *in* a recession?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

I honestly can’t tell what’s going on any more. Certain sectors have certainly managed to insulate. we’ll see if it holds...

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

"I just want things to go back to normal"
tbc these people are also idiots, albeit understandable ones

― it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 1:20 PM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Intellectually, I understand that the status quo was super-shitty for a lot of people before Trump came along and also that there are various harmful trends that have accelerated over the past few years (some related to Trump, some not) that won't just disappear with a Democratic president in the Oval Office and will require continued effort to address.

Emotionally, I'm exhausted and don't want to think about Trump anymore and crave some form of "normal" as relief, even if it's a mirage.

jaymc, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

Entire sectors of the economy are essentially shut down, so yes.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu8WOh58EvI

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:15 (five years ago)

New Franklin Pierce/ Boston Herald National Poll

Biden 51% (+14)
Trump 37%

Biden up by 14pts in the Boston Herald’s national poll. In post-diagnosis polling, Biden’s lead extended to a 21pt lead (which was a 16pt swing from pre-diagnosis polling)

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 6, 2020

21! there's no national election, this is one poll, and this is probably non-response bias that won't last to election day, but still!

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

to jaymc's point just get the sense of real exhaustion from everybody

like even if not one thing is better because Biden is elected there will be some mental relief that I won't have to care what this stupid fuck yammers on about day after day

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

oh idk the GOP precipitating a recession just as they’re very likely to lose both executive and legislative branches for at least two years could be the ‘smart’ play

Having this happen now, though, anything Biden does is going to make him look like a savior come January.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

this friend also mentioned something about how "really not that much has changed" under Trump, which I thought was a remarkably tone deaf thing to say (especially because he takes the pandemic fairly seriously!) but he's one of those "why blame Republicans when you can blame Democrats" kind of people

my response was that even if your life isn't measurably worse somehow, even if you don't care about the cruelty at the border or the people wrecked in Puerto Rico or the environment or the massive deficit or the treason or anything else, you cannot deny how fucking shitty it's made all political discourse and the extent to which he's not only ruined friendships but destroyed familial relationships as well. even if YOU are one of those "conservatives that think Trump's a moron" a lot of people aren't and in fact hang on to every single word he says, the vast majority of which boil down to "Fuck facts, fuck minorities, and fuck all liberals", which has utterly poisoned so many relationships in my life and probably all of yours as well. I have a stepbrother that calls me "triggered" because I told him how dumb the "only 6% of Covid deaths are Covid deaths" thing was. my neighbor with a Trump sign I will never want to hang out with again. a bunch of my lifelong friends post Trump BS on Facebook all the time and I don't think I can have a good relationship with them anymore either.

it's not that the GOP hasn't always been shitty, it's that Trump has created an environment where your political alignment is your sole personality trait and has reduced every single GOP argument to the intellectual level of "the Earth is flat, every single NASA photo was faked, and I know because you can't see curvature from an airplane". every fucking week there is a new major scandal that would've tanked literally any other politician on the planet. we are governed by the stupidest, most evil motherfuckers on the planet and it's fucking terrifying since they've gotten to the stage where they don't even feel the need to hide it any more. Biden winning ain't gonna fix everything but its not healthy to have this much politics in your life, especially not politics where the only fucking thing that matters is triggering people. so yeah. pretty excited for President Biden right now!!

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

Excellent post, frogbs.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

Amen brother

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

I fucking hate how everything about Trump is so implausible it's basically turned literally everything into a conspiracy theory. He's the the most exceptional exception that's become the rule, so now everything is an exception.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:35 (five years ago)

I was excited about election night 2016 solely because I assumed it meant the end of Trump being a constant voice and presence in the background of my daily life. I'm equally excited about this election for the same reason. Just hope it doesn't drag on for weeks after election night.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

Speak of the devil, did I see that Facebook just outright banned Q bullshit?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

Yes sir, frogs.

I'll never understand this need to piss off people who disagree with you politically. I don't want to piss republicans off. I want them to change their hearts or die.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:37 (five years ago)

lol, if Q abandons FB, FB will lose most of their traffic.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:38 (five years ago)

whoa!

#NCsen:
Cunningham (D) 47% (+5)
Tillis (R-inc) 42%@Reuters/@Ipsos, LV, 9/29-10/6https://t.co/6xIVPfSkYH

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 6, 2020

Is this after the sexting revelation?

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:38 (five years ago)

ST. LOUIS -- A grand jury indicted [RNC speakers] Mark and Patricia McCloskey Tuesday on charges of exhibiting guns at protesters in a June incident in their neighborhood.

Additionally, the grand jury added a charge of tampering with evidence for both. https://t.co/yb5try153J

— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) October 6, 2020

lmao get disbarred fucko

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:43 (five years ago)

Great post frogbs

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:46 (five years ago)

xp YESSSSS

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

Name a more indicted duo I'll wait.

nashwan, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

Yeah, great posts, frogbs and jaymc.

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

we’re starting to see trump do stuff because he enjoys it even though he knows it’s electorally counterproductive

Imagine how unchained he'll be after he loses (but before he leaves)!

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:54 (five years ago)

Is this after the sexting revelation?

― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 4:38 PM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Polling was 9/29-10/6. The "sexting" was revealed on 10/2, so...right in the middle of it.

I saw another poll that was taken on 10/4-10/5 that showed Cunningham up 48-42; the pollster characterized the race as "unaffected by recent developments."

jaymc, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

Trump did that guy a huge favor

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 21:59 (five years ago)

Ivanka or Don Jr coming along in 2028 to avenge their father is going to be one hell of a dark sequel.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:03 (five years ago)

neither one of them has any of the charisma that trump does. even if you think trump has no charisma, which, fair, what is less than zero? ivanka and don jr. one of don jr's main problems is that he has never accomplished anything at all. ivanka is a training video AI

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:05 (five years ago)

OK but people voted in their father.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:06 (five years ago)

non-US poster in "not understanding Trump" shocker

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

if I had a dollar, etc

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

that awesome re NC

come onnnnn SC, if for no other reason than Graham getting owned would be so sweet. Would honestly take it over TX or GA flipping blue.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

non-US poster in "not understanding Trump" shocker

― sleeve, Tuesday, October 6, 2020 3:09 PM (five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Alba lives in the US

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:15 (five years ago)

sorry, my bad, Scottish refs threw me off, I stand corrected

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:16 (five years ago)

Really pulling for SC too, not just because fuck Lindsey Graham forever but also because I legitimately like Harrison

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

same, for SC. my parents have a beach house timeshare there and call him "our lindsey"

burn in hell lindsey graham

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

I really can't imagine anything as modest as "sexting" moving the needle anymore. I think every Dem realized what a mistake it was to pressure out Franken, or at least how worthless taking the high road really is when the other side audaciously rubs its infractions in your face.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

sorry, my bad, Scottish refs threw me off, I stand corrected


No problem. I've only lived here a year and wouldn't pretend I've gained much extra insight into the appeal of Donald Trump.

My comment back at Karl was really just a "well someone has to say it" obvious response to Ivanka and Don Jr's lack of credentials being brought up. I don't really think they'll become president but who-the-fuck-knows disclaimers apply.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:27 (five years ago)

"OK but people voted in their father."

3 million less than voted for an awful Dem candidate. Cult of Trump is loud and he did squeak out a victory in one election so I think we all overestimate his following.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

yeah, i hear that alba! honestly, i almost added a very similar "but who the fuck knows these days" kind of disclaimer, but at this point i think that same disclaimer applies to just about everything and is almost implied

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:31 (five years ago)

part of me wonders if this election could go badly enough for the GOP to force it into a kind of debaathification, but i just don't know how they pull that off. at least 50% of e.g. the GOP senate seems genuinely in he tank for trumpism, and they're going to need that half to have any influence. they've pushed themselves so far to the right politically and their primaries (i.e. the next 5-10 years of candidates) are being won by truly insane people, etc. i guess the one chance they have is that people have incredibly short memories.

but no, i don't see any trump family member having any national success (or the patience for state/local politics).

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:33 (five years ago)

i.e. i don't think a powerful cynic like mitch mcconnell could stop this being true, even if he wanted to https://newrepublic.com/article/158977/madison-cawthorn-future-republican-party.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:35 (five years ago)

with don jr, though - seriously does that guy have anything he can say he's done? i recognize that all of trump's supposed "accomplishments" were almost entirely fabricated or based on falsehoods - from having Art of the Deal ghostwritten to tax shenanigans - but still, he had a record to point to when he ran for president, even if that was mostly just having a hit tv show that someone else ran for a few years. what is don jr's thing? pretending to run the golf courses for 4 years?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:38 (five years ago)

oh, thanks everyone

I guess his Secret Service car ride and the video of him removing his mask yesterday despite clearly being next to other people really scared me. obviously we know he's a monster already and that his administration straight up decided not to act on Covid because it supposedly affected blue states more but at least there was a (severely dumb) political reason there. his recent actions are like - just stunning in their disregard for human life, specifically the people **whose job it is to protect him**. if you see that and still vote for the man, you are a monster almost as much as he is!! How can anyone possibly defend his pandemic response when there's video of him endangering others for NO FUCKING REASON at all !? like, yeah, GWB obviously was willing to kill on a grand scale to achieve his goals, but at least there you could argue he was trying to protect Americans, or at least that was his rationale at some point, with Trump it's like...he won't act because he quite literally does not care if you live or die. it's unspeakably evil. I know Halloween isn't for another few weeks but I'm spooked right now!

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:40 (five years ago)

they've pushed themselves so far to the right politically and their primaries (i.e. the next 5-10 years of candidates) are being won by truly insane people, etc.

i think this is the thing - there doesn't seem to be ANY momentum toward the center-right, let alone whatever the "center" is. is there any momentum for reasonable people in the party? maybe i'm just being targeted with stories about the GOP Q candidates, because my psychometrics indicate that i click on more stories about dumb Q candidates than i do about smart reasonable GOP candidates. but...i don't think so? they all seem fucking dumb to me, for real. it does not look good.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:41 (five years ago)

KM - I think on some level this is what all the hate for AOC is about? she's young, smart, good with social media, and exceptionally popular, she is everything the GOP needs in their next generation of candidates, but instead literally everyone branded as "the Republican AOC" is a fucking lunatic who is destined to lose by 30+ points. I know the GOP finds ways to bounce back but I legitimately don't know where they go from here

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:45 (five years ago)

No, Josh, Franken should've been forced out. He did worse than sexting a consenting adult, c'mon.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:45 (five years ago)

I can't believe this has come up again.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:45 (five years ago)

xp frogbs, i think that makes sense. imagine asking "where is our AOC??", and the answer you get back is "Turning Point USA"

sure, they love to see a new generation of cleancut pricks, but on some level they have to realize they're rooting for the dorks

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:47 (five years ago)

I mean, there's a world in which someone like Charlie Baker can come forward and say "nominate me and I'll win 400 electoral votes" and he's probably right! But the party is probably too far gone for somebody like him to make it through a primary. Also, it's not at all clear he wants that, and honestly why would he?

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:47 (five years ago)

Charlie Baker is never leaving MA

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:47 (five years ago)

what is don jr's thing? pretending to run the golf courses for 4 years?

Why are you even asking this? His thing is "owning the libs" which millions of people think he does every day with resounding success and that is what they are looking for in an elected official.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:48 (five years ago)

literally everyone branded as "the Republican AOC" is a fucking lunatic who is destined to lose by 30+ points.

well, some of these people are running in de facto one party congressional districts and are coming to DC in january!

the problem for the GOP is their primary-voting base is making them run these candidates everywhere now.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

their corner of social media + the primary system (which is an insane way of doing things btw and as much to blame for the structural problems in the US as the two party system) creates a positive feedback driving them more and more right.

i might be being naive/an accelerationist but i don't agree with pelosi that this is a shame at all. we don't need a republican party to govern. the state of california has problems but it's better run than the US.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:50 (five years ago)

Why are you even asking this? His thing is "owning the libs" which millions of people think he does every day with resounding success and that is what they are looking for in an elected official.

It may turn out to be the case that that only gets you over the finish line if you're running against Hillary Clinton.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

alfred otm

as for the next generation of "reasonable" GOP politicians: look for a lot of wealthy-ass, grown-up-lookin' Romney types to drip out of the interstices of corporate america promising to "run government like a business.". never gets old!

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

Aw, what a shame.

NEW: Stephen Miller has tested positive for COVID, per senior administration official. Adds Miller has been working remotely for last 5 days, testing negative every day through yesterday, and is in quarantine after a positive test today.

— Hallie Jackson (@HallieJackson) October 6, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

yeah, i take your point eephus, it's just that he's not particularly good at it and he hasn't once demonstrated anything other than that he's a foil for whatever nonsense his dad says

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:53 (five years ago)

FUCK YEAH, EAT IT MILLER!!!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:53 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cmFqTAWDbYA

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

there it is.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:56 (five years ago)

the october surprise we'd all been waiting for.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:56 (five years ago)

as for the next generation of "reasonable" GOP politicians: look for a lot of wealthy-ass, grown-up-lookin' Romney types to drip out of the interstices of corporate america promising to "run government like a business.". never gets old!

― Doctor Casino, Tuesday, October 6, 2020 6:51 PM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

how are these people going to win primaries?!?!

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:56 (five years ago)

Ha ha Stephen Miller, just when I thought all the best ones had gone.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:56 (five years ago)

xp to caek: they aren't

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:57 (five years ago)

not unless they run as Democrats

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:57 (five years ago)

Even Stephen Miller's wife can't stand to be around him long enough to infect him.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:58 (five years ago)

ha, right. xp

Georgia, Virginia, Arizona come to mind as Dem-trending states where the remaining GOP electorate has turned far-right. https://t.co/AaiZaIun03

— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) October 5, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 22:58 (five years ago)

don't get too excited folks, there may be no difference between Miller's RNA and the Rona

frogbs, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

imho the Romnoids could do just fine in suburbs that are tilting back to Biden just because Trump has proven slightly too uncouth and unreliable. like depending on the gerrymander, those areas may or may not include enough batshit Q-zones to put the trump devotees over in primaries.

Doctor Casino, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:02 (five years ago)

post-2012 - the Republicans are so doomed nationally they have their internal consultants tell them to move to the center and stop being racist
during the 2016 election you have Republican operatives complaining that Trump is going to lose like Goldwater 1964

Projecting the future in the face of climate disaster and continuing immiseration seems pointless.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

Strange bedfellows indeed...

Goldman Sachs: A Democratic sweep would mean faster economic recovery
Just hours after Trump's all-caps Monday morning tweet predicting economic disaster, Goldman economists pointed out that polls "suggest a 'blue wave' in which Democrats gain unified control of Washington is becoming more likely" -- and they're not suggesting investors dump stocks.
In fact, "all else equal, such a blue wave would likely prompt us to upgrade our forecasts," Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius wrote in a Monday report...

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

really not that strange

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:06 (five years ago)

The least strange thing of October 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:06 (five years ago)

How is Rudy doing? Dead yet?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:08 (five years ago)

Just smells like he is

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:09 (five years ago)

And how about Pence? How has he escaped covid's wrath (besides prayer)?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:10 (five years ago)

Chris Christie is still in the hospital.

https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020/10/ex-nj-gov-chris-christie-remains-hospitalized-for-covid-19.html

a certain derecho (brownie), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:15 (five years ago)

funny that you ask, pence has been cleared for tomorrow's debate by both his own doctor and CDC, which should be humiliated

Vice President Pence was cleared by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to participate in the debate Wednesday night against Sen. Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.).

CDC Director Robert Redfield wrote in a memo that he consulted with Pence’s physician and concluded that Pence wasn’t in close contact to anyone contagious. Pence was at the Rose Garden ceremony for Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett. At least seven people who had been at that event have tested positive for the coronavirus.

“Based on the descriptions of the movements of the Vice President ... the Vice President is not a close contact of any known person with covid-19, including the president,” Redfield wrote.

Since Friday, when Trump’s diagnosis was disclosed, Pence’s coronavirus tests have all come back negative. Redfield cites the negative tests and the physician’s conclusions to determine “from a public health standpoint, it is safe for the Vice President to participate in the upcoming Vice-Presidential debate.”

https://i.imgur.com/q2COIAU.jpg

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:16 (five years ago)

forgot to add the covidbeams from the bottom (where trump was) and to the far right (where still-hospitalized chris christie was)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:17 (five years ago)

Christie only went into the hospital to chill out and hide from the press, though, "still" doesn't mean anything.

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

is that Ben Sasse with his mask on below his nose?

Dan S, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

masks are incredibly complicated and hard

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:20 (five years ago)

Pence’s head about to explode in that photo!!

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:22 (five years ago)

Miller is the sweetest one yet

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:24 (five years ago)

(aside from the obvious)

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

this is honestly even sweeter to me

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

^ yeah

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:26 (five years ago)

Yeah he’s hard to top. I think it would be great to see Barr fall ill aswell, and plus he’s older so there’s a greater chance of him finally facing a measure of accountability

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:27 (five years ago)

Miller is ideological, Trump is not, and he's the only one who's managed to stay in the administration, exercising his agenda, for four years

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:27 (five years ago)

feeling y'all on this, and yeah Barr would be great

sleeve, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:27 (five years ago)

please god if you are there smite this asshole

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:27 (five years ago)

Barr and Mitch would be very very satisfying, yes; I assume McConnell has been more cautious than Barr about reducing his risk.

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

Miller's my no. 3 behind 1) Barr and 2) the other one

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

Superman in on the Rose Garden covid action

https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcStvb73zvy2Tu1QQ8jEWxh5W4BEiKLBTGhA7g&usqp=CAU

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

OK but people voted in their father.

Just got back to the thread. When I just read this I first thought “their” referred to the voters, as per earlier comments.

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

So I guess this answer's my question way upthread that Stephen Miller's wife (Pence's spokesperson) who tested positive back in May did not transfer it to him. Most likely because their marriage is a facade but I don't want to prop-shame anyone.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

pence's no chicks policy might have saved his life

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:35 (five years ago)

Miller is the sweetest one yet

Some call him the pompatus of coronavirus.

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

I agree with others that the glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel has made social media, if not life, just that much more bearable.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

it would be awesome if Trump loses and then all these people immediately drop dead.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

Hoping they don't breathe on their housekeepers

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:39 (five years ago)

Apologies if this was posted earlier I can't quite keep up

"It's incredibly selfish of older people or neurotic people who are timid & afraid & won't come out of their basements to confine children & young people to miss out on the most important part of their lives" - Fox News is now straight up blaming old & vulnerable people for Covid pic.twitter.com/mLhiwDHmrN

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 6, 2020

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:43 (five years ago)

I mean, it's Miranda Devine to be fair. The Fox anchor can't quite believe it either.

Alba, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:44 (five years ago)

i think it's incredibly selfish of old people to insist on coming out of their basements so they can frequent bars and restaurants and churches at the literal expense of safely opening schools.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:46 (five years ago)

Scum, in a word.

NEW: “We need to take away children,” AG Sessions told prosecutors, according to a draft DOJ IG report. That statement contradicts Sessions’ previous claim that “we never really intended” to separate children. w/@shearm @ktbenner https://t.co/938OvsSuus

— Michael S. Schmidt (@nytmike) October 6, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:48 (five years ago)

kinda like how God tells you he has a plan, and it'll only work if little Timmy dies on Friday

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 6 October 2020 23:50 (five years ago)

for the timeline geeks among us:

Remember when Trump blamed military and law enforcement for Hope Hicks getting COVID? It never made sense why she, and now him, would blame military personnel for giving it to them. Well...did you know there was a Gold Star Mother's Day event at the White House on Sunday?

— Fred Wellman (@FPWellman) October 6, 2020

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:19 (five years ago)

After receiving the best socialized health care in the world Trump just said "no" to providing any relief to the unemployed, the uninsured or the hungry. But he's still pushing the Senate to confirm a Supreme Court nominee who will strip health care from 20 million. How pathetic.

— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) October 6, 2020

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

man, just put Bernie on TV and let him campaign

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:30 (five years ago)

congratulation to America on getting its very own Miranda Devine and it turning out to be Miranda Devine

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

Even Stephen Miller's wife can't stand to be around him long enough to infect him.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 5:58 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

Underrated post

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:38 (five years ago)

At least Bernie should write Biden's tweets

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:39 (five years ago)

xpost Didn't catch it from the person he presumably shares a bed with but did catch it from his boss, makes u think

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:40 (five years ago)

Aw

Trump still at times sounded like he was trying to catch air. Officials conceded the president was not getting tested every day before his diagnosis. https://t.co/JdOETmfxYk

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 7, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:40 (five years ago)

because this reddit was mentioned upthread (or maybe in another poli-thread), popped in to check on the true believer scum re: stimulus and the depths of their stupidity never ceases to amaze

https://www.reddit.com/r/AskTrumpSupporters/comments/j6bb5j/what_is_your_opinion_on_delaying_negotiations_for/

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:43 (five years ago)

Very Secret Honor

Aides said that Mr. Trump made calls from the White House on Tuesday and roamed the areas of the presidential residence that had been set up for him. Although he was described as itching to get back into the Oval Office and show that he was in charge, a potential live address to the nation was discussed but scrapped in favor of a planned taped one.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:44 (five years ago)

There was a panel talking about Trump's abandonment of the relief bill. First, the obvious interpretation, blackmail: elect me or (since you'd be looking at February, at least) perish. Then someone suggested it was another example of Trump caring about no one except himself...but then just as quickly called that into question, since this would likely be politically disastrous for him: it would give a few more million people a reason to hate him, and his beloved stock market would putter along or worse. Nothing but personal pique, another person offered: another middle finger to his enemies. They all made sense.

"Always remember: others may hate you, but those who hate you don't win unless you hate them, and then you destroy yourself."

I've always believed the person who said that understood the full weight of those words. I don't believe the guy living them out right now really does.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:48 (five years ago)

"Always remember: others may hate you, but those who hate you don't win unless you hate them, and then you destroy yourself."

I've always believed the person who said that understood the full weight of those words. I don't believe the guy living them out right now really does.

― clemenza, Tuesday, October 6, 2020

otm

Dan S, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:50 (five years ago)

- Bob Marley

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

I'll hate whoever I damn well please, starting with these fascist monsters

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

GTFO with that high road bullshit

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

Didn't catch it from the person he presumably shares a bed with

Impregnated her by climbing a ladder in the corner of her bedroom and shuddering into a long, flexible funnel.

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:57 (five years ago)

xp I had the impression Clemenza was referring to Trump there?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:57 (five years ago)

Yeah...I'm not sure that means.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 00:59 (five years ago)

Trump's hatred will be death of him if it's Covid

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:00 (five years ago)

sometimes COVID smells like halothane

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:01 (five years ago)

fwiw I do think trump is destroying himself and the republican party with hate.

I don’t think we get anywhere with that kind of animosity

Dan S, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:05 (five years ago)

yes, I am familiar with your privileged stance on the issue and don't wish to discuss it further

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

smells like halothane

With the masks on
It's less dangerous

(Not what you were referring to, I know, but still)

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

The weird thing is, as twisted as Nixon's hatred was, I can at least makes sense of where it was rooted: he had to turn down a Harvard law scholarship and stay in Whittier because his brother was dying, and for the rest of his life he was consumed by a burning resentment of "the Harvard boys" and Kennedys and privilege (which branched out to a million other hatreds).

Where does Trump's hatred come from? The fortune he was given as a kid?

Speaking of mysterious, burning hate, Sleeve, you're off on your own planet, as you often are.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:12 (five years ago)

hate can be extremely good actually

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:12 (five years ago)

Or to put it another way, what in the Jesus fuck are you talking about?

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:12 (five years ago)

I thought we’d already established that it all boils down to daddy issues.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

Trump has the same hatred of the Harvard Boys

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

he's been spewing bile at the from across the east river for decades

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

Isn’t it pretty well known that Trump is despised by virtually everyone who’s actually successful

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

Definitely some overlap with Nixon, although they were so profoundly different in other ways.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

Biden's best idea is a calming down of the rhetoric

Dan S, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

Speaking of mysterious, burning hate, Sleeve, you're off on your own planet, as you often are.

― clemenza, Wednesday, October 7, 2020 2:12 AM (twelve minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

sleeve's anger and annoyance is very understandable imo. your schtick on the other hand .. isn't off on its own planet really, it's just permanently stuck in the 70s.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

Everyone knows Alex’s great bit about his hate being pure. If you don’t know the story, it’s a tradition that Alex inherited from his editor Jim Goode who’d test Alexander’s morale and commitment to the good fight by asking him if his “hate” for the powerful was truly pure. Alex would then put the same question to his interns at the Nation. One such intern, a young Ed Miliband, soon to be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, replied with shock that he did not, in fact, hate anyone. As Alex put it: “It’s all you need to know.”

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

and dan s, i would also appreciate you toning down the kumbaya stuff esp. since you've revealed you're not exactly working class

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

I'm a '70s guy, I don't deny that. Not sure that invalidates the post that started all this.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:29 (five years ago)

fwiw I do think trump is destroying himself and the republican party with hate.

Is he? 2008-2009 would like a word.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

i'm not saying it does and i think sleeve probably misread you though i can't speak for him. xp

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

Should Biden win and, let's hope, flip the Senate, the work gets harder. Not only have we to clean up this asshole's messes, we gotta watch our asses: the GOP will turn 2022 into 2010, i.e. Koch-funded local insurrections based, this time, on COVID spending. We'll be back to those February 2010 arguments about DEBT and OUR CHILDREN WHAT WILL WE DO

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

It’s ok to actively hate *and* understand that if too sustained for too many years it will burn you up.

Doesn’t mean hating hard on these motherfuckers now isn’t the only sane response.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

Demographics are destiny, Republicans can't win a national election, Texas is on the verge of turning purple if not blue etc. etc. etc. - all things foretold from 2008 to 2012 in the wake of what seemed like high tide for evangelical conservatism. Doubling down on hate (with some choice funding from billionaires) has enabled the GOP to keep playing an active role in governance even while they have been rejected by a majority of Americans for all of our adult lives.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

If Democrats refuse to rein in the existence and freedom of billionaires in any meaningful way, they are just going to enable the ability of the GOP to rule as a minority.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

Although a mistake to think anger and hate are synonymous, I've take enormous comfort from PiL's "anger is an energy" bit in "Rise." Queer brown people, take heart. That Lydon's a Trump asshole make the irony more delicious.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wzNjmIWbns4

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

To make clear something I wouldn't think would need to be made clear, I was, in the initial post, referring to the kind of all-consuming hatred that Nixon (with some self-awareness) and Trump (with none) share, and that--yes--eventually burns you up. More targeted hatred, sure, I'm all for it, and practice it often (though less than I used to, nearing 60).

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:38 (five years ago)

AZ is going to have 2 Dem senators and could vote Dem for Prez too. Hard to see its swing towards blue reversing or even halting.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

I feel like people are going to look upon the Trump era differently than they did GWB era. With Dubya I think there was this feeling that, as horrible as he was, in a sense he got unlucky. 9/11 happened. The wars (which most of Congress approved of) were just a nonstop comedy of errors. The idea that "maybe we should let everyone take a bad loan to buy a house" wound up being disastrous. Now obviously there was a ton of patently evil shit and misdirection that went on but Dubya was a guy who, when the shit really hit the fan, people could talk themselves into liking. Trump on the other hand has none of that. Everything he does and says is based on spite and/or false information. He is one of the most awful, incompetent, and unpleasant men in US political history, and nearly every crisis he encountered was entirely of his own making. The fact that the entire GOP minus like one or two people fell in line behind him is something I don't think people are going to forget in 2 years. But who knows! I'm always wrong about this stuff!

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

I got puddin’ pie banana, dixie cups
All flavors and push ups too
I'm your ice cream man, baby, stop me when I'm passin' by
See now all my flavors are guaranteed to satisfy

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

Oh he’s on one tonight with the tweets

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:47 (five years ago)

another good post frogbs

Dan S, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:47 (five years ago)

Oh he’s on one tonight with the tweets

Yeah, the steroids must really be kicking in.

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:49 (five years ago)

The fact that the entire GOP minus like one or two people fell in line behind him is something I don't think people are going to forget in 2 years.

I can't even begin to formulate the kind of amnesia and backflips and rationales these people are going to try to sell when Trump's gone. I really can't, or how successful they'll be.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:50 (five years ago)

If you’re more worried about @realDonaldTrump unmasking on a balcony with no one close to him than you were by the Obama/Biden administration unmasking (aka illegally spying on) their political opponents, my diagnosis is you have TDS, & my prescription is to put down your phone.

— Senator Rand Paul (@RandPaul) October 6, 2020

This bootlicking worm! Remember when daddy was the cool rebel Republican for people who didn't know they were fascists yet?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

Assuming this is a high water mark for the democrats in the short term but that demographics make it hard for republicans to form a majority for a while then the goal should be to bake in structural reform that makes minority government harder. So passing this is a good place to start https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/For_the_People_Act_of_2019

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

xp he forgot to address that to "my friend," otherwise excellent post in character from Baby Doc

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

Rand Paul seems like someone who's been a burden on everyone who's ever had the misfortune to interact with him since the day he was born.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

I do have The Dangliest Shlong tho

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

'I generally love children but, ugh, this fucking baby sucks shit.'

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

Rand Paul seems like someone who's been a burden on everyone who's ever had the misfortune to interact with him since the day he was born.

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Ted Cruz iirc

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:55 (five years ago)

Saw Cruz aggressively defending Trump last week. Trump called his wife ugly and his dad an accomplice to the JFK assassination.

Paul, I think Trump called him ugly too, in one of the debates, and ridiculed his 1% in the polls. (Which, I'll admit, I found funny in the moment.)

Clearly, they both owe him a debt of gratitude.

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

Don’t cry for my White House staffer. pic.twitter.com/AvF1pZleOE

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 7, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:03 (five years ago)

May everyone who owes Trump a debt of gratitude take a note from big man himself re: payment of debts.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:07 (five years ago)

the GOP will turn 2022 into 2010, i.e. Koch-funded local insurrections based, this time, on COVID spending. We'll be back to those February 2010 arguments about DEBT and OUR CHILDREN WHAT WILL WE DO

^^so much otm and i'd suggest keeping that white hot animus for Trump and his enablers alive even if/when he eats it in the general, and visiting it upon every single person in the media and congress--regardless of party--when they start this mewling bullshit. because it's coming and fuck that.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

y'all remember this

https://img.timeinc.net/time/magazine/archive/covers/2008/1101081124_400.jpg

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:13 (five years ago)

lol yup like it was yesterday

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:15 (five years ago)

We need to have a handy booklet printed up listing everyone who enabled this fuck so that, when he's gone and they try to elbow their way back into the society they helped to cripple for short-term gain, we'll all know at a glance who can eat shit.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

If there’s no stimulus until Jan 22, that might force Biden/Pelosi/Schumer to not jerk off over the deficit at least.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

why I am I seeing murmurs that he's acting crazier than usual?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

he must've just re-read The Art of the Deal

If I am sent a Stand Alone Bill for Stimulus Checks ($1,200), they will go out to our great people IMMEDIATELY. I am ready to sign right now. Are you listening Nancy? @MarkMeadows @senatemajldr @kevinomccarthy @SpeakerPelosi @SenSchumer

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 7, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

lmao dude is lit

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:31 (five years ago)

Twitter is like wall-to-wall Simpsons quotes right now, it owns

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:32 (five years ago)

we should keep tweeting at him to declassify everything right now

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-commentary/trump-dexemethasone-steroid-covid-andrew-leahey-1071822/

Recreational dexemethasone is going to become a thing on the alt-right.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

Do it now! I need to make a down payment on a @RamTrucks before Trucktober ends!

— Dodge Ram Owner (RamLover69) (@GetRammed69) October 7, 2020

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:42 (five years ago)

DO YOU HEAR ME, PRESIDENT TRUCKNUTS?

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

FEELING GREAT!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 6, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

actual lols

umsworth (emsworth), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:53 (five years ago)

either someone got to him or he died

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 02:59 (five years ago)

I'm operating under the assumption that this shit is all Scavino until proven otherwise.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:02 (five years ago)

I know this is many many xposts, I was facilitating a workshop, but I'm not going to lie: I think I have unfriended a total of two people since Trump was elected. One of them was an early mentor of mine who turned into an insane conservative 'rebel' type who works for The Federalist, and the other is his wife.

I know absolutely no one who supports the guy, or ever has. I've lived in areas surrounded by his supporters, but never cared to get to know them too well.

Maybe it's my demographics or just my political persuasion, but I've always been mystified by people saying they had to cut off a friend because the person turned out to be a Trump supporter. Just nowhere near my experience in any way, shape, or form.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:13 (five years ago)

It’s like 40% of the electorate dude, good for you though?

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:16 (five years ago)

Grain of salt, don't believe it, etc. But

I can’t overstate the significance of this. Two red-state Rs, on consecutive days, telling me they’re seeing poll numbers they never thought were possible.

Their shared conclusion: Trump’s standing w/ white college+ women threatens to tank the entire party down-ballot on Nov 3. https://t.co/6HGhHtR3DI

— Tim Alberta (@TimAlberta) October 7, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:21 (five years ago)

“and dan s, i would also appreciate you toning down the kumbaya stuff esp. since you've revealed you're not exactly working class”

― Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Tuesday, October 6, 2020

that's condescending. you don’t know me

Dan S, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:36 (five years ago)

“fwiw I do think trump is destroying himself and the republican party with hate.”

is he? 2008-2009 would like a word.
― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 

2008 is not at all the same as 2020

Dan S, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:37 (five years ago)

esp. since you've revealed you're not exactly working class

Is this something new? Are we declaring incomes around here now?

clemenza, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

i'm declaring deez nuts

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:45 (five years ago)

fork pulls up in the phantom with a briefcase full of pottery money

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:49 (five years ago)

wheels keep spinning

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 03:57 (five years ago)

This is the ultimate version of Trump: tweeting constantly while out of his mind on drugs and no one can take the phone from him because he’s a biohazard

— Ambooent 1: Music For Scareports (@pixelatedboat) October 7, 2020

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

OMG

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 04:18 (five years ago)

So what's Pelosi gonna do re this stand alone stimulus check demand....I think journalist David Dayen is right. He’s been saying since the negotiations for the first Cares Act , that McConnell would want big corporate aid, and once he got that he could care less about anything else. Therefore Pelosi should have pushed harder for more in the first bill — state and local aid ( for all states), election and school assistance, unemployment supplement and small business aid till a vaccine, etc. But she gave up some of those items and now McConnell and Trump don’t care because the Fed and the first Cares Act took care of corporate America already.

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:07 (five years ago)

Meantime, the only voice of wisdom

Anyone who has taken steroids such as dexamethasone in far smaller doses than the president is receiving (I have) will tell you that side effects include agitation, euphoria, paranoia and on. It is DEFINITELY not a time for decisions or making an accurate assessment of situations

— Paul Stanley (@PaulStanleyLive) October 6, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:12 (five years ago)

I think the House should immediately push a stimulus bill exceeding what he’s just publicly agreed to and call his bluff. Duh?

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:17 (five years ago)

Acting like Pelosi is the one on the back foot now is some serious Murc’s Law bullshit

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:19 (five years ago)

But he just wants the individual checks and now does not care about Lib stuff like small business aid, states and local governments, school aid, Covid testing and tracing etc. If she pushes for a larger check than 1,200 he may say yes as he will want his little note in there again that says its from him. Pelosi should say her name has to go on a letter with the checks as well this time!

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:23 (five years ago)

But yeah, maybe she should stick to the already approved House plan and try to win that pr battle

curmudgeon, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:25 (five years ago)

He can have his note because mailed checks probably wouldn't arrive until after election day.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 05:27 (five years ago)

It’s not even “try to win the pr battle” at this point; polling would indicate Dems just need to stick to their guns

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 06:03 (five years ago)

There’s just no indication that the Democrats need to go back into the defensive crouch they basically held from 2000-2018.

NB I consider the calls for the Biden campaign to continue attack ads after Trump shit himself in the first debate and got COVID to be part of the aforementioned defensive crouch, because attack ads always come from a position of weakness imo

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 06:14 (five years ago)

i.e. i don't think a powerful cynic like mitch mcconnell could stop this being true, even if he wanted to https://newrepublic.com/article/158977/madison-cawthorn-future-republican-party.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, October 6, 2020 6:35 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

lol pic.twitter.com/zN4Kc8HR3c

— Dell Cameron (@dellcam) October 7, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 08:06 (five years ago)

The RESTART Act must be passed. On its own, as part of a package...whatever it takes.

DT, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 08:10 (five years ago)

Maybe it's my demographics or just my political persuasion, but I've always been mystified by people saying they had to cut off a friend because the person turned out to be a Trump supporter. Just nowhere near my experience in any way, shape, or form.

it's your demographics or your political persuasion. it's not mystifying, it's just people who grew up around other white people, usually rural.

i'm mystified by people who weren't surrounded by screaming idiots in every direction since they were born

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 08:11 (five years ago)

The worst among the Jesus freaks I went to school with were a handful of people who voted for Evan McMullin and morphed into complete insanity post-COVID. I unfriended them all before they went full Q but I'm sure at least one has gone there.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 08:17 (five years ago)

Strong early October 2016 vibes here, no? "Trump's fucked it, he's going to tank all the down ballot races, Mississippi could be in play etc etc"

The Wealth Dad $ |_/ (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 08:54 (five years ago)

Yes, but he wasn’t the President of 20% unemployment and 200k dead then, who just spent the weekend in the hospital because of his ego.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 09:04 (five years ago)

Strong early October 2016 vibes here, no? "Trump's fucked it, he's going to tank all the down ballot races, Mississippi could be in play etc etc"

I mean, people said all those things, but literally every other element of the situation is completely different.

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 09:19 (five years ago)

Biden is, it's true, far far better at dealing with Trump's bullshit that Hilary Clinton was, and maybe that'll be enough on its own. It's hard to understand the motivations of Trump to Biden switchers, although I suppose they must exist. I mean, how exactly can he have disappointed his voters? Can't remember a politician who has been more faithful in office to what he put out there on the campaign trail.

I think 20% unemployment and 200k dead will have surprisingly little effect electorally, but tbf I'm just some asshole British spitballing so actual amercanyets mmv

The Wealth Dad $ |_/ (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 09:43 (five years ago)

Very different situation this time. Good chance Trump will lose badly and on the day itself, but sleepy Joe coming in to a fucked up economy without a hint of a serious plan and a tied up Supreme Court suits Republicans just fine.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 09:46 (five years ago)

He's going to lose between 3 and 30 million votes. I'm positive.

nashwan, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 09:50 (five years ago)

I don’t actually think biden is “far far better” at dealing with trump than Hillary tho admittedly he doesn’t have some of her baggage.

ILX’s bad boy (D-40), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:14 (five years ago)

Agreed. What hindered Hillary Clinton was being Hillary Clinton.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:16 (five years ago)

And she still won the vote by 3million

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:24 (five years ago)

otm

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:29 (five years ago)

Biden is coming across like a normal guy, even a nice guy, if a little old and out of touch. Trump is acting like an absolute weirdo—manic, paranoid, spiteful and grandiose. Since Americans vote “from the gut” they’re choosing between those two things. I think Biden has it.

In 2016, Trump seemed like a roguish outsider and his unpredictability had a kind of excitement to it for some voters. It was this rebel calling out the establishment. That dynamic is totally gone now; the people who still like him are just people who want to have King Lear as president and I’m sorry but there can’t be that many of them.

treeship., Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:30 (five years ago)

Duck Stamp Artists Turn to Spent Shotgun Shells to Meet New Pro-Hunting Mandate

The government art competition now requires hunting imagery, a change that some wildlife painters say undermines its conservation message.


https://www.audubon.org/news/duck-stamp-artists-turn-spent-shotgun-shells-meet-new-pro-hunting-mandate

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:32 (five years ago)

From Politico this morning:

HAVE YOU SEEN “THE BIG LEBOWSKI”? WALTER -- played by John Goodman -- is not a big fan of DONNY, played by Steve Buscemi. During one of their famous bowling scenes, WALTER says to DONNY: “You have no frame of reference, Donny. You’re like a child who wanders in in the middle of a movie.”

DONNY, in this case, bears more than a passing resemblance to President DONALD TRUMP. HIS TWEETS TUESDAY about the Covid stimulus talks seem like he’s awaking from a monthslong slumber, unbriefed by his advisers and unaware of his surroundings as he enters the fray.

TRUMP PULLED OUT OF THE TALKS at 2:48 p.m., citing the nearly $1 trillion difference between the GOP and Democratic negotiating stances -- which many had been privately suggesting he do for some time. Then at 9:54 p.m., he suggested Congress pass “25 Billion Dollars for Airline Payroll Support, & 135 Billion Dollars for Paycheck Protection Program for Small Business,” and a $1,200 stimulus check for every American.

MAN, WHAT A STRATEGY! If you think you’ve heard this before, it’s because you have! Republicans have been suggesting stand-alone bills for months. Speaker NANCY PELOSI has even said that she would pass a stand-alone airline relief bill -- one of her chairs tried last week, and the GOP blocked it. If TRUMP had pushed for this a month ago, when Congress was in session, it might have had a chance of being successful.

They didn't get all the way to "Shut the fuck up, Donny," because they're Politico, but it's easy to see that they wanted to.

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 10:54 (five years ago)

And she still won the vote by 3million

― comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

otm

― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Democrats don't seem interested in reforming a system that produces these outcomes.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 11:30 (five years ago)

The system doesn't need "reform," it needs tearing down. An amendment requires majorities in both houses of Congress and in state legislatures.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 11:59 (five years ago)

Duck Stamp Artists Turn to Spent Shotgun Shells to Meet New Pro-Hunting Mandate

The government art competition now requires hunting imagery, a change that some wildlife painters say undermines its conservation message.

this is truly fucked

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 12:02 (five years ago)

^ New life description

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 12:37 (five years ago)

well the Access Hollywood tape dropped 4 years ago today. This shit is far from over imo

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 13:03 (five years ago)

I'm positive.

So's he!

(rimshot)

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 13:05 (five years ago)

Can someone very succinctly encapsulate what’s going on with the Russiagate/Hillarygate/Obamagate nonsense right now that’s got Trump so spun up (I assume it’s not entirely the drugs talking). I don’t particularly want to wade through Fox News fever dreams to piece together the latest developments

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

steriods

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-07/trump-hails-his-move-to-declassify-russia-clinton-probe-details

President Donald Trump announced he has authorized the declassification of documents related to the FBI’s Russia investigation and the probe into Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email account, part of his efforts to cast aspersions on his political enemies as he falls further behind in his bid for re-election.

“I have fully authorized the total Declassification of any & all documents pertaining to the single greatest political CRIME in American History, the Russia Hoax,” Trump tweeted on Tuesday.

“Likewise, the Hillary Clinton Email Scandal. No redactions!” he said.

jaymc, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

he's replying to stuff from 2018 so who knows what his brain is doing right now

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:34 (five years ago)

No redactions!

So let's get this straight: the best cure for poor handling of classified information is... even WORSE handling of classified information?

We had to destroy the village in order to save it etc.

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:34 (five years ago)

Is he aware that Hillary isn’t running this time?

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:36 (five years ago)

No. No, he is not.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)


Democrats don't seem interested in reforming a system that produces these outcomes.


ignorant

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

if he authorizes the declassification of those documents, does that mean someone will do it? or is it what it looks like - a guy on twitter yelling what he wants?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

Can't wait to see what Trump's anti-Hillary campaign ads look like this year.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

I suppose it makes that he would want to replicate halcyon year 2016 forever.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

I can't imagine there are any revelations that would be meaningful to anyone not already fully immersed in the Fox News Cinematic Universe, and to the extent that it has the potential to sow doubt, Biden wouldn't be directly implicated in any of it. So, it doesn't exactly feel like a winning move.

jaymc, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

I mean, this is how you win an election, right? Ignore your opponent in the month leading up to the event in lieu of hyperfocus upon prior nominees?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:40 (five years ago)

um what

She is far further left than Crazy Bernie. Biden would not last a month! https://t.co/kJWITxYRV1

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 7, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

(that's referring to Kamala Harris, in case you don't wanna click it)

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

I mean, this is how you win an election, right? Ignore your opponent in the month leading up to the event in lieu of hyperfocus upon prior nominees?


Now I’m imagining Trump ranting against Alf Landon.

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

It’s good to see Biden ahead in the polls but his lead might just fizzle out if he doesn’t forcefully condemn the economic policies of Bush Sr.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

is he suggesting Kamala's going to overthrow Joe, or have him killed?

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

She will sideline him. Power behind the throne stuff, I guess. She'll be Biden's Kushner.

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

better if it'd been Warren, but all in all I'm OK with that.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

It’s just the big man stoking his racist base.

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

Kamala was inducted into Marxist-Stalinist Masonic Lodge #674 while she was living in Canada, you see.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

where does this come from? one thing my conservative friend said was "Kamala is basically a socialist", and i was like..."uh, how?" He just said "well look at her policies"

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

Democrats don't seem interested in reforming a system that produces these outcomes.

ignorant
― sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Alfred is voting Biden to tear down the system.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

Nonwhite + Dem = literally Maduro.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

Yup. Just like how Corey Booker is coming to destroy the suburbs.

jaymc, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34u_3Z9_LUw

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

NOW THAT THE RADICAL LEFT DEMOCRATS GOT CAUGHT COLD IN THE (NON) FRIENDLY TRANSFER OF GOVERNMENT, IN FACT, THEY SPIED ON MY CAMPAIGN AND WENT FOR A COUP, WE ARE ENTITLED TO ASK THE VOTERS FOR FOUR MORE YEARS. PLEASE REMEMBER THIS WHEN YOU VOTE! https://t.co/gsFSghkmdM

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 7, 2020

how the fuck could any "developed" nation produce this

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

I mean, this is how you win an election, right? Ignore your opponent in the month leading up to the event in lieu of hyperfocus upon prior nominees?

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, October 7, 2020 10:40 AM (ten minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

When that prior nominee is as despised as much as Hillary? Who - both justly and unjustly - gets people worked up into a rabid froth? I don't know man. Just might work.

📺👁️ (peace, man), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

I mean, this is how you win an election, right?

Get with the program, Lunch. Trump's a change agent and doesn't play by the old rules.

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

where does this come from? one thing my conservative friend said was "Kamala is basically a socialist", and i was like..."uh, how?" He just said "well look at her policies"

― frogbs, Wednesday, October 7, 2020 9:52 AM (six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Abject ignorance? A nearly complete disconnect from reality? Undiagnosed brain trauma?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

Alfred is voting Biden to tear down the system.

― xyzzzz__, Wednesday, October 7, 2020

what?

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

just FP and move on, I did

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

NOW THAT THE RADICAL LEFT DEMOCRATS GOT CAUGHT COLD IN THE (NON) FRIENDLY TRANSFER OF GOVERNMENT, IN FACT, THEY SPIED ON MY CAMPAIGN AND WENT FOR A COUP, WE ARE ENTITLED TO ASK THE VOTERS FOR FOUR MORE YEARS. PLEASE REMEMBER THIS WHEN YOU VOTE!

this is hard to make sense of and harder to sanction in any way.

just a reminder here to screenshot tweets rather than repost? no point in giving twitter or that dipshit's voice more oxygen than absolutely necessary

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

lol and right on cue, it's the return of ISIS.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

throwing farts in POTUS' eyes.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

what?

― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

You said the system needed to be torn down and yet you are voting and actively participating in a system where the loser can win by 3 million votes. It's all v interesting to me.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

I live in a fucking swing state, as I've said many times. You can take your interesting POVs to the book and film threads.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

xpost Jesus christ, shut up.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

fuck this UK poster bullshit, I want a god damn threadban

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=krD4hdGvGHM

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

Alphie, what would your political strategy be if you were living in Florida? Genuinely curious.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

"The system needs tearing down" and "In this election this Floridian needs to vote for Joe Biden and help others vote for Joe Biden to keep Donald Trump from winning" are not irreconcilable.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

^^^

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

I didn't expect Alfred to say the system needed to be torn down, that's all.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

xp to Pom

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

Alfred, you don't actually have to explain that to anyone who isn't a shit-flinging adolescent hardman.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

Alphie, what would your political strategy be if you were living in Florida? Genuinely curious.

― pomenitul, Wednesday, October 7, 2020

With respect, don't call me that.

At the minimum we need to abolish the Senate and elect presidents by popular vote. The Senate, even now as a better-dressed version of the House, is doing exactly what the framers intended: thwarting the popular will.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

Alphie = comrade alphabet aka xyz.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

ah, sorry

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:18 (five years ago)

But good answer regardless. :)

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:18 (five years ago)

xyz going straight into

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DtxGQUdW4AAZ4Z4.jpg

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

what?

― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

You said the system needed to be torn down and yet you are voting and actively participating in a system where the loser can win by 3 million votes. It's all v interesting to me.


Yetyouparticipateinsociety.jpg

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

Biden's speech was good! Though I guess there's a low bar...

Bidh boladh a' mhairbh de 'n láimh fhalaimh (dowd), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

the entire right wing mediasphere treating Biden like a senile old man likely has something to do with that

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

The person you are voting for hasn't said anything about the electoral college but ok yes the .jpg is funny.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

Oh then I guess we should vote for Trump then

DOY

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

"The system needs tearing down" and "In this election this Floridian needs to vote for Joe Biden and help others vote for Joe Biden to keep Donald Trump from winning" are not irreconcilable.

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, October 7, 2020 11:14 AM bookmarkflaglink

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

No one expects Biden to step into office and single-handedly get rid of the electoral college. It's about consolidating power now so that democratic reforms are possible within the next decade.

jaymc, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

If someone's gonna tear down our constitutional system, I want liberal coalitions to do it, not Donald Trump and the Federalist Society.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

a "non-electoral politics/praxis" thread might be interesting, maybe, but this ain't really the thread to kickstart that on lol

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

Again, I was picking on +3 million vote complaint that people made today, 4 years after it happened. I noted that democrats seem to display no interest in changing this then I made a joke based on what Tomboto said to me xps to OL

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

#onethread

Next topic: have drugs changed how you approach US politics?

xp

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

But let's move on, leave you to discussing Trump's tweets and the exciting day's events xp or...that?

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

a lot of GOP Senate candidates seem to be mentioning "the Dems want to do away with the Electoral College" so they should probably make it happen

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

what?

― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

You said the system needed to be torn down and yet you are voting and actively participating in a system where the loser can win by 3 million votes. It's all v interesting to me.


Lmao are you familiar with how the uk parliament works?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

Sorry, X/Z, but your usual effervescent sense of humor somehow was undetectable this one time.

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

btw ain't it a little odd we haven't heard anything about Chris Christie?

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

Lol I am not an advocate for how the UK does things, just happen to live here xps

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

Also you keep saying the democrats have no interest in changing things but they have already said the literal first law signed by biden with a democratic senate will be HR1 (which is not perfect but you have never heard of it so I don’t know why I’m bothering)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

so is melania dead or...? has trump mentioned his wife or children at any point since he's been given back his presidential tweetphone?

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

I don't really care, do you?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

He never promised her a rose garden.

nashwan, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

Lol I am not an advocate for how the UK does things, just happen to live here xps


If it should be the democrat’s priority then I trust you’ll be voting for the Liberal Democrat’s and proportional representation next time then.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

xp not especially but if you want some schadenmelania:
http://i.imgur.com/h4O2lld.png

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

He never promised her a rose garden.

Along with the Orange Sunshine
There’s got to be a little roid rage all the time

Erdős-szám 69 (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

If it should be the democrat’s priority then I trust you’ll be voting for the Liberal Democrat’s and proportional representation next time then.
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

This is not the gotcha you think it is.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

#NEW National @Rasmussen_Poll:

Biden 52% (+12)
Trump 40%

(LV, 9/30-10/6)

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 7, 2020

lol

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

remember this is the pollster famous for predicting a Romney landslide

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

Ok but you’re still the worst poster on here since gabneb xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

Ok but you don't have to throw that desperate vote lib dem jibe, it's the US Pol thread.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

Not quite a Romney landslide, if memory serves. Certainly nothing like what we’re seeing now.

xps

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

Why seniors have turned to Biden.

Turns out -- no surprise -- that calls to the golden years of Tip 'n' Ronnie having a drink after yelling at each other all day...work with this demographic.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

If you claim to think FPTP is the #1 problem in us politics the it’s curious that you’ve literally never mentioned it as an issue on the uk pol threads. Beginning to wonder if you’re posting in good faith. Hmm. Xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

The important takeaway from that Rasmussen poll isn't whether or not they're accurate (which I don't think most people believe them to be) but rather that AFAIK their polls tend to heavily favor the GOP. So when you factor that in these results indicate that Trump is likely in for a powerfisting come November.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

Makes sense.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

good lord:

“For many seniors their understanding of what a Republican is was shaped by Ronald Reagan more than anyone else,” Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg told me. “Many people who voted for Trump in 2016 thought they were getting an updated version of Reagan. But what they got instead was a childish, angry autocrat.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

As I said I just picked up on the three million + votes exchange upthread and made a comment. I didn't claim it was the #1 problem xps to caek.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

one thing I've read a lot re: seniors' preference for Biden: Trump is just way too online. none of them know what the fuck he's talking about most of the time.

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

re: undecideds

Ken Bone is, and I mean this in the meanest way possible, the stupidest American https://t.co/FfeRBrJK9v

— Kate, but spooky🎃👻🍂 (@kbschroedy) October 7, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

As I said I just picked up on the three million + votes exchange upthread and made a comment. I didn't claim it was the #1 problem xps to caek.
looking forward to your thoughts next time pr, av , etc. come up on the uk pol thread then.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

lmao he is not undecided

All morning the Trump supporters have been nice to me even though I don't like Trump. The Biden camp has been shitting all over me because I don't like Biden. Do these people really not see how much this behavior pushes bystanders toward the right?

— Ken Bone (@kenbone18) October 7, 2020

he is though, a blue checkmark for some reason

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

I never want to hear from him again. Too many bad memories.

Hell, I saw a Cubs World Series Champions sticker on a car the other day and got triggered.

pplains, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

glad to see mr bone is also on the, "don't you see? you being rude leaves me absolutely no choice but to be racist!" train

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

Well.

Starting this week, a generation of voters in Texas will see something they’ve never witnessed before: a heavy rotation of presidential TV ads.

In a move that would have been far-fetched even a few months ago, Joe Biden is set to spend $6.2 million on ads in the state over the next month — attempting to put the state in play for the first time in decades. The latest polling averages show President Donald Trump leading by only 2 to 3 points in Texas, and Biden’s push there illustrates both how much the state has changed and how much the political environment is tilting against Trump less than a month from the Election Day.

Perhaps even more astounding: Trump doesn’t have the money to counter the cash-flush Biden on TV.

Over the past two weeks, Biden had the airwaves to himself in Iowa, Ohio, Texas and New Hampshire, while Trump went dark, according to Advertising Analytics, a TV tracking firm. This week, Trump isn’t airing any ads in Nebraska, where both campaigns are competing for the lone Electoral College vote out of the Omaha-based congressional district, while Biden is dropping just under $500,000.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

Hell, I saw a Cubs World Series Champions sticker on a car the other day and got triggered.

I'm still mad we had less than a week to appreciate that.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

he's trying to mess with Texas

Evan, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

I voted Clinton in '16 and this morning I sealed my mail in ballot having voted for Jo Jorgensen.

I don't agree with either of them 100% but felt they were the best options available to me at the time.

— Ken Bone (@kenbone18) October 7, 2020

Hate all the singling out of Bone when FFS there are 17 other people who voted Clinton but won't go for Joe that we never hear from.

nashwan, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

Hell, I saw a Cubs World Series Champions sticker on a car the other day

A little voice inside my head said don't look back you can never look back

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

Hell, I saw a Cubs World Series Champions sticker on a car the other day and got triggered.

the tweet from Nate Silver that was like "Trump's odds of winning are roughly the same as the Cubs winning the World Series" was the first time it really hit me that Trump actually had a shot so yeah bad memories all around

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

looking forward to your thoughts next time pr, av , etc. come up on the uk pol thread then.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

See you in 2028.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Will you shut up, man?

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

huh I mistakenly thought Bone copped to ultimately pulling the lever for Trump

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

sometimes I get really bummed out that I live in a country where we don’t have universal basic healthcare but I know who Ken Bone is

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:20 (five years ago)

would not have thought of Ken Bone as a fan of Ministry

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

Let's check in with Joe the Plumber.

Please don't be fooled. Even if @BernieSanders drops out there will still be a #Socialist running for the #WhiteHouse and that would be @JoeBiden He wants to "ReDistribute" your wealth as well. #2AShallNotBeInfringed #KAG2020 @DonaldJTrumpJr @realDonaldTrump @POTUS

— Joe the Plumber (@RealJTP) March 11, 2020

jaymc, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

What fucking wealth, man

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

joe's wealth clearly not measured in twitter interest

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

His expertise is in making sure shit flows efficiently.

Evan, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

his wiki is a real journey

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

huh I mistakenly thought Bone copped to ultimately pulling the lever for Trump

https://www.yahoo.com/news/ken-bone-still-wont-say-voted-131529619.html

"The power plant employee from Belleville, Ill., was selected to participate in the town hall with fellow undecided voters after answering a Gallup phone survey. Bone said he was leaning toward voting for Trump.

“They asked, ‘How likely are you to change your mind, on a scale of one to 10?‘” he explained. “One is, like, there’s no way you’ll change your mind — your candidate could murder a person on television and you’d still vote for them. And 10 was, it’s a total coin flip. And I said, like a two or a three. Like, I’m probably not going to change my mind, but I’m willing to hear what the other side has to say. And based on it being such a polarizing election, a two or a three was considered undecided.”

Chris L, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

interesting, tell me more about your meaningless decision mr bone

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/doug/images/8/8e/Doug_Meets_Robobone.jpg/revision/latest/top-crop/width/360/height/450?cb=20140416040449

"The subject is closed!"

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

did sarah palin drop out of politics and public life, or is she still doing the reality show thing?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

Busy catching up on her favorite newspapers and magazines iirc.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

it seems like she should be having a moment right now, for real. she is just as dumb and gullible as all these trump supporters, and she used to be the patron saint of stupidity. oh well

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

she was in the news last week!
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/09/palin-hints-at-challenge-to-murkowski-in-bizarre-video.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pMtFeLKPcfc

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

https://www.gq.com/story/ken-bone-reddit-ama-nsfw-comments

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

Never forgive McCain for elevating that turkey and fueling other profoundly stupid people's delusions of glory.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

Grandeur, glory, whatever. He helped to fuel them.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

wtf, that video. nm, she is still ten years ahead of the dum dum curve

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

wow cant believe ken bone would do something stupid

turn the jawhatthefuckever on (One Eye Open), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

Decent chance McConnell suckered Trump into pulling the plug on stimulus. Party is in bust out mode. McC likely sees that Trump is finished, probably senate majority too. Get the Court seat and leave the economy as wrecked as possible to ensure a Biden admin is stillborn.

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) October 7, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

I feel like Marshall is rarely this cynical

Guayaquil (eephus!), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

He is always, always writing fan fic though. “Decent chance.” Ok. Is that sourced, Josh?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

yeah, he expands a bit in an exclusive TPM ~PRIME~ article. i just tazered my way in, stole an excerpt, and killed some dudes on the way back out. but here it is:

Normally it would be reasonable to ask whether anyone really thinks that cynically about governance. With Mitch McConnell not only do we know he thinks that cynically he actually acted this cynically under Barack Obama. We have a track record.

...But don’t take your eyes off this broader calculus – one separate from Trump, his state of mind, one that is above all rational. Yes, everyone should give their 110%. Everybody get out to vote. The stakes for a second Trump term are too high to take anything for granted. But for those gaming out their own moves and post-January realities, Trump’s defeat is starting to look very likely. Under normal circumstances that would lead congressional Republicans to cut Trump loose and pitch their reelection as a check on the power of a Democratic President. That would be a great card to play for a number of endangered Republican Senators at the moment. But it’s all but impossible since loyalty to Trump is now the centerpiece of Republican identity. And any move away from him would trigger a fatal backlash.

So look for more signs of this bust out scenario. Steal what you can and burn the rest down on the way out.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

I don't get McConnell's role as Marshall describes it.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

tangentially related to the economy, the stock market has already more than bounced back from yesterday's drop following trump's tweet

https://i.imgur.com/B6gMZpa.png

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

Xpost his role is "make turtle noises, stop things from happening"

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

xp re: mcconnell's role

in marshall's scenario, i think it would just be pushing the republicans back to their natural role: minority party obstructionists with a tanked economy, pushing for austerity and fewer benefits for low-income people. that's what they're going to be anyway....

or if you mean practically how would it work, perhaps it would mcconnell telling trump that the stimulus deal has no chance of passing and just to concentrate on the election so the senate can concentrate on confirming barrett

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

You want the economy to tank 6-12 months into Biden's term, not have him enter at a nadir when any half-assed shit he does will improve the situation.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

or if you mean practically how would it work, perhaps it would mcconnell telling trump that the stimulus deal has no chance of passing and just to concentrate on the election so the senate can concentrate on confirming barrett

― president of my cat (Karl Malone)

I get this part, but I don't Trump agreeing to a scenario in which by implication he loses.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

Xpost Latter = Tully at the end of Ghostbusters 2

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

🚨 Buzzfeed reports Donald Trump's ad-buy cancellations are now moving beyond Ohio and Iowa. He has scaled back TV ads significantly in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota — signaling a retreat from the Midwest.

— chris evans (@notcapnamerica) October 7, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:35 (five years ago)

yeah they are all in on simply crippling the certification process at this point

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

if they delay it past Dec. 14th, it goes to a vote by the states, 1 state 1 vote, and Trump "wins"

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

yeah they're all in on just fucking it up good

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

scaling back the ad buys kinda signals they don't see a way to win, right?

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

they see a way to win alright

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

It’s so weird though because millennials span like 1981-1996 and I tend to think of myself as worlds apart from someone who was born in the 90s (absolute babies, obv.).

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

Sorry wrong thread lol.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

if the results are the landslide we're seeing -- at the moment -- it's harder to wage a court battle

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

I agree, but they will still try

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

wouldn't you?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

idk I'd like to think I'd know when to cut my losses :)

sleeve, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

amazing to think the Access Hollywood tape was 4 years ago today, felt like an eternity between then and the election

I wanna say I'm nervous that Trump could somehow rebound but getting caught on tape saying something everyone knew already is a different sort of scandal than turning the entire WH into a leper colony

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

Breaking: "In an unprecedented move," the New England Journal of Medicine has published an editorial "condemning the Trump admin for its response to the Covid-19 pandemic – and calling for the current leadership in the US to be voted out of office."https://t.co/4fxv26TZBx

— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) October 7, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

Can we impeach him again for being a poxy fule?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:15 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XqyegIAGlmk

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

NEWS: Facebook to BAN ALL POLITICAL ADS INDEFINITELY, beginning after the polls close on November 3rd

also cracking down on polling place intimidation posts and adding more rules as disinformation and the threat of violence rises approaching Election Dayhttps://t.co/cuo8mwIVfd

— rat king (@MikeIsaac) October 7, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:38 (five years ago)

is that a joke

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

we will close the barn door after the horse has left the stable

frogbs, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 21:43 (five years ago)

reminder that they actively violate electoral law constantly in Washington, and spend more on lawyers fighting their violations than it would even cost to pay the relevant fines

also that indefinitely could mean "for two minutes"

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

What the fuck is the point at that point?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/07/health/coronavirus-debate-pence-harris.html

Should’ve just cancelled it imo, but what do I know.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:10 (five years ago)

'We are extremely concerned with how our platform was misused with respect to the last election, and we're even more concerned about how it's being misused in the lead-up to this year's election, and we promise to look into these issues just as soon as our democracy has been thoroughly rendered a smoking ruin.'

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:13 (five years ago)

Why would Mark Zuckerberg and his $40bn give a shit?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

trying to attempt to clean his own mess up so he can make a run at prez in 2028.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

fuck that guy, i'm trading him off my team on madden as soon as i get home

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:39 (five years ago)

With respect to

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:43 (five years ago)

LMAO at that weirdo running for president please do

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:43 (five years ago)

his foundation is actually doing pretty good stuff (funding a lot of fair election stuff, bankrolling the left side of california ballot measures, etc.) so it's not impossible he still has that in mind and if he wants to spend his money like that then fine with me. but 1) he's a bad person who is bad for the world 2) he's also repulsive in a very visceral way to most humans, and i can't imagine him doing well in an electoral campaign.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

AND YET

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

he's a bad person who is bad for the world

we need a thread to name names under this rubric and see who we can universally agree upon

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 23:10 (five years ago)

I assume indefinitely means until the next time Republicans have a chance to win a major election.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Wednesday, 7 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

What it does mean at least is that from Nov 11 to Jan 20, 2021, FB will not be part of any propaganda drive to discredit the election results

Bnad, Thursday, 8 October 2020 00:23 (five years ago)

, unless they decide to continue being part of a propaganda drive to discredit the election results.

erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 00:46 (five years ago)

Debate on: when he looks right at Harris, Pence's left eye has a blood bubble by the iris. His body must be rebelling against being alone in a room with two women who aren't Mother.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

Good god. I thought Pence would do better than this. He's reciting "under President Trump's leadership" cliches without the shaking-my-head-sadly tactic that worked against Tim Kaine in 2016.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

"our COVID plan was amazing, and guess what, Joe Biden's is just like it"

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

Why would you think he could do better? He is the most platitudinous of empty suits.

Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

Pence's first answer: praises Trump first, then praises his own leadership of COVID task force, runs 30 secs over 2min limit. Second answer: responds to Harris' criticism of his task force's response by saying she's attacking the hard work done by the task force, blows through the moderator stopping him THREE times.
Third question: he blows through moderator ending his time limit so much that she gives up.

This is unlikely to become more edifying; the third q to Harris is predicated on mistrust of vaccines.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

Why would you think he could do better? He is the most platitudinous of empty suits.

― Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson),

Because he was better at lying in 2016.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

attacking the hard work done by the task force the regular American citizenry

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

Biden/Harris should have insisted that Pence was in an airtight acrylic cage a la Hannibal Lecter.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

yeah, but given the abject, anti-Christian horror he's vice-presided over since 2016, it's remarkable that he's still running the same program.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:21 (five years ago)

Blew through the moderator SEVEN TIMES just now. Betting that his advisors told him to be forceful, like sweaty baby covid daddy.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

Harris is doing pretty well I think

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

what is the point of this question, besides to play into gop conspiracy theories about biden stepping down

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

The swine flu answer is so ill advised. Most Americans have forgotten swine flu, they aren't forgetting COVID.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

I for one am shocked that anyone could outperform noted charisma generator michael pence

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

She's terrible and insincere but being mainly stoic / v lightly scoffing at Pence is probably the right move.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:25 (five years ago)

what is the point of this question, besides to play into gop conspiracy theories about biden stepping down

― like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine)

I thought she rambled until I realized that, eah, she sensed, like you, it was a gotcha question.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:25 (five years ago)

i hate this. someone answer the question!

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:26 (five years ago)

oh shit -- the taxes

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

She's going in on this shit

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

LITERALLY STACKS

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

https://thehill.com/sites/default/files/article_images/trumps_pence01112017getty.jpg

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:29 (five years ago)

"...the finger thing means the taxes!"

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

Infrastructure week!

Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

this debate has so far been so much more sane than the presidential one

Dan S, Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

That's the problem with it

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Pence hides his insanity well. Kinda...

Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

Vice-Prez Mansplain living out his wild fantasy of talking over two women at the same time.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

Mike Tyson biting Evander Holyfield's ear off was more sane than the first presidential debate.

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

this debate is more polite but nobody is answering any of the questions

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

Pence is lying constantly, not just in general, but about what Harris said literal seconds previous. It remains complete electoral malpractice that this is not corrected by the moderator.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

I don’t know why they don’t give each candidate, say, 45 minutes up front, and they can budget them however they like.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

Blew through the moderator three times, has now cut in to Harris and has taken up her entire time, without the moderator saying a word.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

Wow. She is not awesome.

Allen (etaeoe), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

Just getting rolled by Pence.

Allen (etaeoe), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

Her responses to pence’s interruptions are better than Biden’s for Trump’s

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

Wow. She is not awesome.

― Allen (etaeoe), Wednesday, October 7, 2020 9:35 PM (nineteen seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

Just getting rolled by Pence.

― Allen (etaeoe), Wednesday

Wow.

What a troll.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

^ cut into = interrupted

"Joe Biden will not ban fracking, he has been 100% clear on that."

^ this is his VP's argument in favour of him btw

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

Is this crazy? I guess I'm just frustrated that she's so passive in her responses.

Allen (etaeoe), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

“President Trump and I have a plan for healthcare” jesus christ

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

Top secret plan, will be revealed any minute now

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

Both sides arguing aggressively for fossil fuel increases. Obviously they got horny watching the Australian federal parliament yesterday.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

"If you love someone with a diabetes and a heart condition...they're comin' for you."

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

They are.

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

Both sides continue to insist that they will increase fossil fuel extraction.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

fyi Joe Biden will not ban fracking

Allen (etaeoe), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

i'm watching wrestling

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

hope y'all are enjoying the other form of inconsequential theater on tv tonight

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

Harris is, for the third time, insisting that Biden will increase fracking. But he'll also create "some jobs" in renewables, because he sees the damage from Californian fires and to Iowan farms and for fuuuuuck's sake.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

other form of inconsequential theater on tv tonight

it's the consequences that concern me :/

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

b/w a John Sayles film and this debate, guess which has better cinematography and pacing

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

it's the consequences that concern me :/

― Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, October 7, 2020 6:43 PM (eighteen seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

it's a fuckin vp debate

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

A $2,000 annual tax cut for the average family of four? That’s the accomplishment he keeps touting?

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

...and there's the AOC ref...

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

It’s so fucking lame

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

Pence vows again to increase fracking.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence
"Stop playing politics with people's lives" - Mike Pence

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

Jobs evaporated. World burning. Psycho in the white house. But a tax cut!

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

SHE'S...A...LIBERAL!

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:49 (five years ago)

how does donald trump have a better grasp on what counts as the left than mike pence

(because he's not being sincere, I know)

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:51 (five years ago)

Radical leftist morelike

xp

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

Harris...red baiting?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

Whatever. As long as they get trump out of the white house.

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

it's a fuckin vp debate

stipulated, but let's check back in 40 years and see if increased fracking in the US and Australia has had any consequences

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

You guys, my job was literally crushed

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

Trump destroyed isis personally. No one else would have had the idea to fight isis. Just him.

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:57 (five years ago)

Stellar commentary on the sidelines:

Mike Pence is doing GREAT! She is a gaffe machine.

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 8, 2020

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

That's it.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:01 (five years ago)

like, Albo kicked off his first days as Labor leader after the election by attacking the Morrison government for not being right-wing enough

yesterday, the entire party and the cross-bench voted with the government for this plan

sometimes, what people say they'll do when in opposition can provide hints as to what they'd do in government

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:01 (five years ago)

I was in the kitchen feeding the cat and mixing a drink but Pence continued to roll the moderator btw. Look forward to her givng a post-game interview, like Chris Wallace, saying she didn't expect it so couldn't possibly react.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:02 (five years ago)

"I couldn't catch the fly ball, nobody told me it was coming this way"

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:06 (five years ago)

“I would never presume to know how amy coney barrett will vote.”

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

I feel like we need a charity single for this election just to cover therapy costs

it'll be...called....

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:10 (five years ago)

oh shit

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:11 (five years ago)

Pharcyde already did that

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

there she is

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

will it kill anybody to answer a question

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

Court packing is a tough one i guess

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

I think they want to leave it open

treeship., Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:15 (five years ago)

Pharcyde already did that

Mother got a pegleg with a kickstand

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:16 (five years ago)

will it kill anybody to answer a question

― like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine),

I think when confronted by serial lying like what Pence presents the emphasis should be on stringing him by the neck, especially when he's so bad this year at selling garbage.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:17 (five years ago)

did a fly just land on pence's head??

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:17 (five years ago)

"With regard to the Breonna Taylor case, do you believe justice was served?"

Kamala: "No. Because she was beautiful, was training to be an EMT, and because George Floyd."
Mike: "Yes. Because I trust our justice system."

the burrito that defined a generation, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

Actual lol at Pence’s “answer” to protecting people with pre-existing conditions: fear of late-term abortions and court packing.

Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

is a fly on his head? lol xp

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

lol there's a fly on Pence's hairsprayed dome

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

xps :D

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

I don't know why he carried the fly
I hope he dies

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

C'mon, these useless moderators never actually moderate. It's a tradition!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

Bless you fly

jmm, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:20 (five years ago)

hey, this is a thread of peace, man

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:20 (five years ago)

well flies are attracted to corpses, I guess

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:20 (five years ago)

I stopped watching a while ago, but the highlight so far was my younger daughter saying "oh, so that's what Mike Pence looks like. Why does he look that way?"

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

Biden at the debate: the entirety of American policing has been corrupted, so I want to give them more money
Trump: Stand by, Proud Boys
Harris: we will create a database of the bad cops, for internal use by the cops.
Pence: me and Pres Trump will stand by anyone who puts on a gun to defend American streets

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

(also Harris on police reform: abolish private prisons, eradicate cash bail, decriminalise w33d and expunge convictions)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:22 (five years ago)

This shit put me right to sleep

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:23 (five years ago)

holy fuck you're sleep posting

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:24 (five years ago)

Harris has definitely cranked her energy down to Pence levels; I'm now thinking this is neutral as opposed to mildly positive.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

god fuck imagine Warren on dis ting tho

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:26 (five years ago)

Imagine how an amped up Kamala would play on the news tho.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

^^^

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

frustrating to see them both play it cool, but here we are. fortunately Mike Pence's familiar has revealed itself.

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

Yes.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

This debate has not, uh, edified. But the much-vaunted Pence smugness looked like illness; he's ruddy, red-eyed, and sluggish.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

Harris is conscious of not looking like an Angry POC.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

(which shouldn't excuse her fracking answer though)

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

why

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

just.

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

at least ken bone had a real question

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:32 (five years ago)

don't think her cranking her energy down to Pence levels was a bad thing strategically

Dan S, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:34 (five years ago)

man, seriously, is Pence ill?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:34 (five years ago)

well, I doubt any of that helped Trump's poll numbers at all

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

xp I HOPE SO

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

Harris is conscious of not looking like an Angry POC.


It’s so depressingly obvious too.

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:37 (five years ago)

Americans deserve candidates with energy levels that not only accurately reflect their own individual energy levels, but also reflect the collective energy level of the electorate. This is something that I feel quite strongly about, and something that I will continue to feel strongly about, as well.

the burrito that defined a generation, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:38 (five years ago)

let's ask the president for steroids

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:39 (five years ago)

let's ask his son for coke

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

Took this in 1960-style; first half on the radio coming home, the rest on TV. Does make a difference, even absent any five o'clock shadow on Pence. Can't see that anything happened that will stick. Harris was mostly fine (better on TV, when you could see her reacting to Pence), Pence typically unctuous and just plain weird. I thought Harris's last answer was her best. The one time I thought she really missed was not coming back hard at Pence when he was going on about her politicizing vaccines. She couldn't have been clearer in her answer just before: she'd be first in line if the doctors okayed it, but she wouldn't go near one on Trump's say-so alone. She should've gone back to that, but she didn't.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

XP He'd give us Borax.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

Didn't think Susan Page was very good in cutting Pence off.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:42 (five years ago)

insane shit is gonna happen in about 12 hours and no one's gonna remember a thing from this

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:44 (five years ago)

a thing from what?

the burrito that defined a generation, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:45 (five years ago)

Should have said Will you shut up, man?

Orson Well Yeah (Dan Peterson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:46 (five years ago)

:)

Dan S, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:46 (five years ago)

this is kinda funny though

Pitch in $5 to help this campaign fly. https://t.co/CqHAId0j8t pic.twitter.com/NbkPl0a8HV

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 8, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

just heard that Biden staff sent out a pic that's just him with a flyswatter

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

Now I'm wondering if the reason Harris is not making an issue of Pence talking all over her time is to further alienate the GOP from women voters.

nickn, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

lol xp

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:49 (five years ago)

(xpost) Good point. It's like they gave that a test run in the first debate and found it worked really well.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

www.flywillvote.com

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

huh good point

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

I'm wondering if the reason Harris is not making an issue of Pence talking all over her time is to further alienate the GOP from women voters.

― nickn, Wednesday, October 7, 2020

Dan S, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:00 (five years ago)

And the fly
On your head
And the fly
Means you’re dead
In your hair
In your hair
It is crawling

In your hair
In your ha-a-air
Zombie
Zombie
Zombie-eh-eh-eh pic.twitter.com/T5BQIQsaik

— DJP (@djperry1973) October 8, 2020

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:00 (five years ago)

The limitations of radio: I missed the damn fly.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:01 (five years ago)

I've seen a lot of jokes calling the fly Pence's first black friend.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:01 (five years ago)

I'm wondering if the reason Harris is not making an issue of Pence talking all over her time is to further alienate the GOP from women voters.

― nickn, Wednesday, October 7, 2020

― Dan S, Wednesday, October 7, 2020

100% yes

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:01 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=svcAqVL2l28

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:11 (five years ago)

Pence's one answer was ludicrous: never mind the 200,000 who have died from COVID, if Obama hadn't gotten lucky, two million would have died from Swine Flu!

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:12 (five years ago)

The fly was at the end, clem.

Harris really could have taken advantage of the split-screen perma-close-up format with the occasional rolleye and down-camera headcock towards Pence on bullshit she wasn't going to bog down in

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:13 (five years ago)

One thing I don’t need is a bunch of white dudes passing Harris GIFs with “yaaaaaaas” captions so I’m very glad she didn’t do that

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:14 (five years ago)

Ban reaction gifs imo

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:16 (five years ago)

Damn, could have seen it--I moved to the computer in the next room towards the end. Didn't Obama have a famous moment with a fly? Maybe it was a fifth-generation descendent of Obama's fly.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:16 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78Y-pCGjMuc

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:18 (five years ago)

*searches twitter for a DJP-scowling selfie to caption "yaaaaaaas" *

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:19 (five years ago)

return of the fly
return of the fly
with Vincent Pence Price

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

this one was much cooler

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=45j8CtSm50U

the burrito that defined a generation, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:21 (five years ago)

I know everyone's sick of fly jokes but coming from a Congresswoman...

The fly needs to quarantined. https://t.co/0HzCtVVQy3

— Ilhan Omar (@IlhanMN) October 8, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:28 (five years ago)

everyone's sick of fly jokes

this happened like 90 minutes ago!

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:30 (five years ago)

yeah jesus this isn't 'covfefe'

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

Patton Oswalt:

Everyone who's tweeting, "I'm bored" -- this is SUPPOSED TO BE BORING. POLITICS SHOULD BE BORING, COMPETENT PEOPLE TAKING CARE OF SHIT SO YOU CAN LIVE YOUR LIFE. IT SHOULDN'T GOBBLE UP ALL THE OXYGEN IN EXISTENCE. The fuck is wrong with everyone?

Dan S, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

shut up and say "Pretty fly for a white guy," Patton

the burrito that defined a generation, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:36 (five years ago)

RIP fly memes, 10:17pm–10:47pm EDT

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

Wish Ilhan (and pretty much everyone who posts online) would proofread.

nickn, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

oh, how fast memes do.....................................................................................fly

the burrito that defined a generation, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

https://i.ibb.co/DR4xDb6/121090043-10158895947589433-2076813707138232610-o.jpg

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:41 (five years ago)

A version of Oswalt from 538: "Americans Relieved To Hear People Evade Giving Honest Answers In Calm Voices."

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:41 (five years ago)

help me

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Thursday, 8 October 2020 03:43 (five years ago)

The Biden transition team is considering John Kerry and John Podesta as possible climate czars: https://t.co/PDltaoIHCl

— Kevin Robillard (@Robillard) October 7, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 8 October 2020 04:35 (five years ago)

Hard for that not to read as big "fuck you" to Al Gore

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 8 October 2020 05:16 (five years ago)

So. Old.

Nhex, Thursday, 8 October 2020 05:54 (five years ago)

The Fly 😂#VPDebate #flygate pic.twitter.com/zYYbHR8i3i

— Jack©️ (@Jackasaurus3) October 8, 2020

Tsar Bombadil (James Morrison), Thursday, 8 October 2020 06:11 (five years ago)

"joe biden is not going to ban fracking. that is a fact"

- kamala harris, earlier tonight

hey, i believe them

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 06:21 (five years ago)

Blew through the moderator SEVEN TIMES just now.

Pence is lying constantly, not just in general, but about what Harris said literal seconds previous. It remains complete electoral malpractice that this is not corrected by the moderator.

Blew through the moderator three times, has now cut in to Harris and has taken up her entire time, without the moderator saying a word.

Pence continued to roll the moderator btw. Look forward to her givng a post-game interview, like Chris Wallace, saying she didn't expect it so couldn't possibly react.




Got around to looking up who this US Today moderator lady is

Susan Page of USA Today criticized for hosting off-the-record event honoring Trump appointees

oh.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 07:41 (five years ago)

"joe biden is not going to ban fracking. that is a fact"

- kamala harris, earlier tonight

hey, i believe them

― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Tfw nothing matters

Kamala Harris wants this video of her saying "There is no question I'm in favor of banning fracking." off the internet.

Please don’t share this pic.twitter.com/Pm47ttbLvN

— Benny (@bennyjohnson) October 8, 2020

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 8 October 2020 09:20 (five years ago)

can we all just agree this format is spent and move on? (not talking about the US itself...... OR AM I)

why not subject each candidate to a series of three tough interviews with a journalist? you could have one hosted by fox, another hosted by msnbc, and another by pbs.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 8 October 2020 09:34 (five years ago)

Unfortunately the last three UK Prime Ministers all ducked out of debates and/or interviews easily and still won.

nashwan, Thursday, 8 October 2020 09:37 (five years ago)

As long as it gets an audience it will surely stay..

xyzzzz__, Thursday, 8 October 2020 09:44 (five years ago)

Whenever I hear the opening bit of "this was sponsored by the non-partison commission of such and such" I'm wondering what their angle is

Nhex, Thursday, 8 October 2020 12:35 (five years ago)

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-says-he-wont-participate-virtual-2nd-presidential-debate/

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 12:52 (five years ago)

"We'll pass on this sad excuse to bail out Joe Biden and do a rally instead."

ffs

circa1916, Thursday, 8 October 2020 12:55 (five years ago)

The full quote is quite something:

President Trump won the first debate despite a terrible and biased moderator in Chris Wallace, and everybody knows it. For the swamp creatures at the Presidential Debate Commission to now rush to Joe Biden’s defense by unilaterally canceling an in-person debate is pathetic. That’s not what debates are about or how they’re done. Here are the facts: President Trump will have posted multiple negative tests prior to the debate, so there is no need for this unilateral declaration. The safety of all involved can easily be achieved without canceling a chance for voters to see both candidates go head to head. We’ll pass on this sad excuse to bail out Joe Biden and do a rally instead.

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 12:58 (five years ago)

bocck bok bok bok

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:00 (five years ago)

the swamp creatures at the Presidential Debate Commission

this is the only fact in the statement

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:03 (five years ago)

Democracy isn’t the objective; liberty, peace, and prospefity are. We want the human condition to flourish. Rank democracy can thwart that.

— Mike Lee (@SenMikeLee) October 8, 2020

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:03 (five years ago)

– Darius the Great

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:05 (five years ago)

good use of the long 's' to indicate where his head's at

rob, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

Close friends get to call him Mike Lee / Providing it's with prospefity

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:08 (five years ago)

Some people call me Mike Lee / cos I speak of the prospefity of love

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:08 (five years ago)

Good morning!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:08 (five years ago)

What is "rank democracy"?

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:11 (five years ago)

lol stevie that song has bizarrely been in my head this week

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:11 (five years ago)

1. Strong of its kind or in character; unmitigated; virulent; thorough; utter (used of negative things). quotations ▼
rank treason
rank nonsense
2. Strong in growth; growing with vigour or rapidity, hence, coarse or gross. quotations ▼
rank grass
rank weeds
3. Suffering from overgrowth or hypertrophy; plethoric. quotations ▼
4. Causing strong growth; producing luxuriantly; rich and fertile.
rank land
(Can we find and add a quotation of Mortimer to this entry?)
5. Strong to the senses; offensive; noisome.
6. Having a very strong and bad taste or odor. quotations ▼
Synonyms: stinky, smelly, pong (UK)
Your gym clothes are rank, bro – when'd you last wash 'em?
7. Complete, used as an intensifier (usually negative, referring to incompetence). quotations ▼
Synonyms: complete, utter
I am a rank amateur as a wordsmith.
8. (informal) Gross, disgusting.
9. (obsolete) Strong; powerful; capable of acting or being used with great effect; energetic; vigorous; headstrong.
10. (obsolete) Inflamed with venereal appetite; ruttish.
(Can we find and add a quotation of Shakespeare to this entry?)

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:12 (five years ago)

Webster's defines rank as "complete or total," so "rank democracy" is...democracy.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:13 (five years ago)

Swamp creatures that run debates
Swamp creatures that run debates
They're far too concerned with the COVID rates

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:13 (five years ago)

smelly, gross democracy, ew

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:15 (five years ago)

You can have a republic without democracy, amirite.

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:16 (five years ago)

Swamp creature, I know your momma's grieving,
Swamp creature, but tonight we get even, yeah!

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:16 (five years ago)

A visual allegory of democracy according to the GOP:

https://c1.scryfall.com/file/scryfall-cards/large/front/1/8/184a196e-8604-49d2-a66a-6f7c0eafd5de.jpg?1592517973

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:17 (five years ago)

What is "rank democracy"?

― clemenza,

Smelly democracy.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:21 (five years ago)

I think he means people ranking things in polls, i.e. ILM. So OTM, I guess.

Bidh boladh a' mhairbh de 'n láimh fhalaimh (dowd), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:24 (five years ago)

POO Democracy

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:26 (five years ago)

Debates Motel pic.twitter.com/40lpMsDU6l

— The Daily Show (@TheDailyShow) October 8, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:26 (five years ago)

1 Leonard's Cohen's "Democracy"
2 Chinese Democracy

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:27 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I16YOPmmZbs

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

lol stevie that song has bizarrely been in my head this week

The Joker or the Top Cat theme?

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:32 (five years ago)

Some of those that run de-bates
Are the same that raise tax rates
Some of those that run de-bates
Are the same that raise tax rates

while my keytar gently bleeps (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:35 (five years ago)

Song shoulda been called Bullshit Parade.

pplains, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:37 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LSSbB5eUKnY

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:39 (five years ago)

the Top Cat theme! you can see why i'm amazed

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLnwMDeQNtw

another relevant theme

Doctor Casino, Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Hahaha - well it's boss, it's a pip, it's a championship!

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

The GOP always makes me think me of this, swamp and all:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDtMS6dWllg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:10 (five years ago)

rank democracy as opposed to first-past-the-post democracy obv

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

compared to liberty, peace and prospevfefe, where do you rank democracy?

Regard the timeless piano balladeeress! (breastcrawl), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

We want the human condition to flourish.

This is like saying you want the weather to flourish, without specifying if to you that means you want it to be warm and cold. It doesn't flourish, it just is.

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

*warm OR cold

Ilxor in the streets, Scampo in the sheets (Le Bateau Ivre), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

I think it’s pretty obvious that Republicans realize they are a minority and are justifying to themselves the steps they are taking to entrench minority rule.

Boring, Maryland, Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

totally, there's no going back sheet after Trump

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:36 (five years ago)

don't know why sheet is in that sentence

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

I know it's David Frum, but this is OTM.

The Mike Lee comments reminded me of something @davidfrum said in 2018 to @seanilling. https://t.co/83gDQuMCXE pic.twitter.com/pbvQMpdtEX

— Perry Bacon Jr. (@perrybaconjr) October 8, 2020

jaymc, Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

that's exactly it, frum extremely otm

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

Here are the facts: President Trump will have posted multiple negative tests prior to the debate

from the trump chickening out of the virtual debate response.

...we still don't know when his last negative test was, right? (everyone is assuming they won't reveal this because it will also reveal that trump doesn't take regular tests. the last negative he got may have been from weeks ago, who knows)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

Jacob Wohl and Jack Burkman appear at their felony arraignment in Michigan pic.twitter.com/eILEVfdpc6

— Will Sommer (@willsommer) October 8, 2020


The prosecutor in the Jack Wohl case says Wohl and Burkman showed up to their arraignment with a film crew and a stack of $100 bills, to flourish when they paid their bail. Now the prosecutor wants a $1 million bail.

— Will Sommer (@willsommer) October 8, 2020

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

incredible

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 8 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

ha

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

must have been quite a sight as two rich white pricks made a lavish display of their wealth in a docket full of cases in which the accused was unable to afford bail and thus was sent to a COVID-jail as punishment until their court date finally comes up

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

that's exactly it, frum extremely otm


that's exactly it, frum extremely otm


Republicans are now the “revolutionary vanguard” party.

Boring, Maryland, Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

solid chance those $100 bills were fake

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

and yet no one kneeled on their necks

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

frum otm*

*on the mount, of execution

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

xps

Wohl and Burkman allegedly targeted voters in Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Illinois, making a total of around 85,000 calls in August. The calls claimed to come from a group called “Project 1599, a civil rights organization founded by Jack Burkman and Jacob Wohl,” and they were aimed at areas with large Black populations, urging them to not “be finessed into giving your private information to the man.”

.....

Each charge against the pair carries a five- or seven-year sentence if they are convicted in Michigan — adding up to a maximum 12 years as some sentences for the charges would be concurrent.

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

to hell with pete, but this is the correct way to respond to trump's refusing to debate

It's too bad Trump is afraid to debate next week. pic.twitter.com/4juvdgPfE7

— Pete Buttigieg (@PeteButtigieg) October 8, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

He responded well to Fox drones questioning him on Kamala's being pro-Medicaid For All before joining Biden's ticket, too, asking instead why supposed Christian Pence would team up with a man "who gets caught with pornstars"

comorbidities in the BK lounge (stevie), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

Oh god, I just realized who Buttigieg reminds me of

https://thumbs.gfycat.com/AncientLastBighorn-size_restricted.gif

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

Got to admit Buttigieg seems to have a good grasp of how to respond to a talking head in the way Republicans do... quick off the mark and never hesitate or pause so you can't be interrupted until you've nailed all your talking points

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

Just hits weird because everything he's saying is true and not complete horseshit

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

“Tomorrow we are going to be talking about the 25th Amendment,” Pelosi says

— Manu Raju (@mkraju) October 8, 2020



lol what?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

would have been nice 4 years ago, but ok

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

In the year 2525

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

The Democrats really need to find ways of stealing the attention and controlling the narrative right now. The Trump team is about to run with a bunch of utter scandal horseshit on Biden from these "declassified files." My hope is that the media doesn't even take the bait because it's too flimsy, but Trump is definitely going to be looking for ways to dominate the conversation. They always have tricks up their sleeves and I feel like the Democrats get caught sleeping. I'm really uncomfortable with the passive "let's just let Trump show everyone how awful he is" strategy. Trump may have looked crazy (TO US) in those videos, but he looked strong, and plus if he actually is "cured" a lot of people will think recovery is around the corner thanks to the Regeneron miracle drug. And, again, it will make him look strong. Don't underestimate how much people respond to that.

No idea whether the 25A thing is about that or not, and have no opinion on it without knowing more.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

The Democrats really need to find ways of stealing the attention and controlling the narrative right now.

on the other hand, almost every indicator is that the Democrats are going to dominate.

and trump dropping out of a debate is cowardly - unless he reverts that dumb decision, it will dominate the next week

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

also - if trump doesn't show up, does biden just get a free 2 hours on tv?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

in a town hall format?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

xxxp pelosi loollllll

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

It's my impression the Dems are dominating because the lying sack of shit of a president is sick, and Biden-Harris have kept selling an alternative America.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

I hope they just carry on with the debate as planned.

'Mr. President, sixty seconds for rebuttal.

...

Mr. President?

...

Mr. President, the clock is ticking.'

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

Don't underestimate how much people his base will respond to that.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

It's my impression the Dems are dominating because the lying sack of shit of a president is sick, and Biden-Harris have kept selling an alternative America.

yeah. for better or worse, democrats aren't driving this election. it's an uncomfortable feeling, sitting back and letting trump continue to undermine his own campaign, because it places the control in his hands. but it's too late, at this point. the 2020 election is about trump, and it has been since january 2016.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

I'm not sure what control he's got? Explain it to me. The White House is a petrie dish. He nixed the stimulus bill. He's likely to lose.

Don't confuse "control" with "making the news."

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

Besides, with the Michigan news today...

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

replace "control" with "strongly influence", maybe? no one has "control" in the literal sense, except our lord and personal savior jesus christ.

but he can strongly influence what the last month of this election is about, in a way that democrats cannot. he just chooses to use his influence in constantly idiotic ways.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

Opting out of the debate would be a huge blunder to the degree that, so far behind, the two debates were literally the last legitimate (I stress "legitimate") Hail-Mary hope he had. There's nothing else left--turnarounds in COVID, the economy--in a 25-day window. Nothing.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

Trump can fight his way out of a corner. He does it over and over again and people keep assuming he'll trip himself up. MAYBE this time it's different, I just wouldn't bet the farm on it.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

I don't underestimate him, but neither do I think Biden's in a passive or losing position.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

I know what you're saying, but I just can't see it. Three months ago, I thought everything was set up for a perfect storm in the last few weeks: a COVID breakthrough, the economy in clear recovery, some other bit of a good news for him. Those doors seem closed. Outside of interference, I can't see anything.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

Thinking of Alaphillipe on the LBL the other day, need to keep focussed until the last moment. Sure Biden won’t be complacent but I won’t relax until after the election.

Dan Worsley, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

and people are voting already

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

oh yeah, for sure. i am the opposite of relaxed, i assume everyone else is too

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

xp

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

As time ticks down and the stupid and reckless moves cascade and snowball, it's getting increasingly difficult to see how Trump can possibly fight his way out of the massive hole he's dug for himself, especially when he is showing zero inclination to correct course whatsoever. I know Biden's passive strategy is frustrating, but it's worked remarkably well, and nothing has happened that suggests he needs to change it up.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

And this is happening in Florida.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

Biden should debate Clint Eastwood's chair.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

I think if anyone in the WH outbreak dies that might seal things. If everyone clearly recovers and Trump seems fine it might make it look like his approach is vindicated. Although it's so down to the wire in terms of timing that it may be too late for something like that.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

Besides, with the Michigan news today...

― Ned Raggett, Thursday, October 8, 2020 10:51 AM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

i assume you're speaking of this news?

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2020/10/08/feds-thwart-militia-plot-kidnap-michigan-gov-gretchen-whitmer/5922301002/

The FBI says it thwarted what it described as a plot to violently overthrow the government and kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, and federal prosecutors are expected to discuss the alleged conspiracy later Thursday.

The alleged plot involved reaching out to members of a Michigan militia, according to a federal affidavit filed Thursday.

"Several members talked about murdering 'tyrants' or 'taking' a sitting governor," an FBI agent wrote in the affidavit. "The group decided they needed to increase their numbers and encouraged each other to talk to their neighbors and spread their message."

i got a homogenic björk wine farmer permabanned (voodoo chili), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

I hate to play Save-a-Sleepy, but how has Biden been passive? He gave a thorough and (for him!) solid speech on Tuesday that didn't ONCE mention the president, he answered questions in Miami at a town hall, and Harris last night did the anti-Trump stuff for him.

I just don't what you guys want Biden to do!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

It's more specific: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2020/10/08/feds-thwart-militia-plot-kidnap-michigan-gov-gretchen-whitmer/5922301002/

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

and people are voting already

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, October 8, 2020 11:03 AM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

at this point there must be a historic number of votes already cast right?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

:O at that Michigan news

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

definitely i saw the numbers last night somewhere xp

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

I'm still on edge, but only because of the prospect for interference, not that he's going to suddenly rally. So, like most of the rest of the non-American world, I'm hoping--and confident--that Americans will stay vigilant with regards to interference.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

Including mine!

xxxpost

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

dang
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-early-vote/more-than-4-million-americans-have-already-voted-suggesting-record-turnout-idUSKBN26R1LR

(posted two days ago)

With four weeks to go before Election Day, more than 4 million Americans already have voted, more than 50 times the 75,000 at this time in 2016, according to the United States Elections Project, which compiles early voting data.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

got mine mailed off yesterday, minnesota has a good ballot tracker site so you can check to see if it was received and counted

figured best to get if off now in case there is a problem

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

I'd like to see Biden lift up the White House with his bare hands and shake it until Trump falls out like lunch money out of a nerd's pocket.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

Estimated voting population of the US is around 200 million, I gather -- be interesting to see what the overall percentage of that group ends up early voting in the end.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

Now, see, this is good stuff: politico.com/news/2020/10/08/progressive-agenda-2021-joe-biden-427673

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

story from a day later says 5M
https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/07/politics/ballot-returns-early-voting-2020-election/index.html

would imagine the daily number of early votes cast/absentee ballots received will grow at a fast rate every day from here until the election

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

So, trying to catch up. Is the sequence

1. Commission on presidential debates says the debate will be virtual

2. Trump says he won't participate

3. Biden camp says (or strongly implies) Trump's a coward who is afraid to debate virtually

?

Or is it more like

1. Biden camp refuses to debate unless it's virtual

2. Trump says Biden's a coward for not being willing to debate mano a mano

3. Commission on presidential debates says the debate will be virtual

4. Trump says he won't participate in a virtual debate

5. Biden says Trump's a coward who is afraid to debate virtually

6. Trump camp accuses Biden camp of having inappropriately influenced (excuse me, RIGGED) the Commission to set the debate on Biden-friendly terms

?

The outcome will likely be the same but the optics are different

we're ommaway to nowhere (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

The prof at Florida who studies this surely has his reasons but I'm not getting why the surge of early voting is thought to indicate high turnout. Why isn't it just a sign that more people are voting by mail than ever have before? My vote's in, and I never voted by mail before, but I always vote.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Yeah I don't get that either.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

xxp it's both depending on who's reporting

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

Yes. I suspect the figures will re-align when early voting starts and GOP voters line up.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:18 (five years ago)

I admit I was thinking similarly here:

It will be interesting to see if this was a credible threat or if it followed the FBI’s “we caught a terrorist” model, which is (1) find a mouthy shiftless loser, (2) whip them up more, (3) offer to give them guns or bombs or stuff, and (4) arrest them for the plot. https://t.co/6SDkJUNIq0

— MonsterHat (@Popehat) October 8, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

Did Pence actually mention Soros?

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:20 (five years ago)

Trump can fight his way out of a corner. He does it over and over again and people keep assuming he'll trip himself up. MAYBE this time it's different, I just wouldn't bet the farm on it.

― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 15:57 (four minutes ago) link

Why I'm so obsessed with the famous "wriggle" tweet is because I don't see it as fighting at all. He just gets away with it. And the pattern of intense "THIS will be his downfall!" rubbing of palms together for each notable example have been justified but never deliver. The cult around him dig in their heels more defiantly each time; they will not give liberals the satisfaction to any degree. As each scandal/revelation/investigation has fizzled out anticlimactically with no consequence, it's really hard to not have defenses up to protect myself from even more disappointment this time. I want to believe! And the disappointment is not healthy. It makes us pore over every little image and statement, grasping for evidence to support our hope that this will finally be it. The desperation goes too far in that hunt sometimes, but it's counter balanced by the desperate stubbornness on the other side.

Evan, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

This morning:

"She's a communist. She's not a socialist, she's well beyond a socialist," he said, going on to make false, fear-mongering claims that Harris wants to "open up the borders to allow killers and murderers and rapists to pour into our country."

He twice called Harris, the first woman of color on a major party ticket, a "monster."

I imagine they will focus such derangement heavily on Harris the last three weeks.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/08/politics/trump-covid-fox-interview/index.html

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

everything the Dems do from now on needs to be focused on preventing another person like Donald Trump from ever existing

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

The Democrats really need to find ways of stealing the attention and controlling the narrative right now.

lmao

at this point there must be a historic number of votes already cast right?

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Nationally, voters have cast 4.5% of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election.

(20+% in wisconsin and virginia, 10+% in florida, wisconsin and michigan among others)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

MCCONNELL: “I haven’t actually been to the White House since August the 6th. Because my impression was that their approach to how to handle this is different from mine and what I suggested that we do in the Senate, which is to wear a mask and practice social distancing."

— Julie Tsirkin (@JulieNBCNews) October 8, 2020

"i don't trust him with my health ,the rest of you should though"

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

everything the Dems do from now on needs to be focused on preventing another person like Donald Trump from ever existing

https://filmschoolrejects.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/the-time-machine-1960.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

MCCONNELL: “I haven’t actually been to the White House since August the 6th. Because my impression was that their approach to how to handle this is different from mine and what I suggested that we do in the Senate, which is to retract into our shells and consume a healthy diet of shredded carrots and Omega One Floating Pellets, fortified with critical Omega 3 & 6 Fatty Acids and slightly elevated protein levels for consistent, healthy growth"

Evan, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

In the year 2525

ftfy: in the year 252525

#onethread

Regard the timeless piano balladeeress! (breastcrawl), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

Ha!

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

That explains how McConnell has lived to the age of 155

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

"Several members talked about murdering 'tyrants' read the indictment of every message board and comments section on the internet

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:44 (five years ago)

Mostly this is just kinda sad

Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien, who tested positive himself, says the Trump campaign agrees to delaying the second debate by a week to October 22 so it can be in person.

"And accordingly, the third debate should then be shifted back one week to October 29," he says.

— Yamiche Alcindor (@Yamiche) October 8, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

xp, I can't find it right now, and don't really want to, but when the ISIS phenomenon was gaining steam, there was a very well produced propaganda video going around the internet that included a speech by some ISIS fighter about "tyrants," and this totally makes me think of that.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

One of those involved complained in June that Whitmer (D) was controlling the opening of gyms

well this is clearly tyranny

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

There's def something about the gym owner/personal trainer mentality that lends itself to Trumpism I've noticed. Small business owner + aggression + "self-sufficiency" ideology I guess? Plus just the practical reality that COVID especially sucks for gym owners and trainers.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

the pain & gain presidency

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

This all gets lost in the ridiculous firehose-full-of-sewage that is current political news, but.

One of the endlessly repeated talking points from Republicans has been that the Obama Administration presided over "the slowest recovery since the Great Depression."

Pence said it again yesterday. "Slowest recovery."

There is a part of me that wishes someone would wheel round with "Oh yeah? Well at least we HAD a recovery. Where the fuck is yours?"

Like, imagine if there were a two-car race, and Car #1 finished, albeit slowly. Then Car #2 flipped over, crashed into a wall, caught on fire, killed thousands of people, and the resulting toxic cloud ended most sentient life on the planet.

Is it seemly that the talking point from Team #2 is still "yeah, but the other people were so SLOW"?

we're ommaway to nowhere (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

Brad Parscale cried during arrest, told officers his wife won't have sex with him https://t.co/UrzgSa7gcl pic.twitter.com/Dny3sXgnnM

— New York Post (@nypost) October 8, 2020

just putting this out there

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

damn it's not often that this song from my youth is so topical

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=deKRFMjQ5sY&ab_channel=AndrewJohnson

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

dammit

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQuSXE25vd4&ab_channel=MoxyFr%C3%BCvous-Topic

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

just putting this out there

That's what he said.

Had to laugh at the "and they cut you off whenever they want" part of Trump's complaint about virtual debate.

nashwan, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

ugh it's Michigan Militia by Moxy Fruvous. I don't know how to do this shit

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

(xpost, the recovery) A perfect match for their framing of Obama and Swine Flu: what could have happened but didn't was so much worse than what's actually happening now.

clemenza, Thursday, 8 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

please, the debate must be held in person so our candidate can interrupt and talk over the entire proceedings. remote debates are not possible because the constantly disruptive behavior of our dumb boy could be easily counteracted by muting him.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

Just curious, what were those lunatics going to do *after* they kidnapped the governor and overthrew the state of Michigan?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

profit, obv

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

lol

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

So, first you get the woman (Whitmer), then you get the power (Michigan), then you get the money? Did I get that order right?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

This is why, broadly speaking, I'm not really afraid of militias rising up to wreak havoc on some grand scale. Yes, they may be inclined toward violent action (which is scary) but they're also real fucken dumb.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

LIBERATE MICHIGAN!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 17, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

god don't scare me like that, thought it was a new one

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

There's a Michigoose / Michigander jest in there somewhere but I'm too tired to construct it rn

we're ommaway to nowhere (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

fitting that one of the plotters' leaders is named Fox

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

i'm curious to learn what they thought of Trump's call to LIBERATE MICHIGAN!!!

seems relevant, whether they started planning before or after, and if before, what their reaction was to it

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

"Wolverine Watchmen" was the name of their group

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

terrifying, in my view. sorry. i know i'm prone to overreact to these kinds of things.

but they were doing this to try to start civil war II. that was the aim. and if they really would have gotten the 200 people they were looking for to kidnap whitmer and "try her for treason" before the election, they may very well have succeeded in inciting violence across the country. and i very much doubt that trump or anyone in his orbit would have the courage to do the right thing in that situation. he likes people that like him. Wolverine Watchmen are probably leaning toward Trump, i'm guessing

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQuSXE25vd4

(you just want the simplest form of the url possible. h t t p s colon slash slash www youtube com / watch ? v = skdlasjld )

((watch this not work...))

koogs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

Lmao at his new proof of video seems like the steroid high is wearing off and someone showed him his polling with seniors and women.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

"Wolverine Watchmen" was the name of their group

Rorschach was not the hero you fucking morons

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

thanks koogs!

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

Happy birthday, Tricia, would've been the appropriate response

Nhex, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

please, the debate must be held in person so our candidate can interrupt and talk over the entire proceedings. remote debates are not possible because the constantly disruptive behavior of our dumb boy could be easily counteracted by muting him.

― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:05 (twenty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

please, the debate must be held in person so our candidate can have one last go at infecting old Joe

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

Def no reason not to have it in person they can just social distance
https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/0YiZgsA4CPD2TqwPkbjvXVstb5Q=/0x0:4465x2836/920x613/filters:focal(2101x700:2815x1414):format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/56330823/613703308.0.jpg

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:37 (five years ago)

"Wolverine Watchmen" was the name of their group

― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, October 8, 2020 1:17 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Current me looks back in shame at 17 yo me.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

🚨 Biden campaign rejects Trump camp proposal to delay both Oct. 15 and Oct 22. debates; Biden camp only wants Oct. 15 town hall-style delayed to Oct. 22 pic.twitter.com/OlbcLD42RC

— Emily Larsen (@emilyelarsen) October 8, 2020

jaymc, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

why are they accepting any delay? If Trump is "symptom free" make him prove it

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

remotely, that is

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:45 (five years ago)

https://1.bp.blogspot.com/_JbcW7ewATGo/TT4KkBQP7PI/AAAAAAAADMw/c3PCcruoRRM/s1600/Foghorn_Leghorn2.jpg

"Remotely, that is!"

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

ugh it's Michigan Militia by Moxy Fruvous. I don't know how to do this shit

um sorry Moxy Fruvous is CANCELLED

thanks for getting that song stuck in my head again

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

why are they accepting any delay?

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, October 8, 2020 10:44 AM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

idk struggling to care about this

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

given the way Trump's performed in those debates you probably want them as close to the election as possible

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

Not if he's bloated from steroids and gasping for breath

all Biden has going for him is Trump's humiliation

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

I don't think the Biden campaign is "accepting a delay." They want to go forward with the already scheduled Oct. 22 debate. The statement leaves open the possibility that that debate could be held remotely, just as the Oct. 15 debate was supposed to be. But the ball is in the Debate Commission's court now to make that decision.

jaymc, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

xps i was looking up what you meant, damn, didn't realize a member of Moxy Fruvous is now a famous sex pest

Nhex, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

Biden tested negative today, 9 days after the debate.

jaymc, Thursday, 8 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

i hope every bird in America shits on Trump every day, forever, even after he's dead

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

also when he dies I want him left in the middle of Wacker Drive

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

didn't realize a member of Moxy Fruvous is now a famous sex pest

yeah kind of the last band you'd expect huh

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

WASHINGTON (AP) — Feds charge prominent Republican fundraiser Elliott Broidy in covert lobbying effort to drop Justice Department probe.

— Zeke Miller (@ZekeJMiller) October 8, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

also looks like this guy has seen enough

At event in Kentucky today, McConnell also said: “If any of you have been around me since May the 1st, I’ve said, ‘Wear your mask. Practice social distancing.’ ... Now, you’ve heard of other places that have had a different view, and they are, you know, paying the price for it.”

— Felicia Sonmez (@feliciasonmez) October 8, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

Mitch throwing shade from a social distance.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:18 (five years ago)

xpost - Wow I remember those awful stories about Ghomeshi, but I always read about it with him framed as a CBC broadcaster. Had no idea until today he was in Moxy Fuvous.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

i hope every bird in America shits on Trump every day, forever, even after he's dead

― LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal)

i respect this, but i also think some of the birds should be assigned to take a shit on the people who supported Trump, every day, forever. divide and conquer

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

I knew Ghomeshi only as "that Canadian Billy Bob Thornton was rude to"

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:42 (five years ago)

these stories hit more or less at exactly the same time and directly contradict each other in their conclusions/headlines but not in their facts?
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/10/08/fact-check-trumps-antibody-therapy-not-made-fetal-stem-cells/5901542002/
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/10/08/world/covid-coronavirus

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

bocck bok bok bok

God yes, Biden's dumb folksiness could 110% sell calling Trump a coward. Belittling him is the most effective tactic, if Biden's strategists had thought to pay attention to his reactions to Graydon Carter (checks notes) between 1985 and 2016.




Trump can fight his way out of a corner. He does it over and over again and people keep assuming he'll trip himself up. MAYBE this time it's different, I just wouldn't bet the farm on it.

He also loses a lot and just drops it and walks away - the fuss he makes about everything else is very effective at minimising his failures and bankruptcies and defeats.


It's more specific: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2020/10/08/feds-thwart-militia-plot-kidnap-michigan-gov-gretchen-whitmer/5922301002/

(This was the same link btw, if you meant to post a different one?)



MCCONNELL: “I haven’t actually been to the White House since August the 6th. Because my impression was that their approach to how to handle this is different from mine and what I suggested that we do in the Senate, which is to wear a mask and practice social distancing."

dammit:

Barr and Mitch would be very very satisfying, yes; I assume McConnell has been more cautious than Barr about reducing his risk.

― erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, October 7, 2020 10:28 AM (two days ago)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

trump using a green screen for his show today ?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

God yes, Biden's dumb folksiness could 110% sell calling Trump a coward

he should bring back calling people "yellow-bellied"

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

dog-faced pony soldier

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 18:59 (five years ago)

Biden should challenge him to a duel.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

why you two-timin' good for nuthin', lily-livered blunderbuss, why i oughtta...

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

lots of obvious but worthwhile points here that dem leadership would do well to hammer home:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/07/upshot/trump-hospital-costs-coronavirus.html

President Trump spent three days in the hospital. He arrived and left by helicopter. And he received multiple coronavirus tests, oxygen, steroids and an experimental antibody treatment.

For someone who isn’t president, that would cost more than $100,000 in the American health system. Patients could face significant surprise bills and medical debt even after health insurance paid its share.
-
Health economists are only starting to understand the full costs of coronavirus treatment, just as scientists are mapping out how the disease works and spreads. They do have some early estimates: The median charge for a coronavirus hospitalization for a patient over 60 is $61,912, according to a claims database, FAIR Health.

That figure includes any medical care during the hospital stay, such as an emergency room visit that led to admission or drugs provided by the hospital.

For insured patients, that price would typically be negotiated lower by their health plan. FAIR Health estimates that the median amount paid is $31,575. That amount, like most things in American health care, varies significantly from one patient to another.

In the FAIR Health data on coronavirus patients over 60, a quarter face charges less than $26,821 for their hospital stay. Another quarter face charges higher than $193,149, in part because of longer stays.
-
The biggest billing risk for a patient receiving treatment similar to Mr. Trump’s would probably come from helicopter rides to the hospital.

Air ambulances are expensive and often not in major health insurance plans’ networks. The median charge for an air ambulance is $38,770, according to a study in the journal Health Affairs published this year. When the helicopter trip is out of network — as about three-quarters of them are — patients are left with a median charge of $21,698 after the insurance payout.

Taking two helicopter rides, as Mr. Trump did, could plausibly result in more than $40,000 in medical debt for patients without access to their own aircraft (though of course most people do not leave the hospital by helicopter).

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:12 (five years ago)

Billboard that went up in my neighborhood (this particular spot always has weird right wing billboards, like previously it was one calling for the recall of our democratic mayor, who's definitely disappointed the left by giving lip service to defund the police, but doing nothing and reassuring police orgs):

Trump = jobs
Biden = mobs
Paid for by the WI Chinese American Business Assocation (um, doubtful?)

change display name (Jordan), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:13 (five years ago)

CABA = ACAB = ABACAB

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:15 (five years ago)

Apparently 7 more Michigan Militia members arrested, bringing the total to 13.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

I guess, 7 more "charged" is more accurate.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

Apparently 7 more Michigan Militia members arrested, bringing the total to 13.


I’m assuming this is more serious than the half-assed entrapment they do to Muslims.

Boring, Maryland, Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

If they out and out got them this easily and clearly i would think they didn’t work real hard to catch them

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

I’m assuming this is more serious than the half-assed entrapment they do to Muslims.

This came from informants, so I wouldn't assume that at all.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

It really can't be emphasized enough how with his pandemic approach Trump is doubling down on a 16 against a dealer 10 https://t.co/JM2BIZfPU8 pic.twitter.com/TgrgLT1kJ0

— Jake Anbinder (@JakeAnbinder) October 8, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

Nice

JUST IN: @ABC News will host a town hall with @JoeBiden moderated by @GStephanopoulos on October 15th. The primetime event will take place in Philadelphia where the former vice president will answer questions from voters. pic.twitter.com/7IPzdqK9Sx

— ABC News (@ABC) October 8, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

loool

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

Oh, that's delicious.

we're ommaway to nowhere (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:33 (five years ago)

twist that knife

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

"Paid for by the WI Chinese American Business Assocation (um, doubtful?)"

dunno, asian business associations in CA tend to back awful republicans, like most business associations.

akm, Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

A panicky and fumbling Trump agrees to virtual debate after all in 5...4...

Or he's just going to bitch about how unfairly he's being treated like the little bitch he is.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

Probably the latter. Biden really doesn't gain anything letting Trump open his mouth, even in a virtual setting. Everyone's decided who they're voting for.

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:43 (five years ago)

he's going to double-down by holding a rally on the same night. then he'll claim that any media outlet that doesn't prioritize his rally over Biden's town hall is an enemy. that'll fire up his 30% and leave everyone else who notices to roll their eyes

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

How many times can someone self-sabotage throughout his dumb life and still not manage to turf out completely? Trump is like the Tootsie Pop owl of shooting himself in the dick.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:56 (five years ago)

For somebody that 30% of the country fawns over as some sort of "strong man", I'm still amazed by how much he whines about everything.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 8 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

It's called counter-punching!

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

Trump is like the Tootsie Pop owl of shooting himself in the dick.

lol, I hope election day is the ker-runch

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

Yeah for a person who’s done no manual labor ever I really don’t get his strong man rep.

All cars are bad (Euler), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

For somebody that 30% of the country fawns over as some sort of "strong man", I'm still amazed by how much he whines about everything.


I think they find it incredibly

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

relatable

oops

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

For somebody that 30% of the country fawns over as some sort of "strong man", I'm still amazed by how much he whines about everything.

― soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, October 8, 2020 2:57 PM (nine minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Isn't this a pretty common pattern with "strongmen" leaders though? Resentment and perceived slights are often animating factors for his brand of politics.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

They don't care if he's whiny, they care if he owns the libs

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

Meantime on a strict timeline level it's truly amazing how badly Trump is burning out all the remaining weeks. This week is about over and he has only three left, and he hasn't been able to truly control the news on any of them for some time except in terms of him acting the fool.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

xpost - I thought most "strongman" leaders were boisterous bullies more than whiners, though.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

his sense of being treated unfairly and constantly aggrieved is the core of his appeal really

his followers are also giant whiny babies

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

Trump is both a whiner and a boisterous bully

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

Meantime on a strict timeline level it's truly amazing how badly Trump is burning out all the remaining weeks. This week is about over and he has only three left, and he hasn't been able to truly control the news on any of them for some time except in terms of him acting the fool.

― Ned Raggett, Thursday, October 8, 2020 3:10 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

and, as we talked about upthread it's even worse this year as more and more votes are baked in with every passing day

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

thrilling to see the most powerful man on earth extremely upset about low flow toilets and the NFL, just like me!

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

The fly got him

#BREAKING: Vice President Pence has canceled his trip to Indiana on Friday where he was going to participate in early voting.

No reason has been provided from his office at this time.

— Travis Akers (@travisakers) October 8, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

The same ppl who think he's a tough guy also think Harley riders and gun lovers are tough guys

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

Isn't this a pretty common pattern with "strongmen" leaders though? Resentment and perceived slights are often animating factors for his brand of politics.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8bZCc90nfGQ

we're ommaway to nowhere (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

Yes, I know, it’s the Lincoln Project but this is still spot on:

REGENERON! pic.twitter.com/x3PZt0onIr

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 8, 2020

pomenitul, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

Trump is both a whiner and a boisterous bully

Funny how that works. I may have some firsthand experience of that but will save it for Ask Dr. Freud.

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

Vice President Pence has canceled his trip to Indiana on Friday where he was going to participate in early voting.

maybe whatever was going on with his eye?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

If Trump skips the debate, invite some crackpot third party candidate to take his place.. that'll get his goat.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:27 (five years ago)

Kanye's right there.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

If they out and out got them this easily and clearly i would think they didn’t work real hard to catch them

Heard the interview with the Michigan AG on the radio just now. Apparently they'd been watching them for a while - some of these assholes were there at the storm the capital protest - and decided now was the time. As she put it, better to have a weak conspiracy case than a strong homicide case. Though she also stressed that the case is not weak. Also explicitly laid this at the feet of Asshole in Chief.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

The same ppl who think he's a tough guy also think Harley riders and gun lovers are tough guys

― A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:16 (eleven minutes ago) link

Well, I have to say I find this kind of liberal self-talk dangerous and perhaps a bit delusional. After all, what actually is a "tough guy"? You can psychologize away the gun lover's guns, but they still fire bullets. A bully may break your nose out of insecurity, but he still leaves you with a broken nose. So I find claims about whether they are "really" tough irrelevant.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

Ned no

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

how the fuck is this not terrorism

frogbs, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

xpost True, I shouldn't wish it into the world.

Thing with the Michigan bunch that's not getting as much play but is mentioned is that at least some local law enforcement were investigating being targeted by the suspects as well some time back. Which, I'm willing to bet, maybe providing them with more, how you say, incentive to keep an eye on these goofs.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

Holy crap at that Regeneron ad.

btw fwiw NPR referred to the Michigan bunch as terrorists.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:34 (five years ago)

Any word on Rudy? Christie? Asshole's Not Much Better Half?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

NEW @GovChristie 3 sources tell @CBSNews the former New Jersey Governor remains hospitalized but not on a ventilator nor in ICU. “All of the rumors out there are just that. The Governor is doing well.” - Former Christie spokesperson. @finnygo @ArdenFarhi @edokeefe

— Catherine Herridge (@CBS_Herridge) October 8, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

I'd feel sorry for the ventilator

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

Very chill extended stay in the hospital.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zwsl-SuOEXc

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

Probably been posted many times before, sorry.

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:51 (five years ago)

Day ten: still doing well!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:51 (five years ago)

You know he's just in it for the Jell-O.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

Do shakes go with that jello?

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

barium shakes, yes

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

Do shakes go with that jello?

― She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs),

best George Clinton track

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

If it was a George Duke track, it would be called Dukey Shakes

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

Statement from VP's office: "Nobody's sick. There's no positive tests. The VP is planning on traveling on Saturday and Monday. We'll have more information on the vice president's schedule next week soon."

Pence is currently at an event in Peoira, AZ.

— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) October 8, 2020

...where he's probably getting everyone sick.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

OMG, re: Brad, those body cam photos are nuts, but this one may be the best:

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2020/10/07/23/34120148-8816513-image-m-17_1602108099617.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

This is like the perfect album cover for ...

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

...Post Malone?

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

unbelievable

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

tbf dude probably smells like Post Malone

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

"Axon Body Spray, for moist men."

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

MADISON, Wis. (AP) -- Federal appeals court blocks extended deadline for counting absentee ballots in Wisconsin.

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 8, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

cool, now it can go to the Supreme oh wait

sleeve, Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

Wonder who appointed that judge

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

https://storage.googleapis.com/afs-prod/media/e9dfb190ed9648a7a71855cc3ffd4669/800.jpeg

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

Vice President Pence has canceled his trip to Indiana on Friday where he was going to participate in early voting.

The advance team was not able to assure Pence that the region had been completely cleared of houseflies.

we're ommaway to nowhere (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

"After all, what actually is a "tough guy"?"

Apparently you define it as "anyone who can inflict harm on others"

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 8 October 2020 21:55 (five years ago)

https://cdn.smehost.net/legacyrecordingscouk-ukprod/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/OCEAN-TOUGH.gif

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 8 October 2020 22:32 (five years ago)

do: by that definition, everyone is a tough guy

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:13 (five years ago)

tough guy quiz.

you see a turtle walking in the middle of a busy intersection:

do you

1) eat it
2) help save it's life
3) shout insults at it for 20 minutes as it walks across, then go home and cry because you'll never know "real love"

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:15 (five years ago)

https://miro.medium.com/max/3840/1*HFnCWEWuGNm025UYi2pDtg.jpeg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

Let’s just say it… Suburban women sense that Pence knows how to lay pipe.@JesseKellyDC https://t.co/I9PfAg8o9r

— Kurt Schlichter (@KurtSchlichter) October 8, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

I have to assume that phrase doesn’t mean what I thought it did

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

Wasn't Schlichter recently musing on how much pussy Barron was gonna get during the second term?

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

Are suburban women afflicted with a scat fetish?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

i demand that we end this conversation right now

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:35 (five years ago)

See thread title

Bidh boladh a' mhairbh de 'n láimh fhalaimh (dowd), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

Photoshop time
https://cdn3.whatculture.com/images/2015/10/XFPksvLi.jpg

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

I feel like there’s a lay pipe/ lay cable joek at the beginning of The Boys that’s instructive here

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 8 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/QhDLeAa.jpg

assert (MatthewK), Friday, 9 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

This McConnell thing--avoiding the White House for two months because "my impression was their approach to how to handle this is different from mine"--I know it's not a big story, but the mere fact of McConnell publicly voicing anything other than abject obsequiousness can't be reassuring to Trump.

clemenza, Friday, 9 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

Pfft, it makes sense that Pence would leave his fly up.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 00:20 (five years ago)

just putting this here for reference, the Michigan affidavit

https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-government/read-affidavit-accusing-michigan-militia-group-plot-kidnap-gov-whitmer

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 00:25 (five years ago)

This McConnell thing--avoiding the White House for two months because "my impression was their approach to how to handle this is different from mine"--I know it's not a big story, but the mere fact of McConnell publicly voicing anything other than abject obsequiousness can't be reassuring to Trump.

― clemenza, Thursday, October 8, 202

Yeah -- it's what The Fixx called a secret separation

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

You know I'm not an '80s guy, so, honest to god, it took me about 10 seconds before I realized The Fixx wasn't a political website like Politico or TPM.

clemenza, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

man Buttigieg is going hard in this interview, I gotta admit

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

thank you, MatthewK, can't wait to traumatize friends with that

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

Mike Pence probably shakes his wife's hand post-coitus, maybe pats her back

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

There's never a post-coitus

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

Decent chance the Pences are absolute freaks in bed tbh.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

The whole mother thing is just roleplay, gets him harder because they can do it in public.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

Isn't her ex husband the Viagra creator? Or something like that? She may still be very much in charge of that aspect if so.

BlackIronPrison, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani on Wednesday revealed that he is currently taking ineffective coronavirus therapeutic hydroxychloroquine in an effort to fend off a possible COVID-19 infection...

Don't stop believing.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:49 (five years ago)

his head is going to be humpty dumpty sized

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 9 October 2020 01:51 (five years ago)

This is a masterclass in gibberish

Trump speaks to senior citizens about COVID: "You're not vulnerable, but they like to say the vulnerable, but you're the least vulnerable — but for this one thing you are vulnerable." pic.twitter.com/eyZDRwur1p

— The Recount (@therecount) October 8, 2020

Alba, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

Apparently him on Hannity tonight is...a thing.

Yikes. Trump's voice is extremely hoarse and at one point gave out. pic.twitter.com/kf0gwNyPCI

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:57 (five years ago)

Trump is on some kind of a rant about California dumping water into the Pacific because of some tiny little fish that doesn’t do well with something something, and then he went off on forest fires and Hannity is trying to stop him

— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

So... he's not a 'senior citizen', I gather? No royal 'We'?
He lives in Florida.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 9 October 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

Okay, yes, I'm convinced that he is actively trying to lose

Governor Whitmer of Michigan has done a terrible job. She locked down her state for everyone, except her husband’s boating activities. The Federal Government provided tremendous help to the Great People of Michigan. My Justice Department and Federal Law Enforcement announced...

...today that they foiled a dangerous plot against the Governor of Michigan. Rather than say thank you, she calls me a White Supremacist—while Biden and Democrats refuse to condemn Antifa, Anarchists, Looters and Mobs that burn down Democrat run cities...

...I do not tolerate ANY extreme violence. Defending ALL Americans, even those who oppose and attack me, is what I will always do as your President! Governor Whitmer—open up your state, open up your schools, and open up your churches!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

My "I do not tolerate ANY extreme violence" shirt raises a lot of questions already answered by my shirt

frogbs, Friday, 9 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

They oscillated the mic, and they actually oscillated it very seriously? Did they also oscillate it ... wildly?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

he's gonna be rehospitalized by this weekend

global tetrahedron, Friday, 9 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

I hope he dies as he lived ... dead.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

Mayor Pete has been very very good on Fox News. I think people underestimated him. I’m sure he’ll have a cabinet position. Or maybe he’s jockeying for VP.

akm, Friday, 9 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

satan oscillate my moronic sonatas

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 9 October 2020 02:44 (five years ago)

I wonder

I was long skeptical of the Steve Bannon as master strategist narrative, he's mostly a crank and a conman, but this election year it's clear how responsible he was in turning Trump's impulses into something resembling a coherent message.

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) October 9, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 9 October 2020 02:50 (five years ago)

one giant Voltron of shit

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:03 (five years ago)

Trump on Green New Deal: "They literally want to take buildings down and rebuild them ... with tiny little windows. Tiny little windows so you can't see the light." Having covered the Green New Deal a can't say I know what this one is referring to

— Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) October 9, 2020

very bummed that I can hear "tiny little windows" in his voice

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:07 (five years ago)

why won't he just d*e

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:10 (five years ago)

xxxp "satan oscillate my moronic sonatas" :)

I've enjoyed Pete's contributions to Fox News though, he's been surprisingly powerful

Dan S, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:11 (five years ago)

There's a decent chance at this point that Trump makes at least one pantsless public appearance before election day.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:11 (five years ago)

yeah Pete was good, especially knowing Trump was likely watching

frogbs, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:11 (five years ago)

Like his brain has been soup since day one bit the pot is fucking boiling over rn

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:12 (five years ago)

He's gonna whip it out at the last debate.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:14 (five years ago)

Biden on FB, guess the gloves are off

Joe Biden

42m ·
Earlier today, I spoke with Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. I am grateful that she and her family are safe, and I commend the FBI and other law enforcement officers for their work to prevent this deranged act by emboldened domestic terrorists.

As a nation, we are at a crossroads. We have come to a point where, despite our shock, we are not surprised that such a heinous plot was even conceived — a plot by Americans to blow up a bridge on American soil, threaten the lives of police officers and other law enforcement officials, and kidnap an American leader, take her hostage, and stage a mock trial for treason. It’s the kind of twisted plot we expect from ISIS, but now it’s here at home.

The words of a president matter. They can move markets. They can bring peace. They can bring war. They can heal divisions or incite violence.

When Governor Whitmer worked to protect the people of her state from a deadly pandemic, and saved countless lives, President Trump issued a call to “LIBERATE MICHIGAN!” That call was heard. When protesters with Swastikas and Confederate flags, nooses, and assault rifles descended on Michigan’s capitol echoing the President’s own refrain to “lock her up,” President Trump called them “very good people.” He was heard, just as he was heard by neo-Nazis in Charlottesville three years ago, and again last week, when he told the extremist Proud Boys to “stand back and stand by."

There is a throughline from President Trump’s dog whistles and tolerance of hate, vengeance, and lawlessness to plots such as this one. He is giving oxygen to the bigotry and hate we see on the march in our country.
We have to stop it.

I just spoke a few days ago in Gettysburg about the cost of division in this country and the need to stand up and shut down violence and hate. The moment has come. We need to come together for the country I know, for the country you know. We need to make our voice heard.

Vote.

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:16 (five years ago)

Vote!?? For who?? You? The other guy? Help me Joe!!

frogbs, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:18 (five years ago)

lol good point but uh I think I'll still vote Biden

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:19 (five years ago)

idk about this sick dude

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:19 (five years ago)

In other news southern Louisiana is about to get hammered by another hurricane.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:21 (five years ago)

“At the first debate they put sidechain compression on my mic... they sidechained it very, very seriously... it gave my voice a woozy, LA beat scene sound... everybody laughed at me, they called me ‘Flying POTUS’...”

— Ambooent 1: Music For Scareports (@pixelatedboat) October 9, 2020

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 9 October 2020 03:30 (five years ago)

lol

Dan S, Friday, 9 October 2020 03:33 (five years ago)

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-forecast-thinks-democrats-will-keep-the-house-and-maybe-even-gain-seats/

5% chance of Republicans running the table, just to give you nightmare fuel

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 9 October 2020 04:30 (five years ago)

9:38 am and no tweet yet hoping for the best 😌💖

— blaire erskine (@blaireerskine) October 9, 2020

📺👁️ (peace, man), Friday, 9 October 2020 13:54 (five years ago)

About those internal GOP polls:

New polls show Mr. Trump’s support is collapsing nationally, as he alienates women, seniors and suburbanites. He is trailing not just in must-win battlegrounds but according to private G.O.P. surveys, he is repelling independents to the point where Mr. Biden has drawn closer in solidly red states, including Montana, Kansas and Missouri, people briefed on the data said.

Nowhere has Mr. Trump harmed himself and his party more than across the Sun Belt, where the electoral coalition that secured a generation of Republican dominance is in danger of coming apart.

“There are limits to what people can take with the irresponsibility, the untruthfulness, just the whole persona,” said Jeff Flake, the former Republican senator from Arizona. Mr. Flake is crossing party lines to support Mr. Biden, who made his first visit of the general election here Thursday.

Many of the Sun Belt states seemingly within Mr. Biden’s reach resisted the most stringent public-health policies to battle the coronavirus. As a result, states like Arizona, Georgia and Texas faced a powerful wave of infections for much of the summer, setting back efforts to revive commercial activity.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

🐦[9:38 am and no tweet yet hoping for the best 😌💖
— blaire erskine (@blaireerskine) October 9, 2020🕸]🐦


It just means Scavino dropped it in the toilet.

Boring, Maryland, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:21 (five years ago)

In other dumb news: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-got-a-21-million-tax-break-for-saving-the-forest-outside-his-ny-mansion-now-the-deal-is-under-investigation/2020/10/07/de84c1ba-ff6b-11ea-830c-a160b331ca62_story.html

This is (of course) crazy. Trump buys a property in upstate New York for about $7 million, claiming he's going to develop it into a golf corse (which fails) and a housing development (which also fails). But then he deducts the value of the property based on the value of ... the houses he never built, because if it *did* build them, and sold them each for $2 million, then the property itself would be worth over $50 million.

I hope everything this guy ever did is investigated forever. I mean:

In one bizarre episode from 2009, Trump rented out Seven Springs to the former Libyan dictator Moammar Gaddafi, who was in New York for the United Nations General Assembly. Gaddafi’s staff pitched a Bedouin-style tent, complete with camel-print drapery, in Trump’s yard.

But even tent-building was doomed at Seven Springs. Bedford officials issued a stop-work order — the tent was deemed a temporary residence, and it had no permits — and Gaddafi didn’t end up moving in.

I wouldn't be surprised if at the end of it all it turns out that *Trump* did Benghazi.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:31 (five years ago)

I did find it heartening to see that a guy I followed on Twitter that had been fairly dormant recently suddenly emerged with a full-on, loud campaign for Jo Jorgensen and got completely lambasted in his responses and his follower count plummeted by like 85% in the past two days.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

is that related to the "public park" he bought in upstate NY? a few weeks ago there was a photo of a sad little "Trump Park" sign in the middle of a freshly cut patch of grass, along with a caption explaining that trump bought the land and said he would develop it into a nice park, then did nothing and put the stupid little sign on top

/unconfirmed but that's gotta be true

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:41 (five years ago)

yeah that's the same

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

Yeah, I think so (I may have posted that ridiculous picture/tweet somewhere in here).

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

well that doesn't seem in character for donald trump, must have been a mistake

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

or no maybe some other crooked scheme xxp

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

Maybe it was a park named after a different Donald Trump, who died before he could change his name.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

To Donald Hitler.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

lol wut

President Donald Trump is apparently going to have a “medical evaluation” on television tonight on Fox News.

The reality TV president doing what he does. https://t.co/c5KF8pwqok

— Yamiche Alcindor (@Yamiche) October 9, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5v7FZwyOdvU

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

omg I hope he arm wrestles someone

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9sBr571y8o

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Friday, 9 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

The Normal otm

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

Biden on FB, guess the gloves are off

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ej19ru0XgAAVaNo?format=jpg&name=small

xyzzzz__, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:05 (five years ago)

we know you hate voting

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

Remember when?

holy shit you've gotta wait for it https://t.co/wWHR9w78ho

— Corey Atad (@CoreyAtad) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

xp lol I knew that would get a rise

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jPj-8_wOZcA

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

Don't taint that song.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

may the vote rise with you

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

Honestly, the Trump part of that video was way far down the list of most disturbing elements. Wtf even was that?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:21 (five years ago)

Having a medical exam on tv doesn’t seem like a good way to change the subject

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

You keep saying that, Alfred. I am not intending to taint, just using for talismanic value to ward off the bad juju going around, like a satchel of gris-gris.

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

Intending to Taint is one of Muriel Spark's best novels imo

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

*sadly deletes "lost Limp Bizkit song" joke*

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

going to add taint to the growing list of words (incl. discharge) that I ask we refrain from using in Trump context

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

Okay, lol at the Muriel Spark joek. A+

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

xpost That's gonna be a difficult ask after the world gets a long + loving look at some primetime Trump taint tonight, only on Fox News!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

Trump is basically the main character in the Driver's Seat

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

Exactly!

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

His post-presidency memoir he'll title Losing with Intent.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

are they going to ask him the last 5 questions of the dementia test? because i've heard those are very hard

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

xpost At this rate, 'taint gonna be a memoir ...

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

are you the greatest dealmaker of all time?
bleach can kill most bad things, right?
name a book that isn't the bible or art of the deal or the novelization of porky's

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

That test houldn't be a problem for him at all no matter how hard it is, because he is in his prime.

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

that's true, the doctors told him that he is better at the dementia test than anyone they've ever seen

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

Ordinarily the Attorney General of the United States would personally announce a case as massive and important as the plot to kidnap Governor Whitmer.

Where are you, Bill Barr?

— Elie Honig (@eliehonig) October 9, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

watch?v=SimonAndGarfunkel?tune=MrsRobinson

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

I hope Whitner sues the living fuck out of Trump and wins

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

that woman

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

The fuck did I do

Gab B. Nebsit (wins), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

lol

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

take one for the team, wins

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

pretty sure Barr, who's malevolent but no moron, understands which way things are going politically.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

everybody looks forward to Trump losing and going away (hopefully), but I really hope living scum like Barr can be stamped out too. it'll be immensely enraging if they're dark money-funded "university" positions, think tank bullshit, and permanent talking heads status on fox.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

Forgive me if my eyes deceive me, but I think this @nytimes report insinuates that Donald Trump, an alleged billionaire, laundered an 8-figure sum from business operations in 2016 to fund his campaign. https://t.co/Xgfwzg61eo

— Greg Greene (@ggreeneva) October 9, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

we got ol' Donny by the tail now!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

big brain genius stuff

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

xpost - Or it's not his brand to give a shit about white terrorists taking aim at his opponents.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

relevant to Barr, from the casual NYT story just now about how Trump is asking his cabinet to indict his political enemies:

The president castigated his own team, declaring that Attorney General William P. Barr would go down in history “as a very sad, sad situation” if he did not indict Democrats like Mr. Biden and former President Barack Obama. He complained that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo had not released Hillary Clinton’s emails, saying, “I’m not happy about him for that reason.” And he targeted Christopher A. Wray, the F.B.I. director. “He’s been disappointing,” Mr. Trump said.

“Unless Bill Barr indicts these people for crimes, the greatest political crime in the history of our country, then we’re going to get little satisfaction unless I win and we’ll just have to go, because I won’t forget it,” Mr. Trump said, referring to the investigation into his 2016 campaign ties with Russia. “But these people should be indicted. This was the greatest political crime in the history of our country, and that includes Obama and it includes Biden.”

Mr. Trump has often argued that his political antagonists should be prosecuted, but in this case, he went further by indicating that he had directly pressured Mr. Barr to indict without waiting for more evidence. “He’s got all the information he needs,” the president said. “They want to get more, more, more, they keep getting more. I said, ‘You don’t need any more.’”

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/08/us/politics/trump-calls-to-indict-political-rivals.html

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

None of that tax stuff is about taking down Donald Trump, president. It's a state-by-state , porperty-by-property tee-up (to use a golf metaphor) on how to take down Donald Trump, post president (assuming he even makes it that far). It would be only fitting if the thing that ends him once and for all is real estate.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

pobrecito /Ned

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

if only one of the hundreds of things he deserves to pay for would actually happen

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

bad news for President Biden

Crazy Nancy Pelosi is looking at the 25th Amendment in order to replace Joe Biden with Kamala Harris. The Dems want that to happen fast because Sleepy Joe is out of it!!!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 9, 2020

frogbs, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

yep, that's what the meeting is about

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

what an unexpected twist

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

the #resistance and the far-right were correct: joe biden has completely lost his mind and can't put together sentences any more. he doesn't make any sense and it's really sad, so now the 25th amendment has to be applied to biden after he wins, which he won't because trump is going to win because Biden shouldn't have been the candidate

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

stable genius

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

All i can think of now even a day later is infomersh don going “hey you probly recognize me, your favorite president,” delivered straight. it’s like he was channelling phil hartman

pence's eye juice (Hunt3r), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

5d chess

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

I would lol if Pelosi told Trump that invoking the 25th Amendment would boot Biden off of the Democrat's ticket and he believed her

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/l9S4rwm.jpg

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

wait what

Something really bad happened to the @Yankees psyche--much like our President!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 19, 2012

frogbs, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

purest form "thanks obama!" style

how nostalgic

Evan, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

please please put him in a televised debate in this exact state

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

'We're looking into Constitutional means of removing you from office on the basis of your glaringly-diminished capacity.'

'LOL, Biden is in so much trouble!'

'...Yes, and that response is but one of the reasons we're looking into Constitutional means of removing you from office on the basis of your glaringly-diminished capacity.'

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

Not sure he really believes that one though. Think he's just cooking up some fresh slop for the MAGA trough.

Evan, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

So sad:

Meanwhile, two sources close to Senate leadership said Trump is desperate, has zero leverage to push them to support a bill crafted by Pelosi & congressional Republicans aren’t inclined to wrap themselves any tighter to a sinking ship

w/ @jonathanvswan

— Alayna Treene (@alaynatreene) October 9, 2020

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIALS and Hill sources tell us that they plan to work through this weekend, all next week and possibly next weekend to get a deal.

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 9, 2020

WHO KNOWS WHY TRUMP WANTS THIS. He may want noise to fill the silence. Maybe he wants a bump in the stock market. We’re not mood readers or psychiatrists or psychics. This deal could’ve been cut 90 times between May and now.

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

I mean I've heard of mutual masturbation but

Limbaugh asks Trump if this is all as much fun for him now because he has to tout his own accomplishments so often.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

xp -- One of my suspicions to begin with was that Trump (by saying he wouldn't do stimulus until after the election) was covering for the fact that the GOP was refusing to do it. Because it didn't strike me as his style -- he doesn't personally care about GOP orthodoxy, he just wants to get elected. I think he thought it was the least bad option to take credit for what was inevitable anyway rather than look powerless. But now he winds up looking powerless anyway. Lol.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

It's truly a self-owning.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

Yeah it was a slight miscalculation to think people would respond well to "I'm holding the economy hostage unless you vote for me!"

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

someone send him some Buffy DVDs

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 9 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

Serious question ... how do political experts expect raising the threat of invoking the 25th amendment to play in the overall?

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

Reminding voters our president needs a straitjacket. Nothing will happen. The point is to send the flare.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

yep

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

just like impeachment

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

the things that were once thought of as constraints and counterbalances have been reduced to flares, but that's what it is

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

https://canary.contestimg.wish.com/api/webimage/5dde2dcd6cdfa33ecbe7cc54-large.jpg

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

Marshall Crenshaw's "Theme From 'Flaregun'" to thread!

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

someone send him some Buffy DVDs

― shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, October 9, 2020 11:57 AM

hahahaaa

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

I'm glad someone appreciated that

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

Trump could just put all of this stuff to rest if he just quit or died.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

imagine trump apologizing and permanently backing out of public life

it's funny how it's what almost any other person would do in his situation, years ago, but with him it is fucking impossible

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

It's like the dude who visibly shat himself at the party opting to ride out the night amidst his increasingly-horrified revelers rather over any of the other sanity-evincing decisions open to him.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

rather

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

I'm glad someone appreciated that

...oh that takes me back.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

I feel like Trump has a Carrie moment coming on where he takes out all the haters

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

Isn’t this it?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:14 (five years ago)

don't get the buffy joke?

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

All the tweets shouting about how people need to be indicted etc really do feel like a real-life version of the Hitler meme scene.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:24 (five years ago)

i see that Amy McGrath is way down in her race against McConnell, or at least she was last month at this time (53 to 41, from Quinnipiac)

big fucking surprise. if you're to go down, wish we could go down swinging (booker) in KY

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

yup :(

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

Fuck Amy McGrift imo

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

running a losing campaign against a hated GOP senator is such a great scam to vacuum up donation money

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/amy-mcgrath-pro-trump-ad-kentucky-ohio_n_5f77a05bc5b649e564b2b758

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

don't get the buffy joke?

― Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, October 9, 2020 2:20 PM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Graham deserves presents and thanks for his work. I'll be damned if he's getting them from me, though.
(Ironically, I was going to buy him something off of his wishlist right before this spectacularly unimpressive hissy fit. I'm sorry to rain on everyone's parade, but no one's going to blackmail me into telling them they've done a good job. If this post pushes him over the edge and he deletes ILXOR, I apologize to everyone else.)
-- Dan Perry (djperr...), March 27th, 2003 3:12 AM

What happened here?

Threads like this always make me feel like I know nothing about ILX. Never heard of Graham before.

― wordy rappinghood (roxymuzak), Friday, November 3, 2006 2:48 AM (thirteen years ago) bookmarkflaglink

yah thats why this is all so facinating now. all this shit happened right under our noses.
― chaki (chaki), Friday, November 3, 2006 3:01 AM (thirteen years ago) bookmarkflaglink

So much for forgiveness ey? I don't know, I liked Graham. He never did anything wrong to me so I guess that makes it easier to forget/forgive? Probably.
― Nathalie (stevie nixed), Friday, November 3, 2006 4:04 AM (thirteen years ago) bookmarkflaglink

He threw a massive hissy fit of the "you all hate me and don't appreciate all the work I've done for you" then promptly started removing features from ILE to prove a point, with the intention of slowly dismantling it until people sent him Buffy DVDs. IIRC Andrew neutered his admin powers after that.
― Matt DC (Matt DC), Friday, November 3, 2006 4:25 AM (thirteen years ago) bookmarkflaglink

I was not yet on ilx at this point but remembered hearing the story in the past.

📺👁️ (peace, man), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

Amy McGrath also running ads distancing herself from the rest of the ticket incl biden that are being shown over the border in Ohio.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

ok lol that buffy thing is a deep ILX cut, don't think i ever encountered that one before. bravo.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 9 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

it's a cool story for sure

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

MN, WI, and VA already past 20% of the 2016's total votes cast. FL (14%) and MI (17%) close to that marker.

Data from @ElectProject's fabulous tracker: https://t.co/tzjiaBH1cp

— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

lol og admin beefs

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 9 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/LiS0Q07.mp4

frogbs, Friday, 9 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

ok lol that buffy thing is a _deep_ ILX cut, don't think i ever encountered that one before. bravo.

this being the US politics thread I took “Graham” to be Lindsey O., “hissy fit” and all. confusing, to say the least.

Regard the timeless piano balladeeress! (breastcrawl), Friday, 9 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

Sometimes I'll tell my family I'm not doing something until I get Buffy DVDs and have never explained the joke. After a few years my wife said "I guess this is some ILX thing."

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Friday, 9 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

"Did you know virus floats down? Anyway stay down there."

"Trump according to a source is expected to address the crowd from the balcony of the White House." https://t.co/KZ91oi6Skq

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 9, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 9 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

for Ceausescu, but relevant

https://deadstate.org/watch-the-exact-moment-when-a-brutal-dictator-realizes-the-crowd-has-turned-against-him/

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

Blexit is the worst Fred Williamson movie

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

xp i was thinking more like mishima

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Friday, 9 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Address *what* crowd?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

or maybe just norma desmond

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Friday, 9 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

for Ceausescu, but relevant

https://deadstate.org/watch-the-exact-moment-when-a-brutal-dictator-realizes-the-crowd-has-turned-against-him/

― sleeve, Friday, October 9, 2020 2:45 PM

just watched the full version of that for the first time, about 20 minutes long. the whole thing is chilling. i knew most of the context, but it was very creepy to watch him carry on for a full TEN MINUTES after that moment happened, improvising blatantly false promises ("uhm, the communist executive committee met just this morning and approved an increase in your wages from 2000 to 2200!"). His comrades on the balcony and the first couple rows of the audience (where his stooges were positioned) continued to clap along and chant and smile, even after the collapse must have been evident...or maybe it wasn't, yet?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

at any rate, it's wishful thinking that trump could ever face such a moment

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

you may say I'm a dreamer

but I'm not the only one

sleeve, Friday, 9 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

It's quite something to realise what it means that he was in power for 24 years. Imagine another 20 years of Trump. Actually, ew, don't.

stet, Friday, 9 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

feeling safer now

“If you fuck around with us, if you do something bad to us, we are gonna do things to you that have never been done before.” — the President of the United States pic.twitter.com/RfDKchaw7i

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 9, 2020

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 9 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CiT_O90jkUI

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 9 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

Finally, getting back to what's really been on every American's mind for months, Iran.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

what was rush's response to that? i'm assuming it was "yes sir, mr president you're exactly right"

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 9 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

I think I've said this but I really do worry (assuming a Biden win, etc) that one of the first foreign policy challenges faced by a new administration will be an Iranian-sponsored assassination attempt against Trump

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 9 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

I think I had just watched a Ceaucescu doc around the time of the 2016 election and I remember thinking that he might be a good analog for Trump.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 9 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

Biden should appoint Trump ambassador to Somalia or something. You know, in the spirit of reconciliation.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

@tombot are you serious or do you mean an "Iranian-sponsored" assassination attempt?

DJI, Friday, 9 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

iran would try to assassinate the ex-president? why?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 9 October 2020 21:28 (five years ago)

Ask Saddam Hussein!

pplains, Friday, 9 October 2020 21:31 (five years ago)

I should have said "Iran-sponsored" and not "Iranian-sponsored"

but yes I do think Iran might be extremely interested in seeing Trump dead and seeing what the US is willing to do about it

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 9 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

I would say it's more likely that there are a ton of people in the US govt that would love to get rid of Trump and start a war with Iran at the same time.

DJI, Friday, 9 October 2020 21:35 (five years ago)

Wait, he's gonna speak on a balcony?? What year is this, 1937?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 9 October 2020 21:45 (five years ago)

but yes I do think Iran might be extremely interested in seeing Trump dead and seeing what the US is willing to do about it

Why the former part, if not solely to provoke the latter?

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 9 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

Iran has behaved a lot more rationally than the US in the last 4 years, seems very bizarre that they’d try something that brazen, esp if they think they could get some sanctions lifted through Biden.

JoeStork, Friday, 9 October 2020 22:01 (five years ago)

natsec brain worms will be sweeping the country in a couple of months

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 9 October 2020 22:07 (five years ago)

if iran was going to do that why would they wait until now

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 9 October 2020 22:08 (five years ago)

The balcony thing makes perfect sense. He stage directed his return t the WH by way of the balcony so probably thought he looked really cool and wants to do it again. And again, everyone will broadcast it because that is what they do. Hopefully he passes out and shits himself on-mic.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

He'll come out with a mask on then dramatically remove it and chuck it down to the crowd, who of course will fight tooth-and-nail for it.

henry s, Friday, 9 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

Forgot to mention the chants of "take it off!" and "show your face!"

henry s, Friday, 9 October 2020 22:22 (five years ago)

https://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/014/245/8d8.gif

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 9 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

The Walk of Shame. pic.twitter.com/GoIjL271SW

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 9, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 9 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

Breaking on @MSNBC: The second presidential debate has been canceled.

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 9, 2020

seumas milm (gyac), Friday, 9 October 2020 22:48 (five years ago)

nice

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Friday, 9 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

anyone who needs a debate to decide who to vote for should be required by law to read one (1) newspaper article per day instead

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Friday, 9 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

has cancel culture gone TOO FAR

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 9 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

Iran has behaved a lot more rationally than the US in the last 4 years, seems very bizarre that they’d try something that brazen, esp if they think they could get some sanctions lifted through Biden.


Yes, and I hope they stick to that. If other ILXors are allowed to have their irrational fears about Trump invalidating the election and starting a second civil war then I’m allowed to have my own scary thoughts about Biden having to deal with a huge foreign policy nightmare his first few months in office.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 9 October 2020 23:22 (five years ago)

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/09/republicans-ready-to-diss-trump-428433

lol url

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

it's not incredible when you talk to his aides. the russiagate docs etc is like 90% of what is animating trump right now. his campaign advisers are well aware there aren't many single issue Hillary emails swing voters in Pa. https://t.co/mBdkN1wQRV

— Jonathan Swan (@jonathanvswan) October 9, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 00:26 (five years ago)

tombot, i still don't get it. why would they assasinate the very unpopular ex-president? why not assasinate the current president? or a popular ex-president?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 00:27 (five years ago)

assassinating someone no one likes seems difficult and dumb?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 00:28 (five years ago)

But at least there's no conceivable upside!

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 00:58 (five years ago)

if they really wanted to rustle everyone's jimmies, they'd assassinate the skateboarding cranberry juice dude.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

if iran assassinates trump, tombot, I will watch 5 MCU movies in full, one after the other, sober

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:09 (five years ago)

What would be awesome is for them to indicate a credible intent to do it, so he lives the rest of his life in fear and/or jail

assert (MatthewK), Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

Tumblr people were already trying to cancel skateboarding cranberry dude yesterday, and isn't cancellation really just assassination by another name?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

I would really like them to not give a guy who pushed us into Iraq a reason to escalate conflict anywhere in the world tbh.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

lol

Best “for the record” ever. pic.twitter.com/4mSSs0yaHP

— ɱıƙɛ ɖ'ąŋɠɛƖơ (@gemko) October 10, 2020

pomenitul, Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

atawa

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Saturday, 10 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Bw1a_O2m48

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 10 October 2020 02:02 (five years ago)

I'm being naive about Iran assassination plots, but I'm going to need more convincing of the downside, lol.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Saturday, 10 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

if they really wanted to rustle everyone's jimmies, they'd assassinate the skateboarding cranberry juice dude.


Agreed, that would launch WW3 without a second thought

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

Trump withdrew from the P5+1 JCPOA and then authorized the assassination of Qasem Soleimani. Trump’s done everything he can to inspire hatred from the Iranian government. It might be worth their time to remind the USA that an ex-President is just as vulnerable as one of their most senior military officers.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 02:43 (five years ago)

Get her done!

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 10 October 2020 02:44 (five years ago)

Tom, are you saying Iran would deliberately wait until he's an ex-president (why, because he's easier to get at?) or just that they might try at any time, during or post presidency?

Alba, Saturday, 10 October 2020 02:56 (five years ago)

You do you, Iran!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 10 October 2020 03:28 (five years ago)

i might be really out of the loop here but has Iran assassinated somebody i should know about?

i found a wikipedia page about it and listing a whole bunch, but it starts with an alert block declaring "This article does not cite any sources"

Doctor Casino, Saturday, 10 October 2020 03:37 (five years ago)

And it was written by Le Bottomo.

nickn, Saturday, 10 October 2020 04:13 (five years ago)

Wasn't there recently a foiled Iranian assassination attempt on ... the ambassador to South Africa, or some dubious shit like that?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 10 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

Big balcony speech today. Besides everything else, that's a great image to send out, a balcony speech.

clemenza, Saturday, 10 October 2020 14:36 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aRABCGXEUXo

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 10 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

Meanwhile in uhhhhh

Lindsey Graham, facing a Black challenger: "If you're a young African American...you can go anywhere in this state, you just need to be conservative not liberal." #SCSen pic.twitter.com/5PfdIoYyJQ

— Steve Morris (@stevemorris__) October 9, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 10 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

To voice a cliché, what does that even mean?

clemenza, Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

It means nothing and everything.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

Freedom of movement & association limited to whites & cons due to the “black commies stay put” act of ‘70

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

The amazing first half I get--basically, be thankful you get to move around freely like the rest of us--it's the "you just need to be conservative, not liberal" part that's perplexing.

clemenza, Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

i heard it as an immensely terrible attempt at a joek more like "you can be any color as long as youre not a lieberal" thing, but i wouldn't bet against any level of racist shit from that mfer. hope he gets destroyed.

pence's eye juice (Hunt3r), Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

It's very "I like both kinds of music, country *and" western." That is, you can come from any background and we will totally accept you, as long as you think and act "conservative," which is to say, in 2020, like an old white southern man.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

it means he's a fascist

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

i mean

are we seriously getting a fascist speech from a balcony tonight? holy shit this year is something else. i know that's the joke this year. i don't watch late night talk shows any more but i can picture it being a recurring theme: "2020! what else do you expect, haha!" but here i am, checking to see what time that i can look forward to watching my president watch out on a balcony, heroically take off his mask, and spit covid on his fans below as he tells them that they must dominate covid19 and never be afraid and also that kamala harris is a monster communist who is running the whole show. especially because he obviously thinks it will look really cool but doesn't realize he picked it up from footage of 1930s fascists

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

meanwhile stephen miller is popping his spooge into his triumph of the will import dvd for the 400th time, as the steroids really take hold

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

i opened up the refrigerator this morning and a large empty glass bottle fell off the top and hit me hard on top of my head. i'm not bleeding, but that is my excuse for today. vote or die

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 10 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

Yes, and I hope they stick to that. If other ILXors are allowed to have their irrational fears about Trump invalidating the election and starting a second civil war then I’m allowed to have my own scary thoughts about Biden having to deal with a huge foreign policy nightmare his first few months in office.
― sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 9 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Great post.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

Lindsey overtaking Rand Paul and TED FUCKIN CRUZ on my personal list of most hated during the Trump era was not something I anticipated

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

Peron
Peron
Peron
Peron
Peron
Peron

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

I have no doubt that Biden will endure a foreign policy nightmare during his presidency but I’d feel comfortable betting it will be of our own making

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

Can't wait to hear him sing Don't Cry for Me, USA

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Xpost

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

balcony speech is simply because the guy cannot stand not being able to have rallies and get his instant feedback from his howling sycophants. His continual belief that this subset of people represents the entirety of the US is bewildering to me but then he is a fucking idiot.

akm, Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

Last fall, Trump picked The Villages to promote his support for Medicare and its private insurance option

But on Wednesday, an armada of 500 golf carts gathered there to caravan to the nearby elections office, so folks could drop off ballots for Biden https://t.co/PMxqF8BXOm

— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) October 10, 2020

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

Great post.

― xyzzzz__, Saturday, October 10, 2020 5:06 PM (forty minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I really don't think people who share Turning Point USA tweets to the thread get to decide what are good contributions or not

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

The amazing first half I get--basically, be thankful you get to move around freely like the rest of us


Oh, I assumed by "go anywhere" he meant achieve anything, not move around freely.

Alba, Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

And the second part meant "being a liberal will hold you back".

Alba, Saturday, 10 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

yes I agree w Alba that they was exactly what he meant.

but imo there’s some heavy dog-whistling there, however conscious of it dear Lindsey may be

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

My wife has said she suspects he’s drinking heavily

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

Want to know what's at stake this election? If we lose the Senate, socialist Bernie Sanders will become Budget Committee Chairman. If we hold the Senate, and I am re-elected, I will be Budget Committee Chairman.

— Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) October 9, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

I hope a shitload of people read that tweet and make their decisions accordingly

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

i want that piece of shit gone so bad. craven on a shakespearean level. politics attracts people like this, i realise, but i still can’t understand how they get the votes.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

flashbacks to adolescent discussions of race with old white ppl who’d say stuff like “yes of course there some ‘good ones’ and btw I’m def NOT racist bc I don’t say that tacky word so nyah..”

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

i truly don't understand why ANY REPUBLICAN supports him, and i say this despite my parents calling him "our Lindsey" and loving everything he does. i have gained no understanding of why they support him, but they just like him being around, on their tv.

if you liked him before, you probably liked john mccain and the military, too. so why would you like him now? is trump the new "maverick" for graham to be a sidekick for? but trump has no respect for the military, so...huh

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

Karl, do they know about his ladybugs?

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

yeah i mean that's the only thing that pops into my head whenever he comes up

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

but is it ok to shame someone for their anal freckles

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

Republican voters are gonna suddenly sit out 2020 bc they find their inner deficit hawk, turn on Trump at 11th hour bc he ok’d more spending?

C’mon:

This would be “the deal knell for our majority if Pelosi gets this win,” warned Sen. Marsha Blackburn https://t.co/Yiv7OcIjAq

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 10, 2020



These senators are making purely ideological decisions and explaining them with claims they don’t believe about voter preferences because they know trump is going to lose and it makes no difference.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:51 (five years ago)

*Sawyer from Lost voice* frackles

shout-out to his family (DJP), Saturday, 10 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

This would be “the deal knell for our majority if Pelosi gets this win,” warned Sen. Marsha Blackburn

wait, what's the deal knell

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

Biden is dodging the court packing issue. There’s electoral downsides to taking a position either way so that may be all he has in mind. But he’s doing it in such a way (explicitly refusing to take a position rather than just saying it’s a question for the senate or whatever) that it seems like he might actually support it.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

I really don't think people who share Turning Point USA tweets to the thread get to decide what are good contributions or not

― Walter Draggedman (stevie), Saturday, 10 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Please help me remember this, then I'll tell you nothing whatsoever matters.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

xp Yeah, Ezra Klein made that point after the debate:

Which made it all the more notable that when moderator Chris Wallace asked Biden to “tell the American people tonight whether or not you will support either ending the filibuster or packing the Court,” Biden refused. “Whatever position I take on that, that will become the issue,” he replied.

On the merits, this is a dodge. Those are consequential questions of governance, and Biden is running for president. His views are supposed to become flash points in the election. But in the context of all the sharp positions Biden did take, both for and against controversial policies, it was telling. Biden could have dismissed both ideas. At another time, he doubtlessly would have dismissed both ideas. That he refused to do so now reflects how far he’s moved, how far he believes his party has moved, or both.

jaymc, Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

I really don't think people who share Turning Point USA tweets to the thread get to decide what are good contributions or not

― Walter Draggedman (stevie), Saturday, 10 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Please help me remember this, then I'll tell you nothing whatsoever matters.

― xyzzzz__, Saturday, October 10, 2020 7:08 PM (thirty-one minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Kamala Harris wants this video of her saying "There is no question I'm in favor of banning fracking." off the internet.

Please don’t share this pic.twitter.com/Pm47ttbLvN

— Benny (@bennyjohnson) October 8, 2020
― xyzzzz__, Thursday, October 8, 2020 10:20 AM (two days ago) bookmarkflaglink

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:42 (five years ago)

Benny Arthur Johnson is an American political columnist, currently serving as chief creative officer at conservative nonprofit Turning Point USA.

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

dnftt, but do what you must.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

does Ezra Klein know he doesn't have to publish literally every thick-headed fanfic produced by his unfortunate brain

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

He does, though, that's his entire job.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

hopefully he is reallocated to more useful labor at some point in the future

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

fertilizing Central Park, if you catch my drift

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

1. Presidents don't decide the number of SC justices

2. Trump keeps telling us about plans (e.g. healthcare) without detail

3. "We'll see" us a totally understandable and defensible position these days

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

calling it defensible is one thing, saying that it represents some kind of substantive shift in Biden's thinking because he didn't just say "nah, Jack" is silly

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

No it isn’t?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

Saying no probably helps him with the kind of swing votes he needs, and if he felt that way he’d probably say so. he’s been clear on things like defunding the police, why not this?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

his phrasing was bad, not giving a position is good



i know that's the joke this year. i don't watch late night talk shows any more but i can picture it being a recurring theme: "2020! what else do you expect, haha!"

Seth Meyers' show has a 12-min segment a couple of times a week written by a former news researcher, that carefully elucidates the previous day's major threats to life and democracy, lightly pasted over with just enough jokes to keep it entertaining. (On Thursday it graduated to its own prime-time half-hour timeslot as a pilot.) The others lean on "lol dumpster fire year, orange man fascist" a fair bit. Colbert is completely inadequate at it, coming off incredibly *rich white man talks to rich white families about how bad things are in the abstract voice* before going to a zoom conference with the cast of The West Wing. Surprisingly, Kimmel is the best at maintaining the glib suited monologue format while making the same style of jokes, but using them to convey to middle America how the fascism is bad.

meanwhile stephen miller is popping his spooge into his triumph of the will import dvd for the 400th time, as the steroids really take hold

Impregnated her by climbing a ladder in the corner of her bedroom his music room and shuddering into a long, flexible funnel.

― erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, October 7, 2020 11:57 AM (four days ago)

Lindsey overtaking Rand Paul and TED FUCKIN CRUZ on my personal list of most hated during the Trump era was not something I anticipated

My wife has said she suspects he’s drinking heavily

I hope a shitload of people read that tweet and make their decisions accordingly

If we nominate Trump, we will get destroyed.......and we will deserve it.

— Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) May 3, 2016

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

Stevie - Was the video of Kamala giving different answers to the fracking question invalidated by who posted it? You really are pathetic.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

Lmao it was posted by benny Johnson so yes?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

Joe Biden is a PUPPET of CASTRO-CHAVISTAS like Crazy Bernie, AOC and Castro-lover Karen Bass. Biden is supported by socialist Gustavo Petro, a major LOSER and former M-19 guerrilla leader. Biden is weak on socialism and will betray Colombia. I stand with you!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 10, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

big, if true

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

Because nothing matters? Ok xxp

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

The Castro are dead.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

Colbert bums me out so badly now.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

If it's information that's correct and isn't being made available elsewhere, I don't really care who shares it, even if it's by someone on the exact opposite end of the ideological spectrum than me. The Benny Johnson tweet could have come from a left-wing green voter, too!

I mean, I know we've gone over this in this thread, but I'm just going to remind people that Kamala Harris is awful, and so is fracking, and no amount of hemming and hawing can change those two facts.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

does Ezra Klein know he doesn't have to publish literally every thick-headed fanfic produced by his unfortunate brain

― it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, October 10, 2020 1:47 PM (forty-three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

He does, though, that's his entire job.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, October 10, 2020 1:50 PM (forty minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Once again, this is a complete misreading of Klein and what he's all about.

jaymc, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

Unless that is some fake news video it matters. Stevie the planet is burning I'm begging you to be serious.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:33 (five years ago)

Table the difference is you post in good faith and say interesting things. Xyz does not so pretexts to dismiss what he’s saying are totally fine.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

xxp Like, there's literally nothing in that excerpt I posted that is "fan fiction"?

jaymc, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

caek you were trying to get me to vote lib dem in 2024 have some respect.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

Ok benny

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

I simply want to reduce the GOP to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub.

earlnash, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

calling it defensible is one thing, saying that it represents some kind of substantive shift in Biden's thinking because he didn't just say "nah, Jack" is silly

― it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, October 10, 2020 2:03 PM (thirty-six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Klein said it *could* represent a shift in Biden's thinking...or it could not! It could also mean that the party is more open to entertaining the idea and that Biden wants to be careful about his messaging in light of that fact. Given recent comments from other elected Democrats (including Chuck Schumer of all people saying "everything is on the table"), this observation seems basically true to me. That doesn't mean anything will actually come of it, but Klein doesn't say it will.

jaymc, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

Ok benny

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

Tfw you know what good faith posting is

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

Lol at the concept of trump knowing what castro chavistas are— trump is already dead ain’t he?

pence's eye juice (Hunt3r), Saturday, 10 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

I think it's legitimate to post a tweet from a piece of shit if the video isn't edited/misleading, but I will not stand for posting tweets in the "(x) sure would hate to see this get spread around twitter, whatever you do don't retweet" format.

JoeStork, Saturday, 10 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

When I see that format of tweet the (x) usually = Trump. Agree it's rubbish.

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

Lol at the concept of trump knowing what castro chavistas are— trump is already dead ain’t he?


He (or Scavino really) is so obviously checking off demographic boxes. Someone must have told him he needs to shore up support with elderly Colombian Americans. This has been pretty obvious throughout the campaign: C.f. All the SUBURBAN HOUSEWIVES shit.

Boring, Maryland, Saturday, 10 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

the video of Kamala giving different answers to the fracking question...

Unless that is some fake news video it matters...

It may interest you to know that a vice president is free to disagree with the president on any policy issue, but a vice president cannot overrule a president on any policy issue. My conclusion is that Kamala Harris probably does still personally want to end fracking, just as she has indicated in the past, but now that she is on the ticket, but not at the top, it does her no good to repeat that disagreement during the campaign, or to repeat her position in public later on, after Biden wins. The best she can do is emphasize Biden's position and keep her own under wraps.

Biden is probably just pandering to Pennsylvania on this issue. What's far more important is that the alternative energy infrastructure gets built up and running asap. Next, ending fossil fuel subsidies would be the simplest way to end fracking without specifically banning it.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 10 October 2020 21:23 (five years ago)

Biden is probably just pandering to Pennsylvania on this issue.

this

sleeve, Saturday, 10 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

I know it's Sirota, but:

https://www.dailyposter.com/p/harris-did-not-need-to-tout-fracking

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 10 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

More likely KH’s fracking position was calculated to appeal to the Democratic primary voting base and her current position is that of her boss. Who knows how she really feels.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Saturday, 10 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

I feel like Biden/Harris have a whole hell of a lot less to do with this country’s energy future than the Senate does.

First we need to win the Senate, then the Senate needs to be convinced by the House to take green energy seriously, then Biden needs to sign it.

The same path to progressive goals applies to restoring influence in the Judiciary, and to DC and PR statehood.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

The President (and presumptive heir, given Biden's age) leads the way, as ever. It's utterly bizarre after half a century of talking about the 'imperial Presidency' to pretend otherwise.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

Seriously. Get out front with the messaging. Its the only thing missing! The public is already there.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:14 (five years ago)

Stating that you'd veto M4A, denigrating the GND, stating that a fracking ban is completely off the table chokes those ideas to death in the crib. It can't be serious when Bernie or AOC or Markey or etc. introduce them, because we know they're not supported by Biden, why even give them the time of day?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:21 (five years ago)

I don’t agree with your ahistorical nihilism, I don’t think Ill belabor it further.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

Next, ending fossil fuel subsidies would be the simplest way to end fracking without specifically banning it.

Saying "we're ending fossil fuel subsidies and reinvesting that money into renewable energy systems and new jobs" would be a positive way to campaign.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

The public is already there.

There's a ton of rural people who think the idea of giving up fossil fuel is utter craziness and their lives without gasoline/diesel fuel would be crazy hard. They have a point.

Almost all rural locales depend on agriculture or resource extraction to survive and in the 20th century these livelihoods became thoroughly entwined with mechanization from top to bottom. On top of needing fuel for work, many of them must drive long distances just to shop for necessities. They will fight like wildcats for fossil fuels until they can see how to live without them.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

can't be serious when Bernie or AOC or Markey

AOC is especially good at messaging on this: making it clear that the leadership is completely backwards BUT that continuing to push until they fix their hearts change their minds or die is the only practical option right now.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

I don’t agree with your ahistorical nihilism, I don’t think Ill belabor it further.

Saying something doesn't make it so, bro. "The President leads and sets the agenda" is... the opposite of 'ahistorical' and has nothing to do with nihilism.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:30 (five years ago)

Rural isn’t the half of it. To get from one city to another you need jet fuel. To do any kind of construction work more serious than home remodeling you need diesel. Energy independence has been a pillar of national security policy going back to 1973. But let’s ignore all that because context is for nerds and centrist melts.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:31 (five years ago)


Saying something doesn't make it so, bro. "The President leads and sets the agenda" is... the opposite of 'ahistorical' and has nothing to do with nihilism.


Nixon signed the EPA into existence in July 1970. I fart in your general direction.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

... Nixon proposed the very existence of the EPA, he wasn't browbeaten into signing it.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:33 (five years ago)

Like, I know some people started trying to convince themselves in the primaries that the President isn't actually that important, Joe Biden has no beliefs and no ideology and that in a complete reverse of the way American politics has worked for our entire lives he'll never be heard from except to sign bills... but that's not the way it works.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

It’s completely unsurprising to me that you’re the type who reads the first paragraph of a Wikipedia article and stops

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

Energy independence has been a pillar of national security policy going back to 1973.

If we'd started switching to renewables from, say, 1983, when it became apparent that not doing so would destroy human life p quickly - would that not have made nations more secure?

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

great question sic let’s all think about that

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:43 (five years ago)

To get from one city to another you need jet fuel. To do any kind of construction work... etc.

That's why building the infrastructure to support a carbon-neutral economy is absolutely the critical step that pulls everything else along. It's a bootstrapping kind of problem and to make it happen with any speed it must be part of a national blueprint, kind of like the Interstate highway system or rural electrification.

You can't wave a wand and say "fossil fuels are an awful way to run our economy, so we are outlawing them tomorrow". Or (for the literalists among us) you absolutely could do that, but the price would be near instantaneous social collapse.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:43 (five years ago)

It’s completely unsurprising to me that you’re the type who reads the first paragraph of a Wikipedia article and stops

Lol okay buddy. Tell us next about the Senate forcing Medicare on LBJ!

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:45 (five years ago)

You do realize that moving the goalposts doesn’t mean you win the argument about historical facts?

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

Jfc

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/10/us/politics/dianne-feinstein-supreme-court-judiciary-committee.html

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

hey, milo, we've all seen you ride your favorite hobby horses about Biden and Harris enough times to know them down to the nth degree. you're getting stale. how about educating all of us about how bad Senator Feinstein is, you know, just for a change of pace?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

Ah, the historical fact of the passive, retiring Presidency.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

No, the historical fact of the President being pliable to the interests of the Legislature.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:55 (five years ago)

I’m not gonna read that NYT piece. Is it more “Dems in disarray” murc’s law nonsense?

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:57 (five years ago)

great question sic let’s all think about that

okay!

Ms. Feinstein’s decline is far from the worst the Senate has seen in recent years.

oh good

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:58 (five years ago)

xp no, it's serious concerns about gerontocracy

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 10 October 2020 23:58 (five years ago)

historically speaking, popular presidents have a much easier time selling new national policies than individual senators or representatives do. but whenever a president tries to sell a policy that is very unpopular in a senator's home state or a representative's home district, those senators or representatives become quite recalcitrant for some strange reason, regardless of which party they or the president belong to.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

Aimless, of course you're right, but the problem is that those with the most power won't even pay lip-service to the smallest of changes to the way energy is produced and consumed in the US. As the situation becomes more and more dire, so do the demands, and the blame for that is solely on the same people who have been rejecting reality on such issues for decades. This is a perfect example of how and why many people on the left don't trust the centrist line of incrementalism and reform-- because it leads to situations that could have been addressed generations ago, but weren't.

Also, assuming all rural Pennsylvania loves fracking is ridiculous...many of the people who live in the areas where most of it happens actually hate it.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:27 (five years ago)

I’m not gonna read that NYT piece. Is it more “Dems in disarray” murc’s law nonsense?


Well it’s about one particular democrat in disarray.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:29 (five years ago)

A narrow majority of Pennsylvanians seem to oppose fracking. Biden isn't playing 12D electoral chess.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

Based on my experience with old people and the early stages of dementia, Feinstein could gum up the works by telling incredibly long, involved stories with no resolution.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

So... she should post on ILE?

rb (soda), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:34 (five years ago)

If biden wins and feinstein stays on the current trajectory then gavin newsom gets to appoint two CA senators.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:34 (five years ago)

would be happy for Newsom to appoint even one senator.

I thought Western Pennsylvania overall was really for fracking, and assumed that Biden was calibrating his message to appeal to them.

Dan S, Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:38 (five years ago)

Fracking map of PA is here: http://stateimpact.npr.org/pennsylvania/drilling/

I'd say you're probably right about Western PA being more pro-fracking, but judging from local articles and news, the northern and northeastern sections of the state have grown increasingly anti-fracking as the enterprise has continued. The ban in neighboring states helps that equation too, obviously.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 11 October 2020 00:51 (five years ago)

_Energy independence has been a pillar of national security policy going back to 1973._

If we'd started switching to renewables from, say, 19*8*3, when it became apparent that not doing so would destroy human life p quickly - would that not have made nations more secure?


The energy crisis was over by then, and the first thing Reagan did when getting into the White House in January 1981 was remove the solar panels. Climate change didn’t really become a public issue until 1988. So no, sadly no one was going to do anything in 1983. In fact in 1983 we had the possibility of a more immediate apocalypse via nuclear war.

Boring, Maryland, Sunday, 11 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

The scientific debate about climate change was settled by then, too.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 11 October 2020 01:38 (five years ago)

Climate change didn’t really become a public issue until 1988.

The Montreal Protocol was signed in 1987, and it took Australia's National Science Minister concerted efforts from 1984 to 1989 to manage to get a zero-emissions policy taken up*, but yeah I was just going for the rhyme of the two years.

*the next PM ditched it after an internal coup in 1991

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Sunday, 11 October 2020 02:24 (five years ago)

morale is down in the thread again, trump needs to croak

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Sunday, 11 October 2020 02:32 (five years ago)

xp montreal protocol was about the hole in the ozone layer - relevant to climate change because CFCs and HCFCs are horrific ghg multipliers, but not the main purpose.

1988 is a benchmark date in the U.S. because that's when james hansen testified in front of congress, prompting a bunch of media coverage and the first general audience book about climate change, The End of Nature by bill mckibben.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 11 October 2020 02:56 (five years ago)

Based on my experience with old people and the early stages of dementia, Feinstein could gum up the works by telling incredibly long, involved stories with no resolution.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, October 10, 2020 8:32 PM (three hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

So... she should post on ILE?

― rb (soda), Saturday, October 10, 2020 8:34 PM (three hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

I hear short, facile and boringly repetitive political opinions are currently en vogue.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 11 October 2020 03:54 (five years ago)

kinda curious about this book:

https://www.mcdbooks.com/books/losing-earth

By 1979, we knew nearly everything we understand today about climate change—including how to stop it. Over the next decade, a handful of scientists, politicians, and strategists, led by two unlikely heroes, risked their careers in a desperate, escalating campaign to convince the world to act before it was too late. Losing Earth is their story, and ours.

brimstead, Sunday, 11 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

I recall it came up in one of the climate change threads?

Elvis Telecom, Sunday, 11 October 2020 04:03 (five years ago)

probably, I see now it’s like an expanded version of an NYT article series

brimstead, Sunday, 11 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

Meantime.

A nurse who spoke at the Republican National Convention has been charged with shooting another woman in the abdomen https://t.co/8DVH9BV4qc

— Blake News (@blakehounshell) October 11, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 11 October 2020 04:16 (five years ago)

relevant to climate change because CFCs and HCFCs are horrific ghg multipliers,

GLENN: well, yeah. the criterion was "public issue," not "sole stated international policy motivator" :)

(having spent decades under the ozone hole and then also been unclad on beaches, and generally outdoors, on other continents, I promise you I'm aware of it)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Sunday, 11 October 2020 04:18 (five years ago)

Looking hale and hearty. pic.twitter.com/mLiWNiTkCS

— Schooley (@Rschooley) October 11, 2020

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Sunday, 11 October 2020 04:35 (five years ago)

1988 is a benchmark date in the U.S. because that's when james hansen testified in front of congress, prompting a bunch of media coverage and the first general audience book about climate change, The End of Nature by bill mckibben.

― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, October 10, 2020 9:56 PM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Also! https://img.timeinc.net/time/magazine/archive/covers/1989/1101890102_400.jpg

jaymc, Sunday, 11 October 2020 05:02 (five years ago)

CBS: The Taliban on Trump: We hope he will win the election and withdraw U.S. troops

A senior Taliban member told CBS News, "Trump might be ridiculous for the rest of the world, but he is sane and wise man for the Taliban."

Sanpaku, Sunday, 11 October 2020 05:58 (five years ago)

i've been saying

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Sunday, 11 October 2020 06:23 (five years ago)

There's a ton of rural people who think the idea of giving up fossil fuel is utter craziness and their lives without gasoline/diesel fuel would be crazy hard. They have a point.

Almost all rural locales depend on agriculture or resource extraction to survive and in the 20th century these livelihoods became thoroughly entwined with mechanization from top to bottom. On top of needing fuel for work, many of them must drive long distances just to shop for necessities. They will fight like wildcats for fossil fuels until they can see how to live without them.

― the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 10 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

You've just ignored polling data showing a more complicated picture of a public that will embrace it once they are shown that they will be talked around with a plan.

Tomboto's winning the senate is just laughable in a country where the Presidency is so much of the focus.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 11 October 2020 08:42 (five years ago)

Climate change didn’t really become a public issue until 1988.

Back To The Future came out in 1985

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Sunday, 11 October 2020 09:08 (five years ago)

Tombot's running for Senate?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 11 October 2020 09:56 (five years ago)

«... a public that will embrace it once they are shown that they will be talked around with a plan»

Haven’t seen the underlying data, but gotta say this doesn’t seem all too likely in rural USA

Mule, Sunday, 11 October 2020 10:06 (five years ago)

so glad to hear that t is no longer contagious.
Hope he goes around not infecting further people who should ideally be able to trust his word.

Hope the sanity prevails in a few weeks time and he doesn't spend his last 2 months in the house having a hammer party.

Stevolende, Sunday, 11 October 2020 10:11 (five years ago)

I don't believe a word of it.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 11 October 2020 10:20 (five years ago)

nah nor do I.

BUt wouldn't put the hammer party idea past him, he's no longer going to need the premises and the garden's already been wrecked of historic ties.

Stevolende, Sunday, 11 October 2020 10:22 (five years ago)

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/elections/2020/10/10/texas-counties-again-limited-to-one-mail-in-ballot-drop-off-location-after-federal-appeals-court-decision/

Trump appointees on federal appeals court overrule District Court and all Texas governor to limit number of mail-in ballot drop off boxes

curmudgeon, Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

tldr: Texas Gov. Abbott's order restricting counties from having multiple ballot drop boxes is back on for now. Response brief due Oct. 12.

Note that this panel features not one, not two, but three judges who are on Trump's SCOTUS short list.

— Zoe Tillman (@ZoeTillman) October 10, 2020

curmudgeon, Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

Good morning!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

And this almost more than anything is why I can't wait to see the GOP ground into the dirt forever. They would simply cease to exist as a viable party if they didn't cheat at every fucking turn.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

Worth a read: https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/11/politics/democrats-stressed-election/index.html

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

winning the senate is just laughable in a country where the Presidency is so much of the focus.

― xyzzzz__

wow you really, REALLY don't understand US politics at all, please get banned immediately and STFU

sleeve, Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

of all the bullshit you post, this is what has absolutely pushed me over the edge, you smug bourgie fuck

sleeve, Sunday, 11 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

Just filled out our vote by mail ballot. Pretty straight forward, came with tons of instructions. And yet, there's a dense field of text on the outside of the envelope where you're supposed to fill in how long you've lived at your current address that *we almost missed*. And weirdly, it's not something the otherwise thorough instructions goes to any effort to emphasize. I wonder how many other people will miss it?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

sounds like tehre are different hoops to jump through in a number of area's postal electoral bumf.
Really hoping that isn't going to allter the results a lot. But think I'm already hearing some that have.

Is this something that people will look into simplifying after the election for any later elections? or does it have any positive effect?

Stevolende, Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

yeah Josh, I'm still an Illinois voter & we had to write the county clerk to get clarity on that task, not just because we live overseas but because the text on the envelope is so weirdly written. ugh.

All cars are bad (Euler), Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

winning the senate is just laughable in a country where the Presidency is so much of the focus.

― xyzzzz__

If we'd won the Senate in 2016, Trump woulda been kneecapped

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

xpost What did they say? I can't imagine it would have been a dealbreaker if we missed it, unless someone made a stink.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

Re: the mail ballot stuff. Sigh. Sympathy and hope to you all.

Early on the morning of the third of November I am going to walk the two blocks to my daughter's elementary school gym and wait patiently for however long it takes to vote, exactly as I have done since circa 1990. Masked, six feet apart, carrying my own pen.

No disrespect for those who have voted other ways or who intend to vote other ways. I just personally need, in a visceral way, some assurance that postal or procedural shenanigans aren't going to let ny ballot get "accidentally" lost or delayed or otherwise fucked with.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

the main thing we needed help to understand was "service address" since we're not us military stationed overseas. it may be that the excess of text on our envelope as a non-usa resident is different than the excess of text on your residential envelope.

All cars are bad (Euler), Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

I still plan to wait in line, or whatever it takes, to drop it in the actual ballot box. Lines *and* boxes, best of both worlds! As long as I get a sticker.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

i voted by mail in chicago and then got an email 3 days later that said:

Dear Karl Anthony Malone

The Board of Election Commissioners has received your Vote By Mail ballot, and it will be counted.

Thank you for the opportunity to be of assistance!

i was pretty pleased with this outcome.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

If we'd won the Senate in 2016, Trump woulda been kneecapped

― LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Sunday, 11 October 2020 bookmarkflaglink

I know the Senate is needed to pass legislation.

All I'm saying is that leaders are a big part of driving change. If the VP flips between yes and no on fracking because jobs then that has an impact.

xyzzzz__, Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

shut up

shout-out to his family (DJP), Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Maryland’s mail ballot was quite simple, no weird stuff like the Illinois ballot, just fill it out put it in a privacy envelope, sign the privacy envelope, put it in the outer envelope. I put it in a Dropbox instead of mail and got an email acknowledgment a few days later.

Boring, Maryland, Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

Jaime Harrison, the Democrat challenging Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, raised an astonishing $57 million in the third quarter of 2020, the highest quarterly fund-raising total for any Senate candidate in U.S. history.https://t.co/g6TicpH4DA

— The New York Times (@nytimes) October 11, 2020

eat shit lindsey

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

I think I saw in the details that when you break it down within the state, 10% of that money came from people in SC. I think 14% of Lindsey's haul came from in state, fwiw.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

What happens to money like that if he loses and there’s left overs?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

I know the Senate is needed to pass legislation.

All I'm saying is that leaders are a big part of driving change.

A thought experiment to explore this - which would one prefer, a Republican President/Democratic Senate or Democratic President/Republican Senate.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 11 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

What happens to money like that if he loses and there’s left overs?

First, there better not be much left over in a race like that. Donors want to see that money spent. But if there is, the candidate can use it for a lot of different things — a future run, they can make donations to other people's campaigns, they can repay themselves for any loans they might have made to the campaign, etc.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

One of the worst things you can do for your political future is raise a bunch of money, lose the race, and have a lot of cash left over. That does not impress donors.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

Harrison has claimed they're going to spend every last penny of it.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

$5 lotto scratch-offs for everyone!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

A thought experiment to explore this - which would one prefer, a Republican President/Democratic Senate or Democratic President/Republican Senate.

This, from a man who considers Democratic presidents in such a dim light that he can hardly distinguish them from Republicans?! I am surprised.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

You should workshop that one some more.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

I know the Senate is needed to pass legislation.

All I'm saying is that leaders are a big part of driving change. If the VP flips between yes and no on fracking because jobs then that has an impact.

― xyzzzz__, Sunday, October 11, 2020 12:13 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

shut up

― shout-out to his family (DJP), Sunday, October 11, 2020 12:14 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

There is no way he can spend the money people are donating right now. There will be money left over.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

I guess I could have googled the answer: https://theconversation.com/when-presidential-campaigns-end-what-happens-to-the-leftover-money-130042 (I don’t think losing senate campaigns are different to suspended presidential primary campaigns for the purposes of what you can legally do with the money)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

I mean, hypothetically he absolutely could spend all the money. Like, literally buying every TV ad, or every page of the newspaper or some shit. But it would be better spent in neighboring states or something, if he's allowed to do that.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

He is absolutely allowed to do that. But he would be better advised spending it all on winning his race. The whole point of the enterprise is to get him elected.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 11 October 2020 18:22 (five years ago)

In 2016, @FiveThirtyEight's final polling average was Clinton 45.7%, Trump 41.8%. Today, it's Biden 52.2%, Trump 41.9%.

But beyond deficit, even more damning for Trump is the 5.9% undecided/3rd party share - less than half of 12.5% share four years ago. Far fewer late deciders. https://t.co/4dfaurPIKd

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 11, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 18:51 (five years ago)

This is one way Harrison is spending his money: a ratfucking ad to drive graham voters to the right wing third party candidate. I like it.

A digital ad I just got for #SCSen

Peep the funder 👀 pic.twitter.com/LvKNUMP1jo

— Patrick Sheridan (@Patriot_Pat1) October 11, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

Heh, clever.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

I will not get complacent but I would be fucking stunned if the undecideds break for Trump again

frogbs, Sunday, 11 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

i already voted but still am trying not to be complacent. but it looks good for biden.

treeship., Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

wonder who's got Ken Bone's vote this time around...

henry s, Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

In 2016, @FiveThirtyEight's final polling average was Clinton 45.7%, Trump 41.8%. Today, it's Biden 52.2%, Trump 41.9%.

That is heartening, of course. A decent counter to "bUt ThE pOllS wErE WrOng lAsT tIme" doomsaying.

But it's also key to point out that many hundreds of thousands more people have already voted (vs. 2016) and so can't "break toward Trump" even if they wanted to.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:38 (five years ago)

Bone came out and said he voted Trump because Bidenbros are mean, I think?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:43 (five years ago)

He said he was voting Jo Jourgenson, I think?

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

Ken Boneo, our nation turns its lonely eyes to you

Actually no, he's irrelevant now and the less we talk about him the better

Thxbye

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

he had an unsavory reddit comment history or something, i think

treeship., Sunday, 11 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

And another difference between 2016 and now to keep in mind is the huge surge in absentee voting, and what I presume will be a surge in early voting too. Election Day isn't in three weeks, it's already started. I'm going to go early vote on Wednesday. There's not a lot of time for those polls to move around.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

Tipsy otm - Joe Biden could cook and eat a baby on Fifth Avenue on Nov. 2 and the election result would be mor eor less that same

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

But could he shoot that baby?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

Are there any states that are counting the votes as they come in?

Nhex, Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

I'm not sure any are allowed to do that, are they? They can literally count the number of votes, but I thought no one opens them for results until after the election. Because opening them early would, well, open things up to tomfoolery. But I could be wrong!

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

Right that makes sense

Nhex, Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

i think some states (the good ones?) start counting 'early' or as soon as in person voting begins idk I could look this up but am too lazy

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

Are there any states that are counting the votes as they come in?

Short answer: yes.

Long answer: I recently listened to half an hour of a reporter on the radio trying to explain the variations in election law in all 50 states, D.C. and several US territories concerning absentee voting and vote-by-mail in general. Plus all the 100+ law suits already filed challenging those laws.

There's no way on earth that US voters will understand what is happening on election night unless there is a tsunami of Biden votes already coming in and it's impossible to deny his victory. Even then, if the Republicans want to bet the farm on contesting the results by going to court in dozens of states, they can still cause massive disruption of the process if the judges choose to play along with their game.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:34 (five years ago)

Ugh

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:39 (five years ago)

I don’t think any networks will call the result on election night but they might call Florida that night (which despite all the disenfranchisement stuff shouldn’t have postal count delays like the states that are new to mass early voting). if they call Florida for Biden we’ll have a very good idea what’s happening.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:39 (five years ago)

I'm voting in person on election day. I know many of the people where I live will do the same.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

Florida's already counting ballots. Mine got counted on Wednesday, two days after receipt.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

Apparently the Dems -- at last! after 2000! -- have an army of lawyers in most major states ready to handle legal challenges.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

They should get more and, um, arm them.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 11 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

I hope I excite no one:

(CNN)Former Vice President Joe Biden is dominating President Donald Trump in the latest polls. No, the election is not over yet, and Trump still has a non-negligible chance of winning.

But a look through history reveals that Biden is in a better position at this point than any challenger since 1936, when the first scientific polls were taken in a presidential race.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll released on Sunday was the latest poll to indicate Biden's strength. Biden led Trump by a 55% to 43% margin among likely voters. The poll was the third high quality national poll published this week that had Biden up by at least 10 points and above 50%. The other two being from CNN/SSRS and Fox News.

Indeed, the average of polls has Biden at around 52% or 53% and up by somewhere between 10 and 11 points. This is an unprecedented position for a challenger with a mere 23 days to go until Election Day.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 00:37 (five years ago)

That comparison of 2016 final polling average to today’s polling average is kind of disingenuous, because if you compare today’s polling average to mid October 2016 they’re very similar. Then Clinton fucking nose dived. polls can change crazy fast, and there are definitely some wild October surprise rat fuckings being cooked up

Dan I., Monday, 12 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

Uh...no?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 00:56 (five years ago)

Biden's ahead of Clinon nationally and, more importantly, in battleground states by more consistent numbers.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 00:57 (five years ago)

Clinton was up like 7 in mid october and 3.5 by election day. I mean, you're right that 10 is more than 7, good job

Dan I., Monday, 12 October 2020 01:09 (five years ago)

And also, hundreds of thousands of votes have already been cast, way more than any previous election.

You can't October-surprise someone out of a vote he or she has already cast.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 12 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

I think it's good for us to treat this as though another 2016 **could** happen, but there are some major differences right now

1) # of undecideds are much lower - a 53-42 lead is much more comfortable than a 47-36 lead. 538 was very loud about 2016 being hard to predict because both candidates had sky-high unfavorables.

2) undecideds tend to break towards the party not in power. a vast majority of Americans think the country is on the wrong track right now.

3) mail in voting is way, way up. people have been voting for weeks now. every day that passes without a major polling shift is gonna make it that much harder for Trump to regain ground.

4) we are in the middle of a pandemic and there is really nothing that Biden could do that would overshadow 210,000 dead Americans and a fucking OUTBREAK IN THE WHITE HOUSE. I do not see the media giving any serious attention to anything involving Hunter or Burisma.

frogbs, Monday, 12 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

this probably sounds morbid or pessimistic but unless someone else dies I think the perception is that the outbreak in the white house is over

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Monday, 12 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

doesn't matter

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

if he collapses on his Never Ending Tour it will turn not a single one of his deplorables but may keep turning seniors against him. That's what matters.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

I know I'm coasting on a Biden-Harris caravan today -- my first for any candidate, well, ever -- and having my mail-in ballot get officially counted the other day, none of which means Dropping My Guard or anything. I phone bank on Wednesday.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Biden is really liked in a way that Clinton was not. It's not fair and she didn't deserve that at all, she should have won and our country would have been so much better off for it

He is likable though, and I think he will win

Dan S, Monday, 12 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

I phone bank on Wednesday.

As an Oregonian (whose state is a lock for both Biden/Harris and a strong Democratic ticket in all state races) I thank you, even though I know it is essentially out of self-defense, not altruism. We all need Florida to deliver its rebuke along with the rest of the nation.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 12 October 2020 01:51 (five years ago)

Everyone who thinks Biden is likable should be forced to watch a simulation of their children or loved ones' children getting blown up by a drone.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 12 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

The president under whom he served signed those orders, but, yes, I don't understand likability arguments for any president. Then again, I'm not the senior or suburbanite whom the campaign wants to attract.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 02:34 (five years ago)

Biden is really liked in a way that Clinton was not.

Biden’s approval/poz vibes are still below 50% per the Cook Political Report. Which is to say he’s not really liked, he’s just not hated like Clinton (or Trump). There’s a pretty big difference.

(And it means that he’s going to have to be the chosen one in the first 4 months of 2021 or people will turn on him.)

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 12 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

from Gallup two days ago: "Among eight character dimensions, Americans' perceptions of President Donald Trump and Joe Biden differ most on likability: 66% of U.S. adults believe Biden is likable, while 36% say Trump is. Americans are also more likely to perceive Biden than Trump as being honest and trustworthy and as caring about the needs of people like them. Trump surpasses Biden only when it comes to being a strong and decisive leader."

Dan S, Monday, 12 October 2020 02:49 (five years ago)

Cook’s reference to a WSJ poll this week -

Looking at it from a third angle, the poll also asked respondents how positive their feelings were toward Trump. Thirty-nine percent reported positive feelings, 5 percent were neutral, and 55 percent felt negative feelings. By comparison, Joe Biden was 43 percent positive, 16 percent neutral, and 41 percent negative. Regarding the debate—if that is what it was—49 percent said Biden did a better job; 24 percent thought Trump did.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 12 October 2020 02:56 (five years ago)

Everyone who thinks Biden is likable should be forced to watch Anita Hill's testimony in full and read every Thomas commentary issued on SC judgements since then

(and watch hours of footage of him rubbing against and sniffing women in public)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 03:21 (five years ago)

Trump surpasses Biden only when it comes to being a strong and decisive leader.

Sure thing. If "decisive" doesn't require making good decisions and "strong" only means truculent.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 12 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

I’m so glad some of y’all are here so I don’t have to tattoo DRONE STRIKES or ANITA HILL or CRIME BILL on my body

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Monday, 12 October 2020 04:16 (five years ago)

personally I like Courier New, makes me think of that Lucksmiths song

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Monday, 12 October 2020 04:18 (five years ago)

In other dumb news: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-got-a-21-million-tax-break-for-saving-the-forest-outside-his-ny-mansion-now-the-deal-is-under-investigation/2020/10/07/de84c1ba-ff6b-11ea-830c-a160b331ca62_story.html

In other $21 million news this weekend:

At one point during his self-funded 2016 campaign, having been spurned by Deutsche bank, Trump received a $21 million payment from Trump Las Vegas Sales and Marketing. This business, co-owned by Trump and one silent partner, “had little previous income, no clear business purpose and no employees.”

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/10/09/us/donald-trump-taxes-las-vegas.html

Also in the NYT's ongoing deep reportage into the president's leaked tax details, a no-surprises but lots-of-specific-figures account of his influence peddling:

The Swamp That Trump Built

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 07:08 (five years ago)

What do I know, I'm still stumped by that 42% of ride or die Trumpers that will vote that way all the way into the fucking grave.

Elvis Telecom, Monday, 12 October 2020 07:30 (five years ago)

And in New York Magazine this week, Armando Ianucci, creator of two of the 21st century's core texts on how more of the minute-to-minute operations of political office are occupied with crafting false public narratives about their real actions than with the efficacy of said actions, on current events.

The collision of a deadly pandemic with a reality-show host on steroids has shattered all that’s left of our definition of reality.

In reality, Donald Trump is still probably contagious and currently breathing on Republicans to death — but the vision of him defeating the virus has already been cut and pasted into a narrative rendered official. Even the White House website has footage of Trump declaring it a miracle, so who are we to question the veracity of these events?

It’s as if, during those crucial three days when the president was hidden away from us in the hospital, he was wrestling with not only the virus but reality itself. His wager was that if he acted like he’d been cured, he would be. Or that, if still contagious, his contagion would only spread in a world he no longer inhabits, a pussy world where idiots and lowlife losers scramble for cover and double over in pain. He, however, would have transformed into a god-thing that no longer need worry about germs and protocol and infection and where the sheer power of the will razed old reality to the ground.

...Trump claims to see all time at once. He justified his loop outside the hospital by saying that if he hadn’t done it, the media “would have said ‘Rude!’ ” So an absurd event was organized in response to a reaction set in the future and for which there was no way of proving whether it would have happened or not.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 07:32 (five years ago)

Thats a pearler.

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Monday, 12 October 2020 07:47 (five years ago)

Good one. I like the bizarre fit of a Doctor Manhattan analogy that doesn't really work but still is kinda funny.

Nhex, Monday, 12 October 2020 08:02 (five years ago)

Some xposts, but re likability and the posts from Dan S, sure. Biden is more likable than Trump. Also most people in the US have the intelligence and media literacy of a sodden bag of pop rocks.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 12 October 2020 11:03 (five years ago)

What do I know, I'm still stumped by that 42% of ride or die Trumpers that will vote that way all the way into the fucking grave.

Why does Trump still have a similar "approval rating" as he did when his presidency began? Because people taken in by cults or cons can only admit they'd been thus "taken" at great harm to their self-regard. It's unlikely they'd want to admit that... 1/

— Rick Perlstein (@rickperlstein) October 11, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 12 October 2020 12:50 (five years ago)

It is kind of weird to me that people think Trump voters have been "taken." They are pretty much getting exactly what they paid for.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 12 October 2020 14:07 (five years ago)

I dunno, there is an overlap, at least in my circle, between Trumpers and people who have fallen for MLM scams and in one case, actually fell for a version of the Nigerian scam.

Boring, Maryland, Monday, 12 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

I think there are actually people who think he's a successful businessman, or not a racist, or just a joker, or otherwise is not what he pretty obviously is (stupid, obnoxious, lazy, reckless, and so on). People so unplugged from reality (per Ianucci) that's they've constructed their own. And once you've been pushed that far, it's got to be hard to be brought back, let alone have any sort of dramatic naked lunch moment of clarity. It's hard to convince someone they've been conned because the point of the con is to convince someone they *haven't* been conned.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 12 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

https://www.ocregister.com/2020/10/11/unofficial-ballot-drop-boxes-popping-up-throughout-the-state-worry-elections-officials/

― Walter Draggedman (stevie), Monday, October 12, 2020 7:22 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Some useful context about this:

So...people are talking about the GOP ballot boxes in California as a GOP vote fraud thing. But it's not. It's a *bonkers conspiracy nut* thing.

This is a story of Republicans suppressing their own vote by refusing to trust officially sanctioned ballot boxes. Short thread: /1 pic.twitter.com/qWrYyO3cQw

— David Atkins (@DavidOAtkins) October 12, 2020

jaymc, Monday, 12 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

It is kind of weird to me that people think Trump voters have been "taken." They are pretty much getting exactly what they paid for.

MAGA hat: $20
MAGA flag: $75
Owning the libs: priceless

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

how much is it to rent libs

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

I lease with an option to buy

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:18 (five years ago)

Most libs will let you live rent-free in their heads iirc.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

They tend to squat.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

It is kind of weird to me that people think Trump voters have been "taken." They are pretty much getting exactly what they paid for.

thing is, sometimes when you get conned, you do get exactly what you paid for - it just doesn't work out like you were promised.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

Biden's up 10.6 and sitting at 52.3% in the RealClearPolitics average. I believe that's the highest vote share that a candidate has ever held in the RCP average in the year of an electionhttps://t.co/NvMmhsdpFA

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 12, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

They are pretty much getting exactly what they paid for.

^^^this. They have Supreme Court justices threatening Roe v. Wade and gay marriage, and gov't hasn't taken away their assault rifle collections. All is happy and well in MAGA town.

Three Rings for the Elven Bishop (Dan Peterson), Monday, 12 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

These Oscar the Grouch motherfuckers wouldn't know 'happy and well' if it bit them on the ass. They'd stil be angry and aggrieved if they got their way 100% of the time.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

OTM, all of them are members of the Future Victims Society of America, first and foremost

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

there is an overlap, at least in my circle, between Trumpers and people who have fallen for MLM scams and in one case, actually fell for a version of the Nigerian scam.

The modern conservative movement has 100 percent gone hand in hand with scam operators of all kinds from pretty much its inception. Direct-mail titan Richard Viguerie is the most obvious example, but also all the evangelical MLM stuff with Pat Robertson, etc. It makes sense that an actual con man as president was the eventual result.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

They have Supreme Court justices threatening Roe v. Wade and gay marriage, and gov't hasn't taken away their assault rifle collections. All is happy and well in MAGA town.

i think that oversimplifies things.

yes, they were supposed to get a ban on abortion and get to keep their guns. but along with that was an implicit promise that the left and democrats would be blown away by the strength and charisma and endless winning of trump, etc, that we'd have to admit that all it really took was an iconoclast who with the ability to pull off deals you wouldn't believe, etc

All is happy and well in MAGA town? i beg to differ. i think they're feeling more alienated and "oppressed" than ever before, right now. i think they're 30 days away from ripping each other apart

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

xposts, old lunch and el tomboto made the same point

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

my mom was the biggest trump fan out there, and even she felt betrayed by him earlier this year. it was for a really dumb reason (there were a couple days in march where trump took covid seriously, and that confused my mom, who still thinks covid is a hoax), but there was really ANGUISH and confusion in her voice, then. anguish over trump betraying her. she ran back into his arms a few days later, when trump resumed his disinformation campaign on covid.

but that's the con and the conned, right there - it is extremely difficult for people to admit that they were completely wrong, that they believed a con man. when they do try to break away from it, it's really hard and disorienting for them. if they can't believe this version of the truth that everyone else around them also believes, then who can they believe? certainly not the angry liberals (their own children) who showed no understanding for their white evangelical suffering and oppression. it's easier just to stay in the cult, for real.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

On the one hand, I can understand in the abstract the appeal of someone who just constantly tells you what you want to hear, but on the other hand, latching onto that shit like a pacifier ultimately just makes you an adult baby.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

These Oscar the Grouch motherfuckers wouldn't know 'happy and well' if it bit them on the ass. They'd stil be angry and aggrieved if they got their way 100% of the time.

Right. It's not enough for them to get what they want - they also want you (us) NOT to get what we want.

Though, if I were to be completely honest, I confess I kinda feel the same way about them.

Put roughly, that style of politics has caused untold suffering. And yeah, there is a dark part of my heary that wants its proponents to suffer. Not proud of it, but it is there.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:20 (five years ago)

xp to old lunch

i think my last words to my mom were something along those lines.

sorry to always make things about my parents and white evangelicals. i know that's not the whole world or the whole explanation. but yeah, i think for a lot of people, they grew up literally worshipping an imaginary, all-powerful being that promises nothing less than eternal happiness for the good and eternal suffering for the bad. it's not much of a leap to go to anything else, from there

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

Something I've always noticed and pointed out is that almost on principle Americans are maddeningly contrarian. It's almost like a chaotic correction failsafe, and partly explains how pretty consistently in the modern era we go from, say, reelecting Nixon/Reagan/Bush in large numbers and for no good reason but then immediately go the other direction. One of my favorite stories, one that has stuck with me since I think 5th grade (so, a long while ago) was from a teacher who told us of her next door neighbor, a retired teetotal nun, who apparently, the day after Prohibition was passed, got totally smashed and went out on the street shouting something like "*nobody* tells me what to do!" That's America, in all its crazy contradictions.

Which is to say, I can totally see some of the same people that supported Trump and his judges out on the street protesting the repeal of the ACA/Roe, etc. That's part of the con right there. "Yeah, I wanted the ACA overturned, because Obama and unconstitutional and socialism and the lying media, but I had no idea it would hurt me and my family and friends and everyone I know! Boo!"

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 12 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

I don't know how much a Trumper gives a shit about judges; that seems more like what a "traditional conservative" focuses on and thinks Trump can serve as their useful idiot to provide. The Mexican-fincanced wall was the big, tangible thing Trump promised…

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

Well, there are Trumpers, and then there are Trumpers by proxy, the people who don't like him but still vote for him because of his policies. Not the racist stuff, heavens no, or the cruel or reckless stuff. Just the other stuff. Like ... taxes? The economy?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 12 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

KM how did you mom feel when Trump wound up actually getting COVID if she thinks it's a hoax?

akm, Monday, 12 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

Right. It's not enough for them to get what they want - they also want you (us) NOT to get what we want.

Though, if I were to be completely honest, I confess I kinda feel the same way about them.

Put roughly, that style of politics has caused untold suffering. And yeah, there is a dark part of my heary that wants its proponents to suffer. Not proud of it, but it is there.

― nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, October 12, 2020 11:20 AM (five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

The truly fucked thing about conservatives is: they can already pretty much live according to their stated principles, but it just isn't fun unless they're imposing those principles upon everyone else. It's not enough to personally decide not to have abortions because you have to make the decision for every other person in the country for some twisted reason.

To the extent that they aren't infringing upon others, I'm all for allowing conservatives to live however they want to live in their own private lives. But that's just never enough for them.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

c'mon, the current usa president is the "fun" face of normal Republican policies, in the way that little Bush was their "folksy" face and Reagan their "glamorous" face. But those policies are always the same: white supremacy, kleptocracy, war. They may sell those policies differently, but everyone knows what the policies are.

All cars are bad (Euler), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

xposts
we haven't spoken in a few months now.

last we spoke, she thought it was a hoax, but my dad had a very different belief. he was posting facebook messages with hundreds of likes and shares that said that "As a former Emergency Safety Director of a large hospital", he believed that everyone was going to get Covid, that there was no point of trying to do anything to prevent it, like wearing a mask...and oh yeah, also that some people in the world are "unclean" and the "unclean" will get sicker and die more quickly than the "clean". he then concluded with the following:

I stand firm that when Abba Father made us (his seed) in secret, He made our immune system perfect and designed to be among the mixed peoples and all their poor health habits. Abba Father does commands us not to hide in caves or crevices. He commands us to stand for His Torah and not to hide or keep our light under a bush basket. Yes, this virus can kill but it is so weak picking on those immune systems that are already compromised so I do tell those type of people to keep socially distanced, keep hydrated, keep washing hands, keep hands and fingers out of our body openings, and at times, wear a mask. But for the 99% they should absolutely never wear a mask. HaSatan and his minions are ruling the world right now but as [my Uncle] would say, "Yeshua's about had it with the evil in this world and He is coming back to clean His house." Amein.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

...

Once again, I am so very sorry, KM.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

don't feel sorry for me. feel sorry for my parents. they are so oppressed, it's really hard for them

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

Abba Father does commands us to dance, and to dive, and to have the time of our lives.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:44 (five years ago)

keep hands and fingers out of our body openings

so not gonna happen

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

But those policies are always the same: white supremacy, kleptocracy, war. They may sell those policies differently, but everyone knows what the policies are.

The Trump era has made me more aware than ever of being part of a long-running struggle in this country that has taken a lot of different dimensions but basically runs from its founding, and is essentially over who the country is for. The fight to make it for — open to, accessible to, fair to — more people and more kinds of people, people who are not only white males, has been the animating principle for social justice warriors (a phrase I use positively) from the beginning. We've made a lot of progress on that front overall, but every fight is still hard and the resistance is always strong and the chance of losing ground already gained is always there.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

And it makes me feel better about Trump to understand him in that context, as a particularly grotesque manifestation of long-running tendencies. Yes he's terrible but also lots of have things have been terrible, and many of them have been overcome.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

keep hands and fingers out of our body openings

no more wiping or teeth brushing!

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Monday, 12 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

wtf is going on here

Perhaps the most interesting result: Gary Peters (D) holds just a 1 point lead over John James (R), 43-42, in the race for US Senate in Michigan, down from a 10 point lead in June

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 12, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

That is not good.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

it's one poll but apparently schumer's (?) PAC is sending more money there than anywhere else, which is ominous

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

(that's the result for a sample where biden is up 10 which makes it more concerning)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

Yeah, I just donated. Not taking over the Senate if you lose that seat in all likelihood.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

it will probably be ok. people split the ticket more in polls than they do when they vote.

Internals show you the Dem strategy: Just get Biden votes to pull straight ticket. James is within 1-3 point of Trump numbers, and the difference is undecideds. (Example: 15% of independents undecided in prez race, 22% in Senate race.)https://t.co/s10wAElENu

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 12, 2020

still!

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

it's a weird race, because lots of people are "unfamiliar" with both candidates, but james ran in 2018 against stabenow too, you'd think voters would know who he is.

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

tipsy that’s a great post.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 12 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

Climate change didn’t really become a public issue until 1988.

Back To The Future came out in 1985

Mad Max 2 came out in 1981 btw

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

Did Mad Max 2 specify that the preceding apocalypse that it was supposed to have taken place after was anthropogenic climate change?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

it's been a while, but i thought it was just "oil scarcity"

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

J.G. Ballard wrote a bunch of books about a world pillaged by climate disasters in the 60s

I'm sure we can dig deeper into the past and find even earlier examples of fictional depictions of dystopian futures driven by climate change but using that as a marker of when people started discussing climate change as a mainstream political issue would probably be dumb.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

but anyways, i'm pretty sure if we go looking we'll find a popular culture artifact that mentions climate change and came out before 1988. i wasn't trying to say that suddenly in the year 1988 people started hearing about climate change. i'm just saying, hansen's 1988 testimony is commonly referenced as a watershed moment in terms of popular awareness of the issue.

xp

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

djp otm

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

i think this is the first time it was on the front page of the times fwiw

https://www.nytimes.com/1988/06/24/us/global-warming-has-begun-expert-tells-senate.html

https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/listening-to-james-hansen-on-climate-change-thirty-years-ago-and-now

On June 23, 1988—a blisteringly hot day in Washington, D.C.—James Hansen told a Senate committee that “the greenhouse effect has been detected and is changing our climate now.” At the time, Hansen was the head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and though his testimony was certainly not the first official warning about the “greenhouse effect”—a report to President Lyndon Johnson, in 1965, predicted “measurable and perhaps marked changes in climate” in the decades to follow—it was the first to receive national news coverage. The Times ran the story at the top of the front page, with a graph showing a long-term rise in average global temperatures.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:15 (five years ago)

sic you should write to the new yorker fact checkers and remind them about mad max 2, which that article blithely ignores.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:16 (five years ago)

"Climate change didn’t really become a public issue until 1988" was brought up to dismiss any notion that transitioning away from fossil fuels might have been considered for any reason prior to that.

Mad Max 2's prelude posits that society might collapse due to an over-reliance on this scarce, damaging and non-renewable energy source. The core text of the narrative is about even in the wake of this, humanity continuing to fight and kill for guzzoline, even while burning it in the most wasteful and counter-productive way possible.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

https://editorial.designtaxi.com/editorial-images/news-KFCDoubleDown240518/KFC-Double-Down-Three-Flavors-1.png

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

I'm just trying to do what Tombot said!

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

My halfassed take on the james/peters thing:

- peters is kind of an empty void - i moved back to michigan 3 years ago and honestly don't know what he even looks like, where he's from - nothing at all.

- there hasn't been a republican senator in the state for 20 years and I don't he's ever really had any sort of serious opponent, nor has he really had to do a whole lot to keep his position. He actually sent mailers out last spring that were basically like "hey I'm your senator, remember me? don't let me lose this fall"

- a lot of the people who haven't gone full nutjob dislike trump as a person but still love everything he's done so voting for someone who do those things without being a raging asshole is great for them. I see lots of james signs in yards without trump signs; almost every peters sign i see is sharing a yard with a biden one.

- i believe a lot of people who love or at least are indifferent to racist policies and actions see voting for james as a way to say "see? i can't be racist because I voted for the black guy"

joygoat, Monday, 12 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

c/o Ned:

Joseph R. Biden Jr. holds a significant lead in the pivotal states of Michigan and Wisconsin, with President Trump so far failing to retain the overwhelming advantage he enjoyed among white voters there in 2016, according to surveys from The New York Times and Siena College on Monday.

Over all, Mr. Biden led Mr. Trump by eight percentage points in Michigan, 48 percent to 40 percent, among likely voters. His lead in Wisconsin was slightly larger, 51 percent to 41 percent.

The new results, along with recent Times/Siena surveys from elsewhere in the Northern battlegrounds, suggest that the president has not yet managed to reassemble his winning coalition across the region. He faces modest but significant defections among white and independent voters, while facing a groundswell of opposition from those who voted for a minor-party candidate or didn’t vote at all in 2016.

And:

While Mr. Trump’s surprising victory in 2016 lent him an aura of political invincibility, an Upshot analysis of more than 5,000 respondents to Times/Siena results surveys in the Northern battleground states suggests that his winning coalition was always a fragile one. The president’s margin of victory was extremely narrow, and he failed to reach 50 percent of the vote in each of the decisive states. He also did so against an unusually unpopular opponent, Mrs. Clinton.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

roffle:

The surveys began after Mr. Trump was released from the hospital, and there was no immediate indication that his political standing recovered along with his health. Most voters in Wisconsin and Michigan expected that the president would recover quickly from the illness, echoing findings from Times/Siena surveys fielded while he was hospitalized. The president did not appear poised to benefit from the public’s sympathy; by at least a two-to-one margin in both states, voters said the president did not take adequate precautions to protect against the coronavirus.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

Mr. Trump’s surprising victory in 2016 lent him an aura of political invincibility

I read this and instantly thought, "oh, these quotes must be from a NYT article".

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

Re climate change in the public discourse, Carl Sagan (who figured out the greenhouse effect) warned about fossil fuel CO2 changing the climate on national television in 1980.
https://www.scu.edu/environmental-ethics/environmental-activists-heroes-and-martyrs/carl-sagan.html

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

sorry to be a nitpicker today, but sagan wrote about it in Cosmos, but the greenhouse effect as a topic of study goes back to at least 1859

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

sorry - to correct myself there, Sagan didn’t figure out the greenhouse effect, apparently that was Arrhenius in the late 19th century. I think Sagan made a model of the atmosphere of Venus which demonstrated how the effect led to its current state.

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

thanks KM, I knew as soon as I wrote it that I was getting it wrong.

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

I was surprised watching The Naked Gun 2 1/2 a couple of months ago that its plot hinged on climate change / renewable energy. 1991

All cars are bad (Euler), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

Hector Sa-vahge!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

iirc, the Rio de Janeiro Climate conference was in 1991, which was the very first international effort to address greenhouse gases and the climate. Naturally, it was torpedoed by the USA.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:39 (five years ago)

has not yet managed to reassemble his winning coalition

I am as worried as anyone about avoiding wishcasting and about the likelihood of legal shenanigans and/or malarkey.

HOWEVER, I am starting to feel like we can retire the constant repetitions of "It's still early" / "lots can happen." If Trump hasn't "reassembled" his coalition by now, he's not going to.

All year we've had to temper our projections with "it's still early" / "lots can happen" / "at this point in 2016 it felt like Hillary had it in the bag" obligatory caveats.

It is NOT early. Hundreds of thousands of people have voted. Almost everyone has their mind made up; almost no one is still persuadable. The dynamic is unlikely to change - and even if it were to change, it may not make a salient difference.

At this point it seems safe to say that Trump will obviously have lost the national popular vote. Further, that the contest to determine the final electoral vote will take place in the courts. That will involve the "usual suspect" states - Pennsylvania, Florida, maybe Ohio.

And it will entirely hinge on how many mail-in ballots the Trump campaign can successfully get disqualified.

Note - this will not be a matter of "wait till all the votes are counted." Everyone knows by now that the majority of mail-in ballots will be Democratic ones. The Trump camp's only hope will be to get as many of them thrown out as possible.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

Hundreds of thousands of people have voted.

An understatement. It's about ten million now:

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

And those numbers are about to ramp up heavily this week with the widespread start of early voting in a number of states.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 12 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

If Florida gets called on Tuesday night, which is likely, and gets called for Biden, Trump has lost. He might want to exercise that litigious muscle for its own sake.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Also, much of the messaging re GOP fuckery with mail-in votes has to do with last minute voting. The Democratic message in response has been to emphasize getting things in much earlier.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 12 October 2020 19:49 (five years ago)

Florida's already counting ballots. Mine got counted on Wednesday, two days after receipt.


It may just be an
"Climate change didn’t really become a public issue until 1988" was brought up to dismiss any notion that transitioning away from fossil fuels might have been considered for any reason prior to that.


Hi it was me. I also mentioned in the same post that the energy crisis was perceived as over by 1981, and the tone about energy use was set when the Gipper removed the solar panels from the WH. I was trying to point out that climate change and resource scarcity in 1983 were not at the top o the general public’s minds at the time, not that the problems didn’t exist or that elites couldn’t have done anything. Again, nuclear winter was more on American’s minds as we nearly had a nuclear war in ‘83.

Boring, Maryland, Monday, 12 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

I don't think it would be catastrophizing to imagine that even if it's a landslide for Biden on Tuesday night, Trump is still going to try to sue over something. There is just no way he will be gracious loser, no matter how uncontroversial the results end up being. It'll be entirely on brand for him to whine and throw the DOJ, his personal law office, at the problem.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 12 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

Zing artifacts, sorry.

Boring, Maryland, Monday, 12 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

Hi it was me.

Yes, I deleted a longer post there citing Boring, MD bcz I didn't want to appear to call you out when everyone else is fixating on the date (due to me quoting that line)! The context about Reagan was well-taken in itself, but seemed more connected to the Republican Party (as then moulded in his image) attitude of "fuck doing anything positive for its own sake," rather than international borders.

Then I wrote this even longer post:

double-down.jpg

I'm honestly just trying to track what the argument is:

1973: continuing to trade for an environment- and health-damaging fuel is necessary to maintain the borders of current nation-states, therefore its known damaging effects from pollution (ie before public scientific consensus is reached on global warming) are no reason to switch to less damaging energy sources. The oil lobby has no connection (or at least not a significant one) to any of this, even though an American Petroleum Institute conference hosted a scientific paper warning of climate change from the greenhouse effect in 1959

1980: scientific consensus about climate change is set, starts to work its way into public discourse

1980-86: Iran-Iraq war takes place

1988: the NYT runs a front page story about the US Senate being told about the greenhouse effect

1990-91: Gulf War Episode 1: A New Hope

1992-03: up to 1,400 civilians killed in Iraq by American, French and British bombing raids

93 'til Infinity 2003-ongoing: multiple wars over petroleum in Iraq and Africa


--

Even if it's stipulated that these wars should have happened, and that maintaining and/or increasing a reliance on fossil fuels was urgent in order to encourage them, I don't see that the date of Mr Hansen's address to the Senate had any direct effect on them in 1988, so it probably wouldn't have had any greater effect if it, or a comparable address, would have taken place earlier.



(also stipulated that I am infuriating people by not instinctively understanding what the thesis is re: national security! but the only reason I asked is because I don't know)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

its amusing that no outlets (besides maybe 538?) are running any "how can Trump come back?" pieces...I'm guessing because most people who watch/read the news don't wanna hear it, and the FOX crowd thinks the polls are fake anyway. Trump is such a uniquely unlikeable political figure - he's the only President in history to never have net positive approval at ANY point in his term, and as far as I can see there's really nothing he's done that's gathered any sort of majority support. the ONLY way his numbers go up is when he manages to stay out of the news for 4-5 days at a time. perhaps actually getting a big stimulus done would give him a boost but no way do Congressional Rs help him there. meanwhile, he's at the point where every single day in which something dramatic does not happen is a huge blow to his chances. and, well, this seems to be his strategy:

So Biden is coughing and hacking and playing “fingers” with his mask, all over the place, and the Fake News doesn’t want to even think about discussing it. “Journalism” has reached the all time low in history. Sadly, Lamestream knows this and doesn’t even care!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 12, 2020

frogbs, Monday, 12 October 2020 20:23 (five years ago)

he ONLY way his numbers go up is when he manages to stay out of the news for 4-5 days at a time.

And he won't stay out: he instructed his campaign staff to put him on the road every day until Nov. 3.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

The staffer's theory about killing himself seems at least unconsciously plausible: if he dies on the campaign trail, then he doesn't "lose," and any number of constituent lives are acceptable collateral.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

there's a good chance of another "health event" on the campaign trail, right?

frogbs, Monday, 12 October 2020 20:33 (five years ago)

Boring - when I look back on the 20th century I remember some following works of enviro- and enviro-adjacent alarm-bell-ringing:

1. The Population Bomb, Ehrlich, 1968. Influential but also, perversely, somewhat counterproductive. My (hazy) memory of public perception was that there were catastrophic predictions of imminent resource shortages. When those shortages failed to happen (or failed to come to public attention), people wrote off the whole premise as being Chicken Littleism.

2. Diet for a New America, Robbins, 1987. The messages about how much land and water were going into meat production - and the unsustainability thereof - were either a wake-up call, or yet more Chicken Little alarmism, depending on your point of view.

3. Who Will Feed China, Brown, 1995, noted that as people move up the economic ladder they "eat higher on the food chain," which brings us back to Robbins; the general thrust was that feeding the Chinese people would soon become impossible.

I was working in environmental journalism at the time, and "climate" was still a ways away as a central concern for most people.

But everyone had heard DIRE PREDICTIONS about the polar ice caps and overpopulation and resource scarcity. "By the year 2000, X"; "By the year 2020; Y" were common (though poorly understood) phrases in yr typical Time magazine story.

And the predictions had mostly not come true (in common public perception, anyway). So lots of people developed a carapace of indifference. If Paul Ehrlich had said the planet would be uninhabitable in 30 years (or whatever), and here we are 30 years on and it hasn't come to pass, than why is anyone taking these doomsayers seriously?

Lather, rinse, repeat.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 12 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

for anyone wondering, like me, if their state counts mailed ballots early or if they're forced to wait until election day, this is a handy breakdown.

https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vopp-table-16-when-absentee-mail-ballot-processing-and-counting-can-begin.aspx

(IL has to wait until 7pm on election day, which sucks, but i suppose we'll still be able to call it for biden on election night)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 12 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

I was looking at the RCP (with toss-ups) map, and Biden looks good, though not exactly primed for the blowout I was hoping for. He's got 226 EV pretty much locked up. If he wins Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan--where he has 6.0+ leads in all--that gets him to 282. Nevada, where he's also up 6, would put him at 288. The other toss-ups are close. He'll probably win some, but I guess he could conceivably lose all of them. But that 288 looks fairly solid.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html

clemenza, Monday, 12 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

frogbs I think you mean “completing the second half of the President’s annual physical”

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 12 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

(Usual disclaimer: in a non-rigged election.)

clemenza, Monday, 12 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

Some xposts to YMP: that's what I was saying way above. Of course the public mind wasn't there, but there's been some warning of what we now call anthropogenic climate destabilization for more than four decades.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 12 October 2020 21:18 (five years ago)

So the important thing is to watch Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Arizona...if Biden takes any of those it's pretty much over

frogbs, Monday, 12 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

Whoa.

Texas added almost 300,000 more voters in 2 weeks just before the registration deadline. We're up 16.9 million voters.

That is 1.8 million more voters than 2016 in Texas
https://t.co/httCD4aWTj

— Jeremy Wallace (@JeremySWallace) October 12, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 12 October 2020 21:35 (five years ago)

Which 3 counties have added the most voters since 2016?
Harris -238,698
Bexar -136,889
Travis - 126,155

That is a half million more voters in three VERY blue counties than in 2016.

— Jeremy Wallace (@JeremySWallace) October 12, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 12 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

FWIW, ExxonMobil was aware of climate change in 1977 (x-posts)

Elvis Telecom, Monday, 12 October 2020 21:39 (five years ago)

Texas added almost 300,000 more voters in 2 weeks just before the registration deadline.

It beggars belief to think that such a jump comes from a ton of would-be Republicans rushing to get their chance to vote for the status quo.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 12 October 2020 21:41 (five years ago)

16.9 million voters queueing at 3 ballot drop boxes

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 22:07 (five years ago)

the ballot drop box thing is bad, but there's still three weeks of early voting, which you can do anywhere... I'm going in the morning.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Monday, 12 October 2020 22:24 (five years ago)

Most people in Texas couldn't get an absentee ballot to put in the drop box anyway - you have to be over 65 or be out of the area for election day and the entirety of early voting.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 12 October 2020 22:28 (five years ago)

Fun little Lincoln Project reminder thread:

How it started. How it ended.

We were so "naive how racism was so imbedded in the party." Lincoln Project pic.twitter.com/ZSNoPyU6uJ

— Nadine van der Velde 🕊(she/her) (@nadinevdVelde) October 12, 2020

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 12 October 2020 22:35 (five years ago)

Yeah Texas (despite the drop-box problem) will know early.

I would not bet on TX or SC flipping this time, but it is pretty heartening that they are even getting talked about.

However, to permit myself a fantasy scenario... As has been noted, calling Texas for Biden would mean an epic blowout, and an early night. It would make PA / FL / OH suddenly irrelevant, for perhaps the first time in our lives.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 12 October 2020 22:43 (five years ago)

this is admittedly pretty funny, but will it get ol' joe into a spot of trouble?

Donald Trump is running TV ads taking Dr. Fauci out of context and without his permission.

So, here’s a message from the President in his own words. pic.twitter.com/WCYbIfrQLR

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 12, 2020

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Monday, 12 October 2020 22:45 (five years ago)

Nah.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 12 October 2020 23:01 (five years ago)

Lincoln Project still getting it better

Nhex, Monday, 12 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

I have read Lincoln Project's ads are done by FuckJerry (at least that's what Vic Berger is claiming; they apparently also ripped him off, but the one ad I watched where he claimed that didn't seem like a rip off). I do think the LP ads are good. But that Biden ad is great.

akm, Monday, 12 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

dems going to be lining up to gargle LP ass n balls

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:39 (five years ago)

your outlook is refreshing

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:45 (five years ago)

dems going to be lining up to gargle LP ass n balls

― A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will)

you have a problem with gargling ass and balls, sailor?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

I mean it’s not as funky fresh as ‘Iran’s going to murder Trump to make Biden look bad’

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:49 (five years ago)

you tell me

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:50 (five years ago)

you have a problem with gargling ass and balls, sailor?


when the ass and balls are attached to Rick Wilson absofuckinlutely

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:54 (five years ago)

https://images.app.goo.gl/QMKknAX43RHyMUGRA

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 12 October 2020 23:56 (five years ago)

They're that desperate, are they? (They would absolutely not be spending ANYTHING there unless they were really worried.)

Senate GOP's campaign arm is officially going up in Alaska https://t.co/y8L4m0QmwI

— Sam Brodey (@sambrodey) October 12, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 00:05 (five years ago)

aight y’all I came in too hot. sorry about that.

if the LP wants to rake in and spend $$$ dunking on Trump it’s *clearly* better than them lining up to back him.

But prior to the Trump era these folks were quite literally the Worst People in American Politics. They’re part of the reason Bush got two terms. They’re the reason you even know Sarah Palin exists. I just think it’s incumbent upon liberals, progressives, salty internet leftists, angry soccer moms, and urban Home Depot dads to eye them with a healthy suspicion.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

DON: Well, yeah.

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 00:40 (five years ago)

Dude, will...who exactly the fuck do you think you're proselytizing to itt?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 00:43 (five years ago)

Lincoln Project people are republicans and ergo trash. They're theoretically useful trash atm but no one with a brain is going to magically forget that they're trash.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 00:45 (five years ago)

I suspect the Lincoln Project will "magically disappear" if Trump loses, unless they really feel the need to crush those Q people in primaries.

Nhex, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:00 (five years ago)

Dude, will...who exactly the fuck do you think you're proselytizing to itt?


honestly, fair. AFAIK no one here holds an elected office that could fall prey to undeniable swag of Steve Schmidt

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:03 (five years ago)

The Lincoln Project people backing Trump would have zero effect on the election. Never Trump Republicans have no actual constituency.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

Which is reason enough to shit on them regularly, because their danger is that they can build a constituency with centrist melt Democrats.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

as the old saying goes, it all depends on whose ox cock and balls is being gored gargled

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

Early voting total now over ten million.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

An interesting detail:

.@KansasSOS reports 444,392 mail ballots requests have been processed statewide, just under 24 % of all registered voters in Kansas. That's more than double the total of requests for 2016 or 2018. Douglas leads in percentage with 36.6 %, followed by JoCo with 33.3 %. #ksleg

— Bryan Lowry (@BryanLowry3) October 12, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:48 (five years ago)

what's the matter with ka-

oh, nevermind. carry on kansas.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

There's no question about what's the matter with Georgia:

This is a picture of voter suppression. Why do Americans have to wait in lines this long? This is the line in Suwannee Georgia today to vote. pic.twitter.com/rHl4Gr5kEi

— Claire McCaskill (@clairecmc) October 12, 2020

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:01 (five years ago)

This is terrible, but I imagine distancing and eagerness to vote are a big factor.

Austin, TX does a good job of accommodating early voters, but I fully expect it to be a shitshow when polls open tomorrow.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:03 (five years ago)

I'm voting tomorrow morning in Austin, but I'll be on campus which I predict will be less crowded than other places in town.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:11 (five years ago)

Let us know how it goes, I wanted to vote as soon as possible, but realized the first couple days might be bad.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

early voting in Georgia is today through October 30, so I think the big lines shown above are more an expression of pent-up angst than a sign of suppression

as I read the data, there are almost 1 million more active voters in Georgia now than there were in 2016 ... not saying, just saying

Brad C., Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:20 (five years ago)

having to wait longer than 10 minutes to cast your vote is suppression imo

elections should be funded fucking appropriately

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:26 (five years ago)

Which is reason enough to shit on them regularly, because their danger is that they can build a constituency with centrist melt Democrats.

yeah, this is the thing. the members* themselves are (probably, mostly) sincerely never-Trumps, but TLP is a grift/psyops project to get money and ongoing attention/admiration from Dem voters who "don't really pay attention to politics" and ppl with Sorkin brain sydnrome.

*ie not FuckJerry

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:27 (five years ago)

Tombot otm, also obv election day should be a national holiday

lest my comments be misconstrued, organized voter suppression efforts by the Georgia GOP are definitely still a thing, but they've been set back pretty hard by enforced compliance with the Motor Voter Act (thank you, ACLU) and the efforts led by Stacey Abrams

Brad C., Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:37 (five years ago)

personally i think the lincoln project are greater americans than abraham lincoln

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

McConnell’s gleeful laugh when McGrath talks about his failures on COVID is...something pic.twitter.com/axoFqqGG8D

— Don Moynihan (@donmoyn) October 13, 2020

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 03:33 (five years ago)

personally i think the lincoln project are greater americans than abraham lincoln

smile when you say that, pardner, or we might not take it kindly

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

mcconnell might as well be sucking the marrow out of a baby with a crazy straw in public these days, what a fucking ghoul

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 03:36 (five years ago)

Has anyone tried just like pouring some salt on old McThulhu?

Thank god he's old.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

There was a recent New Yorker article about the Lincoln Project. This seems to be who's directing their social strategy:

In May, the Project added a new communications staffer, Keith Edwards, a thirty-five-year-old liberal who was breaking up with his boyfriend and ready for change. Edwards had moved to New York in 2005, from Detroit, after having worked in a beauty salon. In Manhattan, he no longer wanted “to do anything related to hair,” and wound up with a production job on reality shows—“The Real Housewives of Miami,” “Wicked Single.” He wasn’t a consistent voter. But after Trump was elected Edwards joined the communications staff of Corey Johnson, the Democratic speaker of the New York City Council, and, later, the Presidential campaign of Michael Bloomberg.

Edwards’s Twitter habits aligned with the OODA-loop strategy: he is always online, a habit he describes as a form of addiction. (He is eleven years sober.) He shortened and sharpened the Project’s tweets: “Something’s not white about this”; “How much is that in rubles?” He also upped the pace: in February, the Project tweeted only forty-seven times; in June, when Edwards took over the feed, the number jumped to eight hundred and fourteen. When followers asked who was behind the edgy tweets, Edwards often tweeted back “Abe.” The Project’s audience subsequently exploded, in large part because the founders amplified the official tweets: collectively, they and their top advisers have more than four million followers.

Edwards and two colleagues make up a “rapid-response” team, which monitors the Internet for exploitable material: when a tape of Trump’s sister describing him as dishonest was leaked, Edwards tweeted, “Joe Biden’s sister cherishes him.” In July, after Trump bragged, in a televised interview, about having passed a mental-acuity test by successfully repeating “person, woman, man, camera, TV,” Wilson hired Shawn Patterson, a composer who, in 2015, was nominated for an Oscar for “Everything Is Awesome,” from “The Lego Movie,” to work on a Twitter video. Using heavy synth beats, Patterson remixed the audio of the Trump interview overnight. Edwards captioned the clip with nothing but emojis. The spot has been retweeted, quoted, and liked nearly sixty thousand times.

jaymc, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

mcconnell is a ghoul in that clip, and mcgrath can't manage to put together the basic rant against mcconnell that we've all delivered to our bathroom mirrors at some point in the last 4 years

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 05:26 (five years ago)

David Roth back on the Big Wet beat at Defector, using a public tantrum by Ammon Bundy at his child's football game as part of a way to make the essay sports-relevant:

Two of Bundy’s sons play for Emmett, which was up by five touchdowns at the time the game was called. “Bundy was told before the game was stopped that he could cost Emmett a win and potentially a playoff spot,” the Idaho Statesman noted in its story.

Bundy’s exhausting public life is proof that, for some people, this country is an absolute wonderland of public places in which to become upset. But there’s something perfectly apposite about this last gratuitous, thirsty, unreasoning tantrum happening at a football game. No venue, and no tragicomic streaming meltdown, could have better anticipated or mirrored the President and his party belatedly attempting to defeat a rampaging pandemic with old-fashioned smash-mouth football.

The broader national failure to manage or even really confront the pandemic is not entering a baroque phase, really; it has had no non-baroque phases.

Trump has always responded to adversity by simultaneously quitting and declaring victory; this has, because of how things work for rich people, mostly worked out for him. ...

...When Trump emerged on what either is or isn’t the other side of his illness, vibrating and fluttering and looking even more like a photographic negative of himself than usual, he brought with him a realization. He had faced Covid and bested it, and in so doing he’d learned that the soaring collective threat of the pandemic was … exactly what he has always thought everything was all along. In proclaiming that Covid was a test of individual will and personal strength, Trump spoke with a liberation and purpose that couldn’t be credited to the various powerful steroids currently bearing him aloft on a storm cloud. He had finally found a way to care about the pandemic, which was to make it about him. He had found a solution that appealed to him, which was to make it about his lifelong fixation on fear and domination in general, and his fear of being dominated in particular. Once he had confirmed that he was in fact immortal and the pandemic was just another binary matter of winners and losers, Trump was free to live as a dumb god.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 05:31 (five years ago)

re: mcgrath, like, at the very least, at least deliver the core message, "FUCK YOU MCCONNELL!", that we all desire. if you're down 15 points and you have no chance in kentucky because everyone knows someone that was in the kkk, at least deliver the core message. jfc

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 05:36 (five years ago)

Column: Make way for Slayer Pete. Buttigieg is the Biden campaign's ruthless secret weapon https://t.co/edBdBkjLCf

— Los Angeles Times (@latimes) October 13, 2020

I tweeted this about Mayor Pete after his appearance on Fox News on the night of the Vice-Presidential Debate. pic.twitter.com/8f7KYqYwMW

— mark hutchison (@MarkHutch1965) October 13, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

re: mcgrath, like, at the very least, at least deliver the core message, "FUCK YOU MCCONNELL!", that we all desire. if you're down 15 points and you have no chance in kentucky because everyone knows someone that was in the kkk, at least deliver the core message. jfc

― president of my cat (Karl Malone)

I simple "what the hell are you laughing at? people are dying!"

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:33 (five years ago)

Omg, could Graham sound more pathetic? I feel embarrassed watching this.

Lindsey is real mad at @harrisonjaime for out raising him

pic.twitter.com/FIgRDuLjfm

— Molly Jong-Fast🏡 (@MollyJongFast) October 13, 2020

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:35 (five years ago)

This really is Buttigieg's sweet spot; he gets to smile a lot while being really fucking mean to someone

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:35 (five years ago)

McGrath is so uniquely horrible at this it feels unreal

meanwhile, credit where credit’s due: Pete may have been created in a lab to specifically piss me off, but he’s admittedly decent when talking at hostile cable news toads

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:43 (five years ago)

Omg, could Graham sound more pathetic? I feel embarrassed watching this.

Yes, but also: this could literally be the intro to any video of Lindsey Graham saying words.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:46 (five years ago)

Lindsey might be the only Senate Republican to truly grieve the way the party has moved - his ideal is just being in the Senate as a (not-really) moderate for sixty years, peddling influence, amassing favors and a bank account in the Caymans without most of the public ever knowing his name.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Oh I’m sure Ben’s Ass clinches up every now and again

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

He's just a slimy strictly political creature with no principles that will do whatever it takes to stay in/with power.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

As you guys know I like Pete a lot and he is pretty good in this role but I'm bummed about him being slotted into the "gay best friend with cutting remarks" stereotype

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:04 (five years ago)

This is as much a "passive-aggressive Midwesterner" thing as it is anything else (see also: Klobuchar)

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:06 (five years ago)

As you guys know I like Pete a lot and he is pretty good in this role but I'm bummed about him being slotted into the "gay best friend with cutting remarks" stereotype

― Guayaquil (eephus!),

bitch, please

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:08 (five years ago)

Like, did I miss an appearance where Buttigieg commended Trump on not hiding a face that looks like that behind a mask or something?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

I mean, he's just keeping his name/face out there and making the DNC happy so he can make another primary run some day? It's not devious.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

Lindsey might be the only Senate Republican to truly grieve the way the party has moved -

Awww, true grief. To his true heartbreaking grief I say "die you motherfucking maggot!"

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

He was for it after he was agin it

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

lol, that lindsey clip. love how suddenly he's very concerned about citizens united

literally, every time with republicans, it has to literally happen to them before it's real

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

it is literal, it is known

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

I feel like with a zig and a couple of zags Pete would be awaiting trial for defrauding Silicon Valley investors with his heath tech startup. and ftr, I don’t think he’s literally a CIA asset, but yeah I’ll cop to being a Obama Vocal Affect truther

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

Let us know how it goes, I wanted to vote as soon as possible, but realized the first couple days might be bad.

Re: Texas early voting in Austin

Was in and out in five minutes this morning at one of the two UT campus polling stations, but friends who were voting around town are reporting waits of 1.5-2 hours... I assumed campus would be quick because there aren't many students here this semester and there's no free parking within half a mile of the polling stations. Glad we got a nice cool front ahead of early voting starting... it's perfect weather, sunny and cool.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

Ah, yes, parking by UT.

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

pete's hanging around so he can run again in 2024 or 2028, and meanwhile snag some position in the biden administration, like OMB chief or federal CTO or whatever.

he's good at talking and making arguments. he would probably be better than amy fucking mcgrath vs mcconnell, that's for sure. he'll be around for a while i'd guess.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:51 (five years ago)

The Obama mimicry was real and hilarious in its shamelessness

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

it is hard to endure

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

I saw a clip of him doing an impression of Mike Pence (whom he portrayed in VP debate prep), and it just sounded like Obama.

jaymc, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

So what happens if the Dems have the house, get the WH, but fall short in the senate? Four years of nothing, extra bullshit and/or rancor?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

lots and lots of Bhenghazi-style horseshit and oh hey would you look at that the SC has all kinds of time to take up whatever the Senate GOP drags their way

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

lots of grand bargains!

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 15:21 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zNqgGPY8Ob8

She Thinks I Will Dare (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

i follow dave weigel on twitter and he seems like a decent reporter most of the time, but did i just listen to him talk for FIVE STRAIGHT MINUTES about the lawn signs he's seen during his travels and what he thinks they mean for the election?

no offense because i know there's a lot of lawn sign talk in these parts, but i was kind of shocked to see him go on about like that

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

I break it down to, some folks are convinced that we should have paid attention to other, non-predictors like SIZES OF CROWDS and LAWN SIGNS after 2016 because they have no idea what really won the election or how MOE works.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

Are you sure it was him? Because I found myself reading some Tim Alberta thing on the subject this morning, and it seemed excessively detailed.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

The trauma of 2016 manifests in a myriad of ways, particularly as it intersects the ongoing trauma of 2020.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

Are you sure it was him? Because I found myself reading some Tim Alberta thing on the subject this morning, and it seemed excessively detailed.

― Ned Raggett, Tuesday, October 13, 2020

I read the same thing.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

So what happens if the Dems have the house, get the WH, but fall short in the senate? Four years of nothing, extra bullshit and/or rancor?

Federal courts with literally zero judges as Mitch McConnell continues to execute the responsibilities the Founders whispered in his ear

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

One yard sign indicator that I take as good is that when I drove through North Philly in 2016 I saw very very few Hillary signs, certainly compared to all the Obama signs I saw there in '08 and '12. But this year there are a lot of Biden signs.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

Pete does seem like one of the few prominent Dems who's at least CAPABLE of cutting through the layers of bullshit smarm that coat every facet of mainstream political discourse. his campaign was exceedingly terrible because as soon as he got the tiniest bit of national recognition he just completely overcorrected in the other direction and became Captain Restoring Norms

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

pete's hanging around so he can run again in 2024 or 2028, and meanwhile snag some position in the biden administration, like OMB chief or federal CTO or whatever.

Pete's perfect job in the new administration would be as volunteer to be hooked up to and communicate with whatever eldritch alien technology is sitting out in Area 51.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

I despise Pete with such an intense passion that his continued presence as a living being makes my blood boil.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

xps re the yard sign index:

I drove up to rural PA this weekend. Relatively few yard signs compared to a similar trip in 2016, when entire rural roads were just absolutely lined with Trump signs. Most of the signs I saw this time were for Trump, but there just weren't nearly as many of them. And there were a handful of Biden signs whereas in 2016 I saw none for Clinton.

I've probably mentioned before, but my neighborhood, which skews about 60/40 rep/dem, has had a major increase in Dem signs this year, while there were just none last time and a handful of bumper stickers.

📺👁️ (peace, man), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

I despise Pete with such an intense passion that his continued presence as a living being makes my blood boil.

Odds are he would respond to this with a rueful smile, a sad shake of his head, and a quick phone call to increase the costs of all of your staple foods by 500%

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

legit lol

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

speaking of rueful smiles:

I had to work harder on this than any other magazine piece I’ve written. But in the end it was among the most rewarding. https://t.co/jovMMHkWAP

— David Brooks (@nytdavidbrooks) October 11, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

Rueful smile or strained grunt?

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

Are you sure it was him? Because I found myself reading some Tim Alberta thing on the subject this morning, and it seemed excessively detailed.

― Ned Raggett

yep, definitely. it was on the WashPost's coverage of the hearings, while they were trying to fill time during a break. I immediately recognized him (i love his refusal to dress up or even wash his face before going on television, for real) and thought "hey that's dave weigel, a guy i've seen on twitter!")

maybe he read the same article you and alfred read, i suppose

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

cool!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/va-politics/virginia-state-websites-shut-down/2020/10/13/8e4443d8-0d5d-11eb-b1e8-16b59b92b36d_story.html

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

speaking of rueful smiles:

I had to work harder on this than any other magazine piece I’ve written. But in the end it was among the most rewarding. https://t.co/jovMMHkWAP
— David Brooks (@nytdavidbrooks) October 11, 2020
― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, October 13, 2020 12:54 PM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

lol does this mean he had to take like THREE people to a Brooklyn sandwich shop so he could shake his head ruefully at their ignorance of prosciutto?

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

Are you sure it was him? Because I found myself reading some Tim Alberta thing on the subject this morning, and it seemed excessively detailed.

Have Weigel and Alberta ever been seen in the same room?

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

with David Brooks and some good prosciutto.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

Brooks has been doing a lot more of the, "Gosh, everything is so bad, how did it get this bad!" type of column, while occasionally making correct diagnoses. To be honest, it would be unnerving under normal circumstances, but that he refuses to accept that conservative policies and social mores are responsible for a majority of these societal ills makes it just another day for him.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

Also, I know we should focus on the here and now, but I will honestly say that I will do anything I can to prevent a Buttigieg presidency.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

I have the same criticism about Buttigieg! xpost

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

I spent part of the weekend hiking in north GA and you can probably guess what the yard sign sitch was on the drive up. One in particular did stand out though. It was the guy’s name (which escapes me rn), underneath that “Republican” and underneath that a silhouette of whatever assault rifle gets chuds the frothiest. In its own super special way I kind of appreciated it.

If I had the time, cash, & frankly the temerity I’d consider moving safely outside the 285 loop, running the same campaign. and if I were to win, legislating as a pro-gun socialist until being recalled (or more likely assassinated).

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

with David Brooks and some good prosciutto.

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, October 13, 2020 12:03 PM (ten minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

what is this "pro-shoot-oh" you speak of? i went to a public university, sorry

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

My mom was telling me the other day about how much she likes David Brooks and appreciates his moral perspective. I held my tongue.

jaymc, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

what is this "pro-shoot-oh" you speak of?

the chosen charcuterie of second amendment enthusiasts around the country

covidiot wind (voodoo chili), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

Meantime, remember this feeb?

Some quotes from Ronny Jackson, who was meant to pitch Biden's unfitness for office:

"I actually don't even practice medicine at this point."

"I literally had nothing to do with [Biden's] medical care at the White House."

"I'm not even remotely trying to diagnose him."

— Andrew Solender (@AndrewSolender) October 13, 2020

(He's due to land in the House, GOP safe seat by all accounts, and I hope he's miserable there every day.)

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

I'm particularly fond of the Martha McSally signs I see: PROTECT OUR GUNS!

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

Wait no I think it's a Wendy Rogers sign

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

xpost I like the Brooks/Mark Shields roundup thing on the Friday PBS Newshour... I borrow soundbytes and employ them over the weekend to sound smart and connected.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

I was so excited when I found out Trump's doctor was going to Congress and then I found out Ronny Jackson is NOT Dr. Longhair in the white lab coat, but a different Trump doctor

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

Dr Longhair's going on tour with the Doobie Brothers

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

Thought Dr. Longhair fixed him up with a satchel of gris-gris which was the real secret cure.

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

I like the Brooks/Mark Shields roundup thing on the Friday PBS Newshour...

My wife, who is disconnected from all social media and therefore is not up to speed on the web's hot takes about everything within minutes of it happening, finds that Brooks/Mark Shields roundup thing helpful for some ungodly reason, even though Shields is increasingly unable to finish a sentence without treating it like an obstacle course. I view it as a ten minute visit to the television equivalent of the Saharan Desert.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

My wife, who is disconnected from all social media and therefore is not up to speed on the web's hot takes about everything within minutes of it happening

Your wife otfm

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 18:14 (five years ago)

My brother trying to early vote in Texas. Dallas area. Blue district. Standing in line for literally 3 hours. Looks like another 2 ahead of him. An elderly lady literally fainted on the sidewalk and was carted away. Good work, guys.

circa1916, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 19:12 (five years ago)

Fuck

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

It’s good that people are voting despite all that.

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

Indeed they are, current numbers now up to 11.8 million. FWIW, total early voting in 2016 was 47 million and with three weeks to go that number will be surpassed easily enough; the question will be by how much.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

Which makes Barrett's non-answer chilling if predictable:

WATCH: Senator @amyklobuchar just asked Judge Barrett whether it's illegal under federal law to intimidate voters at the polls.

Barrett refused to answer. Then Klobuchar read her the law. Astonishing. pic.twitter.com/cxoIaXTP9e

— Vanita Gupta (@vanitaguptaCR) October 13, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

This entire thing is such a charade.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

Ugh

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 20:34 (five years ago)

Bad news:

BREAKING: Supreme Court grants Trump administration requet to halt census count while litigation continues in the 9th circuit court of appeals

— Steven Mazie (@stevenmazie) October 13, 2020

Good news:

BREAKING: Nearly all eligible voters in Travis County are registered to vote this year.

A record 97% of the county’s estimated 850,000 eligible voters are registered https://t.co/L5ZE1mbZ5w

— Austin Statesman (@statesman) October 13, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

good job getting a Whataburger in the shot

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

Amy Coney Barrett literally will not say if the President should commit to the peaceful transfer of power.

— Elie Mystal (@ElieNYC) October 13, 2020

Surely this bodes well for our near future.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 21:52 (five years ago)

What could go wrong?

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 21:57 (five years ago)

this is a sickening exchange. It's very fortunate that Trump's own ineptitude has probably finished him already, because it's no wonder at all that so many people came to hate the Democrats https://t.co/ox5uMIksON

— tom (@malaiseforever) October 13, 2020

calzino, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

Another Austin, TX voting update: went to a polling place with an estimated <10 minute waiting time, and proceeded to wait in a massive line for nearly 2 hours, but it's done now. A whole lot of people want to vote.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 23:23 (five years ago)

I have read leftists on ILX probably fifty times asserting that the Democrats are lame because they don't know how to negotiate. Instead they automatically cave in to the Republicans without gaining any concessions. These leftists assert that this is Democratic stupidity verging on the criminal, that people hate and despise the Democrats for this reason and further that it makes them indistinguishable from the Republicans, as aiders and abetters, inept, incompetent and, yes, sickening.

What happened this time?

The Republicans offered an aid bill aimed at giving massive breaks to businesses and a freaking pittance for the poor. When the Democrats didn't cave in, the Republicans sat on their hands, too. When the Democrats then reduced their offered aid package by a trillion dollars, the Republicans reduced their aid package, too, and have not budged an inch.

This is obviously all the fault of Nancy Pelosi. Don't blame poor Mitch McConnell. He's doing his best.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 23:30 (five years ago)

xp here is the whole 13 minute conversation

https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/10/13/nancy-pelosi-intv-stimulus-bill-trump-offer-coronavirus-tsr-vpx.cnn

Dan S, Tuesday, 13 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

Let it be noted that Wolf Blitzer is an ass and a fool.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 13 October 2020 23:46 (five years ago)

and nobody would disagree with that. But if you aren't impressed with platitudes and bullshit - the rest is bad as well.

calzino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:03 (five years ago)

she's negotiating hard, I guess we'll see

Dan S, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:06 (five years ago)

can't beat that good old paternalism, be grateful for crumbs you little people - we've got your back!

calzino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:08 (five years ago)

I guess that is a joke, she isn't settling for crumbs

Dan S, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:10 (five years ago)

alright Fred

calzino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

whatever

Dan S, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

leftists on ilx

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

To reiterate for the millionth time, technically he's referring to overturning an already stalled, obscure planning rule that called for cities to allow more low-income housing in their communities. But practically he's appealing to racial bias https://t.co/5p68gx8EQk https://t.co/M7Y0fl5JkF

— Liam Dillon (@dillonliam) October 14, 2020



Please clap

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

I have read leftists on ILX probably fifty times asserting that the Democrats are lame because they don't know how to negotiate.

They are. Moreover, Pelosi and her cohort have bad instincts and beliefs. Remember when her first move for stimulus was targeted tax credits and rolling back the SALT cap for her donors?

I don't know what the (absolutely correct) statements by "leftists on ILX" have to do with anything, I don't see where anyone has mentioned her today?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

What I have seen are not-leftists not-on-ILX encouraging her to take a $1.8 trillion compromise if it's actually available because it funds unemployment and stimulus checks. Or it forces Republicans in the Senate to vote it down if Trump and Pelosi have agreed on it.

Do you think it's preferable to pray Democrats take the Senate and wait for a January 22nd stimulus?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:26 (five years ago)

prayers alone aren't gonna do it, you gotta have thoughts too

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:33 (five years ago)

If this is all he's got left...

Trump in full: "So I ask you to do me a favor. Suburban women: will you please like me? Please. Please. I saved your damn neighborhood, OK? The other thing: I don't have that much time to be that nice. You know, I can do it, but I gotta go quickly."

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 14, 2020

As I saw on Twitter, it began with 'please clap' and that's how it's ending.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

The Jeb!enning

frogbs, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

I get that Jeb is the go-to meme but that is significantly more pathetic imo

rob, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 00:58 (five years ago)

Jeb! was like a kid giving a speech to a class full of his bullies.

Trump’s is more like a kid begging their father to love them.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:01 (five years ago)

the median household income in Pelosi's district is $127,000. just putting that out there.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:03 (five years ago)

She feeds those households. She feeds them.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

🐦[To reiterate for the millionth time, technically he’s referring to overturning an already stalled, obscure planning rule that called for cities to allow more low-income housing in their communities. But practically he’s appealing to racial bias https://t.co/5p68gx8EQk🕸 https://t.co/M7Y0fl5JkF🕸
— Liam Dillon (@dillonliam) October 14, 2020🕸]🐦

Please clap


And it was completely toothless. The rule absolutely did nothing.

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

"With all due respect ... you really don't know what you're talking about" -- Pelosi to Wolf Blitzer pic.twitter.com/aOTkjGZUmB

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 13, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

Trump’s is more like a kid begging their father to love them.

Fixed.

nickn, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

David Roth again, in a voting zine published by some of the editors/writers fired in the right-wing, out-of-city takeover & gutting of LA Weekly in 2017. Some chunks:

All these people, whose goals and beliefs are very different, are supposed to vote for Joe Biden in November. Joe Biden is 77 years old, exactly who he is, and promises to make things feel the way they did before Trump and virtually nothing else. He will either be the next President of the United States, or Donald Trump will get another term. It’s complicated, but not more complicated than that.

...At this low national ebb, with the support of an aged and change-averse establishment within his own party, Biden has found his moment — a campaign in which simply not being his opponent looks like a winning argument. His relatively progressive official platform aside, Biden and his surrogates have spent a great deal more time and seemed much more in their element when talking about the things that they would not do if given power: pursue Medicare For All, reduce military spending, curb police abuses, or otherwise alter the balance of power in our increasingly untenable nation.

...Since being trounced in a couple of elections by Ronald Reagan’s increasingly reactionary Republican party a couple generations ago, both Biden and the most powerful people in the Democratic party — ... — seem at some point to have come to understand their jobs as fundamentally janitorial. They dutifully clean up all the blood and champagne vomit that the Republicans invariably leave behind on their way out of office and then hand over the keys when it’s time for America’s reactionaries — who have under Trump embraced an unbridled, unapologetic, deeply American fascism — to once again take their turn. One party is dedicated to making things much more unfair and sadistic; the other seems to see that collapse inevitable and now sees its job as making sure it all happens more slowly, and both less egregiously and more efficiently.

This was how the leftmost of the nation’s two political parties came to preemptively give away its leverage on policies that could have changed and saved lives — and, not for nothing, probably swung some elections — while the other party embraced its passion for ethnic cleansing, voter suppression, and spit-shined jackboots. By promising not to try to make things too much better, candidates like Biden signal how reasonable they are to a notional pool of winnable voters who, while not actively aligned with the idea of making things worse, are uneasy about the changes that would be involved in making them better. They offer nothing to the non-voters who have correctly assessed that none of this is really for them.

During their periods in power, the Democrats were reasonable and keen to compromise and prone to the clever double-bank legislative play. Republicans, for their part, started foreign wars and staffed up the state with thousands of new violence workers — the people prying the children of immigrants from their parents’ arms before disappearing both into unaccountable domestic gulags awash in disease and abuse, or pitching tear-gas at Black Lives Matter protesters in the nation’s capital when they got too close to the White House for Trump’s comfort. As President, Trump has mostly watched TV and pitched clammy fits online, but he has also hurt a great many powerless people at home and abroad and promises daily to hurt more; he’s helped the rich and untouchable become wealthier and more invincible, and installed callow young judges whose sole qualification for their lifetime appointments was that they would never allow any of the above to be undone. He doesn’t really care about any of it beyond how it plays on TV, which is both outrageous and objectively the least outrageous aspect of any of it.

National politics is what it is: shitty television for tired old people to watch, the peg for innumerable cheesy grifts, the single worst industry on earth. But politics itself happens elsewhere, everywhere, under and over all the rest of this and all the time. Joe Biden won’t change anything about American life beyond stripping the Trumpian crassness and cruelty and chaos from its day to day; this is something like the fundamental promise of his campaign. It is a shamefully, laughably insufficient response to a strident American fascism, and a breathtakingly cynical one; while the reality of that fascism is reason enough to cast a vote against it, Biden has been careful to promise nothing beyond that. They’re betting that it’s still enough to earn a vote, and on balance, it absolutely is.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

I agree with the article's tone and conclusions, but I can't ignore from this remark:

His relatively progressive official platform aside, Biden and his surrogates have spent a great deal more time and seemed much more in their element when talking about the things that they would not do if given power: pursue Medicare For All, reduce military spending, curb police abuses, or otherwise alter the balance of power in our increasingly untenable nation.

That introductory clause requires a second look! That's a lot of shuffling. It's not the "relatively progressive official platform" that the Joseph R. Biden of 1988, the Joseph R. Biden of 2007, or the Bill Clinton of 1992 and of TANF would've endorsed.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

I can't ignore from this remark

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

Words over actions. A platform means nothing unless it's aggressively pursued.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

We'll know in January.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

Yes, it's clear that Roth is intending to propose that Biden's platform not being substantively engaged with by Biden suggests his fundamental lack of commitment to it, but the clause does read amusingly like "what have the Romans done for us" in that dismissal.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

But as Roth's continues on, making his point - you can see the actions right now in front of you, the outlining of things that will not happen, the 'progressive' advisor telling us "the cupboard will be bare," the transition team laden with financiers and Republicans, the entirety of Biden's career..

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 02:15 (five years ago)

127,000 people voted in Harris County (Houston) just today, on October 13, @HarrisVotes says.

👀: that’s roughly 10% of the TOTAL number of votes cast in all of 2016.

— Taniel (@Taniel) October 14, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 02:24 (five years ago)

I find the end of Roth's piece rather hopeful, actually. Biden may not be the answer, but we can (and must) continue to fight for a better future.

jaymc, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

I still find the fatalist attitude toward Biden expressed in this thread (and elsewhere) to be dispiriting. As Alfred said, "We'll know in January." We also have the power to pressure a Democratic administration once he's in place. Nothing is settled.

jaymc, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:27 (five years ago)

i will eat my words as usual, but i'm starting to believe that "this time will be different" after biden is president. after obama was elected, it seemed like a good portion of what i thought was the progressive wing of the party sat on their ass and hoped that things would get better. i think it's different this time. that could just be me, living naively through one era and thinking that i/we have all learned a lesson to be applied to this opportunity. but i don't know, i'm pals with lots of people who are ready to push hard on biden from day 1 to change things.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:42 (five years ago)

What is the mechanism for "pressuring" and "pushing hard" on him after you vote for him?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:46 (five years ago)

your sphincter?

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

I think that's a legit question. Terminal incumbency + lobbies mean you get to "pressure" on the day you vote, and then...

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

...you go home and get your fuckin' shinebox

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:52 (five years ago)

yes

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 03:53 (five years ago)

this interview is long an unexcerptable and mostly off-topic southern california stuff, but I like it as a pretty hopeful leftist take on how to handle a Biden administration in case anyone feels like digging in (ctrl-f biden/sanders/warren) https://thelandmag.com/the-land-interview-mike-davis-jeff-weiss/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

I have read leftists on ILX probably fifty times asserting that the Democrats are lame because they don't know how to negotiate.

This is obviously all the fault of Nancy Pelosi. Don't blame poor Mitch McConnell. He's doing his best.

― the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 10:30 AM (five hours ago)

They are. Moreover, Pelosi and her cohort have bad instincts and beliefs. Remember when her first move for stimulus was targeted tax credits and rolling back the SALT cap for her donors?

I don't know what the (absolutely correct) statements by "leftists on ILX" have to do with anything, I don't see where anyone has mentioned her today?

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 11:24 AM (four hours ago)

Pelosi has been busy today tbf, also endorsing David Ryu for City Council in Central LA, in his race against a progressive challenger. Ryu is the incumbent, regarded by constituents as an absentee councillor and awful representative, who at 27 dropped out of the Peace Corps when his date found him trying to fuck a different, blacked-out-unconscious woman in the back of a car during their date and filed a complaint.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 06:20 (five years ago)

tbf i doubt she's a fan of the dropped rape charge, but she probably likes what a complete nothing go-along-to-get-along he is as a politician. this is presumably why he's piled up local LA endorsements too.

he will never make the leap to state/national politics, and pelosi likes it that way when the alternative is raman, who will be california's AOC in five years time if she gets on the council.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 06:31 (five years ago)

Is there anybody around who could replace Pelosi and be more progressive while still able to muster her party together.

I mean sooner or later both her and Schumer are going to need to be replaced.

Stevolende, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 07:16 (five years ago)

Dianne Feinstein's a young up-and-comer from the same city as Pelosi

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 07:32 (five years ago)

Pelosi has been busy today tbf, also endorsing David Ryu for City Council in Central LA


it really is fucking gross. sent Nithya $25 earlier today.

he will never make the leap to state/national politics, and pelosi likes it that way


sorry but she really is just awful. I will never understand leadership Dems and their sclerotic deathgrip on power. the GOP honestly is just better at focusing on and delivering their longterm goals, recognizing their project is bigger than their dopey personal brand or whatever the fuck.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 09:08 (five years ago)

dopey personal brand

obv doesn’t really cover it. at the end of the day it all comes down to jerking off the richest and most powerful, and I guess old school GOP leadership had no concerns about the tea party Young Gunz keeping their daddy’s happy.

contrast that with progressives under the age of 60 and how they feel about these cool guys:

https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/nancy-pelosi/contributors?cid=N00007360&cycle=2020

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 09:18 (five years ago)

Please god, please please please encourage Trump to fire Barr for declining to press charges over this unmasking shit. We know he's both petty and stupid enough to do so. All it will take is one little nudge from you, god.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 12:37 (five years ago)

God shrugs.

What I hope happens is that after the election the Dem voters and activists (mainstream and well as farther left) don't take their foot off the gas and keep up this enthusiasm for every election, no matter who is president or in leadership or whatever. Just keep chipping away at the Republicans, who have gotten where they are by way of chicanery and complacency.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 12:41 (five years ago)

Ballot counted!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:00 (five years ago)

How do you know?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

MN ballot tracker said mine has been accepted and will be counted

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:10 (five years ago)

I voted by mail in Tennessee (cause I'm overseas innit) but I have no idea how to find out if it got counted.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:18 (five years ago)

Congrats and kudos to all ILX voters.
https://media0.giphy.com/media/3oKHWikxKFJhjArSXm/200.gif

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:19 (five years ago)

xpost does this do it? https://tnmap.tn.gov/voterlookup/

or does that only track the ballot getting to you?

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:20 (five years ago)

wtf NBC is giving Trump his own town hall? The same time slot as the Biden one that Trump backed out of? What a bunch of assholes.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:20 (five years ago)

Wait, competing town halls on different networks?

How hard is Trump going to piss himself when Biden's ratings are better?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:22 (five years ago)

Look for Trump to claim a big ratings victory over Biden after their concurrent town halls on Thursday.

The way ratings work, it's basically guaranteed. Trump's on NBC, MSNBC & CNBC; Biden only on ABC. Nielsen ratings don't include streaming. https://t.co/Ano78Pzs63

— Michael M. Grynbaum (@grynbaum) October 14, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:24 (five years ago)

lol are they really trying to push a "Biden's secret emails" story right now?

frogbs, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:25 (five years ago)

2020 is 2016 again

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

Play the hits

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

Is there anybody around who could replace Pelosi and be more progressive while still able to muster her party together.

I mean sooner or later both her and Schumer are going to need to be replaced.

― Stevolende, Wednesday, October 14, 2020 2:16 AM (six hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

Is there any evidence that Pelosi and Schumer are especially effective at mustering their parties together? That's not a rhetorical question, but I just don't get the best impression of either of them, and Pelosi in particular seems more concerned with tamping down the left wing of the party than growing the democrats' power (although I guess she'd argue those are interconnected)

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:33 (five years ago)

wow Neanderthal that works! Wild. Thank you. I only needed my name, county and last 4 digits of my SS#.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:33 (five years ago)

This is so fucking stupid

1. I'm going to go through a few issues with the NY Post article on Biden, which I won't link to, but you will probably see on Twitter today.

Follow along if interested.

— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) October 14, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:33 (five years ago)

Wait, how did Jacob Wohl arrange this glaringly-transparent laptop scam, I thought he was in jail

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:42 (five years ago)

lmao he's so fucking stupid

pic.twitter.com/wJN4zv0y8O

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 14, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:45 (five years ago)

I probably shouldn't say this but ... I hope Young Sheldon wins the time slot in a landslide.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:46 (five years ago)

Sick burn, there, Donnie.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:48 (five years ago)

It'll be funny if during the dual town halls they just start following the other one live on a screen. "Oh wait what's he saying now...ha look at that guy..."

nashwan, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:49 (five years ago)

sent my mail-in ballot just now.

also got a mailer from Trump somehow. wrote "RETURN TO SENDER - FUCK YOU" on it and sent it back.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

That tweet is remarkable. He should definitely--above and beyond the fact it's a group that I think supported him last time--target seniors. Especially seniors in wheelchairs. (That's really a legitimate tweet?)

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:52 (five years ago)

Okay, photoshop, got it...that I had to ask probably says something about Trump.

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

How do you know?

― Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand),

Florida has a tracking website.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:54 (five years ago)

I do hope everyone realizes rn that Trump is absolutely going to win in the ratings and that will be the October surprise that completely shifts this race.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:55 (five years ago)

A+ tweet, so happy to see Donnie hellbent on going out with a suicidal bang.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

xpost for a second I thought Iago Galdston was back

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

That tweet is a story, as I'd expect it would be, even for Trump.

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:03 (five years ago)

that's a great tweet if you need to win back the over-65 demo, well-played Trump

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:25 (five years ago)

He's doing very little this time around to dissuade from the (now m/l proven) notion that he never intended to win a presidential election.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:31 (five years ago)

ok lets all shit our pants to something new: US Politics November 2020

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:31 (five years ago)

lol

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

Voters 65+ indeed strongly supported Trump in 2016, 53-44% (over a quarter of all voter).

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2018/08/09/an-examination-of-the-2016-electorate-based-on-validated-voters/

Short of an add mocking people with MAGA hats, I don't know if he could self-immolate any more spectacularly.

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

He's doing very little this time around to dissuade from the (now m/l proven) notion that he never intended to win a presidential election.

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 9:31 AM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

I've never bought this. He absolutely cannot stand to lose. A guy who didn't really want to win wouldn't be campaigning this hard on the mend from COVID, he'd use it as an excuse to take a break. He may have completely lost any bearings he once had about what it would actually take to win, but he can't handle losing.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:36 (five years ago)

he's always got his "Biggest Turd in White House Toilet" trophy

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:36 (five years ago)

I think both are true, as others have pointed out. He desperately wants to win the presidency; he just doesn't want to be president (or at least the mundane, doing-stuff part of the job).

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

Will Biden have the guts to say ‘you’re fired’ on Nov 4?

pomenitul, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

xposts He's campaigning hard in a very Bialystockian manner.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

xp the only reason I argue that point is that I'm tired of seeing that sort of passive liberal rationalization. The subtext of "he doesn't want to win" is "I don't have to worry about him winning." Admittedly, the polling is not looking good for Trump right now, but falsely crediting that to "he wants to lose" is a dangerous way to think about it imo.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:41 (five years ago)

honestly what does worrying about him winning help, anyway? i guess if it spurs you to join a phone bank or something, but I figure the people who do that were already going to.

worrying = suffering twice, Trump still does have a chance to win, but I ain't worrying about it for the next 3 weeks.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

The subtext of 'he doesn't want to win' in 2016 was 'he wants to parlay this hype into some other venture i.e. The Trump News Network' and in 2020 it's 'the rest of his life is going to be a miserable shit slog if he doesn't manage to keep his ass planted in the seat of power'. It's not a passive liberal rationalization, it's a recognition that he does not and never did want the actual job (although he's very happy to accept the trappings of said job).

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

Yeah he clearly wants to win, he just has zero ability to learn anything or change his strategy. being an insufferable dick worked for him his entire life.

frogbs, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

in 2016, speaking for me personally only, I bought into the narrative that he had no chance because I (naively) thought it was impossible that America could be stupid enough to vote in a reality show star as President, and the "grab em by the pussy" thing happened, but the polls never really matched my overconfidence; was definitely tighter, plus i hadn't yet learned how much this shit literally didn't affect his standing.

there was that pic of him looking shook in that meeting with Obama, I think he was freaked to win.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

the rest of his life is going to be a miserable shit slog if he doesn't manage to keep his ass planted in the seat of power

This. This is why I don't fear three weeks from now so much as I fear four years from now, if fate takes us down that path.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:48 (five years ago)

Election night 2016: https://i.imgur.com/Zp9mZ46.gif

jaymc, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 14:51 (five years ago)

it's a recognition that he does not and never did want the actual job (although he's very happy to accept the trappings of said job).

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 9:44 AM (sixteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

What is "the actual job?" By some accounts Nixon was pilled and boozed up while Kissinger handled foreign policy crises. George W Bush had no idea what the fuck he was doing and left it to Cheney and his cabinet. Trump wants to wear the crown and he wants to say no one could beat him. If you mean he's not motivated by a deep interest in policy or love of country, thanks for the insight.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

(xpost) That, with Obama, and the unforgettable look on his face as he walked out late that night after being declared the winner.

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

He absolutely cannot stand to lose.

i think this is true, but possibly consistent with not intending to win. hence all the in-advance grievance over supposedly rigged elections in 2016 and even moreso in 2020. his endgame is to forever have a platform for people to listen to him ranting on about how unfairly he was treated. if trump loses the election and is still alive in two years, tune into any random Fox segment and you will hear his horrible voice dubbed over his horrible photo, coming in over the phone:

yes steve it's really terrible what biden is doing with the senate, i told everybody this is going to happen and here we go, it's the worst deal i've ever seen and he does not know how to negotiate and you can see what a mess it is, just a disaster in all the courts, the only bigger disaster is the 2020 election also, and a lot of people have looked at that and found all kinds of things you won't believe. you would not believe. the terrible things that went on, with obama and joe biden, and hillary CLINton, it was really outrageous and just unbelievable so really i don't say that i "lost" that election, that word is really unfair and unreasonable, and Burisma also, with Hunter Biden, how they let that go on, we wanted to drain the swamp and it was so corrupt, they had the file and John Podesta but nothing happens, i kept saying make it happen and they said 'we can't!' and everyone was against me. so much corruption, we won that election by a LOT. big time. we won it by so much!, and they wouldn't release the numbers because they were so bad for Joe Biden. they got the worst ratings, almost as bad as CBS which has never reported on the emails about all the stolen ballots and that's why nobody watches them, because i kept asking my people, where did they go? were the ballots? i keep asking and nobody can tell me why they didn't have the ballots which showed me winning very big, by the way, there were a LOT of people with the numbers, there were Q who were very good people for me, big support, and also very unfairly treated by the media, they said all the polls had me way out ahead, and then it's election day and i'm not ahead? it's fake news, it was such fake news and very unfair and it's why i only come on your show, by the way and you should be thanking me because i know it brings your numbers up a lot - a LOT, okay, let's be honest - and i come on here because you call me President Trump which is correct. because a lot of people do say i was one of the best, i think really the best president we've ever had, and i'm very proud of winning a second term. and the media doesn't like that second term, okay and they say Joe Biden won and it's very unfair. i call him Sleepy Joe by the way, he is not the President and you can look at the numbers, he is the worst President we've ever had except for Obama, and all kinds of people, they have this, okay? and this will continue for a half hour or more at a stretch, because of the ratings and the numbers.

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

...Since being trounced in a couple of elections by Ronald Reagan’s increasingly reactionary Republican party a couple generations ago, both Biden and the most powerful people in the Democratic party — ... — seem at some point to have come to understand their jobs as fundamentally janitorial. They dutifully clean up all the blood and champagne vomit that the Republicans invariably leave behind on their way out of office and then hand over the keys when it’s time for America’s reactionaries — who have under Trump embraced an unbridled, unapologetic, deeply American fascism — to once again take their turn. One party is dedicated to making things much more unfair and sadistic; the other seems to see that collapse inevitable and now sees its job as making sure it all happens more slowly, and both less egregiously and more efficiently.

I've been trying to think about how this (obvious) fact about today's Democratic Party, and the centrality of women to its coalition, tie together. I haven't yet gotten to the root of it, but there's something important there.

All cars are bad (Euler), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

This look here.

https://will.illinois.edu/images/uploads/42506/trump_victory.jpg

It doesn't really register as elation.

clemenza, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

Melania looks like she lost a round on "The Apprentice."

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

^ Horrifying euphemism for Trumpian sexual encounter

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

Looks like they think they’re going to have a different administration to deal with in January

Facebook spokesperson confirms that the social network is reducing the distribution of the NYPost Hunter Biden 'smoking gun' email story, while it undergoes fact checking by the company's third-party fact checkers. https://t.co/MZkwPOXwcd

— Davey Alba (@daveyalba) October 14, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

if you've lost the stupidest pseudo-intellectual in the NRO sphere...

Forget how shabby this is for a president. Forget that not a single apologist for Trump will do more than clear their throat and change the subject.

Trump NEEDS seniors.

He's been begging for them to come back to him. Why Tweet this? It's so stupid. https://t.co/qLnXGsqxtW

— Jonah Goldberg (@JonahDispatch) October 14, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

toss em all into the sarlacc pit

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

Neanderthal otm x2

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:21 (five years ago)

A thing I've long been unclear on: do his supporters not realize that he harbors just as much contempt for them as does for the libruhls, or do they know and just not care because fuckit the whole world's burnin' so we might as well burn too?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:22 (five years ago)

Prolly a mix of both.

pomenitul, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

How many seniors really follow him on twitter, though?

Fetchboy, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

meanwhile, no charges in Barr probe of 2016 election 'spying'

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/13/politics/william-barr-unmasking-investigation/index.html

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

Final 2016 polls among seniors, per @NYTupshot average: Trump 49%, Clinton 44%

September 2020 polls among seniors, per my average: Biden 51%, Trump 46%

October 2020 polls among seniors, average so far: Biden 54%, Trump 43%

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 14, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

Looks like they think they’re going to have a different administration to deal with in January

They've been signaling this for the last couple of months -- however much their 'uh yeah we're starting to ban Q,' etc moves may require a little more effort, things like them 180ing on Holocaust denial and the like as well tells me the Zuck is reading the tone of the bubbling Section 230 wars in combination with a party that has felt 2016 was decided against them BY Facebook's actions and, combined with a 'you know, being home to all this is starting to look bad for business' feeling that is more of an undercurrent, they're aiming to get out in front of a lot.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

weird how we've pivoted from "god, can't the old racist people just DIE already" to "save us, olds!"

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

save us, then die, but be on deck to come back in case we need you again

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

save us, zombie olds

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

They're like the Lincoln Project. We want your votes, but no, you don't get to run the country after that.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

Speaking of

The Lincoln Project convinced Democratic donors to part with $39,384,397 in Q3. It burned a staggering $13 million on operating expenditures, made $23.9M of IEs (mostly routed into its founders firms), and ended with $13.2M on hand. https://t.co/wvOXUYp7ed

— Rob Pyers (@rpyers) October 14, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

bleh.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

someone introduce me to some Democratic donors, I can tweet mean things at Trump for a lot less than that

like, just give me $2 million and then watch me work

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

i will do same job for 1.5 million and will throw in a WAP parody

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

_How many votes can be leveraged in a general election? I’m not feeling it’s a significant amount at this juncture?_


How many votes does it take to win a modern election? I'd say Ralph Nader 2000 vs 2004 gives an idea of an easily swayable percentage of 'progressives.'

This is where one of the melts in the early primary thread would say that if the left starts withholding its votes what's to stop moderates from doing the smae - and, yeah, that's the game isn't it? Seems like an actual system of compromise and coalition building instead of just moderate policies and screaming at the left.


My point was since nobody votes in primaries, especially the the left can use
They're like the Lincoln Project. We want your votes, but no, you don't get to run the country after that.


Should be a maximum
Speaking of

🐦[The Lincoln Project convinced Democratic donors to part with $39,384,397 in Q3. It burned a staggering $13 million on operating expenditures, made $23.9M of IEs (mostly routed into its founders firms), and ended with $13.2M on hand. https://t.co/wvOXUYp7ed🕸
— Rob Pyers (@rpyers) October 14, 2020🕸]🐦


How does one know they are all Democrats?

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

You know, I’ll just fp myself for terrible use of Zing.

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

Dukakis bumper stickers iirc

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

dude you have got to get a handle on clearing out your zing drafts before making new posts

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

lol xp

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

How does one know they are all Democrats? Because Republicans are made of evil and pragmatism, duh.

Actually I don't really know but I can totally imagine some LP donors being bleeding-heart Dems who think "any port in a storm."

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

You can call them “Biden voters” if you prefer

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

pretty glad Flagging does not have this 'draft' feature because i guarantee you i would fuck it up all the time

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

Who cares if those turds are stealing every penny they are not running on anti-Trump ads? I've yet to hear of any proper Dem run ads (or memes, or whatever shit) as effective as their stuff has been, so, if people want to spend their money on the Lincoln Logs ... money well spent?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

well, you could give the money to someone else who would not be stealing it, but everybody's gotta do their own thing

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

I wouldn't discount the possibility that centrist dems donating to the Lincoln Project know exactly what they're doing and who they're doing it with.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

i will do same job for 1.5 million and will throw in a WAP parody

Give me $2.5 million and I won't do a WAP parody

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

Look, just give me $4 million and I won't do anything. $5 million. $6 million, my final offer.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

If those Act Blue fundraising numbers are any indication it sounds like there is plenty of money to go around right now, or at least the traditional Dems are not lacking it.

Anyway, I'd post mean things about Trump for the promise of fast food gift certificates.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

these dueling town halls...i am flabbergasted.

i feel like this is an obvious point that i haven't seen elsewhere: the purposes of the debates/town halls are to win over voters, right? any candidate would want to speak to the maximum number of potential voters/viewing audience, right? and a candidate would be especially interested in winning over voters that are leaning toward the other candidate, or whoever the fuck is "undecided", right? so whhhhhhhhhhhhhhhy would the trump campaign/nbc schedule it at the same time as biden??

it really is just about scheduling them at the same time so that trump can get higher ratings and "win", despite it resulting in both candidates speaking directly to their own followers.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

Any dumb + meaningless metric that gives him a false sense of overconfidence, I guess.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

9 out of 10 dogs bark their heads off for Trump!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

debates are archaic and have long outgrown their use and just exist as empty political theater because it's tradition and people still need to believe in our stupid process

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

i know it's asking a lot, but i would just like to see a single piece of news that bothers to mention that by scheduling them at the same exact time, they completely defeat the purpose of the event.

i mean, it's an own goal, too, for trump. he's way behind. he's the one that needs to change the dynamics, or whatever. he's shooting himself in the foot as usual

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

i don't think debates are archaic, and i don't think they ever will be. debate is foundational to democracy.

the way we do debates NOW is completely useless, i agree.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

Wait, these obvious grifters are grifting? I'm shocked.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

so whhhhhhhhhhhhhhhy would the trump campaign/nbc schedule it at the same time as biden??

because the President of the United States understands one thing and one thing only: TV ratings. if he can beat Biden in the ratings, he'll feel like he's winning the race.

frogbs, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

19 days to go

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

... until we start the count up on 'american election held hostage'

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

meanwhile, behind closed doors, conservative power brokers take a hard look at reality:

Videos provided to The Post — covering dozens of hours of CNP meetings over three days in February and three in August — offer an inside view of participants’ obsessions and fears at a pivotal moment in the conservative movement. The videos, recorded by CNP to share with its members, show influential activists discussing election tactics, amplifying conspiracy theories and describing much of America in dark and apocalyptic terms.

“This is a spiritual battle we are in. This is good versus evil,” CNP’s executive committee president, Bill Walton, said on Aug. 21, addressing attendees at the Ritz-Carlton in Pentagon City. “We have to do everything we can to win.”

Tom Fitton, president of Judicial Watch, told attendees that same day that the left is “war-gaming” a plan to delay the election tally until Jan. 20, 2021, and enable House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) to become acting president. “This is kind of like crazy talk” among political people, Fitton said. But he added: “This is not an insignificant concern.”

Expressing concern about voter fraud and disenfranchisement, Fitton called on the audience to find a way to prevent mail-in ballots from being sent to voters. “We need to stop those ballots from going out, and I want the lawyers here to tell us what to do,” said Fitton, whose organization is a tax-exempt charity. “But this is a crisis that we’re not prepared for. I mean, our side is not prepared for.”

In an interview with The Post, Fitton elaborated on his remarks. “The left has war-gamed this out,” Fitton said. “And it could cause civil war.”

Brent Bozell, a CNP executive committee member and founder of the Media Research Center, another tax-exempt charity, told attendees at one of the August sessions that he believes the left plans to “steal this election.”

“And if they get away with that, what happens?” he said. “Democracy is finished because they usher in totalitarianism.”

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

(CNP = council for national policy)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

Brent Bozell, still alive?!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

In a manner of speaking...

Pence has whooped both of the Democrats he’s debating tonight.

— Brent Bozell (@BrentBozell) October 8, 2020

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

Xp - If we could harness the power of the cognitive dissonance in that room we'd be at zero carbon in no time

Fetchboy, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

The Democrats have war gamed the strategy of getting more votes, shameful really

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

it's part of a longer article, an attempted exposé of sorts by the WashPost, but nothing really surprising. still, i am always amazed at how i'm capable of hating Charlie Kirk EVEN MORE, every time i heard from him

As the presidential campaign entered its final stages, a fresh-faced Republican activist named Charlie Kirk stepped into the spotlight at a closed-door gathering of leading conservatives and shared his delight about an impact of the coronavirus pandemic: the disruption of America’s universities. So many campuses had closed, he said, that up to a half-million left-leaning students probably would not vote.

“So, please keep the campuses closed,” Kirk, 26, said in August as the audience cheered, according to video of the event obtained by The Washington Post. “Like, it’s a great thing.”

i can't embed the video here, but it's disgusting to look at his face as he says the words, and even before he gets the sentence out, the whole room is exploding in applause for him

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

CNP’s executive committee president, Bill Walton

Man, he contains multitudes

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fcdn1.bloguin.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2Fsites%2F94%2F2012%2F05%2Fbill-walton.png&f=1&nofb=1

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

“We need to stop those ballots from going out, and I want the lawyers here to tell us what to do..."

Too late bro.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

what is their basis for thinking closing college campuses will result in less voting? usually it's harder for college students to vote on campus because they tend to be registered in their home states. seems like COVID will increase college student turnout in 2020 since they'll be home.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

Was gonna say the exact same thing.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

True but they won't see any Che Guevara posters at home.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

4D chess fellas

Nhex, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

In my experience, it's harder to score weed when you're staying with your parents. So, advantage Trump.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

...said Fitton, whose organization is a tax-exempt charity.

nice dig there from the reporter.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

xp
And there'll be no professors indoctrinating them into Marxism.

nickn, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

except via Zoom

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:54 (five years ago)

Look, I'm still trying my hardest, but it's hard doing proper indoctrination through Zoom, okay?

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

my students barely need indoctrinating at this point, 2020 has really landed hard for them i think

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

xpost It worked in 1984.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

wtf is this shit

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-10-13/california-gop-defends-unofficial-ballot-boxes

brimstead, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 17:59 (five years ago)

Okay so conservatives are living in a full-blown fantasy land even behind the scenes. To the extent that it doesn't manifest as violence, I highly promote this course of events. Please, get all tin-hatty about smart (and, in a fashion that's foreign to you, above-board) election strategy. That should work out very well for you.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

Per the Election Project site, over 14 million votes now cast; this equates to 10% of the total votes in 2016. (Overall electorate is around 200 million -- given that 10 million was hit by Monday evening, looks like we're well on track to see 20 million votes by Friday and thus 10% of said overall electorate.)

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

damn

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

wtf is this shit

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-10-13/california-gop-defends-unofficial-ballot-boxes

discussed upthread. may or may not be legal, but definitely extremely stupid and likely to result in missing GOP votes.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

xpost It worked in 1984.

1984 paired the zoom indoctrination with covid-unfriendly mass gatherings as well, though

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

Interestingly, Florida is the overall early vote leader in terms of numbers, at a little under 2 million. Michigan, California and New Jersey are next after that with numbers in the low 1 to 1.2 million.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

A reminder, though, that early voting starts next week in the State with the Prettiest Name, and we're apt to see GOP turnout perhaps match Dem.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

Delaware?

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Idaho?

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Guam, obviously.

(Early voting total in 2016 was 47 million, as I might have mentioned upthread somewhere. The question is not whether early voting this year will top that -- that was always in the cards thanks to the switch to remote voting due to COVID -- but by how much. If, as is possible, the numbers increase by 5 million every two days, as seems to be happening here -- if it breaks 15 million by tonight then that will compare to being over 10 million on Monday evening -- then possibly we're talking 60 million by election day itself, being conservative -- well over a fourth and approaching almost a third of the total electorate, regardless if they vote or not. How much of that amount will be as a percentage in terms of the actual total voters we won't know until it's over.)

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

If Biden wins, Puerto Rico.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

I like a nice rich port.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:14 (five years ago)

replace star spangled banner with

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2QShLN_lSY

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:24 (five years ago)

early voting on its own tells you that turnout is going to be high. it doesn't tell you anything about who is going to win the election when all the votes are in.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

I thought everyone, including Republicans, were in agreement that higher turnout is bad for Republicans.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

generally speaking yes but all bets are off this year because covid. so i'm taking high early voting as a very encouraging sign about turnout (because turnout is good for society, not because it increases the likelihood democrat wins).

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

Yeah, I thought it was also common knowledge that Trump won in 2016 largely because so many people (read: largely democrats) abstained from voting?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

i mean it's *probably* good news for the democrats, yes. i just think polls and even dubious statistical models derived from polls tell you more than comparing the early vote (even early vote by party registration) to 2016.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

I sent my ballot on 1st October via the drop box at the US Embassy in London and it hasn’t been recorded as received in MN yet.

santa clause four (suzy), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

At any rate, I'm just preparing myself for another 4+ years of unadulterated Hellworld and will allow myself a little relief once that's no longer a clear + present concern.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

it's kind of crazy how effective ActBlue is...first time I donated this year was back in July to Omar ($25) because I was getting so many fucking fliers in the mail for that Manchurian candidate lawyer dude outside money was funding in Minneapolis

but then I get these little update - Biden is behind, help Jaimie Harrison defeat Graham, etc etc, just little five, ten dollar things, even as low as some $4 donation match promo for Ed Markey, anyway I just these little things when I got panicked, and I looked at my gmail receipts and it's now $105 dollars since July, by far the most I've ever donated...it's crazy how even when you know it's just email marketing tactics it can still work

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

no wonder mcconnell was complaining about small donors

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

Charlie Kirk is like the perfect idiot surrogate son/grandson for all these MAGA boomers whose actual children have cut off contact with them.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

he definitely has a creepy "old person's idea of a young person" vibe

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

So a guy gives a repair shop a laptop and hard drive and the shop owner doesn’t know who the guy is and copies the hard drive which has criminal Hunter Biden emails and #Bannon hears about it and the owner gives it to #Rudy who gives it to the #NYPost. ARE YOU FUCKING KIDDING ME?

— howardfineman (@howardfineman) October 14, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

gesundheit

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

sounds like the beginning of a priest/rabbi joek

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

the iconic Dead Laptop Sketch

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

Spectacles testicles wallet cigars camera tv laptop

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

Why do GOP schemes always feel like something that might've featured in an especially sinister episode of Three's Company? Such dopey bumblefuckery.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

Drudge has a link to the NY Post story down below about 35 other links. Though I'm sure it's going to be amplified by Don

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

https://i.pinimg.com/originals/d3/f9/34/d3f934a0c41b0d4aa6cddf6875dcf1de.jpg

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

this laptop story sounds like a giant vat of horse piss and I expect it will go away by the end of the week.

akm, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Probably but Twitter doing their best to make sure it stays in the news. This move means that the mainstream press basically has to cover the controversy which is as good as covering the substance of the story given the goals of the GOP

hard to imagine a better gift to the trump campaign and the entire GOP than this decision by twitter https://t.co/IHF0DjsXIY

— Sam Biddle (@samfbiddle) October 14, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

https://www.vox.com/2020/10/14/21515776/hunter-biden-emails-giuliani

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

at this point even if the emails were true there are millions of people who are thinking "well, other guy's a criminal too and he's getting us all killed, Biden it is"....

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

Is Rudy still alive?

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

Well, he's semi-animate. 'Alive' might be a stretch.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

i can't remember who posted it but it was some tweet about how the trump campaign is too extremely online in the right wing sphere that they can't get that no one understands or gives a fuck about any of the weird conspiracy theories they are obsessed with

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

Trump himself gets them filtered through Fox News, but one hopes he still overestimates the amount of the channel that anyone else his age watches

obv doesn’t really cover it. at the end of the day it all comes down to jerking off the richest and most powerful

The most bemusing thing is that Pelosi is personally worth $120 million, and Feinstein worth $87 million. Imagine having that much money and asking for small donations from the people you're claiming "to feed," while jerking off the even more rich and powerful


(their husbands are both venture capitalists, if anyone has some open mic gear lying fallow during lockdown)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

'Oh Burisma you say, sounds intersting, btw I'VE BEEN UNEMPLOYED FOR SIX MONTHS SO HOW ABOUT THAT'

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

But sic, Nancy needs our help!

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:19 (five years ago)

also on that story: why are there always 'emails on a computer' in these cases? Emails almost always also reside on email servers; this is true of google-hosted emails, exchange servers, etc. They always make it sound like there are loose 'email documents' laying around on the file system. Which, maybe. But that is kid of stupid.

akm, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:29 (five years ago)

I have 25 years of archived email on my laptop - I assume this is what all normal people do and not some weirdo nerd trait

assert (MatthewK), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

https://media.giphy.com/media/l0GRjnUxOVbmnc0uI/giphy.gif

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:33 (five years ago)

struggling to understand how HB getting a guy he worked for/with a meeting with his dad is a bigger scandal than every fucking thing Trump has done every day of his life

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

Trump's kids literally run the government.

DJI, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

I'm just not gonna read up on it and when conservatives ask me what I think about it I'm going to (realistically) say "idk what you're talking about". not even worth discussing

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

I will never understand leadership Dems and their sclerotic deathgrip on power. the GOP honestly is just better at focusing on and delivering their longterm goals, recognizing their project is bigger than their dopey personal brand or whatever the fuck.

They have goals and a project, Democrats think it's noble enough to aspire to be administrative bureaucrats of the empire.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

second the people above that it's a bad look for facebook and twitter to try to censor this story, Streisand effect and all

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

feels like a slight atmosphere shift. i bet trump's numbers improve in the next week. death cult energy trying to claw its way back.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

people should read the story and realize 1.) the emails are probably real, but they were obtained through hacking and 2.) it's not a big deal compared to the nepotism and corruption of the trump administration

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:45 (five years ago)

the story doesn't even remotely say the emails are probably real

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

unless you read the Post scoop, which I refuse to do, because they're a tabloid.

there is a ton of legit sketchiness to this story that if the shoes were on the other feet, a bunch of us would be saying the evidence was a little too "on the nose".

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

so far, the hacked emails that have leaked have all been real. if it was invented i think it would have been scandalous like the "kompromat" that was ginned up against trump.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

re 1), I'm not sure what that's supposed to sell people on? Important documents have repeatedly been obtained through extralegal means - from the Pentagon Papers to wikileaks. re 2) less egregious corruption is still corruption and we know that Democrats are held to a different standard anyway

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

xpost ? nobody has authenticated this batch of emails.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

It has always been NAGL to dismiss Hunter's influence peddling because Trump's corruption is worse. Both should be abhorred.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

oh cool, so we've already moved from "this is obvious BS" to "this is Democrat hypocrisy for not condemning it" in 5 minutes.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

We've known about the makework jobs attained because of his last name for years, nothing to do with the possibility we have video of him smoking crack while getting a blumpkin. It's always been shitty.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:51 (five years ago)

here's the deal.

the republicans want to create a narrative that joe biden got that prosecutor fired in order to protect his son's profits. this email the post is touting does not prove or even suggest that.

so i think it is real but not incriminating in the way giuliani wants people to think it is.

also, it is important to recognize that giuliani is lying here. this email was likely not recovered at circuit city or whatever after being dropped off for repairs.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

i think the email is real because it manifestly DOES NOT say that biden was in on this conspiracy. they just have some reference to a lunch and people are supposed to fill in the gaps.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

I'm sure Rudy Giuliani, who regularly gets rolled by Russian disinformation sites, bought the contents of a seized laptop with a convenient Beau Biden charity sticker months ago, and that it's legit, even though the laptop was allegedly provided to the FBI who hasn't uttered a word about it.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

oh cool, so we've already moved from "this is obvious BS" to "this is Democrat hypocrisy for not condemning it" in 5 minutes.

― LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal),

and to an atmosphere shift! Sorry, map.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

We've known about the makework jobs attained because of his last name for years, nothing to do with the possibility we have video of him smoking crack while getting a blumpkin. It's always been shitty.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 4:51 PM bookmarkflaglink

cool, none of us are talking about that bruh

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

and we know that Democrats are held to a different standard anyway

This is the key. Of course Trump has like four scandals a month that are far worse than this, but the media will jump all over this. It sucks and it's such absolute bullshit, but this is where we are. The media is "exhausted" by Trump's continuing implosion of norms and laws, but even the remote whiff of a possible Biden scandal is a shiny new object.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

Democrats can have a little influence-peddling, as a treat.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

cool, none of us are talking about that bruh

Oh, so you're talking about a different Hunter Biden e-mail scandal than the one involving him using his connection to the VP of the United States to make money.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

i've never seen any evidence that joe biden was influenced, while in office, by his son working for burisma. i'm sure burisma was hoping that by hiring hunter they'd have "access" but it's not clear that they did. so this whole scandal just seems irrelevant.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

to some degree yes, but while a maddening amount of the media still hasn't learned its lesson from 2016, we saw a lot less of the disproportionate coverage this year than we did in 2016, because journalists have been actually commenting on the veracity of many scandals.

a large part of that is also sexism, but there's a reason the Hunter Biden scandal didn't blow up bigger - the media actually didn't give it the level of coverage they gave the bullshit "is Hillary dying?" scandal, for one, and also repeatedly commented how the larger claims were unfounded.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

hunter biden isn't running for president, basically.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

Shiny maybe but also, how you say, incoherent:

Here's the audio of the extremely odd interview with the guy who claims he gave Hunter Biden's laptop to Rudy Giuliani. https://t.co/jHen27j6W9

— Noah Shachtman (@NoahShachtman) October 14, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:57 (five years ago)

Wait -- have y'all seen evidence this NY Post story has taken off? Haberman backtracked this morning, and when an Establishment solon like Howard Fineman has a temper tantrum about the terrible reporting on Twitter, I tend to think nothing's a-stirring.

brb though I'm gonna text bank for Biden at 5 p.m. for an hour. My first time.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:57 (five years ago)

Isaac appeared nervous throughout. Several times, he said he was scared for his life and for the lives of those he loved. He appeared not to have a grasp on the timeline of the laptop arriving at his shop and its disappearance from it. He also said the impeachment of President Trump was a “sham.” Social media postings indicate that Isaac is an avid Trump supporter, and voted for him in the 2016 election.

Isaac said he had a medical condition that prevented him from actually seeing who dropped off the laptop but that he believed it to be Hunter Biden’s because of a sticker related to the Beau Biden Foundation that was on it. He said that Hunter Biden actually dropped off three laptops for repair, an abundance of hardware that he chalked up to the Biden son being “rich.”

Throughout the entire interview, Isaac switched back and forth from saying he reached out to law enforcement after viewing the files in the laptop to saying that it was actually the Federal Bureau of Investigation that reached out to him. At one point, Isaac claimed that he was emailing someone from the FBI about the laptop. At another point he claimed a special agent from the Baltimore office had contacted him after he alerted the FBI to the device’s existence. At another point, he said the FBI reached out to him for “help accessing his drive.”

Isaac referenced the infamous Seth Rich conspiracy theory—which holds that a DNC staffer who police say was murdered in a botched robbery was actually killed off by Clinton allies because he leaked committee emails—as reason for his paranoia. He said he made a copy of the hard drive for purposes of personal protection.

“They probably knew I had a copy because I was pretty vocal about not wanting to get murdered,” he said, “so I’m going to have a copy.”

Isaac refused to answer specific questions about whether he had been in contact with Rudy Giuliani before the laptop drop-off or at any other time before the Post’s publication. Pressed on his relationship with Giuliani, he replied: “When you’re afraid and you don’t know anything about the depth of the waters that you’re in, you want to find a lifeguard.”

Seeming to realize he’d said too much, he added: “Ah shit.”

So, Rudy was your lifeguard, the reporters asked. “No comment,” he replied.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

Democrats are held to a different standard anyway

Damn straight. I thought it was plenty bad enough back when Billy Carter openly traded on his position as the president's brother to sell his name to Billy Beer and The People In Charge let him get away with it! Anyway, Hunter Biden is so transparently corrupt that I will refuse to vote for him, ever, for any political office.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

The issue is also really easy to avoid - if you know that your side is held to a stricter standard, don't do even minor corruption. When faced with a lineup of candidates, pick the one with the least corruption baggage!

Pointing fingers at the other side doing something even worse never works, as I'd hope everyone figured out by kindergarten when they tattled on another kid.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

hunter biden isn't on the ballot

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

have we forgotten the part where these emails aren't authenticated or are we going to keep pretending this is a real issue

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

Lotta Wohl/Burkman vibes offa Isaac there.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

why are we talking about Hunter F. Biden while Amy F. Barrett is being fawned over in the Judiciary Committee in preparation for ramming her onto the Supreme Court under the Gorsuch/Kavanaugh Rules?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

i realize the FBI isn't going to do what it did in 2016 and Hunter isn't running for President but this does involve Biden and they've had the hard drive from this doofus since December.

willing to bet they weren't impressed.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

The issue is also really easy to avoid - if you know that your side is held to a stricter standard, don't do even minor corruption.

I'm still confused - what corruption did Joe Biden do again?

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

xxpost cos this is ILE and it's the politics thread

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

why are we talking about Hunter F. Biden while Amy F. Barrett is being fawned over in the Judiciary Committee in preparation for ramming her onto the Supreme Court under the Gorsuch/Kavanaugh Rules?

currently because Milo?

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

he isn't in charge of him. hunter biden was in his 40s when this happened.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:03 (five years ago)

Isaac said he had a medical condition that prevented him from actually seeing who dropped off the laptop but that he believed it to be Hunter Biden’s because of a sticker related to the Beau Biden Foundation that was on it.

Isaac said he had a medical condition that prevented him from actually seeing who dropped off the laptop but that he believed it to be Hunter Biden’s because of a sticker related to the Beau Biden Foundation that was on it.

Isaac said he had a medical condition that prevented him from actually seeing who dropped off the laptop but that he believed it to be Hunter Biden’s because of a sticker related to the Beau Biden Foundation that was on it.

Isaac said he had a medical condition that prevented him from actually seeing who dropped off the laptop but that he believed it to be Hunter Biden’s because of a sticker related to the Beau Biden Foundation that was on it.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:03 (five years ago)

yeah, this is bogus

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:03 (five years ago)

yeah why is that the evidence? why not the fact that hunter's emails were allegedly on the device.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

Wait -- have y'all seen evidence this NY Post story has taken off?

yeah, that's why I mentioned its placement on the Drudge page--far below a ton of Trump stories. I mean it gets top billing on Brietbart...

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

Personally I just see the dispiriting, predictable trail of this. The laptop shit is fake and/or a nothingburger, but Trump keeps yelling about it on his death march campaign tour and the media keeps reporting on his anger about it in a way that manages to effectively erase the meaningful difference between it being real or fake for the not insignificant number of absolute morons that populate our country.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

Basically, to Trump it doesn't matter. The self-generating Facebook olds outrage machine is cranked up and get gets to yell about it at his rallies, beyond that he doesn't give a shit how real it is.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

2016 isn't 2020, and Trump is the incumbent.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

keep up the despair, y'all!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

People are voting as we worry about Breitbart's placement of the story and the president yelling hoarsely about it on Thursday.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

taking off on Breitbart/Drudge/Post does not = "taking off" IMO.

there are tons of stories that circulate in right wing spheres that never hit mainstream or do and then have the impact of a damp fart. (I know cos I'm sadistic enough to keep up with their lunacy).

whereas Comey's memo was national news and it landed on the Friday before an election, so there was no way to escape its fumes.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

Speaking of which, the count is about to hit 15 million even sooner than I figured -- Elections Project has it at 14,945,734 less than an hour ago.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

good lord.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

yeah, comey had more standing in 2016 than mr. john paul isaac has in 2020. when comey trashed clinton, it had an impact.

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:09 (five years ago)

I almost wonder if it would reach 16 million by some point this evening. Which isn't out of the bounds of possibility as reports come in, and would mean ramping up the projected numbers accordingly. Essentially almost one-third of the early vote total of 2016 has occurred.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R5a5wHV8SC0

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

The issue is also really easy to avoid - if you know that your side is held to a stricter standard, don't do even minor corruption.

I'm still confused - what corruption did Joe Biden do again?

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

I won't call you crazy but boy howdy are you full of shit. How are you not embarrassed to post this rubbish?

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

Just to be clear, I don't at all mean to insinuate that this is going to swing the election at this point, but I'm just not feeling super confident about laughing things that shouldn't matter off. Given, y'know, the last four or five years of American politics.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

milo, do you blame your grandfather for stuff your uncle does, or whatever?

treeship., Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

So NY Times, Wash Post, etc are FAKE NEWS but NY Post is always to be believed what a world what a world

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

to Ned's post, this seems like an extension of 2018. people (on all aisles) are fired up, pissed, and want to take care of the vote early. and more are voting by mail than previously.

promising. hoping Trump voters filled out their early mail ballots in crayon

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

Meanwhile in 'well yeah, *shrug*' news

#BREAKING: @MassGovernor releases statement saying “he “cannot support Donald Trump for President” #wcvb pic.twitter.com/SPV2MY0ykh

— Sharman Sacchetti (@SharmanTV) October 14, 2020

I initially read the 'Mass' as 'Miss' as in Mississippi and thought "Okay THAT is news," but alas.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

to Ned's post, this seems like an extension of 2018. people (on all aisles) are fired up, pissed, and want to take care of the vote early.

Right, and the best argument I'm seeing -- which I agree with -- is that while both sides are riled up the numbers break towards Biden overall.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

Ole Mass.

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:13 (five years ago)

that's what it appears like too and what i'm hoping for.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

I won't call you crazy but boy howdy are you full of shit. How are you not embarrassed to post this rubbish?

It's not rubbish to think that it's bad for scions of the powerful to make money from their last name.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:14 (five years ago)

milo, do you blame your grandfather for stuff your uncle does, or whatever?

If my uncle gets a job because of his access to my grandfather and my grandfather doesn't tell him to knock that shit off, yes, both are in the wrong.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:15 (five years ago)

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2019/09/hunter-bidens-legal-socially-acceptable-corruption/598804/

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:19 (five years ago)

It's not rubbish to think that it's bad for scions of the powerful to make money from their last name.

That's not what you said - you said Joe Biden was committing fraud. Now you're saying he's guilty by association. You're moving the goalposts again, like you always do.

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:20 (five years ago)

i'm going to be voting for biden tomorrow because i support progressive policies

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:22 (five years ago)

Where did I say Biden was committing fraud? Or "guilty" of anything?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:23 (five years ago)

go start a church or something, probably a better place to tell people what to abhor

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:24 (five years ago)

you annoying fuckin weirdo

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:24 (five years ago)

Where did I say Biden was committing fraud? Or "guilty" of anything?

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 10:23 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

The issue is also really easy to avoid - if you know that your side is held to a stricter standard, don't do even minor corruption.

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

I've seen a couple of posts here and there wondering why the early voting numbers aren't even higher but I think people seem to forget sometimes that ballots wildly vary from place to place, and that it's never as simply as just a presidential vote. But even with a basic baseline -- you're always going to be voting for president and your district representative to Congress each time no matter what (state reps can vary, note how Virginia is 'off' a year each time) -- it's everything else on top of that that could appear which makes it complex. There could be senators, there could be a full state election, etc, and that's not to mention everything else even more local. Living in SF as I do I didn't just have the various state propositions to consider but the city ones as well, almost the same in overall number. It can take time to sort it all out! I've figured out my vote and filled out my ballot and will be walking it up to the City Hall dropoff point here in the next few days, as direct a way I can do this as any.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

Yes, that sentence does not refer to Biden at all. It refers to the idea that Democrats are held to a higher standard (ie "but Trump's children do worse everyday and it doesn't matter!') so they have to stay cleaner.

Hillary using a private e-mail server was bad. Ivanka and Jared and untold thousands of other people in powerful governmental positions doing the same is also bad. Only one of those hurt anyone, and it was the Democrat. This isn't football, there aren't offsetting fouls.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

will be walking it up to the City Hall dropoff point

Bill Graham Auditorium

You're welcome, I just saved you a few minutes walk.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:41 (five years ago)

I have to start working on my ballot, I see that there are 13(!) local ballot measures. I plan to walk it down there as well

Dan S, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

xpost -- I mean yeah but one block over within clear eyesight. Call it the Civic Center dropoff if you like.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:57 (five years ago)

Ok but we are yet to see if the press covers the laptop thing like they did Hillary’s emails. More likely the reaction will be “trump got him himself impeached for this crap?”

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:57 (five years ago)

(Kinda funny: the vote dropoff in early March for the primary was one of the last 'normal' things I did around here, along with a couple of shows that week, going out for a birthday dinner, etc. Seems very, very distant now.)

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

Texas surpassed 1 million votes on first day of early voting https://t.co/ipOgoLjAAi pic.twitter.com/nDMWTql3gx

— 😱 Endless Zoom Meeting 😱 (@AdamSerwer) October 14, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:05 (five years ago)

early voting numbers might also not be higher because there has been pretty strong messaging to democrats to vote in person, if you can, so your mail-in votes can't be invalidated

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:08 (five years ago)

i thought early voting numbers were also counting early in-person voting as well as mail-in?

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

oh, to clarify, "in person" also means "on Election Day," basically to keep your vote as far away as possible from anything that might be fucked with

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:10 (five years ago)

(at least that's why I'm voting in person on Election Day, not that my vote matters where I am)

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:10 (five years ago)

i thought early voting numbers were also counting early in-person voting as well as mail-in?

Yes, the Elections Project numbers I'm sharing count both mail and early in-person. You can always follow along here:

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:11 (five years ago)

the email address that supposedly sent stuff to Hunter Biden was &quo✧✧✧.pozhars✧✧✧.ukra✧✧✧@gm✧✧✧.c✧✧". Makes sense, cause when I do my shady emails to my Mexican cronies I use my &quo✧✧✧.dain✧✧✧.estadosuni✧✧✧@gm✧✧✧.c✧✧" account.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:13 (five years ago)

My mail ballot should be here in the next few days. My plan is to drop it off at a drop box not too far from where I live. I feel slightly guilty about not voting in person on election day, but I'm also super worried about something happening that day to prevent it.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:14 (five years ago)

you can still vote on election day after you turn your vote in, Republicans do it all the time

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:17 (five years ago)

seriously tho don't feel guilty. vote how you can!

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

I only had to wait about 10 minutes today but did have time to see an older Black woman flip the double deuces to a lifted Trump bestickered truck driving around the parking lot looking for room to park. I'm not sure I've ever actually voted on election day.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

CNN: "California has received 10 times as many ballots than it did at this time in the 2016 general election, with 1.5 million ballots returned so far, according to the secretary of state..."

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:22 (five years ago)

man Kanye is raking it in

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:23 (five years ago)

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

Call me crazy but I doubt Joe was completely unaware of Hunter's entire life and career. Bad dad if so, IMO.

pence's eye juice (Hunt3r), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

Zimmerman flew, Tyler knew

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:27 (five years ago)

John Fogerty is not pleased about Trump's use of "Fortunate Son" at rallies.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

I've had my ballot filled out, sealed and sitting right over there, waiting for Monday, which is the soonest I can drop it in a ballot box.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:36 (five years ago)

Trump blasting out "Fortunate Son" as a way to twit Joe Biden about Hunter? The irony is thick enough to cut with a knife.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:37 (five years ago)

This isn't football, there aren't offsetting fouls.

does this mean you'll stop making Lucy analogies?

covidiot wind, blowin every time you lift your mask (voodoo chili), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:44 (five years ago)

Some folks are born, silver spoon in hand
Lord, don't they help themselves, y'all
But when the taxman comes to the door
Lord, the house looks like a rummage sale, yeah

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:44 (five years ago)

does this mean you'll stop making Lucy analogies?

As soon as liberals stop believing it when people tell them Joe Biden has moved to the left.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:50 (five years ago)

You mean every liberal on earth or just specific ones

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

It seems harder to believe that Joe Biden is so rock solid that he never moves an inch to either side on the issues of the day.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

it's easy to believe that Biden doesn't actually change his thinking on much of anything, let alone relative to arbitary political poles, tbh

this doesn't change the value of voting him in, paying attention to downballot candidates & local ballot measures at the same time, and then pressuring local members & elements of Biden's administration to tax the wealthy, the rich, & the megarich, and defund the police

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

Wow, cannot believe there are people itt who got rolled by this obviously bullshit laptop story. Tighten it up, y'all.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:05 (five years ago)

My idiot landlord parked in front of the mailbox all day apparently so ballot didn't actually go out.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

do you mean "people" or just treesh's regular journey of having to take things on an erroneous version of face value & then type through his deconstruction of the actual lie that is the face value

it's just part of the process

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:10 (five years ago)

#TrustTheProcess

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

I'm a few hours behind this thread, but seeing dopes like treeship and milo treating this story as anything but something to line your catbox with is one of the most depressing things I've read on ilx. Why don't you just become an anti-vaxxer while you're at it?

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:30 (five years ago)

Think I made it pretty clear that my objections have nothing to do with the current story, about which I don't give a shit.

People were talking about Hunter's work history well before the primaries! It's actually distasteful regardless of electoral implications, you're not supposed to be cool with influence-peddling because it's your team.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

from 2019, from a magazine I think we can all agree is pretty "vote blue no matter who" these days?

https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/biden-delaware-way-graft/

MBNA then hired his son Hunter Biden, fresh out of Yale Law School, as a management trainee. (He stuck out among the mostly state and Catholic college alumni who worked at the bank.) The New York Times reported that when Hunter Biden left in 2000 for Washington, DC, and a new lobbying firm, Oldaker, Biden & Belair, MBNA kept him on a $100,000 annual retainer—not to lobby his father, he said, but for advice on “Internet and privacy law.”

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:38 (five years ago)

don't see that he's "our team" though

xxxp I trust mail-in voting in CA but I really don’t want to leave it to chance any more. To a lesser extent I felt the same way in 2016 and 2018.

Before then I was fine with just throwing my ballot into a mailbox

Dan S, Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:39 (five years ago)

Think I made it pretty clear that my objections have nothing to do with the current story, about which I don't give a shit.

People were talking about Hunter's work history well before the primaries! It's actually distasteful regardless of electoral implications, you're not supposed to be cool with influence-peddling because it's your team.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 7:32 PM (twenty-two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Sure, sure. You never give a shit, except when you do (which is all the fucking time).

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:56 (five years ago)

Sorry, I'm out for now. Too much wine and milo bullshit.

But his emails!

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Wednesday, 14 October 2020 23:57 (five years ago)

Just dropped off my AZ ballot. Was worried about sending it via mail so found a drop box.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 15 October 2020 00:04 (five years ago)

you're not supposed to be cool with influence-peddling because it's your team.

There's no evidence, yet, that Hunter had any influence on any action taken by anyone in the government. It seems reasonable to assume that those who paid him hoped for influence, but not at all clear they ever got a dime's worth of satisfaction. Until evidence appears that Hunter was worth more than a bucket of warm piss, it's more of a comical delusion on their part than "influence peddling".

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 01:00 (five years ago)

Wow, cannot believe there are people itt who got rolled by this obviously bullshit laptop story. Tighten it up, y'all.

Still too busy seething at NBC tbh.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Thursday, 15 October 2020 01:04 (five years ago)

re: early voting:

With less than three weeks to go before Nov. 3, roughly 15 million Americans have already voted in the fall election, reflecting an extraordinary level of participation despite barriers erected by the coronavirus pandemic — and setting a trajectory that could result in the majority of voters casting ballots before Election Day for the first time in U.S. history.

In Georgia this week, voters waited as long as 11 hours to cast their ballots on the first day of early voting. In North Carolina, nearly 1 in 5 of roughly 500,000 who have returned mail ballots so far did not vote in the last presidential election. In Michigan, more than 1 million people — roughly one-fourth of total turnout in 2016 — have already voted.

The picture is so stark that election officials around the country are reporting record early turnout, much of it in person, meaning that more results could be available on election night than previously thought.

So far, much of the early voting appears to be driven by heightened enthusiasm among Democrats. Of the roughly 3.5 million voters who have cast ballots in six states that provide partisan breakdowns, registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by roughly 2 to 1, according to a Washington Post analysis of data in Florida, Iowa, Maine, Kentucky, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

Additionally, those who have voted include disproportionate numbers of Black voters and women, according to state data — groups that favor former vice president Joe Biden over President Trump in recent polls.

seems like a good thing

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

Heightened enthusiasm or dread?!

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

Yeah whatever it is trump is gonna get fucking annihilated

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

I’m not about to be all shell shocked from 2016.
This fucker is rightly getting the boot hard AF people are done with this shit, the gop has sucked from him what they could. It’s done

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

So far, much of the early voting appears to be driven by heightened enthusiasm among Democrats. Of the roughly 3.5 million voters who have cast ballots in six states that provide partisan breakdowns, registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by roughly 2 to 1, according to a Washington Post analysis of data in Florida, Iowa, Maine, Kentucky, North Carolina and Pennsylvania

Why does this mean anything? We know Democrats are vastly disproportionately likely to be voting early or by mail because unlike many Republicans they know that COVID is not the flu and they don't want to get it or spread it. It would be a huge red klaxon if those early votes WEREN'T two-thirds Democrats.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:36 (five years ago)

Okay, thanks.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

xp

by itself, nothing. but there are other things happening that support optimism.

for example:

Officials expect early in-person voting to kick off Thursday in North Carolina with the same kind of enthusiasm seen in Texas and Georgia this week — and have logged the same kind of enthusiasm among absentee voters. For instance, 1 in 5 who have already voted by mail did not vote in 2016 — a key indicator of enthusiasm, several Democratic strategists said. More than 1 in 4 newly registered voters have already cast their ballots.

Morgan Jackson, a Democratic strategist for two statewide candidates in North Carolina this year — Gov. Roy Cooper and Senate contender Cal Cunningham — acknowledged that about 80 percent of those who had voted as of this week are people who traditionally vote early in person or on Election Day.

“We are cannibalizing, yes,” he said. “But when you have one-fifth that are new to the process, that tells you that people are motivated to vote like they haven’t been in a very long time. And that is a very good thing for Democrats.”

also, early voting now, all else equal, is very good for biden. when you're dominating in the polls and a bunch of people are locking in their votes, that's good for whoever is way ahead.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

There's been heavy 'hmmm' chatter in Polling Twitter today about Quinnipac showing Good Polls for Biden in Georgia in particular, but there's been various explanations, not all favorable to Quinnipac's method of course. But a counterintuitive take from outside that circuit I read today, though, explained it in a way that made more direct sense to me, and which has been noted in various posts before this about other locations or just from similar personal sentiments: Biden is more likeable than Trump and a non-insignificant number of voters respond to that across the board, and that there's a strong chance of a stereotypical assumption going on regarding what that state's electorate is 'supposed' to break down like which is not playing out as expected. Might not be true in the end, but as time ticks down I am thinking there's a greater truth to it than might be guessed. We'll know when we get there.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

Heightened enthusiasm or dread?!

GUESS WHO'S COMING TO DINNER...

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

Rip 99% of the images on that thread.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 15 October 2020 02:57 (five years ago)

Thread of missing dreads.

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 15 October 2020 03:04 (five years ago)

to Ned's point: Trump is like an incredibly exhausting neighbor, I think a lot of people who voted for him the first time around found him a bit entertaining but now they just wish he'd move away

frogbs, Thursday, 15 October 2020 03:06 (five years ago)

he was hilarious at that one barbecue! although, he did hit on my wife and he also made everyone sign ndas

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 03:13 (five years ago)

xpost And to the point: as I wearily joked on my podcast intro the other day, it's not that I never wished to 'live in interesting times,' but now I *really* don't want to, allowing of course for the fact I've had a much comfortable life compared to the vast majority of people. 'Exhaustion' as such is key.

Something interesting I noticed randomly the other day which likely relates -- Steve Deace, an Iowa rightwing type/blogger/radio guy who I think was one of the more religiously-minded anti-Trumpers who eventually came around (I think -- haven't bothered with him for years, I last noticed him being one of Roy Moore's early supporters in 2017 based on their long friendship and then enjoyed him going down with the ship as Moore imploded) posted something that he definitely felt was important enough to flag, and which seemed to baffle his followers, at least who responded to him. He basically claimed he knows some pollster working with/for the GOP in some capacity -- and I'll believe that, he's a known enough figure -- who told him that while the suburban women this poll person's group talked to were generally in favor of their positions, however defined, they pretty thoroughly hated Trump and wanted him out. Deace's minions spouted a lot of 'how could they think that?/I'm a suburban woman who loves Trump WTF' talk but it really had a sense of a core assumption on their parts being uncomfortably shaken.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 03:23 (five years ago)

Yeah, I think about that “interesting times” thing a lot.

Lol, Karl.

Garu’s Got a Rona (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 15 October 2020 03:25 (five years ago)

while the suburban women this poll person's group talked to were generally in favor of their positions, however defined, they pretty thoroughly hated Trump and wanted him out

I don't have any kind of a fix on the thoughts or feelings of midwestern suburban women, but this strongly appeals to my imagination and I fervently hope it describes a real thing.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

I've said some variation before, but: there hasn't been a GOP president or presidential nominee in my lifetime whose appeal I couldn't understand in the abstract. Like, when divorced from their politics, they've mostly seemed like someone's lame + square dad or grandpa. As a dumb kid, I thought Reagan seemed downright avuncular. But Trump is just such a thoroughly repellent figure on every conceivable level that it continues to baffle me that he has any (uncynical) supporters whatsoever. I'd think by now he'd have become an avatar for that worst person everyone knows: the slimy neighbor, the shifty boss, the off putting coworker. His appeal seems limited to those overflowing with free-floating vitriol who view him as little more than a justification for bailing on their anger management classes.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

i used to believe in public service until trump

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:28 (five years ago)

lol, sorry. edit: delete

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:29 (five years ago)

i still do. but goddammit. fuck trump

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:29 (five years ago)

I've been pretty sure that Biden is going to smoke this fool for at least three months now, though that hasn't really helped with the anxiety. Trump is a uniquely horrible person and as carne asada says, "people are done with this shit."

It depresses me that it is unlikely that the enthusiasm on the left can be maintained and that Republicans can be effectively punished in near future elections due to the pendulum of American politics. I think the best we can hope for is a Democratic party that will now actually put up a fight in non-presidential federal and state races instead of ceding >50% of the country to the Republicans.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 11:25 (five years ago)

Trump is like the world's worst blowhard doesn't do the dishes/flush the toilet house guest, made so much worse because once he's invited over it takes four years to kick him out. There have got to be more than a handful of people that recognize they made a mistake years ago and have just been riding it out in their own way like the rest of us, and fortunately (fingers crossed) if the last election was any indication, a handful is all it takes, really. The people who still like him are like the family members lobbying to have Uncle Trump back in the house for another four years, mostly because he brought them illegal fireworks, shared his cigarettes, and taught the parrot to curse. Also, he brought the parrot and left it with you.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 12:49 (five years ago)

omg

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 15 October 2020 13:04 (five years ago)

https://www.businessinsider.com/us-intelligence-analysts-hacked-burisma-emails-russia-october-surprise-2020-10

who would have thought? never saw that coming

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 15 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

People have been writing about this coming for months, along with the usual ghouls involved, including that Russian agent who was just kicked out a month or so ago. Every report I heard about that talked about him peddling this information, calling into question the reliability of said evidence and information.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 13:44 (five years ago)

I'm 100% sure this whole thing is bullshit but I'm still interested in the actual process of this thing; what do we think happened here? Is this Issac Mac person a dumb patsy who was duped, or was he colluding with Russian agents all along? Did the FBI ever actually pick up this laptop or not (earlier BI story indicated they could read the name of an FBI agent on the paperwork that was pictured in the NYP story and that it aligned with an agent who worked solely on child porn, which made me think 'great this mean Qanon is going to go crazy')? It seems like a bit of a wild gamble to put hacked shit on a laptop and just drop it off at a place and hope that the guy turns it over to the FBI (the guy's story makes zero sense since he said he tried to contact the owner for a long time but then never comes out and gives those contact details).

akm, Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:01 (five years ago)

Vote totals are absolutely exploding now.I idly wondered if we’d hit 16 million last night and we’re already over 17 million this morning. Honestly thinking there’s an outside chance we hit 20 million tonight or early tomorrow.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:02 (five years ago)

What was the total number of votes cast in 2016?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:08 (five years ago)

“I just don't know what to say, or what I'm allowed to say,” Isaac said. “I know that I saw, I saw stuff. And I was concerned. I was concerned that somebody might want to come looking for this stuff eventually and I wanted it out of my shop.”

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:08 (five years ago)

is the guy claiming he saw stuff the guy who also claims he has terrible vision?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:10 (five years ago)

I believe so. It's a very specific condition that renders human figures completely indistinguishable, but razor sharp vision for emails, but just the ones with bad "stuff". Also good at seeing stickers.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

But his emails!

President Trump’s influential supporter Rupert Murdoch is telling close associates he believes Joe Biden will win the election in a landslide.

The Australian-born billionaire is disgusted by Trump’s handling of COVID-19, remarking that the president is his own worst enemy, that he is not listening to advice about how best to handle the pandemic, and that he’s creating a never-ending crisis for his administration, according to three people who have spoken with Murdoch.

In response to an email inquiry for this report asking him if he believes Biden will win in a landslide and his thoughts on Trump’s handling of coronavirus, Murdoch responded, “No comment except I’ve never called Trump an idiot,” referring to a 2018 report that the media mogul called the president a “fucking idiot” following a chat about immigration.

While Murdoch believes the outcome of the election is a fait accompli, his New York tabloid has been doing everything in its power to help Trump’s re-election chances, publishing a screaming page 1 story on Wednesday under the headline, “Biden Secret E-Mails.” The supposed “smoking gun” emails purported to show that Hunter Biden had introduced his father to a Ukrainian businessman when he was vice president, though the Post relied on unverified documents given to them by Trump’s attorney Rudy Giuliani. (Biden’s team denies that such a meeting took place.)

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:15 (five years ago)

xpost also the stuff on the laptop scared him so much that he turned it over to the FBI to get it out of his shop--but he made sure to make copies of emails and photos that he could give to Rudy's lawyer?

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

and I’m disgusted by Murdoch, so we’re all even.

Good Morning!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

I can tell you one thing for sure about this otherwise bullshit laptop story: the computer repair shop in question is likely to quickly go out of business now that people have every reason to fear that they will eagerly comb through their files and make backup copies of their hard drives. So kudos on being a multilevel dipshit, there, John Paul Mac Isaac Peter Joe PC McGillicutty.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

"I was only there to get directions on how to get away from there" - Seymour Skinner

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:18 (five years ago)

Looks like my band is playing a (drive-in?) campaign event with Warren this weekend, she's hitting Madison and Milwaukee while Trump is at the Janesville regional airport.

change display name (Jordan), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

Cool! Wear layers.

“I just don't know what to say, or what I'm allowed to say,” Isaac said. “I know that I saw, I saw stuff. And I was concerned. I was concerned that somebody might want to come looking for this stuff eventually and I wanted it out of my shop.”

Reminds me a little of this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uy9Z-Tg6ufU

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

lol

The defunct Trump Plaza in Atlantic City is currently wrapped in black netting to keep people nearby from getting hurt by random pieces of its eroding facade.
It will be imploded altogether in January. pic.twitter.com/tpu4Pbf05p

— Amy S. Rosenberg (@amysrosenberg) October 15, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

I know that I saw, I saw stuff.

Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion?

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

The defunct Trump Plaza in Atlantic City is currently wrapped in black netting to keep people nearby from getting hurt by random pieces of its eroding facade.
It will be imploded altogether in January.

Again, I say: somebody call the writers and tell them their metaphors are getting way too heavy-handed this season.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:40 (five years ago)

What was the total number of votes cast in 2016?

135 million, more or less; almost 48 million of those were early. So we're well over the 10% mark of the total 2016 vote count at this point, as well as one-third of the overall early vote count. The overall electorate being around 200 million as earlier mentioned, we still haven't breached 10% of that but it's rapidly approaching.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

For instance, 1 in 5 who have already voted by mail did not vote in 2016 — a key indicator of enthusiasm, several Democratic strategists said.

Again, not to be a wet blanket, for this to cheer me I would need to know what proportion of voters in a given presidential year didn't vote in the previous presidential election. Is it a lot less than 1 in 5? (Maybe!)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

A couple of people in Harris's "orbit" have tested positive.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/15/politics/kamala-harris-campaign-travel-coronavirus/index.html

Whatever the worst possible way to respond to that is, Trump will figure it out.

clemenza, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

A Lincoln Project guy being quoted but this is a salient enough point:

"Their campaign has been touting for many, many months that their enthusiasm among Trump supporters is off the charts. You can't have both enthusiasm off the charts and a shy voter issue at the same time. It just doesn't make sense." -@madrid_mike on shy Trump voters @MSNBC

— Stephanie Ruhle (@SRuhle) October 15, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

Whatever the worst possible way to respond to that is, Trump will figure it out.

"I'll give you my spare Regenererereon if you drop out!"

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

It's an enthusiasm that dares not speak its name

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

Again, not to be a wet blanket, for this to cheer me I would need to know what proportion of voters in a given presidential year didn't vote in the previous presidential election. Is it a lot less than 1 in 5? (Maybe!)

i really need to start that "use this thread when you want someone else to google it for you" thread, for real. sometimes i'm happy to do it (like now!) and other times i want someone else to do it.

10% of voters in 2016 were first-time voters, according to CNN exit polls, but 15% according to the reuters exit poll. reuters had 9% first-time voters for the 2012 election.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oHgs-fZWks

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

but i take your point: the journalist should have included those details in the article in the first place, because they are important context.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

does "did not vote in 2016" mean didn't bother to vote or were too young to vote?

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:33 (five years ago)

It’s getting hard to escape the conclusion that Joe Biden’s greatest political weapon is that he figured out most of the stuff that happens on this app doesn’t register with normal people who make the difference in primaries and general elections. https://t.co/MbKc1Y69p6

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 15, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

i.e. "old people"

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

It would be pretty ironic if what brings down Trump is that he's the only 74-year old *too* good at social media.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:37 (five years ago)

does "did not vote in 2016" mean didn't bother to vote or were too young to vote?

both

i wouldn't worry too much about the "too young to vote" segment of that. science has shown that the portion of the electorate that is 18-21 years old votes approximately 0.0014% of the time - that's less than 200 people!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

fyi, #onethread but all my posts today are to be read in the voice of Tim Rogers

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

i really need to start that "use this thread when you want someone else to google it for you"

Oh I'm that guy too and I did try to google it but wasn't smart enough to think of the phrase "first-time voters" and was unsuccessful -- that said, the relevant number, which I did not succeed in googling (though I only spent like 5 mins trying) is "how many people voted in year x who didn't vote in year x-4" which includes first-time voters but other people too.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

(re: Lord Alfred's post) Yes, I had exactly this thought while watching the recent 538 "how can Trump still win" conversation.

Perry Bacon Jr. (who I respect a lot) was expressing surprise about how you'd think Democrats would be more net-savvy (because young and urban or whatever). But it's actually the Trump campaign that is more responsive and faster to react online.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/how-president-trump-could-still-win-re-election/

Most of us here are (by definition) Extremely Online, so we are all up-to-the-minute on the alleged Hunter laptop bullshit, for example. The Durham investigation, the Barr "unmasking" report.

The Biden-Harris campaign is largely ignoring those flareups and mostly staying on message. Maybe it's by design, maybe it's by accident, ultimately it probably doesn't matter... if it works.

Win the Normies, win the nation?

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

xp eephus i admit it was a hard google! i had to do some searching. sorry, i didn't mean to do the "google it, buddy!" move on you. i actually do want to make that 'google it for me' thread, i've been hyping myself up on it for weeks now

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

xp

I think it's completely by design

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

Perry Bacon Jr. (who I respect a lot)

Yeah, that HBO series with Matthew Rhys is supposed to be pretty good, too.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

#boringpresident give me this all fucking day please

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

I think it's completely by design

If a coalition of normals, centrist melts, and oldsters is what we need to hose the Trumpian toxicity out of the White House, I'll take it. (For now)

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

Returning to sic's quote from David Roth a couple days ago

Joe Biden won’t change anything about American life beyond stripping the Trumpian crassness and cruelty and chaos from its day to day; this is something like the fundamental promise of his campaign.

Insufficient? Yes.

But - a welcome, even necessary development? Also yes.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

i.e. "old people"

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, October 15, 2020 10:36 AM (thirty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I don't even think it's necessarily even that - Twitter is pretty niche especially if you consider how many casual users vs. highly active users (a small percentage who do the vast majority of the tweeting)

https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2019/04/24/sizing-up-twitter-users/

but even raw numbers:
Twitter U.S. users - 120M
Facebook - 223M
Tiktok - 100M
Twitter - 62M

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

twitter's only a big deal to people who are either too online, work in media/tech/writing or both

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

He'll soon be living in a van down by the river...

omg pic.twitter.com/JhtJ11pZqi

— Adam Parkhomenko (@AdamParkhomenko) October 15, 2020

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

lol the only twitter people i know are twitter people

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

Joe Biden won’t change anything about American life beyond stripping the Trumpian crassness and cruelty and chaos from its day to day; this is something like the fundamental promise of his campaign.

like i can accept hey the US and the earth is going to end in my lifetime but right now i'm so depressed i don't think it's a trivial matter to want to live without this giant ghoul shitting out verbal diarrhea on my head everyday, just the constant babble of shit is so defeating and takes up so much of my headspace

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

well at least Graham can sell used cars once he's not a senator anymore

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

pretty much this and i have to believe a ton of people that didn't really care in 2016 feel the same now xp

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

like i can accept hey the US and the earth is going to end in my lifetime but right now i'm so depressed i don't think it's a trivial matter to want to live without this giant ghoul shitting out verbal diarrhea on my head everyday, just the constant babble of shit is so defeating and takes up so much of my headspace

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, October 15, 2020 12:19 PM bookmarkflaglink

otm x 100. i didn't realize how bad my headspace was until I spent a few wonderful days visiting a friend and started breaking down after I left, because I hadn't felt that kind of joy in so long and now didn't know when it'd come back next.

like I get that the Lake is polluted, on fire, and needs addressing, but nobody will be able to swim or survive in it if we don't at least slaughter the huge monster eating everybody in it.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:34 (five years ago)

(electorally speaking)

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:34 (five years ago)

without wishing to libel a great man, my understanding is that rupert murdoch (who is 89) is not firing on all cylinders and hasn't been for a couple of years, hence the lack of public appearances.

i would treat any anonymous sources claiming to know what rupert murdoch (who is 89) is privately telling people with a lot of skepticism.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

I'll be happy that my mom, who's still recovering from breast cancer and heart surgery, won't be constantly stressed out by said giant ghoul and can enjoy her retirement more.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

upper miss and Neanderthal OTM.

With all respect to sic and David Roth* I am still trying to get my head around why this:

Biden won’t change anything about American life beyond stripping the Trumpian crassness and cruelty and chaos

Is supposed to be seen as a HARSH BURN on Biden and an indictment of centrist Dems generally. Removing "crassness and cruelty and chaos" is surely a good thing, right? Right?

No, it isn't quite "ushering in a new world of love, justice, and equality." But could it at least be seen a s step in the right direction?

* = Love "Panama" and the EMT work, btw

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

Seconding/thirding/fourthing the 'please make the bad man just go away' sentiment. All of his other awfulness aside, my focus lately has been tightening on the fact that his absolute bunglefuckery wrt this outbreak is directly responsible for the fact that I won't see my family for over a year (the #1 most depressing/distressing factor of my day-to-day life in 2020). I need one less thing to suck rn just to be able to function above the baseline. He needs to go so fucking badly.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

ftr I love david roth and thought that was a good piece overall, he's the best writer about trump by a long margin...however, i don't think the mental health aspects of trump are trivial at all

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

xpost - OL - yeah I think esp in northern states everyone is dreading winter coming in, i used to love fall now the chill in the air is ominous.

going to try to go hang at a friend's backyard tonight who i haven't seen in forever going to have a fire going and bundle up to drink beer but even that won't be possible here all too soon

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

Is supposed to be seen as a HARSH BURN on Biden and an indictment of centrist Dems generally. Removing "crassness and cruelty and chaos" is surely a good thing, right? Right?

Did you read the sentences immediately following it? It's not a HARSH BURN

Joe Biden won’t change anything about American life beyond stripping the Trumpian crassness and cruelty and chaos from its day to day; this is something like the fundamental promise of his campaign. It is a shamefully, laughably insufficient response to a strident American fascism, and a breathtakingly cynical one; while the reality of that fascism is reason enough to cast a vote against it, Biden has been careful to promise nothing beyond that. They’re betting that it’s still enough to earn a vote, and on balance, it absolutely is.

The end of this administration would mean a great deal, but nothing, let alone Trumpism, will end with Trump’s defeat. Voting matters, but what comes next will matter more.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

Biden won't change anything about the boot on your neck except that the boot won't be wearing sharpened cleats that have been smeared with Ebola-patients' feces.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

i don't think the mental health aspects of trump are trivial at all

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, October 15, 2020 11:42 AM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

Not only non-trivial, I think the Biden administration needs to do a serious push to provide mental health services to a nation filled to the brim with people traumatized by all of this upheaval and chaos.

I mean, they won't, but they should.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

It's insufficient because, barring any meaningful change, you're just right back here in a few years for the next Republican President.

Unless your anxiety is purely wrapped up in the person of Donald Trump, rather than the politics he represents - then you're probably good forever.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

"on balance"

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

I’m sure kaiser permanente will come up w a dope app for that

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

It's insufficient

i think everyone here agrees with this.

Unless your anxiety is purely wrapped up in the person of Donald Trump, rather than the politics he represents - then you're probably good forever.

i don't think anyone here thinks this.

we used to keep this stuff in the biden thread. what happened to that plan?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

An interesting Politico article from Phoenix, where the writer set out to visit Latin early voters, many of whom were first-timers. There are some good quotes, but the conclusion is the point:

When I called the Maricopa County elections office, a spokesperson told me that 180 people cast ballots at McDowell Square that day. I spoke with about 15 of them. There was a great deal of diversity—age, background, socioeconomic status—but they all had two things in common.

First, they were Hispanic, which was intentional for the reporting of this piece.

The second thing was not intentional: Nobody had voted for Trump. I stayed until the polls closed, speaking to every person I could, hoping to find a single supporter of the president. For the first time in this series, every citizen I encountered was voting for the same candidate.

I know, I know—it’s a microscopic sample size. Still, if I were working to reelect the president, it would scare the hell out of me. Trump might be able to weather a bludgeoning from upscale white suburbanites or a groundswell of Hispanic voter intensity. In Phoenix, there is mounting evidence of both.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

Insufficient is the word specifically used by Roth in the piece people are complaining about, caek.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

i saw this yesterday & it aligned with my general feeling atm

VOTE. The car crashed and we’re trapped in the car and the car is on fire. VOTE to get out of the car so we can put the fire out, vomit up the smoke and go into the years of traction it’ll take to heal. You can’t vote to be fine yet. First you have to VOTE TO GET OUT OF THE CAR.

— Taliesin Jaffe (@executivegoth) October 14, 2020

terminators of endearment (VegemiteGrrl), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

we used to keep this stuff in the biden thread. what happened to that plan?

There's a button under posts for that.

All cars are bad (Euler), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

It's insufficient because, barring any meaningful change, you're just right back here in a few years for the next Republican President.

Unless your anxiety is purely wrapped up in the person of Donald Trump, rather than the politics he represents - then you're probably good forever.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, October 15, 2020 11:48 AM (six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

ok i'm already sorry i posted but i have never once claimed that it was sufficient or that my anxiety was entirely wrapped up in donald trump!!

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

No one said you did?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

Unless your anxiety is purely wrapped up in the person of Donald Trump, rather than the politics he represents - then you're probably good forever.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, October 15, 2020 11:48 AM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

milo, the smug shit you toss around in these threads honestly comes as close to pissing me off as anything anyone has posted in 15+ years on ILX. So congrats on that.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

The thing that is wearying about this ongoing discussion is that the vast majority of people are saying "there is a ton of work ahead of us as a country and we can't even begin to do it until we get rid of the more ghoulish party" and a dedicated minority keeps saying "oh but there other people who I hate who aren't in that party, it is extremely important to me that you know this and that, as a result, nothing you do means anything"

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 15 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

DJP otm

These threads have become the Blair Witch Project

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

DJP very very much otm, it's maddening

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

it isn't as if Obama didn't get heavily criticized all over this board and we had entire threads devoted to fearing a Romney presidency, or that we didn't all worry about the downstream impacts of Bush's election (there is a search feature), so quit acting as if some of us only gaf about getting rid of a guy we don't like and then we're back to not caring again.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

Milo

Unless your anxiety is purely wrapped up in the person of Donald Trump, rather than the politics he represents - then you're probably good forever.

Well, first, no. The person is uniquely annoying (see the crassness and chaos) above, but I assure you that "the politics he represents" is absolutely part of the equation for me and most of the people I know. It is the third element mentioned by Roth: cruelty.

Second, there are a few other dynamics involved.

1. Trump is personally vile, sure, but he's functioned as an exponent and exemplar of an especially toxic politics. That politics predates him (by centuries) and is absolutely part of the objection to his ascendancy and (relative success).

2. The strain of politics that he inherited and amplified is explicity racist. It is the politics of massive resistance to civil rights, it is the politics of massive resistance to desegregation, it is the politics of Southern Lost Cause mythologizing. Maybe you are somehow unaware of this but people who don't like Trump ALSO oppose that strain of politics.

3. The anti-government strain of politics that Trump capitalized on (which also predates him) is a thread from Goldwater to Reagan to Gingrich and the militia yahoos and beyond. Nobody here thinks government is perfect, but in many spheres it is the ONLY force trying to counteract conservatives' war on the downtrodden. So the nihilistic anti-government politics of the Freedom Caucus et al. is, by design, a war on the poor, people of color, those in LGBTQ+ communities, and of marginalized people generally.

4. If "melt" democrats and Bidenesque centrist Democrats can keep the seat warm for a while, there is a chance - a chance! - that demographics and social changes could make the "next Republican President" quite a long ways a way, if it even happens at all. Who knows?

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

Roth, like so many political writers atm, makes his point by overstating it. But by overstating it, he distorts it and by distorting it, the point he makes is no longer in consonance with reality.

Joe Biden's administration will change a wide variety of things "beyond stripping the Trumpian crassness and cruelty and chaos from [the nation's] day to day". His point is that a Biden administration won't rid us of the fundamental dynamic that is strangling the life out of the nation and the planet, and expecting it to do that in the course of four years, when that dynamic is so entrenched would be asking the impossible anyway. It will, instead, clear a space for the rest of us to continue the work of changing that dynamic without having to stop and cope with a series of manufactured crises that sap and divide our efforts. It is just a preliminary step on a long road.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

Ye Mad Puffin, I have no idea why you think I disagree that the 'toxic politics' predates and exists outside of Trump. That was what I said.

Again, what I responded to was the idea that Roth's sentence was "a HARSH BURN on Biden and an indictment of centrist Dems generally," because it wasn't. That's why I quoted the following sentences - and expanded on the insufficiency he refers to.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

milo, would you describe yourself as an accelerationist?

pomenitul, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

Another fire analogy:
Person: Omg our house is on fire we need to put it out pronto before we can focus on anything else!
Person who is not annoying at all: I don't like the fire either but I think we need to talk about getting a new water heater.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

milo, the smug shit you toss around in these threads honestly comes as close to pissing me off as anything anyone has posted in 15+ years on ILX. So congrats on that.

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, October 15, 2020 12:58 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Lol, I was so pissed off at Biden and disappointed by Bernie immediately after Super Tuesday and at this rate milo is going to turn me into a centrist melt by Friday.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

*whispers quietly* I've never understood what "melt" means

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:15 (five years ago)

That they are bad is literally the only thing I could decipher from the UK politics threads.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

Person who is not annoying at all: I don't like the fire either but I think we need to talk about getting a new water heater.

More like: 'I don't like the fire either but if we let it burn down we'll be able to build a new and improved house!'

pomenitul, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

I think a melt is just a centrist.

pomenitul, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

I assume it's someone without conviction that wilts under the heat?

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

This is what you guys need, be sure to watch the video.

seumas milm (gyac), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

milo, would you describe yourself as an accelerationist?

I voted for Biden, just like I voted for Clinton... so what do you think?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

expecting it to do that in the course of four years, when that dynamic is so entrenched would be asking the impossible anyway

yes, this

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

I voted for Biden

Carry on then.

pomenitul, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

“Melt” is actually not well explained there, but basically someone who’s a both-sides-have-a- point, zero principles wet. If they’re a British politician, they won’t vote against cunt laws and they’re more worried about how they look in a suit than protecting workers rights/campaigning for housing/pushing for society to improve in some way. If they’re a rando, well, they’re someone who’s all like “now isn’t the time.../ordinary voters of Little Incestington won’t care about this/you’re just playing politics”.

seumas milm (gyac), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

Ah yes

Giuliani is now changing the Hunter Biden laptop story. The shop owner told the NY Post he couldn't identify who dropped off the laptop. Giuliani, who wasn't there, said on Sirius XM today "was left by Hunter Biden, in an inebriated, heavily inebriated state with the merchant."

— Edward-Isaac Dovere (@IsaacDovere) October 15, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

lmao

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

To me "melt" is roughly equivalent to the American (conservative) term "squish." That is, someone insufficiently committed to the cause. Compare RINO, DINO.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

So a melt is a centrist who is actively looking for excuses not to implement left-wing policies?

pomenitul, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

love that giuliani always rejoins the cast for the most ridiculous subplots

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

You'd think Giuliani would have gotten even slightly better at this by now, but he's still struggling in the Wohl waters even now.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

Thanks gyac and YMP. That's about what I thought.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

So a melt is a centrist who is actively looking for excuses not to implement left-wing policies?


You could say that, yeah.

seumas milm (gyac), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

jfc

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — DOJ charges Houston billionaire Robert Brockman with $2 billion tax fraud in largest such fraud case against an American.

— Zeke Miller (@ZekeJMiller) October 15, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

Big “If I did it” energy here. https://t.co/ewFfJgqBF6

— Nick Confessore (@nickconfessore) October 15, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

related (?) to the prosecution of $2bn of tax fraud in plain sight, i think this would be a strong campaign pitch

https://newrepublic.com/article/159339/biden-democrats-2020-campaign-promise-good-governance

The left has a diagnosis of the larger problem—that the pandemic clarified the brokenness of the existing order—and a program to fundamentally reorder society into a vastly fairer and more just one. The center-left, or the moderate wing of the Democratic Party, has a narrower view of the problems ailing the country and a more circumscribed plan for the future, articulated well by the Covid-19-inspired slogan of Joe Biden’s presidential campaign: “Build Back Better.”

I tend to think the left, broadly defined, has a clearer sense of the problem and better ideas for solving it. But the center managed to persuade enough Democratic voters that moderation was a safer path to defeating President Trump. In the interest of equanimity and coalition-building, I would like to suggest something to Democrats who reject calls for revolution and total reordering of the system: Why not try promising to simply fix shit and govern well?

Many (perhaps most) nonrevolutionary Democrats may think they already do this, with their appeals to competence, invocations of “believing science,” and constant claims that they are realistic and “get things done.” But it’s actually a rarity to hear a politician explicitly promise to govern effectively and make things work as they are supposed to work. Nearly everyone in politics (on both sides) makes electoral arguments based on values (or simple negative partisanship), with surprisingly few promising just to run things well.

Perhaps the argument’s rarity comes from an unwillingness to acknowledge that almost nothing in American life is working as intended. Or perhaps, more charitably, it’s ignorance: Many in the political class don’t know how bad it’s gotten.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

xpost Drunk Hunter leaves a laptop in every port...

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

The Republican message of the day is that Big Tech is censoring Conservatives https://t.co/kCv0z27vYr

— Dan Pfeiffer (@danpfeiffer) October 15, 2020

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

granted, facebook is a cesspool, the world's biggest extreme right wing social network, and everyone who works there should be ashamed. but would the equivalent top 10 performing links on twitter each day be much better?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

Jesus, that WaPo story they reference is harrowing.

xxp

DJI, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

I've said some variation before, but: there hasn't been a GOP president or presidential nominee in my lifetime whose appeal I couldn't understand in the abstract. Like, when divorced from their politics, they've mostly seemed like someone's lame + square dad or grandpa. As a dumb kid, I thought Reagan seemed downright avuncular. But Trump is just such a thoroughly repellent figure on every conceivable level that it continues to baffle me that he has any (uncynical) supporters whatsoever. I'd think by now he'd have become an avatar for that worst person everyone knows: the slimy neighbor, the shifty boss, the off putting coworker. His appeal seems limited to those overflowing with free-floating vitriol who view him as little more than a justification for bailing on their anger management classes.

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, October 14, 2020 11:11 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

From a NYT article yesterday on Trump's appeal among Latino men:

"'We saw him being a boss,' said Edwin Gonzales, 31, who held a large American flag outside the Trump campaign office. “And for him to go down the escalator is basically the same thing — it’s like, 'Dang, the boss has stepped down and he’s putting himself out there to be the president.' That’s what’s exciting.'

Mr. Gonzales added that for him, and many other Trump supporters, the president represented the best of capitalism, adding, 'He’s a boss and they wanted to be him, they idolize him.'"

jaymc, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

everybody loves bosses, right?

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

This is why The Rock would win 47 states.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:45 (five years ago)

'Donald Trump is a boss,' says person who has ignored absolutely everything about Trump but what Trump has said about himself for the past thirty+ years.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

They won't admit that the real reason they voted for him was his participation in Wrestlemania 21.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:05 (five years ago)

once and future Wrestlemaniac

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

As Republicans wrap up the Amy Coney Barrett hearing with plans to vote, Dianne Feinstein praises Lindsey Graham: "I just want to thank you. This has been one of the best set of hearings that I've participated in," she tells him. "Thank you so much for your leadership." pic.twitter.com/I3oXSYpVDk

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 15, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

Lol she’s going to vote yea isn’t she

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:36 (five years ago)

Senator Feinstein wants the healing to begin with her.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

the worst

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:42 (five years ago)

Read somewhere that Dianne Feinstein has raised over $40k for her reelection in 2024, when she'll be a spritely 91 years of age.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

A mask-free embrace between Feinstein and Graham to cap things off.

And the Amy Coney Barrett hearings are over. pic.twitter.com/3gJcpWpi5Z

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 15, 2020

fingers crossed

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

"thanks for actively skewing the political nature of american jurisprudence for a generation to come; it's been great"

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

oh lindseypaws, you're nice to me when no one else is, and there was a time in politics when i could go out for dranks and gud fud

oh feinsteinpaws, i love you so much

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

how tf has she never been primaried?

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

(successfully)

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

haha jks I know why


https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/contributors?cid=N00007364&cycle=CAREER

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

I think Feinstein knows Ole Lindsey won't be back... she's saying her goodbyes.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 15 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

how tf has she never been primaried?


Kevin de Leon got 45% last time. He’s way to her left but almost all his votes came from the red bits of California because she’s a pelosi figure to California republicans. she’s in trouble next time because it will be higher turnout (presidential election year) and she’s spent the past two years very prominently betraying democrats. Also she might be dead.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

It’s top two primary in CA though so she’ll be in the general election even with a strong challenger.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

Trump bragged about Reinoehl’s killing at a rally in North Carolina on Thursday, getting cheers for a description of a summary execution by the state.

“We sent in the U.S. Marshals, took 15 minutes and it was over,” Trump said. “They knew who he was, they didn’t want to arrest him, and 15 minutes, that ended.”

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

idk the raylan givens i know wouldn't do that

covidiot wind, blowin every time you lift your mask (voodoo chili), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

ok, maybe he would

covidiot wind, blowin every time you lift your mask (voodoo chili), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

So brave

NEW: @SenSasse, during apparent call w/ constituents, excoriated @realDonaldTrump, saying he mishandled #coronavirus, "kisses dictators' butts," spends like "drunken sailor," mistreats women & trash-talks evangelicals. There's so much more... https://t.co/BneEOGX0J6 @dcexaminer

— David M. Drucker (@DavidMDrucker) October 15, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

The largest error in here is 5.9 points (1996), which is smaller than Trump's current deficit in Pennsylvania, the most likely tipping-point state. https://t.co/sA7U4Ytotv

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 15, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 15, 2020

(emphasis added) - but yeah, the hand of the nation appears to be poised over the toilet handle and ready to flush Trump out

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

So the Trump train has even taken out CSPAN boy scout Steve Scully by pushing him to the brink and over the edge?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

it's amazing that clinton was able to get such a lead over bob dole (at least at this point in October 1996), while biden is still only 10-11 up, nationally. Dole was useless, but Trump i mean jfc

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

The 1996 election was the only one of my lifetime which I remember as irrelevant to my interests at the time.

My biggest what-if: Poppy beating Clinton in '92. Would the Gingrich lunacy have been contained? otoh replacing White and Blackmun on SCOTUS would've suuuuucked.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

My current fear, probably not unfounded, is that mail-in voters will in big (or significant) numbers be unable to accurately follow the specific instructions on how to vote by mail. Stuff like this does not inspire hope:

🚨🚨Notice to Voters Regarding Mailed Ballots. 🚨🚨 Please use the return envelope provided by DC BOE to return your ballot. DO NOT deposit a ballot in a Drop Box without an envelope OR use your own envelope.

— DC Board of Elections (@Vote4DC) October 15, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

reagan +17.7 damn fritz didn't have a chance

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

i think your fears about people not following instructions are probably a little overblown! i mean, what's wrong with that tweet? i'm sure that's not the only place that DC voters are advised to use the return envelope provided. if it's anything like the Illinois ballot, it said it all over the place in the instructions too.

but beyond just speculation, i also think the early voter data cited by ned and others upthread is a good indication that even if some ballots aren't being properly sent, a huge number of them are getting through

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

xp

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

Yeah, that's a factor for sure re proper mail voting instructions, but not necessarily deciding, and I'm willing to bet it cuts across all levels.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

Yeah, that's my fear, too. Also see:

S.C. absentee ballot received by a voter after SCOTUS ruling Monday that witness signatures *are* required. Seems likely to lead to many discarded votes. pic.twitter.com/hdRdPwi2pq

— Trip Gabriel (@tripgabriel) October 10, 2020

jaymc, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

It's a bit similar to gathering signatures for an initiative petition, where if you need 100,000 valid signatures, you try to get 125,000 to account for the ones that will be tossed out as invalid. One must hope that the groundswell of revulsion from Trump is so overwhelming that it will overcome a certain 'wastage' of absentee votes and still be utterly crushing.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

yeah, i guess i should say that early voting in red states, who knows. i'm sure they're doing everything they can to make voting as difficult as possible, just like every year.

but in blue states or red states with any remaining respect for democracy (utah? maybe none) - states that are trying to do a good job, basically - i'm not worried

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

It's not that it hurts the Dems more than the GOP, it's that any opportunity for the GOP to call a vote into question (should they choose to go that route) is one too many. Which ... yeah, hurts the Dems more than the GOP, given how hard it is to get the party to fight for what is right theirs (2000 election, Garland, etc.).

Of the unfounded non-fears I have, I was just talking with a friend about how nice it would be if after the election *none* of the bullshit we expect to happen actually happens.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

Ben Sasse making a classic "Know what I mean, Vern?" face in that picture

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

"I think Feinstein knows Ole Lindsey won't be back... she's saying her goodbyes"

He's beating Harrison rather handily in the latest polls.

akm, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

Anyway, hate all you want but this is funny:

We fixed Don Jr.’s crazy ad. pic.twitter.com/TE929T1f2x

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 15, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

He's beating Harrison rather handily in the latest polls.


goddamn that is so disheartening

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:24 (five years ago)

It's South Carolina, not surprising. The question is not necessarily that Graham was going to lose, but how much he would have to sweat. Per Nate Cohn and others, he still is.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

Anyway, hate all you want but this is funny:

🐦[We fixed Don Jr.’s crazy ad. pic.twitter.com/TE929T1f2x🕸
— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 15, 2020🕸]🐦


Not an original thought but such a strong On Cinema Tim Heidecker vibe there.

Boring, Maryland, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

Anyway:

Biden is leading in this survey with white voters, 51% to 47%. That is extraordinary. Trump won white voters in 2016 by 20 points.https://t.co/VaQwJaZONh

— Eli Stokols (@EliStokols) October 15, 2020

So far, about a million Texans have cast a ballot during the state's extended early voting period, which started Tuesday. https://t.co/SjpbqnvYwn

— NPR Politics (@nprpolitics) October 15, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

xp these are the latest polls, right?

https://i.imgur.com/YbcNZI5.png

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:33 (five years ago)

MoE on today's NYT poll is 4.5, also. don't count Harrison out. lindsey is a pathetic piece of shit, there are weeks to go.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:35 (five years ago)

yeah that's what I saw earlier, namely the NYT poll.

akm, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

or in other words:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/south-carolina/

23 out of 100. that's a little bit more often than the average baseball player strikes out. you seen a baseball player strikeout recently? those are decent odds, and there are weeks to go.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

Trump again upends stimulus strategy, complaining that Mnuchin hasn’t ‘come home with the bacon’

gimme dat bacon

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:39 (five years ago)

Nate Silver said on the 538 podcast the other day that they give Graham higher odds than you might expect from the polls simply because it's South Carolina, where Democrats don't usually win at the state level. Maybe also because he's a long-time incumbent.

jaymc, Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

plus, graham just hugged evil radical socialist diane feinstin

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

*feinstein

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

Nein-stein.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

re: S. Carolina - Well at very least it's forcing the GOP to spend heavily in a state they usually take for granted.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 15 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

I like 50-state strategy, I just hope opponents to hated but well-entrenched GOP senators don't draw excessive money/attention away from close races.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Thursday, 15 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

Don't sleep on Al Gross!

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

Rudy Giuliani Is My Father. Please, Everyone, Vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

To anyone who feels overwhelmed or apathetic about this election, there is nothing I relate to more than desperation to escape corrosive political discourse. As a child, I saw firsthand the kind of cruel, selfish politics that Donald Trump has now inflicted on our country. It made me want to run as far away from them as possible. But trust me when I tell you: Running away does not solve the problem. We have to stand and fight. The only way to end this nightmare is to vote. There is hope on the horizon, but we’ll only grasp it if we elect Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

Around the age of 12, I would occasionally get into debates with my father, probably before I was emotionally equipped to handle such carnage. It was disheartening to feel how little power I had to change his mind, no matter how logical and above-my-pay-grade my arguments were. He always found a way to justify his party line, whatever it was at the time. Even though he was considered socially moderate for a Republican back in the day, we still often butted heads. When I tried to explain my belief that you don’t get to be considered benevolent on LGBTQ+ rights just because you have gay friends but don’t support gay marriage, I distinctly remember him firing back with an intensity fit for an opposing politican rather than one’s child.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Thursday, 15 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

I had to read up a bit on Ben Sasse re those comments. I guess he's been about as anti-Trump as any Republican senator except Romney, but I still did recoil, and sure enough, not only did he vote against impeachment, he also voted not to call witnesses. I think the likely parade of Republicans who suddenly repudiate Trump in the next three weeks (or, more likely, in the weeks immediately after the election) are just the worst kind of vermin. I'll exempt him marginally.

clemenza, Thursday, 15 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

I'm quite curious to see how 75% of elected Republicans behave once he looses. No one should ever let them forget their support.

akm, Thursday, 15 October 2020 22:37 (five years ago)

Dear Caroline Rose Giuliani,
Thank you for your post. I can relate 100%.
Sincerely,
James Redd

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 15 October 2020 22:55 (five years ago)

Trump has 94% job approval with Republicans (pre-going to the hospital). Going to be a lot more people trying to take his mantle than repudiating him.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 22:58 (five years ago)

As a majority, sure. But there will be more than a few trying to move in the other direction. Christie today saying "I was wrong," doubt that's just about masks.

clemenza, Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:05 (five years ago)

Christie's not (and will never again be) an elected official, though. Also may have seen God or multiple ghosts from his past recently.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:12 (five years ago)

literally the only person who has said that 94% of republicans approve of trump is trump. truer number is 57%, which is still significant, but the decline in enthusiasm is more important.

rb (soda), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:16 (five years ago)

https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx

Scroll down to job approval by party identification.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:20 (five years ago)

The WaPo's gotcha that over the summer it wasn't 96%... just 88% isn't much of a gotcha.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:21 (five years ago)

Republicans fucking love him. He is the culmination of four decades of grievance and desire to own the libs - why wouldn't they love him?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:22 (five years ago)

C'mon... just because as much as it fits the narrative, nine out of every ten of the 82 million registered republicans aren't brainless toadying trumpist goons.

rb (soda), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:27 (five years ago)

You should tell them that!

80+% in-party approval is pretty normal, Trump just happens to take it to Bush on 9/12 heights.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

The WaPo's gotcha that over the summer it wasn't 96%... just 88% isn't much of a gotcha.

Depends a bit on the perspective: From the first to the second number, the proportion of not-approvals has tripled.

anatol_merklich, Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

the increasing polarization is really bad imo

Dan S, Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

Lol, Democrats aren't polarized enough yet for my liking.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:50 (five years ago)

Is it? It's a reversion to the post-Civil War means. We don't need lib Republicans or conservative Dems

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:50 (five years ago)

I am still waiting for the Democratic Steve King and it ain't AOC (as much as I love her).

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:51 (five years ago)

what else do the Republicans have except Trump's politics of resentment.

no one actually likes any of their ideas

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

and the dueling town halls (?!?!?!?!!!??) are about to start.

i guess i'm outraged on behalf of the shameful ken bones out there, the undecided voters who, for no reason whatsoever, must choose between which broadcast to watch. and like me, i'm guessing they will probably watch trump, because we know what joe biden will say, and we do not know exactly what trump will say, and perhaps trump will have obvious covid-19, or perhaps he will be so 'roided up that he will get angry and call someone a name and lose another 2% off of his republican favorability ratings

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:54 (five years ago)

Sasse's scolding style might let him stay in the Senate forever if he votes right but it has no legs beyond that.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:55 (five years ago)

As stated elsewhere, I am firmly in the hated 'Trump is gonna win' category.... but I don't think it's going to happen because of his deification within the party rank-and-file. I think that a combination of paranoid rhetoric, fear-mongering, and soft suppression tactics are going to hand him enough states to help him win. The Rs I know / am related to absolutely abhor him, and are either planning on holding their nose and voting against better judgment or are outright staying home. I mean maybe they're all in that 4% that disapproves of, bu I dunno...

rb (soda), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:55 (five years ago)

Earlier someone was talking about or tweeted a quote that shy voters and excitement/approval couldn't coexist and I think that's completely wrong. A Trump voter could be fuckin' hyped to vote for him again but not want to get shunned by the libs in his life or have his kids stop talking to him again.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:56 (five years ago)

NBC should be razed to the ground for the shit they're pulling tonight. Is it hyperbolic to call it an affront to democracy?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:57 (five years ago)

Christie's not (and will never again be) an elected official, though.

Which didn't stop him from being as subservient as could be the past few weeks. He may have given up on being an elected official, but I suspect he still harbors hopes of being an appointed one someday, and will position himself wherever he thinks that might come about.

clemenza, Thursday, 15 October 2020 23:59 (five years ago)

honestly if I don’t get one Covid trophy from that superspreader event in the Rose Garden I’m going to be pretty fucking disappointed

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

That means he doesn't have to sell himself to the nest of vipers that we call the GOP base, repudiating Trump is good for your career in the media or lobbying and no one notices the Undersecretary for Chesapeake Bay Affairs if he wants a government job in 2024.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

i expect at least ONE person at the town hall to ask him about how his own incompetence, specifically him, led to unnecessary deaths in 6 months. he'll spin it and start talking about how we can't be afraid, but then i want to hear the hapless moderator try to press him on it.

meanwhile, biden will be saying 'lookit', i just can't watch.

trump will dominate the ratings and claim victory (on his terms - get the most attention, he will be correct)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:03 (five years ago)

trump just says his lungs were infected, but claims he doesn't know what it was infected with, because he didn't "do too much asking"

seems normal. my lungs are infected? ok

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:05 (five years ago)

Aerosolized herpes pumped into the Oval Office by the Deep State.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:06 (five years ago)

NBC moderator is doing a good job of grilling trump on how ridiculous his handling of his own recent illness was. town hall hasn't even spoken yet. she keeps interrupting him so he can't go on and on. this is good.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:06 (five years ago)

why are you watching

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:08 (five years ago)

to me, watching trump, he seems very obviously and completely wrong and lying, like being caught in a lie, redhanded. but what do i know

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

you may actually read news about this later, btw - trump looks panicked already and when he gets going, he starts melting down

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

Would be funny if Biden called in from the other town hall. "OK, we've got Joe, from Delaware on the line with a question ... " And then the other town hall can televise Biden calling Trump.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

he's already attacking the host/moderator, too

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

"excess mortality. we're a winner on excess mortality"

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

why are you watching

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, October 15, 2020 7:08 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

Karl is drownin' for our thirst, drownin' for our thirst, DROWNIN' FOR OUR THIRST

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

Q: do you support herd immunity as a strategy?
A: the cure cannot be worse than the disease

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:12 (five years ago)

i'm not going to lie: i have taco bell coming my way. crunchwrap supreme and cheezy bean burrito.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

how's biden doing? has he said lookit?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

getting another chance to denounce white supremacism again.

"you always do this...you always do this to me..."

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

"here's the deal"

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

"i denounce white supremacy, and frankly, i denounce antifa, i denounce the left " bla bla bla

now getting asked about qanon

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

More bounce to the denounce.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

trump knows that qanon is "very much against pedophilia, they fight it very hard"

then pivots to radical left and antifa burning down cities run by democrats

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

he just doesn't know about qanon

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

he's really mad at her. he really hates women

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

there are people in the townhall with masks on visibly shaking their head NO violently, left and right

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

he just said "so cute" to her

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

i'll stop.

you'll be reading about this later, for better or worse

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

On ABC, Joe Biden is giving a lengthy, cogent explanation of his plans to handle the pandemic, incorporating recent scientific findings and recent testimony of the CDC Director encouraging mask wearing.

— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:19 (five years ago)

trump seems honestly befuddled, like completely confused, that savannah hasn't heard about the corrupt ballots. every day, he watches and they talk about the corrupt ballots.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:20 (five years ago)

omg, these brave town hall people. they are getting to live the dream of asking the president to be accountable for their actions, and then they have to stand there and stare at him for 2 minutes as he lies to their faces. this very first question, you can tell the person who asked the question fucking HATES him

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:22 (five years ago)

and now the moderator is leaping in to interrupt his bullshit and call him out on it. trump campaign is going to regret this decision

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:23 (five years ago)

there were 3 blurry faces in the background. 2 of the 3 shook their heads NO as trump was talking

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:23 (five years ago)

is this an intervention? for trump, i mean. not for me. but this event almost seems lined up to force him to go face to face with the people he has fucked over

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

I watched the Trump shouting session for five minutes, thought Savannah Guthrie did better than Chris Wallace, and said "fuck you people" for watching this. Nothing has changed.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:28 (five years ago)

Watching Trump of course, and enjoying the moderator's badgering of him.

clemenza, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:30 (five years ago)

(There's an African-American woman in back of him nodding yes to everything he says--that's a little disorienting.)

clemenza, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:30 (five years ago)

Flipping between Trump claiming he hasn't heard of Qanon and ANTIFA is burning down our cities and bales of Trump ballots thrown in the trash; and Biden explaining how the a competent WH organizes a crisis response, showing his work, emanating empathy from every pore is...a trip

— Rick Perlstein (@rickperlstein) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

How's Biden doing?

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

xp I think that is a little harsh on me for watching, but I understand

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

xpost Apparently so far so good, even with a couple of tough questions/follow-ups.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

Biden spent like ten minutes answering this question and then offered to finish talking to the guy backstage https://t.co/ax24s9ECJd

— Ed MD (@notdred) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

Biden's an old dude doing his best. Trump is an asshole shouting. I was touched Biden asked a young Black kid to meet him backstage to continue a conversation.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:33 (five years ago)

Keep going Karl. Watch it so I don't have to, you're a saint

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:37 (five years ago)

I'm not watching/listening; has Trump lucidly, coherently offered his detailed, game-changing, comprehensive health care plan yet?

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:38 (five years ago)

Apparently Joe dropped 'shoot 'em in the leg' again?!

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:39 (five years ago)

Biden proffered his shoot'em-in-the-leg thing again.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:39 (five years ago)

Yet! The woman who asked the question looked cool with it. I'm #outofstep.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:40 (five years ago)

Trump seems to confirm he owes more than $400 million in debt. He says “it’s a tiny percentage of my net worth.” Then says it’s for mortgages. Says it’s not to Russia. Then asked if he owes foreign banks, and he says: “not that I know of“ before saying “probably.”

— Manu Raju (@mkraju) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:43 (five years ago)

"Probably"

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

Biden proffered his shoot'em-in-the-leg thing again.

in a few weeks maybe someone should put this strategy to the test since he's such a fan

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

I will say, I just tuned in to Biden for a second, and he was cogent, coherent, thoughtful ...

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:48 (five years ago)

Just switched on Biden, trying to talk about not defunding the police. In terms of communication and sentence structure, he's as incoherent as Trump, but he's very much trying to communicate a positive message, not one of blame and hate. His actual words are unfortunately very much the opposite: doubling down on "shoot 'em in the leg" (right down to the apostrophe), saying we have to pay the police more so they can be trained in deescalation and community-based policing, but saying that the problem is that the cops already have to do to much of this, like school teachers, and it's too much for their brains to cope with. Most cops don't like bad cops - they don't - they don't! - despite the fact that he also said in the debate that the bad cops have infected and ruined the entirety of American policing.

As Alfred says, he's an old man doing his best; one can hope that people who understand issues better than he will actually have the full responsibility reforms and policies if he's elected.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:49 (five years ago)

big xposts

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:49 (five years ago)

reading these posts about Trump and the news coverage tonight I won't be surprised if he wins again, so many people seem mesmerized by him

Dan S, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

Some idiot now asking Biden how he'll avoid the temptation to punish Trump once he's out of office; Biden responding with endless waffle about good intentions and understanding and an infrastructure bill??!?

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

Four more years of infrastructure week

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

There's a weird setup whereby Reagan's awful Transportation Secretary Drew Lewis' son wants Biden's reassurance about #bipartisanship or something. But, wow, the guy's in tears. Ugh.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

Dude who asked the question looks mid-60s, and is trying to hide his frustrated confusion at Biden's inability to complete a sentence.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

reading these posts about Trump and the news coverage tonight I won't be surprised if he wins again, so many people seem mesmerized by him

― Dan S, Thursday, October 15, 2020

Trump? He's shouting again as if he had no COVID. He's reassured his base again.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

Biden did not dismiss expanding the Court btw.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

“I know nothing about it,” Trump said. “That was a retweet. That was an opinion from somebody. I’ll put it out there — people can decide.”
“I don’t get that,” Guthrie replied. “You’re the president, not somebody’s crazy uncle."

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

Oh, I missed that he was someone in particular

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:55 (five years ago)

Ron Howard Narrator Voice: He was, in fact, somebody's crazy uncle.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:55 (five years ago)

I think Biden sounds fine, like a normal, boring politician. I'm having no problem following him, as far as that goes. Trump, I have trouble just hearing him.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:56 (five years ago)

Watched The Candidate (1972) last week; the seats in the televised debate there were as far apart as Biden and the moderator guy tonight.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:56 (five years ago)

Has anyone asked the less-evil one about weed because it's fucked up if they don't even give more of us a chance to buy drugs legally.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:57 (five years ago)

Biden is boring. Trump is awful. He fucking said dangerous bullshit about masks again. I can't believe there's even a comparison.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:57 (five years ago)

Harris said decriminalise weed and expunge convictions in her debate; there's no added value in asking Biden about it.,

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 00:59 (five years ago)

The most it would do is scare geriatrics who aren't already using cannabis for medicine.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:00 (five years ago)

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/15/adelson-trump-super-pac-429688

Too bad he wasn't at the White House superspreader event

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:03 (five years ago)

Fracking question! It has made citizens sick and killed wildlife in SW PA. We're transitioning away from fossil fuels in the region itself. What other technologies would you promote?

"First of all, let me be clear that I will NOT ban fracking."

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:04 (five years ago)

ABC: 366,211 watching now
NBC: 184,421 watching now

— Adam B. Vary Scared…SO VOTE, PLEASE AND THANK YOU (@adambvary) October 16, 2020

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:04 (five years ago)

not that this shit matters but I am petty enough to want Trump to lose in the ratings because that's all he cares about

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

Wonder how much of the rough ride trump sounds like he’s getting is due to internal nbc politics

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

not that this shit matters but I am petty enough to want Trump to lose in the ratings because that's all he cares about

the viewers are rigged. defund Nielsen.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

hearing a lot of grousing about how unfair the mod has been to Trump so I assume his event is not going well

frogbs, Friday, 16 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

Art of the steal...Art of the deal

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

I have about 70 pro-trump blue checks on a twitter list, they aren’t celebrating Trump’s performance, only attacking the moderator. That’s not a good sign.

— Josh Russell (@josh_emerson) October 16, 2020

Seems like the expression "so dumb he could fuck up a two-car funeral" ought to be replaced with "so dumb he could lose a one-person debate".

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

it will never sink in for the trump campaign that they just let their guy walk into a textbook A-B experiment https://t.co/MRLU27LE01

— kilgore trout, kiss me mr. president (@KT_So_It_Goes) October 16, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

otm

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 01:18 (five years ago)

Mother of a trans daughter asks about what he'll do to restore protections etc for LGBTQ ppl; Biden says "I'll flat-out change the law. I'll reverse those executive orders" -- good precedent. Reversing 99.2% of all executive orders should be a day-two priority, then restaffing govt depts on day three.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:18 (five years ago)

Trump bailing on the debate, even one conducted remotely, was a terrible decision. It wouldn't have changed anything, but it was much harder for him to bluster his way through in the setting he found himself in. Didn't he realize that no matter who NBC picked, the moderator would be lying in wait?

Wonder how much of the rough ride trump sounds like he’s getting is due to internal nbc politics

Quite sure this factored in too, after the grief they got.

clemenza, Friday, 16 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

xp to me, same question:

Biden uses his folksy/family schtick in a good way; tells a bullshit-sounding pat anecdote version of something that probably really happened - an eight-year-old grandson or grandnephew or s/t pointing across a car park to some LGBTQs holding hands and saying "they love each other" - then suddenly realises he has a more relevant fact to relate, and says "and by the way, my son who died, Beau Biden, when he was attorney general, he had a staffer, a man who became a woman, right there in the office." (not exact quote)

Good to hear him saying the more sincere-sounding thing that he didn't have a soundbyte for, even though it could have undermined the prepared bit.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:26 (five years ago)

(And the prepared bit was a good way of presenting "acceptance" to dumb olds who might be swing voters)

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

I didn't care for this thing at all, but the transgender answer sounded to me like one of his few good moments -- and the mom looked as if she responded.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

Good point. People *hated* that guy. https://t.co/m5zZSzAPjc

— Kevin M. Kruse (@KevinMKruse) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 01:41 (five years ago)

Joe Biden appears to have started a second town hall, staying in the room and trying to convince the voters in the room as he answers more questions.

— Matt Viser (@mviser) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

But despite fears that the event would amount to a free promotion for Trump’s campaign, it ended up being one of the toughest grillings he has faced as president, with questions about white supremacy, covid-19 deaths and his taxes.

While the event was nominally a town hall, featuring questions from Florida voters, it included a lot of direct pressing by the moderator, “Today” co-host Savannah Guthrie, who repeatedly challenged the president’s evasions.

At one point, after pushing Trump on his retweet of a QAnon-linked conspiracy theory, Guthrie said, “I don’t get that. You’re the president. You’re not like someone’s crazy uncle who can just retweet whatever.”

When Trump said he wasn’t familiar with QAnon, Guthrie said “you do know,” to which he replied: “No, I don’t know. You tell me all about it. Let’s waste the whole show. Let’s go. Keep asking me these questions.”

After questioning him about his frequent claims of election fraud, Guthrie told him, “There is no evidence of widespread fraud, and you are sowing doubt in our democracy."

When Trump said he couldn’t release his taxes because he’s “under audit,” Guthrie repeatedly countered by saying, “You aren’t.”

For his part, Trump protested Guthrie’s questioning, saying, “I knew you’d be doing this. … You always do this.” He complained that Biden got much easier questions from moderator Lester Holt when he participated in a similar event held by the network on Oct. 5. “He was asking questions like Biden was a child,” the president said.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/media/2020/10/15/trump-town-hall-savannah-guthrie-biden/

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:05 (five years ago)

Guthrie us doing a good job

treeship., Friday, 16 October 2020 02:06 (five years ago)

Trump campaign statement: "President Trump soundly defeated NBC’s Savannah Guthrie in her role as debate opponent and Joe Biden surrogate. President Trump masterfully handled Guthrie’s attacks and interacted warmly and effectively with the voters in the room. "

— Philip Klein (@philipaklein) October 16, 2020

pomenitul, Friday, 16 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

congratulations on defeating the moderator Mr. Trump

frogbs, Friday, 16 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

I'll be honest and I'll probably get a lot of shit for it, but I'm an undecided voter. After watching this town hall, I believe my decision has been sealed. Tomorrow I will be casting my vote for Savannah Guthrie.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:34 (five years ago)

"Warmly and effectively"--well, he didn't insult or attack any of the town-hall questioners, and he hasn't yet tweeted out any photoshopped pictures of them, so sure.

clemenza, Friday, 16 October 2020 02:46 (five years ago)

I will never get tired of politicians not knowing the price of things

Watch Joni Ernst fail to know the price of soybeans in Iowa and then fight w/ the moderator before simply giving up #iasen pic.twitter.com/kMhGR8malp

— Justin Barasky (@JustinBarasky) October 16, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:49 (five years ago)

So my mom is a Trumper. She also is fond of Archie Bunker and Ralph Kramden. Some people are drawn to loudmouths who “tell it like it is,” or, say out loud what they feel they can’t say.

But I don’t understand how anyone can watch an episode of All in the Family and not realize that Archie is an asshole. People see what they want to see.

Cow_Art, Friday, 16 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

Here’s the other part of that #IASen exchange, where Theresa Greenfield nails the price of corn pic.twitter.com/BMoTDJAKX7

— Iowa Starting Line (@IAStartingLine) October 16, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:07 (five years ago)

It's one soybean, what could it cost, ten dollars?

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:14 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McuMXM70nHE

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:16 (five years ago)

I don’t know why people still assume Today Show anchors are softball interviewers

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

We’re all still traumatized by lauer

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:43 (five years ago)

ernst's silent sepulchral grin in that clip haunts me

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 16 October 2020 04:20 (five years ago)

i don't understand why i criticized by people that I LOVE for watching and enjoying things like nathan for you, but there's this ELLEN clip where she's identifying with the audience as the group that understands the costs for the real people, jfc

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 06:23 (five years ago)

So my mom is a Trumper. She also is fond of Archie Bunker and Ralph Kramden. Some people are drawn to loudmouths who “tell it like it is,” or, say out loud what they feel they can’t say.

But I don’t understand how anyone can watch an episode of All in the Family and not realize that Archie is an asshole. People see what they want to see.

― Cow_Art, Friday, October 16, 2020 2:51 AM (four hours ago)

otm. for that matter, i love the honeymooners but it amazes me that anyone could think of ralph kramden as someone who tells it like it is. he's always an idiot!

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Friday, 16 October 2020 07:29 (five years ago)

Biden uses his folksy/family schtick in a good way; tells a bullshit-sounding pat anecdote version of something that probably really happened - an eight-year-old grandson or grandnephew or s/t pointing across a car park to some LGBTQs holding hands and saying "they love each other" - then suddenly realises he has a more relevant fact to relate, and says "and by the way, my son who died, Beau Biden, when he was attorney general, he had a staffer, a man who became a woman, right there in the office." (not exact quote)

Asked by a mother of a transgender child about what he will do to protect LGBTQ rights, Joe Biden says: "I will flat-out just change the law." https://t.co/AHhqjfwTJc #BidenTownHall pic.twitter.com/mc4KkDnsmr

— ABC News (@ABC) October 16, 2020

I thought the answer was good and the exchange moving. Worth pointing out that the "bullshit-sounding pat anecdote version of something that probably really happened - an eight-year-old grandson or grandnephew or s/t pointing across a car park to some LGBTQs holding hands and saying "they love each other"" was actually Biden remembering himself seeing two men embrace and kiss, and his dad explaining it to him.

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Friday, 16 October 2020 07:37 (five years ago)

can we dispense with the idea that debates are ever superior to a competent journalist asking questions?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 16 October 2020 10:12 (five years ago)

I thought that was the whole reason we have debates rather than interviews.

American Fear of Scampos (Ed), Friday, 16 October 2020 11:11 (five years ago)

Vote count just a hair under 20 million, as I figured. Assuming it generally maintains a pace of 3 million every 24 hours that would take it up to at least 56 million before Election Day not counting weekends, but those should be counted to some degree and there’s no reason not to think the overall pace will increase further as more states start voting early, line delays ease back (as has been the case in Georgia) etc.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 12:12 (five years ago)

Just saw this in https://cdn.donaldjtrump.com/public-files/press_assets/president-trump-platinum-plan-final-version.pdf

Prosecute the KKK and ANTIFA as terrorist organizations and make lynching a national hate crime

nashwan, Friday, 16 October 2020 12:15 (five years ago)

Okay, but you know the hidden meaning behind that 'lynching' designation, yeah?

Let's just say that police charge protestors, even peaceful protestors, with 'lynching' all the time, particularly in California, where to de-arrest someone being forecefully kidnapped by the state is considered 'lynching'. It is another charge to add to those like 'resisting arrest.' Police are eager to utilize the law as a cudgel against protests.

Fuck that.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 16 October 2020 12:21 (five years ago)

Ice Cube should definitely prosecute antifa, though

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 12:24 (five years ago)

found myself watching chris cuomo last night and he spent a good half hour talking about Biden’s “evasive” answers on “court-packing,” saying that it was “trumpy”

kindly stfu, fredo

covidiot wind, blowin every time you lift your mask (voodoo chili), Friday, 16 October 2020 12:25 (five years ago)

Woke up with a pit in my stomach after dreaming Trump started handily winning battleground states on election night. I was hoping I could stave off the nightmares for a couple more weeks.

So are there any legit sources gaming out Trump's path to a win? Because I feel like I should start keeping tabs on that and preparing for the worst. The outlook is getting a little too rosy atm and I'm getting unpleasant 2016 flashbacks.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 16 October 2020 12:31 (five years ago)

Early voting story which confirms the obvious. That whole USPS stupidity by DeJoy has bitten back hard:

New: Voters across the country showing up in person to vote early say one reason they're waiting in long lines is they don't trust the mail to deliver their ballots, following Trump attacks and USPS cuts (w/ a big assist from our teams in battlegrounds) https://t.co/KcuH0sgXKm

— Jeremy Herb (@jeremyherb) October 16, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 12:47 (five years ago)

Xp to Old Lunch - as annoying as their cartoony interface is, 538’s election tracker is an easy way to see the scenarios most likely to lead to a Trump win. You can mouse over the dots on their distribution and see the maps that each one corresponds to. I do it when I’m wallowing in doom

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Friday, 16 October 2020 12:53 (five years ago)

xp:

My nightmare scenario has been DJT prematurely declaring victory on election night, and contesting mail-ballots as fraudulent as they're being counted through the following week. Instead of the 2000 Florida recount's Brooks Bros. mobs, armed right-wing militias protesting the vote count, following poll workers home, etc. "Voting early and in person" is a rational response.

I am voting early and in person.

What’s your voting plan?

— Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (@AOC) September 20, 2020

Sanpaku, Friday, 16 October 2020 12:58 (five years ago)

i mean that's likely to happen

global tetrahedron, Friday, 16 October 2020 13:07 (five years ago)

Oh my fucking god

Twitter Shuts Down Entire Network To Slow Spread Of Negative Biden News https://t.co/JPmjOrKPcr via @TheBabylonBee Wow, this has never been done in history. This includes his really bad interview last night. Why is Twitter doing this. Bringing more attention to Sleepy Joe & Big T

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 16, 2020

frogbs, Friday, 16 October 2020 13:19 (five years ago)

What's Trump got against the Million Dollar Hook Man?

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:25 (five years ago)

Good lord, the full Elections Project update this morning now has the total at 21.3 million.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

The reason I stay off Twitter is elucidated by clicking on that 45 tweet above and reading not just the replies, but the related tweets. I salute all of you who wade through that crap every day. All these people deserve the guillotine, and now I need a nap.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

It's very easy not to wade through that crap once you embrace blocking nonsense

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:34 (five years ago)

man a lot of Feinstein apologists on fb today. did she have a posse I wasn’t aware of?

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:38 (five years ago)

Apologies if this was shared yesterday and I missed it, but it came across my tl this morning:

Decided to check out the Instagram of the author of today’s NY Post story on Hunter Biden and, ah, well pic.twitter.com/yTmR64WqYA

— William Turton (@WilliamTurton) October 15, 2020

Illuminating to see who the article of that NY Post laptop hit piece brags about hanging around with (to save you a click, her Instagram features her proudly posing with Hannity, Bannon Stone and displaying her Breitbart t-shirt.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:39 (five years ago)

it really sucks out here in flyover country that the NY Post has a real old school respectable newspaper name because people don't get that it's one step up from the National Enquirer

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:41 (five years ago)

but don't they hate the fake news NY Times?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:54 (five years ago)

NY Post has some truly entertaining sports headlines, sucks they're actively helping to demolish the planet

frogbs, Friday, 16 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

They do, but I genuinely think there exists a segment of flyover country that thinks the NY Post is the "conservative" competitor to the lib NY Times.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:57 (five years ago)

source: I grew up in flyover country and the NY Post was much more likely to be found lying around coffee shops (of the early morning blue collar type) and diners than the Times, if any out of town or state newspapers were to be found.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 16 October 2020 13:58 (five years ago)

That’s the way it is in NY!!

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:01 (five years ago)

its the same with the sun papers here in Toronto. they give them away – literally - to some places. the idea isn't to make money selling papers, it's to spread right wing propaganda. so you see them lying around things like chain coffee shops etc all the time.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:03 (five years ago)

That’s the way it is in NY!!

Considering I've only ever spent a grant total of six hours in NYC, this is good to know. I guess I just kind of assumed it was mostly dismissed as the rag it is.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:06 (five years ago)

oh it is dismissed you just can't avoid seeing it

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:08 (five years ago)

i throw them in the garbage out of spite sometimes when i see them sitting out.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:10 (five years ago)

xxxxxpost I mean I've never seen an NY Post irl

but if you see the headline "NY Post reports....". it just scans like a legit newspaper esp because of the Washington Post

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

i actually think that's one reason so many dummies I know share the Moonie paper, cos Washington Times sounds like New York Times.

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:18 (five years ago)

I didn't know about the Post's tabloidy status until my mid-20s for reasons like ums mentioned above (and well I was stupid in college)

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

lol I knew Washington Post was shit but it's moonies??

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:20 (five years ago)

Washington Times is.

dan selzer, Friday, 16 October 2020 14:21 (five years ago)

sorry meant NY Post with my second post. too many posts

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

Washington Times is Moony

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

Washington Times is Moonies, Epoch Times is Falun Gong, everybody's got themselves a Times.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

here are my summaries of newspaper surnames:

Examiner - written by people who had two readers on blog.com in 2006
Thinker - no thinking is going on
Greatness - ALERT - RACISM AFOOT

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

I still have a subscription to WaPo...I think? who owns things anymore, let news be ~free~

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

https://frinkiac.com/video/S05E11/uzxMUsIbIa2njGJezTiu1KLCcPU=.gif

jmm, Friday, 16 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

epoch times ads come up on YouTube every single time i try to watch something. they’re going to give me a rage stroke

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

oops sorry typo i mean to type "Washington Times" not Post sorry for the cofusion

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

Washington Post is owned by Jeff Bezos.

Boring, Maryland, Friday, 16 October 2020 14:34 (five years ago)

Paul Mooney owns the Washington Times

LaRusso Auto (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

Was curious about editorial endorsements this cycle, which were overwhelmingly pro-Clinton in 2016. To date, only one has moved away (Dallas Morning News from HRC to "no endorsement"), while 19 (including 4 science publications making endorsements for the first time in their history) moved from the no endorsement column to pro-Biden or anti-Trump.

The Biden endorsement by Surfer magazine has gotten too little attention: Why Surfers Should Vote For Joe Biden and Kamala Harris

Sanpaku, Friday, 16 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

I still have a subscription to WaPo...I think? who owns things anymore, let news be ~free~

I subscribed to WaPo after the 2016 election, it's good to support stuff and pay for it, and I only regret it when they publish trolling bullshit by Thiessen and the like

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

Op-ed pages are garbage dumps in every newspaper.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:48 (five years ago)

*prepares NYT editorial pitch on Alfred’s post, completely misreading it* “It can be said that editorials are the compost of opinion, allowing it to grow.”

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

The bravery:

Scoop w/ @ErinatThePost: Turned off by President Trump, Maryland’s GOP governor Larry Hogan casts write-in vote for Ronald Reagan... https://t.co/U36tp4WXEz

— Robert Costa (@costareports) October 16, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

gov. larry hogan, welcome to the #resistance

you are like a scampicane, there's calm in your fries (bizarro gazzara), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

source: I grew up in flyover country and the NY Post was much more likely to be found lying around coffee shops (of the early morning blue collar type) and diners than the Times, if any out of town or state newspapers were to be found.

― soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, October 16, 2020 8:58 AM

this sounds like flyover country that was close to a city! not sure i've ever seen a NYT in a morning/all-nite restaurant.

the standard set-up, iirc is:

- local newspaper (100% chance)
- tidbits (50% chance)
- USA today (25% chance)
- a short-lived "only positive news!" venture (5%)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

or a NY Post, especially

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

My dad's hometown newspaper op-ed is basically a real-life Ed Anger, it is a wonder to behold

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

xp ronald fucking reagan, lol. seriously, how do these people grow up and get elected to be the governor of a state? ronald fucking reagan? imagine having a friend who would seriously suggest voting for ronald reagan and how bizarre that would be

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

The lowest of stakes and importance but I'm still amused that two years ago Avenatti was a chief newsmaker/hyper of the year and Scaramucci a seeming flash in the pan joke even by joke standards, and now Avenatti's out of sight, out of mind and buried in endless bad decisions and verdicts and Scaramucci can deservedly troll the president for things he's literally saying this morning:

Nice to be inside what is ever left of your vacuous melon. Stop projecting! Where is the donor money? Fool me once.
We all know it was a catastrophic
year. 4 yrs.

But it’s all going to be over soon! You will be low life losing on Nov 3. Then America can move on and heal. https://t.co/K2UU49gxxI

— Anthony Scaramucci (@Scaramucci) October 16, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Wait, is Reagan even running?!

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:05 (five years ago)

I'm talking central Illinois, for the most part, specifically small towns outside of the cities. With I-55 connecting St. Louis to Chicago that may have had something to do with it. No all-nite anything around there, but the early morning farmer's crew's favorite haunts always seemed to have this breakdown:

always - Bloomington-Normal Pantagraph and the used car/tractor sales rags
usually (~75% of the time) - Chicago Tribune (tho always had the Sunday edition), NY Post
rarely (~15% of the time) - Sun-Times
almost never - Wall Street Journal, NY Times (maybe the WaPo, but I never remember seeing it)

Places in Bloomington-Normal or Champaign proper had a better mix, but I didn't hang around any of those places until college.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

Remember when the Chicago Tribune endorsed Gary Johnson? What a bunch of assholes.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

Time to start a zombie Reagan wins election containment thread?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

fwiw if you live in New York, your bodegas and "coffee shop" style diners also have the option of the Daily News which is the mainstream Dem-leaning tabloid, similarly read primarily for sports coverage and inventive headlines. There's also the Spanish-language El Diario. So I see the Post front page, sometimes, but probably there are fewer people in NYC taking its "Hunter Biden" "laptop" "story" seriously than there are in Idaho.

Doctor Casino, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

Does it say in the Constitution that the president has to be alive? I ask that as an originalist.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

https://thumbs.gfycat.com/PleasedMelodicIcterinewarbler-size_restricted.gif

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

somewhere between a Bill Plympton and a Karl Malone

Doctor Casino, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

ha, i wish!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

Not sure about other markets, but the Biden town hall beat Trump in the Minneapolis-St. Paul market ratings (10.5 to 8.1).

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

You laugh to see it

“Stepien's critics say he is in CYA mode, refusing to make tough decisions that might incur Trump's wrath while setting up excuses for what polls suggest could be a shellacking by Joe Biden.” https://t.co/aysv5lt9Oe

— Jonathan Swan (@jonathanvswan) October 16, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:18 (five years ago)

So the ratings I've seen have been NBC vs ABC, but I assume that means MSNBC and CNBC are not getting factored in though, right?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

Ah, truly the talk of confidence:

In internal conversations, Stepien and other senior officials often use the word "optionality" to describe the decision to keep dabbling in every Rust Belt battleground and preserve multiple paths to 270.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

we have to keep all the optionalities on the table

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

What a charming fellow Stepien appears to be!

A friend of mine went to high school in NJ with Stepien.
She says that she always remembered him because he singled out one girl for vicious ongoing anti-Semitic verbal abuse.

— Padraig O Mearain (@PMearain) October 16, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

Keith Moon owns the Go To The Mirror

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

They should give Trump a literal shellacking. Like, coat him in insect resin.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

This is INCREDIBLE

Judge Reggie Walton: I think when a president makes an unambiguous statement that he was declassifying information I don't think anything more is required. He clearly has indicated intent.

Walton wants WH counsel to speak to Trump about his tweets/intent https://t.co/yWZchZCZX2

— Jason Leopold (@JasonLeopold) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

Oh, and:

SIREN! The Biden Town Hall on ABC drew 2.3 million more viewers than the Trump town hall on NBC. There is nothing @realDonaldTrump cares about more than ratings. https://t.co/03OMGhEVLM

— Jonathan Karl (@jonkarl) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

So the ratings I've seen have been NBC vs ABC, but I assume that means MSNBC and CNBC are not getting factored in though, right?

Just the NBC numbers here. And as that Variety article points out, preliminary ratings.

Still, the idea that Trump didn't absolutely cream Biden in the ratings is just chef's kiss, no matter how it's sliced.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

Fake views. They buy thousands of TVs, hundreds - and just turn them on, walk out of the room.

nashwan, Friday, 16 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

Given the states that are going to count quickly, It’s basically impossible for Trump to get enough good news on election night for the networks to be even a little bit confident he’s going to go on to win.

And if Trump loses Florida on election night then it’s difficult to see a credible path to a win even if he cheats tbqh.

Biden can be almost certain of a win if he wins Florida. “Almost certain” doesn’t mean trump will concede or that the networks will declare it, and assumes the postal count in PA/MI is allowed to proceed fairly. But you can stop worrying about Biden losing fair and square if he gets Florida on the night.

There’s a remote chance the networks might be able to call it for Biden on the night https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/12/biden-trump-2020-election-night-428856

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 16 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

I am holding onto the hope that all the fears about weeks of court challenges and recounts are overblown because the decision is going to be so clear Nov. 3 that everyone just says the hell with it. Which I think is possible. There's a huge chunk of the GOP ready to cut him loose.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Friday, 16 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Fake views. They buy thousands of TVs, hundreds - and just turn them on, walk out of the room.

some version of this is actually kinda true though lol

frogbs, Friday, 16 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

I just saw a posterboard sign with this thread’s title and a “— Joe Biden” attribution on a student rental house while walking to drop off my ballot

joygoat, Friday, 16 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

long xpost but Ronald Reagan Jr. is “not afraid of burning in hell”, he’s our man

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=7INIhD9P0Pw

brimstead, Friday, 16 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

The nodding woman I mentioned last night:

https://ca.yahoo.com/news/woman-behind-trump-her-nod-013553335.html

clemenza, Friday, 16 October 2020 17:59 (five years ago)

THEY ALWAYS STACK THE DECK.....Biden's ABC Town Hall Questioners Include Former Obama Speechwriter and Wife of Former PA Dem Candidate - ZERO Questions About Hunter's Emails via @gatewaypundit https://t.co/jwwesxajmT

— Chuck Woolery (@chuckwoolery) October 16, 2020

Never gets less weird to see this stuff from the host of Love Connection or a secondary character on Love Boat who has 450k Q followers or whatever.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

lol it's so cute how they keep thinking anyone gives a fuck about Hunter's emails

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

Woolery Bully

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

Chuck Foolery

nickn, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

lots of people will think Hunter's emails are vitally important, but that's only because they are being fed that line hourly by the outrage peddlers they pay close attention to. they are a lost cause in terms of ever getting them to think about issues that can't be cast in terms of a soap opera plot.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

yeah but none of those people were ever not voting for Trump

he's just too up his own ass this time around with right wing twittersphere garbage

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

I never listen to radio outrage peddlers, but the other night I was scrolling through the AM band in my car trying to find the baseball game, and came across one of those guys yelling so hard about Hunter’s emails I thought he was going to have a stroke. I don’t know how listeners subject themselves to that much vitriol. I couldn’t do it even if it was anti-Trump radio, it’s just so toxic.

Three Rings for the Elven Bishop (Dan Peterson), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

was probably jackin' it during the call, you mistook rage for ecstacy

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

same reason Dan Bongino has a following despite having clearly achieved brain death ten years ago

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:22 (five years ago)

I wonder if it was Mark Levin you were listening to. That guy always sounded like he was gonna have a heart attack. Pls calm down sir

DT, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

just checked the early vote tracker site Ned posted

16% of Minnesota's population has voted already

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

that is nuts. what percent usually votes in total in an election campaign?

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

I really hope someone does Trump era trading cards of all the weirdos and grifters and has-beens who hitched their wagon to this flaming sceptic tank

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

Pelosi and Trump go a full year without speaking

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

xpost MN has high voter turnout, 75% in 2016

so if my math is correct, about 21% of 2016 electorate has already voted

and tomorrow is Saturday

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

Pelosi and Trump go a full year without speaking

― Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, October 16, 2020

I haven't spoken to Pelosi either

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:36 (five years ago)

Maybe it will be a new tradition to yell about emails every election. That way, sign shirt and mug producers can get a head start on their "what about the emails?!?" merch and the "who" and "why" can get figured out sometime further down the road.

Evan, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

I really hope someone does Trump era trading cards of all the weirdos and grifters and has-beens who hitched their wagon to this flaming sceptic tank

Hey, I've got a mint Lewandoswki that I will trade for a Scaramucci.

No deal, man, but I'll give you two Bannons and a fair-condition Parscale.

The ultimate prize - a rookie Omarosa - eludes me still.

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

https://i.pinimg.com/originals/98/3f/dc/983fdc2e70445ae72d9a6fbfbe177aa5.jpg

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

(Just noticed "sceptic tank." Actually I'm more stoic with a neoplatonist strain. But ymmv.)

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

I've got a holographic first edition Barr

https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/kPoAAOSwD0VZzYAf/s-l1600.jpg

Evan, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

Your taxpayer dollars are paying for Trump to deliver a speech in Florida today in which he's blasting Hunter Biden and smearing the Biden family as a "crime family." #projection pic.twitter.com/cMG8GMOQdm

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 16, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

fucking fanfic bullshit

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

Doesn't work without the alliteration of 'Clinton Crime.'

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

their excuse for losing is going to be "media in the tank for Biden/ignored Hunter's emails"

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

Doesn't work without the alliteration of 'Clinton Crime.'

Biden Balderdash

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

pfft the balderdash is a bunch of malarkey

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:57 (five years ago)

lol at Biden crime family.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:57 (five years ago)

Get that man an eye-patch, stat!

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 18:57 (five years ago)

Joe Bribin’

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Friday, 16 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

DUBLIN — Laurita Blewitt knows how deep Joe Biden’s Irish roots run. When the White House contacted her to help put together a family lunch ahead of the then-vice president’s 2016 visit to Ireland, she struggled to limit the crowd.

“He’s loads of cousins living here, in and around Ballina, and that’s just one side of his Irish family,” said Blewitt, 37, a fourth cousin who lives near the County Mayo tourist town along the River Moy...

Why isn't Biden playing up this angle more? American love the Irish. He should be stopping the train in every rust belt town for a pint of Guinness and a plate of mushy malarkey peas.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 16 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

https://media.irishpost.co.uk/uploads/2020/02/09171441/ronald-reagan-irish-pub.jpg

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

Blarney > malarkey

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

No wait

J. O'Biden

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

tbf Beau did go to Iraq but I don't think those are the crimes he had in mind

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

Hillary has joined Pelosi in weighing in on the LA City Council

Following @BernieSanders' endorsement of challenger @nithyavraman, and @SpeakerPelosi's endorsement of incumbent @davideryu, today brings another bafflingly large endorsement in an otherwise small local race: @HillaryClinton has thrown her support behind Ryu for #CD4

— LosFelizLedger (@LosFelizLedger) October 16, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

Why isn't Biden playing up this angle more? American love the Irish. He should be stopping the train in every rust belt town for a pint of Guinness and a plate of mushy malarkey peas.

― Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, October 16, 2020 2:01 PM (twelve minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

He had an aside last night about how someone told him, "You must not be Irish, you don't hold a grudge."

jaymc, Friday, 16 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

Hillary Clinton always ready to endorse a sex-crimer for public office amirite

somewhere between a Bill Plympton and a Karl Malone

or a Steadman "Paranoid"

https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/a241e4bd0dd463e43f076541a6211e68e70e56ba/95_274_3332_4276/master/3332.jpg

some version of this is actually kinda true though lol

for this to work, hundreds of dedicated voters would have to be randomly selected to become Nielsen research households, then go out and buy dozens of TVs each, then convince Nielsen that hundreds of people of the exact demographics that Nielsen are looking to fill their pool with at that time have moved into their houses, then go around the house during not only the town hall, but a convincing proportion of everything they ever watch, pressing "confirm" on the button for each of the hundreds of people living in each home, every 35 minutes. at which point they realise that they'll actually need extra manpower to manage the timing, and actually get one or two dozen people to come and live in their house permanently in order to press the buttons. by which time, they're only inflating that house's figures by a factor of like 8-10, not hundreds and thousands, so it becomes fairly statistically negligible against the entire household pool.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

Meantime, I know you all care:

NEW - Biden’s campaign looked into an endorsement from W, but it’s not coming. But if Biden wins and Trump causes chaos, Biden would lean on him to get involved.

Bush doesn’t want to get mixed up in any of it.https://t.co/ecN3Im3Qaa

— Edward-Isaac Dovere (@IsaacDovere) October 16, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 16 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

Hillary has joined Pelosi in weighing in on the LA City Council


homegirl loves a sex pest what can you do

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

that photo again

https://i.imgur.com/s85A5KD.jpg

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

lol @ regarding George W. Bush as a figure of resistance.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:38 (five years ago)

homegirl loves a sex pest
I know, I know
it's serious

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

there are times when she could have murdered seeeeeth

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

NEW: A Cleveland company that agreed to print absentee ballots for dozens of counties in OH and PA is 10 days late in getting them to voters.

The company's owners are Trump supporters and flew a Trump flag at their HQ. https://t.co/tAsKXQlOJL

— Reid J. Epstein (@reidepstein) October 16, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 16 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

lol at Biden crime family.

― Josh in Chicago, Friday, October 16, 2020 2:57 PM (fifty-six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Trump is doing a better job than Biden of making Biden seem cool.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Friday, 16 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

Sanders endorsed my local city council person for re-election (in Berkeley) and she's the most incompetent person to ever sit on the city council by some measure. Of course she's pushed his endorsement all over the place. It doesn't matter, almost everyone hates her.

akm, Friday, 16 October 2020 20:19 (five years ago)

and as a result, I put little stock in any Sanders endorsements for city elections.

akm, Friday, 16 October 2020 20:19 (five years ago)

Lol @ djp

nonsensei (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 20:23 (five years ago)

damn

In Iowa House campaign news, a brutal letter-to-the-editor in the local Solon paper pic.twitter.com/eefaTOWamJ

— Iowa Starting Line (@IAStartingLine) October 16, 2020

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 16 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

He may be a puppy killer, but he's our puppy killer.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 16 October 2020 20:57 (five years ago)

Thank you to the Iowa Pet Alliance for your endorsement and support of my candidacy. This session we increased penalties for companion animal abusers. I’ve said it before, anyone who abuses animals will eventually graduate to abusing people! pic.twitter.com/LfKwfvNCUJ

— Rep. Bobby Kaufmann (@Rep_BobbyK) August 26, 2020

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

I can't with that

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 16 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

"you don't understand Bobby, we're awarding you Best of Breed 2020"

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

Maybe three fifths would be an appropriate compromise

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/courts_law/supreme-court-census-undocumented-immigrants/2020/10/16/cf8288be-0f51-11eb-8074-0e943a91bf08_story.html

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 16 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

EXCLUSIVE: House Republicans ask FBI if it had Hunter Biden's alleged laptop during Trump's impeachment https://t.co/zWNulyOYQi pic.twitter.com/NiGorCrzo4

— Fox News (@FoxNews) October 15, 2020

these fools just asking for self owns now

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 16 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

"we had it. it mostly had My Little Pony eps on it"

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Friday, 16 October 2020 21:55 (five years ago)

Politicians of any stripe making a big deal out of drinking a pint of Guinness is far, far worse than Hillary's hot sauce in the purse thing. Guinness is just cold dark piss. Hot sauce actually tastes good.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Friday, 16 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

another data point

More than 900,000 ballots have been cast as of today; 643,000 by mail, 260,000 in early voting. That's more than 4x the number at this point in the 2016 election cycle. https://t.co/J5vAYtnm0a

— Illinois SBE (@illinoissbe) October 16, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 16 October 2020 23:57 (five years ago)

Voting and Regis

man, even after death he's getting great gigs

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

Politicians of any stripe making a big deal out of drinking a pint of Guinness is far, far worse than Hillary's hot sauce in the purse thing. Guinness is just cold dark piss. Hot sauce actually tastes good.


Ha ha that is so otm

tobo73, Saturday, 17 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

Hey come on Guinness is alright

frogbs, Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:03 (five years ago)

That's the best way to drink it iirc

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:04 (five years ago)

Trump says he may leave the US if Biden wins. pic.twitter.com/XmbtYpNDoh

— David Mack (@davidmackau) October 17, 2020

THE KING OF COMEDY (2020)

k3vin k., Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:04 (five years ago)

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2016/11/03/gettyimages-163601734-9fecd7c0b1f21ae0dd4aca436d53d14bb8a54f76.jpg

Join us...

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

“cold dark piss” is a truly winning phrase

brimstead, Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

nothing more on brand for the modern Republican party than for Matt Gaetz to tweet out "I'll never love another president again" only for Trump to repeatedly refer to him as "Rick Gates"

frogbs, Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

I keep seeing these outlier polls on RCP by some outfit called the Trafalgar Group: Trump up by 1 in Michigan (today), Trump up by 2 in Florida (Wednesday), Trump by 4 in Arizona (last Friday). They're so far from everything else you see. I googled them, and found them described as "a Georgia-based polling firm known for its ability to correctly sample hard-to-reach, conservative Trump voters"...but then looked at the site itself for three seconds, and a total right-wing clearing house. So I trust they can be ignored.

caek?

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

I think the conventional wisdom is: Pay minimal attention to individual polls except from like 3 or 4 pollsters (nyt sienna, abc/wapo, etc.) Include the likes of trafalfar in your average but they do lean right, and they are shameless enough to admit they have an explicit *goal* of leaning IIUC which the left leaning pollsters claim no to.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

Thread here explaining why hitting refresh on early vote counts tells you nothing much about the outcome except maybe some turnout hints

We've done three NC polls over the last year. We can join them up to the NC state absentee data, so we know whether they've voted early or not. Here's how they've split so far:
Abs: Biden 69, Trump 22 (n=295)
Early: Biden 55, Trump 35 (n=172)
No vote: Trump 46, Biden 42 (n=2083)

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 17, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

Guinness is fine you guys are weird

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:06 (five years ago)

i gotta take a cold dark piss

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:11 (five years ago)

isn't Guinness supposed to be room temperature dark piss?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:18 (five years ago)

if you consider that irish rooms are on the cool side, yes.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

Guinness isn't a great stout but I used to drink it all the time in high quantities so I do have a warm place for it

Dinglebarista (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

Guinness is a surprisingly pleasant beer to shotgun. Low acidity offset by feeling like you chugged a milkshake.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:24 (five years ago)

I just remember at the bar I worked at we had a special line for Guinness that didn't run out from the cooler

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:26 (five years ago)

Guinness is bad. It's like a version of a thing for people who think they like that thing but don't really know what that thing is because all they can ever find is that thing they think is the thing. Like Budweiser.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

yeah Guinness is meant to be cellar temperature, not cold. possibly Americans itt have never had it poured well, too?

and as a result, I put little stock in any Sanders endorsements for city elections.

― akm, Saturday, October 17, 2020 7:19 AM (six hours ago)

Probably for the Direction thread, but: nobody itt was citing Sanders' endorsement of Raman, they're suspicious of or alarmed by two endorsements of Ryu. There seems to be no reason to endorse "a complete nothing go-along-to-get-along" politician except to send a message to young voters, or people who care about homelessness and social services and wealth inequality, that their concerns are unheeded and their votes unwanted.

Looking for Sanders' endorsement, it seems both Raman and Davila (yr local person, I'm assuming) were part of a long list under the following statement of intent:

We need to continue building and strengthening our movement from the ground up by electing more progressives to state and local positions. Because the truth is that the victories we accomplish in this election will lay the groundwork for the future of our political revolution. With just 25 days to go, these candidates are counting on our support.

If Davila and some of the other 180-odd names on the list actually suck, that's a pity. But all Pelosi has to say about her reason for endorsing Ryu is:

“Nancy Pelosi is a leader who knows how to get things done. She helped pass Obamacare into law, expanding healthcare coverage for millions of Americans. She has reined in Wall Street, led the repeal of the discriminatory ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’ policy, and successfully beat back attempts to privatize Social Security. She knows how to move this country forward. I am proud to call her my speaker and honored to have her support in this race.”

Huh, that seems to be Ryu speaking. Well, let's see Clinton's profound appreciation of Ryu's demonstrated service to his constituency and at minimum being a massive sexual creep if not actual rapist ethics:

Hillary Clinton is a champion for women’s rights, for children, and for a more just and fair democracy,” Councilmember Ryu said. “She is an icon, she is a trailblazer, and she has delivered real tangible change for the most vulnerable in our society. I was proud to be one of the over 65 million Americans to support her candidacy for President of the United States, and I am beyond humbled to have her support in my campaign.”

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:33 (five years ago)

Budweiser is also good.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

"11 before 11" (11 20z pints before 11pm) is traditionally done with guinness because anything else is basically impossible. it's a very good drink at what it does.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

Be a beer when there is no other beer?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:36 (five years ago)

be a beer you can drink in tremendous volume with the rest of the rugby club

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 04:04 (five years ago)

none better

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 04:04 (five years ago)

Guinness is delicious, I just drank four of them

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 17 October 2020 05:03 (five years ago)

Don’t particularly like biden even to get a beer with but I’m reading the supposed death blow to bidens campaign and hoping I can be as good a dad as him, so great job giuliani etc.

https://nypost.com/2020/10/16/texts-show-raw-intimate-exchange-between-joe-and-hunter-biden/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 06:29 (five years ago)

yeah that brought me to tears

terminators of endearment (VegemiteGrrl), Saturday, 17 October 2020 06:30 (five years ago)

same, and I mostly hate the guy

Fetchboy, Saturday, 17 October 2020 06:35 (five years ago)

Guineas used to have an ice cold option available at the bar for a number of years.specific cold tap version.
& it does seem to.matter about the pouring process. Can't just pour it straight like a lager or something.

Stevolende, Saturday, 17 October 2020 07:55 (five years ago)

Maybe Biden doesn't play up the Irish thing because it means playing up the Catholic thing which doesn't seem like it's in the plus column for presidents.

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Saturday, 17 October 2020 09:28 (five years ago)

daring stuff from Clinton with the half-pint of Murphy's

Number None, Saturday, 17 October 2020 09:46 (five years ago)

“I feel your pint!”

Welcome to Nonrock (breastcrawl), Saturday, 17 October 2020 10:15 (five years ago)

Guinness is irredeemably bad, and I've had good pours at good pubs. Still is a shitty stout!

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 17 October 2020 11:56 (five years ago)

Catholic thing which doesn't seem like it's in the plus column for presidents.

Also not historically popular with yer Guinness overlords.

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:15 (five years ago)

I haven't had a Guinness in years -- I'm not much of a beer drinker -- but I won't turn it down, you savages.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:16 (five years ago)

*non-drinker stays quiet*

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:16 (five years ago)

Guinness is bad. It's like a version of a thing for people who think they like that thing but don't really know what that thing is because all they can ever find is that thing they think is the thing. Like Budweiser.

― Josh in Chicago, Friday, October 16, 2020 10:32 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

Oooh tell me more Professor Beer on second thought eat my room temperature ass

Bragging about being as beer snob in 2020 is so lame it's incredible

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:33 (five years ago)

Like who hasn't had like 1,000 different craft beers at this point get over yourself

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:33 (five years ago)

Ha! I just don't like the beer! I assume it's one of the only stouts people can name off the top of their head, including me, because it's so well marketed. You want beer snob, my wife is in beer marketing and keeps telling me the hard seltzer train shows no sign of slowing down. Now, if there's anything that can unite us all it's an aversion to hard seltzer.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:42 (five years ago)

I like Guinness! It's fine. I know, I have had other stouts. I dunno

Hard seltzer I'm good for one, but I drank a bunch once and my stomach was a wreck, it's so acidic. There is a local beer company Fulton that started making one I liked better, it's way less flavor, kind of like a mineral water with a twist of lime, etc but alcoholic

But yeah more than one I can't do

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 12:57 (five years ago)

My job is done here

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:00 (five years ago)

cold dark piss vs room temperature ass

Number None, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:01 (five years ago)

if only we had Adrian here for the swing vote

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:02 (five years ago)

I just remembered that once as a gift I had a custom ice cream flavor made for my wife based on her preferences, and I think Guinness played a role. It was a chocolate milk stout with shortbread and toffee, and it was delicious. Could have been any stout, I guess. The ice cream maker was Joe Swanberg's wife! She loved the result, but shortly thereafter moved on from her hobby.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

Is that from that recent Sing “☮️” the Times reissue?
xp

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:07 (five years ago)

lol, ums, does that make you a ... hard seltzer snob?! ;)

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:07 (five years ago)

Ugh, Sign “☮️” the Times

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:08 (five years ago)

Did you italicize a peace sign? I didn't know you could do that.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:12 (five years ago)

In the sense that the peace sign was inside the italics, yes. What would have been really cool is if there had been some sort of affine transformation of it.

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:16 (five years ago)

there was

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:17 (five years ago)

(Googles affine, learns a new word)

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:18 (five years ago)

Now imaging some unreleased Westerberg/Nelson collabo and a recently discovered setlist from the 7th Street Entry featuring the letters “RTA.” #OneThread

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:20 (five years ago)

there was

Oh wait it, doesn’t work in Zing but yeah

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:22 (five years ago)

Vote total update over 25 million as I suspected. That’s now over half the early vote of 2016, approaching 1/5th the overall vote of 2016 and 1/8th of the current total electorate.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:29 (five years ago)

So basically this bellend ranting on about how postal votes are all fraudulent has meant way more people voting in person, thereby making his cunning plan to contest the results that much more difficult?

logout option: disabled (Matt #2), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:37 (five years ago)

Ums, just to clarify that I'm definitely not a beer snob. I drink malt liquor on the regular. If you gave me a choice between Guinness and an Axe Head or Steel Reserve, I'd choose the latter every time-- I just think Guinness is bad! I'm not one for stouts, tho, unless they're Imperial.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Yeah it’s worth noting that while there certainly have been mail votes in that total, of course (or direct dropoffs of ballots), there’s been a hell of a lot of in person voting, with numbers that will increase as more early voting options open up, like in Florida next week. I’ve been wondering more than once about how Trump and company’s rumblings about poll watchers on Election Day, while obviously horrible, are also missing out on the minor fact that a huge amount of voters are basically cutting them off at the pass. Certainly there’s going to be a lot of voting on the day but I do wonder how much of it will essentially be banked and done.

I think what’ll be telling is the numbers for next week. We went from about 8 or so million votes on Monday morning to 25 million this morning; allowing for slower weekend numbers, the question is how many votes are in place by this time next week. If it’s somehow 45 million or so — just shy of the 2016 early vote total — with 10 further days to go, then that’s a heck of a shift.

Worth noting, meantime, that various figures on polling Twitter are hesitant if not skeptical at saying this is clearly a Biden slam-dunk, and that’s fair. But there’s been an increase in noting at how this can change likely voter projections, and how numbers are starting to match up to some degree. I stick with my guess we’re seeing general increased enthusiasm but with a clear bent nonetheless.

One other thing: it’s also been argued in a couple of spots that enthusiasm itself might not mean an actual increased vote total in the end. Which would be interesting if depressing since that would mean about a third of the electorate still didn’t vote. Now I’m hardly expecting 100% but it’d be nice to see somewhat higher numbers. Anecdotally that certainly seems to be the case but we won’t know until we do.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:52 (five years ago)

guinness is good, you ipafucks

Yerac, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

i hate IPAs

i like Guinness

I like stouts

I like butts

I like like

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:03 (five years ago)

ipacacs would be a good put down.

I like stouts, just not that one. Who owns Guinness, Diageo?

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:05 (five years ago)

Jim Guinness iirc

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:07 (five years ago)

James "Jim" Guinness.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:09 (five years ago)

yerac otm

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:10 (five years ago)

Kip Guinness

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:11 (five years ago)

So the mail carrier in Pittsburgh that discarded bags of mail is a Q guy?

https://www.yahoo.com/news/usps-worker-suspected-throwing-away-230656498.html

a certain derecho (brownie), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

A good polling Twitter thread re what early voting and party ID might or might not mean. Again, think of these totals as measures of enthusiasm rather than clear signs, at least for now. We’ll know if it’s otherwise soon enough:

You'll see a lot of early voting statistics out there that cite the partisan makeup of early voters, like, say, a D+15 among absentees in Florida, based on registration.
But remember this: the presidential preference of these voters is even more skewed than the party reg.

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 17, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:18 (five years ago)

Notable (Harris being of course the county where Houston is; Abbott’s clear shenanigans at trying to limit early voting seems to have just sparked a backlash and response in kind):

Not out of the question some large TX counties like Harris could exceed their *total* 2016 votes cast before Election Day. Just massive. https://t.co/tDQuoKE4Fs

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 17, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:25 (five years ago)

omg, early voting numbers are correlating with the spike in covid, voting causes covid, stay at home!

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

can i just say there will never be a better us politics thread title

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

especially since I keep thinking it's a quote from "Housequake."

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

The beauty is still on duty, unfortunately.

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:36 (five years ago)

That Nate Cohn twitter thread reads suspiciously like "Nothing means anything! Stay tuned and trust only me!"

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 17 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

that's every twitter feed

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

Holy shit those Q nerds claim JFK Jr will be appearing at Trump's Dallas rally to replace Pence!? This thing goes deeeeep.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

it does seem to matter about the pouring process. Can't just pour it straight like a lager or something.

Before the 1960s, when Guinness adopted the current system of delivery using a nitrogen/carbon dioxide gas mixture, all beer leaving the brewery was cask-conditioned. Casks newly delivered to many small pubs were often nearly unmanageably frothy, but cellar space and rapid turnover demanded that they be put into use before they could sit for long enough to settle down. As a result, a glass would be part filled with the fresh, frothy beer, allowed to stand a minute, and then topped up with beer from a cask that had been pouring longer and had calmed down a bit.[74] With the move to nitrogen gas dispense in the 1960s, it was felt important to keep the two-stage pour ritual in order to bring better consumer acceptance of the modern nitrogen-based delivery. As Guinness has not been cask-conditioned for decades, the two-stage pour has been labeled a marketing ploy that does not actually affect the beer's taste.[75]

visiting, Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Cohn is being cautious because we thought we had a heavy early voting advantage in 2016, too

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

Holy shit those Q nerds claim JFK Jr will be appearing at Trump's Dallas rally to replace Pence!? This thing goes deeeeep.

― Josh in Chicago, Saturday, October 17, 2020 10:02 AM (eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yeah but if this happens, won’t we feel silly for making fun of it???

covidiot wind, blowin every time you lift your mask (voodoo chili), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

In 2018, Beto beat Cruz in Harris County by 16 points. And the blue wave of 2018 is one reason why Harris County is smashing early voting records now... Diane Trautman (a Democrat) replaced Stan Stanart (Republican) as Harris County Clerk. Trautman stepped down in May 2020 for health reasons and was replaced by another Dem, Chris Hollins. They've been working very hard to make it easier to vote and increase turnout. And naturally Abbott and the state government have been fighting them every step of the way.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

That Nate Cohn twitter thread reads suspiciously like "Nothing means anything! Stay tuned and trust only me!"

Part of me definitely thinks a lot of people are being generally gunshy even in the face of wider trends.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

...about those odds.

EXCLUSIVE: Rudy Giuliani says
there is only a ‘50/50’ chance he worked with a ‘Russian spy’ to dig dirt on the Bidenshttps://t.co/3yb8eHJ6X3

— Noah Shachtman (@NoahShachtman) October 17, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

I'm not one for stouts, tho, unless they're Imperial.

So, you're not a beer snob, just a beer imperialist?

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

When your sclera is the same colour as your skin.

Oracle founder donated $250,000 to Graham PAC in final days of TikTok deal https://t.co/Gv5Kc8Xbsw

— ashe dryden (@ashedryden) October 17, 2020

nashwan, Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

The Nate Cohn thread is not him obtusely saying no one knows anything. We have tons of information. Biden is the favourite. It’s him saying early voting numbers tell us nothing about the outcome of the election. An early vote is not worth more than a regular vote. Yes we have a lot of democratic votes already. But we know the Election Day vote is going to be different. We don’t know how with anything like the precision required to predict close elections. What we’re seeing this year with early voting is so unlike previous years that it’s impossible to extrapolate.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

You see the same argument from other pollsters btw. Obviously they have a professional interest in polls continuing to be the main source of information about the election. But imo they are absolutely right.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

As Guinness has not been cask-conditioned for decades, the two-stage pour has been labeled a marketing ploy that does not actually affect the beer's taste

counterpoint: https://www.instagram.com/shitlondonguinness

Number None, Saturday, 17 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

yeah I thought I remembered a lot of similar discussion about early voting in 2016 but I'm not gonna look at those ILX threads for instance to find it---there are posters whose confidence about Clinton's victory made me think less of anything they said for some time, and I'm over that now but would rather not reopen the cask as it were.

All cars are bad (Euler), Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

#onethread

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Very much one thread. I just don't care for the sweet, chocolate nature of regular stouts. Call me a simp but I've always liked hops and high-IBU beers! sorry!

Also, the farmers market this morning was awash in boomers with Biden/Harris gear, smiling smugly while buying apple pies.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

if you pour a guinness all at once the head is too big. that challop offtm

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:34 (five years ago)

Early vote trends are not going to tell us who is going to win. (Maybe Ralston exception.) If you are tempted to use early vote/absentee ballot trends to figure out who is the next prez, please stop. https://t.co/x5Y0ThEwKM

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 17, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

Also, the farmers market this morning was awash in boomers with Biden/Harris gear, smiling smugly while buying apple pies.

good good, we need boomers voting biden + more apple pies

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

The Ralston referred to is Jon Ralston, who is pretty much the guy to follow for any Nevada results, and is a solid news reporter -- he started up an operation called The Nevada Independent after 2016 that's head and shoulders the best resource I've seen for politics in the state, good slate of reporters as well as coverage in Spanish as well. Nate Cohn had a further read on why Ralston and NV can be pretty well predicted in advance:

As an aside, it's worth thinking about why the Ralston/NV-based predictions tend to hold up, while it can be embarrassing elsewhere. I think there are two basic reasons https://t.co/dlPNShttcc

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 17, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

Ralston's own feed is at https://twitter.com/RalstonReports

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

one of the many small shitty things about trump is that his habit of teetotaling makes saying "i don't drink" that much more likely to be sneered at

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

one of the many small shitty things about trump Bush is that his habit of teetotaling makes saying "i don't drink" that much more likely to be sneered at

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

Biden doesn’t drink either

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

who was the last Presidential lush?

akm, Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

Dubya used to get high and start wars

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

who was the last Presidential lush?

― akm, Saturday, October 17, 2020

Clinton, Carter, and Reagan were light drinkers. Obama and Poppy Bush are the last presidents to enjoy a martini or two (Obama liked craft beer too, that commie)

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

https://www.politico.com/story/2011/10/eating-like-the-first-lady-065558

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

I had to drive to Bucks County just now and ran smack into a Trump truck parade, stretching for miles. Hundreds of cars waving Trump flags.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

my cursory investigation seems to indicate the last presidents who really liked to put it away (not counting Bush 2, since he was sober by the time he was in office) were Kennedy, and prior to that, possibly FDR.

akm, Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

dunno why but I assumed Johnson was a big drinker. He looks like one.

akm, Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

Call me crazy but I kinda would prefer it if the President was not drinking a lot of alcohol, even Trump (who looks like he's taking other stuff anyway)

Nhex, Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

Such parades might reassure timid or discouraged Trump voters looking on that it's worth voting, but the participants in the parade were sure as shit going to vote for Trump, come hell or high water. It's just their way of celebrating themselves.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pYvA1Mh363c

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

LBJ liked his Cutty Sark. Ford championed the three-martini lunch until Betty admitted her alcoholism.

FDR drank; unfortunately, no one else could drink his vermouth-heavy martinis.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

There are various accounts of Nixon drinking heavily his last year in office.

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

Call me crazy but I kinda would prefer it if the President was not drinking a lot of alcohol, even Trump (who looks like he's taking other stuff anyway)


yeah all things equal I’d prefer a pres who’s a light or moderate drinker.

but at the risk of sounding like one of those David Gergen assholes, it might not tbf the worst thing if Congress (partic hyper-focused, evangelical tea party psychopaths) were a little more chill w it. Maybe they’d spend more time on conventional libidinal pursuits, less time in the Heritage Foundation library doing Bible study.

I’d rather em be stupid and lazy than stupid and consumed with their “Project”

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

for perhaps obvious reasons, ford's term marked the last presidency where drinking heavily might be reasonably culturally acceptable.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

to wit:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OnD4dEt1bng

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:16 (five years ago)

David Gergen* = or whoever used to chatter on cable news about how ‘bipartisanship’ got done in the good ol days.


note: I’d prefer the Dems/ left become hyper-focused dead-eyed psychopaths intent on universal healthcare and free college

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:16 (five years ago)

Reading up a little bit more, sounds like Nixon was drunk regularly, but that that didn't require much alcohol in his case (as little as a single drink).

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

"I kinda would prefer it if the President was not drinking a lot of alcohol" yeah me too, I don't want someone with that kind of decision making power having blackouts

akm, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

I have a theory the story of Dubya passing out while choking on a pretzel was likely a silly cover story for falling off the wagon.

Chris L, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:21 (five years ago)

Hm. This went up a couple days ago.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:22 (five years ago)

I do remember Obama, a professor, and a cop staggering around the Rose Garden during some televised beer-bong party.

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

when you're going to throw an undeserved Score Settling party for a racist cop while being photographed from 150 ft away

make it an o'douls

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:40 (five years ago)

for perhaps obvious reasons, ford's term marked the last presidency where drinking heavily might be reasonably culturally acceptable.


Like I get that high-functioning alcoholism is certainly less celebrated than it once might have been in say the 60s, but this is a pendulum in history. We once BANNED the stuff for an entire decade (a ban that FDR himself apparently did not heed, according to several accounts), and boozy brunches are still a huge thing among all demographics for which the activity is legal.

I’m probably just interpreting your post too broadly.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

iirc the beer that Obama drank at the Beer Summit was a homebrew from the WH kitchen, a honey wheat ale.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

During the pre-COVID days I was reluctant to brunch because it left nothing for me to look forward to later in the day or early evening.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

On many Saturdays pre-COVID I would often get two entrees for brunch along with 4-5 strong beers (not guinness lol) and have a healthy nap afterwards.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:49 (five years ago)

it’s a marathon imo

xp

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:49 (five years ago)

presidents should smoke weed, maaan

(not really joking)

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

JFK Jr set to be revealed as Trumps running mate today

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

We once BANNED the stuff for an entire decade (a ban that FDR himself apparently did not heed, according to several accounts), and boozy brunches are still a huge thing among all demographics for which the activity is legal.

this is a reasonable point but i don't see that pendulum swinging back ever again? instantaneous communication, mass media and nuclear weapons have changed the stakes for the office.
of course, i woulda argued the same point about 45 being nominated in the first place, so pay no attention to me

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

Re: Trump parade, Bucks had always had its vile white supremacist element. From my knowledge, it's about half the county, and probably will be until the Northeast creep continues...(that is, until the increasingly Black and non-white Hispanic population of NE Philly moves to the burbs). Other than South Jersey, Bucks is certainly the most racist part of the Philly metro.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:59 (five years ago)

tbf one of the things that made me like Warren was her affinity for grabbin beers

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 17 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

If abortions were a for profit, lucrative industry, Republicans would rebrand it with another term, sell a concierge version to rich people, and promote the fuck out of it.

Same reason why they'd never go back and ban beer again

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

https://www.thedailybeast.com/how-harry-truman-ran-a-bourbon-soaked-white-house

Elvis Telecom, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

One of the small stories in Nixonland or the Invisible Bridge has a drunk Nixon on the end of his tether wandering the halls of the White House ranting at Presidential portraits.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:29 (five years ago)

Pretty much the basis of this film:

https://www.criterion.com/films/955-secret-honor

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

hell yeah Philip Baker Hall. I’ve been meaning to check this out for a minute

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

Nixon used to duck out to Trader Vic's and down a couple of Navy Grogs.

jaymc, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

lol of course alfred is ILX's source for every 20th c. president's martini habits

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

and why not indeed

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:51 (five years ago)

presidents should smoke weed, maaan

(not really joking)

― A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, October 17, 2020 1:50 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

Jimmy Carter's son Chip smoked weed at the White House with Willie Nelson.

jaymc, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

https://time.com/4342019/drunk-president-history/

The President drank Cutty Sark scotch and soda out of a large white plastic foam cup. Periodically, Johnson would slow down and hold his left arm outside the car, shaking the cup and ice. A Secret Service agent would run up to the car, take the cup and go back to the station wagon. There another agent would refill it with ice, scotch, and soda as the first agent trotted behind the wagon. Then the first agent would run the refilled cup up to LBJ’s outstretched and waiting hand, as the President’s car moved slowly along.

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Saturday, 17 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

oh, man, I do that too!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 17 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

People who have figured out how to live ...

nickn, Saturday, 17 October 2020 21:43 (five years ago)

Pretty much the basis of this film:

https://www.criterion.com/films/955-secret-honor

― Ned Raggett, Saturday, October 17, 2020

just watched Secret Honor a few nights ago!

Dan S, Saturday, 17 October 2020 21:47 (five years ago)

Drunk Nixon is also front and center for the last half-hour of Oliver Stone's film. (Drunk Pat, too, in at least one scene.)

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

Ulysses S. Grant to thread

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

The White House was opened to all for a post-inaugural reception and was filled by the public even before Jackson arrived on horseback.[1] Soon afterward, Jackson left by a window[1][4] or a side entrance,[5] and proceeded to Gadsby's Hotel in Old Town Alexandria, Virginia. The crowd continued to descend into a drunken mob, only dispersed when bowls of liquor and punch were placed on the front lawn of the White House.[4] "I never saw such a mixture," said Joseph Story, then a justice of the Supreme Court: "The reign of King Mob seemed triumphant."[1] The White House was left a mess, including several thousand dollars worth of broken china.[5]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_inauguration_of_Andrew_Jackson

earlnash, Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

is Oliver Stone's Nixon bonkers in a bad or in an amusing way?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

It's one of my favourite films; I am way, way in the minority on that one. The first warning I always give is that have to be able to accept Anthony Hopkins' not-really-Nixon performance; if you can't get past that--to the point where he becomes one of the film's fascinations--forget it.

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:44 (five years ago)

"you have to be able"

clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:44 (five years ago)

MSNBC making sure per final-word expert guest on the subject that the public knows QAnon followers are "not gullible and not stupid"

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:49 (five years ago)

what I ask would a gullible person look like

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:49 (five years ago)

narrator: they were gullible and stupid

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

It's like calling a chinchilla gullible and stupid, is I think what he meant. N/A.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Sunday, 18 October 2020 01:21 (five years ago)

Checking in to see JFK Jr. made his appearance.

Boring, Maryland, Sunday, 18 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

he was on fire

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Sunday, 18 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMhAnbJ02HQ

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Sunday, 18 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

Not a joke, folks: Biden says that once he's president he's gonna "pick up the phone" and calls Republicans "and say, let's get together."

He predicts that with Trump gone, "there's going to be, I promise you, between 4 and 8 Republican senators" willing to work with him.

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 16, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 08:10 (five years ago)

Cue up the Arrested Development credits music

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 08:10 (five years ago)

lucy_football.gif

Elvis Telecom, Sunday, 18 October 2020 08:11 (five years ago)

so suddenly the masses waiting for hours in queues ask what the purpose is and go home and others stay there. Gorlumme picking a moment is quite important right now innit?
& i don't think this was the one.

Stevolende, Sunday, 18 October 2020 08:44 (five years ago)

oh no we don’t want any Republican cooties

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Sunday, 18 October 2020 13:35 (five years ago)

i guess i am not voting for biden

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Sunday, 18 October 2020 13:38 (five years ago)

I remember a time when presidential candidates would need to show (or at least lie about) who could best "cross the aisle" to get legislation passed. It was way back in every election ever.

here we go, ten in a rona (onimo), Sunday, 18 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Ida thunk current GOP cooties would be pretty nasty. removes spine, makes you sell out at the drop of a hat. or whatever euphemism currently in use, buying in?
give money to big business instead of dealing with a pandemic, which is quite extreme cooties innit.

I thought people wanted to go for Republican voters and not the republican politicians and enablers who one would want to be getting rid of to try to return some kind of justice to the place.

Stevolende, Sunday, 18 October 2020 13:52 (five years ago)

Vote count at 27.5 million, a hair under 20% of the 2016 vote total.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 14:08 (five years ago)

4-8 senators willing to hold their nose while pulling him right foe a huge win is probably true.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

Texas now leads the country in the raw number of people who have voted early (nearly 3.9 million) and as a percentage of their 2016 vote (43.2%) https://t.co/s8K2xFDeSA

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 18, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 14:51 (five years ago)

really disappointing that that isn't THAT Michael McDonald

akm, Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:00 (five years ago)

how could he tally votes, he keeps forgettin

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

Small thing but worth noting that New York early voting won't start until Saturday the 24th -- if the overall numbers before then approach the 2016 level of early voting at 47 million (and there's a good chance it could), the final total will be a hell of a thing.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

If Biden wants to try to persuade Republican senators to work with him, I say go for it. But he needs to quickly pivot once it becomes clear that they have no interest in doing so. It can't be a prolonged courtship that prevents Democrats from moving forward. (Hopefully, we won't need them, anyway.)

jaymc, Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

it worked last time he was in the white house!

k3vin k., Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

so will there be another October surprise to sink Trump the Friday before (and not a long-promised dump that never surfaces)?

bets here

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

The n-word tapes haven't made an appearance yet...

logout option: disabled (Matt #2), Sunday, 18 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

A useful note in a new NYT piece here:

“Our base loves the stuff about Hunter Biden, laptops and Mayor Giuliani,” Mr. Kochel added. “But they’re already voting for Trump.”

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

Lol welcome to Southern California where this is the main story

I’m in Newport Beach, where the president is holding a fundraiser this afternoon. Trump supporters are significantly outnumbered by a group of Armenian Americans holding a protest pic.twitter.com/DQfSyxOgAs

— Arit John (@aritbenie) October 18, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

WTF is it with Blue states with short early voting windows? Maryland’s early voting is only one week, starting next week. Meanwhile Georgia and Texas have already begun.

Boring, Maryland, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:20 (five years ago)

Good question. I feel it's usually longer where I am, too. This year the earliest I can vote is tomorrow, though I know early voting started weeks ago in other parts of the state.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

DC doesn’t start early voting until Oct 27!

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

hope all Red States do late voting

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

Too Late Voting.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

I was on the fence, but she makes a really good point!

I’m voting for @realDonaldTrump because he’s NOT a politician. I voted for him 4 years ago for this reason and shall vote for him again for this reason. He gets things done quickly and he will turn the economy around quickly. There you have it folks there you have it🙄

— Kirstie Alley (@kirstiealley) October 17, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

can someone remind me what Gov Whitner (MI) did, again, to prompt conservatives across the country to want to "lock her up"?

honestly, i can't remember - is it anything beyond her attempts to keep people safe from covid-19 infringing on the freedom of patriots? every time i hear trump or someone else advocate for violent revolution in MI, that seems to be the only thing they bring up. nasty woman, very mean. "that governor". doesn't cooperate on covid-19, doesn't express appreciation for the president's help. trump tried to help, that woman refused. freedom.

is there anything else?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

She, in true Nazi fashion, tried to limit large social gatherings and make people wear a mask to keep them from catching and spreading a deadly virus.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

they are just morons who like chantings "lock her up"

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

The Azerbaijan/Armenia situation threatens to blow up into something enormous that destabilizes the entire Middle East and it's a shame it hasn't gotten more attention in the US. I see Pompeo finally said something weak about Turkey's involvement but I don't expect aa Trump admin or military will get involved and I suspect if they could it would be to side with Erdogan (apparently Iran is backing Armenia which is a major 'politics makes strange bedfellows' moment)

akm, Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

It’s got a ton of coverage in LA because LA has like the third biggest Armenian population outside Armenia and Ukraine. There’s a story about it in the LA Times most days afaict. But yeah it’s under the radar everywhere else. I can’t imagine trump knows much about it.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

Also lol presumably he’s seeing some internal polling

Oh my // Cornyn initially described his relationship with Trump as “maybe like a lot of women who get married and think they’re going to change their spouse, and that doesn’t usually work out very well.” https://t.co/YD3OVlJN3h

— Seung Min Kim (@seungminkim) October 18, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

"maybe like a lot of women who get married and think they’re going to change their spouse, and that doesn’t usually work out very well.”

that's a very strange thing to say. uhhh...why is it specifically women who do this and why doesn't it work out well for them?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

The Azerbaijan/Armenia situation has been front-page news in France nearly every day, but yeah in the usa that's just extended flyover country.

All cars are bad (Euler), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

The Azerbaijan/Armenia situation threatens to blow up into something enormous that destabilizes the entire Middle East and it's a shame it hasn't gotten more attention in the US.

Honestly if it wasn't for Armenian American friends of mine I wouldn't've have known about it.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

I mean, I know it's a fundraiser but why is Trump spending any time in California?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

Thread from Nancy Pelosi’s least favorite LA council candidate explaining what’s up

LA is home to the largest population of Armenian people in the world outside of Armenia. Today, many are rightfully terrified by violent aggression from Azerbaijan and Turkey in the region of Artsakh.

Here's what's happening, and why we stand with Armenians. (thread)

— Nithya Raman (@nithyavraman) October 12, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

xpost It's in Newport Beach, it's one of the few places that he would want to go to there, trust me.

If you want to put those Texas numbers upthread a bit in a further context:

Texas shatters another election record with 16.95 million registered voters https://t.co/9qtX3QjHx1

— Dallas Morning News (@dallasnews) October 17, 2020

Making the 3.9 million total of people who have already voted close to a 1/4 of the total electorate there. Pretty big!

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

I mean, I know it's a fundraiser but why is Trump spending any time in California?


$150,000/plate and they’re out of money.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-10-18/trump-fundraiser-california basically this

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

Yeah I've been trying a little to follow the Armenia/Azerbaijan thing and to an outsider it's extremely hard to tell what's going on or who to believe

Guayaquil (eephus!), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

Is it really true that Republicans like voting on election day and ONLY election day? I'm having a hard time wrapping my head around this one.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

(Biden) predicts that with Trump gone, "there's going to be, I promise you, between 4 and 8 Republican senators" willing to work with him.

If the Democrats take the Senate with at least 52 votes then this is probably a good prediction. If McConnell attempts to filibuster every bill he knows there's a very high chance the filibuster will be shitcanned.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

Nobody’s ever tried to suppress their vote so it’s straightforward for them.

santa clause four (suzy), Sunday, 18 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

The Biden campaign got the Beastie Boys to license Sabotage for this new ad. https://t.co/RQZg7cpre3

— Josh Dorner (@JoshDorner) October 18, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

Is it really true that Republicans like voting on election day and ONLY election day? I'm having a hard time wrapping my head around this one.


They vote the way the founding fathers intended, begging your boss to take off an hour from work.

Boring, Maryland, Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

Is it really true that Republicans like voting on election day and ONLY election day?

For quite a few elections early in this century Republican absentee ballots outnumbered Democrat absentee ballots and helped to swing some close elections. The Kool Aid that mail-in ballots are rife with fraud is just a little something Trump cooked up for this election, as a new means of vote suppression and to pre-justify litigation to invalidate large numbers of votes, especially from carefully selected locales.

The fact that he has been successful in selling this nonsense is a tribute to the gullibility of millions of Republicans who require zero evidence for anything Trump (or FOX news) says is true.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

It used to be that everyone waited for the wave of absentee military votes to spill in for the GOP, but I'm not sure that trend is so secure anymore.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

Good tweet

There is a suburban GOP-held House seat that Romney won by 15%+ and Trump won by 10%+. Today, at least two private surveys I've seen have Trump *down* 10%+ there.

In the past few weeks, I've heard the word "bloodbath" uttered in multiple convos w/ GOP pollsters/ad makers.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 18, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

thank god

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

"maybe like a lot of women who get married and think they’re going to change their spouse, and that doesn’t usually work out very well.”

that's a very strange thing to say. uhhh...why is it specifically women who do this and why doesn't it work out well for them?

― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, October 18, 2020 5:00 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

oh my jesus he really said that.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

I have received 11 emails from the Trump campaign since last night, and 7 between Friday night and Saturday. I haven't read any of them, but the tone of the subject lines has gone from (over the months that I've been on the list) chest-beating confidence to blustery demanding-my-money to skittish pleading. They haven't gone full Gil-from-the-Simpsons yet, but by next week, who can say? I will say that the fact that they're still pounding on me, someone who has never given them a nickel, shows that they're basically turning over the couch cushions, endlessly re-tilling even the deadest soil in hope of grabbing anything at all. (N.B.: even after he got the rona, the emails offering the prospective donor the chance to "Meet Donald Trump!" never stopped.)

but also fuck you (unperson), Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:57 (five years ago)

the man's about to get wrecked

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 18:59 (five years ago)

Apologies if this has been posted already, but this is the most comprehensive overview/explainer I've yet seen on what to anticipate in the coming couple of months, and should be widely shared. Fair warning, sobering stuff:

https://docs.google.com/document/u/0/d/1aqmM4xtwrQICCu5KldYePLf3Zk_TMzRo71wRvyPmLfk/mobilebasic?usp=gmail&gxids=7628

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

xp to aimless

I get the Republican aversion to mail-in voting, but not to early voting. To me, it just seems like a matter of convenience and I don't get exactly why it would have a partisan bent.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

Like is there really any reason to believe there's a massive republican movement to hold off on voting until election day?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

xp hadrian, i hope that stuff doesn't happen.

someone on ilx said that we can throw cabbages at him until a giant cartoon cane from offstage comes in an pulls him away. in this process his wig may fly off his head as outlined in article 12 section 8 of the US Constitution.

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:12 (five years ago)

Apologies if this has been posted already

I saved it off to my local computer to read later. thx.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

xp well yeah, the thrust of it is we should avoid "hoping" it won't happen, but rather be fully prepared for it to happen, and to rest assured that in the event of any outcome short of a landslide, the opposition will stop at nothing to take the office by litigation, not to mention faithless electors.

I think the dates are important to understand and good to have organized like this.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

I do worry that the lessons of 2000 still haven't permeated.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

i'm glancing over it now

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

blue texas would be an amazing thing

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Yes, it would. It's quite a long shot, but also the outcome I want more than anything else in this election.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Sunday, 18 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

My wife voted early in-person.

I am still intending to vote on the day, partly because of sentimentality and tradition, partly because I am still a little spooked about shenanigans and/or malarkey.

(This despite voting in what is among the bluest places in the universe - like 80% D.)

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

every vote counts when you're running up the score

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

i don't mean to jinx it, but it feels good right now

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

I wouldn't call it a total sign but: my dad, a generally conservative fellow in temperment but never rabidly right-wing, religiously or otherwise, never liked Trump from the get-go, and has been looking forward to voting him out. In talking with him on the phone today, though, I would say he's upped his feelings to a strong degree, complaining about GOP voter suppression tactics (which on top of his anger with the police after this year's horrors is quite honestly a shift I never really expected to hear) and generally conveying how ready he was to be done with the election. He's already sent in his ballot but there was a really vivid sense at how much he just loathed Trump. Now, he's one of those seniors that Biden is happily relying on, of course -- will turn 80 in December -- and again, it wasn't like he had done some complete 180. But as a measure of how much someone has been, however unintentionally, pushed to a particular place he might not have always found himself on a wider level, I do think his story is less anecdotal and more like a wider tendency playing out.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

Bingo. My dad is a former 80s-90s conservative who is now just more a mild anti-PC curmudgeon who went from not-liking Trump but thinking he was treated unfairly in 2016 to wishing him dead in 2020.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

This means Biden is going to support it. Coons is on the right of the party and wants a cabinet position.

Not only is Coons an institutionalist and a comparatively moderate Democrat, he’s also a member of Biden’s inner circle.

This feels like a big deal. https://t.co/VgQ1uEdarS

— B’’H (@mikeyfranklin) October 18, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

Coons is the worst sort of hack, so this is a big deal.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

they have to. a 6 - 3 court will overturn any liberal legislation they pass. it's not just flashpoint issues like roe v. wade, literally anything that impinges on the "freedom" of corporations will be struck down.

treeship., Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

please let it be true

I will be very surprised

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

"My mind is open but we just couldn't convince Joe Manchin/Kyrsten Sinema/etc."

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

o hai
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2020/10/14/sen-kyrsten-sinema-opposes-court-packing-some-democrats-want/3645042001/

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

Opponents are correct in that "court packing" will likely destroy the Supreme Court, or at least spark some sort of constitutional crisis. Just the practicalities of it are hard to fathom. How many more justices do you appoint? And what happens further down the road, does the GOP just start appointing justices? How many? I have no idea how it all plays out, but the intent and behavior of the GOP over the last few decades doesn't leave a lot of room for alternatives. Can a justice be removed? I know it's never been done, right? Seems that packing the court could force opponent's hands and make them concede term limits, at the very least.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

Josh the supreme court has already been destroyed.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

Yeah that is noteworthy, esp w Coons being from DE. Sure the voters there are generally going to go Dem, but the corporations that are domiciled there and fund Coons probably don’t have any real issues w ACB at all, I’d venture even excited at a 6-3 court that will overturn any sort of progressive legislation.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:13 (five years ago)

How many more justices do you appoint?

How many you got?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:13 (five years ago)

anyway it has already been "packed"—it started with six and went briefly up to as many as 10 members

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:16 (five years ago)

Let’s just keep upping the number of justices until every person in America of voting age is a justice. And then voila! Democracy!

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

Or at least until it outpaces the House.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

They all have to have clerks so it's also a jobs program.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

you don’t have to actually go to law school to be a justice right? Or did I make that up

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:18 (five years ago)

we can all issue rulings via a new, judicial college

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:18 (five years ago)

Nope. You don't even have to be a citizen. Or an adult.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:19 (five years ago)

Caligula's horse could have been a Supreme Court Justice.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:19 (five years ago)

my dissents will be epic. and probably get me kicked off Facebook

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

Josh the supreme court has already been destroyed.

Arguably, the Merrick Garland Gambit already destroyed the SCOTUS as a trusted institution. The Senate, too. If the situation is salvageable at all, the arms race initiated by the Federalist Society, Mitch McConnell and the far right wing of the Republican Party has certainly taken us to the very edge of that reality.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

"My mind is open but we just couldn't convince Joe Manchin/Kyrsten Sinema/etc."

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, October 18, 2020 4:02 PM (twenty-five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

What is your fucking deal, dude?

jaymc, Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

o hai
https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/arizona/2020/10/14/sen-kyrsten-sinema-opposes-court-packing-some-democrats-want/3645042001/

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, October 18, 2020 5:05 PM (twenty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

did you miss this follow up or something?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

Maybe the "deal" isn't Milo's?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:31 (five years ago)

No, I didn't.

jaymc, Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:31 (five years ago)

What is the beef

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

Milo throwing cold water over everything all the fucking time

jaymc, Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

Maybe redirect your ire at Kyrsten Sinema?

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

TS: Actually Throwing Cold Water vs. Predicting It

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

My forlorn hope is that the Republicans have gamed the system so hard, to the obvious detriment of the country, that it provokes a series of constitutional amendments that revise the system to make it far more democratic and responsive. The problem with that solution is the state legislatures which have to pass the amendments.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:35 (five years ago)

I hope Kyrsten Sinema changes her mind.

jaymc, Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

If I were Milo I'd do a sock stint to verify that a good half of my posts get smacked down on account of my signature

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

Just the practicalities of it are hard to fathom. How many more justices do you appoint? And what happens further down the road, does the GOP just start appointing justices? How many?

You appoint two. Four would probably cause a backlash. If the Dems can hold on to the Senate for the next 4-6 years, they'll get a chance to appoint more justices when Breyer and Thomas retire. Further down the road is not worth worrying about, because there are so many things in the immediate future that could radically change the political landscape. If Biden wins and the Dems get the House and Senate, removing the filibuster would be huge, because it would mean they could actually pass legislation. As would statehood for DC, which helps the Dems hang on to the Senate. And in the event of a landslide victory for Biden, we don't know what will happen to the Republican party.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:46 (five years ago)

I don't see it as throwing cold water when pointing out that centrist shitheads like Coons like are lying to you and already have their excuses lined up and out in the open.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:47 (five years ago)

Breyer needs to retire the minute Joe takes the oath. Seriously. Dude is 83 next year. Go The Fuck Away.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 18 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

1. The president does not determine the size of the court; congress does.

2. Biden's least risky move is to say that "it's not up to me, it's up to the congress and the people they represent. I will bow to the will of the American people."

3. He can signal that he would likely sign a bill if it came to him with widespread popular support. That's not the same as advocacy.

4. The Biden campaign's main task right now is "don't fuck this up." So making the least risky move would probably be sensible.

5. Unfortunately he's already boxed himself in by saying he'll announce a position before Nov. 3. That may be a tactical mistake, because now he can't NOT come out as pro v. con.

6. Seriously can't we agree to call it court expansion or reform, not "packing"? "Packing" has mostly unpleasant connotations.

7. ...unless it's the Trump clan packing up their shit and leaving (rimshot).

7. Leaving the court as is - but making some other comparatively sweeping change (DC statehood, changing the apportionment rules, ending filibuster, legalizing weed at the Federal level) may bring Mitch to the table. Or maybe not, I don't fuckin know.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:01 (five years ago)

Oops, two 7s

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:01 (five years ago)

I don't see it as throwing cold water when pointing out that centrist shitheads like Coons like are lying to you

Gee, thank you milo. Literally no one on ilx would think this was possible without you.

milo's schtick isn't tiresome because of the content, it's because of the implicit message that we are morons and he is the one tru head.

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:03 (five years ago)

I'm more worried about a Democratic Senate that doesn't remove the filibuster than the Supreme Court balance, because if they win the Senate and don't kill the filibuster, the Democratic Party will achieve nothing legislatively for the next two years and then lose both Houses of Congress in 2022.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:14 (five years ago)

Manchin and Sinema are also expressly opposed to ending the filibuster.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

*mind explodes*

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:24 (five years ago)

By all means pack the court and do it urgently if necessary but there’s an obvious and politically easy response the republicans will make to that next time they have the chance.

Adding states that do not currently exist is a better move. It’s politically harder to fight since it’s so obviously fair, and the alleged republican response (split existing states hahaha) is logistically and politically difficult. Adding states is the thing they fear and for good reason.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

Melt democrat senators are not going to oppose adding states on grounds of performative propriety for one thing.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

Wouldn't be so sure about that, the prominent melts are the only Democrats in the Senate who haven't signed on for Puerto Rican statehood.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:28 (five years ago)

Haven’t signed on (PR) is better than explicitly oppose (court packing)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

Lol btw

This is going to be a tricky Pulitzer nomination. https://t.co/i3fr04Wspy pic.twitter.com/539HKZY5Tq

— Matt Ford (@fordm) October 18, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:31 (five years ago)

"but then what about when Repubicans are in control?" is the classic stepping-on-a-rake self-restraint that makes Democrats such adorable shitheels

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

Also never applicable when curtailing rights and freedoms, somehow.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:35 (five years ago)

Also we laugh at biden saying he’s going to work with republicans but murkowski is on the record as broadly sympathetic to both DC and PR fwiw.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:36 (five years ago)

Not saying adding states is easy or the only thing that needs to happen but it’s an easier (more popular) and better (less reversible) option than court packing so it should be one of the things they treat as a priority. They can court pack too if they want.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:41 (five years ago)

What controversial figure could they land to redesign the flag?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:42 (five years ago)

dril

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:49 (five years ago)

as a compromise, introduce two states but make the new flag the thin blue line flag

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

Or change all the colors to blue and yellow for cops and POWs

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:52 (five years ago)

https://tse2.mm.bing.net/th?id=OIP.Pgv-nerovAc3N2NtdJ4PTgHaEE&pid=Api

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 18 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

Fun fact DC would be the only majority black state, but Tom cotton says it wouldn’t be a working class state like Wyoming so no deal.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 18 October 2020 23:08 (five years ago)

Was thinking/talking about this over dinner: unless Biden wins and the Democrats take the Senate, there will be no further COVID stimulus money.

1) too late to pass anything/bribe voters before the election
2) if Trump loses, he's gonna grudge-fuck the country as hard as he can between November and January, and steal everything possible on his way out the door
3) if Trump wins, he's gonna rule unfettered and focus all his energy on throwing brown people out of the country, raping the environment for his petro buddies, and stealing everything possible for four years; with no need to earn votes anymore, he will do exactly zero for non-plutocrats
4) if Biden wins but McConnell holds the Senate, nothing will pass, period, for the next four years

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 19 October 2020 00:08 (five years ago)

Trump/McConnell would do another huge stimulus to help in 2022 - it would be crooked as hell again but they'd force Pelosi to either agree with some peanuts thrown to unemployment or stimulus checks, else House Dems would be the villain.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 19 October 2020 00:18 (five years ago)

The possibility of going through the holidays to Jan. 22nd with no stimulus was Ro Kanna/etc.'s argument for Pelosi to cut a deal with Trump now and force McConnell to agree or be the bad guy. Even if Dems take the Senate, the holiday retail season without stimulus along with the decimation of fun spending on travel/etc. is going to make ever recovering difficult.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 19 October 2020 00:20 (five years ago)

argument for Pelosi to cut a deal with Trump now and force McConnell to agree or be the bad guy.

As a counterpoint, with such a deal Trump would win points and votes as "the good guy" even if the deal didn't go through and there's no upside to letting Trump win points with voters. Whereas McConnell has no problem being "the bad guy" because he only has to win in Kentucky, which he will regardless, so he can hand Trump a PR victory and not lose anything he values.

I think Pelosi has it right, that the deal has to include guaranteed passage in the Senate and signature by the president and obvious concessions to the House Democrats. Otherwise, it is just a free lunch for Trump and McConnell.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 00:58 (five years ago)

Whereas McConnell has no problem being "the bad guy" because he only has to win in Kentucky

This is like saying Pelosi's only concern is winning her district.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:01 (five years ago)

Nope. Because McConnell's caucus doesn't want what Trump wants, so Mitch would lose no skin off his nose by refusing to play along with a Trump-Pelosi deal. If he were to back up a Trump-Pelosi deal for a BIG stimulus, he'd have to twist arms and piss off his caucus.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

McConnell would lose skin off his nose by not being the Senate Majority Leader anymore.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:09 (five years ago)

Ok but once he's lost the majority (or accepted that he's going to), then he has no incentive to do anything than what's best for Mitch

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

(generally agree tho that he has no problem being seen as the bad guy - cf. Garland vs. Barrett)

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:21 (five years ago)

Sure, but what does that have to do with negotiations and positioning right now? If he loses in November he won't do anything, sure.

If Trump and Pelosi agree on a stimulus now, though, that puts the ball in his court to actively thwart what the President with 94% in-party approval wants and what the public at large desperately wants, two weeks before the election that decides if he gets to keep being the second most powerful person in Washington.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

don't see that there is going to be a stimulus bill before the election

Dan S, Monday, 19 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

Mitch could cut his own deal with Pelosi if he viewed it in the terms that milo thinks apply here. Trump has already announced he wants to "go big" on a stimulus, so we can already see Mitch actively thwarting what the President with 94% in-party approval wants and what the public at large desperately wants, two weeks before the election that decides if he gets to keep being the second most powerful person in Washington. He acts like he dgaf.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

Mitch and his caucus doesn't want a stimulus in any form that would be agreeable to Democrats at this point. I think he'd rather have nothing happen and be able to immediately start griping about deficits come January (which he will do anyway).

Quiet Storm Thorgerson (PBKR), Monday, 19 October 2020 12:07 (five years ago)

Yep.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 19 October 2020 12:21 (five years ago)

It's just "own the libs" but in a nice suit.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 13:01 (five years ago)

This story is absolutely insane

Dr. Birx.

Dr. Atlas.

Vice President Pence.

Read the story.

Your government revealed. https://t.co/LBBKGoQQLF

— Robert Costa (@costareports) October 19, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

Needs more demon sperm imo.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

Any kind soul c&p that WaPo article, if it's not too lengthy?

Maresn3st, Monday, 19 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

It's very very long. But here's a core nugget:

Discord on the coronavirus task force has worsened since the arrival in late summer of Atlas, whom colleagues said they regard as ill-informed, manipulative and at times dishonest. As the White House coronavirus response coordinator, Deborah Birx is tasked with collecting and analyzing infection data and compiling charts detailing upticks and other trends. But Atlas routinely has challenged Birx’s analysis and those of other doctors, including Anthony S. Fauci, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield, and Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Stephen Hahn, with what the other doctors considered junk science, according to three senior administration officials.

Birx recently confronted the office of Vice President Pence, who chairs the task force, about the acrimony, according to two people familiar with the meeting. Birx, whose profile and influence has eroded considerably since Atlas’s arrival, told Pence’s office that she does not trust Atlas, does not believe he is giving Trump sound advice and wants him removed from the task force, the two people said.

In one recent encounter, Pence did not take sides between Atlas and Birx, but rather told them to bring data bolstering their perspectives to the task force and to work out their disagreements themselves, according to two senior administration officials.
The result has been a U.S. response increasingly plagued by distrust, infighting and lethargy, just as experts predict coronavirus cases could surge this winter and deaths could reach 400,000 by year’s end.
This assessment is based on interviews with 41 administration officials, advisers to the president, public health leaders and other people with knowledge of internal government deliberations, some of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to provide candid assessments or confidential information.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

The result has been a U.S. response increasingly plagued ...

It's not just the response that's been plagued!

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

It is quite lengthy, but here you go:

As summer faded into autumn and the novel coronavirus continued to ravage the nation unabated, Scott Atlas, a neuroradiologist whose commentary on Fox News led President Trump to recruit him to the White House, consolidated his power over the government’s pandemic response.

Atlas shot down attempts to expand testing. He openly feuded with other doctors on the coronavirus task force and succeeded in largely sidelining them. He advanced fringe theories, such as that social distancing and mask-wearing were meaningless and would not have changed the course of the virus in several hard-hit areas. And he advocated allowing infections to spread naturally among most of the population while protecting the most vulnerable and those in nursing homes until the United States reaches herd immunity, which experts say would cause excess deaths, according to three current and former senior administration officials.

Atlas also cultivated Trump’s affection with his public assertions that the pandemic is nearly over, despite death and infection counts showing otherwise, and his willingness to tell the public that a vaccine could be developed before the Nov. 3 election, despite clear indications of a slower timetable.

Atlas’s ascendancy was apparent during a recent Oval Office meeting. After Trump left the room, Atlas startled other aides by walking behind the Resolute Desk and occupying the president’s personal space to keep the meeting going, according to one senior administration official. Atlas called this account “false and laughable.”

Democrats slam 'Trump virus response' as president's surrogates defend him
Trump and Biden campaign surrogates traded blame over the administration's response to the coronavirus pandemic on Oct. 18. (Zach Purser Brown/The Washington Post)
Discord on the coronavirus task force has worsened since the arrival in late summer of Atlas, whom colleagues said they regard as ill-informed, manipulative and at times dishonest. As the White House coronavirus response coordinator, Deborah Birx is tasked with collecting and analyzing infection data and compiling charts detailing upticks and other trends. But Atlas routinely has challenged Birx’s analysis and those of other doctors, including Anthony S. Fauci, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Robert Redfield, and Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Stephen Hahn, with what the other doctors considered junk science, according to three senior administration officials.

The lost days of summer: How Trump fell short in containing the virus

Birx recently confronted the office of Vice President Pence, who chairs the task force, about the acrimony, according to two people familiar with the meeting. Birx, whose profile and influence has eroded considerably since Atlas’s arrival, told Pence’s office that she does not trust Atlas, does not believe he is giving Trump sound advice and wants him removed from the task force, the two people said.

In one recenet encounter, Pence did not take sides between Atlas and Birx, but rather told them to bring data bolstering their perspectives to the task force and to work out their disagreements themselves, according to two senior administration officials.

The result has been a U.S. response increasingly plagued by distrust, infighting and lethargy, just as experts predict coronavirus cases could surge this winter and deaths could reach 400,000 by year’s end.

This assessment is based on interviews with 41 administration officials, advisers to the president, public health leaders and other people with knowledge of internal government deliberations, some of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to provide candid assessments or confidential information.

A member of the U.S. Secret Service stands guard as President Trump addresses supporters from a balcony at the White House on Oct. 10.
A member of the U.S. Secret Service stands guard as President Trump addresses supporters from a balcony at the White House on Oct. 10. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
Atlas defended his views and conduct in a series of statements sent through a spokesperson and condemned The Washington Post’s reporting as “another story filled with overt lies and distortions to undermine the President and the expert advice he is being given.”

Atlas said he has always stressed “all appropriate mitigation measures to save lives,” and he responded to accounts of dissent on the task force by saying, “Any policy discussion where data isn’t being challenged isn’t a policy discussion.”

On the issue of herd immunity, Atlas said, “We emphatically deny that the White House, the President, the Administration, or anyone advising the President has pursued or advocated for a wide-open strategy of achieving herd immunity by letting the infection proceed through the community.”

The doctor’s denial conflicts with his previous public and private statements, including his recent endorsement of the “Great Barrington Declaration,” which effectively promotes a herd immunity strategy.

On Saturday, Atlas wrote on Twitter that masks do not work, prompting the social media site to remove the tweet for violating its safety rules for spreading misinformation. Several medical and public health experts flagged the tweet as dangerous misinformation coming from a primary adviser to the president.

“Masks work? NO,” Atlas wrote in the tweet, followed by other misrepresentations about the science behind masks. He linked to an article from the American Institute for Economic Research — a libertarian think tank behind the Barrington effort — that argued against masks and dismissed the threat of the virus as overblown.

Catch up on the most important pandemic developments at the end of the day with our free Coronavirus Updates newsletter

Trump and many of his advisers have come to believe that the key to a revived economy and a return to normality is a vaccine.

“They’ve given up on everything else,” said a senior administration official involved in the pandemic response. “It’s too hard of a slog.”

Infectious-disease and other public health experts said the friction inside the White House has impaired the government’s response.

“It seems to me this is policy-based evidence-making rather than evidence-based policymaking,” said Marc Lipsitch, director of the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. “In other words, if your goal is to do nothing, then you create a situation in which it looks okay to do nothing [and] you find some experts to make it complicated.”

These days, the task force is dormant relative to its robust activity earlier in the pandemic. Fauci, Birx, Surgeon General Jerome Adams and other members have confided in others that they are dispirited.

Birx and Fauci have advocated dramatically increasing the nation’s testing capacity, especially as experts anticipate a devastating increase in cases this winter. They have urged the government to use unspent money Congress allocated for testing — which amounts to $9 billion, according to a Democratic Senate appropriations aide — so that anyone who needs to can get a test with results returned quickly.

White House coronavirus adviser Scott Atlas speaks during a television interview outside the West Wing on Oct. 12.
White House coronavirus adviser Scott Atlas speaks during a television interview outside the West Wing on Oct. 12. (Oliver Contreras for The Washington Post)
But Atlas, who is opposed to surveillance testing, has repeatedly quashed these proposals. He has argued that young and healthy people do not need to get tested and that testing resources should be allocated to nursing homes and other vulnerable places, such as prisons and meatpacking plants.

White House spokeswoman Sarah Matthews defended Trump and the administration’s management of the crisis.

“President Trump has always listened to the advice of his top public health experts, who have diverse areas of expertise,” Matthews said in a statement. “The President always puts the well-being of the American people first as evidenced by the many bold, data-driven decisions he has made to save millions of lives. Because of his strong leadership, our country can safely reopen with adequate PPE, treatments, and vaccines developed in record time.”

Yet 10 months into a public health crisis that has claimed the lives of more than 219,000 people in the United States — a far higher death toll than any other nation has reported — a consensus has formed within the administration that some measures to mitigate the spread of the virus may not be worth the trouble.

Trump’s May days: A month of distractions and grievances as nation marks bleak coronavirus milestone

The president gave voice to this mind-set during an NBC News town hall Thursday night, when he declined to answer whether he supported herd immunity. “The cure cannot be worse than the problem itself,” Trump told host Savannah Guthrie.

But medical experts disagreed, saying it is dangerous for government leaders to advocate herd immunity or oppose interventions.

“We’d be foolish to reenter a situation where we know what to do and we’re not doing it,” said Rochelle Walensky, chief of the division of infectious diseases at Massachusetts General Hospital and a professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School. “This thing can take off. All you need to do is look at what’s happened at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue over the last two weeks to see that this thing is way faster than we’re giving it credit for.”

'The cure'
President Trump appears at a campaign rally Oct. 12 in Sanford, Fla.
President Trump appears at a campaign rally Oct. 12 in Sanford, Fla. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
After Trump came home from the hospital this month, he all but promised Americans that they could soon be cured from the coronavirus just as he claimed to have been. In a video taped at the White House on Oct. 5, he vowed, “The vaccines are coming momentarily.”

Then, at a rally last Tuesday night in Johnstown, Pa., Trump told supporters, “The vaccines are coming soon, the therapeutics and, frankly, the cure. All I know is I took something, whatever the hell it was. I felt good very quickly . . . I felt like Superman.”

Trump’s miraculous timeline has run headlong into reality, however. On the same day that he declared “the cure” was near, Johnson & Johnson became the second pharmaceutical giant, after AstraZeneca, to halt its vaccine trial. A third trial, a government-run test of a monoclonal antibody manufactured by Eli Lilly & Co., was also paused. Each move was prompted by safety concerns.

And on Friday, Pfizer said it will not be able to seek an emergency use authorization from the FDA until the third week of November, at the earliest, seemingly making a vaccine before Election Day all but impossible.

Trump’s notion of a vaccine as a cure-all for the pandemic is similarly miraculous, according to medical experts.

“The vaccines, although they’re wonderful, are not going to make the virus magically disappear,” said Tom Frieden, a former CDC director who is president of Resolve to Save Lives. “There’s no fairy-tale ending to this pandemic. We’re going to be dealing with it at least through 2021, and it’s likely to have implications for how we do everything from work to school, even with vaccines.”

Frieden added: “Remember, we have vaccines against the flu, and we still have flu.”

People work in the packaging facility of Chinese vaccine maker Sinovac Biotech, where an experimental coronavirus vaccine is being developed, during a government-organized media tour in Beijing on Sept. 24.
People work in the packaging facility of Chinese vaccine maker Sinovac Biotech, where an experimental coronavirus vaccine is being developed, during a government-organized media tour in Beijing on Sept. 24. (Thomas Peter/Reuters)
Still, Trump has ratcheted up his push for vaccines over the past several months, intensifying the pressure on government scientists, federal regulators and pharmaceutical executives. He has had one end date in mind: Nov. 3, which is Election Day.

Trump has envisioned a greenlit vaccine as the kind of breakthrough that could persuade voters to see his management of the pandemic as successful and thus upend a race in which virtually all public polls show him trailing Democratic nominee Joe Biden.

Earlier this fall, Trump called Albert Bourla, the chief executive of Pfizer, and asked whether a vaccine could be ready for distribution by late October, before the election. Pfizer spokeswoman Sharon Castillo said executives have regular communications with administration officials on a wide range of health policy issues but that she could not comment on private conversations.

On a call in August with Francis Collins, director of the National Institutes of Health, Trump accused the agency of moving too slowly to approve a vaccine or other treatments, including convalescent plasma, according to two officials familiar with the conversation. The NIH, which declined to comment, is a biomedical research agency and does not approve treatments or vaccines.

Trump, White House demand FDA justify tough standards for coronavirus vaccine, raising concerns of political interference

Matthews denied that Trump sees the vaccine timetable through the prism of the campaign calendar. “This is not about politics; it’s about saving lives,” she said. She added, “any vaccine approval will maintain the FDA’s gold standard for safety and efficacy and be proven to save lives.”

The relationships between FDA officials and White House staffers have grown more acrimonious since September, when details of stricter FDA vaccine guidance were reported by The Post. Trump and White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows — who has involved himself in the work of health agencies to a degree other officials consider inappropriate — have repeatedly challenged Hahn over his agency’s proposals and rules, much to the FDA commissioner’s frustration.

White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows speaks during a television interview outside of the West Wing on Oct. 7.
White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows speaks during a television interview outside of the West Wing on Oct. 7. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
Trump is asserting control over the messaging campaign around a vaccine. His politically minded aides in the White House have taken over the government’s communications effort, as opposed to health or scientific communicators at the relevant agencies.

For example, White House aides have sought to persuade Moncef Slaoui, head of “Operation Warp Speed,” the government’s initiative to mass-distribute an eventual vaccine, to speak more positively about the vaccine, and sometimes he has pushed back on their talking points, two officials said.

Trump fixates on the promise of a vaccine — real or not — as key to reelection bid

Trump routinely has told his political advisers that a vaccine would be ready by the time he stands for reelection. And he has plotted with his team on a pre-election promotional campaign to try to convince voters a vaccine is safe, approved and ready for mass distribution — even if none of that is true yet.

These are some of the ingredients of a public health disaster, experts say.

“The one thing you can’t do — and it’s what everybody fears, it’s what the pharmaceutical companies fear, it’s what everybody on the inside fears — is that the government would, because of political purposes or because other countries put a vaccine out before us, truncate the normal process you’d accept for a safe and effective vaccine,” said Paul A. Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, a professor of vaccinology at the University of Pennsylvania and a member of the FDA’s vaccine advisory council.

Trump listens as FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn speaks during a coronavirus press briefing on March 19.
Trump listens as FDA Commissioner Stephen Hahn speaks during a coronavirus press briefing on March 19. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
Trump’s view of the FDA has darkened considerably in recent weeks. The president now believes — despite the absence of any such evidence — that officials there are working against him to slow-walk vaccine approval as “some sort of ‘deep state’ push to keep him from winning reelection,” according to an administration official.

Trump has said as much himself.

“New FDA Rules make it more difficult for them to speed up vaccines for approval before Election Day. Just another political hit job! @SteveFDA,” the president wrote in an Oct. 6 tweet, tagging Hahn’s Twitter handle.

Trump’s conspiratorial view of the FDA is shaped in part by White House trade adviser Peter Navarro and others in the president’s orbit, both inside and outside the government.

Saad B. Omer, director of the Yale Institute for Global Health, said the atmosphere of pressure and recrimination, nurtured by the president, is “very concerning.”

“These are people who have dedicated their lives to working in public health and medicine and research,” he said. “To think that in the biggest public health event of their lives they would sleep an extra hour or slow-walk this for any reason is absurd.”

He added, “It’s like how an ambulance drives faster than a regular car because it’s an emergency, but even an ambulance driver is not foolhardy. They don’t want to drive over the bridge.”

'A lot of political pressure'
Vice President Pence speaks at a campaign event outside Weldall Manufacturing in Waukesha, Wis., on Oct. 13.
Vice President Pence speaks at a campaign event outside Weldall Manufacturing in Waukesha, Wis., on Oct. 13. (Joshua Lott/The Washington Post)
The distrust in Washington has trickled down to the states, where friction has increased between several governors and the administration over the vaccine process.

Some governors and officials close to them privately have expressed alarm about Trump and his aides laying the groundwork for a rushed vaccine announcement. The president has delegated much of the state outreach to Pence, who in regular calls with governors has come across as a smooth salesman for Trump’s speedy approach. The vice president has encouraged governors to help build confidence for eventual vaccines among their constituents.

Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker (D), whose state is the site for vaccine trials, said in an interview, “I certainly fear there is a lot of political pressure being applied.” He said his state is preparing for a vaccine rollout, but would carefully evaluate the integrity of any announcement emanating from the White House.

“Nobody has told me that it’ll be ready by November 2nd or anytime before the election,” Pritzker said. “But [Trump] will no doubt claim such a thing because of the cocktail of drugs that he seems to be on now. He’s liable to say anything that isn’t true.”

The concerns are not limited to Democrats. One Republican state official who works with the Trump administration and spoke on the condition of anonymity to preserve that relationship, said, “It’s what I would call soft power. Pence comes on these calls and sounds normal and upbeat, and basically says, ‘Stand with us.’ ”

The official added, “We all want a vaccine, right? We obviously want it. We’ll take it. But we don’t really know if they’ll do this right.”

The politicization of the process has damaged public credibility in an eventual vaccine. A Gallup poll released this month found that 50 percent of Americans said they would be willing to take a coronavirus vaccine approved by the FDA “right now at no cost.” That is a sharp decline from 61 percent in August and 66 percent in July.

Washington Gov. Jay Inslee (D) arrives to receive a flu shot in Olympia, Wash., on Oct. 15.
Washington Gov. Jay Inslee (D) arrives to receive a flu shot in Olympia, Wash., on Oct. 15. (Ted S. Warren/AP)
During a virtual task force meeting led by Pence on Sept. 21, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee (D) said, “There is a substantial concern,” according to an audio recording of the meeting. “A significant part of that problem is the president’s continued anti-science statements that are contradictory to his medical advisers in so many different ways.”

Inslee asked Pence directly, “Have you discussed with the president how he’s been eroding public confidence in our efforts, including the vaccine approval? Have you discussed that with him? Have you urged him to stop this behavior?”

Pence did not directly answer the question. Rather, he replied, “We think you and all the governors on this call have a great responsibility to make sure the public knows while we’re moving rapidly and while there may be differences in opinion about various events, we just don’t want any undermining of confidence in the vaccine.”

The vice president added, “I can assure you the president will continue to speak clearly about that process.”

Inslee later said in an interview that Pence was anything but assuring.

“There is a pressure campaign,” Inslee said. “We need to follow science and not this distortion campaign . . . The people are on to [Trump]. They know he is trying to turn this into an electoral issue.”

'A magic dust'
President Trump is reflected in the sunglasses of a supporter during a campaign event in Greenville, N.C., on Oct. 15.
President Trump is reflected in the sunglasses of a supporter during a campaign event in Greenville, N.C., on Oct. 15. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
As the election nears, one of Trump’s biggest vulnerabilities with voters is his handling of the pandemic — which he increasingly has sought to blame on others. For instance, the president has complained bitterly about Hahn and Redfield, pointing to congressional testimony and other public comments they have made as undermining his chances for reelection, according to multiple administration officials.

Trump also has vented about the slow pace of vaccine trials and has fumed privately about the pharmaceutical industry, even though he speaks highly of some industry executives. Lately, he has expressed particular concern that the absence of a vaccine announcement has been hurting him with early voting, according to an administration official.

Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, a former Eli Lilly president who has close ties to the pharmaceutical industry, has sought to cool Trump’s temper and assure him that the process is sound.

Also whispering optimism in the tempestuous president’s ear has been Atlas, who is said to be operating with the full confidence of Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and senior adviser overseeing key aspects of the pandemic response, and Hope Hicks, the president’s counselor and confidante.

This is in part because Atlas has sought to spin the public with what others deride as “happy talk” that the outbreak is close to over. “Everybody looks for what Atlas is giving them,” one official involved in the response said.

Offit said, “This administration, like it does with everything, is overselling vaccines. They make it sound like a magic dust they’ll distribute over the country and the disease will go away . . . What could happen is people think, great, I just got my vaccine, I can throw away my mask, I can engage in high-risk activity, and then we’d actually take a step back.”

President Trump and Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary of Health and Human Services, listen as White House coronavirus response coordinator Deborah Birx speaks at a press briefing on April 20.
President Trump and Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary of Health and Human Services, listen as White House coronavirus response coordinator Deborah Birx speaks at a press briefing on April 20. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
Most controversially, Atlas has pushed a baseless theory inside the task force that the U.S. population is close to herd immunity — the point at which enough people become immune to a disease either by becoming infected or getting vaccinated that its spread slows — despite a scientific consensus that the United States is nowhere close.

Given the transmissibility of the coronavirus, experts estimate about 60 to 70 percent of the population would need to become infected to reach herd immunity, a course that they warn would probably result in hundreds of thousands of excess deaths. A recent CDC study, about which Redfield testified to the Senate, showed about 9 percent of people in the United States had antibodies against the virus.

But Atlas publicly contradicted Redfield last month, telling reporters that more of the population was protected against the virus because of so-called T-cell immunity, in which people with exposure to previous coronaviruses — such as the common cold — have T cells that also protect them against covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus.

No credible scientific study has proved this theory, and Atlas’s advocacy of it dismayed other task force officials.

At a task force meeting late last month, Atlas stated that there was herd immunity in much of the country because of a combination of high infection rates in cities such as New York and Miami and T-cell immunity, according to two senior administration officials. He said that only 40 to 50 percent of people need to be infected to reach the threshold. And he argued that because of this immunity, all restrictions should be lifted, schools should be opened and only the most vulnerable populations, such as nursing home residents, should be sheltered.

This resulted in a fierce debate with Birx and Fauci, who demanded Atlas show them the data that backed up his assertions, one of the officials said.

“It is not the case there’s extra immunity around in T cells,” Lipsitch said. “The vast, vast majority of infectious-disease epidemiologists in this country don’t believe several of the key points these people are arguing for and don’t believe it because the evidence isn’t there and points in the other direction.”

Regardless, Trump has used Atlas to back up his own rejection of medical expertise. At Thursday’s NBC News town hall, a Florida voter asked the president whether after contracting covid-19 he now believed in the importance of mask-wearing.

Trump equivocated.

“I’ve heard many different stories on masks,” he said.

When Guthrie challenged him by noting that all of his health officials were united in advocating masks, Trump countered by invoking Atlas.

“Scott Adkins,” Trump said, mispronouncing the doctor’s name. “If you look at Scott, Dr. Scott, he’s from — great guy — from Stanford, he will tell you.”

“He’s not an infectious-disease expert,” Guthrie said.

“Oh, I don’t know,” Trump replied. “Look, he’s an expert. He’s one of the experts of the world.”

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

No time for losers 'cause we are the experts...

of the world

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

I can't wait for all of these assholes to be gone. Though I know deep down that every last one of them will be popping up as talking heads for years to come.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

Meantime, literally just now

"People are tired of covid," the president said. "People are tired of hearing Fauci and all these idiots... Fauci's a nice guy, he's been here for 500 years...wonderful sage telling us..."

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:22 (five years ago)

All experts are experts in everything, duh, Savannah.

Boring, Maryland, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

Hint: Not "Fauci" we're tired of hearing speak

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

I think a lot about these career guvvies (Fauci among them) who are just keeping their heads down, gritting their teeth, and counting down the days.

Also all the fired people who'll be able to return once the ogre has been banished from the castle. It'll be like the end of Beauty and the Beast.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

everybody in the Trump cabinet should also be shot into outer space, even if they were appointed by him and served for only a day.

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

XXXXXXP - thank you!

Maresn3st, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

Of course, since 98% percent of all these people have been complaining anonymously (including the New York Times star columnist and best-selling author, Anonymous) for years, literally everyone will say they were one of the bulwarks, one of the naysayers, one of failsafes, one the people who kept their heads down and the government running. That Trump stink isn't coming from them, oh no, it was the person who just left the elevator the floor before that you smell.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

https://apnews.com/article/virus-outbreak-donald-trump-nashville-tennessee-us-news-c6d81edd6bbefbfdba6c7caf12889a78

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

Wait, what? Why Tennessee specifically? Or has the White House just been privately telling all red states to mandate masks?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

In a statement late Friday, the governor’s office said the White House report had not altered his thinking.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

"In one recent encounter, Pence did not take sides between Atlas and Birx, but rather told them to bring data bolstering their perspectives to the task force and to work out their disagreements themselves, according to two senior administration officials."

heartland institute analysis held up to be comparable to the work of the IPCC, basically, in climate change terms

jfc

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

juggalos getting no respect

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

listen al gore, we know you have some data showing a connection between GHG emissions and rising temperatures. however, this guy we found in a hardee's parking lot has a backissue of Time from the 1970s that mentions global cooling. i can't make a decision here - you two get together, look at the data, and let me know which one wins

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

"look, we have to be adults here. There are two sides of every coin. Why not meet in the middle - either half of the population wears masks, or the whole population wears half a mask"

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

from Scott Atlas' wikipedia:

Scott William Atlas is an American neuroradiologist, professor, commentator, and health care policy advisor. He is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution

that tells you all you need to know

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

Wait, what? Why Tennessee specifically? Or has the White House just been privately telling all red states to mandate masks?

the final "debate" is at Belmont U in Nashville this Thursday.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

always a troubling moment when you realize one of the main evil organizations from Jane Mayer's Dark Money is on a task force

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

I mean...did anyone really expect Pence to affect any kind of leadership position here? He's a ventriloquist's dummy who was one day gifted a cruel simulacrum of animate life and a fear of lady hoo-hahs. Putting him in charge of something by someone shouldn't be in charge of anything isn't going to magically make him fit for anything but breathing quietly in a corner somewhere.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

Stratererergy

Asked one GOP consultant what he would advise the president to do in the final two weeks to turn things around & help down-ticket Rs. Answer: "Distribute Trump-brand tequila."

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

how about trump-brand non-alcoholic tequila? give trump supporters some 0.6% ABV trump-brand tequila

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

That'll win Sammy Hagar's vote

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

No it won't, it'll eat into his market share.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

Was thinking they'd maybe do a collabo-wabo

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

does hagar have low-alcohol tequila, though? that's what the suburban housewives want to drink

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

collabo-wabo

lol gold

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

It's getting just sad at this point.

Fox News "hard news" anchor Trace Gallagher on mail-in voting: "If I give a ballot how do I know somebody didn’t steal it? ... I read some of these things about gangs that lie in wait at these blue post office boxes and grab them and they are very good at this kind of stuff." pic.twitter.com/vB22JN2V51

— Justin Baragona (@justinbaragona) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

Was thinking they'd maybe do a collabo-wabo

looool

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

ilx hall of fame

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

A+

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

I can't drink . . . oh point fiiiiive!!!

nickn, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

Just voted. 20 person line just to drop my ballot in a box, probably because so many people were taking selfies. Anytime somebody voted for the first time people cheered. Pretty inspiring. The actual line to vote in person stretched down and around the block, hundreds of people long. People had lawn chairs, like they were waiting to buy concert tickets.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

xpost lol there's another debate!?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

Allegedly, bet you are sorry you voted already, aren't you?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:34 (five years ago)

i'm curious to hear more about these candidates and their positions on the issues

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

by the way, I've always voted in every election since I've been eligible. I've never thought too much about it. but this time was the first time I actually felt kind of emotional. a weird mix of sadness and euphoria. the stakes just see him so serious and real, and I like a lot of people have years of pent up anger and feelings of hopelessness, with this the first real legal means of expressing that that doesn't involve yelling or alcohol.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

i'm curious to hear more about these candidates and their positions on the issues

Debate is nothing but tequila rankings.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

go 100% agave or go home

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

honestly the last debate should just be that one youtube show where celebrities try different hot sauces

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

label Trump's all something different but make all of them Carolina Reaper sauce

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

nothing like no buzz marg with my taco salad. the taco trucks on all the corners in my neighborhood don't seem to offer either of them, it's weird.

pence's eye juice (Hunt3r), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

more shocking evidence of the deep racism of the republican party:

When protesters are specified as “Black Americans” vs. “Americans,” support for protests DROPS by ___ points:

Republicans who most trust Fox News: 37
Republicans overall: 25
White evangelicals: 20
All White Americans: 14
Democrats: 0

Read More: https://t.co/ECZn9E4Guk pic.twitter.com/UzsbzkduRg

— PRRI (@PRRIpoll) October 19, 2020

i mean, anytime you ask questions like this, you get this split. but this one in particular, i mean come the fuck on.

when they asked republicans if it was a good thing when "Americans" protest against unfair treatment by the government, 49% agree. but if you specify "Black Americans", it drops in half, to 24% support. apparently about half of republicans change their mind about protest when they remember that black people can be Americans too.

(democrats were 71% on both versions of the question, regardless of whether or not race was mentioned)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

apparently the poll findings are so racist that it knocked prri.org down

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

"I think Joe Biden has a scandal coming up that's going to make him almost an impotent candidate," Trump also told his staff during the call.

“We found stuff yesterday we gave it to the press," he said. https://t.co/E9G5ijNrmd

— Jill Colvin (@colvinj) October 19, 2020

oh boy here we go

frogbs, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

I don’t think Trump can hold a scandal to Biden.

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

Biden sex tape

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

these motherfuckers don't know any other play

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

the best part is that nobody seems to care about this shit

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

It's just a copy of the Access Hollywood tape with Biden's head ineptly pasted over Trump's.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

When you're doing well:

EXCLUSIVE: Fox News Passed on Hunter Biden Laptop Story Over Credibility Concerns https://t.co/4iTrdqIoJ2

— Mediaite (@Mediaite) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

was juuust reading about that

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

news corp part of the adrenachrome celeb paedo cult? jfk jr is going to assassinate tucker carlson and replace him with a clone

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

It's just a copy of the Access Hollywood tape with Biden's head ineptly pasted over Trump's.

"I moved on CITIBANK like a bitch... I didn't even wait."

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

This is probably an obvious point, but doesn't Trump's (and Giuliani's) transparency about the smear campaign ("We found stuff, we gave it to the press") render the smear campaign less effective?

jaymc, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

Meanwhile, news organizations across the country are wondering why the White House sent them boxes of rotting Trump steaks

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

WSJ: BREAKING Hunter Biden did something or other in Ukraine

Andy the Grasshopper, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

That settles it, Hunter is definitely not getting my vote.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

Laptop is devastating!

(not linking the tweet but guess who said that)

logout option: disabled (Matt #2), Monday, 19 October 2020 17:51 (five years ago)

Fake palindrome: "Laptop is devastating, pal."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

If they had anything on Biden, it would've been made public months ago. They have nothing but the promise of another scandal, just you wait... my healthcare plan and the new Biden scandal will be released in a few days.

Andy the Grasshopper, Monday, 19 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

Every RALLY is BOFFO.

jaymc, Monday, 19 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

They have nothing but the promise of another scandal, just you wait...

I said oppo drop. O oppo! O yeah, oppo gonna drop real soon.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

Laptop is devastating!

(not linking the tweet but guess who said that)

Cilizza?

frogbs, Monday, 19 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

i feel like if they had good stuff on biden they would not wait until 25% of the 2016 turnout had already voted, just throwing that out.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

538 still gives him a 1 in 7 shot, I'm still worried

frogbs, Monday, 19 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

Switching back to that Fauci phone call for a second...This was with campaign staffers today? Wow, that's a fast leak.

clemenza, Monday, 19 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

i think right now it's 1 in 8 (12 out of 100), but yep, i will never be comfortable, and i want to see that go down to 1 in 20
xp

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

NYT: Among some of Mr. Trump’s lieutenants, there is an attitude of grit mixed with resignation: a sense that the best they can do for the final stretch is to keep the president occupied, happy and off Twitter as much as possible, rather than producing a major shift in strategy...

Andy the Grasshopper, Monday, 19 October 2020 18:16 (five years ago)

a couple years ago someone on Twitter said it's possible for Trump to lose the popular vote by 6-7 million in 2020 yet still squeak out the EC, that's the thing that haunts me

frogbs, Monday, 19 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Trump's puppet DNI John Ratcliffe says that HUNTER BIDEN'S LAPTOP is not part of a Russian Disinformation Campaign!!!!111

Holy moly, this was the blockbuster October surprise that we never expected.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

keep the president occupied, happy and off Twitter as much as possible

Considering he caught COVID-19 very recently, perhaps they should consider keeping him... increasingly isolated. (bada-boom)

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:34 (five years ago)

Grit mixed with resignation

Wrapped in an enigma

With a gooey nougat center

Election poetry blows

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

'Grit mixed with resignation'? Sounds like someone needs a laxative.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

Reporter writing up that story knows that when you have anonymous informants feeding you juicy bits you want to cast them in the best possible light. Ergo, "grit mixed with resignation" instead of "hating to go to work each day knowing its going to be a bloodbath and desperately seeking for some way to protect their future careers by deflecting the blame to the president, who deserves it anyway."

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

Switching back to that Fauci phone call for a second...This was with campaign staffers today? Wow, that's a fast leak.

― clemenza, Monday, October 19, 2020 2:07 PM

the tape is out now

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 19 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

For a second I thought I was on the New Yorker thread and you scared the shit out of me.

Anyway. It took my friend 4 hours to vote this morning.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

lol no one wants to see that!

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 19 October 2020 19:49 (five years ago)

Haberman was posting snippets from the call re him venting about Fauci as it happened, Trump even said something about how he figured the press was on there and he didn't care.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 19:56 (five years ago)

Pfft.

Trump campaign demands last debate on Thursday be about foreign policy instead of announced topics. https://t.co/FDEoJfyv0b

— Steve Holland (@steveholland1) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

lol the Hunter Biden laptop story is scanning so poorly, nobody I know is talking about it other than one or two randos. the only other mentions I saw were a) here and b) the conservative twittersphere

for the damage to work, it's got to cross party lines, like Comey's letter in 2016. if that happens, chances are it'll be self-inflicted rather than info supplied by the GOP to a news network. they're bad at this, they have been the last 4 years.

even memo-gate, which occasionally did make waves in mainstream, non-conservative media, fell apart like a diaper made out of playing cards

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

Setting it up so he can back out?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

he totally wants to drop out of the debate.

and he wants to do a townhall.

where he is asked questions that he himself wrote.

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

Elsewhere, ranting away.

"They're getting tired of the pandemic, aren't they? Getting tired of the pandemic. You turn on CNN, that's all they cover," Trump says in Prescott. He says CNN is trying to suppress voting. "People aren't buying it CNN, you dumb bastards."

— Josh Wingrove (@josh_wingrove) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

I know Biden really doesn't have anything to gain here but I kinda wish he'd call Trump's bluff on the debate.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

"People aren't buying it CNN, you dumb bastards."

broken clock strikes again!

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

Don't worry; Trump has a plan.

Trump will bring up Biden's ties to Ukraine at debate, adviser says

A senior adviser to the Trump campaign said on Monday that President Trump will not let it slide if Thursday’s debate moderator NBC News’ Kristen Welker fails to question Joe Biden about his son Hunter Biden’s business dealings in Ukraine that were exposed by The Post last week.

“If Kristen Welker, the moderator, doesn’t bring it up, I think you’re pretty safe to assume that the president will. Again, these are real simple questions,” Jason Miller said on Fox Business’ “Mornings with Maria.”

I really want Trump to pound the podium, interrupt constantly to ask why nobody's talking about Biden and Ukraine, and eventually just start slobbering and shouting "Burisma! Burisma!" over and over again...ultimately forcing Biden to say, "Ukraine? You mean the whole thing you were impeached over?"

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

he will

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

Just realized that Trump going off on Fauci was a response to a 60 Minutes interview (maybe preemptive, not sure). So evidently it's not a leak, he wanted it out there. More A-1 strategizing.

clemenza, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

i think he wants to do a debate. He just doesn't want to do another one where covid is the main subject, which, well, fair enough, i'd also want my responsibility for the deaths of 100,000 people to be off the agenda.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

"Wah, it is so unfair that this debate should touch on such left-field, gotcha subjects as fighting Covid, American families, race in America, climate change, national security and leadership!"

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

He doesn't want to debate, he wants to berate.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

also that letter is a bit unhinged but it doesn't read like trump dictated it, and i'm skeptical he even realizes covid is a bad subject for him, so i think an adult on his team is trying to do this. i'm sure he wants to debate. he thinks he's good at it.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

I mean, he was even complaining about a Lincoln Project ad he saw last night. (So, say what you want about them, they are apparently continually good at getting in his brain.)

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

He's irate, he won't debate, but will berate, a big mistake, the truth dilate, special date, the animal we ate, at ninety-eight we all rotate.
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/ec/39/92/ec3992da6e19a85b7a8adae0dd89d420.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

Can we interrupt this to laugh about Jeffrey Toobin pulling out his dick on a Zoom call?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:19 (five years ago)

loooooooooool

Trump just debuted a new attack line against Biden: “He wants to listen to Dr. Fauci.”

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 19, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

Does he know he doesn't have to wait till election day - that if he's so sick of being president, he can just quit? I mean, he won't get to declare bankruptcy, which is his usual squid-ink strategy, but he could just walk away...

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:23 (five years ago)

if everyone in the US, including children and especially infants, could contribute $1 each, we could pay him $350M to leave a few months early

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:24 (five years ago)

it's the flat bribe, $1 each across all income levels

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/smogLIw.png

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

Jeffrey Toobin is practically the last CNN person I like...or maybe was.

clemenza, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

If he quits he doesn't get unemployment.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

Jeffrey Toobin is practically the last CNN person I like...or maybe was.

I liked his Patty Hearst book from 2016.

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

I've read four or five of his books, and they were all really good.

clemenza, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:29 (five years ago)

Now imagine him writing them all with his dick out.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:29 (five years ago)

"It seems to me this is policy-based evidence-making rather than evidence-based policymaking,"

https://consortiumnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/powell-un.jpg

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

Re; Lincoln Party:

“Never Trumpers” are key to Biden’s Lead... This group of Republicans currently voting for Biden account for 4% of all voters nationwide. If they were voting for President Trump instead, the race would be dead even. #Elections 2020 https://t.co/rJFVlUapcw via @politicaliq

— Scott Rasmussen (@ScottWRasmussen) October 19, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:33 (five years ago)

Rasmussen...that seems very specious to me, that there are that many of them.

clemenza, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

they're no more key to his lead than anyone else who also voted for clinton four years ago.

there's no reason to pay more attention to them than the (much bigger) groups of people who have changed from staying home to voting, or from obama to trump.

and there is no need to pander to them. they have no one else to vote for.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

Laptop is just the new email. It's a word. It is memorable. It alludes to shadiness. It'll catch on a bit probably. COVID? Yes, sure but what about the laptop? Where is the laptop? When are we going to talk about the laptop? We. need. answers. about. this. LAPTOP! It's so catchy and quotable like a good Seinfeld gag. Nothing deeper than that matters at all.

Evan, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

oh lmao it's scott rasmussen.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

well, if that pollster is known for anything it's inflating Republican numbers.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

Final weeks of 2016: massive Dem denial about district-level polling that showed Trump breaking through (see replies to this tweet).

Final weeks of 2020: massive Dem paranoia, even though district-level polling consistently shows Trump running well behind his '16 margins. https://t.co/2oAGSUfRU1

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 19, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

Avengement!

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Monday, 19 October 2020 21:23 (five years ago)

Can I just

Toobin Snake Boogie

That's all, sorry

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 19 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

Those are all movie posters for 30 Rock, right?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 19 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

Trump's idea of the Adkins diet is very different from mine.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

I watched Avengement last week. It's on Netflix. It's pretty good.

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 19 October 2020 21:38 (five years ago)

wait, why did Toobin do that?

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Monday, 19 October 2020 21:47 (five years ago)

Toobin's explanation that he thought the video was muted and no one could see him doesn't really explain why he did that, but only why he thought he wouldn't be publicly embarrassed by doing it.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 21:52 (five years ago)

It was over Zoom, he probably figured he would only be *virtually* embarrassed.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 21:55 (five years ago)

he probably thought he could get away with having zoom running in the background while being muted and having his camera off. so he felt like he could do whatever he wanted and no one would known. and from there, you know, click a few links, have another glass of wine, one thing leads to another

treeship., Monday, 19 October 2020 21:56 (five years ago)

that's the most innocent explanation i can think of and it's still pretty gross. the other option is that it was in some sense intentional.

treeship., Monday, 19 October 2020 21:57 (five years ago)

Maybe he was just *being* a dick and contemptuously making the jerk off motion.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

def don't need two threads for Toobin's dick

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:03 (five years ago)

Especially when the biggest dick in the world is already the subject of several threads.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 19 October 2020 22:05 (five years ago)

#onedick

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:06 (five years ago)

Barely worth half a thread from what I heard.

No need to minimize the zoom window, if you know what I mean.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:07 (five years ago)

Wait, what the fuck is all this

Wait, I am actually most confused by this part of the story. What exactly are they doing over there? pic.twitter.com/h4W5fUjuYx

— David Freedlander (@freedlander) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

"We're too good to play D&D! Anyway, you get to be Pompeo this time."

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 22:27 (five years ago)

i assume they were doing something like this for the #content

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/08/06/election-2020-war-games-trump-vs-biden-race-show-risk-chaos/5526553002/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:29 (five years ago)

Well I mean they got the chaos

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

whatever it was, the erotic energy is undeniable

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:41 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/kvyU8Yl.jpg

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:42 (five years ago)

Lulz @ sic

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

Wait a minute

uh this has been deleted from the story?! https://t.co/WIhaZIw5C0

— Midsammar💭 (@samthielman) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 23:01 (five years ago)

Method acting?

Andy the Grasshopper, Monday, 19 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

can we keep the this in the other thread? New Yorker magazine alert thread

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 19 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

Also starring Anthony Lane as Nathan Lane

And Wallace Shawn as William Shawn

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 19 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

The Foxconn thing is just something else.

https://www.theverge.com/21507966/foxconn-empty-factories-wisconsin-jobs-loophole-trump

a certain derecho (brownie), Monday, 19 October 2020 23:33 (five years ago)

Useful

JUST IN: In a 4-4 ruling, the U.S. Supreme Court delivered a blow to Republicans with a decision allowing Pennsylvania to keep its extended mail-in voting period. https://t.co/eXKV0YMjAj

— HuffPost (@HuffPost) October 19, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 19 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

^ good news

While searching for Toobin's old swinger-club-set profile of Roger Stone earlier, I came across this August article featuring Stone attempting a characteristically, but still impressively, shameless attempt at rebranding as a grifter of megachurch patrons.

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Monday, 19 October 2020 23:35 (five years ago)

xp happy to read about that

Dan S, Monday, 19 October 2020 23:35 (five years ago)

dropped off my ballot today at the Civic Center, glad to be done with it.

I have been getting a robocall almost every day now to "re-elect Donald Trump". It's been increasing over the past few months. I've always been registered as a Democrat and have never voted for any Republican for any office in my entire life. I know this kind of stuff increases close to an election and I'm used to getting appeals from Democrats at election time, but this bugs me

Dan S, Monday, 19 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

If there's one thing you can count on from Trump and his supporters, it's that they will go to any length necessary to irritate liberals.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 19 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

To be really fucking clear, I would much rather have seven threads about people laughing about Jeffrey Toobin than seven threads of people reposting every single fucking thing Trump says and does

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 19 October 2020 23:51 (five years ago)

Just be glad people moved on very quickly from talking about Trump's junk.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 00:12 (five years ago)

Hey guys, what did I miss?!

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

You can’t step in the same slipstream twice.

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

between the viaducts of Trump's jeans

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 00:29 (five years ago)

was glad about that Supreme Court split, but this from Mark Joseph Stern is disturbing:

Ian is right—tonight’s order from the Supreme Court is terrifying. Four conservative justices supported a radical theory that would empower state legislatures to violate election laws and engage in voter suppression with impunity. Only Roberts balked.https://t.co/gXyvND850U https://t.co/80uQmrhwhu

— Mark Joseph Stern (@mjs_DC) October 20, 2020

Dan S, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 01:01 (five years ago)

I understand that it's good news re: PA but I find it chilling that half the court was evidently in favor of hearing this case

lol xp

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 01:05 (five years ago)

14 days

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

Hell yeah

treeship., Tuesday, 20 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

Uh oh looks like the chairman of biden fundraising committee/vp search committee member is not getting a cabinet position

1. Exclusive: Sources tell me that LA Mayor @ericgarcetti witnessed his top advisor Rick Jacobs sexually harass and assault people over the past six years. And not only did the Mayor not do anything to stop it, he's kept Jacobs in his position. https://t.co/icvQYPOmzl

— Yashar Ali 🐘 (@yashar) October 20, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

Good

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

Yeah I'm gonna say I'm shedding no tears for either that guy or Garcetti.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

Separately, roffle

The Senate Judiciary Committee postponed plans to vote on subpoenas to compel the CEOs of Twitter and Facebook to testify on allegations of anti-conservative bias after some panel Republicans expressed reservation about the maneuverhttps://t.co/mhnTNQIu7e

— POLITICO (@politico) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

Open Mic Night cancelled:

https://www.npr.org/2020/10/19/925605044/candidates-will-have-some-uninterrupted-time-in-final-presidential-debate

clemenza, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

B-b-but will they be able to play guitar with a capo?

Here Comes a Slightly Irregular (James Redd and the Blecchs), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

I think it would be funny if while Biden was talking Trump was just ranting and yelling off-mic from across the room, like a drunk down on the street hollering under your window.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

Wondering if they'll keep the split-screen when the mic is off.

clemenza, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

That is absolutely what will happen (if Trump actually agrees to this)

akm, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 05:25 (five years ago)

I'm picturing when Bender is flailing about singing B E N D E R and hermes just mutes him and leaves him to flail in the background while everyone ignores him.

Stoop Crone (Trayce), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 05:42 (five years ago)

I think it would be funny if while Biden was talking Trump was just ranting and yelling off-mic from across the room, like a drunk down on the street hollering under your window.

I don't really see how that's substantively different from the first debate, which was not funny.

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 07:06 (five years ago)

Yay they're doing the one thing they do

http://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/20/biden-transition-republican-cabinet-429972

Among the names being floated for possible Biden Cabinet posts are Meg Whitman, the CEO of Quibi and former CEO of eBay, and former Ohio Gov. John Kasich, both of whom spoke at August’s Democratic National Convention. Massachusetts GOP Gov. Charlie Baker and former Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) have also been mentioned, as has former Rep. Charlie Dent (R-Penn.), who resigned from Congress in 2018 and became a lobbyist.

Splack Packath (GOTT PUNCH II HAWKWINDZ), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 11:58 (five years ago)

vewy sewious peopow

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 12:16 (five years ago)

I don't really see how that's substantively different from the first debate, which was not funny.

I didn't see the first debate, so I don't know how it sounded, but I was thinking more muffled and distant. Like, Biden is talking and in the background you hear this sort of indistinct "mmmrph hrmmmn floooorrfle ... !" Like someone that's literally been gagged and is trying to get the attention of someone for help. "Murrrffle! Murrrrfle murfffle murf!" (sound of tape ripping and deep panting/breaths) "Hunter Biden!" And then he tips over and dies.

Anyway, this, certainly, is funny:

President Trump on Pelosi at $2.2 trillion: "I would be willing to go more, because I think ... The government we get the money back -- it gets the money back anyway and it's better than unemployment and all the costs associated with the alternative"

— Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) October 20, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 13:06 (five years ago)

Butting right up against a major breakthrough

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 13:08 (five years ago)

Is that republican version of standing on the verge of gettin it on?

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 13:11 (five years ago)

the electric spanking of Trump baby more like

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 13:21 (five years ago)

Make Meg Secretary of Mergers and Acquisitions, she would be very good at that.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 13:36 (five years ago)

So Tiffany's a chip off the old turd, eh?

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

Looking forward to getting angry at Biden after he wins.

jaymc, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

I think it would be funny if while Biden was talking Trump was just ranting and yelling off-mic from across the room, like a drunk down on the street hollering under your window.
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, October 19, 2020 9:41 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

Wondering if they'll keep the split-screen when the mic is off.
― clemenza, Monday, October 19, 2020 9:54 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

That is absolutely what will happen (if Trump actually agrees to this)
― akm, Tuesday, October 20, 2020 12:25 AM (nine hours ago)

We're definitely going to get the live TV version of @TrumpDraws Thursday night.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

Early vote total up to 33.7 million -- over 5 million from about 24 hours ago, though that likely was partial backlog from the weekend. Even so, early vote total on track to exceed the 2016 early vote total by Friday, possibly sooner. Elections Project is projecting early vote total this year could be at least 85 million, well over half the overall vote total from 2016.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

so happy all these people are turning out to vote for Kanye

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

ned - are you looking at that github site?
because if anything i think that is drastically underestimating it, just been checking MN and they haven't updated the number since last week

I'm sure it's how states report etc etc but I bet it's actually way more

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

Looking forward to getting angry at Biden after he wins.


yep. absolutely the dumbest Charlie Brown football move in American politics is ‘make nice w teh “Good Republicans” so the country cAN heAL’.

but I’m about to go stand in line to vote and in a relatively good mood. In the spirit of comity I’ll hope this is a tactical olive branch to any wavering conservatives out there who haven’t voted yet.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

I agree it's dumb but it's even more idiotic that our country is set up so that a minority party can just unilaterally decide to grind the entire federal government to a halt until they cheat their own guy in

frogbs, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

(as in, it’s just something for the media to chew on for a day or so and not actually real)

Xpost to self

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

forget about politics, i'm skipping straight ahead to the benghazi of biden's term:

Fox News is now pushing for Barr or Trump to appoint a special counsel to investigate the Hunter Biden smear story. It is is reminiscent of the network’s successful campaign to get a House Select Committee on Benghazi. https://t.co/FyYHyL77Uu

— Matthew Gertz (@MattGertz) October 20, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

although, if they can manage to take back the senate, keep the house, and win the presidency, republican attempts to form #Benghazi 2: the Laptop of Hunter Biden will be thwarted

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

well, they've got less than two weeks to get it together.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

because if anything i think that is drastically underestimating it, just been checking MN and they haven't updated the number since last week

I'm sure it's how states report etc etc but I bet it's actually way more

Oh, entirely likely -- it's worth noting the fellow who runs the site/project always says 'at least' when reporting his numbers, so in actuality they are higher.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

More people have now early voted in TX than the number of people who voted for Donald Trump in TX in 2016.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 20, 2020

jaymc, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

Crazy. And with two weeks to go that number will just ramp up.

Tim Alberta's latest on his hunches is 1) short, thankfully and 2) hones on a key point I think is getting more and more obvious, however much he's still cautious about it:

But if Trump loses, the biggest factor won’t be Covid-19 or the economic meltdown or the social unrest. It will be his unlikability.

As I wrote last week in a dispatch from Arizona, sometimes you hear a voter say something “so basic, so one-dimensional, that you’re inclined to dismiss it until you hear it for the thousandth time.” That’s the story of this election: All across America, in conversations with voters about their choices this November, I’ve been hearing the same thing over and over again: “I don’t like Trump.” (Sometimes there’s a slight variation: “I’m so tired of this guy,” “I can’t handle another four years of this,” etc. The remarkable thing? Many of these conversations never even turn to Biden; in Phoenix, several people who had just voted for the Democratic nominee did not so much as mention his name in explaining their preference for president.

Generations of pollsters and journalists have fixated on the question of which candidate voters would rather have a beer with—a window into how personality translates into political success. Here’s the thing: Americans have been having a beer with Trump for the past four years—every morning, every afternoon, every evening. He has made himself more accessible than any president in history, using the White House as a performance stage and Twitter as a real-time diary for all to read. Like the drunk at the bar, he won’t shut up.

Whatever appeal his unfiltered thoughts once held has now worn off. Americans are tired of having beers with Trump. His own supporters are tired of having beers with Trump. In hundreds of interviews this year with MAGA loyalists, I have noted only a handful in which the person did not, unsolicited, point to the president’s behavior as exhausting and inappropriate. Strip away all the policy fights, all the administrative action (or inaction), all the culture war politics, and the decision for many people comes down to a basic conclusion: They just do not approve of the president as a human being.

He then adds a bit about how Dan Crenshaw's own constituents are telling him they're not supporting Trump, which causes me no end of delight.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

remember when Dem operators fretted about Biden's canceling negative advertisements two weeks ago?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

major Trump fatigue is a big factor for sure. He's not some outsider that voters are curious about and don't like the mean lady anyways.

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

Biden just needs to ask Trump if he's wearing a diaper during the debate, and ask him what color and brand it is

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

Biden should run an ad on Halloween that's just a still image of Trump's grinning jack-o'lantern face for a full minute, and at the end have a voice intone "if you've made it this far, imagine another four years looking at that fuckin' face."

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

The reaction from audiences everywhere (NSFW on the grossness front):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u2D0kDFKaxE

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

It'd be perfect on Thursday if they initially keep Trump's mic on, mute him as soon as he interrupts, and then, with a smile, the moderator says "That felt great--we've all been waiting to do that forever."

clemenza, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

(And to give you a further idea of the quickness of early voting, it's already up to 34 million now.)

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

Or they can keep his mic on but keep pretending they can't hear him, like Pee Wee Herman.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

Shift his mic an octave up, and then randomly slap on a T-Pain filter

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

pretty sure the HIS EMAILS thing is less about impacting the vote at this point and more about obstructionism when he's voted in... or, more darkly, as a fig leaf for extralegal action barring him from entering the office.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

That will be darkly amusing, because every GOP effort to delegitimize the incoming president can (and will) be characterized as "relitigating the election."

And there will be no shortage of Republican sound bites from 2016-2020 saying that trying to relitigate an election that already happened is a bad thing.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

I'm surprised this hasn't happened sooner... think I might just hand deliver my ballot on Nov 3rd, right to the polling place:

Ballot box fire in Baldwin Park may be arson, officials say

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-10-19/ballot-box-fire-baldwin-park-may-be-arson

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

like they give a shit about that lol xp

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

I read something recently about how some ballot drop boxes have been designed to be fireproof. Not sure how that works, exactly -- it said that a lit match would extinguish before it could do any damage. But it sounds like the one in L.A. must not have been like that.

jaymc, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

You know, when I dropped off my ballot yesterday there was a ballot monitor standing by it the whole time. I find it hard to believe (which is to say, it's totally believably, sigh) that they would have someone standing there watching the box all day but then ... just leave it there unattended all night. I assumed they get moved inside or something.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

Not sure how that works, exactly

easy - just fill the ballot dropbox with water. data integrity preserved!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

He then adds a bit about how Dan Crenshaw's own constituents are telling him they're not supporting Trump

They'll probably still vote for Crenshaw tho. Although one of his opponent's best ads spotlights his video about about how masks don't work, followed by many medical professionals denouncing him.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

Democrats gain in Georgia Senate races as the presidential contest remains deadlocked, per new NYT/Siena poll:
Biden 45, Trump 45
Ossoff 43, Perdue 43, Hazel 4
Warnock 32, Loeffler 23, Collins 17
Warnock+4 v. both Collins and Warnockhttps://t.co/7atcFrw9tS

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 20, 2020

the warnock race will be a january run-off, and this is a good point

In the very plausible scenario where Democrats are looking to extend a Senate lead in two Georgia Senate elections, Trump staying in the news by refusing to concede and juicing D turnout and $$ seems sub-optimal for the GOP.

— sean (@SeanMcElwee) October 20, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

They'll probably still vote for Crenshaw tho.

The age of split ticket voting is largely behind us. I think Trump is gonna drag down a lot of members of congress with him.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

(the ossoff race is also runoff if neither candidate gets 50%.)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

Thread:

Biden v. Trump 10/15 UPDATE

Nat’l: Biden +11.2/Clinton +6.2
EC: Biden 273-124 (+149)/Clinton 272-180 (+92)

AND Biden 50%+ in NINE battlegrounds (49%+ in 13), ZERO for Clinton

Biden lead greater than all undecideds + 3rd party in NINE battlegrounds, ZERO for Clinton

THREAD... pic.twitter.com/5fyZXggOUH

— "No teams" (≠ neutral) Indy (@NoTeamsIndy) October 15, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

"Are you threadening me!?!"

https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/beavisandbutthead/images/8/8d/CORNHOLIO_NEED_HIS_TP.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20111118231614

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

"Biden eyes GOP candidates for Cabinet slots"
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/20/biden-transition-republican-cabinet-429972

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

let me know when he actually puts them in his Cabinet

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

Early vote total already spiked up to 35.1 million from just three hours back. I'm starting to think this crosses the 47 million threshhold by Thursday.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

and this happened this morning:

Here is @CityofMiami Police Officer Daniel Ubeda, in full uniform with badge and gun wearing his Trump mask inside of the polling location in government center.

This is city funded voter intimidation.

Ubeda should be suspended immediately. pic.twitter.com/TbJxu6mcem

— Steve Simeonidis (@stevesimeonidis) October 20, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

let me know when he actually puts them in his Cabinet

Seems like an elaborate ruse just to keep Kasich's vote in Ohio.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

Ugh why do cops have beards?

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:06 (five years ago)

because they think of themselves a grizzled SEALS on patrol

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Meantime

Some QAnon news: QAnon figure Austin Steinbart, who goes by the alias "Baby Q" and has claimed to be the leader of QAnon visiting from the future via time travel, just filed to act as his own attorney in a federal felony case. What could go wrong?

— Will Sommer (@willsommer) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

Stienbort

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

BabyQ was last in the news after he was caught with a synthetic penis meant to dodge drug tests https://t.co/3KXueorUkZ

— Will Sommer (@willsommer) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

He was in Fortean Times a couple months ago, they only reason I know who that is.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

A lot of ppl registered as Dems in Florida are getting emails like this today. pic.twitter.com/2oDJRz0YTB

— Roxy Horror Picture Show🌹 (@redrawnoxen) October 20, 2020

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:46 (five years ago)

just voted baby. I’m pretty excited that my vote might actually mean something for the first time in my life in a national election.

feeling relatively bullish on Ossoff; less so on Warnock bc of special election (and, well, racism), but McElwee’s point unthread is good one

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

upthread

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

Ossoff's the first politician I've seen in years who I find really cute.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

xpost that brings back some great Minnesota Vikings memories of Onterrio Smith and the "Whizzinator"

https://www.espn.com/nfl/news/story?id=2061794

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

What's going on with Joe Lieberman's son in the Loeffler race?

jaymc, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

he seems like a whole lot of what if x, but an app and targeted tax credits guy but hey if he can take out Perdue he’s welcome to wet sloppy kiss from me

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

What's going on with Joe Lieberman's son in the Loeffler race?


ugh good question. I don’t see any tv so can’t say as-wise, but I sure as hell haven’t seen any of his signs. Tons and tons of Warnock... maybe even more than Ossoff. but I do live in the belly of the beast (E Atlanta)

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

ad-wise

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

for some reason I kept confusing Ossoff for Jon Gosselin

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

Whoof (this is a Rasmussen poll):

Pennsylvania @Rasmussen_Poll:

Already Voted (31%)
Biden 78
Trump 19

Likely Voters
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%

Likely Voters Including Leaners
Biden 50 (+3)
Trump 47

Definitely Plan to Vote (92%)
Biden 52 (+8)
Trump 44

Already Made Up Mind (89%)
Biden 53
Trump 46 https://t.co/TKA9G1aUIi

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 20, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

fuck leaners

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

The Hill: Speaking at a briefing for the British strategic advising company Global Counsel, (GOP Pollster) Luntz said Trump’s advisers have “their heads up their asses” if they think Hunter Biden will be a winning issue for them.

“I’ve never seen a campaign more mis-calibrated than the Trump campaign. Frankly, his staff ought to be brought up on charges of political malpractice,” Luntz said.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

so should Frank Luntz

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

So, let's say that Biden wins. I assume there's someone responsible for keeping a running tally of laws that need to be immediately enacted, laws that need to be immediately repealed, emergency executive orders that must be made ASAP, legal/ethical loopholes plugged, and so on?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

I'm sure they're ready to go on all the exec-order regulation reversals.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

Also, again, this is not an endorsement, but I appreciate the effort:

NEW: Today @ProjectLincoln is up with billboards across 15 swing counties in North Carolina. #NCpol pic.twitter.com/4tbvX4hgmf

— RC Di Mezzo (@rcdimezzo) October 20, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

dope

treeship., Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

i was devastated when bernie lost the primary, but now i am excited for election day. not out of any love for biden or harris but because i can't wait for the "trump era" to end.

treeship., Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Shame, really:

House-district polling is telling a grim story for Trump.

I spoke to @Redistrict about all the private data he's seeing.

"Trump is underperforming 2016 margins by 8 to 10 points in most competitive districts," he told me.

Much more in our interview:https://t.co/M2oTmEEAvU

— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

wallogina not aging well

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

irl

i'm retching / laughing

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

lol

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

that's how the real article's pic is cropped, too! here's the full one:

https://i.imgur.com/26EaB4R.png

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:56 (five years ago)

these people are truly our betters

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

the best of us

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

as someone who frequently searches for the highest resolution image possible before cropping it to the most intense close-up possible, i can tell you:

image editor did a great job

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

The age of split ticket voting is largely behind us

Texas deliberately did away with the straight-ticket option immediately after the Beto BluWave in '18. I could see some voters leaving Trump to twist in the wind, but still making time to put in a check for Crenshaw or whatever GOP ghoul is running in their district.

"...And the Gods Socially Distanced" (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

We/I desperately need an updated wallogina comprised entirely of Trump's suppurating little anus mouth.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oTIPhPUPuRw

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

God, that closeup. Does Trump shave, or use an Epilady?

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

suppurating little anus mouth
face stuffed with congealed mayo
bologna

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

rock over london, rock on chicago

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

God, that closeup. Does Trump shave, or use an Epilady?

― Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, October 20, 2020 4:01 PM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

https://theconcourse.deadspin.com/can-donald-trump-grow-a-beard-an-investigation-1787842613

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

that byline!

treeship., Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

I’mma just go ahead and FP everyone having an anus party on this thread

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

Sadly I am now singing "anus party" to the tune of "TV Party"

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

http://static1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20131030171027/tardis/images/7/79/Cassandra_closeup_The_End_of_the_World.jpg

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

If you thought there were unsettling close-ups itt, do yourself a favor and don't click on caek's link.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

We've got nothing better to do
Than watch the president's anus mouth as it spews

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

did you all get lost on your way to the Caligula thread

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

This thread and the New Yorker thread are neck and neck for grossest of the day, but only one of those is surprising.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

Another smashing success!

Apparently there was some drama while President Trump was taping his 60 Minutes interview today. He abruptly ended his solo interview after around 45 minutes & did not return for a scheduled walk & talk he was supposed to tape with Pence, @abdallahcnn and I are told by sources.

— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

Also, they're reduced to this.

Rudy: Even if the Hunter laptop story is bogus, Americans ‘are entitled to know it’https://t.co/l1j5dYJL0b

— Sam Stein (@samstein) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

someone's entitled, alright

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

Yes, the right-wing line is that the only reason people don't give a shit about LApToPgAte is because the complicit lib media is censoring it.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:37 (five years ago)

It's horrible. The laptops. We need to talk about them

Evan, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

I love that the media has a seemingly inexhaustible supply of photos of Rudy making "Whaaaat? Dead hooker? In my car trunk?" faces.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

That's a weird way to say "shit in my pants"

Evan, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

i just don't understand why photos of hunter biden with a crackpipe has anything to do with joe biden.

treeship., Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

do these people not have family members with drug problems? lucky them.

treeship., Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

"Texas deliberately did away with the straight-ticket option "...wait what? Sorry I've only ever voted in California. Do you mean that there are boxes in some places that just say "vote for all members of x party"? that's fucking dumb. Or maybe it isn't, dunno, but I had no idea.

akm, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

removing the option to vote straight ticket reduces participation in down ballot races, increases spoiled ballots, and makes it take longer to vote. it's a classic voter suppression tactic.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

Looks like there are only 6 states that still allow straight-ticket voting. Illinois got rid of it the year I turned 18, so I've never experienced it.

jaymc, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

as someone who frequently searches for the highest resolution image possible before cropping it to the most intense close-up possible

The social media staffer who captioned that photo with a reference to "uniquely granular" data is the hero of the day

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

In Russia you don't read twitter, twitter reads you

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

dunno, never in 30 years has California had straight ticket voting I guess (unless I've completely forgotten about it)

akm, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

The non-responsive touchscreen made voting by individual race take quite a bit longer than in 2018. NBD for one person but multiplied by dozens or hundreds of people in line at a polling place, that alone is an effective suppression tactic.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

i just don't understand why photos of hunter biden with a crackpipe has anything to do with joe biden.

It's naive to think that a President's close family isn't going to be an issue in an election. Tricky Dick's brother getting a loan from Howard Hughes was an issue 60 years ago.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

dunno, never in 30 years has California had straight ticket voting I guess (unless I've completely forgotten about it)

― akm, Tuesday, October 20, 2020 5:02 PM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

almost all of the choices on a CA ballot are non-partisan. the voter in my house (i.e. not me) got a ballot with 3 partisan elections (statehouse, US congress and US president) and 26 non-partisan elections (everything else). straight ticket voting doesn't help with that kind of ballot.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

Yeah in Va. our ballots generally always include nonpartisan school board seats, referendums, bond issues, stuff like that.

they see me lollin' (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:19 (five years ago)

The Associated Press, while investigating how Trump plowed through a billion dollars during the campaign, found this interesting detail: A web of limited liability companies hid more than $310 million in spending from disclosure, records show.https://t.co/PzK64wS85O

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 20, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

So are those things partisan choices in other areas? sorry if I'm being obtuse. I know not everyone has the same initiative madness CA does, but we have statehouse, president, senate, house of reps, assembly, city council, etc. sure it would be easier for me to just pic the Dem slate for that but I've never actually wanted to do that. but I vote slowly from home over the course of two weeks normally so speed isn't a consideration for me.

akm, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:26 (five years ago)

xp
Those Russian debts aren't going to pay themselves!

nickn, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:28 (five years ago)

Trump already whining about Lesley Stahl, guessing the 60 Minutes interview did not go so well

frogbs, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

Apparently he stormed out before they could film the intended last part.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:31 (five years ago)

xxxp - If you voted straight party here, it skipped you to the non-partisan races and ballot measures.

I almost always voted straight party because I'd never vote for a Republican and it's not worth the extra effort to abstain from voting for really shitty Democrats (which was never an issue anyway since until Obama '12 I never voted for an incumbent Democrat).

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:32 (five years ago)

I was just listening to some NPR story catching up with Pensacola Trump voters from 2016, and it totally buried the lede that they were extreme prosperity Christians or some bullshit. Turns out they still support him, go figure. What a waste of my time for a dog bites man story.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

i heard that, it provided no insight whatsoever

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:39 (five years ago)

Stahl kept bringing up the boring covid thing and didn't want to talk about the laptop.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:41 (five years ago)

basically everything is non-partisan in southern california (including the big ones, mayor, council, etc.)

straight ticket also doesn't work in CA because we switched to a top two primary in 2010. pretty much every non-primary is two nominally non-partisan members of the same party running against each other. the democratic party likes it that way for obvious reasons, so has no incentive to set up the kind of endorsement process that would allow straight ticket voting even in a top-two primary.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

lol he's going to waste a week bitching about 60 Minutes

Lesley Stahl of 60 Minutes not wearing a mask in the White House after her interview with me. Much more to come. pic.twitter.com/0plZG6a4fH

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 20, 2020

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:46 (five years ago)

oh shit she didn't wear a mask?! stahl has lost my vote.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:47 (five years ago)

I mean, America *hates* Lesley Stahl already, but this will seriously push her chances for the White House off a cliff.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

some people are saying 45 minutes is enough, 60 minutes totally wasteful

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:50 (five years ago)

All of a sudden he's Mr. Masky-McMaskMask

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

Brutal: Lawyers from Jones Day, which has earned millions representing the Trump campaign, have donated $90K to Biden -- and $50 to Trump. Not $50 *thousand*. $50 bucks. https://t.co/98tO8dBLi1

— Alison Frankel (@AlisonFrankel) October 20, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

god, trump is such a whiny asshole

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:54 (five years ago)

also fuck everyone at that law firm

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:54 (five years ago)

So! Our president grants 60 Minutes an interview, ostensibly for good press in the less than two weeks remaining before ED. He storms off. He attacks Leslie Stahl on Twitter.

He's won reelection. Genius.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:55 (five years ago)

thing is - patriots don't trust 60 minutes

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:56 (five years ago)

what is the most swing votery thing to watch? 60 minutes has to be up there?

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

i always imagined them as people who do not watch or read anything related to news or current events

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

I always assumed at least 40% of the 60 Minutes audience was NFL fans that fell asleep during a slow second half in the late afternoon game.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:02 (five years ago)

i'm assuming "swing votery" means "undecided", since almost everyone else feels very strongly one way or another.

and for the undecideds, do they watch news? nothing against wheel of fortune, but i think the wheel is probably more interesting to them

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:02 (five years ago)

from 2019
Ratings are not a problem at 60 Minutes in 2019. Though the show airs the same time as some NFL games, it has averaged 10.5 million viewers since its 52nd season premiered on September 29. That represents a 4% improvement over the prior season.

The show continues finding an audience for its in-depth look at political issues of the day. A good example would be the November 17 edition that featured Scott Pelley’s report on red-flag gun laws. That show had an audience of 13.2 million viewers.

For a little perspective, the November 17 showing was the biggest TV audience any non-sports program had all week. And it was the No. 3 show of the entire week (sports or not), according to Nielsen ratings.

The best ratings news of all for CBS is the growth 60 Minutes has posted in the coveted 18-49 year-old demographic. While cable-news shows often lag in this department, 60 Minutes is up 18.5% this season with its 1.45 rating.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:05 (five years ago)

Vast improvement over that previous 1.26 rating.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

I'll defend 60 Minutes. It's good!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

i'm morley safer

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

And I'm Hugh Downs.

And this is 20/20.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

i mean it really doesn't matter what the ratings are. whatever shitfit he throws before walking off will be all over twitter, and he spends another few days acting like a giant bitch about it

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

Dude's definitely short a piece of cheese in his Lunchable

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:14 (five years ago)

I don't know how to link DJT Twitter, but: I am pleased to inform you that, for the sake of accuracy in reporting, I am considering posting my interview with Lesley Stahl of 60 Minutes, PRIOR TO AIRTIME! This will be done so that everybody can get a glimpse of what a FAKE and BIASED interview is all about...

DAMN

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

I’m Donny Osmond.

https://64.media.tumblr.com/6dd88f7f343ad9c545b1d549c2c83f03/tumblr_inline_p74fk5n0zm1rvl0vd_1280.jpg

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

I see that Twitter is discovering all over again that Chris Pratt is a Republican.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

The things you relearn!

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

What, did he have Hope Hicks record the interview on her phone or something?

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:22 (five years ago)

And if it's fake & biased, what's the rush to release it?

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

would hurt 60 Minutes' ratings, that's obviously all this is about

frogbs, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

Release The Trump Cut

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:29 (five years ago)

He could just save us all the trouble and skip ahead a couple of weeks instead of just a couple of days. What is he so afraid of?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:32 (five years ago)

I don't know what that Donny Osmond photo is from, but that's literally a Quibi show.

jaymc, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

Trump's footage

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qEGFaOeUm2A

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:41 (five years ago)

Stahl: "But excuse me, Mr. President.. you never actually won a Nobel..."
Trump: "Get out! Get out! You're a Never Trumper! I'm going back to my room...

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 22:50 (five years ago)

how can an interview be 'fake'

global tetrahedron, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

Aw.

NEWS: Trump's campaign committee expected to report only **~$63 million** entering Oct.

That's about half of what it had entering Sept.

RNC $78.1m
Trump Victory $90.3m
T-MAGA $20.1m.

Total between 4 entities previously announced as $251.4 million.https://t.co/f6kESRNtmh

— Shane Goldmacher (@ShaneGoldmacher) October 20, 2020

Back on the tax beat:

NEW: President Trump's tax records reveal a previously unknown bank account he has in China, where he's spent a decade pursuing business deals. w/@russbuettner@susannecraig https://t.co/lklgXCqe9x

— Mike McIntire (@mmcintire) October 20, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

this Chris Pratt thing is fucking stupid. who gives a motherfuck. He's also married to Arnold Schwarzenegger's daughter, no? I really don't think he's a Trump supporter.

akm, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 23:47 (five years ago)

i actually don't know what you're talking about, and i'm going to just savor this moment

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 23:48 (five years ago)

I don't know what that Donny Osmond photo is from

Ah, such youth. (Being an older crust like myself means remembering the Donny and Marie show from the late 70s regularly had a 60 Minutes parody called, as you see it, 6 Minutes. No video evidence immediately available but maybe in some best-of clips or something.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 20 October 2020 23:51 (five years ago)

this Chris Pratt thing is fucking stupid. who gives a motherfuck. He's also married to Arnold Schwarzenegger's daughter, no? I really don't think he's a Trump supporter.

It's dumb but being an avid follower of that awful megachurch would absolutely put him in the Trump demographic.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 20 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

Don Jr’s closing line: “When we win for America we can also make liberals cry again and, in the process, make America great again, again!”

— Liz Goodwin (@lizcgoodwin) October 20, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:00 (five years ago)

"Again again" is not not a bad slogan

I wish you luck with a capital F (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:01 (five years ago)

for real? he said the "make liberals cry" part out loud?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:04 (five years ago)

Looks like we’re going to sail through covid case record and possibly hospitalisation too right around Election Day.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:06 (five years ago)

Why not? I lived it last week.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:06 (five years ago)

Looooool

Following his "60 Minutes" interview, Trump did not smile to greet cheering supporters as he departed the White House. pic.twitter.com/1WlcRzdqax

— The Recount (@therecount) October 20, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:08 (five years ago)

looooooooooool the big boy

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

Sad Nixon.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

awww I think somebody needs his Filet-O-Fish

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

he was soooooo unfaiwwy untweated

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

The mien of a person who got terrible internal polls

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

terrible internal bowels

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

don't think these 10 second clips reveal anything really

Dan S, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

this clip reveals a sad man

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

They reveal the fistula he calls his face

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

Eh, it's just free schadenfreude, enjoy it while you can.

2xp

pomenitul, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

They would mean more if you could better hear the squishy sounds.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

The thing about "make liberals cry" is the people who say it seem to think that it's a tit-for-tat response to liberals who "hate America" and want to destroy conservatives' way of life. But hardly any liberals actually express anything like that. The most radical beliefs and policy positions on the left generally aren't held out of spite or animosity -- but out of a desire to transform society for the benefit of all! Like, I hate Republican politicians, but I want their voters to have free health care.

jaymc, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

"Leslie Stahl won't be happy."

Focused like a laser beam. (Actually surprised he hasn't been obsessing over Jeffrey Toobin, who, not surprisingly, has been all over Trump for years.)

clemenza, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:27 (five years ago)

don't understand, when I try to post I'm just directed back to the New Answers page

Dan S, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

for my third time posting it - I agree, jaymc

Dan S, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

(Actually surprised he hasn't been obsessing over Jeffrey Toobin, who, not surprisingly, has been all over Trump for years.)

the fact he hasn't confirms that his dick is on tape

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:36 (five years ago)

So tonight we have 60 Minutes, secret bank accounts for Chinese business deals, 545 migrant children whose parents can't be located, and the White House pushing a sweetheart deal for DoD 5G spectrum, meanwhile COVID cases are spiking across swing states. Seems bad.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:41 (five years ago)

24-hour news cycle drawing down to 12

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:44 (five years ago)

The thing about "make liberals cry" is the people who say it seem to think that it's a tit-for-tat response to liberals who "hate America" and want to destroy conservatives' way of life. But hardly any liberals actually express anything like that. The most radical beliefs and policy positions on the left generally aren't held out of spite or animosity -- but out of a desire to transform society for the benefit of all! Like, I hate Republican politicians, but I want their voters to have free health care.

yeah it's a continuation of the entire Trump/McConnell operating procedure: Democrats aren't Americans and as such they don't deserve any representation

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:45 (five years ago)

Yes and i suspect even worse tax revelations to come.

treeship., Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:45 (five years ago)

From that Proud Boys thing earlier

https://www.wuft.org/news/2020/10/20/fbi-investigating-threatening-emails-sent-to-democrats-in-florida/

The FBI and the Alachua County Sheriff’s Office were investigating, according to sheriff’s spokesman Art Forgey.

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:45 (five years ago)

Forgery has two "r"s fyi

Vinnie, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

don't think these 10 second clips reveal anything really


It reveals a little of what it’s going to feel like when it happens for real

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

yeah it's a continuation of the entire Trump/McConnell operating procedure: Democrats aren't Americans and as such they don't deserve any representation

This has been the Republican Party line for 50 years now.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

many xp, who cares about Toobin, like at all.

and nobody gives even a half a shit about what's on Hunter Biden's laptop

Dan S, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

this Chris Pratt thing is fucking stupid. who gives a motherfuck. He's also married to Arnold Schwarzenegger's daughter, no? I really don't think he's a Trump supporter.

have no idea why he came up itt or what he thinks about Trump but

Pratt is also married to a Schwarzenegger, and an adherent of an Australian evangelical mega-church that obstructed police investigation into their founder's multinational child molestation, and runs (or ran) conversion programs for lesbian teens, and pregnancy consultation centres that recruit teens to work camps.

― erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Wednesday, September 16, 2020 10:53 AM (one month ago)

the Australian PM tried to bring the head of the church (son/head-cover-upper of the child sex abuser as his +1 to the White House but was knocked back

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

Wild in my lifetime we’ve gone from presidents who fuck (and are hated) to representatives who game (and are extremely loved)

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

When you're a New Yorker staff writer, they let you do it

I wish you luck with a capital F (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 01:04 (five years ago)

That shit about wanting to make liberals cry had me all like 'what kind of monsters exist just to try (in utter vain, but still) to make people who disagree with them cry?!?' but then I saw that clip of Trump looking like he was about to cry and realized that I am precisely that kind of monster but just specifically wrt Trump so hopefully I'm not too terribly monstrous. But boy do I want to see him fucking cry. Big heaving sobs.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

many xp, who cares about Toobin, like at all.

That was the point.

clemenza, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

Old Lunch otm, but alas, my soul is a bit darker and yeah, I kinda do want Trump, Trump enablers, and Trump supporters to suffer and repent and reflect on the harm they have done. (I know this is a futile and vain and pointless wish, but I harbor it nonetheless.)

Sorry not sorry

do as thou wilt, as long as thou dost punctuate it correctly (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 02:02 (five years ago)

Why does Pelosi do dicknose?

U.S. House Speaker Pelosi hopes for coronavirus aid progress by end of week https://t.co/nXpGGKwTQL pic.twitter.com/s9qLNkDiTO

— Reuters (@Reuters) October 21, 2020

Alba, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

She didn't spring for a mask with the little piece of wire in the nose to make it fit better.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:02 (five years ago)

According to a person with knowledge of what happened during the interview, Trump was unhappy that Stahl asked him tough questions regarding his rhetoric about Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) and his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, as well as the size of the crowds at his rallies and his disputes with Anthony S. Fauci, the nation’s leading infectious-disease expert. Stahl also told him during the interview that allegations about Biden’s son Hunter were not verified and that the Obama administration did not spy on the Trump campaign. Many of the questions were about the coronavirus pandemic and his handling of it, said the person, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the interview frankly.

When Trump first walked in, Stahl looked at him and said, “Are you ready for a tough interview?” The president believes “60 Minutes” will cut the interview in an unflattering way and has been talking all afternoon about how to preempt the footage, said the person familiar with the circumstances.

After 45 minutes, Trump looked at staff members and said, “I think we’re done, do you guys agree?”

Stahl believed the walk with Pence was still going forward, but Trump left the room and later complained to aides that Biden would have an easier interview and that “60 Minutes” would “cut it up to make him look bad,” according to an aide.

The person familiar with the interview said that there are no bombshell revelations, but that Trump complained about it all day and wants to take the air out of it by releasing it early. Three aides, who were not authorized to speak publicly, said the president overreacted, and one suggested that he might actually boost the ratings of a tough interview.

A senior White House official said Trump had told aides he wanted to go after Stahl and brainstormed ideas after the session with a group of aides in the Oval Office.

“The interview was not that bad,” a White House staff member said. “It wasn’t a bad interview. She just had a tone he didn’t like.”

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:04 (five years ago)

deal from strength or get crushed every time

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:05 (five years ago)

Let me guess, her tone was "being a woman who didn't know her place"

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:07 (five years ago)

god remember when galaxy brain idiots like Scott Adams and Bill Mitchell would look at this and say "wow!! Master Persuader Trump has convinced the entire nation to watch what will surely be a slam dunk interview right before the election! The 3-D Chess Master strikes again!!"

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:08 (five years ago)

I guess he has to wait until after November to pivot to blaming COVID on listening to other Republicans, he wanted a national mask mandate and testing and etc. but they made him do what he did.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:12 (five years ago)

god remember when galaxy brain idiots like Scott Adams

this was yesterday: Dilbert - C or D?

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:23 (five years ago)

so you do remember

Piven After Midnight (The Yellow Kid), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:26 (five years ago)

like it was yesterday

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 03:30 (five years ago)

this is sad

oof pic.twitter.com/fpVMlqnXvW

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 21, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

sew motch wenning

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 04:12 (five years ago)

this was yesterday: Dilbert - C or D?

oh I know he's still a very online moron I just don't think even he can do the "Trump is secretly a genius whose every move is intentional" thing anymore. he used to say shit like "he tweeted covfefe on purpose to stick it to the haters and make criticism of him look silly"

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

that entire tweet thread has some pretty bizarre videos from tonight's rally, I think the steroids are wearing off

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 04:21 (five years ago)

oh I know he's still a very online moron I just don't think even he can do the "Trump is secretly a genius whose every move is intentional" thing anymore

"Trump supporters are secretly geniuses who are pretending he sucks so that the libs will get super-extra-owned when he wins again" is a very similar energy but the difference is noted

just checked his twitter directly, and he's giving it loads of "Of course I've jacked it on a zoom business call, who hasn't?" today #onethread

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 04:33 (five years ago)

The MAGA obsession with YMCA is such an odd boomer anachronism. What do they think happened at the Y exactly?

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 05:23 (five years ago)

Some of the most joyless moving to music I've ever seen there

Zelda Zonk, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 05:37 (five years ago)

for most people, ymca is not about the organization, the goal of the organizaton or anything else. it is about the shape of the letters, and how you can bend your arms to resemble those letters

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 05:59 (five years ago)

he's beginning to look like grandpa munster

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 07:39 (five years ago)

if someone hasn't already dubbed the "sad charlie brown" music on the "walking away from 60 minutes" footage tweeted above then the internet must be broken

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 07:40 (five years ago)

if we could all get on the phones and start urging our legislators to cosponsor the RESTART act that would be great

DT, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 08:39 (five years ago)

Yay they're doing the one thing they do

http://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/20/biden-transition-republican-cabinet-429972

Among the names being floated for possible Biden Cabinet posts are Meg Whitman, the CEO of Quibi and former CEO of eBay, and former Ohio Gov. John Kasich, both of whom spoke at August’s Democratic National Convention.

she's running

Meanwhile, Katzenberg has told people in the industry that he may have to shut down the company, according to one person who spoke to him. Internally at Quibi, employees have said important strategy meetings have been cancelled, according to two people familiar with the matter. Some employees have informally been scheduling goodbye drinks...

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 09:54 (five years ago)

haha I don't think Quibi can last another month no matter what happens with the election

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 12:54 (five years ago)

This is so pathetic. This administration is filled with babies. If you’re so fucking sensitive don’t run for public office. https://t.co/yiKXESGpob

— Molly Jong-Fast🏡 (@MollyJongFast) October 21, 2020

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 12:54 (five years ago)

Some of the most joyless moving to music I've ever seen there

https://media1.giphy.com/media/cKhTE6YDCmPm0p5cWG/giphy.gif

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 12:57 (five years ago)

Meadows watched every single minute of the interview and then some.

And then some.

...And then some.

Can't wait to never have to see some of these fucking faces or hear some of these fucking voices or read some of these fucking names ever again.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:01 (five years ago)

Lol really are going to waste a week on "Leslie Stahl is a meanie"

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:02 (five years ago)

This was something. Honestly, I can relate. Is it too late to vote for Trump?

Trump's speech in Erie, PA, began with him telling his audience he didn't really want to be there ("I wasn't coming to Erie"), continued with him repeatedly complaining about being cold (it's 50 degrees there), and ended with him announcing he was cutting it short. Weird. pic.twitter.com/KZ6moki8SS

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 21, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:02 (five years ago)

I'm starting to think when he's out of office he's not going to do anything as ambitious as start a TV network or bullshit like that. He's just going to keep touring. An unmotivated speaker, as it were. Probably make a ton of cash. He could co-headline with Larry the Cable Guy or Dane Cook or some shithead. Up and comers will be all "yeah, it's the first of three opening slots for Trump, but a gig's a gig." He'll be the surprise headliner at state fairs, he'll pop into comedy clubs at the last minute. Maybe he'll do some PPV stuff.

"Why do they call them the Secret Service? Secret!? They're wearing black suits and sunglasses, have ear pieces and guns, and are standing right next to me! That's not very 'secret,' I mean, come on! I'm staying down the road at the Holiday Inn, by the way. Not a bad hotel. I mean, it's no Trump hotel, but hey, they did the best that they could. Got a pool. Got a buffet. 'Buffet.' What is that word, French? I mean, I guess it makes sense. It's nothing but French fries, French toast, French vanilla ice cream... If I didn't know better, I'd think all French people had fat asses! I suppose I'm not one to talk. But seriously, folks, I'm easy. All I need is a comfortable bed, and the Holiday Inn has plenty of those: the place is practically empty! But I'll say this much. I had the best night's sleep there. The best! I mean, once you've slept in the same bed as George Washington, there's nowhere to go but up. Am I right? I don't know how that guy ever got to sleep. Probably just lay there, grinding his teeth. Those weren't wooden dentures, that was a wooden mouthguard! True story!"

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:15 (five years ago)

hopefully they'll bring back Celebrity Boxing and he'll fight The Rock and die of a cerebral hemorrhage on live tv while simultaneously soiling himself

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:24 (five years ago)

Early vote total now a hair under 40 million. Based on the continuing rate the 2016 early vote total of 47 million will be broken at some point early tomorrow at the latest.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:24 (five years ago)

my local Orlandiots have reported long lines, which isn't exactly rare for us, but usually when I early vote, I'm in and out. good to see, esp since we're pretty much a blue city

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:26 (five years ago)

Early vote total now a hair under 40 million. Based on the continuing rate the 2016 early vote total of 47 million will be broken at some point early tomorrow at the latest.

People sure are eager to register their love and support for their beloved president at the first opportunity.

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:27 (five years ago)

Re: Stahl.

He does this shit with every interview - very unfair to me, very biased.

A moderately sensible person might ask, "why did you agree to an interview then?"

But the galaxy brain realization is: this is kayfabe and theater. It is deliberate and it is choreographed and it is entirely posturing for the maga grievance crowd. He's running against the media, not against Biden.

Unfortunately for him, Leslie Stahl isn't on the ballot

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:47 (five years ago)

I would vote for Lesley Stahl over Mike Bloomberg

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

DON HEWITT: Well, yeah.

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

Me: I should really pay attention to this conference call.

Also Me: I should add the sad 70's Incredible Hulk theme to depressed post 60 minutes meltdown Trump walking away. pic.twitter.com/zKHWGwmZwo

— Decoherence (@DecoherenceWave) October 21, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

New @CookPolitical House ratings with 13 days to go:

Solid/Likely/Lean D: 228
Solid/Likely/Lean R: 181
Toss Up: 26

Latest outlook: Democratic net gain of 5-15 seats. https://t.co/wcfAZ8REga pic.twitter.com/kicYCjmLSq

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 21, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

Damn, those House numbers (in Alfred's post) are awesome.

It will be interesting to see the redistricting fights that ensue, not least because hey, census (fucked up, politically manipulated, virally tainted census).

Hoping the wave changes some state legislatures

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:07 (five years ago)

uhhhh

Uhhhhh look at this picture of Mitch McConnell's hands that @lizzyratner found on AP pic.twitter.com/Y4LJL7mAdh

— Annie Shields (@anastasiakeeley) October 21, 2020

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

The fuck?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

diabeetus

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

Is that real? Clever man: can't sign anything without hands!

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

yikes mitch

goole, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

blood thinners

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

Bar fight

You should see the other guy, tho

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

this is septemic cutaneous ulcerative disease, it happened to my daughter's turtle too, they jsut have to change his water more often

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

what's up everybody, got a good one for ya

Saturday, January 5th 2019
https://siouxlandnews.com/news/local/minnesota-man-arrested-following-incident-at-sen-elizabeth-warren-rally

STORM LAKE, Iowa — A Minnesota man was arrested this afternoon during Senator Elizabeth Warren's rally in Storm Lake, Iowa

Senator Warren's rally was scheduled for 12:45 Saturday afternoon at Our Place in Storm Lake.

Storm Lake Police say 58-year-old Randal James Thom of Lakefield, Minnesota was part of the overflow crowd outside the facility when the incident occurred around 1:00 p.m..

Thom allegedly became very vocal while Senator Warren was outside greeting attendees before he became aggressive and attempted to assault others in the crowd.

Aug 24th 2019 - 10am
https://www.dglobe.com/news/crime-and-courts/4627783-Lakefield-man-sentenced-in-dog-nuisance-case

JACKSON — A Lakefield man was convicted earlier this month of two charges related to property damage caused by his unattended dogs.

Randal J. Thom, 59, was convicted of public nuisance and trespassing, both misdemeanors, related to a March barnyard attack on a rural Lakefield farm. Nearly two dozen chickens and two goats died, with others injured, due to Thom's Alaskan Malamute dogs. Thom's dog, named after president Donald Trump, was shot, and the incident gained international attention.

OCTOBER 20, 2020 — 9:26PM
https://www.startribune.com/passionate-front-row-joe-trump-supporter-dies-in-highway-crash-near-st-peter/572804072/

A southwestern Minnesota man whose passionate support for President Donald Trump took him to dozens of political events around the country and recently to the White House was killed in a highway crash while returning from a political celebration in Florida.

Randal J. Thom, 60, of Lakefield died in a collision shortly before 4:30 p.m. Monday on Hwy. 169 north of St. Peter, the State Patrol said. Thom was driving his minivan south and hit a pickup truck that also was heading south, the patrol said.

Evidence of recent alcohol use by Thom was detected at the scene, according to the patrol. Thom was not wearing a seat belt, the patrol added. ...

Marthamae Kottschade said she and Thom were among roughly 50 Minnesotans who attended a gathering in support of law enforcement on the White House grounds on Oct. 10. It was at that event where the president, recovering from COVID-19, appeared on the balcony and removed his mask.

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

goole, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

Karma crash

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

Thom allegedly became very vocal

https://consequenceofsound.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Thom-Yorke-on-Colbert.png

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

the only police I like are the karma police

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

and yet he chose to not take the basic safety precaution of wearing a seatbelt, either.

https://i.imgur.com/XmUvbAZ.jpg

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:34 (five years ago)

Who will now look after the dog that answers to the name 'Mr President'?

nashwan, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

Monmouth finds Biden+5 or +3 among LVs in Iowa; Greenfield up +6 or +2 in the Senate race.
That's Biden's best Iowa result that I can recall. https://t.co/h3IcdVqI1B

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 21, 2020

Trump won Iowa by 9 in 2016

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:39 (five years ago)

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

Well, at the very least, he had a better chance of dying prematurely from something stupid and preventable than living out his natural life.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

thought that McConnell photo was one of those "pictures with the wrong captions" thing but holy shit he looks terrible

https://i.imgur.com/l5dPDxd.jpg

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

For as much attention as MI/WI/PA/FL are getting, the real swing states right now (where the candidates are currently polling within a percentage point of each other) are GA/OH/IA.

jaymc, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

Who will now look after the dog that answers to the name 'Mr President'?

Is this from that Simon and Garfunkel song?

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

Maybe McConnell is really in a hurry to confirm that person because he is about to die.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

McConnell apparently transitioning into his final eldritch form.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

i do expect him to rip off his skin, at the end, and hiss at everyone before dying

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

Melting Man RoboCop jpg

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

Is this from that Simon and Garfunkel song?

Our nation turns its lonely eyes to you, woof woof woof

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/OWBlQni.jpg

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

where is that?

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

PMURT
PMURT
MY HIP AND PELVIS HURT

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

xp that particular shot is from Toledo

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:18 (five years ago)

I thought those signs said "SMURF."

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

Make America Gargamel Again

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

It seems this new Borat movie is well timed.

Oh my god.https://t.co/P9JCFr1nj1 pic.twitter.com/cwkiLZCnCw

— Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) October 21, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

Something not quite right about the top flag. Can't put my finger on it.

nashwan, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

this is septemic cutaneous ulcerative disease, it happened to my daughter's turtle too, they jsut have to change his water more often

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, October 21, 2020 10:27 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

I don't think enough attention was paid to this A+ lol.

Three Rings for the Elven Bishop (Dan Peterson), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

that was good

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

i lold

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

before i filed this story i preemptively apologized to my editors that i may have added too many joe biden amtrak facts. did you know the station in wilmington is named after him? https://t.co/utHJusahPK

— Oliver Willis (@owillis) October 21, 2020

but his rails...

(•̪●) (carne asada), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

"Randal always said, 'I have a better chance of dying in a car crash than I do from COVID,'" Kottschade said.

anybody that drives in FL can tell you, dem's not great odds

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

i mean in the case of anyone under the age of 50 he's pretty much right.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

well, yeah. and i suspect he's not the type who thinks much about 'other people' too

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

but in FL, dying in a car crash sometimes seems an inevitability, esp with teh "Ultimate I-4" project, though roads have been sometimes quiet lately

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

I have been told "hell is other people"

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

Xp

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

xxxp right. it's true but it's an argument to stop vehicular genocide via traffic engineering, tax non-commercial vehicles by weight, automated enforcement of speed limits, etc. etc. it's not an argument to lick doorknobs/ban masks.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

oh i agree, i just like shitting on FL

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

some stats by people who don't understand how stats work

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/pennsylvania-polls-tighten-and-trump-is-now-within-4-points-of-a-second-term

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:15 (five years ago)

our old friend Tim Carney is a FOX hack.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

In contrast:

This is pretty interesting ... starting to see more likely voter models where Democrats *gain* ground relative to the registered voter version. https://t.co/Zsa5W2vWP8

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

I also wonder whether this accounts for some of the gap between the higher-quality polls and the lower-quality ones (higher-quality polls have been better for Biden lately). The higher-quality polls may have more sophisticated ways to account for early voting.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 21, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

*pats himself loudly on back*

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

wow

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Iowa, 46 to 43 percent, according to a new Times/Siena poll.
Joni Ernst leads Theresa Greenfield by 1 in the race for U.S. Senate, 45 to 44 percent.
Trump approval at 46/50https://t.co/Eb3mtqDSyu

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 21, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

"We are concerned that the Biden campaign's use of Amtrak's charter train redirected Amtrak's scarce resources during a time of record losses, employee layoffs, and service cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic," they wrote.

On their most recent expenditure report, the Biden campaign reported that it had spent $265,000 to lease the train.

So that kinda sounds like a win/win for Amtrak, no? Biden is actually paying them to ride around, whereas Dotard rides for free.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

xp single polls aren't very useful of course

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

this amtrak thing seems to be .. going nowhere fast haha

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

"We are concerned that the Biden campaign's use of Amtrak's charter train redirected Amtrak's scarce resources during a time of record losses, employee layoffs, and service cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic," they wrote.

jfc they have no shame

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

"We are concerned that the Biden campaign's use of Amtrak's charter train redirected Amtrak's scarce resources during a time of record losses, employee layoffs, and service cuts during the COVID-19 pandemic," they wrote.

jfc they have no shame

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

xp single polls aren't very useful of course

― trapped out the barndo (crüt), Wednesday, October 21, 2020 1:30 PM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

not on their own, but that specific pollster is generally considered the best for state races and that's not a huge outlier wrt the results from spammier pollsters in IA, which adds up to some confidence.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

Lol and Amtrak's resources are scarce because... ???

This is "why are you hitting yourself?" While wearing a nice suit instead of Garanimals.

Meanwhile, Amtrak is great because you can drink the whole time, not just when the beverage cart comes by. Amtrak is like planes except slower and everyone is in first class.

Seriously trains are awesome, everybody take more trains

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

Early vote count now almost 41 million, and Elections Project now starting to show breakdown of vote origins on the main page:

Total Mail Ballots: 29,425,844
In-Person Votes: 11,502,917

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:54 (five years ago)

Also per the site, four states have yet to report any votes -- Arkansas and Hawaii on the lower population end, but also Missouri and of course New York, which will cause the numbers to really ramp up next week.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

Why does everyone care about Iowa? It has like three electoral ones.

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

Why does everyone care about Iowa? It has like three electoral ones.


Votes

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

As go the children of the corn, so goes America

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

if Trump loses Iowa the GOP is gonna get blown off the map

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

yeah Iowa is a bellwether... if it goes for Biden then it suggests there is in fact a blue wave happening. Also the Senate seat is a pretty essential pickup for Dems!

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

also, speaking personally here, it's important to watch those states because if things appear to be close in a state like Iowa on election night I think you can pretty much assume its over? like everyone else here I'm terrified about what's gonna happen in the wake of Nov 3rd if it's not immediately clear that Biden won

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Uhhhhh look at this picture of Mitch McConnell's hands that @lizzyratner found on AP pic.twitter.com/Y4LJL7mAdh

— Annie Shields (@anastasiakeeley) October 21, 2020

What the fuck

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

Trump has taped an interview with Jason Whitlock.

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8)
October 21, 2020

can't wait for a 20 minute discourse on Bojanglin from these two mind wizards.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

Should have made it a threeway summit with Clay Travis

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

Seriously trains are awesome, everybody take more trains

Give us lots more passenger trains, so we can take them!

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

Prediction: I think a big big scandal is going to emerge about misappropriation of Trump campaign funds.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

Mark Meadows is already catching heat for spending donation dollars on personal expenses even after he left his elected office to be Trump's COS

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

Good. It'll give Trump someone to sue and cast blame on when he's at loose ends after losing office.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

And speaking of

Sen. Blunt, being — very blunt: Question: Any sense of why Meadows came to the lunch? To sell you guys?

BLUNT: I don't think so, I don't think so.... maybe he just needed to get out of the White House.

— Kristin Wilson (@kristin__wilson) October 21, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:36 (five years ago)

Should have made it a threeway summit with Clay Travis

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, October 21, 2020 1:25 PM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Clay Travis = underrated piece of shit in American media

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

what states begin counting mail ballots on election night

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

it's all kinds of fucked up though, the're basically going to be saying "you didn't count fast enough, we won" as their attempt to cry foul, even when it's obvious millions of legit mail ballots have been cast

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

New Jersey and Vermont have joined Texas in an elite club: States where turnout is already more than 50% of the total vote four years ago. https://t.co/TWxouT87Ve

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 21, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

Mitt Romney did not vote for Trump. https://t.co/BHNtD6X6zY

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 21, 2020

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:42 (five years ago)

But maybe he did, we'll never know

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:42 (five years ago)

As much as watching Trump eat shit will be a glorious experience, equally glorious will be watching as all of the people who gave their time and blood and sweat and tears to aid his reelection effort are torn to shreds by Trump himself. I don't know how people haven't figured out by now that having anything to do with him is ultimately thankless as all hell.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

Mitt finally got his revenge
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/161129212927-trump-romney-full-169.jpg

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

Kayleigh McEnany presenting Lesley Stahl (@60Minutes) with some of the many things we’ve done for Healthcare. Lesley had no idea! pic.twitter.com/8bfIxkFiXt

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 21, 2020

so uh the book is clearly blank, right? look at the final image

frogbs, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

it looks like a sheet cake

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:51 (five years ago)

what states begin counting mail ballots on election night

― eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, October 21, 2020 2:37 PM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/10/13/us/politics/when-votes-counted.html

i.e. PA and WI will be the last to start counting.

FL and AZ are the ones to watch on the night. they should finish that night, and if they go biden enough for the networks to call them then it's over.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

it looks like a shit cake.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

they spent at *least* a hundred bucks on that empty book pic.twitter.com/cmt3onPZVm

— kilgore trout, a crushed algorithm (@KT_So_It_Goes) October 21, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

Back in early September, Trump weighed spending as much as $100 million of his own money on his reelection bid, according to Bloomberg News. When asked by reporters if he planned to self-fund part of his run, Trump said, “If I have to, I would.”

But the money has not materialized. Trump has contributed just over $8,000 to his campaign this election cycle, according to FEC data. It’s a huge difference from 2016, when Trump contributed $66 million of his own money to his first presidential bid.

Eight grand. Probably just the change from his sofa and junk drawer, taken to Coinstar.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

I fucking give up

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

xp non-NYT link for how different states start counting early votes:

https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/vopp-table-16-when-absentee-mail-ballot-processing-and-counting-can-begin.aspx

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

xpost All you really need:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ek3ofgRU0AAebjP?format=png&name=900x900

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

https://www.theguardian.com/film/2020/oct/21/rudy-giuliani-faces-questions-after-compromising-scene-in-new-borat-film

xpost eww omg

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

Neanderthal, also check out this Politico thingy

https://politico-dispatch.simplecast.com/episodes/why-election-night-could-be-a-nightmare-from-trump

Meanwhile

Should have made it a threeway

uh, Imma stop you there

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

Added summit to that but I really wanted to leave it out.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

damn, giuliani

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

thank you YMP

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

and Karl, and caek!

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

But it wasn't a dream. It was a place! And you and you and you...and you were there...and Rudy Giuliani was there, with a hand down his pants

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

http://www.technovelgy.com/graphics/content08/blade-runner-esper-photo.jpg

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

dumbest cyber expert on the planet

UPDATE: https://t.co/iymFki2u0b pic.twitter.com/SgCF43wKKy

— Nick Roberts (@nickroberts317) October 21, 2020

/

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

Lol just came here to post that.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

It’s certainly possible and probably likely the book is empty but it’s opened to like the third page, certainly not out of the ordinary that page would be blank even in a book that DID have actual content

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

if inzane johnny from wolf eyes doesn't post my meme to his instagram i'm giving up for good

https://i.postimg.cc/nrkskr3j/the-best-of-leonard-cohen.png

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:33 (five years ago)

re Rudy G — uh lock him up?

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

zip his pants!
zip his pants!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:39 (five years ago)

Trump has never met Giuliani

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

Is this the October Surprise? https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/nasa-moon-announcement-when-watch-mission-b1209506.html

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

lol fuck this guy

Sen. Mitt Romney tells CNN's @mkraju he already voted in the 2020 election and would not say if he voted for Joe Biden or wrote someone's name in.

“I did not vote for President Trump,” he said.

— Chandelis Duster (@Chandelis) October 21, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

This is big: Former “Happy Days” cast members will unite for a virtual fundraiser for the Democratic Party of Wisconsin Sunday.

Attendees will include several actors from the Milwaukee-set sitcom, including Henry Winkler, Ron Howard, Don Most, Anson Williams and Marion Ross, as well as Lowell Ganz, who was a writer and supervising producer for the show.

Among the absent cast members is Scott Baio, who is one of President Trump’s most vocal Hollywood backers...

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

In the name of across the aisle cooperation, Biden should appoint Trump king of Mars. But he should probably specify he's talking about the planet, not the candy bar.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

100% Romney wrote in his own name.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

he voted for Gloria La Riva

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

Romney totally voted for himself

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

lol, milo beat me to it

But yes, he did

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

Romney voted for Stegosaurus

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

He voted for me

treeship., Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

kanye west is on the ballot in utah just saying

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

Erin Moran probably stipulated in her will that Joanie no longer loves and will never love again Chachi.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

It's a Shame about Chachi is the best Cheeseheads album

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

NASA to announce no one ever landed on moon, moon doesn't even exist

akm, Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

This is big: Former “Happy Days” cast members will unite for a virtual fundraiser for the Democratic Party of Wisconsin Sunday.

I really wanna see this tbh, and fuck chachi anyway.

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

re Rudy G — uh lock him up?


Bulgarian-born Bakalova in real life is 24 and there is no suggestion in the movie that Mr Giuliani believed she was underage.

n/m I thought the actress was literally 15

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

Bulgarian-born Bakalova in real life is 24 and there is no suggestion in the movie that Mr Giuliani believed she was underage.

i'm not trying to make a serious case that giuliani is guilty of underage grossness, but in the movie she PLAYS a teenager, and she was acting in character in the Giuliani scene, correct? so, best case, you got a 76-year-old trying to sleep with someone who is 24, and to me it's very plausible that he looked at her and saw what she was acting as - a teenager

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

Would have been better if SBC had hired Chris Hanson to come in to chat with Rudy.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

100% wrote in Pierre Delecto

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

Well, if Trump loses Utah by one vote, we'll know whom to blame.

Narrator: Trump will not lose Utah.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

Some of the most joyless moving to music I've ever seen there

true patriot hero doctors would add some mdma to his steroid cocktail

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

regeneron + on + on

Covidiots from UHF (sic), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

i'm not trying to make a serious case that giuliani is guilty of underage grossness, but in the movie she PLAYS a teenager, and she was acting in character in the Giuliani scene, correct? so, best case, you got a 76-year-old trying to sleep with someone who is 24, and to me it's very plausible that he looked at her and saw what she was acting as - a teenager

From some of the clips it seems like she may be playing more than one character throughout the film...

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

a whole day of xps but

anybody that drives in FL can tell you, dem's not great odds

lol SO otm. I lived for six months in sarasota and i would say i saw five different car accidents AS THEY HAPPENED and dozens more in what had to have been within an hour of them occurring. the place is packed with the very young and the very old and they like to hit each other with their automobiles.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

the one time I got badly rear-ended, you could see it coming a mile away. dude driving a van on 95 South in Miami lost his tire in the middle of the right lane and made zero effort to get his car off to the breakdown lane. I was third behind him, the first car stopped in time, car in front of me stopped in time, I stopped in time, car behind me stopped in time, redneck not paying attention behind him just plowed on ahead and caused a 6 car accident.

I still made it to the Dolphins game tho

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

The cover on my right passenger rearviewmirror flew off last week on the Palmetto Expressway. The state with the prettiest name!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

NEWS: The FBI is making an announcement tonight on what the agency is calling a “major Election Security” issue. Scheduled 7:30PM ET start time.

— Geoff Bennett (@GeoffRBennett) October 21, 2020

...

Don’t fall into the traps set by our enemies.

View any sensational claims related to votes & voting systems with great suspicion. https://t.co/r1wfmaY4Ir

— Marco Rubio (@marcorubio) October 21, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 23:30 (five years ago)

oh they finally found out who was in the Oval Office huh

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

O shit they found out about Kanye

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 23:35 (five years ago)

apparently it's those proud boys emails in FL. they're from iran lmao.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 21 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

hilarious that Ratcliffe implied that the Proud Boys were trying to hurt Trump with their campaign.

what a PoS. also trying to interfere with FBI investigation on the Hunter Biden emails and whether they're part of disinformation campaign.

is there anything to stop Ratcliffe from trying to do a Comey 2.0 (I know he's not FBI but you know what I mean)

eat my room temperature ass (Neanderthal), Thursday, 22 October 2020 00:01 (five years ago)

just the usual attempts to jail his challengers, politics as usual

President Trump and his advisers have repeatedly discussed whether to fire FBI Director Christopher A. Wray after Election Day — a scenario that also could imperil the tenure of Attorney General William P. Barr as the president grows increasingly frustrated that federal law enforcement has not delivered his campaign the kind of last-minute boost that the FBI provided in 2016, according to people familiar with the matter.

The conversations among the president and senior aides stem in part from their disappointment that Wray in particular but Barr as well have not done what Trump had hoped — indicate that Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, his son Hunter Biden, or other Biden associates are under investigation, these people say. Like others, they spoke on the condition of anonymity to disclose internal discussions.

In the campaign’s closing weeks, the president has intensified public calls for jailing his challenger, much as he did for Hillary Clinton, his opponent in 2016. Trump has called Biden a “criminal” without articulating what laws he believes the former vice president has broken.

People familiar with the discussions say that Trump wants official action similar to the announcement made 11 days before the last presidential election by then-FBI Director James B. Comey, who informed Congress he had reopened an investigation into Clinton’s use of a private email server while she was secretary of state after potential new evidence had been discovered.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/trump-wray-biden-barr/2020/10/21/6ce69f02-13b0-11eb-ad6f-36c93e6e94fb_story.html

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 00:20 (five years ago)

Firing an FBI director? Man, that takes me back.

Play the hits, maaaan.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:00 (five years ago)

Close this thread in honor of Morbs.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

seconded

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

We'd only have to start another and we'd be back at it within the hour. Not exactly a lasting tribute.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:05 (five years ago)

what if we....weren't back at it?

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:06 (five years ago)

That would be fitting though, in light of his own inablity to stay off these threads for more than a day or two after storming off.

:(

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

I think the good doctor would actually be disappointed if we didn’t carry on the fight without him.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:11 (five years ago)

Otm.

Especially if we fight each other.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:11 (five years ago)

And there really is a fight to carry on for Morbs right now.

The right to be sick with dignity, and not have to weigh one's health against the cost of living.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:20 (five years ago)

It's just fucking unacceptable.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

hear hear

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:24 (five years ago)

otm

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/21/us/politics/grenell-maduro-venezuela-trump.html

Could have been a big win in the eyes of both American voters who care about Venezuela.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 22 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

"Department and ACLU revealed last night that they cannot find - they cannot find, they cannot find - more than 500 of the parents."

https://www.npr.org/transcripts/926051647

Steve Inskeep almost blew a circuit this morning. Can't say I blame him.

earlnash, Thursday, 22 October 2020 03:48 (five years ago)

Lee Gelernt says they're not going to stop until they've found every one of these families, no matter how long it takes.

(Note: Transcript translated from Spanish to English): "Hello? Mrs. Alvarez? Yes. Good. We want you to know we've finally located you in order to reunite you with your daughter (reads) Esmerelda - I hope I pronounced that correctly - we tore out of your arms when you crossed the US border in 2018. Yes. That's right. 22 years ago. She's 23 years old now. Yes. It's been a long time searching for you. But now we can finally deport her back to Hondouras so you two can be reunited."

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 22 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

Email update: I have received 22 emails from the Trump campaign in the last 24 hours. All of them were requests for money. They have no GOTV operation going at all, as far as I can tell — it's all just rounding up as much cash as possible (for the eventual escape to some non-extradition country).

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:07 (five years ago)

We’re not a party.

We’re a movement. pic.twitter.com/0odzR9BXVk

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 21, 2020

they're gonna form a massively influential think tank next year aren't they

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:08 (five years ago)

Some of y'all will consider this response a hedge. I think it works. It'll give him cover when he expands the court:

Joseph R. Biden Jr., who for weeks has declined to clarify his position on expanding the Supreme Court, said in a new interview that if elected, he would establish a bipartisan commission of scholars to study possible court overhaul more broadly.

“I will ask them to, over 180 days, come back to me with recommendations as to how to reform the court system because it’s getting out of whack,” he told CBS News’s Norah O’Donnell, according to an interview excerpt that is expected to be broadcast Sunday on CBS’s “60 Minutes.”

“The way in which it’s being handled, and it’s not about court packing, there’s a number of other things that our constitutional scholars have debated and I’ve looked to see what recommendations that commission might make.”

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:15 (five years ago)

i'll never forget the time he said he would get something "back in whack" and wish he had said it then

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:41 (five years ago)

Chris Hayes (on twitter) has raised a point I've been thinking about for a while: if the Dems don't win the Senate, there's no way any Biden nominee would be granted a hearing. So how does Breyer take a chance at retirement? What happens if a justice dies? Apparently (according to McConnell's 'rules') we simply wait until a party controls the presidency and Senate at the same time....so theoretically we could have 8, 7, etc. justices until that happens again. Seems bad.

Sam Weller, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:42 (five years ago)

Congress could force his hand, and it might.

I think it's adequate, though, yes. Study broader reforms that might include expansion, and might not.

Thw statement may pacify a centrist or republican who already is concerned that the courts do too much "legislating from the bench."

Biden's job right now is to win the motherfucking election. Fixing everything that's wrong is secondary.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:43 (five years ago)

the GOP Senate made it clear -- McCain specifically -- in '16 that Clinton would get no nominees.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:43 (five years ago)

Early vote count now almost 45.3 million. As I mentioned yesterday, the 2016 early vote count of 47 million will be crossed today, maybe not this morning but at some point. Also the early vote count is now 1/3 of the overall 2016 vote total.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:44 (five years ago)

Also of interest.

Texas #earlyvote is near 2/3rds of their 2016 *total* vote! 👀

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 22, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:46 (five years ago)

And it's going up... minute by minute

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:48 (five years ago)

This moment in history feels particularly precarious because all the sycophants, psychopaths and assholes Trump has surrounded him with are apparently not bad enough.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:49 (five years ago)

(Xp Because, see the tweet is from Michael McDon... oh never mind)

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

Haha I liked it

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

I wish early voting was indicative of anything more than generic enthusiasm. Because I've heard the occasional murmur of Republican registration being up, and Republican enthusiasm being up also, at least in some places. Fortunately, even if true, 2016 was a squeaker, enough so that even Republican enthusiasm might not win this one if they're just a hair less enthusiastic than last time.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

we heard whispers of Republican enthusiasm being up too in 2018, and that we should recalibrate our expectations about the Blue Wave, which might just be a blue trickle, and we heard that for months prior to midterms, even a few days after election day 2018, and then we won 40 seats.

No guarantee that'll happen now, but just points out worrying about it will just give you new medical ailments to pay for after Trump loses.

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

I heard a GOP strategist say that while new GOP registration is up since 2016, it's not enough to make up for the republican voters who have died in the past 4 years

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:54 (five years ago)

I wish early voting was indicative of anything more than generic enthusiasm. Because I've heard the occasional murmur of Republican registration being up, and Republican enthusiasm being up also, at least in some places. Fortunately, even if true, 2016 was a squeaker, enough so that even Republican enthusiasm might not win this one if they're just a hair less enthusiastic than last time.

If Trump gets the exact same number of votes he got in 2016, he loses. Because the Democrats are fired up, have been fired up for four years (see 2018), and the third party vote is approximately 50% of what it was four years ago. The assholes who voted for Jill Stein or whoever are either not voting, or falling in line for Biden. The "how bad could it get?" voters have all learned exactly how bad it can get.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:55 (five years ago)

I don't think this country can take another four years of Asshole. Like, even if he did nothing but order fast food take out every night and post pictures of it.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

I keep having to remind friends (not necessarily here) that, you know, 2018 happened.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

I'm just grateful that after telling my kids that they were going to wake up to the first female president they don't think *I'm* the asshole. At least not to my face.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:58 (five years ago)

the narrative around Trump (even here in some corners) was "he's just saying things to get elected, and he'll pivot to the middle". easier to vote for someone when you can convince yourself of that rather than waking up and looking at the coronavirus death toll each day.

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

I don't think this country can take another four years of Asshole. Like, even if he did nothing but order fast food take out every night and post pictures of it.

― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, October 22, 2020 9:56 AM bookmarkflaglink

post pictures of his food, or his asshole

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

Unscientific, I know, but my feeling is that turnout is key, regardless of how many more republicans vote this time around. Because there are simply more democrats or democrat-leaning (potential) voters.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:01 (five years ago)

as 538 pointed out, people continually neglect the Independents, who largely swung the vote to Trump. they broke for him in 2016. they're breaking away from him now. no Republican registration increase can offset this huge demographic he had and is now losing.

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:05 (five years ago)

Republican enthusiasm might not win this one if they're just a hair less enthusiastic than last time

Enthusiasm would be a useful measure if you were allowed to vote multiple times if you were rilly RILLY enthusiastic.

The measure that matters is intent to vote, and follow-through on that intention.

Cf. Rachel Bitecofer. This isn't the year of enthusiasm. It's the year of negative partisanship. I don't need to love Biden (and I don't). I just need to hate Trump (and I do).

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:06 (five years ago)

Well, to be fair re: enthusiasm, it's still a pretty sure thing that tens of millions of eligible voters *won't.* Real enthusiasm gets those asses off the bench.

Anyway, I do feel relatively comforted by the signs of momentum over the past 4 years. 2018 was such a necessary salve, yet those feelings of (political) elation have been few and far between, because so much has been at stake each time.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:09 (five years ago)

Rosy take from Harry Enten on GOP internal polls:

I looked at more than a dozen of these partisan polls released to the public from House and Senate races since the major party conventions in August. These partisan polls are notoriously unreliable, and none of them meet CNN standards for reporting.

The reason is simple: Partisans don't want to release polls that are bad for their side. That means the polls sponsored by a party, candidate or partisan organization tend to be biased in favor of the side releasing the poll.

That's why it was amazing to find that on average, Trump was doing 5 points worse than he did in 2016 in the states and districts in released Republican and conservative polls.

If Trump actually did 5 points worse than he did in 2016 in the swing states, it would mean he'd lose Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Those states, plus the ones Hillary Clinton won in 2016, would be more than enough for Biden to get over 270 electoral votes.

But remember: These are only the polls conservatives and Republicans were willing to put into the public sphere. There's good reason to believe it's worse for Trump in the numbers they're not releasing.
A study from FiveThirtyEight reveals that internal polls are 4 or 5 points more favorable on average to the side for whom the poll was conducted than what you'd expect from a nonpartisan pollster in the same race.
This meshes with what was previously reported by Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report -- mainly, that internal polls by both sides that have not been released are even worse for Trump than the internals that are being put out by conservatives and Republicans.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

I'll see your rosy take and raise you this:

So here's a question I've been mulling: if GOP retains the Senate and Biden wins, why would McConnell ever give a hearing or vote to a single Biden judicial nominee?

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) October 22, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

Oh that's already priced in. I think, ironically enough, Trump and McConnell have permanently destroyed the machinery of advice and consent on that stuff. It will be a lot of recess appointments and "actings" named to posts. https://t.co/70j5BXZDA4

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) October 22, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:18 (five years ago)

Josh, two things to give you a smidgen more hope: one, as President Keyes writes,

while new GOP registration is up since 2016, it's not enough to make up for the republican voters who have died in the past 4 years

Not to be grim but it's worth noting how many of those voters died because of COVID and/or shitty health care. I don't wish to be too callous but there is an element of self-ownage there.

Second: The Trumpian "we don't need to expand our base, we just need to whip it up into a greater frenzy" strategy can't work forever. I am looking at this NYT graphic and... it is brutal.

https://static01.nyt.com/images/2020/10/21/us/trump-voters-demographics-promo-1603330295488/trump-voters-demographics-promo-1603330295488-threeByTwoLargeAt2X-v3.png?quality=75&auto=webp&disable=upscale&width=600

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/10/22/us/politics/trump-voters-demographics.html

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

I think we're at the point where if Biden loses, it means the polls were wrong by a larger order of magnitude than they've ever been wrong before, to the point where I don't think they could ever be trusted again. the big factors that swung things Trump's way in 2016 do not exist in 2020. nobody gives a shit about Hunter Biden's laptop and we know that Trump is absolutely incapable of saying or doing anything that appeals to people beyond his core 38%. its getting to the point where it would take every single undecided & independent voting for Trump AND an entire polling error on top of it to even get close enough for Trump to try to kick this thing to the Supreme Court.

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

otm

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

Donald Trump Jr is now accusing Hunter Biden (without evidence) of being link to "human trafficking and prostitution rings" pic.twitter.com/gHhlukQ8cN

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 22, 2020

Walter Draggedman (stevie), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:40 (five years ago)

Have been hearing taht GOP is not stopping attempting to manufacture a repeat of those obstacles to the Dem win in 2016. TO an absurd degree, not just Giuliani horseshit.
BUt oddly thinking that if you try to repeat things that chance threw up back then they will not be scrutinized.

Stevolende, Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:41 (five years ago)

RE: enthusiasm - I did not vote for Biden in the primary and was not enthusiastic about him as a candidate. will say - at times - he's done better as a candidate than i thought he would.

however, there's different types of enthusiasms. i will never ever in my life like any politician more that i hate donald trump.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

Can Hunter Biden sue for defamation or would he be considered a public figure?

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

Republicans lack imagination, you can tell because the worst crimes they can think to accuse Democrats of are always the worst crimes they have themselves committed.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

Donald Trump Jr is now accusing Hunter Biden (without evidence) of being link to "human trafficking and prostitution rings"

looooooooool, I was going to make a joke this morning about Trump's October surprise being a completely baseless accusation of Biden's serial killing proclivities but I see we're already hurtling toward what in normal times would be a hyperbolic and utterly absurd fictional scenario.

Can't wait for this entirely family to be begging for change on street corners.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

ly

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

The LBJ analogy seemed uh off to me, but I agree with much of this post.

This is nothing like 2016. This is very 2008 vibes except probably better because the extent of the victory is shaping up to be bigger.

There was both a darkness to the Fall of 2016 in the country and a basic competence in the Trump campaign for the closing arguments, along with Hillary hate, and they’ve got none of that this time. They’re down double digits with less than two weeks to go, one of his chief advisers just got caught rubbing his crotch in front of what he thought was an underage girl, he got caught paying more money in taxes to the PRC than he does to this country tanks to his secret Chinese bank account, they’re playing defense in Texas and early voting is smashing records. Oh yeah and there’s a pandemic he botched the response to that has killed more Americans than in all of WWI (and counting)....

....I know our political discourse since 2000 is incapable of admitting when an election is over, and obviously we still have to vote–which doesn’t seem to be an issue as the same polls that show Biden with double digits show that everyone also thinks Trump will win the election by just as wide a margin–but it’s effectively all over but the shouting.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

i will never ever in my life like any politician more that i hate donald trump.

Otm. You are a Bitecofer voter.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

f hazel otm

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

i will never ever in my life like any politician more that i hate donald trump.

just wait until someone like Dan Crenshaw runs and wins in a landslide because he attracts both the Trumpentariat and the stolid suburban moms&dads and becomes more popular than Reagan ever was despite implementing policies that are to the right of anything Trump ever attempted just because he can string complete sentences together and actually accomplishes all the deeply evil things that trump has thankfully botched so far

Dan I., Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

Jennifer Lawrence just revealed that she grew up Republican and voted for McCain in 2008 but that Trump "changed everything" and made her rethink her politics. Now she can't imagine supporting a party that doesn't support "basic women's rights" and is nostalgic for the Obama years, when "you could go days without thinking of the president."

Despite the fact that she's a celebrity and therefore not exactly a typical voter, my guess is that there are a lot of people like this, who maybe didn't think too deeply about politics before Trump but who have been activated by his presidency to vote firmly against him.

By 2016 the combination of Obama's presidency and Trump's candidacy had activated the racial resentment of a lot of otherwise politically disengaged voters, while simultaneously making a lot of liberal-leaning voters (who couldn't see the strength of the Trump base) complacent about Clinton's chances. But I wonder if in 2020 the scale tips in the opposite direction: A different set of voters that were politically disengaged before Trump (many of them suburban women) are now out in full force, and loyal Democrats are too anxious and paranoid to run the risk of complacency.

jaymc, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

Cf. Rachel Bitecofer. This isn't the year of enthusiasm. It's the year of negative partisanship. I don't need to love Biden (and I don't). I just need to hate Trump (and I do).

― fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:06 AM (forty-three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Bitecofer's theories made a lot of sense to me, though admittedly I like an iconoclast story. I don't believe in significant numbers of independents who vote every 4 years by thoughtfully considering the issues instead of the party or person. I think it is a much more instinctual and emotional decision that gets people to vote or not.

This was why it is a shame that Bernie or Warren didn't win the primary because I thought running against someone as dislikable and putrid as Trump would be the best chance a candidate like them would ever have.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Cf. Rachel Bitecofer. This isn't the year of enthusiasm. It's the year of negative partisanship. I don't need to love Biden (and I don't). I just need to hate Trump (and I do).

― fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:06 AM (forty-three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Bitecofer's theories made a lot of sense to me, though admittedly I like an iconoclast story. I don't believe in significant numbers of independents who vote every 4 years by thoughtfully considering the issues instead of the party or person. I think it is a much more instinctual and emotional decision that gets people to vote or not.

This was why it is a shame that Bernie or Warren didn't win the primary because I thought running against someone as dislikable and putrid as Trump would be the best chance a candidate like them would ever have.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Having said that, my enthusiasm for voting for Biden and against Trump can be summarized thusly: I would crawl through a 100-yard latrine filled with coronavirus to vote this year.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:05 (five years ago)

I think that's how they've set it up in Tennessee.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

PBKR

I don't believe in significant numbers of independents who vote every 4 years by thoughtfully considering the issues instead of the party or person. I think it is a much more instinctual and emotional decision that gets people to vote or not.

I would go further: it's tribal.

Those alleged thoughtful independents who claim they look aT the iSSuEs, maaan, not the parties or personalities, are themselves a tribe. And the motto of that tribe is LOOOOK AT MEEEE, I AM SUCH A FREETHINKER. And it's boring.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

Email update: I have received 22 emails from the Trump campaign in the last 24 hours. All of them were requests for money. They have no GOTV operation going at all, as far as I can tell — it's all just rounding up as much cash as possible (for the eventual escape to some non-extradition country).

― but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, October 22, 2020 9:07 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

If there was any possible way it could guarantee he would fuck off and I'd never ever have to hear from him or his trash family ever again, I would gladly donate $100. hell, maybe $500

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

Republican enthusiasm might not win this one if they're just a hair less enthusiastic than last time
Enthusiasm would be a useful measure if you were allowed to vote multiple times if you were rilly RILLY enthusiastic.

The measure that matters is intent to vote, and follow-through on that intention.

Cf. Rachel Bitecofer. This isn't the year of enthusiasm. It's the year of negative partisanship. I don't need to love Biden (and I don't). I just need to hate Trump (and I do).

― fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:06 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

the irony of Trump's obsession with voter fraud is that the way he's campaigning right now would only make sense if people could vote multiple times. unfortunately for him there's only "Vote Trump" and not "Vote Super Extra Hard Plus for Lifetime King Trump"

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:18 (five years ago)

i would vote for a turd before I voted for Trump this year, except I don'tw ant to publicize it cos I'm too afraid the turd would win

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

Big game’s on tonight

treeship., Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

I'm gonna watch Eagles-Giants instead. If I'm going to sit through a battle of two people who are completely incompetent for their jobs, I'd rather it be Carson Wentz and Daniel Jones.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:22 (five years ago)

my mom voted early in nashville yesterday, said it was crowded but fast moving

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

I reverse commute these days from new jersey to manhattan and the turnpike coming toward the city is covered in trump billboards. I find it odd—is there a point to that advertising?

treeship., Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

I will soon be giving a first in television history full, unedited preview of the vicious attempted “takeout” interview of me by Lesley Stahl of @60Minutes. Watch her constant interruptions & anger. Compare my full, flowing and “magnificently brilliant” answers to their “Q’s”. https://t.co/L3szccGamP

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 22, 2020

pomenitul, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

Totally not a dog whistle.

pomenitul, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

i will never ever in my life like any politician more that i hate donald trump.

just wait until someone like Dan Crenshaw runs and wins in a landslide because he attracts both the Trumpentariat and the stolid suburban moms&dads and becomes more popular than Reagan ever was despite implementing policies that are to the right of anything Trump ever attempted just because he can string complete sentences together and actually accomplishes all the deeply evil things that trump has thankfully botched so far

― Dan I., Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:01 AM (twenty-one minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

there is a that danger sure, but there's only one thing we have in front of us right now, this election, my therapist is trying to teach me not to spend time thinking about things that aren't real and i'm trying to listen.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

“Q’s”

treeship., Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

unfortunately for him there's only "Vote Trump" and not "Vote Super Extra Hard Plus for Lifetime King Trump"

well yes until Amy Barrett's decision for the majority in Trump v. Federal Election Commission (2023)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

Compare my full, flowing

Trump's closing argument is "I can still pee"

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

no wonder he has to flush so much

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

haha except not literally Dan Crenshaw apparently because he was born in Scotland?? Weird how so many of these republican stars turn out to have not been born in the USA

Dan I., Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

This was why it is a shame that Bernie or Warren didn't win the primary because I thought running against someone as dislikable and putrid as Trump would be the best chance a candidate like them would ever have.

― He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:04 AM (twenty-one minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

this is the real bummer...the way things broke out this year, if there was a year a grumpy geriatric socialist from vermont could have one, this was it.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

With apologies to the ilxor sight-impaired, I think we'll see many other glass ceilings broken before we have an eyepatch president. It's just too on the nose.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

Watch her constant interruptions & anger. Compare my full, flowing and “magnificently brilliant” answers to their “Q’s”.

i know this is designed to distract from other news of the day (like how he's going to suck ass in the debate tonight), but god, this is pathetic

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

If there was any possible way it could guarantee he would fuck off and I'd never ever have to hear from him or his trash family ever again, I would gladly donate $100. hell, maybe $500

― Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, October 22, 2020 11:14 AM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I would not blame anyone, especially any minority or LGTBQ or whatever with more skin in the game than me, for feeling this way. I do feel like there is some slight importance or benefit to the public humiliation and rejection of a significant loss and single term.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

WHAT.

A Dutch researcher managed to log into @realDonaldTrump's Twitter account by guessing his password ("maga2020"), which had no 2-step verification.https://t.co/UriCETV6qX pic.twitter.com/MO7qf8oQQp

— Charles Lister (@Charles_Lister) October 22, 2020

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

ha just beat me

nashwan, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

he's been hacked for the past four years; total sweetheart really

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

Oh but now that the jig is up, what a lost opportunity to troll the fuck out of maganauts.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

de site uit de lucht vanwege een administratieve blunder

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

I always assumed the mega-stars of Twitter had special account protections since they would be such high-value hacking targets... guess not!

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

Twitter are on record as saying that account has 2fa. Random Dutch researcher figures it out and releases ... screenshots. Hahaha. No way that story is true.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

yeah i don't believe it either, clicked through to try and see if this news site looked credible and didn't learn anything

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

i know from experience that twitter sends you an email if someone logs into your account from a weird place, too!

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

Here's a more credible source
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/22/trump-twitter-hacked-dutch-researcher-password

oh wrong link lol but still

nashwan, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

A maga 2020 password implies he's been changing it every couple years, at least, and if he's smart enough to do that, which is to say, the minimum, it seems unlikely that his password is that dumb.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

I don't buy it either, but that it's even plausible with this fast food president says something.

Get the point? Good, let's dance with nunchaku. (Eric H.), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

he tweeted @CIA lol

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

the issue, of course, is that after years of gaslighting we can hardly be expected to NOT believe any immensely dumb or corrupt thing this administration is accused of.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

I will say this: it's not his password, but if it is his password, it's all his passwords.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

honestly i am stunned that no one's hacked his Twitter yet

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

a contractor or employee nuked his account iirc?

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

https://gizmodo.com/donald-trumps-personal-twitter-account-vanished-for-one-1820095590

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

i had an old, not ever very active tumblr account with a hacked password i never bothered to change and last week i got one of those fake "we are going to send photos of you watching pr0n when your password was xxxxx if you don't send us exactly $1249 in bitcoin" emails so i logged into it to change the password and there were two logins from serbia and russia in the past month. i hope they had fun with my 6 posts and 8 followers.

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

lmao he released the 60 Minutes footage and as expected he acts like a total bitch the whole time

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

Don't you mean "badass alpha male?"

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

Trump does that weird thing where he uses both hands to drink a glass of water pic.twitter.com/5swKiHmXIE

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 22, 2020

actually no

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

How the raw 60 Minutes tape posted by Trump begins:

Stahl: You ready for tough questions?
Trump: Just be fair.
Stahl: Last time you were like bring it on.
Trump: "No, I'm not looking for that."
Stahl: "...But you're OK with some tough questions?"
Trump: "No, I'm not."

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 22, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

Whaaaat a fucken pissbaby.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

there is a that danger sure, but there's only one thing we have in front of us right now, this election, my therapist is trying to teach me not to spend time thinking about things that aren't real and i'm trying to listen.

― Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, October 22, 2020 11:25 AM bookmarkflaglink

This is a v good lesson to learn. One of my therapists taught ne this and it has helped.

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:34 (five years ago)

Ad gold for Biden's team, really.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

i see we all have the same therapist

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

xp in that same exchange at the very beginning, he also mumbles something about joe biden getting easy questions, and the way he says it is sooooo 5-years-old

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

Let the takeout begin!

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

That Stahl move is...not going to go well for him.

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

xp
my therapist advises me to treat my depressed and cynical thoughts as a friend, which has been very helpful for me

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

i think the 60 minutes thing is neutralized, now. sure, he made it a big deal for no reason the last few days, he's "released the tape" this morning, all that. but that will be mostly forgotten this evening, when whatever dumb thing he does during the debate will become the new thing. when the actual 60 minutes segment is aired on sunday, whatever "news" is in there won't be news anymore, because now it's news for this morning.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

He literally sounds terrible.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

his hands look like wet latex gloves

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

I can't believe that a human being could watch a video like that and think, 'this makes me look good, everyone should see it ASAP'.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

The hilarious thing about it is that even if the interview was disaster (by all accounts it wasn't so bad), his response is just making it so much worse for him. I think we are weirdly lucky that he is just so pathetically bad at all of this.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

It's like his perceptive bubble has finally and inevitably shrunk to within centimeters of his physical corpus. He cannot see beyond 'I am saying words right now so they must be amazing words that everyone will love'.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

people are still gonna watch 60 Minutes though

there's 2 weeks left until Election Day, the more time he wastes on petty bullshit the better

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

Probably the 60 minutes edit would be more favorable for him. I bet they'd just lose the most embarrassing moments.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

The only thing disastrous about the portion of the interview I was able to stomach was his incessant defensiveness, his mewling woundedness wrt any question or comment that deters him from saying wholly reality-divorced shit about how wonderful he is. It just makes him look utterly insecure.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

I like how @KT_So_It_Goes has been framing his daily outburst in terms of the percentage of the remaining time he has before Nov 3.

excellent use of 8.33% of your remaining days sir https://t.co/0CB3YBpzZo

— kilgore trout, a crushed algorithm (@KT_So_It_Goes) October 22, 2020

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

That Stahl move is...not going to go well for him.

Yabbut if all you have is a base-only strategy, you have to double down on it.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

I have a hunch the ratings for this Sunday’s 60 Minutes will be through the roof. Trump’s just given it a giant advertisement. The audience for broadcast television and the audience for Trump’s social media are not the same audience. Also I expect 60 Mins will be doing some extra reporting around the interview - will probably even talk about Trump releasing the footage, fold that into the story.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

It's just...as an interview of some random public figure, it's a pathetic portrait worthy of a few lols. As an interview of a president making an eleventh hour case for his reelection, it's...well, yeah, a disaster.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

Kudos to Trump for appealing to his base without expanding it 12 days before Election Day.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

Yes and trumpoids will spin out the last week comparing the raw vs. edited footage, because SEE? MEDIA BIAS!!eleven!!!.

Great use of time, y'all. Golf clap.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

I just saw a part where he says Biden is in the middle of big scandal, and she's all "come on, he is noooooooot." And this after Trump complains that if Biden is eating an ice cream cone, the only question he gets is "what flavor ice cream is that?" And just two days ago Fox literally asked Trump what is favorite milkshake flavor was! And he refused to answer!

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

from what i could stomach of it, Stahl seemed to be conducting a pretty terrible interview in the sense that she wasn't really pushing back on him in any substantive way, not half as much as Savannah Guthrie managed during the town hall.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

She totally pushes back on him. But he's pushing back against a really stupid dishonest wall.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

who among persuadable old people who care about this stuff is going to watch something shot on a cellphone without editing and a terrible mic on their phone for an hour to get the "truth"? they'll just watch in on sunday night.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

Pushing back is more than saying "cmon really?". Anyone can do that. A professional journalist should at the least be able to say "you're wrong…and here's why!".

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

I think she does do that, as possible. But if she didn't eventually move on she'd get exactly one question asked, over and over, and it would never get answered. What's the Mitch Hedberg joke? "The thing that's depressing about tennis is that no matter how good I get, I'll never be as good as a wall."

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

I just want to say that I compulsively read and indeed post in this thread even though it makes my mood worse and accomplishes nothing BUT I did not know that perfecft Mitch Hedberg joke and so thank you for redeeming my practice for me, Josh.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

He starts whining immediately about everything she says.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

It's awesome that he's tweeting out all his worst moments, good job!

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

"We hardly even knew Barron had it" (covid, that is)

I'm sure you barely noticed!

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

If there were a fake ballot box, like those Letters to Santa boxes I see every Christmas, where I could drop my own fake ballots every day until election day, I would. Again and again and again until he's gone. Same for Santa, tbh.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

you've described the SB system

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

tweeting that out is giving me flashbacks to Don Jr.'s "here's the actual email where I was colluding with the Russians" stunt

best play would just to tweet "covfefe" again after the interview ends

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

"full, flowing and 'magnificently brilliant'"

Next month's title, if "You're fired!" doesn't get it.

nickn, Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

i swear to god, this is what they're mailing out two weeks before the election
http://i.imgur.com/0vxsNEw.png

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

he obviously leaked this because LS said (of the Biden crime family stuff), "Sir, this is 60 Minutes. We can't air accusations that are not verified."

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:45 (five years ago)

okay now that's pathetic, holy crap

rob, Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

Lol that is the most insane shit I've ever seen. Two weeks before the election!

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

maybe our greatest accomplishments were the friends we didn't make along the way

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:51 (five years ago)

Mollie Hemingway (writing in The Federalist) really appreciates how thoughtfully Trump has done nothing about the pandemic. It is among his greatest accomplishments!

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:54 (five years ago)

it's like me every weekend of not really cleaning my house, maybe i'd feel better if every sunday night i said "but think of all the things you DIDN'T get done!"

superdeep borehole (harbl), Thursday, 22 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

A stranger's just a friend you haven't met.

henry s, Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

trump 2020: he's done nothing and will continue to do nothing.

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

I have never seen Boyhood (and never will). Apparently the song from this Lincoln Project commercial features in it.

A Democratic aide told me to check out this ad — saying they thought it was actually pretty smart — and what they didn’t know is that it not only appeals to guys who want to make their fathers proud, but guys who love this song and still think “Boyhood” deserved Best Picture. https://t.co/bbDblEZYa2

— Matt Fuller (@MEPFuller) October 22, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

It's all about the notes you don't play.

jmm, Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

That Lincoln Project ad was like every ad for Ford or Chevy pickup trucks, only more so.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

the looming threat of authoritarianism is more like a ghost note, i guess

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

I'd imagine the number of regretful 2016 Trump voters who think Boyhood should have won best picture must be around 14 ppl

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

http://quoteparrot.com/images/quote/i-am-a-ford-not-a-lincoln-129771.jpg

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

- Bob Marley

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:15 (five years ago)

fuck the dicks who run LP forever and ever, but I do appreciate that sentiment.

one of the few ‘powerful’ social media posts I saw after Trump won was an ex-cousin-in-law eloquently bemoaning how his Trump-voting parents had Raised Him Better Than This and how shook he was by the victory. resonated like hell for me, anyway.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

the commercial itself is eh, but it ain’t really made for me

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Trump is the best musician, because he’s never played a note — on any instrument!

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

the commercial itself is eh, but it ain’t really made for me

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Trump is the best musician, because he’s never played a note — on any instrument!

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Trump is the best musician, because he’s never played a note — on any instrument!

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Ugh, sorry for double post ... it wasn’t that good a joke

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

--Bob Marley

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:21 (five years ago)

It's the notes he doesn't play

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:22 (five years ago)

Oh, sorry, that joke was already made, my bad

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

That would be a good line for Biden tonight, as long as he didn't glitch and say it 3 times.

(show hidden tics) (WmC), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

Whether it’s not seizing power at a time nearly all other executives have, not launching wars in the manner of his predecessors, or not ignoring the campaign promises he made, some of President Donald Trump’s greatest accomplishments are what he hasn’t done.

hate to be pedantic here, but you can't include doing something in a list of things he did not do. framing "doing" something as "not ignoring" does not count. or to put it in mollie hemingway's terms, it does succeed in not counting

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

Sleepy HD

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

it's a triple negative! (I think)

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

That debate is tonight? Gosh. Is he going to toddle out of that one, too?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

look, i haven't done single thing here. for example, i have not ignored my impulse to kick you door down and take your stereo

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

Here are my updated demographic splits in average crosstabs of live-interview national polls, w/ new @QuinnipiacPoll thrown into the October mix.

A few breathtaking splits:
- Biden now +25 w/ women
- Biden now +10 w/ seniors pic.twitter.com/XCbybZJdJu

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 22, 2020

In my view, the biggest "tell" Trafalgar etc. are off the mark? Private, district-level GOP polling conducted to make spending decisions backs up what we're seeing in averages of live-interview polls: Trump doing terribly w/ college whites/women into October.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 22, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:33 (five years ago)

Trump doing terribly w/ college

This is possibly where it all went wrong.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

I'd like to think that was a telegram sent back in the day.

"Trump doing terribly w/ college. Stop. Suffering from dysentery. Stop. Low on supplies. Stop. Send napkins. Stop."

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:40 (five years ago)

This seems like a good ad:

I’ve spent my entire career fighting for the middle class and standing up to the abuse of power.

Donald Trump has spent his entire career looking out for himself and abusing his power. pic.twitter.com/Vie5CP9wq7

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 22, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

I can't even watch it based on that disingenuous lede.

Sorry Joe, but you held a powerful political position for decades, and were second in command of the most powerful country in earth. You ARE power.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

table otm

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

There’s also the careful omission of the most vulnerable people in “fighting for the middle class”

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

To be fair, MBNA was in the middle class of enormous banks. We had to protect them from the scourge of individual bankruptcies.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

table is right that Joe Biden has held high positions of power, but it is a distortion of the facts to call the vice presidency "the second in command of the most powerful country in earth". A Veep does not have command of anything other than their personal staff, which probably numbers only slightly more than the so-called First Lady's personal staff. Other Cabinet members at least have real departments of the government under their command.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

I didn't mean it was a good ad for you all, or for me. Just I imagine possibly effective for the very small handful of people that allegedly remain undecided.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

I'm just going to say "busing" and then go on about my day

It's a testament to how much of a horrorshow Trump is that this particular own-goal isn't infuriating me

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

it is a distortion of the facts to call the vice presidency "the second in command of the most powerful country in earth"

agreed. the title of second in command of the most powerful country on earth clearly belongs to Q

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

The Winged Serpent.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

although I guess you can accurately cast fighting school integration as "fighting for the middle class" now that I've remembered what country I live in

shout-out to his family (DJP), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

"fighting for the middle class" is indeed a weird expression. why not, "fighting to expand the middle class" if you must use that term.

treeship., Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

we shouldn't have a "lower class" in such a wealthy country. everyone should have the opportunity to live in dignity and security.

treeship., Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

"middle class" is washington-ese for "regular people"

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

Per the US Elections Project site, early voting totals are up to 47,095,528 beating the entire 2016 early vote total of 47,015,596. We are now fully into uncharted territory.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

huh. hope that means people REALLY hate trump.

treeship., Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

In further comparison, the 2012 early vote amount was 32,311,399.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:33 (five years ago)

As far as throwing darts goes ...

Based on an update we'll be releasing later today, we're now projecting total turnout in the presidential race to be 154 million, with an 80th percentile range between 144 million and 165 million. In 2016, turnout was 137 million, by comparison.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 22, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:33 (five years ago)

As a, er, first responder puts it, "154 million would be a a record by over 15 million votes and the largest election-to-election jump since 2000 to 2004."

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:35 (five years ago)

Yeah, I've been seeing that 150 million plus amount as well. Elections Project itself has initially guessed overall early vote total would be around 88 million plus but I've seen at least one guess hazarding it could literally reach 100 million -- that would have to mean 50 million plus over the next eleven days plus the rest of today. Possible, but I'm guessing not probable; still, we'll have to see.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

that seems pretty bad for Trump

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

I mean nobody knows anything. I see no reason to think it impossible that armies of first-time hardcore Trump voters will show up on Election Day. Plenty of room for increased turnout from 2016 in Trump's demographic base.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 22 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

Plenty of room for increased turnout from 2016 in Trump's demographic base.

100% disagree

scampo-phenique (WmC), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

"increased turnout" for Trump would mean "new Trump voters since 2016"

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

There's alotta shithead kids who couldn't vote in '16 (or '18) that can now.

"what are you DOING to fleetwood mac??" (C. Grisso/McCain), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

Trying to imagine someone aged 14-17 who lived through the past four years and actively wanting more of that.

I mean, I know such people exist, but...christ.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

imo the legit thing to be worried about would be these assholes either rigging the election or not acknowledging the outcome.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

This is a good piece: Trump's presidential campaign is Too Online

At a campaign rally in Des Moines, Iowa, last week, President Trump waxed philosophical on a subject close to the hearts of everyone in the audience: former Associate Deputy Attorney General Bruce Ohr. “Do you hear the news?” Trump said, “Bruce Ohr is finally out of the Department of Justice.”

If you do not recognize the name “Bruce Ohr,” that’s not because you are inadequately informed — he does not really have a claim to fame. Bruce Ohr, who was a former associate deputy attorney general at the Justice Department, is best known for meeting with former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele, author of the “Steele dossier.” (That’s the document that alleged Trump was under the influence of Russian intelligence services, which had supposedly also compiled blackmail material on him.) Ohr’s wife Nellie worked for Fusion GPS, the opposition research firm that employed Steele to write the infamous dossier.

Ohr’s name has come up in conservative media countless times as proof that the investigation into Trump’s ties with Russian assets was tainted from the beginning.

But Iowans are likely more concerned about rising numbers of coronavirus-related hospitalizations and a potential surge in unemployment (an issue Trump’s campaign focused heavily on in 2016). So with a few weeks to go until Election Day, why was the president instead cheering the exit of a former Justice Department official — on whom I wrote an article in 2018 and still had to look up his backstory?

The answer is that Donald Trump and his campaign are poisoned by toxic levels of being Extremely Online.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

I can think of maybe two new Trump voters, one in jail for murdering somebody in Wisconsin - he can still vote right? - the other appeared iirc at the Republican national convention. That's two.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

In all (or more) seriousness, I worry the Trump administration has, true to character, tipped its hand by casting blame. That Proud Boys email that went to Dem voters? That was allegedly from Iran, and it was done to ... help Biden? And now this:

BREAKING: U.S. administration officials have been watching Russia's FSB penetrate state and local systems in recent weeks and believe they have pieced together Russia's plans for election interference. https://t.co/a3Lo69MmgL It is far worse than Iran. w/ @julianbarnes @SangerNYT

— Nicole Perlroth (@nicoleperlroth) October 22, 2020

Which indicates to me that after the election the administration will finally concede Russian interference but claim that it was done to ... help Biden. And that will be their pretense for contesting results.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

imo the legit thing to be worried about would be these assholes either rigging the election or not acknowledging the outcome.

... or the Democrats not taking the Senate, or taking the Senate and the WH but not packing the court (I can't imagine a world where they do pack the court, tbh.) there's a lot to worry about!

lukas, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

I'll say this one more time:

biden is probably going to win, but ...

early votes aren't worth more than late votes. we have no idea what's going to happen on election day.

high turnout is probably good, but the question, given that we know states like florida, pennsylvania, north carolina, texas, etc. are going to be won by a couple of percent, is *exactly how good*.

it is *impossible* to extrapolate with any confidence from what we're seeing right now, which has no precedent to calibrate from, to figuring out who the winner is.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

Trump's base is white people without college degrees. That is, in general, a low-turnout population, including in 2016. If they turned out in large numbers this time, that could make a big difference. They probably won't, just like young people probably won't show up in large numbers in any given election. Low-turnout populations mostly low-turnout. But if they do....

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

xposts In the event that happens, literally everyone who isn't already rabidly in his corner will be all...well, see thread title.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

oh shit, they got bobulinski

Trump aides have been telling people that the big surprise in store for tonight's debate is he's bringing Tony Bobulinski, the former Hunter Biden business associate, as a guest tonight.

They're hoping to spring this on Biden, the way he brought Bill Clinton accusers in 2016

— Edward-Isaac Dovere (@IsaacDovere) October 22, 2020

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

im calling it right now, the 2020 election will be a referendum on tony bobulinski

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:19 (five years ago)

...and now it's a surprise how?

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:22 (five years ago)

surprise, there's a guy who exists named tony bobulinski

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

There's alotta shithead kids who couldn't vote in '16 (or '18) that can now.

there's also alotta shithead geezers who voted in '16 who are dead now

frogbs, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

For weeks it's been Bobulinski this, Bobulinski that. Tonight, the wait is over: Bobulinski.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:27 (five years ago)

The real surprise will be when Tony Bobulinski turns out to be this guy:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Co-OfK6WEAA-vY2.jpg

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

Calling Bobulinski Mr Tony Bobulinski

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

https://imgflip.com/i/4jhgv6

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

The skill

On the Trump camp's pre-debate press call, reporters are asking questions about various subjects (where Trump will be on election day, @RichardGrenell's reported meetings with Venezuelan politicians, the debate) and Grenell is refusing any questions not on the Biden emails.

— Andrew Solender (@AndrewSolender) October 22, 2020

When @DJJudd asked about the meetings, @RichardGrenell asked if he has covered the Biden emails. Judd responded he covers the Trump campaign.

During a back and forth with @tamarakeithNPR, Grenell told her "don't be homophobic" as she tried to interject. https://t.co/VOUeBBktt2

— Andrew Solender (@AndrewSolender) October 22, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:31 (five years ago)

Wait 'til Biden spot Bobulinski sitting in the front row, leering at him. Game over!

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/Z1KKMfC.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

I will say it again (and again, and again): he does not want to face the potential consequences of not winning, but that is not the same as wanting to win. (sweeps hand across panorama of everything Trump has done or said recently) Clearly.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

So this thing is tonight, and the strategy is clearly to go all-in on (Hunter) Biden. How long until Trump is muted? How many times will he have to be muted? Will he end up muted the entire time? Will he get muted every time he tries to change the subject back to Hunter Biden? Will Trump storm out in a huff after he gets muted? Will they mute his footsteps? Will they foley in funny sounds, like horse hooves or farts? The betting markets must be going nuts!

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

There's a big part of me the genuinely thinks he's going to storm out of this one tonight.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:05 (five years ago)

from your words to, etc

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:22 (five years ago)

I think I'm going to preemptively storm out, straight to my beer fridge.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

man, this guy

Why it matters that the entire mainstream press is non-reporting the Biden emails (or falsely labeling them disinformation): they’re likely to be charged soon with challenging a Biden administration. If they’re already lying on his behalf, it makes them politicians, not press.

— Matt Taibbi (@mtaibbi) October 21, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

he's the one true boy

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

(or falsely labeling them disinformation)

I'm not inclined to take matt taibbi's simple word on this without some believable corroboration (not like giuliani's mush-brained dribblings). what did the FBI conclude about these emails, then?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:41 (five years ago)

OK I'll bite: is there actually anything all that incriminating in those HB emails? WHat I've read is not at all convincing and comes across as desperate. Not to mention that the sourcing is highly suspect. And the irony of a Trumper alleging nepotistic self-dealing is mind-melting.

tobo73, Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:43 (five years ago)

Please please put all your eggs in this email basket; it's a winner.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:43 (five years ago)

Xxpost nothing that they've made public

Neanderthal, Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:45 (five years ago)

Read:

I finally dug a little bit into the "Hunter Biden email" story because I could not figure out what the supposed scandal was. Let's assume the "smoking gun" email is real. The "scandal" is even more ridiculous than it seems, and depends on the endless stupidity of Trumpers....

— Kurt "Mask Up, Vote Early" Eichenwald (@kurteichenwald) October 21, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:45 (five years ago)

I had not watched Presidential Roastmaster Barack Obama until just now. This is decent material. As someone who also got their first job at 15 working at Baskin-Robbins (within the year I had moved around the corner to Dunkin' Donuts), I particularly enjoyed that bit:

President Obama: "He's got a secret Chinese bank account. How's that possible ... imagine if I had a secret Chinese bank account when I was running for reelection? You think Fox News might've been a little concerned? They would've called me Beijing Barry." pic.twitter.com/kJvSh0DITr

— Leland #StayHome 🏡 #VoteByMail 🇺🇸 (@daft_editor) October 22, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 22 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/22/bernie-sanders-biden-labor-secretary-431266

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:01 (five years ago)

Much more interesting interview with former Trump voters in PA on NPR right now, about why they voted for him, why they're not voting for him now, what changed. I wonder if NPR will, or even could, cobble together a piece on people that voted for Clinton but are now voting Trump. I wonder if those people exist. They must, right?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

and NPR's the #bothsides org that can do it!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

Obama should give this speech every day in a different state until Election Day.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

Ye olde "c'mon, man" whistlestop tour

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

Two prominent Texas Democrats — former congressman Beto O’Rourke and former housing secretary Julián Castro — urged Biden on Thursday afternoon to quickly spend more money in Texas, an emerging battleground state they’re convinced he can win.

Both pointed to Biden’s large cash-on-hand advantage over Trump and recent polls showing a tightening presidential race in Texas, which Trump won by 9 points four years ago. An average of recent polls in the state show the two candidates separated by 3 percentage points, with Biden at 46 percent and Trump at 49. While Biden is advertising in the state and has staff working there, Texas is a far lower priority than states that narrowly decided the 2016 election: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida.

“There are big priorities, like making sure that Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are locked down, and I believe that the Biden campaign has done a fantastic job of locking those states down — and they need to — but to have Texas [so close], that’s just too much to ignore,” Castro said during a Thursday afternoon virtual news conference organized by the Texas Democratic Party. “The resources and investment ought to be made in this state because … to win Texas is not just to win an election, it’s to win on the issues that matter to our country, it’s to send a strong message that Donald Trump can’t deny and it will remake the electoral map for generations to the benefit of Democrats everywhere.”

i have to admit, the electoral map does look pretty different when it has giant-ass texas in blue:

https://i.imgur.com/im74rLj.png

(you can hover over the little dots in 538's forecast to see how different the results of the 100 representative simulations)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:36 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/xfB2YnL.pngBiden is favored to win the election

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:37 (five years ago)

Pete has been putting in work tho

Props to Pete Buttigieg for going on Fox News and routinely speaking truth to people who aren’t used to hearing it https://t.co/8iS2lG0pIF

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 22, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:42 (five years ago)

I didn't like Pete on the campaign trail after a certain point, but Fox Guest Troll Pete is fun.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:48 (five years ago)

Well, he is with his people.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Thursday, 22 October 2020 22:51 (five years ago)

The big pissbaby meltdown over the 60 Minutes questions this morning are giving promise of some satisfying dopamine spikes fro schadenfreude in the first half of the debate tonight.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

Trump tonight

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9v-33jcEDk4

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 00:13 (five years ago)

And I wish Morbs had lived to enjoy the Giuliani news yesterday.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

Lol, I heard some bs analysis a bit ago saying that the last time all Biden had to do was to let him babble to look good, so Trump's handlers were hoping that this time he would hold back, be more respectful, and let Biden twist himself up. Yeah, sure that'll happen, as the 60 Minutes tape, recorded just days ago, showed him fully capable of doing. Thank goodness they're not going to ask anything about Covid. You know, for his sake. Because that would be unfair. Also, it's a female debate moderator, which is also unfair, so should he decide to go full-asshole, she had it coming (to coin a phrase I'm sure Trump has never used).

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

Y'know, if that Trump fellow would just evince the slightest capacity for self-regulation, he could be a helluva president.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

he's going to bring one of those rapmaster 5000 mics to speak into when they turn his actual mic off

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

Fun interview with the guy who did those Trump-talking-about-Weird-Al and Trump-talking-about-Scooby-Doo riffs, who was a conservative evangelical Christian four years ago.

What are you doing vocally that makes things... click into place?

He has a lot of shit in his throat. So it was about boosting sort of the distortion in my throat and cranking up the, um, ambient kind of gross throat noise. There’s like a hissy breathy croak in his throat. Also he has just totally blown out the top half of his head, like kind of his entire upper respiratory system with cocaine and crushed up the British Sudafed and everything all the time and, uh, screaming at 21-year-olds to take off their clothes and everything he does all day. So he’s sort of trashed his nose and his throat. So I try to close off certain nasal passages.

Everyone Gen X and up it seems fixates on the wealthy Trump of the eighties. That’s what I hear kind of all the hack Trump impressions doing, the old eighties Trump, the womanizer. In a smoother Trump voice: She’s a very beautiful woman. She’s got great legs and, you know, I’m hoping we get really close with it. I think it’d be really nice to get to know her. In his normal voice: And that’s not who Trump is now. Like, he’s the devil. And he’s old. That’s the main thing I focus on, is that this is a rasping old man who is inches from death at any moment. He’s dying. He’s inches from death and Billy Crystal has come out with the bellows from the Princess Bride and they pumped him full of steroids and give him a big shot in his ass, and he’s hanging on for dear life every moment of the day.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:26 (five years ago)

would you look at that - the trump crew are wearing masks tonight

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:56 (five years ago)

ah, i see - it's because the debate commission required them to. which, uh, they also did last time, right? the trumps just didn't do it, and no one was willing to throw them out of the building

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:57 (five years ago)

They're made of flash paper. They're going to simultaneously light them up in an attempt to blind Biden but will, instead, give themselves simultaneous second-degree facial burns.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 00:58 (five years ago)

they're lined with irresistible oats this time around

Evan, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:00 (five years ago)

here we go.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

Trump sounds like shit

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

so in other words he's talking

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

He wishes he could hide in a basement for a year & a half.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

I think we could arrange that

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

whhyyyyy does he keep going out of his way to attack the gold star families? wtf?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

he thinks they work at Golden Corral?

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

"C'mon. C'mon."

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:21 (five years ago)

Lol, loved that

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

Plexiglass is unbelievably expensive?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

Does Biden talk in terms of blue states and red states or not?

Alba, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

so are they really muting the non-speakers

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

It was clunky, but he's saying red states are getting hammered and they deserve help too.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

Hasn't gotten nearly as bad as the first debate, don't know if mute is warranted.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:25 (five years ago)

And I wish Morbs had lived to enjoy the Giuliani news yesterday.

― Un-fooled and placid (sic), Thursday, October 22, 2020 7:15 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

Hopefully he at least heard the Limbaugh news.

Fetchboy, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:26 (five years ago)

bet Morbs buys a day pass to Hell just for the opportunity to kick Rush in the balls

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

Coach Conway cooled the kook.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

they're lined with irresistible oats this time around

― Evan, Thursday, October 22, 2020 6:00 PM (twenty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

This made me LOL

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

Oh here we go.. the 'emails'.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

totally missed this quote from Monday:

Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump will have their microphones muted during portions of the second and final presidential debate on Thursday night, the Commission on Presidential Debates announced on Monday in a decision that angered the President.

The decision came after the commission met Monday afternoon to discuss potential rule changes to the debate format. They decided that the changes were needed because of how the first debate between Biden and Trump devolved into chaos, with the President frequently interrupting the former vice president.

"I'll participate. I just think it's very unfair," Trump said when asked by reporters about the change on Monday.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

What are you hiding?

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

yewww do. Yewwww do.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Guys, Trump WANTS to release his taxes! That changes everything.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

Just making random stuff up about Joe

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

promise of some satisfying dopamine spikes from schadenfreude

fuckin' guy has to ruin everything

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

I think he just insinuated that Biden is the mafia head of all Ukraine?

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

Joe Biden once ate his neighbors dog

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

He sounds more and more Cartman-like as it goes on.

Position Position, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

You remind me of the babe

What babe?

The babe with the power of voodoo.

Who do?

You do

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

18 Angry Democrats

aphoristical, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

"Trump says we're learning to live with it. People are learning to die with it" isn't exactly an all-time line but it's a pretty good one.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

Biden almost made an unforced error by mentioning Burisma, but he's ju-jitsuing it okay

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

I don’t have poop in my butt, YOU have poop in your butt!

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:38 (five years ago)

kristen welker is doing a great job

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:38 (five years ago)

This whole election is a referendum over Hunter Biden.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

were millions of people actually thinking of doing business with china? that seems like a rich guy thing

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

that makes him smart

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

Eh, she sucks. She raises "some people say" questions

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

I didn't watch the last debate but Trump is sadly about 100x more impressive tonight than what I know of it.

Alba, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

He seems like the Trump of 2016 with his taunty shit down pat.

Alba, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:41 (five years ago)

sadly the final debate never moves numbers and usually is the one nobody gaf about

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:41 (five years ago)

sadly

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

what was the last major election where debates actually resulted in a noticeable swing? (serious question cos I never paid attention to it growing up)

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

yeah she sucks: the questions are dumb, she doesn't correct his lies, and she lets him interrupt (ie showing "dominance") as soon as Biden's time finishes, over and over and over

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

a Thug. A THUG.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

the modern concept of a moderator = "someone who asks questions and mostly gets out of the way", i.e., v much not a moderator. might as well use a piece of paper

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

yeah what happened to the muting? in the first few minutes he was behaving and doing worse because of the threat of muting, it seemed

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

"let me tell you, a few months ago, he broke into a certain area, people said there are gonna be problems, I said no there's not because he's not gonna do that."

the never-specific Trump is being even less specific than usual tonight.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

in the first few minutes he was behaving and doing worse because of the threat of muting, it seemed

People are saying he's acting more presidential. Let's not bother to hold him back.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

Because you-know-who (Who) did you-know-what (What?)
With you-know-who (Yeah)
But let's keep that between me and you

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:46 (five years ago)

As in the first debate, Biden keeps getting bored and zoning out during Trump's content-free rants; his most relatable moments.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:49 (five years ago)

After the first section at tonight's debate, which was on the handling of the coronavirus pandemic, President Trump manages an early lead on speaking times ahead of former Vice President Joe Biden by nearly three minutes.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:50 (five years ago)

ok they did it, that's what i wanted to see

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:50 (five years ago)

Bidencare: prevents malarkey

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:50 (five years ago)

if the purpose of this debate to change things, trump is failing

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:51 (five years ago)

the winner of tonight's debate is the word wherewithal

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:51 (five years ago)

Now Biden is bragging that his biggest win in the primaries was fighting to protect private, for-profit health insurance. Fuck him again! #restinpowerdrmorbius

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:51 (five years ago)

private health insurance is great, love my 65k deductible

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

Oh.. the Dems don't want fracking? Hmm.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

i didn't realize harris was more left than sanders

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

180 million health care plans!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

we don't have the wherewithal for medicare for all

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

#imwithher

Trump is setting up Biden to shout that he loves fracking again; Biden manages not to take the bait.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

Barely!

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:55 (five years ago)

Moderator is letting Trump carry on even when he's shouting over her now. How the absolute fuck have they not learnt a single thing from 2016?

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

He's still shouting.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

louder than he ever did

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 01:57 (five years ago)

a date called November third

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:57 (five years ago)

cool name

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

so-called november third

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

it would actually be a date called november fourth

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

Moderator challenging Biden, who is not an elected politician, on why he hasn't made the Democrats pass a shitty relief bill that's been gutted by Republicans.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

yes, she is totally in the tank for democrats

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

trump looks pathetic imo, but what do i know

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:00 (five years ago)

From a lying perspective, Trump is even worse tonight than in the first debate.

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 23, 2020

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:00 (five years ago)

"I will absolutely consider raising the Federal minimum wage as long as there can be a separate, lower Federal minimum wage for Mississippi and Alabama" - President Donald John Trump, October 22 2020

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:02 (five years ago)

It's hard to keep up with dog whistles but ... is "coyotes" one of them?

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:03 (five years ago)

Biden actually doing pretty good, I think?

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:03 (five years ago)

http://tomremington.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/wolfandhead.jpg

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:03 (five years ago)

xp Yes, it is a dog whistle.

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:03 (five years ago)

wasn't there supposed to be a mute button

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

the cleanest cages

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

I couldn't even tell if coyotes was a dogwhistle or he's actually confused about a movie he saw again.

Dale had his past research at his fingers tonight, but here's an in-the-moment response to a fresh Trumpism:

Biden has obviously made a lot of money because he owns a basement?

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 23, 2020

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:05 (five years ago)

we scrub these cages with double-strength clorox not just once or twice but THREE times a week

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:05 (five years ago)

COME ON MAN

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:05 (five years ago)

wow, shade at Obama - on kids in cages at the borders, "I'll be the President Of The United States, not the vice-president"

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:06 (five years ago)

Bad hombres probably as well.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:07 (five years ago)

a raper and a murderer

what a fucking racist

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

Lowest IQ

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

so weird how highway patrolmen stopping Real Americans for speeding tickets don't check to make sure they aren't Murderers and/or Rapists before letting them go rape and murder some more, probably

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

"Good."

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

Fucking "Good."

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

Uhhh....

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

“There’s 525 kids lost their parents —“

“GOOD.”

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

Welker is awful. #Bothsides crap

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

she's keeping him from talking constantly, though.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

i guess the mute/rules are doing a lot, too.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:10 (five years ago)

Lincoln standing on Trump's shoulders.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:11 (five years ago)

The possible exception of Abraham Lincoln

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

disagree, KM!

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

Did he just literally say he has Black friends?

And there's Central Park Five

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

lol at Trump and Biden arguing about which of them thought Biden's racist crime bill was worse

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

does Trump look short of breath at all, has he clutched his chest at any point, has he coughed up something that looked bloody, has he been given last rites, is there a hand reaching down from the Heavens at all

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

He ran in 1999.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

Finally! The laptop makes an appearance!

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:16 (five years ago)

The Laptop from Hell

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:16 (five years ago)

"Good."

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

Fried Pigs Matter vs. The Poor Boys

the burrito that defined a generation, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

“There’s 525 kids lost their parents —“

“GOOD.”

― The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Thursday, October 22, 2020 9:09 PM (eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Well I guess we know what clip is gonna be all over the news the next few days

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

Biden wants the Po' Boys to stand down and stand ready

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

Little Freudian slip there

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

The least racist person in the room - I can't see the audience because it's so dark

Willie and the poor boys

Dog whistle as big as a fog horn

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

Supposedly he said “go ahead?” I dunno, I couldn’t take more than a couple minutes at a time.

JoeStork, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:20 (five years ago)

The least racist person in the room - I can't see the audience because it's so dark

Swear to God, I was about half-expecting him to ask the audience to smile.

pplains, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

love trump's repeated attacks on biden for not "getting it done" during his 8 years as vice president, on issues that trump disagrees with and hasn't tried to do himself

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:22 (five years ago)

We have so many different programs

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:23 (five years ago)

Biden should respond by pointing out how powerless and cucked Mike Pence is

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:24 (five years ago)

Dogwhistle like a foghorn doesn’t stand up to any scrutiny when you break it down.

Position Position, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

god, how i wish biden would simply say:

we have the lowest emissions of 35 years, this year, because of covid-19's impact on the economy.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

sic, i'm with you - he fucking blows on climate change

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

i expect to be enraged with him over the next 4 years, just sayin

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:26 (five years ago)

This wasn’t done by smart people, this wasn’t done by — anybody!

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:27 (five years ago)

Well even though I’m not really watching I’m getting good updates from the NYTimes:

Patti Cohen, National Economics Correspondent

This is a substantive, civil debate – and that could help Trump in that his erratic and divisive style has turned off some voters.

JoeStork, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

how does biden get wrong a line that has been everywhere

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

"I know more about hot air than you do."

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

oh yes, wind is too expensive

looooooooool what a doof

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:29 (five years ago)

"Wind kills all the birds"!

I still don't understand, at all, what the rationale is behind news anchors and organisations giving someone uninterrupted time to lie.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:31 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/5rWUgrO.jpg

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:31 (five years ago)

trump declares that biden will destroy the oil industry.

"will you remember that, texas, will you remember that, oklahoma?"

looool

this is pathetic

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

Well.. it wasn't quite the shitshow everyone was hoping for.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:36 (five years ago)

With Texas on the edge, Biden saying basically “yeah, we wanna take you out” was a HUGE gaffe.

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:37 (five years ago)

Ugh. I feel like Trump goaded Biden into telling the truth -- that, in the long run, we are going to have to transition to primarily renewable energy production -- and that truth is going to help Trump more than any of the immensely stupid falsehoods Trump uttered tonight is going to help Biden.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:37 (five years ago)

i didn't even catch whatever you're talking about

i have been drinking tho

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:38 (five years ago)

xp

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:38 (five years ago)

Biden had already said that renewable jobs are $50 an hour jobs; it was a big fuckup not to reiterate that after the Houston attack from Trump.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:39 (five years ago)

Biden should be better at this than he is. Nearly every time Trump pivoted, Joe ran after the pivot point to rebut, like a cat after earbuds. Pretty poor performance, really.

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

True, especially since there have been huge layoffs in the oil biz very recently

xp

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

The good news is almost no one made it to the end of the debate.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

Funniest part of this debate was when Biden said to Trump "I don't where you come from," and Trump responded under his breath "Queens."

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

*don't know

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

nothing about this performance is going to help or hurt anybody. the cake is baked, people know who they're voting for at this point.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:42 (five years ago)

basically the fact that Biden didn't get trounced in any of the two debates, and that Trump had negative takeaways from his first debate and his townhall = the outcome we wanted.

now to avoid any October surprises for a week and a half.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:43 (five years ago)

now let's hurry up and get him in office, and then before long we'll be on Biden's ass, like we should be

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:44 (five years ago)

Can't see that anything big will come out of that. I worry a tiny bit that the bar is so low for Trump at this point--especially after the past two or three weeks--that just being coherent and sort of normal (independent of the truth of whatever he says), being combative but not crazy and interrupting, then that's enough. Biden was fine--he got tangled up a lot (I think he said "prevailing wages" at one point), but was always able to right himself within a few seconds and make his point.

clemenza, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:45 (five years ago)

This seemed shorter than usual.

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:45 (five years ago)

Prediction: trump numbers up very marginally after tonight, doesn’t alter the outcome BUT Dems will not take Texas (which was a long shot anyhow, but what a sweeeet longshot to shoot for)

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:46 (five years ago)

biden mostly fucked this up and trump, despite everything he said being bullshit, horrifying, or both, mostly did not, so this does worry me

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

yeah, first reaction is this won't change anything, which is very bad for trump

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

no way will Trump's numbers edge upwards. third debates (ok, 'second' debate in this case) rarely generate any prolonged bounce.

if Trump gets a bounce, it'll be based on voter trends from within the last week unrelated to the debate, or something that happens between now and then that we don't know about yet.

Texas is a bit of a reach, but if Biden doesn't win it, it has little to do with tonight IMO

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:49 (five years ago)

totally get the fears about trump winning, still, for real

it terrifies me too. i remember feeling this strongly in late oct 2016 (yeah but trump? fuckin come on)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:49 (five years ago)

i also am probably alone (here) in thinking that biden did fine tonight

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:50 (five years ago)

Karl otm. Main takeaway: nothing changes as a result of this. And given that tens of millions of people have already decided.

Biden needed to not fuck up very badly and that happened.

Trump needed to change the game and that didn't happen.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:50 (five years ago)

Trump rebounded at this point in 2016 as reluctant Republicans that couldn't bring themselves to vote for Trump started 'coming home' and being convinced to do it for sake of party, which began reflecting in the polls and narrowing Hillary's lead. this year, the Republicans are already firmly in his camp, they're not the problem, so the demographics he has to make up ground with aren't so easily malleable.

I am pretty convinced the legitimate results will be Biden trouncing Trump, I remain worried of course about GOP state governments, Trump, and other cronies interfering with the democratic process, as well as voter disenfranchisement. so in other words I am 90% sure Biden will 'win', I'm less confident that this will result in him "being President".

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

i'm still freaked due to my last point and I had to go back to taking sleep aids again to sleep last night asa result tho

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:52 (five years ago)

Biden's in a tricky spot with all the "you had eight years" hectoring. He can't really say "I was vice-president, now I'm running for president" without undercutting both Obama and his own influence as VP. I'm sure he's loath to do the former, both tactically and as just the decent thing to do.

clemenza, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:52 (five years ago)

should be noted that numbers have improved for Trump in recent weeks, but I really chalk that more up to just how far Trump fell in the polls after his disastrous news cycle just under a month ago with his tax returns, getting COVID and lying about it, his awful first debate. double digit federal deficit, and significant deficits in many battleground states, he had very little direction to go but up

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 02:57 (five years ago)

He also couldn't spend all his time responding to baseless accusations

xp

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 02:57 (five years ago)

Trump very slightly better than Biden I thought - which is a horrible indictment of Biden.

Zelda Zonk, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:01 (five years ago)

I think Biden did fine. Glad he brought up "we had a Republican Congress" but I wished he hammered that more. Poor guy still believes in bipartisanship I guess.

Trump did better than he did last time but yeah that's an incredibly low bar. Still had a hard time following anything he was saying, not sure how any hypothetical undecided voter was gonna be won over by him at this point

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:03 (five years ago)

he figured out at the end of the debate that the answer was "we had a Republican Congress," unfortunately that was after being prompted about 20 times

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:03 (five years ago)

Biden's in a tricky spot with all the "you had eight years" hectoring.

No, he's not. As even Chuck Todd admitted, Trump spent the entire debate talking directly to Sean Hannity's audience. Nothing he said had any meaning for anyone else. All y'all motherfuckers need to put on some dry pants and go to bed.

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:05 (five years ago)

Nothing will change.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:07 (five years ago)

Oh my god. My cousin was an usher at the debate tonight. He just texted me and said he was called backstage to help peel off Mr. Trump’s diaper. Apparently it really caked onto his cheeks. The diarrhea hardened throughout the evening and the pampers cemented to his skin. Ouch!

— Vic Berger IV (@VicBergerIV) October 23, 2020

Good night.

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:08 (five years ago)

I was more upset that Biden and Trump regard black men as carceral state commodities -- have we jailed more or less of them, have we granted them more or less clemency.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:09 (five years ago)

always good to learn that wind turbine power is not just killing birds, it's also "releasing toxic fumes"!

calzino, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:12 (five years ago)

the only newsworthy part of this is gonna be Trump responding "Good" when Biden brought up 500 kids without their parents

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:13 (five years ago)

Except he didn't. He said "Go ahead" (to Welker wanting to move on).

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:15 (five years ago)

If anything, Trump looked worse for being allowed full sentences. The "good" about parents ripped from kids should be the next line of Biden attack ads.

Biden looked older and more querulous than the last couple appearances, but we knew that already.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:16 (five years ago)

The Texas GOP (and their PACs) has been pushing the energy thing in their candidates' ads, basically stating that any Green New Deal provisions will kill us all (Fuckin' Crenshaw even has one that starts with him saying "I am an environmentalist, but...").

"what are you DOING to fleetwood mac??" (C. Grisso/McCain), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:19 (five years ago)

No, he's not. As even Chuck Todd admitted, Trump spent the entire debate talking directly to Sean Hannity's audience.

I don't really see those two things as being related. Whatever Trump's motives, I'm guessing Biden wanted to say something to the effect that "The decisions weren't mine." But he didn't--to his credit, I'd say.

The funniest moment was Trump completely missing Biden's facetiousness calling him Abraham Lincoln and pouncing on that like he'd just exposed the smoking gun re Biden's mental acuteness: "Look everyone--he thinks he's debating Abraham Lincoln!"

clemenza, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

A friend told me Biden's line about wind energy will play just fine in Texas because it generates a third of America's wind energy anyway.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:21 (five years ago)

But J.R. Ewing won't be happy.

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

I was more upset that Biden and Trump regard black men as carceral state commodities -- have we jailed more or less of them, have we granted them more or less clemency.

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, October 22, 2020 10:09 PM (fifteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

An unfortunate side effect of our predilection for presidential candidates old enough to recall when slavery was still legal.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:27 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/LdIEIpF.mp4

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:28 (five years ago)

before long we'll be on Biden's ass, like we should be

yeah, but more important than that is figuring out which progressive groups are out there building effective coalitions and recruiting good candidates at all levels of government, who'll be the next generation of legislators moving the country, and by extension the world, away from a rapid descent into hell. Then supporting them to the hilt.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

Yeah we all know he’s controlled by the radical left

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

Unperson otm (many xps)

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

I know we hate a "Melania HATES him" narrative BUT I MEAN pic.twitter.com/dpXKEOe2So

— Pa-skull 💀 (@WalnutDust) October 23, 2020

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:53 (five years ago)

anyway my take is that this will once again fool the media into asking if Trump has struck a "new tone" even though the reality is he only acted differently because he knew getting muted on live TV would make him look stupid

that narrative will probably get destroyed long before the 60 Minutes interview even airs

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 03:53 (five years ago)

I was more upset that Biden and Trump regard black men as carceral state commodities -- have we jailed more or less of them, have we granted them more or less clemency.

Yes, and Biden's rigid insistence that the solution to drug possession arrests is to force people into treatment centers instead of jail, rather than to just stop arresting people.


The funniest moment was Trump completely missing Biden's facetiousness calling him Abraham Lincoln and pouncing on that like he'd just exposed the smoking gun re Biden's mental acuteness: "Look everyone--he thinks he's debating Abraham Lincoln!"

Trump regularly fails to comprehend figurative imagery and metaphor; I couldn't tell if that happened here, or he was just whipping up some bullshit to throw to Fox and the basket.


now let's hurry up and get him in office, and then before long we'll be on Biden's ass, like we should be

https://i.imgur.com/0DQwPFD.jpg

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 03:55 (five years ago)

So the grand total of times that Bobulinski was brought up tonight was ... zero?

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:09 (five years ago)

i was promised bobulinski

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:12 (five years ago)

is he one of the final bosses on Punch-Out

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

mister bobulinksi mister bob bobulinksi

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

Zilch.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:18 (five years ago)

It was a Bobulinski-no-showski

A nonbobulinskifest

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:23 (five years ago)

I think he had a whole live statement on fox news

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:25 (five years ago)

Never mind the furthermore, the pee has drenched his pants.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:26 (five years ago)

I think we all missed it during the debate, but I just remembered the moderator saying "You refuse to take responsibility for America's handling of the pandemic --" and Trump responding "No, I will take responsibility, and I do I take full responsibility, but it wasn't my fault, it was China's fault." Truly impressive how many times this week alone he's sunk to new depths of pissbabyness.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:29 (five years ago)

xpost

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:29 (five years ago)

also fuck, this week day alone

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:29 (five years ago)

Yes that was Biden’s reaction to it upthread

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:31 (five years ago)

Zilch
China virus calling Alameda

Hongro Hongro Hippies (Myonga Vön Bontee), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:34 (five years ago)

Rick James said it best...

A very animated Don Jr. is on Fox whining out the same talking points that got his father dunked on during the debate pic.twitter.com/aZoxENeqxJ

— Acyn Torabi (@Acyn) October 23, 2020

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:35 (five years ago)

with his facial hair he looks more and more like White Drake each day

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 04:36 (five years ago)

Don Jr. sez: America needs to know, this is some top-dollar toot!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:40 (five years ago)

Completely mishearing or misconstruing what someone said and then running with it--"you catch that, he's glad kids are separated from their parents, spread the word!"--is bush league stuff that should be restricted to right wing idiots, really frustrates me when liberals do it

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:43 (five years ago)

I think it was easily misheard. I heard "good" at the time. But people need to let it go.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:44 (five years ago)

Nice "Don"/"Team Trump" jogger tho.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:44 (five years ago)

look, lots of people are saying he said it, i'm not ...i'm not , i can't say if he said it but people are saying, they're saying he said 'good'. listen to the crowd, lots of people talking about it.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 04:47 (five years ago)

Give Trump's Twitter team credit rn for finding the random 10,000-ish response Twitter polls that most certainly weren't targeted by Russian bots that show him winning the debate by a 9-1 margin to RT.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 04:54 (five years ago)

Biden’s stammer and his occasional word fumble don’t bother me at all now. They’re kind of an endearing character trait.

akm, Friday, 23 October 2020 04:55 (five years ago)

lol

This graph is still my favorite thing I've learned from something blatantly false Trump has repeated over and over pic.twitter.com/BrUVLnyppN

— Jake Lahut (@JakeLahut) October 23, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:33 (five years ago)

Donald Trump is the most racist president in American history.

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 23, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:35 (five years ago)

1) cats kill 2.4 billion birds a year? Can that be possible?
2) https://thehermitage.com/learn/mansion-grounds/slavery/

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:44 (five years ago)

Even housecats allowed outdoors will rack up wildlife kills.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:47 (five years ago)

holy shit that's a lot of dead birds

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:47 (five years ago)

https://abcbirds.org/article/kittycam-reveals-high-levels-of-wildlife-being-killed-by-outdoor-cats/

Your cuddly little boy that you spoil with treats will kill 2 birds a week for the hell of it (if allowed outdoors).

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:49 (five years ago)

2.4 billion does seem like a lot

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:52 (five years ago)

google says there's like 100m domestic cats about probably less than that stray, so yeah i guess if there's a total of 100m outdoor cats and they are all just straight up killing birds non-stop 2.4 billion that seems doable. good for them.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:55 (five years ago)

https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms2380

birds are just the tip of the iceberg, they're fucking up the small land mammals

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 05:57 (five years ago)

great, now we have to get rid of Trump AND cats

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Friday, 23 October 2020 06:05 (five years ago)

re: the lincoln project quote, biden tweeted it as "most racist president in modern history," which i think is undeniable

(The Other) J.D. (J.D.), Friday, 23 October 2020 06:43 (five years ago)

xxxp 100 million cats x 2 birds a month = 2.4 billion / yr

assert (MatthewK), Friday, 23 October 2020 07:08 (five years ago)

here's a few more dead birds
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3-oKccq_8U&t=12s

Stevolende, Friday, 23 October 2020 07:16 (five years ago)

I don't think I realized how many birds there are

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 07:36 (five years ago)

That's because the wind killed them all.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 07:40 (five years ago)

Instant polls gave the debate to Biden by the same margins showing in the polls in general. CNN had Biden at 53% and Trump at 39%; Data Progress had Biden at 52% and Trump at 41%; US Politics had Biden at 52% and Trump at 39%.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 23 October 2020 07:48 (five years ago)

Not bad for a doddering skeleton going up against a reality show star

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 23 October 2020 07:49 (five years ago)

"@arcuate: dude that's freaking cool as heck RT @realDonaldTrump wind turbine blades will slice 14 million birds and bats to death in 10 yrs

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 9, 2013

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 07:52 (five years ago)

Save the bats! Vote Trump!

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 23 October 2020 08:57 (five years ago)

another video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yaWn0qcRYFA

Stevolende, Friday, 23 October 2020 09:03 (five years ago)

oh that one worked so does this now?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3-oKccq_8U

Stevolende, Friday, 23 October 2020 09:05 (five years ago)

Not to get too far from politics, but those numbers about cats are accurate, and it's not "good." It's actually Terrible for biodiversity.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 11:40 (five years ago)

Also in the US: "An estimated 600 million birds are killed every year from collisions with some of the country's largest skyscrapers, according to research from the Cornell Lab of Ornithology."

Fetchboy, Friday, 23 October 2020 11:46 (five years ago)

I think I was at a webinar talking about alternatives that allowed birds to recognise glass fronted buildings were there or were collision risks over teh summer.

Stevolende, Friday, 23 October 2020 11:48 (five years ago)

Instant polls gave the debate to Biden by the same margins showing in the polls in general. CNN had Biden at 53% and Trump at 39%; Data Progress had Biden at 52% and Trump at 41%; US Politics had Biden at 52% and Trump at 39%.

― Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, October 23, 2020 3:48 AM (three hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

This is likely true of almost every debate in history. People are not rational actors earnestly paying attention to the issues and keeping close score. They are irrational morons who make instinctual decisions that they then support with "facts" they pluck from the ether. Iow, viewers see what they want to see.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Friday, 23 October 2020 11:58 (five years ago)

I heard some post debate talk talking about how you needed a playboo0k for teh trump conspiracy stuff if you weren't a major fox/4chan/whatver consumer

Stevolende, Friday, 23 October 2020 12:02 (five years ago)

It seems this Mr Bob Dobalinksi is here to say that Biden does in fact know that his son has a business.

nashwan, Friday, 23 October 2020 12:09 (five years ago)

PBKR it's also the case that snap polls taken after debates can get quickly washed away by whatever media narrative springs up afterwards i.e. Gore sighing 'condescendingly' at Bush Jr during his answers. Viewers said Gore 'won', but within a week it was conventional wisdom that Gore had just imperilled his candidacy

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 23 October 2020 12:31 (five years ago)

"He used to be my moneygrip," Hunter Biden said of Mr. Dobalinski, "but then he stole my honeydip."

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 23 October 2020 12:34 (five years ago)

Imagine the damage a cat at the top of a wind turbine could do.

Honestly, who would have noticed if Bobalinski was in the audience? They could have all been Bobalinskis. Maybe "bobalinski" is just a dismissive nickname, like "jabroni."

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 12:54 (five years ago)

rejected name for a McGuffin

Number None, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:03 (five years ago)

Or the placeholder for a forgotten word. "Pass me that ... that ... that bobalisnki over there."

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:18 (five years ago)

Bobulinski alleged that code names were used to disguise the identities of some individuals named in the emails. References to the "Big Guy" were actually about Joe Biden. Jim Biden, Joe Biden's brother, was referred to as "JB."

JBB= Jimmy Bob Biden
JJB= Jerry Jeff Biden
JJB= Jo Jo Biden
JBB= Juggalo Bro Biden

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 23 October 2020 13:19 (five years ago)

Say it loud
Say it proud
Bobulinski is in the crowd

logout option: disabled (Matt #2), Friday, 23 October 2020 13:22 (five years ago)

A couple of Biden's better moments: 1) his response to the (quite good, I thought) question about "the talk." He addressed it directly, and showed he at least understood what that meant. Trump changed the subject within two seconds. (I wish he'd been asked first, something like "Explain what's meant by 'the talk.'" I think he would have been stuck for an answer. 2) I don't remember when or the context, but when Biden, using the split-screen, said something like "You know who I am, and you know who he is." Who's down with old Joe B? Yeah, you know me.

The two news reports I heard this morning (Canadian radio) both focused on their COVID responses, favorably contrasting Biden.

clemenza, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:23 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/MMWf50s.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:26 (five years ago)

the fact that the President promised a military-delivered vaccine within the few weeks and nobody takes him seriously is pretty damning

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 23 October 2020 13:29 (five years ago)

Early vote total now 50 million — 1/3 of the current projected overall vote, 1/4 of the general electorate.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

wish Biden had refuted the "you built the cages" line which I thought was a particularly evil thing for Trump to say, even if there is some truth to it

I did think he was in a tricky spot with all the "why didn't you do this in the 8 years you had" stuff, obviously you don't wanna throw Obama under the bus (and he kinda did at one point) but also I don't know how effective the "oh we had a Republican Congress" stuff was. I mean it's true but idk if that's what you want to say to convince whoever the hell is still undecided since those are the rare creatures who think bipartisanship is actually a thing. When Trump said "well you gotta sell them on it", he was actually kinda right?

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:46 (five years ago)

Pretty sure Obama is savvy enough to have reassured Biden before the debate, "Say what you need to say about me."

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 23 October 2020 13:48 (five years ago)

I know this point was made repeatedly last night including by me, but after sleeping on it, I wonder if people aren't still underrating the importance of the debate having been Trump's best remaining opportunity to climb back into the race and it seemingly having been squandered.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 23, 2020

Trump can win. It's mathematically possible that polls could be waayyy off or something could come from totally out of the blue. But there are also a lot of things working against him in the final 11 days. COVID cases are rising. He's way behind in $. And 50m have already voted.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 23, 2020

sounds like Nate doesn't have much faith in Tony Bobulinski

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Tara Lipinski... Monica Lewinsky... Tony Bobulinski.

Coincidence? I say nay.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

Not only was that his last high profile shot to turn things around (60 Minutes might have been had he not muffed it), but if the past five long years have been any indication, there is a very good chance he will do or say something terrible in the next week to make things worse.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:03 (five years ago)

xp: Saul Alinsky

peace, man, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:08 (five years ago)

Squirrel on a jet ski
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/L9Wk-85b-vA/hqdefault.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:11 (five years ago)

Still think there's a non-zero chance that he takes his thing out and waggles it at the camera before this horrorshow is over and done with.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

everyone's doing it

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:14 (five years ago)

squirrel on a jet ski, i know, i know, it’s really serious

you are like a scampicane, there's calm in your fries (bizarro gazzara), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:20 (five years ago)

can you imagine if cats and the wind didn't kill all the birds? you'd barely be able to walk outside, the air would be so thick with birds. Awful. So thick they block out the sun. So many birds, you can barely breathe for the feathers

akm, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

Not only was that his last high profile shot to turn things around (60 Minutes might have been had he not muffed it), but if the past five long years have been any indication, there is a very good chance he will do or say something terrible in the next week to make things worse.

I think all Trump has to do is get the word out that the media is biased against him. Why hasn't he tried this yet?

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

why IS it that every single media outlet is biased against him???

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:37 (five years ago)

So biased that they shove a camera in his face every time he eats a hamberder. The bias!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:41 (five years ago)

it's especially weird how the women who interview him are always so so nasty.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

can you imagine if cats and the wind didn't kill all the birds?

it's easy if you fly

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

still can't get over the 60 Minutes footage, that was so goddamn pathetic, even by his standards

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

and he wanted people to see the whole thing!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

I'm certain 60 minutes would have made him look better than that too

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

exactly a lot of the whinier bits would've had to have been edited out

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

Thinking back on the early vote numbers, did a quick calculation based on what I've generally been seeing via Elections Project and the guess by some that we could hit or approach 100 million early votes by Election Day is looking more plausible. The vote total has generally (not always but more or less) been 5 million every 24 hours during the week. Numbers slow over the weekend as updates by states aren't provided as often; last weekend was around another 5 million total. So if you had it at two further weekends of 10 million total plus seven weekdays, counting today, at 5 million each, that's 45 million total, making it 95 million by Election Day. Additional factors might be increased vote totals over these last two weekends in particular (especially as more options for voting continue to emerge -- in San Francisco, for instance, the drop-off spot for ballots near City Hall will be open this weekend for the first time this season) plus the fact that one big state has yet to report any numbers: New York. With their early voting about to start, that'll likely juice the total to 100 million at least. We'll just have to see, of course; a general estimate by Elections Project itself last week had it at 88 million, but the numbers sure seem to be telling.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

More people have now early voted in Florida (4,771,956) than the number of people who voted for Donald Trump in Florida in 2016 (4,617,886).

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 23, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:02 (five years ago)

the star tribune has an absentee ballot tracker (this is just absentee mail in or drop off ballots: https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-early-ballots-absentee-mail-in-voting-tracker-up-more-than-600-percent-with-month-to-election-day/572588741/

Total absentee ballots requested: 1,765,327
Total absentee ballots accepted so far: 1,186,522 (67.2% of all requested)
So far absentee ballots accepted this year are up about 370% from 2016 and 2018.

that alone is way more than the github tracker say (911,000)

ALSO the way I read it this is just absentee ballots not early voting at voting centers, so I'm sure that number has gotta be close or getting there to the absentee ballots

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 23 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

I voted yesterday, on my 40th birthday no less. Felt good to get it out of the way. My county has a neat website that gives you waiting time info at the various early voting locations, so we didn't have to wait at all. It was kinda goddamn weird voting in a mask and getting a ballot from folks in masks and/or plastic shields, seems like that ought to be enough to clue people in on who they ought to be voting for.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Friday, 23 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

that's a lot of ballots to throw away

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

Elections Project in ways is always playing catchup, adding numbers as it gets them. I think it's just handy to think of it as a lower end amount, and if it's even higher, great.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

Basic summary on early voting as various types see it, with a concentration on key states. This part stood out:

“The concerning thing for Republicans is that once a Democrat vote is cast, or once a vote is cast in general, it can't be taken back,” said Chris Wilson, a top Republican data analyst who independently reviewed the Hawkfish numbers for POLITICO. “That to me is the bigger issue here: Our window to message and convert any of these voters away from voting Democrat is shorter than the number of days left in the campaign.”

Wilson compared the situation to an analysis for a battleground congressional district he has consulted for in which the Republican leads by a point, but Democrats have poured it on so heavily in early voting that his candidate needs to win Election Day by huge proportions.

“Great news. We lead [in the polls]. But if you look at the early vote, we have to win 2-to-1 on Election Day,” Wilson said. “And that's probably just about every contested race in America.”

I hadn't quite thought of it so starkly on the window for persuasion but that does make sense. And again, saying whatever you will about good ol' Lincoln Project, it seems their efforts are increasingly aimed at the reverse situation: identifying GOP voters to persuade them to vote Biden. As the story notes, it seems Trump's finally woken up a bit on this point with his planned Sunday bit about early voting, but.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

another interesting/promising stat:

More than 67,000 early votes have been cast by Minnesotans between the ages 18 and 29, enough to make a difference in a close election. In 2016, Democrat Hillary Clinton’s margin of victory over Donald Trump in Minnesota was less than 45,000 votes.

At this point in time in 2016, fewer than 5,000 votes had been cast by young people in the state, according to the CIRCLE data.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 23 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

Not unrelated:

Texas is currently leading the nation in youth voter turnout.

About half a million Texans under 30 have voted so far, according to new data from Tufts University. | @AshLopezRadio https://t.co/yE4OcIsIUU

— KUT Austin (@KUT) October 23, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

AT LAST my ballot is in and will be counted, 22 days after posting.

santa clause four (suzy), Friday, 23 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

I delivered my mail-in ballot to a drop box at an early voting site on Saturday but haven't yet received any indication that it's been accepted. I would assume that drop boxes are emptied at night and processed on the next business day, so it makes me a little anxious.

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

(Maybe I should've just put it in the mail.)

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

I can't unclench until all is said and done, but if this winds up being as much of a rout as it seems that it might, the dopamine rush on the morning of the 4th is likely to launch me into space.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

All logic points to a Biden win, it's just so nerve-racking. Like, Clinton, that wasn't just numbers, that was ... arrogance? Hubris? But this is a better liked candidate vs. an even worse liked by those that liked him and more hated by those that didn't candidate than before, whose margin of victory the first time was small but lucky, following the 2018 election where the Dems did pretty well top to bottom. And yet ... so nerve-wracking.

Anyway, given trends I'd be fine, if they have the time and cash, with Biden putting some final oomph into Texas, if not for the senate and president than for some extra down ballot support. I do know that when my wife and I signed up to write a few hundred postcards to voters, they were all addressed to people in Texas.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

xpost I haven't seen anything yet, either, jaymc. Did the same at the first of the week. IL might just be a buncha slowpokes.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

OK, that makes me feel better, OL!

jaymc, Friday, 23 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

I think it takes a week or so, iirc.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

I dropped my ballot off Wednesday afternoon (King County, WA) and it's showing rec'd already, with the signature verification step next. If you had a tearoff at the top of your ballot, it might have the URL to check. Mine did.

the body of a spider... (scampering alpaca), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

Not to get too far from politics, but those numbers about cats are accurate, and it's not "good." It's actually Terrible for biodiversity.

if it were *terrible* for biodiversity there would be a measurable difference between cities in the US (where cats are house pets by and large) and the rest of the world (where they are not), with US cities coming out ahead. i might be wrong but i don't think this is the case. admittedly the rats are larger in the US.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

again, not saying early voting is bad. it's probably good! but this is why it's complicated ...

Highest TX early voting turnout so far (as share of RVs, counties w/ 100k+ registrants only):

1. Collin (Trump +17 in '16): 48%
2. Williamson (Trump +10): 48%
3. Denton (Trump +20): 47%
4. Comal (Trump +50): 46%
5. Brazoria (Trump +25): 44%

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 23, 2020


Lowest TX early voting turnout so far (as share of RVs, counties w/ 100k+ registrants only):

1. Webb (Clinton +52 in '16): 21%
2. Bell (Trump +15): 27%
3. Cameron (Clinton +33): 29%
4. El Paso (Clinton +43): 30%
5. Hidalgo (Clinton +41): 31%

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 23, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

I'm willing to believe experts if they say bird populations are at risk, but holy smokes, there are a ton of grackles here.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

Interesting numbers. Williamson County is right near me, and I could easily see it swing toward Biden. I wonder how these compare in terms of pure vote totals vs some of the larger counties.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:20 (five years ago)

Can we stop all this chat about how so many cats are eating so many birds because it is cat-shaming my two lazy, slow and clumsy mogs who spend their every living day gazing longingly at birds they'll never be able to catch.

Change Display Name: (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:20 (five years ago)

fake mews

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

I remember the first time I heard that bit of trivia, but I also recall at some point encountering something that totally debunked it. I'll have to see what I saw.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

Frank Luntz, a top pollster for Republicans, asserted on Thursday night that if he and his fellow analysts are wrong yet again about who’ll win the election a la 2016, that blunder could spell doom for his industry.

“Right now the biggest issue is a trust deficit,” Luntz told Fox News hosts Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum. “And pollsters did not do a good job in 2016.”

“So if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden’s got a five or six point lead and then Donald Trump wins, my profession is done. It’s finished,” he continued. “You can make a mistake once, Bret. You cannot make it again.”

stfu frank

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

All logic points to a Biden win, it's just so nerve-racking. Like, Clinton, that wasn't just numbers, that was ... arrogance? Hubris?

the major miscalculation in 2016 was "Republicans won't turn out in large numbers for this moron". after he won the nomination that idea should've been thrown out the window and yet Trump was on TV every single minute of every single day, saying the most insane and idiotic shit, day in and day out, it was too stupid to take seriously. that was what 538's big mea culpa was about, yeah it was stupid to say "Trump only has a 2% chance of winning the nomination" when he's actually led every single poll, and the correct way to forecast this race is to remove the Trumpiness out of it. as Nate kept bringing up: It is difficult for one party to win the WH 3 terms in a row. Hillary was the most disliked Dem candidate ever. The GOP has a baked in EC advantage. There were a historic number of undecided voters and you can't really predict how they'll break. More than that: the average American knows jack shit about politics. I'd talk about random Trump shit at the lunch table and no one would have a clue what I was talking about. "Grab 'em by the pussy" and email crimes were the only thing that really stuck.

That's why I think 2020 is gonna be different (**KNOCK ON GIGANTIC PIECE OF WOOD**). Things are fucking terrible right now, to the point where "2020, am I right?" is a meme. and a lot of people are gonna blame the folks in charge. Trump has turned from a breath of fresh air to the most obnoxious man on the planet. Obviously I'm nervous as hell but all signs are that this is gonna be a huge wave election. I think the polls are more likely to be off in Biden's direction than Trump's because I just cannot fucking imagine the undecideds breaking for him again. But who knows!! I've been wrong before!!

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

that's not all that's finished if Trump wins, Frank. Get one perspective.

Change Display Name: (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

xp The US had animals that hunted the same way house cats do--raccoons, for example--so our prey animals could evolve ways to protect themselves. Europe and North Africa had them long enough for prey to evolve, too. The problem is when they are brought into places like Australia where prey have no protection against them.

Christine Green Leafy Dragon Indigo, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

Meantime I think it's amusing that Trump's pulling all these 'uh see we made peace between Israel and this other country!' moves and literally they've all been one day stories that nobody cares about.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:27 (five years ago)

that was what 538's big mea culpa was about, yeah it was stupid to say "Trump only has a 2% chance of winning the nomination"

they gave him a 30% chance in 2016. about the same chances as a really good baseball player has to get a hit when they step to the plate. there's no mea culpa or mistake there, that's just an election model based on probability and simulation

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

i totally believe outdoor cats kill billions of birds. i feel bad for the birds. but i've never seen any evidence that that's an *ecological* problem. there are a lot of birds.

fine with derailing this thread for the day btw. the election sucks.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

i mean, i hate to say it, but 538 gives trump a 12% chance right now, in the 2020 election. if it's 12% on election eve, and he wins, that wouldn't mean that 538's model is "wrong". (though everyone would treat it that way, that's for sure)

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

Bear in mind those top five Texas counties have a combined population of ~2.2 million. The population of Harris + Travis + Bexar counties (Houston, Austin, and San Antonio) is ~7 million.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

KM - I mean before that, when they tried to forecast the massive GOP primary. even though Trump was polling the highest and was the de facto center of literally all the RNC debate coverage there was still this sense of "no way does this last more than a month"

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

If only Paul the Octopus were still among us.

pomenitul, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

If Trump doesn't win this one... he'll just file papers for 2024 and begin campaigning immediately.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

What's eerie to me about the bird deaths is that I don't think I've ever seen a cat kill a bird. This massive slaughter is happening pretty much invisibly.

jmm, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:34 (five years ago)

They can't do it if you're watching.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

I wish when Trump goes off on his Hunter conspiracy theory bullshit, Biden would've said something like "this coming from the guy who was certain Obama wasn't born in the US? Really, we're supposed to believe anything this guy says about democratic candidates?? How long until he once again has to fake apologize and admit he doesn't know what he's talking about? I'm sure he'd just blame me for starting this malarkey. Cmon man".

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cat_predation_on_wildlife

Your cat doesn't need to hunt outside. That's more about your projections than the actual needs of a domesticated animal. G

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

xp frogbs, oops, my mistake! i misread

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

I should also note that I've owned cats and like them. I just don't think they belong out-of-doors

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

Anyway, enough derail, sorry for harping on about this

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

I should also note that I've owned cats and like them. I just don't think they belong out-of-doors

1) you don't own cats, they own you
2) they are pretty firmly convinced they belong outdoors

Change Display Name: (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

What's eerie to me about the bird deaths is that I don't think I've ever seen a cat kill a bird. This massive slaughter is happening pretty much invisibly.

― jmm, Friday, October 23, 2020 12:34 PM (six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I have multiple birds, and mice, and other varmints brought to me by my cats over the years

...and stevie otm

rip van wanko, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

1) you are correct
2) what they want doesn't matter.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

If Trump doesn't win this one... he'll just file papers for 2024 and begin campaigning immediately.

Nah. You're failing to reckon with his incredible emotional fragility and his overwhelming laziness. Once he loses, he won't explode in rage; he'll sink into a black depression. He'll immediately put it out of his mind, though, exactly the way he put it out of his mind every time Pelosi and/or Schumer rolled him over the last four years. The one thing he's absolutely not gonna do is put up a big foot-stomping fight over the "unfair" election, especially not once it becomes clear that the Republican Party's not gonna charge forward with him. I'll be kind of surprised if he even finishes out his term. He might just resign and let Pence run the country for two months, or spend the whole lame duck period on the phone with various Fox News shows. If there was a way to declare bankruptcy and run away, like he's done so many times before, he'd 100% do that. Frankly, I think the only thing keeping him here, rather than jumping on a plane with a gym bag full of cash, will be the fact that, thanks to his fuckups, no other country is currently accepting Americans.

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:46 (five years ago)

The one thing he's absolutely not gonna do is put up a big foot-stomping fight over the "unfair" election

i'm gonna go ahead and predict the exact opposite of this!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

i mean, i hate to say it, but 538 gives trump a 12% chance right now, in the 2020 election. if it's 12% on election eve, and he wins, that wouldn't mean that 538's model is "wrong". (though everyone would treat it that way, that's for sure)

a good portion of that 12% chance is the fact that theoretically something could happen that will shake up this race in the final week. if election day was today he'd probably be at what, 4% or so? I don't even know where that 4% would come from. the polling in every swing state would have to be off by a historic margin.

I wonder if their model takes early voting into consideration - I've seen them say you can't really draw any solid conclusions from that, but if things do significantly tighten, you still have 1/3rd of the votes already cast at a time when Biden was +10 nationally.

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 16:48 (five years ago)

for reference, here's one of 538's simulation outcomes that falls in that 12%:

https://i.imgur.com/yBsQERx.png

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

Trump: “Do you think Sleepy Joe could have made this deal, Bibi, Sleepy Joe?”

Israeli PM Netanyahu: "Uh ... well ... Mr. President, one thing I can tell you is we appreciate the help for peace from anyone in America." pic.twitter.com/LU02tEOXtK

— The Recount (@therecount) October 23, 2020

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

I wonder if their model takes early voting into consideration - I've seen them say you can't really draw any solid conclusions from that, but if things do significantly tighten, you still have 1/3rd of the votes already cast at a time when Biden was +10 nationally.

― frogbs, Friday, October 23, 2020 12:48 PM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

the only input is the polls (plus economic fundamentals), but the polls do ask people if they've already voted and weight those respondents as much more likely voters (infinitely likely) compared to someone who hasn't voted yet.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

Karl that map is a weird outcome... New Mexico was +8 for Clinton in 2016 and now they're going to vote Trump even though the national polls are basically +8 for Biden?

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

it's one outcome of their simulation, so yep

i mean, you can do that with any map showing trump winning. the odds are certainly stacked against him

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

those are potential outcomes, unlikely but within a specific range of error.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

xp

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

NM is the only state on that map that the seems like a *very* long shot for trump. there are more plausible maps: e.g. just repeat of 2016. the point is he could win. he probably won't. (and early voting tells us nothing about this.)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

one scenario involves a kaiju eating 5 states worth of citizens

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

Kaiju OTM

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

If there was a way to declare bankruptcy and run away, like he's done so many times before, he'd 100% do that.

agreed.

Anyway, back to cats. My guys, who are obsequiously affectionate during the winter months, just disappear outdoors the second it looks like the nights might be getting shorter, and then that's it. They spend all of spring and summer and a lot of autumn out there, though mostly they just lie under a bench in the garden all day, being affectionate with each other until they piss each other off. But they hate being indoors, until they have to be indoors, and then they love it, all the radiators and soft furnishings and shit. I've been on deadline for much of the last fortnight and they just creep in in the early hours, eat three pouches of food in one sitting and then just go straight out again.

Change Display Name: (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

listen to blazey the fox, it knows its shit
https://i.imgur.com/SsaZspw.jpg

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

If Trump doesn't win this one... he'll just file papers for 2024 and begin campaigning immediately.

― Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, October 23, 2020 11:33 AM

He might start (though I doubt it) but I don't think he's got 4 more years of life in that flesh-suit.

scampo-phenique (WmC), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

I guess they're being systematic, but I'm trying to grok a polling error that lets (compared to 2016) New Mexico swing +9 Trump but Pennsylvania go +2 Biden. This must be them factoring in some unknown event between now and Election Day... maybe Trump does a surprise executive order moving the WIPP from Carlsbad NM to Centralia PA?

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

Our cat is an indoor/outdoor cat. Which is to say, he spends most of his time inside sleeping (especially as he gets older), but he spends enough time outside that we don't really know where he goes to the bathroom. The reason he's an indoor/outdoor cat is that when he was just an indoor cat, for several months when he was younger, he would get out basically every single time we opened the door, several times a day, so eventually we just threw our hands up and let him out. And he's happy as can be. The first winter at our current house was the winter of the polar vortex, and he did vanish for about a week. But then one day he just showed up again, perfectly healthy, fed, fully intact, and we figured if can survive that he's more than OK outside the rest of the time. Some cats like going outside, some cats fear it. Our cat (who was born on a farm, fwiw) likes it, even if these days it's just to sleep and watch the world go by. And yeah, poop and pee somewhere when we are not looking.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

How did New Mexico become such a relatively reliable blue state?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

538 gives trump a 3 out of 100 chance of winning in NM right now.

i would recommend just reading the "Which polls are influencing the forecast for New Mexico?" and "How do we get from polls to forecasted vote share?" sections here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/new-mexico/

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:15 (five years ago)

Whoa...Schumer just forced the Senate into a rare closed door session. No cameras. No press. Doors being locked as I type. A last ditch effort to convince Republicans to not send the Senate into this death spiral of power politics.

Long shot to succeed, but why not?Stay tuned.

— Chris Murphy (@ChrisMurphyCT) October 23, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

xp it's the land of enchantment. conservatives don't like that, so they moved to scottsdale

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

that weird 538 map is not gonna happen, but if it did it would mean pollster assumptions about hispanic turnout and voting in the southwest were somehow extremely wrong

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

i didn't mean to focus on that specific map so much, i was just pulling a random one from the 12% of simulations that end with a trump victory. almost all of the scenarios where trump wins have NM going blue, fwiw, i just happened to pick one where NM went red

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

e.g.

https://i.imgur.com/5OCbetF.png

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

if the vote were held today, what are the odds that WI and PA go red? my thing right now is if we can go 11 days without some seismic shift in the race, Biden wins, right?

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

xp:

Things are fucking terrible right now, to the point where "2020, am I right?" is a meme.

this was also true in 2016

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

what are the odds that WI and PA go red

14% and 13%, respectively

odds of both of those happening? .14 * .13 = .018, or 1.8% chance

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

that's not how probability works. those are not independent events.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

My early voting muttering more or less on track, Election Project has the numbers at almost 52.5 million for the day already. 55 million very likely by tomorrow morning if not sooner.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

xpost How about this independent event?

https://assets3.thrillist.com/v1/image/1730363/1200x630

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

xp

i mean, that's true! so is there a way to deduce the probability of both WI and PA going red, based on the individual probabilities of .13 and .14? or would you need to go back to the full 50 state simulations and just see what % of them included both WI and PA going red?

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

nate silver just cooked up some time wasting simulations to answer that very question

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/?cid=abcnews

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

re: "notindependent events."

In a recent 538 podcast they talked about that - that it's easier to imagine roughly similar states moving (or not moving) in the same direction. So if the numbers show a trend in both WI and MN, it's likelier that they're related - but you wouldn't do the same for Iowa and, say, Hawaii.

Personally (speaking as a Virginian here) I want to see more cracks in the ex-"solid south." NC, I'll be very happy. GA, ecstatic. Not daring to say anything about TX because that would approach miraculous.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:37 (five years ago)

If WI goes red, 62% chance of PA going red

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:37 (five years ago)

I don't know how they're doing the math, I'm sure it's complicated, but on this new 538 tool you can see the colors of the states shift as you experiment with different outcomes:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/?cid=abcnews

In the absence of any other data/simulation:
If WI is red, PA goes to 62% Trump.
If PA is red, WI goes to 64% Trump.

So yea, I'd say the probability is pretty interrelated.

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

or, like symsymsym said.

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

xp I am no statistician but I assume caek's statement merely reflects that a situation where WI goes for Trump increases the likelihood that PA also goes for Trump and vice versa. In other words, they are independent but connected.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

getting bent out of shape about cats being outdoors is so Nextdoor

akm, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

Or maybe a better way to say it is that under a scenario where one state went for Trump it is likely those same events would impact the probability in the other state as well?

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

Thanks to these two continuing conversations I can think of nothing but Pennsylvania feral cats polling birds as to whether they should be eaten.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 23 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

I'm allergic to ever living with a litterbox again so I have no skin in the game but concern about cats needlessly going outdoors to needlessly kill is entirely reasonable. It's not a neutral thing when wildlife is murdered en masse and cats will live longer/healthier lives indoors anyway.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

To bring the political and the cat into conjunction, my wife an I once went to a local town meeting and while waiting for the topic we were there for to come up on the agenda, the town board began discussing an apparently ongoing feral cat problem and the language of the ordinance to address it. The town attorney kept outlining the changes to town ordinance using the phrases like "insert clause (x) before clause (y)" etc. and in the context of the feral cat discussion caused my wife to hear this as claws and she started giggling, quietly at first, then both of us, then louder, then literally crying, to the point where people in the packed meeting kept turning around to look at the two of us morons laughing uncontrollably.

He was very mean to Mr. Chamillionaire (PBKR), Friday, 23 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

i love this conversation.

apparently domestic cats are not really the problem.

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/interactive-assets/nggraphics/ngm-1910-CatsVsBirds-chart/build-2019-09-04_11-29-43/ngm-assets/img/ngm-1910-CatsVsBirds-chart_ai2html-mobile.jpg

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

On the other hand, cats are absolutely essential to pest control, since, unlike dogs, they don't eat mouse/rat poop, just the innards, and therefore are not vectors for spreading the worst rodent borne diseases.

There was a fascinating, horrific story I read in a WWII book once. During the siege of Leningrad, people resorted to eating their pets. After they went through all the pets, they famously resorted to cannibalism, but at the same time, the bodies just kept piling up, since there was no place to put them. After a while the rats started showing up in huge numbers to feed on the corpses, further spreading disease and generally causing havoc, to the extent that after the siege was lifted they actually had to ship train cars of cats to repopulate the city to get rid of the rats.

Another intriguing use of killer cats is services that essentially rent out feral cats. The cats are captured, tagged, cared for, and, most importantly if counterintuitively, fed. Then when someone has a pest problem they rent the cats, which then hunt not for food (they've been fed) but for fun/pleasure, and when they do that they are likely to kill *more* mice, since they are not doing it for sustenance, just for sport. And then the service comes back and the cats return to their cages to be brought back to HQ.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

I know it's just human nature but I always find it funny how people spend so much time trying to read the tea leaves of polls when we'll just have the actual election results soon.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/?cid=abcnews

― Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, October 23, 2020 12:36 PM (thirty minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

if trump wins both TX and GA his odds rise to 26%. makes me nervous!!!

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

I know it's just human nature but I always find it funny how people spend so much time trying to read the tea leaves of polls when we'll just have the actual election results soon.

― A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, October 23, 2020 1:10 PM

Hating surprises is good and correct.

scampo-phenique (WmC), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

I mean I'm in that group who believes America & maybe the entire planet is totally fucked should he win another 4 years so what else can we do right now. there's a fucking plague and my city in particular is one of the hardest hit in the country, there's nothing for me to do but stay inside and worry about polls

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

Among other things, I genuinely worry about the suicide rates if Trump wins again.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:21 (five years ago)

fucking dying at this shit:

I forced a bot to read over 1,000 hours of QAnon theories and then asked it to write QAnon theories of its own. Here they are. pic.twitter.com/jpCkZJql0w

— Keaton Patti (@KeatonPatti) October 23, 2020

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:24 (five years ago)

those are great!

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

those are all failing my anti-Turing test. clearly written by the author of the tweet

imago, Friday, 23 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/6mhE29h.png

this could have already happened! how would we know?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

right. the outcome in WI and PA is correlated (quite strongly), so conditional on trump winning one of them, his odds of winning the other go up.

all states are correlated with each other at some level, but because demographics is a predictor of vote, states that are more demographically similar (eg. PA and WI) are more correlated.

this, btw, is why biden winning NC is almost exactly as good news as biden winning FL according to that 538 map. FL is worth more electoral votes, so it should increase biden's win probability more, but a world in which biden has won NC is also a world in which biden has won the midwest, because NC is more similar to the midwest than FL.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

cats will live longer/healthier lives indoors anyway.

physically yes, but it's probably not true of their mental health. tigers live longer lives in zoos but they go nuts.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:33 (five years ago)

Those Q theories were all really good but I just about lost it at Eric Trump being arrested for bone crimes.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:33 (five years ago)

he had the bones INSIDE himself the whole time!

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

I forced a bot, at gunpoint, to read 1,000 hours of Qanon theories

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

not to mention that bones are his money. and his emails

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Friday, 23 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

those are all failing my anti-Turing test. clearly written by the author of the tweet

is this the first time you've encountered this Twitter account

shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:51 (five years ago)

Trump learning Bibi has the same understanding of loyalty as Trump does. You hate to see it https://t.co/dUUaHUQRuo

— 😱 Endless Zoom Meeting 😱 (@AdamSerwer) October 23, 2020

Change Display Name: (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

Tigers are not housecats

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

I mean house is right there in the name lol

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

you... you know that cats didn't name themselves "housecats", right?

Change Display Name: (stevie), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:55 (five years ago)

I felt bad that my one cat loved to run outside but I wasn't ok with him being out there (if nothing else, he'd get 1000 cacti thorns in him). So I bought him a harness and leash. Put it on him wrong the 1st time and traumatized him. It's been many months so maybe it's time to try again.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

They didn't??????

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

you... you know that cats didn't name themselves "housecats", right?

In most feline dialects, the name is Rrrooowurrr (or a close cognate). It translates roughly as "Claw-Demon."

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

I think if you have a decent sized abode your cat should be fine. my cat is definitely a little bit sad because he lives in such a small apartment, definitely liked it more when I lived a place with double the square footage. although he's so needy that now I'm working from home he's in hog heaven

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

Yeah and give them some mentally stimulating toys, play with them, etc. Though I feel like when I put treats in a treat ball my one dude is just like "ugh are you serious with this shit? This isn't a game, man. Just put them things on a dish, I'm not some dipshit bird pressing levers for rewards"

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:14 (five years ago)

Since I'd rather talk about cats than the election, I'll add that I've lived with both indoor-only and indoor-outdoor cats, and my overall anecdotal assessment is that the cats who could go outside were a lot happier and less neurotic. (Allowing that all cats seem fairly neurotic from a human perspective, I'm sure their behavior makes sense to them.) We currently have an old-ish cat who is an indoor-outdoor cat and we would never take that away from him. BUT ALSO, he kills a lot of animals. We only know about the ones he brings inside or leaves lying on the doorstep, but I'm sure there are more. I'm OK with most of them — it's sad to see a dead baby bunny, but at the same time our neighborhood is overrun with rabbits so I'm not worried about the survival of that species. But the birds do make me feel bad. My wife and I have talked about making our next cat indoor-only, whenever our current fella moves on (hopefully not for a good while).

It's a hard call, and I think bird people/anti-cat people are way too cavalier about "Just keep them inside!," because that's basically keeping a living animal locked up in jail no matter how comfy the home is. But I do take the bird impact seriously.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

Yeah and give them some mentally stimulating toys, play with them, etc. Though I feel like when I put treats in a treat ball my one dude is just like "ugh are you serious with this shit? This isn't a game, man. Just put them things on a dish, I'm not some dipshit bird pressing levers for rewards"

― A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, October 23, 2020 12:14 PM (four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yeah, I play with my guy a lot, I chase him around the apartment, do the classic string dangling thing, make him run after me to receive his freeze dried chicken etc.

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

xposts that's a good explanation caek, thanks!

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

everyone knows cat's real names are shit like Jellybelly and Rum Tum Bastard and Ole' Heteronormativity

akm, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

I built an outdoor cat lounge for a neighbor's aging indoor-only cats, it took them a while to not be scared by being outside but after a month they were happy to lounge in the summer heat and listen to birds.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

My one guy is terrified whenever he's outside, crying and hiding by my legs. The other is like zoooom peace out bitch! At this point they're both too old to learn the new trick of being outdoors unsupervised. Maybe my next cat(s) I'd start from get-go as indoor-outdoor but man I'd be soooo nervous something would happen to them. That's selfish, I know.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:32 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/yBsQERx.png

Now imagine the fun that happens should Biden win Omaha.

pplains, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:33 (five years ago)

Cats are horrible for a ton of species that are part of ecosystems that cats don't belong in, they have no predators to keep them in check, and they've brought devastation to isolated ecosystems all over the globe. Down with (outdoor) cats.

Unless you literally have, like, a barn full of hay and need to keep the mice out.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

almost every internet space i frequent is made up largely of, like, people with MAs in Library Science and fibromyalgia who are--it goes without saying--cat people, and usually it's great but I just can not get down with the "not MY outdoor cat!" bird-holocaust denialism. It's just like people whose dads are cops or landlords

Dan I., Friday, 23 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

Senate just voted 53- 43 Yea for Coney Barrett btw

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

A few years ago, when I was about to head upstairs to bed, I decided to check the back door to see if the cat wanted to come in, and he did. I opened the door and he meeped happily in greeting ... and in doing so released the live mouse that was clenched in his jaws. The mouse quickly ran around the mudroom in a panic, while the cat pounced in pursuit. It was maybe 1am and I'd had a couple of drinks and just wanted to go to bed, but I decided to just catch the thing myself and toss it back outside. I closed the door, got some container, cornered the mouse, and successfully trapped it. Then, against all good judgement, looked over at the cat who was eager to catch the mouse, and figured, what the hell, I'm in a small space, the mouse has nowhere to go ... I'll let it loose for the cat to catch again. The mouse races for the tiny broom closet off the mudroom, cat right behind it, and ... the mouse just vanishes. Me and the cat spend another 30 minutes searching this tiny, finite space for this stupid mouse that nonetheless outsmarted us both. I finally gave up and went to bed, but I could still hear the car rustling around in the closet, confused as I was.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

(Cat not car)

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:43 (five years ago)

this is a member of Congress

My wife has the gift of premonition.
Last night she dreamed that Federal squads were in our home seizing guns, knives, “unauthorized foods” and stored water. They said we had been “reported”.
Becca awoke crying.
What happened to our freedom? She asked.
What indeed.

— Rep. Clay Higgins (@RepClayHiggins) October 23, 2020

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

Lolol
My cats have caught and killed baby lizards that snuck inside. Good kitties. But mice are too cute, I don't wanna see them dead or, worse yet, mauled. Was at a tacqueria and mouse scurried into dining room. All the customers were trying to kick this poor frightened lil creature, it made me ill. Eventually a succession of ppl managed to kick it outside, where it lie dying when I left. Ugh.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Senate just voted 53- 43 Yea for Coney Barrett btw

― Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, October 23, 2020 3:41 PM bookmarkflaglink

wait what? i thought there was no feasible way to have this vote until Sunday?

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:49 (five years ago)

sorry, vote on whether to proceed

What's eerie to me about the bird deaths is that I don't think I've ever seen a cat kill a bird. This massive slaughter is happening pretty much invisibly.

Grew up with 2-4 indoor/outdoor cats, and it was a regular occurrence to find a bird head, or wing, or most of a torso with the insides eaten out, or a pile of feathers and viscera on the back steps. Rarely ever saw them actually hunting, but of our guys was so proficient that you could tell when he was coming home from a roam at the bottom of the garden, because mynahs would gather in the largest trees near the house and hurl vindictive hate-speech at him.

"The one thing he's absolutely not gonna do is put up a big foot-stomping fight over the "unfair" election"

i'm gonna go ahead and predict the exact opposite of this!

He whines incessantly about things that are perfectly fair and reasonable or minor; when he actually suffers giant losses, he drops the matter and walks away.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

i thought that last line was about a cat!

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

ohhh thanks sic

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

i am reposting this favorite cat video i put on 77
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3-sie5pNUE

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

This is now the cat thread

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

My wife has the gift of premonition.
Last night she dreamed that Federal squads were in our home seizing guns, knives, “unauthorized foods” and stored water. They said we had been “reported”.
Becca awoke crying.
What happened to our freedom? She asked.
What indeed.

— Rep. Clay Higgins (@RepClayHiggins) October 23, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

Bring back witch trials

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

NOT TODAY, SLIPPERS

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

Not sure if this has been covered already but I keep checking to see if this gets deleted but apparently it's real?

Pres. Trump is fighting for YOU! Here are some of his priorities for a 2nd term:

*Establish Permanent Manned Presence on The Moon
*Send the 1st Manned Mission to Mars
*Build World’s Greatest Infrastructure System
*Establish National High-Speed Wireless Internet Network

— GOP (@GOP) October 23, 2020

Matt DC, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

omg Christians are a menace. Even the reasonable ones, because they normalize Xtianity for the batshit ones.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

i will vote for this if the mission to mars is manned by donald trump

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:07 (five years ago)

that's the guy that livestreamed from auschwitz i think

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

stop making me like you dude

Ending the present ongoing mass casualty event should probably make it into your top four. https://t.co/cH8UfKfZfp

— Pete Buttigieg (@PeteButtigieg) October 23, 2020

frogbs, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

gil scott heron had a song about this

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

Becca's lucky, I've dreaded waking up for four years now.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

What that GOP twitter account will talk about in a few days:

"Despite Democrats’ procedural maneuvering, Barrett will almost certainly still be confirmed to the supreme court in a nearly party-line vote on Monday."

xyzzzz__, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

*Establish National High-Speed Wireless Internet Network

lol

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

going through a whole term and announcing priorities for the second one that you have never once mentioned before, ten days before the election

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

Sure thing. Nobody in his base would refuse a 5G connection.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

Pretty sure he's referring to the all-American 6G prototype, which automatically dechips and devaccinates.

pomenitul, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:18 (five years ago)

fuck everything, we're doing six Gs

rob, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

i thought that last line was about a cat!

ha :D

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

i thought that last line was about a cat!

https://deadstate.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Screen-Shot-2017-07-27-at-7.35.41-AM.png

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:39 (five years ago)

those are all failing my anti-Turing test. clearly written by the author of the tweet

is this the first time you've encountered this Twitter account

― shout-out to his family (DJP), Friday, October 23, 2020 2:51 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

hmm, I was not familiar with this person at all but part of me did worry this might be the case. bummer, though they're still funny.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

multiple xposts

Cats are horrible for a ton of species that are part of ecosystems that cats don't belong in, they have no predators to keep them in check

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-45588088

'Croydon cat killer' mystery solved by police

The so-called Croydon cat killer does not exist, the Metropolitan Police has confirmed.
The force launched an investigation in 2015 into reports of mutilated cats in Croydon and the surrounding area.
Twenty-five post-mortem examinations were carried out but found no evidence of "human involvement".
Scotland Yard said injuries inflicted on cats were "likely to be the result of predation or scavenging by wildlife on cats killed in vehicle collisions".
Foxes are believed to be behind some of the mutilations.

logout option: disabled (Matt #2), Friday, 23 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

Cats are horrible for a ton of species that are part of ecosystems that cats don't belong in, they have no predators to keep them in check

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cat_meat

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

cats are weirdos

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 23 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

Didn’t Germans call cats “roof rabbits” when they had to eat them because of famine or war?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

good band name

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 23 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

I think "Roof Rabbits" was the nickname of the 1st United States Volunteer Cavalry that Teddy Roosevelt served in in the Spanish-American war. Or, you know, pretty sure. Like, 98%, just leaving a tiny bit of room for error.

Anyway.

On the 2016 timeline, today was the day of the Comey letter. Congrats to everyone on reaching the east coast close of business.

— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) October 23, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 23 October 2020 21:16 (five years ago)

we're still on the 2016 timeline stay woke

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

Far-right dipshit charged with shooting at police station during MN protests. Let's all pretend to be shocked.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 23 October 2020 21:39 (five years ago)

someone from Mpls I follow on Twitter posted something I am feeling very much right now: fuck you to all the "reasonable" know-it-alls on twitter who were constantly gaslighting people like me (who lives literally 6 blocks from the police station that burned) about how we were paranoid when, for instance, i would see a car with indiana plates w/four white dudes driving past curfew down my extremely quiet street after curfew at 10pm on a sunday night

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 23 October 2020 21:45 (five years ago)

roof rabbits vs. lot lizards

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 21:54 (five years ago)

If you're eating either one, times are tough.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 22:11 (five years ago)

Feeling that, ums. Although don’t forget to add some dickhead from high school who never leaves Maple Grove sharing Candace Owens videos and their opinions on Minneapolis, a place they haven’t been to without Vikings tickets.

santa clause four (suzy), Friday, 23 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

What is happening pic.twitter.com/ZUt29ObBL9

— Blake News (@blakehounshell) October 23, 2020

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 23:17 (five years ago)

welp pack it in

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 23:22 (five years ago)

Ah, found the one single-issue Hunter Biden Scandal voter.

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 23:24 (five years ago)

Biden: "I'm the cream of the crop, I rise to the top, I never eat a pig, cos a pig is a cop"

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 23:25 (five years ago)

So if they media covered the nonstory more thoroughly, he'd vote for Biden. Got it.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 23 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

The media fantasy fed to me was not the media fantasy I like, and I like fascism, tits, and spraytans

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 23 October 2020 23:31 (five years ago)

Joe Bodge and Dorene Heselton closed Roselynn Homemade Ice Cream Breakfast and Lunch in Epping, New Hampshire, on Sunday. A sign on their door now reads, "What Happened to Live Free or Die."

"I have decided, and I'll be honest with you, the sheer volume of my customers and people supporting me believe the same thing — we can either exist in fear, and hope to not die, or we can live knowing eventually we're all going to die," Bodge told NBC News on Thursday.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 23 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

and by "eventually" we mean "next month"

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

feel like they should make a US-centric remake of 28 Days Later.

within a half hour the population of the US is 500 people cos everybody refused to quarantine and got eaten by Ragers

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 23:35 (five years ago)

Would buy a ticket tbh.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

funny how when a Muslim woman shows up wearing a hijab at McDonald's, live free or die crowd gets scared enough to call 911.

Neanderthal, Friday, 23 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

https://trumpcovidplan.com/

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 23 October 2020 23:41 (five years ago)

A note of appreciation for Ned's interest in sustaining the thread with updates on the voting tallies, including special oddities like that Florida early vote vs Florida Trump vote point. Not drawing any conclusions from the data, but it's interesting in its own right, and certainly heartening that neither the pandemic nor four years of political exhaustion have suppressed the vote in general.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:07 (five years ago)

I'm interested in Ned's postings of the tallies too, it's very encouraging

Dan S, Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:11 (five years ago)

It's nice to have him around more

Bidh boladh a' mhairbh de 'n láimh fhalaimh (dowd), Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:18 (five years ago)

Thank you all. I figured now that we’re getting the numbers in it’s important to note, and yes, it is encouraging as sic notes on that level. The hope is that everyone voting pays as much attention to all their local races as well on the ballot whatever they might be — and I’m sure most are.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:25 (five years ago)

Latest number BTW is 53.4 million and there’s more to come tonight so that guess of 5 million a day, in essence, looks solid.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:26 (five years ago)

In terms of voter suppression it's of interest to note that from a macro point of view things have expanded considerably, thanks to the pandemic -- an unintended side effect, certainly. But it seems likely this bell won't be unrung -- New York, for instance, having early voting is an innovation, and I don't see any reason why they would go back from it, even if it is over a lesser period of time than states like (ironically enough) Texas, Florida or Georgia. As individual states have individual ways of doing things, though -- when to count, when to stop accepting mail ballots, etc -- that muddies waters further exacerbated by, of course, Trump and company. So where things go from here isn't by all means totally clear yet, yet at the same time the sheer amount of the early vote total, whatever it finally is, is going to be a de facto argument for accepting it, and had it not been Trump, the GOP would likely be equally on board in that they've generally been more than happy to have absentee voters in close contests before. But here we are.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

(A final thought for now -- I've seen mentions here and there about how the increasing COVID rates in most states here could mean that by the time Election Day happens things could be dicey as hell when it comes to crowds, long lines, voting held indoors, etc. This could be projection as much as anything else but I wouldn't rule it out, and again, if you have one party very clearly going the 'hey vote and get it done now, please!' route with that as a subtext -- why face a risk when you don't have to, and/or if you want to do it directly, why not do so earlier before it's a crunch? -- then that's something to bank. Again, the somewhat belated effort on Trump's part to go 'uh yeah, early voting, good idea' -- itself loaded since he's supposed to be dropping off his ballot but again, that just signals to all and sundry that's an option too, undercutting concerns about mailing it in as a result -- shows this, and my guess is he'll still screw it up somehow.)

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 00:47 (five years ago)

"the sheer amount of the early vote total, whatever it finally is, is going to be a de facto argument for accepting it"

counting on this

Dan S, Saturday, 24 October 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

yeah I voted absentee in 2018 and probably will never go to the polls on election day again

frogbs, Saturday, 24 October 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

last time I voted on election day was 2004

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 01:13 (five years ago)

I regularly voted on the day when l lived in OC — my polling place was just down from my apartment building and the waits were minimal. The only time there was a crowd and a different location was when Schwarzenegger won the recall. But ever since I moved to SF I’ve gone early and I’m fond of just going up to Civic Center to drop off my ballot. Nice walk!

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

Oregon was the first state to go to all-mail-in balloting, some time in the 1990s iirc. At first it was a bit awkward at first because it took a few election cycles for the counties to update their diverse equipment, purchased with in-person voting in mind, to systems that worked smoothly with simple to use, black-ink, fill-in the square paper ballots. No problem getting poll-workers during a pandemic when it's all geared to mail-in or drop-off and has been for a very long time.

All respect goes to former Oregon Secretary of State, Phil Keisling, who grabbed the idea, knew it was good, and pushed it through the legislature.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

New York, for instance, having early voting is an innovation, and I don't see any reason why they would go back from it, even if it is over a lesser period of time than states like (ironically enough) Texas, Florida or Georgia.

New Yorker here and, yes, I've always voted on election day until, uh, today, when I voted absentee by dropping my and my wife's ballots off at the county Board of Elections. Early voting starts tomorrow, 10/24, but felt more comfortable dropping it off today, because I think live, in-person early voting is going to be insane.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Saturday, 24 October 2020 02:38 (five years ago)

A data point (or three).

Young people are showing up like woah pic.twitter.com/FvQRN3dmjZ

— Ahmed Shihab-Eldin (@ASE) October 24, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 24 October 2020 02:56 (five years ago)

According to Pew, the 18-29 age group splits 59 Biden / 29 Trump / 12 Third Party by preference.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 03:06 (five years ago)

Without adjusting for partisanship (probably more D internals than R in here I would guess), recent congressional district polls would imply an 11 or 12 point shift toward Biden from 2016 results, i.e. that he's up by around 13 or 14 points nationally. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ https://t.co/nTe1UqjQkx

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 24, 2020

just in case the significance of this is not obvious...

generally speaking, congressional district polling is much lower quality. sample sizes are smaller, it's more likely to be commissioned by people with skin in the game so it's biased, etc. and it's extremely heterogenous so it's hard to use as input to something like the 538 model. so generally 538 et al. ignore district polling and focus on state and national polling as input.

but it has a couple of big advantages that make it, not better than national/state polling, but potentially complementary. those are: 1. there is a lot of it! there are more districts than states. and 2. very few districts get polled multiple times by different pollsters. this is a bad thing if you want to figure out how good pollsters are. but it's a good thing if you want lots and lots of completely independent measures of the "national mood". state and national polls suffer from "herding", i.e. tendency of pollsters to converge on agreeing with each other because they don't publish or fudge outlier results. herding literally cannot happen in a congressional district with only one poll.

so with that in mind, these very back of the envelope results, which come with caveats above, imply that *if* there is a polling error in the national/state polls it's in the pro-biden direction.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 24 October 2020 03:07 (five years ago)

i know people hate david sirota but

https://www.dailyposter.com/p/a-bfd-biden-finally-rejects-the-gops

At the final 2020 presidential debate, that success culminated in one of the most important moments in the entire campaign.

During a discussion about the budget, Biden brushed off his old deficit hawk buddies, outright rejected GOP talking points, and instead made the point that the federal government must spend what it takes to rescue cities and states.

“Every single state out there finds themselves in trouble — they’re gonna start laying off, whether they are red or blue, cops, firefighters, first responders, teachers, because they have to balance their budget,” Biden said. “The founders were smart. They allowed the federal government to deficit spend to compensate for the United States of America.”

Overall the debate was demoralizing and depressing, but this moment wasn’t. It was a moment that won’t get a ton of attention from a media obsessed with frivolity, but it wasn’t some small matter. It was everything. If a new administration accepts deficit concern trolling and the Beltway’s austerity frame, then it is doomed to fail. If a new administration rejects that frame, then the possibility of real change remains alive.

It is hard to overstate how big a shift this is for Biden. He was the guy who spent decades touting his work with Republicans trying to cut programs like Social Security in the name of budget austerity. Now he’s expounding on the need for countercyclical deficit spending. To use a Biden-ism, that’s a BFD.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 24 October 2020 04:25 (five years ago)

Gotchu pic.twitter.com/oyi92rJtqj

— LadyPolitik (@Ladypolitik) October 24, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 24 October 2020 05:02 (five years ago)

shout out to his family

superdeep borehole (harbl), Saturday, 24 October 2020 12:10 (five years ago)

Again, usual caveats, etc., but the Lincoln Project people put up two big billboards in Times Square not for votes (it's New York City) but to pick a fight with Ivanka and Jared. Those two dickheads took the bait and sent their lawyer to make some threats, and the Lincoln Project essentially responded by telling them to go fuck themselves in dramatic fashion:

Jared and Ivanka have always been entitled, out-of-touch bullies who have never given the slightest indication they have any regard for the American people.

We plan on showing them the same level of respect.

Our full statement: pic.twitter.com/M3K5nOE5qd

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 24, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 13:40 (five years ago)

those billboards are great

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:15 (five years ago)

huh?

Lou Dobbs is telling South Carolina residents not to vote for Lindsey Graham pic.twitter.com/vQ67BZZN6P

— Jason Campbell (@JasonSCampbell) October 23, 2020

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:15 (five years ago)

someone in the responses says it's old footage

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

It's from yesterday!

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:25 (five years ago)

There was a post I saw here or somewhere mentioning a C-Span caller who claimed he was undecided stating he was starting to lean closer to Trump *because* no one in congress or the media was pursuing the Hunter Biden story. This might be one of those same spite-your-face situations, that Dobbs is so far over the edge and he's mad that Lindsey is not following him.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:26 (five years ago)

That's pretty hardcore a week and a half out from the election....

anyway gift horse etc

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

Early voting amounts now 56 million, over 40 percent of the 2016 vote total. Texas is now over nearly 75 percent of their vote total.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

insane

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:31 (five years ago)

(If in fact 6 million turns out to be a weekday average over next week that pumps up the early vote to astonishing levels: 104 million by Election Day itself, over 2/3 of the current projected vote. Let’s see how this plays out — and what happens to that average that New York has begun voting.)

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:34 (five years ago)

Trump is voting in person early in Florida today which is strange because he has run hundreds of Facebook ads claiming he voted by mail and urging his supporters to do the same.

Many of the ads included what purported to be a picture of his signed mail-in ballot

— Judd Legum (@JuddLegum) October 24, 2020

Change Display Name: (stevie), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:40 (five years ago)

Are there pictures? Because I voted "in person" with a mail-in ballot, too. I filled it out, sealed it, went to the polling place, waited in the shorter line and dropped it in the box.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

that lou dobbs segment is wild.

lou dobbs:
"graham has betrayed president trump at almost every turn. he has betrayed the american people and his oath of office. he's done absolutely nothing to investigate #obamagate, except to tell everyone 'stay tuned', time and time again. 'stay tuned'. senator graham needs to be 'tuned out' in South Carolina"

if i were graham i'd just be like ok...you dick

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

lol I’d put money on Dobbs self-harming when Trump loses. what an absolute lunatic.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

there are the republicans who talk about #obamagate, and then there are the ones like lou dobbs who seem to actually _believe_ it. wow

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 24 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

It would be great if Dobbs could move the needle, but it would also be horrific if he could actually move the needle.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

The Dobbs Paradox

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

lol

yeah his unwavering faith in Trump really mirrors the most insane maga Facebook boomer mindset. he would totally be out on the street corner doin this shit for free. I don’t have cable but I’m guessing of all the honest-to-god True Believers, he’s gotta have the biggest reach/ audience? maybe?

(ftr as much as the Ingrahams and the Hannitys et al love the racism and tax cuts,
I do believe they acknowledge & admire the grift)

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

Hadn't thought about that as a possibility, people falling on the ir swords cos thet great trumpian reich falls. That'll be a shame won't it.
Hope its a big enough trend.

Stevolende, Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

It's good to remember that the generals who tried (and failed) to assassinate Hitler by planting a bomb under the table during a meeting were all loyal generals of the German armed forces, who had previously been quite happy to conduct a war of European conquest for the greater glory of the Reich. They simply recognized that Hitler was an incompetent imbecile who was rapidly losing the war. They were fine with winning it.

Now, about that Lincoln Project...

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:51 (five years ago)

Hahah by chance I caught an old trailer for Valkyrie last night and was thinking about that. "Yeah, you weren't all heroes all the time here..."

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:55 (five years ago)

Dobbs never met a white supremacist he wouldn't devote all his credibility to.

Change Display Name: (stevie), Saturday, 24 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

I remember his exit from CNN very well, but don't remember this (from Wikipedia): "After Dobbs left CNN in 2009, he gave an interview where he did not rule out the possibility of running for President of the United States in 2012, saying the final decision would rest with his wife."

Thank you, wife (although maybe if he'd run and embarrassed himself, that would've spared the world Trump in 2016).

clemenza, Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

It's not just that half of PA's mail ballots have been returned, its also that registered Democrats have returned them at a much higher rate than Republicans, a pattern happening across the U.S. https://t.co/dX0UoXDxen https://t.co/a998AdAwj2 pic.twitter.com/we1nhX2tbr

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

But isn't Pennsylvania planning to throw out all the problematic mail in ballots?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

Regarding Valkyrie - there's a part of the story that we may never know. We know that the blast was deflected by an extremely solid and bulky conference table.

What I want to know is: who designed that table? Who built it? Who was the decorator who decided it should be there, or the government procurement person who requisitioned it and had it placed there? Did they all get medals? If not, should they have? If they'd all somehow done their jobs a little differently - if someone had decided for a lighter, more Modernist look, maybe something Danish - the world would be different now. Such is history.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

FWIW, since I've been reading (slowly) The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich, I don't know about or haven't made it to that specific assassination plot yet, but there was definitely a collection of German generals and the like who were planning to kill Hitler I want to say well before he invaded anywhere, certainly before the shooting war. In their case I think it was largely poor timing that the plot never came to fruition - one guy was in the wrong place at the wrong time, or another was put more at ease by the same lies that placated the English, etc.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

The PA news of course essentially fits the pattern everyone's already noticed, but again, it means they're already banked, etc. It also makes the flare-up over how late to count mail-in ballots -- the GOP wanted no late arrivals to be counted -- a bit curious in that, as I think one of the Nates said (Cohn maybe rather than Silver) it's entirely possible that would have the effect of cutting off more *GOP* votes via that route, which would be an amazing twist.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

For Ned's "amazing twist" read "hilarious self-own." Democrats respond to your efforts to thwart mail votes by voting early in person, in historic numbers.

Many of the remaining mail-in absentee ballots (including olds and troops) were votes Republicans needed, and, well, if that happens, here's a hearty Nelson Muntz ha-ha for you.

Meanwhile, Philip Bump has an interesting little widget here

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/10/23/electoral-map-is-very-weird-right-now/

Similar to the RCP and 538 "make your own map" tools but with a twist. You can look at how wrong the polls need to be, and in what direction, to get different EC totals.

Lots of people are saying that 2016 won't happen again for various reasons - fewer undecideds, a greater share of locked-in votes, and improved polling methods.

Right now, per this exercise, the polls' blanket wrongness needs to be about 7 percent for Trump to win. Which is "wronger" than they were in 2016.

Even if the polls (in aggregate) are overestimating Biden by 6.5 percent, he would still win.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

Don’t make me tap the sign

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 24 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

with the # of Dems voting early i predict that we'll hear some variation on "if you look at the numbers, I actually won if you look at the votes that were cast on Election Day, which is the most important day in terms of winning the election, in fact most people think it's the most important. nobody ever heard of a President winning Election Day and not becoming president, it's just never been done before. some people are saying only the Election Day votes should be counted"

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

xpost Isn't that what Nate Silver and even that Republican pollster was getting at, in congregate? Silver saying if the polls are off, they're off on Biden, and even adjusted he's still doing well. And Luntz said that if the polls are even more wrong than 2016, he'll be out of a job.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

The PA state of play re those late votes (thread):

Looks like the Pennsylvania GOP last night asked the U.S. Supreme Court to take up the question of whether the mail ballot deadline extension ordered by the PA Supreme Court is allowed. (PA GOP says no and wants it overturned.)https://t.co/o14KDeRMbe

— Jonathan Lai 🙊 賴柏羽 (@Elaijuh) October 24, 2020

Again, though fuckery may be afoot in a final decision by the Supreme Court, it's only those later ballots affected -- and as noted, sure seems like the Democrats are aiming for and getting at running up the numbers well before that. So.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

On the LOL front, BTW, a thread (useful for the screenshots as the article is paywalled):

”I was already doing small penis humiliation with a lot of these guys, so jumping to political humiliation wasn’t that much of a stretch.” https://t.co/wSZu1bQn8y

— Scafe says wear a gd mask (@erinscafe) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

The PA GOP may be setting aside the possibility of a self-own in terms of winning Trump another term, in order to capture a longer-horizon win based on their view of past election trends continuing in the future. They may have decided this is just what is best for the PA GOP in general.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

with the # of Dems voting early i predict that we'll hear some variation on "if you look at the numbers, I actually won if you look at the votes that were cast on Election Day, which is the most important day in terms of winning the election, in fact most people think it's the most important. nobody ever heard of a President winning Election Day and not becoming president, it's just never been done before. some people are saying only the Election Day votes should be counted"

― trapped out the barndo (crüt), Saturday, October 24, 2020 1:03 PM bookmarkflaglink

he totally will say that, he did it with Andrew Gillum! it doesn't make sense and yet the GOP has lapped it up - your vote shouldn't count if it wasn't counted fast enough by the people who count votes

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

it doesn't make sense and yet the GOP has lapped it up

The propaganda value of an argument can be separated from its legal value. Mostly. Whatever the law says clearly enough will be upheld, but if a decisive majority swallows the propaganda and it becomes 'the truth' or 'common sense', then you can predict that the law is going to follow along soon afterward.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

with the # of Dems voting early i predict that we'll hear some variation on (Trump blather removed)

Those incoherent incantations are phatic affirmations of power with no semantic content. I think a landslide result in favor of Biden will take away a lot of that power. It gives everyone concerned (judges, politicians, the press) license to ignore him (or, for the first time in a while, for his followers to actually attempt to parse him) in a way they couldn't do before the results come in. Like, once you see people start referring to Biden as the President-Elect in the days after the election... that seems like it might be stronger than any institutional trickery the GOP has laid the groundwork for.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

Josh, yeah.

Sorry for long-form posting but I am soothing my anxiety rn by meditating on this:

More fun with Philip Bump's tool (ahem), I mean, looking at polling shifts.

Caveat: these are uniform shifts relative to 538 polling averages. They move everything in the same direction together, while in reality there are 50 separate entities. It's possible that Wisconsin's polling is off in a different way from Arizona's, and they're both "wrong."

That said, the threefold charge from Republicans has generally been that

1. All polls are bad (ahem), except maybe Rasmussen. Those sponsored by liberal media institutions (WaPo, ABC, etc) are especially bad.

2. They are designed to manipulate public opinion and not reflect it. Pollsters are placed on the earth to dispirit Republicans, and they deliberately juice the numbers to make them reflect liberal wet dreams.

3. Look at 2016; everybody thought Hillary was a lock; see point 1.

ANYWAY

If the current polling averages are as "off" as 2016, you get this result: Biden: 356 electoral votes. Trump: 182 electoral votes. Biden picks up 8 states

This means that polling would have to get (in the aggregate) 7 percent "worse," and all in Trump's direction, for him to win.

Polling, as an institution and profession, would presumably not recover from that, ever.

HOWEVER AND

If polling (as an institution and profession) has gotten even a little bit better - say, two percent better - and sampling and weighting and such, then Biden is north of 400 EVs.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

it'd be funny for a mediocre candidate that nobody is really fired up about to deliver a Reagan-esque beatdown

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:34 (five years ago)

For all the talk about the strength of Trump's base, I think there are an awful lot of voters who are definitely going to vote for Trump but will still be kind of relieved if he loses — and will not be energized to wage a months-long social media campaign disputing the vote. Of course, there will probably still be enough of the true believers to make it seem like there's an energized angry opposition, but it will be half of Trump voters or fewer.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

remember when the narrative in the weeks after 2016 was "wow this just proves Democrats have alienated voters with economic concerns and disappearing industries, they have to find a way to win them back". which isn't false, of course, but now the narrative = "wow a lot of idiots voted for Trump thinking he wouldn't be the person he said he was".

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

Neanderthal, yep, and would forever kill the "bUt EnThuSiasM" argument

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

It is not mutually exclusive to believe that Democrats somehow did alienate voters yet Trump is alienating everyone.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

I mean...they totally did. but the thing is, that narrative really downplayed a) the number of garbage human beings who voted for him because they wanted him to 'own libs', and b) that these people would run screaming from him in the next election cycle.

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

I agree that in the event of an unmistakable landslide, Biden will sweep into office easily. The entire strategy of hotly contesting every ballot in every close state falls apart if there are very few close states and a clear electoral college winner.

Trump's main hope is that he can hold the line in enough states with enough EC votes to allow room for doubt in two or three big-to-medium states, where he'll lay down a massive legal and propaganda barrage to keep matters up in the air until the courts can rescue him.

It's up to the voters to deliver that landslide and avoid that potential catastrophe.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

it's just like when we said the Republican Party was dead and would never recover in 2016 when Trump became the nominee and then the next 4 years happened.

really too quick to define things, we are

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

I encourage everyone to NOT stay up watching returns on Election Night. Self-care! Turn away from the Internet, catch a movie, go to bed early.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

nah, gonna take Wednesday off and stay up until dawn getting well and truly smashed.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

I mean, that could be a blast. Election Night 2016 was so fucking soul destroying that I never want to experience another one, no matter the likely outcome or result. I need my sleep.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

To each his own.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

anything will be better than 2016, when I was on a business trip in Starkville, MS, alone in a hotel room, wanting to claw my eyes out and having nobody to vent with

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

Hey, I'm not judging anyone. Do what you feel!

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

I bought a very expensive bottle of champagne and I'm either going to drink it when they call Texas for Biden or break it against the ground when they call Pennsylvania for Trump and stab myself in the heart with the jagged, fizzy shards.

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

I plan on Wednesday morning doing what I always do on Wednesday mornings -- my laundry.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:48 (five years ago)

any tips for getting out blood stains?

avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

our local art movie theater was showing Idiocracy that night for people who didn't want to subject themselves to the election results. the movie was timed so that by the time it got out, you'd know who won, most likely.

i think they felt comfortable doing it as most patrons of that place lean leftish, as do the owners, as a Hillary victory was pretty much assumed by the time they scheduled it. Many of the patrons were people who probably voted Hillary but did so while holding their nose, or just didn't want to watch the molasses-speed election results.

I keep imagining how they reacted when they left the theatre and found out what happened.

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

my laundry

^ sanity in action

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:51 (five years ago)

On Election Night 2016, my local volunteer run little theater showed "American Honey". Not sure when it started but it let out around like 7:30 PM EST.

I entered the theater from one America and exited into a different America.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

Unfortunately Idiocracy is, like, 70 minutes long. The should show it on a loop.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

Then stayed up all night freaking out and commiserating with friends and family.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:52 (five years ago)

everybody is banned from looking at that NYT live probability tracker tool thingy this year

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

My strategy for sanity. Assume Trump wins outright on Election night. 2nd most likely scenario, too close to call and Trump steals election in court. Other possibility includes Biden winning. Least likely outcome, so I’m not considering it as a real option. This way I won’t be disappointed. Always expect the worse outcome. The “rules” no longer apply.

brotherlovesdub, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:55 (five years ago)

oh hey you're back

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

might do an online movie marathon group stream

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

btw if the landslide is so big that Trump actually is losing ON election night, he will totally pivot and say "but there's lots of mail ballots out there, valid ones!"

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

i am just going to pick up my guitar and play "I Cum Blood" over and over again for 4 hours

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

My friend is placing a large bet on Trump to win as what he calls an "emotional hedge" which he claims is a thing in sports betting.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

Meantime

The president, in NC, has distracted himself from talking about how unfair the polling is and his false claim public polling is designed to talk about pretend stories of people going to the movies on election night, then something about Hillary Clinton and T-shirts.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 24, 2020

Earlier, he said pollsters are trying to "depress you" so people don't vote.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

i'm so sick of these damn pollsters trying to depress me

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:59 (five years ago)

My friend is placing a large bet on Trump to win as what he calls an "emotional hedge" which he claims is a thing in sports betting.

― thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, October 24, 2020 1:57 PM bookmarkflaglink

lol it totally is. "if I lose the bet, the best result happens and I am happy to be out the money. if I win the bet, we are truly and utterly fucked, but at least I have more money to deal with my misery".

i've done those often.

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 17:59 (five years ago)

I can only imagine how bonkers his rallies will get in the home stretch.

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

Looks like Maggie knows her present gig is about to close its doors and she isn't concerned any more about maintaining her insider access at the WH. Jeez, I'd bet that of all the people who work in close proximity to Trump about 90% of them can hardly wait to throw a shovelful of dirt on his coffin and walk away.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

Neanderthal

he will totally pivot and say "but there's lots of mail ballots out there, valid ones!"

Of course.

The other thing he will do is go immediately into lawfare in e.g., Pennsylvania, saying "wait no we need to challenge all of those because most them were cats and dead people and dead cats and dead people's cats!"

But as usual I'm with Raymond Cummings.

Results will likely be inconclusive. Go to bed early. Get someone to hide your phone, your tablet, your computer, and the TV remote.

Following minute-by-minute updates is a recipe for madness. "Well, Bob, with 2% of precincts reporting, Candidate A is up by 10 percent in rural Burpleurp County. BUT WAIT, now we're up to 5%, and Candidate B is up by three. Candidate A is going to have to do really well with the lacrosse moms in the suburbs of Derpville to gain back that ground."

"OH WAIT, this just in. Schmeck County is reporting a massive lead for Candidate B! Those voters are known to be more blurpservative, though. Perhaps the backgammon dads and the hazelnut farmers in the surrounding townships will narrow the gap. Susan, back to you."

No. Never again will I watch that shit. I'll mix myself a large melatonin and bourbon, and be blissfully asleep by 9:15.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

(nice display name, YMP)

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

Back and forth, back and forth:

New: The Texas Supreme Court has temporarily reinstated Gov. Abbott's ban on multiple drop sites for mail-in ballots, pending full review of an appeals court ruling that would allow counties to set up these sites — response briefs due Monday pic.twitter.com/dL2e1CmK9Y

— Zoe Tillman (@ZoeTillman) October 24, 2020

(This is all a little unusual simply because Texas numbers are as noted massive already. Arguably they're trying to stem a tide but is that even feasible at this point?)

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

Yeah, I can't put myself through what I put myself through four years ago. Almost done constructing the Farraday cage around our apartment and I've been working out my jaw so I'm ready to chew through the cable line when the time comes.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

The Texas GOP is fighting desperately to retain control of the Texas House... it's a redistricting year, and if the Dems can flip 9 TX House seats the GOP won't be able to gerrymander the shit out of the state. Which would cost them about half a dozen seats in the US House.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

anything will be better than 2016, when I was on a business trip in Starkville, MS, alone in a hotel room, wanting to claw my eyes out and having nobody to vent with


oof reading this just gives me anxiety & nausea. lived there for 2 semesters in the 90s and don’t imagine it’s improved much.

Long Live Dave’s Dark Horse tho

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:34 (five years ago)

Governor Abbott would probably prefer a Democratic President, since he can noisily rail against the intrusive feds again (just watch him refuse any federal COVID aid if it comes from Biden or Democratic legislation). His favorite target during the Trump years has been Austin, and punching down at them isn't nearly as effective as punching up at Biden will be.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

I plan on Wednesday morning doing what I always do on Wednesday mornings -- my laundry.

I have a doctor's appointment at 8:30 the morning of November 4. TBD whether I'll be pestering him for a powerful opioid prescription or not.

(Got my flu shot today, for those of you who find human health as interesting as cats.)

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:36 (five years ago)

It's important to protect your cats against delayed feeding resulting from human influenza.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

I took both Tuesday and Wednesday off. That Day After in 2016 was the one of the worst days I ever had at where I work, a regional business newspaper.

This year, I'll be voting in person since Election Day is also my birthday. I'm calculating that I've got three such days in my lifetime: the first time I voted in 1992, next month, and my 75th birthday in 2048. I guess 2076 could also be on the table, but a 103-year-old man probably shouldn't be voting for next week's breakfast menu, much less the next president.

I plan to spend the evening drinking a bottle of Four Roses while pacing in front of the television all night, pointing dramatically at the numbers and scaring the children.

pplains, Saturday, 24 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

I’m refusing all meetings on Tuesday in pathetic protest my company’s refusal to make it a holiday

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

Governor Abbott would probably prefer a Democratic President, since he can noisily rail against the intrusive feds again

Remember Jade Helm?

Good times, good times.

fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

Governor Abbott Mitch McConnell would probably prefer a Democratic President, since he can noisily rail against the intrusive feds again

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:35 (five years ago)

I ain't foolin' either. McConnell, Cornyn, and the other GOP solons probably want a breather as much as the rest of us. Now they can pivot back to deficit hawk mode.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

McConnell looks like he might be dead by the end of the year tbh so I imagine he’s particularly keen to get things over with.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:38 (five years ago)

I’m refusing all meetings on Tuesday in pathetic protest my company’s refusal to make it a holiday


I’m just lucky I didn’t get signed up to be on shift in the situation room this time around. Of course my wife is taking the week off and our daughter’s entire school system is out of session (good for them)

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:38 (five years ago)

Local field organizers for the Biden campaign in Miami Springs get surprise visit from @BarackObama. pic.twitter.com/IQWGdqFKc7

— Bianca Padró Ocasio (@BiancaJoanie) October 24, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:38 (five years ago)

Say what you will about the guy, but just his silhouette walking down the street in shirtsleeves seemed downright iconic.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

Anyway, how many back and forths has that been in Texas? Abbott reduced the number of boxes, then a court overturned, then another court reversed the reversal and he reduced the numbers again, then a court overturned *that* and let the boxes come back, and now it's reversed *again*? I'm confused where we stand there.

After the 2016 election there was such a pall everywhere I went, but 4 years of Trump plus Covid has cast a perma-pall on everything. The biggest bummer is that if he loses this time we can't have a party. America needs a break.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

I'm sure you're all just dying to read another one of these:

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/24/more-enthusiastic-than-2016-voters-standing-by-donald-trump

pomenitul, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

thanks I hate it

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:14 (five years ago)

Texas is very restrictive on who can vote absentee, the one box/county move was more for show than anything - you have to be 65+ or out of the area for the entirety of early voting and Election Day, the signature match on registration vs ballot is supposed to be pretty hardcore.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

I can well believe that, among the voters who thought Trump was a great nominee in 2016, he has delivered them to a fever pitch of incitement excitement.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

if you vote with an erection the vote still only counts once, maybe zero if the pages are stuck together

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

They might feel a sudden need to "tuck in their shirts," ifyoukniwwhatimean

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:22 (five years ago)

Just cast my early vote in the outskirts of Philadelphia County, PA. It was...kind of jarring.

If you have option of *early voting*, do it!! If my experience was at all representative, Nov 3rd may be insane.

Short 🧵 1/5

— Alex Imas (@alexoimas) October 24, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:34 (five years ago)

Just a reminder to report any poll interference to 866-OUR-VOTE. 866ourvote.com

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

Sorry, LIES. 866ourvote.org

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

I'm just gonna call 976-EVIL.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

I attended my first Cubanas Con Biden roadside rally -- in the heart of my deep red part of unincorporated Miami-Dade County. I actually agreed to wear the Baby Trump costume (fresh out of the box) for about twenty minutes. At first the size of the Trump rally on the other side of the park dispirited me; then on our side more and people arrived with flags and signs. I counted 110 people, everyone socially distanced with plenty of space and masked (at the Trump event it looked like more than half the crowd said fuck off to the masks). We got "Commuistas!" yelled at us by the usual stereotypes: every MAGA-ite must own or lease the biggest truck he can find. But the number of honks, thumbs-ups, whoops -- encouraging.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

Yeah there were more trucker rallies for Trump around Philly today

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:46 (five years ago)

Even if the polls (in aggregate) are overestimating Biden by 6.5 percent, he would still win.

― fretless porpentine (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, October 24, 2020 12:22 PM (four hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

YMP, I'm playing with the Wash Post widget and I'm getting:

1. Uniform error for Trump of 5.5% = 279 Biden; 259 Trump.
2. Uniform error for Trump of 6% = 259 Biden; 279 Trump.

PA's 20 ev is the difference between the two. Regardless, the larger point is encouraging.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

PBKR, sorry, either I read it wrong or the model is updating.

Either way,

every MAGA-ite must own or lease the biggest truck he can find

Not making compensation joke here because that would be sizeist.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

Definitely could be updating. As per the article, the trend in the swing states has been slight move for Trump (.25%).

And I will absolutely be watching on election night - I have no willpower and want to see Trump lose too badly to miss it if it happens.

I have champagne if he loses and whiskey if he doesn't.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

I have some follow-up questions. https://t.co/XhZoY03hIp pic.twitter.com/GlzfJgZ3bb

— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

Party unity!

Trump privately told donors it would be ‘very tough’ for GOP to hold Senate, saying: ‘I don't want to help some of them’ https://t.co/3aR8MAZx6D

— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

you're welcome to actively hurt them as well

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

This guy would literally throw ever person in the world out of the lifeboat if he had to, up to and including helping Barron, Ivanka, Melania, etc. into iron vests for good measure.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

i'm watching Univision and just saw a Latin-themed Donald Trump ad, where they had him dancing in sync to the syncopated beat while they sang "Vote for Trump" in Spanish.

that was the whole ad.

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

You didn't cite the best part!

The president — in a sentiment not shared by many of his party’s top officials and strategists — said he instead thinks the Republicans “are going to take back the House.”

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

i wonder which ones he doesn't want to help, and why -- Susan Collins and Corey Gardner come to mind, but there are probably others.

빨간 럼 ఎరుపు రమ్ רום אדום (Eisbaer 👼), Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

lol....how much you wanna lay on that Prez

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

"There are a couple senators I can’t really get involved in. I just can’t do it. You lose your soul if you do."

lol at his concern for his soul

scampo-phenique (WmC), Saturday, 24 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

Ned I read that tweet and immediately thought - I'm ready for the road.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0FWHavH6IQw

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 24 October 2020 21:02 (five years ago)

Maybe Trump really is in on the Dobbs Plan: threatening Graham that he will lose Trumper support if Graham doesn't agree to launch a laptopgate investigation, and then pivoting back to embracing Graham if he does launch an investigation?

Amusingly insane, if so.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 24 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/oct/24/johnson-will-wait-for-us-election-result-before-no-deal-brexit-decision

Change Display Name: (stevie), Saturday, 24 October 2020 21:53 (five years ago)

Let the populist dominos fall

Change Display Name: (stevie), Saturday, 24 October 2020 21:54 (five years ago)

lolol at Boris genuinely thinking he led get good and special treatment from a second-term emboldened Trump

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Saturday, 24 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

Meantime, focused on the issues that matter.

"Big Tech. Section 230, right?" - @realDonaldTrump to a silent crowd in Ohio.

— Max Steele (@maxasteele) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 24 October 2020 23:04 (five years ago)

he says a lot of stuff lately and I don't know what it means

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 24 October 2020 23:22 (five years ago)

And i say ACK

Neanderthal, Saturday, 24 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

Getting odd out there:

At some point we'll have to ask for an all-mail ballot state like Colorado, when are Republicans going to vote? Sure, there are some vote centers for in-person early voting, but they're not going to handle a hundred thousand Republicans on Election Day pic.twitter.com/JzykXUd7Fs

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 25, 2020



In past elections, at this time in Colorado, registered Republicans would be leading returned ballots, and I'd be cautioning how Democrats will make up ground the last weekend, esp. as young voters surge with same-day registration at vote centers. I still expect that youth surge

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 01:05 (five years ago)

Also this is getting amusing:

The Lincoln Project’s legal response to the frivolous threat of a lawsuit from Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump’s lawyer.

This will not be the last they hear from us. pic.twitter.com/GNnFsnsCer

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 24, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 01:13 (five years ago)

let_them_fight.gif

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Sunday, 25 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

As cringe as watching the Masters of the Universe movie

Neanderthal, Sunday, 25 October 2020 01:22 (five years ago)

there's definitely a "Stalin's soldiers getting closer to Berlin" feel to these Lincoln Project activities. let history be our guide!

빨간 럼 ఎరుపు రమ్ רום אדום (Eisbaer 👼), Sunday, 25 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Colorado NPAs are doing even worse than the GOP, are they waiting till the last minute to "decide?"

nickn, Sunday, 25 October 2020 01:36 (five years ago)

*Another* COVID outbreak in VP Pence's staff. Good thing their boss is on the task force!

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Sunday, 25 October 2020 02:50 (five years ago)

Ok credit where due that letter is fucking hliarious

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 25 October 2020 03:06 (five years ago)

(xpost) Including his chief of staff.

clemenza, Sunday, 25 October 2020 03:14 (five years ago)

this is getting amusing:

Any lawyer would be tickled pink to be paid to write a letter like that, knowing that, not only can they let out all the stops, but they are earning billable hours while making utter fools of another high-powered law firm.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 25 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

many xps:
As an aside on yesterday's wind turbine discussion, painting one blade black reduces bird fatalities by 70%. Rappelling 40-50 m down existing turbine blades with some paint will be a new career option for thrill seekers.

Sanpaku, Sunday, 25 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

"a guy named trump"

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Sunday, 25 October 2020 04:36 (five years ago)

5 pence aides have coronavirus, including his chief of staff.

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 25 October 2020 04:59 (five years ago)

seems important, but he's going ahead with his campaign events tomorrow. he is the head of the covid-19 task force, after all

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 25 October 2020 05:00 (five years ago)

i feel like i have time traveled back to the dark ages and the warlord keeps telling me let the leeches suck my pupils or the sun god won't come back

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 25 October 2020 05:01 (five years ago)

In America, dark ages time travel to you!

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Sunday, 25 October 2020 11:44 (five years ago)

"The Trump/Pence Promise: We bring the plague to YOU!"

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 12:52 (five years ago)

Question for all you stat/poll/politics nerds: how/why is it that we have all these polls, with all these results, and yet the campaigns always have their fabled "internal" polls with their own secret numbers that they hold close to their vests? How would a campaign poll differently, and why would it get them significantly different numbers than all of the public polls? For example, I've seen people suggest that Biden should make another appearance or two in Texas, because the numbers there look more promising than they should, and then I've seen people countering with the notion that maybe the Biden's campaign's own polling makes it seem more of a longshot (which I swear to god autocorrect tried to change to "longshoremen"). Why would the campaign's polling come to a decisively different conclusion?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:01 (five years ago)

Baseball teams always say the same thing, that they have their "own metrics" that are much better than what the analysts put out there. Which is supposedly true, and corroborated by one of the posters on ILB who knows someone who works for one of the teams. I wonder about politics, though. If you were this genius pollster, couldn't you make more money--maybe even a lot more--working for one of the networks? With baseball, the money would be working anonymously for one of the teams.

clemenza, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:32 (five years ago)

It happened: Hays Co., TX just became the first county in America - to my knowledge - to surpass its total 2016 turnout.

Four years ago, it cast 72,164 total votes. With more than a week left, 73,277 people there have already early voted.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 25, 2020



Separately per the Colorado question, so this makes much more sense:

Hi @NateSilver538. Colorado Secretary of State here. We have in-person early voting and Election Day in-person voting. In fact, we have over 340 voting centers across the state!

— Jena Griswold (@JenaGriswold) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:36 (five years ago)

(xpost) I'm guessing you saw that poll today (Dallas Morning News) that has Biden up by 3 in Texas?

clemenza, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:44 (five years ago)

Yeah. I just don't get why there can be all these polls from professional sources that say one thing, but not only may the internal campaign polls says something else, the campaigns give them more weight than all the other polls. PA is another one. The Biden campaign sent out a surrogate a week or so ago to say that things were much closer than people were saying. Now, it's possible that's just sort of psyops, to get people to vote. But if they *do* have significantly different numbers, how did they get there, and why are they different from what others see? Do their polls take into account data not publicly available?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

Hays County is outside Austin, right? Been a really fast growing region for a while now.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

Early vote count now 58.6 million. Plus:

Texas is just shy of 80% of their total 2016 turnout. If the past is a guide, there will be a minor update later today that pushes them over

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 13:58 (five years ago)

PA is another one. The Biden campaign sent out a surrogate a week or so ago to say that things were much closer than people were saying.

I'd say that's just them making sure complacency doesn't set in. I don't know if I've seen a Pennsylvania poll in months that doesn't have Biden up by 6-9/

clemenza, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:06 (five years ago)

Agreed. And yet, why are those public numbers trusted/trustworthy, but not Texas (which shows Biden has at least a shot)?

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

We might see an election in which pollsters understate the extent of Biden's possible victory, as most pundits did in 2012.

For example:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OZWvByn8HaU

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:14 (five years ago)

FWIW, this is Biden internal polling from 9 days ago (from a "grassroots strategy summit" with Jen O'Malley Dillon):

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EkjVYdEX0AEOMjf?format=jpg&name=large

jaymc, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:21 (five years ago)

CNN has a thing up this morning comparing it to 1980, where it was close through October, then it wasn't, at all

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_polling_for_United_States_presidential_elections#1980_United_States_presidential_election

Lots of differences, obviously--I imagine polling was less reliable--but it was like, fairly or not, voters said "Enough" right at the last minute. (Plus "There you go again" making Reagan less scary.)

clemenza, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:26 (five years ago)

I'm getting emails from Dem groups citing the Trafalgar poll article on The Hill

I get trying to GOTV but I don't get purposefully giving credence to a Republican polling firm and suggesting that Biden's chances are actually bad is a good way to do it.

Neanderthal, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

All my emails from national democratic campaign groups have been nothing but shrill panic-stricken ALL CAPS freakouts for at least a week now

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

Expecting one where someone films themselves jumping bout a window

Neanderthal, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

It must be effective to some extent, but I really don't get the point of formulating emails to look like obnoxious unwanted spam. I suppose if the thought is that it doesn't cost a lot to do, if anything, might as well spam it up and pick off any low hanging fruit rather than waste any time and money formulating something more specific or subtle.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:43 (five years ago)

maybe it works on older generations who routinely engage in apoplectic behavior online (I know we're used to this from MAGA types but I see old Biden supporters doing this too), but otoh I also see the same tactic targeted at younger voters ("we are CRYING right now...")

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

Remember in 2012 "Ham" Rove and co. were predicting all sorts of things even up on election night trying to keep the narrative going they were going to win and win big.

There is definitely some big delusions with some Trump supporters on their chances like there was with Clinton in the last election. Around here especially at work, I don't talk politics for jack, but you don't have to ask for an opinion from some of these people and plenty of Trumpkins are in denial of circumstances.

I don't see how anyone could win re-election after pretty much constantly flipping the bird to half the country for four years on anything and everything. GOP money cult and that core of crazy that has been media indoctrinated for three decades will ride or die with whatever lunatic is piloting the ship. Sad truth is I really don't think Trump would be losing all other idiocy included if the pandemic had not happened. They would have been able to ride the riots to victory.

I'm sure even if Biden wins the story will be all these people dying off because of this "red wave" of infections happening now will be pinned on him the same damn way the smoking crater of an economy that Obama received was his fault in 2008. And the money cult only has to find 15-20 of the voting electorate to go along with their harebrained BS to re-take power.

earlnash, Sunday, 25 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

Remember in 2012 "Ham" Rove and co. were predicting all sorts of things even up on election night trying to keep the narrative going they were going to win and win big.

lol I rescreened Karl on FOX the other day

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

Such leadership

Mark Meadows on CNN: “We are not going to get control of the pandemic.”

Says we will instead try to get therapeutics and vaccines rather than trying to control the spread.

— Toluse Olorunnipa (@ToluseO) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

What in the

The Trump administration offered Santa Claus performers a deal: promote a Covid-19 vaccine, and they'd get early access to it. The plan has been called off. https://t.co/Cg7XRbUsZu

— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:08 (five years ago)

I'm sure even if Biden wins the story will be all these people dying off because of this "red wave" of infections happening now will be pinned on him the same damn way the smoking crater of an economy that Obama received was his fault in 2008.

Honestly this is the best-case scenario, because then people on the right would take virus seriously. I'm more concerned that here in the red states a Biden win — and the let's-hope-more-coherent federal focus on COVID that would accompany it — will just harden people's resistance to any and all public health mandates.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

Like, people will be burning their "Biden face diapers" in the streets, that kind of thing.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

I don't see the red states/people being curtailed/corralled at all, not even a little bit. Certainly there will be no enforceable mask mandate, because how in the world would a Biden administration enforce it? In some ways that's a relief, since progress toward a vaccine will be made no matter who is governing, but Biden will (most likely) get the actual win without while avoiding, say, sending troops into the streets to make people mask-up. Now, getting people to *take* the vaccine, that's another matter, but all the schools have to do is mandate them to get the ball rolling there.

Btw, speaking of Santa, the coup de grace is Trump losing and then being responsible for taking Thanksgiving, Christmas and New Year's Eve down with him due to his incompetence.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

I have been waiting for some of militia nuts to basically go create some violence to try to bring back the "riots". If those clowns that were planning what they did would have instead done some type of actions to try to raise up racial animus and succeeded in getting the riots going now like they were this summer, I think Trump/GOPs 'us or them' would have been more effective. Luckily as in the 90s, these guys are a bunch of damn idiots.

Fox News makes more money when the Democrats are in power and those camo LARPers getting further into legit politics is probably the next step.

https://www.npr.org/2020/10/22/926279072/militia-leader-known-as-the-bundy-ranch-sniper-seeks-a-new-title-senator

earlnash, Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

. Erwin said on the call: “Since you would be doing Santa a serious favor, Santa would definitely reciprocate.”

Mr. Caputo said: “I’m in, Santa, if you’re in.”

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

So if he loses, what's Trump going to do for the last few weeks of his term? He could (and will) surely do more rallies, or foment racial conflict, or basically just ... keep it up, but he would be doing so with not only no gain or benefit, but the sword of Damocles that is imminent investigation/prosecution hanging over his head. He can't even resign and have Pence pardon him (per some creative conspiracies), because you can't be pardoned for something you haven't been convicted of yet.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:35 (five years ago)

So if he loses, what's Trump going to do for the last few weeks of his term? He could (and will) surely do more rallies, or foment racial conflict, or basically just ... keep it up, but he would be doing so with not only no gain or benefit, but the sword of Damocles that is imminent investigation/prosecution hanging over his head. He can't even resign and have Pence pardon him (per some creative conspiracies), because you can't be pardoned for something you haven't been convicted of yet.

Part of me thinks he's just going to disappear, that the country will be effectively without a president from November until January (and he might not even show up for Biden's inauguration). Another part thinks he'll go on a looting-and-burning spree out of a combination of greed and spite. Sell off every national park to energy companies, fire everyone who pissed him off and shut down their agencies, etc., etc. It's really hard to say, because he's clearly insane. I guess we have to pray for the right combination of laziness and depression, rather than nihilism and rage.

but also fuck you (unperson), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

do you guys follow The Frankenstein Project? it's a group of doctors who produce videos making fun of the monster they created

— blaaaaaaaaaines (@blainecapatch) October 16, 2020

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

I'd put big money on him not going to a Biden inauguration. Live tweeting a bunch of seditious bullshit during the inaugural speech.

scampo-phenique (WmC), Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

I totally see him skipping the inauguration, and in fact possibly hosting his own alternative in protest. I think there is probably still time to book Three Doors Down again.

If he has nothing to gain and has already lost, then his underlings and supporters in government, from the Senate down, really have nothing to fear, and if he went full burn it down nihilist they might intervene. Of course, there is the question of *how* they respond to his bullying when he *is* out of office. Will they still fear his wrath and bend to his will as an ex president? It's not like they have anything else to offer.

Josh in Chicago, Sunday, 25 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

Internal polls are useful for campaigns because they’re more likely to be district level, which gives you more useful information for campaigning. But yeah there’s some “not invented here” syndrome in the way campaigns ignore high quality external polling.

Internal polls aren’t untrustworthy per se. They’re not even necessarily biased. The problem is that *the ones we find out about* are biased, because campaigns have an incentive to leak particular results. External pollsters release every poll they do.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

Which in part has been Harry Enten's point -- the GOP is barely leaking anything, and what they are leaking isn't much good for them to start with.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

3DD, the “Beach Boys”, Kid Rock


I expect a fair amount of people including some newly minted congress folk (Marjorie Taylor Greene, etc) to be all STILL MUH PRESBNIDENT

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

Regardless if he wins or loses I expect him to immediately start campaigning for 2024. He doesn't want the job but he's got to keep the grift going to pay his lawyers and stave off debt repayment.

Fetchboy, Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

honestly can’t blame him. that’s a ton of $$$ to leave on the table

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

Hays County is outside Austin, right?

Yep, it's got Wimberley, Dripping Springs, Buda, and Kyle. As Austin housing has become rapidly unaffordable, development in these exurbs to the southwest of Austin has ramped up. In 2016 Hayes County went for Trump by less than 1%... it was basically 50/50. The population has doubled since then, and the new residents are mostly Austin commuters... my bet is that in 2020 they go for Biden by about 15 points.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:56 (five years ago)

🚨October 24/Texas Counties breakdown🚨

Harris County-

As of yesterday, a total of 1,063,627 have voted with 6 days of Early Voting left.

In 2016, a total of 1,313,000 people voted in the entire General Election.

Currently at 81% of it's 2016 total.

— ET Breaking News (@breaking_et) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

"We're rounding the turn," the president says in New Hampshire of a virus that has caused an outbreak in the vice president's office.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

I'd put big money on him not going to a Biden inauguration. Live tweeting a bunch of seditious bullshit during the inaugural speech.


Can’t possibly envision Trump showing up for it tbh. Seriously, dude showing up for a ceremony where he cedes power to the guy who beat him? In an election he’ll have called rigged for months beforehand? He’ll be having a rally somewhere.

circa1916, Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

I think he will attend, he’ll sit politely and watch, and that will be the day he finally becomes president, a few minutes before he isn’t

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

I'm not sure anyone can predict the actual impact of a loss on Trump's psyche. This is a guy who has avoided accountability and responsibility for everything his entire life. He has powerful psychic systems of denial and deflection in place, such that it's a possible an incontestable loss will either not register at all or will completely fry the system. Anything from retaliatory nuclear strikes on Manhattan and San Francisco to zombie-like paralysis seems equally likely.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

It'd be funny if Biden said Trump wasn't allowed to come

Neanderthal, Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

ET Breaking News suggesting 1.7 million is the increase in Texas voters compared to 2016 as the minimum required for Biden to win here.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

Are we on track for that?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

The thing is, it's really hard to project increased total turnout based on increased early votes, because you don't how many of the early votes are just displaced Election Day voters. It seems likely we're going to see sizable increases in total turnout, but we won't know until Election Day.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

Ah, he's talking about a 1.7m increase in *Harris County* voters for Biden to win Texas... that makes more sense.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

Tho I suppose it would be possible to track how many of the people who have voted so far didn't vote at all in 2016. Not sure if anyone's doing that.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

Well, for Harris County it looks like 1.7 million is possible, with tipsy's caveat that we don't know how much of this early voting is people who would normally vote on Election Day going early to avoid COVID exposure. But Harris is currently at just over a million early votes, with six polling days left. The non-Saturday average is around 70k/day (and in the coming midweek they're doing extended polling hours, Thursday is 24 hours at some locations). So figure early voting hits about 1.4 million. That means you only need 300k votes on Election Day to hit that 1.7 million in Harris County. Very, very possible. And if Election Day turnout is normal, 2 milion is in the realm of possibility.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

Oh yes: Election Day total for Harris County in 2016 was ~350k, in 2018 it was ~450k.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

Trump winning Texas is still a longshot though. Like I really do not believe it will happen. But these numbers mean a bloodbath for Texas Republicans in state races (which includes judges in Texas) and that will in fact benefit the entire country.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:49 (five years ago)

Sorry, Biden winning Texas I meant obviously.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 25 October 2020 17:50 (five years ago)

Trump email tally: 37 since Friday.

but also fuck you (unperson), Sunday, 25 October 2020 18:34 (five years ago)

Looks like they're going all in on top of Biden's visit this week

Here we to...@KamalaHarris to TEXAS on Friday, per a Dem briefed

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

I guess they have to be somewhere when they're not in Pennsylvania where they should be.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Sunday, 25 October 2020 18:38 (five years ago)

if she goes to RGV or el paso you'll know they're serious and they think they can win. if she's in the dallas suburbs then they're doing it for the national coverage and donations.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 25 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

God this better not backfire

frogbs, Sunday, 25 October 2020 19:12 (five years ago)

We recently learned a tragically sad story of a veteran in the Rochester region.

When he stopped receiving increased unemployment assistance, he couldn't pay his mortgage and heartbreakingly committed suicide.

I just demanded we pass suicide prevention acts. pic.twitter.com/hD8LbEI96A

— Chuck Schumer (@SenSchumer) October 24, 2020

Last line actually caught me by surprise.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 25 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

fucking hell

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 25 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

if she goes to RGV or el paso you'll know they're serious and they think they can win. if she's in the dallas suburbs then they're doing it for the national coverage and donations.

Perhaps a sign?

FLASH: The Biden campaign is canceling TV ad schedules that had been booked in TEXAS (10/27-11/3 flight)

They are still staying up in El Paso and San Antonio markets

— Medium Buying (@MediumBuying) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

Holy fuck if that Schumer tweet ain’t the Democrats in a nutshell

frogbs, Sunday, 25 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

that schumer statement is unreal

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Sunday, 25 October 2020 20:01 (five years ago)

like for real on the level of "let them eat cake"

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Sunday, 25 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

RE: Texas, is are they simply focusing the rest of their efforts on the areas with lowest turn out so far?

Darin, Sunday, 25 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

that schumer statement is unreal

a much longer video clip of Schumer is attached which puts the tweet into its proper context, but it is bizarre that whoever wrote the tweet (a staff member?) juxtaposes those sentences as the essence of what Schumer was saying. It comes across as grotesque, but it's not an accurate reflection of his much wordier statement or the context in which it was read.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Sunday, 25 October 2020 20:21 (five years ago)

The tweet is a powerful encouragement to never listen to Schumer speaking at all, but especially in the attached video.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Sunday, 25 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

RE: Texas, is are they simply focusing the rest of their efforts on the areas with lowest turn out so far?

― Darin, Sunday, October 25, 2020 4:13 PM (thirty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

if they do then that's how you know they're serious.

alternatively: if you see obama in texas at the end of the week then it's happening.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 25 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

Small note that early vote now 59 million and more results will come in later in the day. I'll be interested in the initial total reported Monday morning with any overnight totals, allowing for the fact that there's less reporting on weekends. If it's 61 million that makes it 5 million over the weekend, which was my initial guess. If it's at/closer to 62 million, then the Friday pace continues and we'll see what goes next.

That said I half wonder if we might not see a little slowing if only because turnout has been so big already among energized voters; if it maintains or even increases, that will be striking -- then again, a lot of voters are still working through all the other races, local and statewide, regardless of their feelings on the presidency. Also, numbers will shift a bit after Friday since Texas's through-the-roof early vote wraps up on that day as noted earlier in the thread, though other voting options will increase elsewhere -- local example: up to now San Francisco has only had the Civic Center spot for ballot dropoff but that'll expand next weekend to a number of polling locations throughout the city.

And speaking of SF, my ballot dropoff yesterday was fully confirmed and accepted via the tracking site so that's a good feeling for sure.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

Bold strategy Cotton, etc.

As we depart Maine for Washington, this was placed on every seat in the Air Force One press cabin pic.twitter.com/j8vkeiprP1

— Jonathan Lemire (@JonLemire) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 21:36 (five years ago)

up to now San Francisco has only had the Civic Center spot for ballot dropoff

INDEPENDENTILXFACTCHECKER.org determines this claim by Ned Raggett FALSE.

Bill Graham was one of FOUR early ballot dropoff locations in San Francisco, which also included Linda Brooks-Burton Library, the Chase Center, as well as the Excelsior Library.

source: https://caearlyvoting.sos.ca.gov/

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Sunday, 25 October 2020 21:37 (five years ago)

Is it true NY has no way to confirm your ballot has been received?

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Sunday, 25 October 2020 21:39 (five years ago)

xpost Amazing!

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

More on Texas ponderings:

expect Kamala in the big Tex metros on what is the last day of early vote. Harris Co to keep polls open *all night* thurs, not closing till 7PM fri.

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 25, 2020

A test of Biden‘s confidence/how haunted they are by 2016:

if the early vote does not pick up this week in the Rio Grande Valley, do they send Biden down on the final weekend to appeal to fellow Catholics?

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 25 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

More black voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia (201,889) than voted in total in the 2016 presidential election (193,993). There are still 9 days of voting remaining.

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) October 25, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Sunday, 25 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

Welp. https://t.co/nXOH1SNdLP pic.twitter.com/GKVAzZUWlG

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 25, 2020

Still giving Biden “only” 38% due to restrictive voting laws but still, wow

If Trump only wins TX by a point or two he’s pretty much screwed right?

frogbs, Sunday, 25 October 2020 23:03 (five years ago)

I heard that Kamala Harris is so popular in Texas that they are renaming the county that includes Houston in her honor.

Henceforth it will be known as Harris County.

She's THAT influential, y'all.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Sunday, 25 October 2020 23:27 (five years ago)

If Trump only wins TX by a point or two he’s pretty much screwed right?


it’s certainly not a good sign for him, but Texas isn’t very similar to the other swing states so it doesn’t necessarily imply that trump has lost the Midwest (or Florida) any for example.

I’d prefer a tiny loss in North Carolina over a tiny loss in florida if I were biden (and didn’t care about the senate or state elections) because if North Carolina is close that’s good news for the Midwest.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 25 October 2020 23:49 (five years ago)

This is a delicious read, BTW.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/25/business/media/hunter-biden-wall-street-journal-trump.html

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 00:03 (five years ago)

This episode of 60 Minutes is hilarious — because Trump wet himself and sloshed out of the interview, and Pence had absolutely nothing to say beyond canned lines he might as well have been reading off cards from his pocket, the Biden-Harris ticket is getting 3/4 of the hour.

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 26 October 2020 00:27 (five years ago)

Hilarious article, highly recommended xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 00:48 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/qT1KAUI.jpg

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

Where was all this serious gatekeeping when the NYT was slobbering over every latest Trump/Russia nugget?

DJI, Monday, 26 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

jfc

This was Trump's epic meltdown on 60 Minutes and it was even worse than reported. Trump literally ran away because he didn't like the questions. pic.twitter.com/48Xu2TiI1o

— Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) October 26, 2020

Darin, Monday, 26 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

Note how he didn't deny saying that about why he says fake news

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Monday, 26 October 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

The permanent dumb rich kid sneer on his face makes my fists itchy

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

Trump's like when you were a kid, and your friends couldn't hang out, so you play basketball by yourself, and you start narrating.

"Neanderthal has the ball, he passes to...Neanderthal on the wing. Neanderthal dribbles left, then passes to Neanderthal who cuts through the lane. 10 seconds on the clock, and Neanderthal pump fakes, then kicks it out to Neanderthal behind the 3 point line. He shoots....and"...

...and then of course the ball soars over the hoop because you're fuckin terrible at basketball. so you uhhh....

"Neanderthal was FOULED! that is three free throws coming now, to possibly tie the game".

that's how Trump lives his Presidency, and to him, to question how well he is doing, is like in the scenario above, if you started hearing voices that said

"Bullshit, Neanderthal. You weren't fouled. in fact, the referees are conferring about it right now. in fact, you may even have traveled. you changed pivot feet before you passed".

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 01:49 (five years ago)

This is a delicious read, BTW.

The tastiest bit: "Mr. Trump then did more or less the same thing as Mr. Reynolds, posting a video of his side of the interview to his own blog, Facebook."

Linked at the bottom is another even funnier blow from Benny, with this lede:

Did you catch Steve Harvey’s “Funderdome” on ABC? How about “The World’s Best” on CBS, “The Contender” on Epix, or “World’s Toughest Race: Eco-Challenge” on Amazon Prime? Or the Christian-themed dramas “A.D. The Bible Continues” on NBC and “Messiah” on Netflix?

No? Well, you’re hardly alone. And the man behind the string of flops is Mark Burnett, the legendary TV producer who shaped Donald Trump’s image from “The Apprentice” through his 2017 inauguration. Like his greatest creation, Mr. Trump — who sought and then lost an idiotic television ratings war on Thursday night with Joe Biden — Mr. Burnett seems to be struggling to keep his grip on the cultural moment.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Monday, 26 October 2020 02:27 (five years ago)

Wasserman is reaching his limit.

A few days out, the picture of this race is pretty clear:

1) Biden's lead (52%-43%) larger & more stable than Clinton's in '16
2) Far fewer undecided/third party voters than '16
3) District-level polls (which showed big problems for Clinton in '16) back up national/state polls

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 26, 2020

If you're looking for a horse race narrative right now, you're not going to find it here. There was a time when it was easy to imagine this race going much differently. Eight days out, it's much, much harder. I've seen...almost enough.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 26, 2020

And good ol' Nate S too.

I've said this before, but while it's certainly possible that Trump could win, most theories of why he can win rely on dubious evidence and don't hold up well to scrutiny. 1/2

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 02:38 (five years ago)

It's better to think of it this way: there are several theories for why Trump could win that very probably aren't true. But if you add up a lot of longshot possibilities, it's not that hard to get to a 10-15% chance, which is something worth taking seriously. 2/2

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 02:39 (five years ago)

yeah but his emails

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 02:43 (five years ago)

Well you know.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 02:45 (five years ago)

no i don't know because the LAMESTREAM MEDIA WON'T TELL ME

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

keep in mind one of those possibilities is a dramatic shift in the final week and I just cannot imagine what that would be

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

Let us fervently hope all this Biden-positive news boosts down ticket races and decisively erases the Republican Senate majority. They certainly deserve it.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 02:48 (five years ago)

Friday someone's going to mail a syringe to Fox News in an envelope that says "BIDEN'S BUTT SHOT"

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 02:50 (five years ago)

NYT: Times Square Billboards With Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner Stir Skirmish, just for this quote from a NY state Trump campaign official:

Mr. Borelli said he has no insight into “polite society” but noted that Ms. Trump and Mr. Kushner “are always welcome on Staten Island.”.

Sanpaku, Monday, 26 October 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

How about a compromise and after the election they are just put on "an island."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 03:21 (five years ago)

Permanent exile to Jersey

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

Permanent exile to Jersey Nebraska.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

Permanent exile to Jersey Nebraska.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 03:46 (five years ago)

fresh fish sold here today

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 03:50 (five years ago)

My favorite thing in that Lesley Stahl clip is right at the beginning when he starts in about spying on his campaign and she just shakes her head and says "No," kind of softly but full of disappointment.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Monday, 26 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

just like a movie theater owner that insists it's butter he's putting on the popcorn

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 04:03 (five years ago)

Please somebody do a version where he’s saying “It’s butter, Lesley.”

“No.”

“It’s real butter, you can ask anyone on staff, they churn it themselves.”

“No.”

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Monday, 26 October 2020 04:10 (five years ago)

WHY COULDN'T 'JOURNALISTS' HAVE BEEN ASKING HIM TOUGH (and these questions aren't even that fucken tough, just too tough for President Pussy) QUESTIONS FOR THE PAST FOUR YEARS

Frankly, I'm happy to lump the bulk of the media in with the Lincoln Project yutzes at this point. Thank you for whatever little you're doing to help get us across the finish line at this particular time but once we're there I'm not gonna forget who you are or what you've done to enable this walking nightmare in the first place.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 04:13 (five years ago)

Six years ago, Angus King was calling press conferences to frame his caucusing with Dems as a way to have bipartisanship in Maine.

Now he’s signaling he may back expanding Court as a response to Barrett rush (vs Garland blockade).

The past 5 years summed up in one senator. pic.twitter.com/lrlP7abqBR

— Taniel (@Taniel) October 26, 2020

starting to think court packing is more likely than not

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 04:16 (five years ago)

In the "even Fox News" category, this is a cogent take: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-hits-whatever-in-his-long-covid-retreat

Imagine talking to a Trump campaign official back in the spring when things seemed to be at their darkest on the pandemic front. What would he or she have told you if you described the condition of the economy and the spread of the coronavirus in mid-October?

What if you added in that the White House had seen a major infection outbreak after ignoring its own protocols? What if you said that Trump had been infected himself but still pooh-poohed mask wearing? What if you said he was holding rallies in swing states even as cases surged? What if you said Trump trashed his own public health team, with particular venom for Fauci? What if you said there had been no additional stimulus or bailouts?

Back then, they would have told you that Trump’s goose would be cooked if things were that bad and the candidate’s message was so undisciplined. But that, they would say, would never, ever happen because they are taking this all very seriously – vigilantly, even.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Monday, 26 October 2020 04:57 (five years ago)

Elections Project breaks down the previous week

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/Early_Vote_Analysis_10_25.html

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 05:34 (five years ago)

Is this the new tone I’ve been hearing about

The Fake News Media is riding COVID, COVID, COVID, all the way to the Election. Losers!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 26, 2020

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:09 (five years ago)

Get those doggies goin'

pplains, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:14 (five years ago)

Marcia, Marcia, Marcia

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 26 October 2020 13:15 (five years ago)

I've never seen a presidential candidate in a hole dig straight down with such enthusiasm, maybe he'll hit some magma and burn the fuck up already.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 13:16 (five years ago)

Losers!

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Monday, 26 October 2020 13:17 (five years ago)

Assuming their new true SC believer is installed but does not throw a wrench in the election works - which *would* be tantamount to a coup, with no exaggeration - I think expanding the court or some other radical recalibration, is necessary. The past four years have seen so much bending/breaking/ignoring the rules/laws/ethics, from flouting subpoenas to not confirming cabinet members on down/up, that the entire system of government needs to be shored up so that this can't happen again (Laura Ingraham otm?). Mitch boasting that he expects all these laws and shit to be reversed but that the SC will take years to correct is just one of many final straws. We've got too many asterisks in the books.

Question: if more justices are appointed, will that spark a ... legal challenge? And if so, can the current 9 member Supreme Court find the addition of more justices unconstitutional?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:18 (five years ago)

Get those doggies goin'

lol

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:19 (five years ago)

Genius at work

Asked for update on Trump’s prospects in race, @jaredkushner on Fox: “I speak to all my state directors...”

He said “polling with phones“ now “an obsolete method, especially in the era of cancel culture.” Some pollsters “in the business for a long time” are “snake oil salesmen.” pic.twitter.com/TJhnUtG7HQ

— Jennifer Jacobs (@JenniferJJacobs) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:24 (five years ago)

The court has been several different sizes. Nine justices dates from the Judiciary Act of 1869. But there's no reason why a congressional act can't change the number. If a democratic congress writes a clean bill, and it passes, that could become the new number.

Any ability for the court to rule on its own composition would have to come up through lower courts, and the grounds for such a case would have to be constitutional grounds - not just "we don't like that law."

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 26 October 2020 13:34 (five years ago)

saw this in a tweet earlier

Republicans have confirmed 15 of the last 19 SC justices. They've also won the popular vote once in the last 7 elections

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:36 (five years ago)

Early vote now almost 60.1 million — less than I was guessing but in line per Election Project with no mail on Sunday and less activity in general. Still on track for big numbers for this week.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:50 (five years ago)

And if so, can the current 9 member Supreme Court find the addition of more justices unconstitutional?

When FDR said he was going to add more justices in the 30s, it failed because it was unpopular, not unconstitutional. The US has increased (and lowered!) the number of SC justices before, and they can do it again. As simple as Congress passing a law and the President signing it. The only real thing preventing it from happening in the modern era is a shared recognition between the parties that messing with the Supreme Court like that would destroy its legitimacy and make the country unstable. Well, the Republicans decided they DGAF about that, so now (as usual) the Democrats have to A. fix it and B. get shit on for trying to fix it.

I would find it hilarious if a Dem Senate in 2021 decreased the number of justices to seven and removed Kavanaugh and Barrett, then in 2022 raised it back to nine again and appointed two new liberal justices. It would wipe the smile off McConnell's face.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 13:51 (five years ago)

holy shit

Jared Kushner on Fox News about the black community:

"President Trump's policies are the policies that can help people break out of the problems that they're complaining about, but he can't want them to be successful more than they want to be successful."

— Misyrlena Egkolfopoulou (@misyrlena) October 26, 2020

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

Jesus

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 26 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

xpost I'm not sure anyone can simultaneously hold that position that the SC needs to be recalibrated because of years of unfairness and dubious shenanigans and cheating and that it *can* be recalibrated because that right is in the constitution and there's precedent for the number of justices being changed. One of the reasons this needs to be addressed is that tradition, precedent etc. have been eroded down to nubs. The SC itself gets to ultimately decide what is or is not constitutional, and they do so for bullshit reasons or based on blurry/inconsistent compromise all the time. There are lots of "popular" things that hang in the balance because the SC is currently full of shit and would/will shape the constitution to suit their desired outcome.

That said, I *love* the idea of Kav and Barrett getting kicked off, and then the court reconstituted with new liberal justices.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 14:03 (five years ago)

The SC itself gets to ultimately decide what is or is not constitutional,

Heh, and not even this point is constitutional. John Marshall in essence decreed it so in Marbury.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:06 (five years ago)

So after she gets confirmed today, realistically how quickly can they ram through something with ramifications for the election already in progress?

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

I would find it hilarious if a Dem Senate in 2021 decreased the number of justices to seven and removed Kavanaugh and Barrett

thomas and barrett plz

trapped out the barndo (crüt), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

Thomas is 72 and will retire before too long, Kav is young so he needs to go now before he has a chance to do a keg stand on the next 30 years of jurisprudence.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

The Keg Stand of Jurisprudence = Kav's memoir title.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

Are U. of Wisconsin/YouGov reputable snake oil salesman?

Wisconsin -- Biden +9
Michigan -- Biden +10
Pennsylvania -- Biden +8

That would be the election right there.

clemenza, Monday, 26 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

removing existing judges WOULD hit a constitutional speed bump. article iii specifies that the justices "shall hold their offices during good behavior," which has long been interpreted as "for life."

changing THAT really would open up a checks-and-balances question - if the congress can just kick out justices it doesn't like by mere legislation (rather than the more onerous impeachment process) then the judiciary is nakedly a committee serving at the pleasure of the legislature and judicial review is replaced by judicial rubber-stamp with constant threat of removal. we could say that's not THAT far from where Mitch has put us but i think in terms of public opinion it'd be a MUCH harder uphill battle than just adding more justices.

Doctor Casino, Monday, 26 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

xpost to clemenza -- yep, I'm playing with the map and basically not seeing any way for Biden to lose if he takes those 3.

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Monday, 26 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

every state should get a justice on the Supreme Court

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:46 (five years ago)

also each territory, and each international ally

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

also, everyone in India

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

I want over a billion people on the Supreme Court

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

He said “polling with phones“ now “an obsolete method, especially in the era of cancel culture.”

what the fuck does "cancel culture" have to do with phone polling?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

America: Over one billion justices served

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

xpost People canceling their landlines?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

100% has "cancel culture" mixed up with "wirecutting," lol

Doctor Casino, Monday, 26 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

oh okay, that makes sense. what a dumbass.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

It has more to do with the vacant look in Kushner's eyes than it does to any real world phenomenon afaict.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

rasmussen says trump is winning O NO!

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

at some point in the past four years Republican talking heads just started doing talking points Mad Libs

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

You gotta listen to Corey Lewandowski on this:
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/521646-state-of-the-race-cancel-culture-and-polling-dont-mix

If I ever got a call from a pollster (which I haven’t), I’d have no fear of answering honestly about which candidate earned my vote.

But not everyone is comfortable sharing what the left and their friends in the media and big institutions have deemed to be an invalid opinion. It can, and does, get you fired. Answering a pollster who called your phone, and knew your name, creates a record of your choice for president. There’s real risk in saying the name “Donald Trump” — someday, it could be used against you.

jaymc, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

lol of course it would be an even stupider reason than i was imagining

Doctor Casino, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

There’s real risk in saying the name “Donald Trump” — someday, it could be used against you.

to be honest, if i find out someone voted for donald trump, i do think they're a fucking idiot

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:05 (five years ago)

so best not to mention that during a job interview i guess, because holy shit, it would be hard to avoid pulling out an airhorn and blasting it

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:06 (five years ago)

Uh.

Rep. Denver Riggleman (R) on MTP re: Qanon : ‘these are people who think Lord of the Rings is a documentary’

— amy walter (@amyewalter) October 25, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

I want over a billion people on the Supreme Court

― shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, October 26, 2020 10:47 AM bookmarkflaglink

"goddammit, another 500,000,001 - 499,999,999 decision"

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:16 (five years ago)

https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/513K0iwRuKL.jpg

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:21 (five years ago)

dammit Justice Ken Bone screwed us again

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:21 (five years ago)

Billions and billions of Stare Decisis

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:22 (five years ago)

if only 1 out of every million supreme court justices are on the toilet during the zoom call, there are a 1000 SC justices on the toilet during the zoom call. and it only takes 1 person to accidentally unmute to cause mayhem.

that's the main reason the idea isn't feasible, sorry djp

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

This is the main reason why the idea must be implemented post haste, IMO

every week, someone pulls a Toobin

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

^and now the threat of COVID-19 makes more sense due to that analogy

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

xpost.

xpost?

ex - post.

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

Imagine the betting markets!

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

By the time each vote was decided we'd all be dead.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:29 (five years ago)

Judge Donnie Yen has threatened the Republican bloc

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

This is the main reason why the idea must be implemented post haste

as an originalist and constitutional scholar, i remember the Section that says if it's your idea to add a billion SC justices to the court, you have to run the zoom call every week

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

https://image.tmdb.org/t/p/w780/nc09or0CIHATMyGFs8aPqNEPJvX.jpg

" 500,000,001 - 499,999,999 decision AGAIN!?!"

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

Bolo has been warned about being a provocateur, begin impeachment

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

Makes sense to name every US citizen a Supreme Court justice. That way, we just vote on these cases as they come up. I know there would not be enough in the federal budget for robes-for-all, but I'm sure there's enough for everybody to at least get a commemorative coffee mug.

henry s, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

We can all work from home, who needs robes?

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 15:46 (five years ago)

I'm wearing a robe right now already!

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

The "massive early voting numbers have no discernible meaning" takes are starting to grate a bit.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Monday, 26 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

We're all totally neurotic from 2016... my WAG-not-prediction is that Election Day turnout is also massively higher than 2016 and (as in the past) this bodes well for Democrats.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

yeah I'm also sick of hearing about how Trump enthusiasm is higher than Biden...I think anti-Trump enthusiasm beats them both, you cannot overstate how much 55% of this country wants him to go away forever

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

New: Denton and Williamson counties in TX just became the second and third in the nation after Hays (to my knowledge) to surpass their *total* 2016 votes cast. And there's still a week of voting left.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

"I shall have my vengeance against Pennsylvania" is a brilliant closing message for a Presidential campaign. https://t.co/lvoXaZvO1H

— Max Kennerly (@MaxKennerly) October 26, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

his closing message for the country is that you're a loser if you care about covid-19

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

COVID-20 is the newer hipper disease

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

Denton was +8 for Cruz over Beto in 2018, but Williamson (just north of Austin) was +2 for Beto... like the aforementioned Hayes county, Williamson used to be very Republican but has been progressively blued by Austin commuters. Williamson is still notorious among Austinites for having a predatory police force, you do not go north of Wells Branch Parkway if you're riding dirty.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

yeah man, not just Covid 20 but I thought we would be on a totally new pandemic by now, get with the programme viruses.

WAs thinking there might be something else hatching out of the various current environmental situations.
Hasdn't been has there, I mean if Covid is stealing all the oxygen nothing is being ignored is it?

various pathogens thawing out of the ice as ice cover tahts thousands of years old appearing or anything?

Stevolende, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

I think I'm finally in a place where I'm willing to accept that Trump will almost certainly lose, and probably lose badly. But I still think there's going to be awfulness up to and including SC-related fuckery such that even a clear + decisive win for Biden on election night won't do what it's supposed to do to my serotonin levels.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

THis was in the Guardian weekend a couple of days ago, not sure if it appeared here
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/24/more-enthusiastic-than-2016-voters-standing-by-donald-trump

Stevolende, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

xpost Texas early voting: Just for comparison's sake, in 2018 Harris County (Austin) was +50 for Beto

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

I'm with you OL. until the electors vote I'm probably still going to be on edge.

and even after he wins...it's not like 2020 in a non-pandemic society, where I can go about my daily life unencumbered worrying about Trump in 2021. yay, my mind gets to return to COVID-19, and what kind of trolling Trump will do to make that even worse in his last two months on the job.

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

half-expecting him to declare "National COVID-19 Day" where he just asks everybody to make out with infected people

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

"Nice trucks. You think I could hop into one of them and drive it away? I'd love to do it. Just drive the hell out of here. Just get the hell out of this. I had such a good life." -- Trump pic.twitter.com/0sZC13WH9O

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 26, 2020


He's like the classic SNL Nixon sketch performed as dinner theatre for a live audience of rubes, goobers and racist fucking shitheads who all deserve to die of Covid

Change Display Name: (stevie), Monday, 26 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

Yes, they may be grifters looking for mudslinging clients in 2024, but this is a terrific ad:

In 8 days, we’ll make sure this story has a happy ending. pic.twitter.com/XAA3sLzqbo

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) October 26, 2020

Sanpaku, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

i hate it but it's not for me

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

that ad will do great with the 10 and under voting bloc

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

half-expecting him to declare "National COVID-19 Day" where he just asks everybody to make out with infected people


"A 24-hour lifting of restrictions on gatherings and celebrations, a break in the war on Covid, just like the pause in the First World War on the Western Front in 1914."https://t.co/57MiYsCji9

— The Scotsman (@TheScotsman) October 25, 2020

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

my stance on the lincoln project however is that you do not, under any circumstances, gotta hand it to them xxp

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

i can't believe these words came out of jared kushner's mouth, wow!!

The backlash was swift against Jared Kushner Monday shortly after he suggested on that Black people must “want to be successful” so that his father-in-law’s policies can help them.

After telling “Fox and Friends” that he had an “in-depth and respectful policy discussion” with rapper Ice Cube — who told the network the day before that he had spoken with Trump administration officials recently to collaborate on its Platinum Plan that aims to invest $500 million into Black communities — Kushner launched into a tone-deaf lecture.

“Again, one thing that we have seen in a lot of the Black community, which is mostly Democrat, is that President Trump’s policies are the policies that can help people break out of the problems that they’re complaining about,” Kushner said. “But he can’t want them to be successful more than that they want to be successful.”

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

Are U. of Wisconsin/YouGov reputable snake oil salesman?

Wisconsin -- Biden +9
Michigan -- Biden +10
Pennsylvania -- Biden +8

That would be the election right there.

― clemenza, Monday, October 26, 2020 10:29 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

yougov is not snake oil, but they're a British pollster and they don't have a great record in the US.

xpost to clemenza -- yep, I'm playing with the map and basically not seeing any way for Biden to lose if he takes those 3.

― Lavator Shemmelpennick, Monday, October 26, 2020 10:45 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

here's one: everything goes like it did in 2016, except those states, which take weeks to call their results, during which time the courts intervene.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

i can believe it. he was the one who thought it might be politically advantageous to let the virus run rampant in the "blue states."

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

xp

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

i realized this is fucked up but sometimes i'm kind of grateful these people are so terrible at what they do bcz it makes me feel less terrible at what i do in comparison

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

he screwed up blending his foundation again in that trucks clip

superdeep borehole (harbl), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

this is what i'm talking about when i say you'll know they're serious about texas if they send the candidates or surrogates to el paso and the RGV

Donald Trump still leads in Texas, according to the final Times/Siena poll of the state, as strength among nonwhite voters does just enough to overcome all out rebellion in the suburbs
Trump 47, Biden 43https://t.co/LP92cGZCgK

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 26, 2020


In the survey, white college grads in these competitive districts have swung (per their own self-report) from Trump+24 in '16 to Trump+2.
But nonwhite voters statewide have swung toward Trump, modestly but significantly given they represent nearly half of voters

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 26, 2020

it's probably going to be impossible to campaign in el paso before the election though because https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/10/26/el-paso-texas-curfew-installed-covid-19-patients-flood-hospitals/6040309002/.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

Wasserman's add-on to that:

The story in TX is pretty consistent: Trump has plummeted since '16 in white-collar suburbs, w/ potentially catastrophic implications for GOP control of congressional seats & the state house.

But Trump's modest gains w/ low-income Hispanics (RGV, etc.) may save him statewide. https://t.co/fBg9Y5FzPv

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

That truck thing is up there with the funniest things he has ever said.

nashwan, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

he should just drive a truck up to his rallies and ask people to throw in their wallets and jewelry

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

"I should probably just take off, right? Take Air Force One to another country. Anybody know which of those we don't have an extradition treaty with? Like one of the non-shithole ones? Asking for a friend."

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

lol at the real clear politics guy going in

Oh what the hell, I'm not done. What hardcore NeverTrumpers will have to come to grips with after Trump probably loses is that there is no hunger for their brand of politics. 5/

— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) October 26, 2020


The "'be the world's policeman'/cut social security/worst-of-all-possible-worlds-by-being socially-conservative-but-not-really-meaning it" coalition just isn't there. As I've said before, it gets the votes of three guys in think tank cubicles, two of whom voted for Johnson. 6/

— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) October 26, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

if you want a dose of optimism about texas then check this out. NYT/sienna is the best of the bunch, but it seems like they have a systematic problem in texas.

Every final NYT/Siena 2018 poll for Texas, compared to results

Senate: R+8 / R+2
TX-07: R+3 / D+5
TX-23: R+8 / R+0
TX-31: R+15 / R+3
TX-32: D+4 / D+7

And universally they were finding Democrats doing weak with Hispanic voters https://t.co/iLwr49A4Vs

— Opinion Haver (@AsInMarx) October 26, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

has anyone done an in-depth look into why biden is doing poorly among hispanics?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:33 (five years ago)

i think the evidence for the premise (never mind understanding of the cause) is mixed, and i doubt we'll have much clarity until we have the exit polls.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

I don't know exactly what they're doing, but it's not a good sign that I always know what a Trafalgar Group poll is going to say without having to open the link.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 25, 2020

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

the whole thread is a good takedown

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:37 (five years ago)

Maybe when Trump said Mexico would build is wall, he meant Mexicans in Texas.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

An American Mexican in Texas

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

i have always taken the (extremely uninformed) presumption that the conservative leaning of 1st/2nd gen texan mexican-american voters is proof of the universal ethos of "fuck you i got mine" and would love to be disabused of that notion by someone from that community.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

I'm really fascinated by people of Mexican and Central American ancestry voting for conservatives. I've always thought it had something to do with religiosity?

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:53 (five years ago)

i have always taken the (extremely uninformed) presumption that the conservative leaning of 1st/2nd gen texan mexican-american voters is proof of the universal ethos of "fuck you i got mine" and would love to be disabused of that notion by someone from that community.

― Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, October 26, 2020 1:46 PM

and many Cubans.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:54 (five years ago)

I remember in 2008 in CA, there were definitely Mexican families in my neighborhood who had Yes on 8 signs (aka they were against gay marriage) and Obama signs up in their windows, but of course, yard signs are a shit measure, duh

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

presumed religion-motivated voting is the argument for sending catholic biden (not harris or obama or whatever) to texas this week.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

Yeah, I was thinking as much.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:57 (five years ago)

I asked my wife (who is Mexican) about this the other day and she says that Trump's tough guy persona plays pretty well among young Hispanic men

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

seems like he just really likes pennsylvania though

.@mikememoli crunched the numbers on Biden’s campaign travels since the convention pic.twitter.com/Lv5EFX7I8m

— MSNBC Live with Hallie Jackson (@HallieOnMSNBC) October 26, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

"fuck you i got mine"

This right here explains pretty much everything about the conservatives in my family.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

Getting votes in western PA is very important to winning PA tbh. He's got Philly on lock, but everything around Pgh to the state border is fair game.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:01 (five years ago)

so best not to mention that during a job interview i guess, because holy shit, it would be hard to avoid pulling out an airhorn and blasting it


https://apps.apple.com/us/app/ham-horn/id662321161

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

PA is also like 20 minutes away from his basement him so the opportunity cost of sitting on an airplane for eight hours is lower than texas. that map makes sense to me. xp

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

and many Cubans.

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, October 26, 2020 1:54 PM bookmarkflaglink

otm. one of our old family friends is Cuban and voting for Trump.

she also wouldn't let her children be friends/date Puerto Ricans growing up

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

Also if they were conservative in Mexico before emigrating, they're not going to magically vote Democratic when they get here. A lot of Mexican-Americans come from Guanajuato which is a majority-PAN state; that party maps onto the Republican party in terms of beliefs.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

i think this is a bigger gender gap than among white voters

sorry--wrong hispanic race variable there, but still similar
70-24 among women; 43-44 among men

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 26, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

Fuck you got mine doesn’t explain relative strength in the RGV, which is... not rich.

Latinx voters are younger and poorer than average IIRC. Dem centrism doesn’t exactly make people of that profile swoon.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

I haven’t spent much time in western PA but the little I did reminded me a hell of a lot of West Virginia

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:21 (five years ago)

First PA poll to have Trump in the lead since May, and it's not Trafalgar or Rasmussen, in case you've been counting unhatched chickens or just need something to worry about: https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/PA-POll-Oct-25th-.pdf

Dan I., Monday, 26 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

I asked my wife (who is Mexican) about this the other day and she says that Trump's tough guy persona plays pretty well among young Hispanic men

― frogbs, Monday, October 26, 2020 5:58 PM (twenty-two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

i'm not hispanic and have no special insight but the machismo / misogyny angle always seemed like the most plausible reason to me

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

xpost Well, I mean, West Virginia is right there! Even a state like Illinois, reliably blue, almost definitively Midwestern, me personally I'm just a four and a half hour drive from Kentucky - the distance from Philly to Pittsburgh - and I'm all the way up north. Missouri is another one that's sort of half Midwestern, half southern. Or Ohio.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

Trump's *tough guy persona* plays pretty well among young Hispanic men

i like to think i can set aside personal biases enough to comprehend opinions that fall pretty far outside of my own worldview, even some i might find personally abhorrent. but Trump being a "tough guy" simply is not one of them.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

xxxp that poll is from the Center for American Greatness, the leading voice of the next generation of American Conservatism.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

Yeah I was about to say, automatic roffle at the source.

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

i have always taken the (extremely uninformed) presumption that the conservative leaning of 1st/2nd gen texan mexican-american voters is proof of the universal ethos of "fuck you i got mine" and would love to be disabused of that notion by someone from that community.

― Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, October 26, 2020 1:46 PM (thirty-five minutes ago)

in my experience growing up in SoCal a lot of these 2nd generation mexican-americans look down on new immigrants and treat them like shit so Trump is right up their ally in that regard.

(•̪●) (carne asada), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

Oct. 26: Election day is in 8 days. Here's how polls looked on this day in...

1980: Dem margin +0 (actual = -10)
1984: D -19 (-18)
1988: D -10 (-8)
1992: D +8 (+6)
1996: D +14 (+8)
2000: D -3 (+0)
2004: D -1 (-2)
2008: D +7 (+7)
2012: D +0 (+4)
2016: D +5 (+2)

— On this day in the polls... 🤖 (@todayinpolls) October 26, 2020

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

The machismo appeal argument seems like lazy stereotyping to me.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

Pennsyltucky

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:33 (five years ago)

I mean we’ve covered this before, there is no such thing as “the latinx vote” or “the hispanic vote”

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:34 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qB_I1YBAozE

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

Pennsyltucky

It's been said before, but pretty much an hour or two outside most major cities will get you to Redneckistan.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

lol American Greatness. they're a favorite source of RealClearPolitics, and their articles are dripping with "WELL ASKHULLY, LIBERALS, U R DED"

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

Stepping back to the NYT Texas poll and getting earlier results wrong, Cohn has thoughts, starting here and looking at other states:

Well, we certainly did underestimate Hispanic turnout/vote in '18. And it's possible we'll do so again. Hispanic voters are challenging everywhere, but this is a state where there's no real record of competitive races, no party registration, etc https://t.co/i3hwt8JKS4

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:43 (five years ago)

The machismo appeal argument seems like lazy stereotyping to me.

We are talking about Biden's "weakness" in a group of voters he's winning almost 2/3 of! I think the lazy stereotyping is the idea that Latino voters "should" be Democrats.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

I think I already posted this when it was published a couple of weeks ago, but here is an article about Trump's tough-guy appeal among young Hispanic men: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/14/us/politics/trump-macho-appeal.html

jaymc, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

https://www.phoenixnewtimes.com/news/az-patriots-leader-jennifer-harrison-charged-with-identity-theft-11504481

"In a swift turn of fate last year, Jennifer Harrison went from chanting "Respect our laws!" at a Tucson City Council meeting to being arrested on suspicion of breaking the law against identity theft. Now, the founder of AZ Patriots has been charged in connection with that arrest."

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

"Enablement: The tortured self-justification of one very powerful Trump-loathing anonymous Republican."

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/10/anonymous-republican-donald-trump.html

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

Meanwhile, I give to you a motley crew

A bunch of major QAnon people are suing YouTube to get their accounts back, an effort that seems likely to fail. From their press release: pic.twitter.com/53eMEUXYkP

— Will Sommer (@willsommer) October 26, 2020

Ned Raggett, Monday, 26 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

I think 'I like Trump because he's real tuff and I'm real tuff, also, grrr' is a sentiment shared by Trumpists regardless of race or nation of origin. And I think it's fair to paint all of those idiots with the same stereotypical brush.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

i like to think i can set aside personal biases enough to comprehend opinions that fall pretty far outside of my own worldview, even some i might find personally abhorrent. but Trump being a "tough guy" simply is not one of them.

I'm honestly surprised to hear you say this -- Trump does not come off as a tough guy to me, but just being in the world I feel like I've encountered many, many people who deploy the kind of "toughness" Trump has to offer, and seen that plenty of people indeed see someone yelling a lot and not listening and self-aggrandizing as being tough. If being a loud whiny asshole didn't work, there wouldn't be so many loud whiny assholes!

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

he's a whiney spoiled new york asshole

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

entitled

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

the idea that he is a tough guy is insane. i guess he is unusually indifferent to social norms? but he likely only is that way because he is insulated by money.

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

local Bay Area news interviewed a nonwhite trump supporter at one of those truck things and he basically said “i don’t trust career politicians, I’m a business owner like trump, I don’t care about his personality, I just don’t want to pay more taxes”

brimstead, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

I think 'I like Trump because he's real tuff and I'm real tuff, also, grrr' is a sentiment shared by Trumpists regardless of race or nation of origin. And I think it's fair to paint all of those idiots with the same stereotypical brush.

― OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, October 26, 2020 6:54 PM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

it's not that he's a tough guy, it's that he has such open contempt for women. misogyny is a huge deal in every culture everywhere.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

plenty of racist right wing hispanics; my entire paternal side of the family is like that.

akm, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

xpost! Exactly, contempt.

He's not a Sam Elliott/Steve McQueen tough guy. He's a shit-talker. It's not so much toughness by any physical or emotional standard as the willingness to be contemptuous, to say terrible things to and about people. And since there are way more dudes like that than there are dudes like Sam Elliott, it has some political potency.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

We are talking about Biden's "weakness" in a group of voters he's winning almost 2/3 of! I think the lazy stereotyping is the idea that Latino voters "should" be Democrats.

Yes, that’s part of what I mean. Throwing out after the fact cultural stereotypes is less useful than looking at why young, non-college educated men of every ethnicity are less Democratic than the larger group and how you might be able to change that.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

FTR, I'm not personally saying he's tough. Heavens no. Like every blustery bully, he's really just a quivering little pissbaby underneath the loud-mouthed blather. But some people progress all the way through their lives without being able to see the charade for what it is and somehow see that pose as 'tuff'. They aren't super-bright, these people.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:10 (five years ago)

I don't know anyone with skin like that who couldn't be described as "tough"

shout-out to his family (DJP), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:13 (five years ago)

he's quite fey and he wears as much make-up as Liberace so I guess the tough guy thing is just because he's big and says mean things about women

here comes the hotstamper (jim in vancouver), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

he's always seemed ridiculously pompous and fragile and whiny, and I'm taking from way back. but tbf i've never seen a single minute of the Apprentice and certainly wasn't keeping up w the NYC real estate tabloid game in the 80s-90s.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

tortured self-justification of one very powerful Trump-loathing anonymous Republican

It is amazing how often these highly-placed Republicans call Trump "an idiot" or "a moron" and yet they do exactly what he wants them to do, so by extension they are even worse idiots than Trump. They all seem to believe they can claim "I have zero respect for Trump" and still maintain their self-respect while cravenly doing his bidding.

All these anonymous little backstabs they administer to Trump are their futile efforts at self-absolution, but it is really self-condemnation.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

fwiw one of the reasons the lincoln project does nothing for me (beyond the obvious fact that they're republicans) is that one of the core motivations is like, unmasking the false daddy so the true daddy can be installed. not the kind of politics that inspires me tbh.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

he also regularly insults anyone he doesn't like. I think a lot of perception of toughness is the fact that his message has no hope in it whatsoever, he's not like Obama or even Romney where he can articulate some sort of "together we can realize the dream of America", literally all he has is "everybody else was a total disaster, but not me, I am very smart"

frogbs, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

And he hasn't carried anything heavier than a five iron in forty years.

Andy the Grasshopper, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

the five iron is his penis

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

The dark underside of presumed toughness is that no one who cares about his opinion wants to be on the tough guy's shitlist. These are folks who are most comfortable when they're cowering before their drunken father.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

trump's schtick has always been wrestling heel, full stop.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

Trump loves taco bowls.

Biden has never (to the best of my knowledge) been photographed with a taco bowl.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

Newsflash: lots of dummies conflate verbal abuse and assholishness with "toughness". Not sure why this is so hard to grasp.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:35 (five years ago)

Exhibit A: just about every Executive or Sales individual at my company I've ever met

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

these folk , like Trump, also wilt when you hit them back

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

Xp Coffee is for closers

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

I treat an Executive like 7-Up, I never have, never will

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

Newsflash: lots of dummies conflate verbal abuse and assholishness with "toughness". Not sure why this is so hard to grasp.

ding ding, finally someone hits it.

Saw this A TON working on construction projects. A project manager or superintendent would come in to meetings and verbally abuse everyone for an hour, without offering a single suggestion or solution and storm off. The owner and client would gush for weeks about how "tough" he is and can GET THINGS DONE. Even though it was his minions, who sat silent throughout the tirade, that came up with the actual solutions and pushed the project forward.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

fair re abusive assholes. but there's Alec Baldwin's character in Glengarry Glen Ross (lol xposts),,, and then there's a guy like Trump.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:43 (five years ago)

yeah when I got in "truly dngaf mode" at my job in 2017 when I was being abused as were other employees I just got mouthy and these folks just have no gameplan for that because they're not used to people saying "no" or giving them sass back. everybody just assumes you kneel before Zod.

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:44 (five years ago)

FiveThirtyEight has a new feature where you can test out various electoral college scenarios by shifting one or more battleground states into Biden's or Trump's win column. I simply picked Biden to definitely win in AZ and made no other changes to 538's current win probabilities elsewhere and *bingo*, Trump's odds of winning the electoral college instantly dropped to 3 out of every 100 simulations.

That was fun!

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:45 (five years ago)

real life Al Swearengens vs wheezing manbaby, etc

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

yeah it's a cool feature, but definitely dont' try the opposite, like flipping FL to Trump

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

somehow i ended up in the 3 out of 100 simulation last time tho...

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

Regarding Texas Latinos, this article was a p decent read:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/dont-call-texas-latino-voters-sleeping-giant/

Darin, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:51 (five years ago)

I was curious, so I drove by my local polling place today. When I dropped off my ballot a week ago there was a huge line, hundreds of people long, for in-person voting (and even a small one for me). That was right after the polls first opened on the first day, around 10am or so. It was around 2:30 when I just swung by now, and while the line isn't nearly as long, there is still a line out the door and down to the street, which is pretty impressive. That's after a full week of available early in-person voting.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 26 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

Re some comments above about why non-college educated young men don't go Democrat by a large margin.... it's the usual answer, but I don't think it would be wrong to cite the absolute decimation of unions and union jobs in the United States. Of course unions aren't wholly Dem or leftist orgs, that's obvious, but it has something to do with it, I think.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

I wonder if there are some people who just like voting for whoever is currently in charge without thinking about it too much

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:09 (five years ago)

I think the lazy stereotyping is the idea that Latino voters "should" be Democrats.

I can go on and on about this.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

Growing up as a Cuban in this town -- always a liberal in a conservative milieu -- I don't understand the assumption that Latino men must be liberal when up-from-the-bootstraps still exerts such a powerful hold on the ambitions of these men.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:13 (five years ago)

this article really delves into why people don't always vote, thought it was interesting: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/non-voters-poll-2020-election/

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:16 (five years ago)

Perhaps because I didn't experience a large Latino presence in my surroundings until I was 22 or so, I made what I would say is a safe assumption that Latinos wouldn't support obvious racist assholes who want to kill them, but obviously I was wrong.

Not trying to be snarky, just explaining, btw.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:24 (five years ago)

I obviously understand what you're saying, Alfred. I just don't really 'get it,' iykwim. Why would people vote for someone who actively hates them?

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

when up-from-the-bootstraps still exerts such a powerful hold on the ambitions of these men.

It's been a very long time since I last noted here that originally "pulling oneself up by the bootstraps" was coined as a comically ridiculous idea because it described a physical impossibility. It still does, but somehow for millions of conservatives it has become the perfect description of achieving success in America. Ironic, eh?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:26 (five years ago)

Isn't the question at hand why Trump has GAINED Latino support since 2016, rather than why would any Latino vote for a conservative?

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

also it seems to me that trump is such a unique figure in politics that it may be risky to assume support for trump = general support for conservatives

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

Why would people vote for someone who actively hates them?

That's not these Cuban men (and many women) look at the situation. They don't see the hate -- they see people on the same side, united by hating the shiftless and the weak.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

Isn't the question at hand why Trump has GAINED Latino support since 2016, rather than why would any Latino vote for a conservative?

― A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger),

"Latino" is too broad a brush. You have to look at discrete needs: Venezuelans aren't Puerto Ricans who aren't Nicaraguans.

I wrote a little about it, and there's this solid NYT story.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

Right but that's the stat that was brought up wasn't it? If ppl can speak of "suburban women" as a monolith voting block then why not Latinos? I'm all for arguing that neither of those groups shouldn be viewed as a monolithic block.
Or are you just saying there are a multitude of reasons why his support grew, at least one for each subgroup of Latinos? That's a helpful answer, but doesn't negate the question being asked.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

If you want to transition out of a hated group, you gotta start walkin' the haters' walk.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

"soccer mom" is one of the most objectionable of recent bits of political jargon

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:57 (five years ago)

better than "security moms"

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 26 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

honestly, "demographic analysis" just leads to extreme generalizations that cause everyone to hate everyone

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

and distorts everything too. like, urban/rural has always been a better indicator of voting trends than "red states" and "blue states," or "the coasts" and "the heartland"

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

keith urban vs. keith rural

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:03 (five years ago)

There are two semi-monolithic blocs of American voters - white evangelicals and African-Americans.

We still talk about other groups and demographics - and how to appeal to them and win their votes. That you can't 'win the Latino vote' purely through playing identity cards doesn't mean there's not a Latino vote to talk about. In most of the country, Latino voters do have a lot in common on socioeconomic grounds.

Nate Silver or someone at 538 had a small piece about how there is no actual real-world support for 'economically conservative, socially liberal,' but there is for the opposite. If you fall into that group (as a working-class young man might - or a Catholic), if the Democrats aren't offering you improved economic circumstances and you aren't completely sold on their socially liberal politics, why would you be expected to default into their camp?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

"suburban women"/"soccer mom" are just euphemisms for white women, no?

Nhex, Monday, 26 October 2020 21:07 (five years ago)

a small piece about how there is no actual real-world support for 'economically conservative, socially liberal,'

stop making Bill Weld cry

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

"suburban women"/"soccer mom" are just euphemisms for white women, no?

no -- it means white women with college degrees which is decidedly not the same thing

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:09 (five years ago)

and soccer-playing kids

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

they care a lot about the cost of imported fruit because they need to bring orange slices to practice once per season

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

single issue voters on this

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 21:10 (five years ago)

There are two semi-monolithic blocs of American voters - white evangelicals and African-Americans.

If we're going to separate out the white evangelicals from other evangelicals, I think we can separate out the non-Orthodox Jews from other Jews, and I gotta believe we are close to as politically monolithic as the other two groups -- not just in partisan preference, I feel like I could walk into a conservative or reform shul anywhere coast to coast and pretty much get the same narrow band of political takes.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

non-orthodox jews include both republicans and democrats, come on

treeship., Monday, 26 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

can i just say that i keep waiting for Morbs to show up here and start talking shit and it's making me a bit sad that it's not happening

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:15 (five years ago)

I didn't realize it until you said it but yeah

Guayaquil (eephus!), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:16 (five years ago)

yes.

re trump being a “tough guy”.. i have no doubt he has watched goons kick the shit out of people who crossed his dad, and later him. so he thinks he’s tough by proxy, and in a way it’s even better, since he doesn’t have to get mussed himself

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:50 (five years ago)

Donald Trump’s debt totals at least $1.1bn. Should he win re-election, about $900m of it will come due during his second term https://t.co/nxwa0GhbtN pic.twitter.com/EK9MiVUiAn

— Financial Times (@FinancialTimes) October 26, 2020

Change Display Name: (stevie), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O05mMuDvnLc

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 21:53 (five years ago)

(nearly 6k posts in under a month btw)

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Monday, 26 October 2020 22:08 (five years ago)

"suburban women"/"soccer mom" are just euphemisms for white women, no?

no -- it means white women with college degrees which is decidedly not the same thing

No again. It means MARRIED white women.

Single white women skew Democratic.

Married white women skew Republican.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 26 October 2020 22:09 (five years ago)

Ban straight marriage

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Monday, 26 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

Upper-middle class married white women*

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 22:36 (five years ago)

old grey mare she ain't what she used to be

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 22:56 (five years ago)

I know this is a bullshit outsider perspective but it seems to me that systemic racism is enabled/perpetuated by America’s fascination with race-based differences in politics, voting intentions etc. Like virtually half of US political discourse/polling involves thinking of people’s decision making as if it was determined by race.
I get that the reason is that people in different racial groups are differently affected by policies, but the continual message is that race determines thinking. Which seems like a driver to me.

assert (MatthewK), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:02 (five years ago)

We have two political parties and one has made white supremacy their core value for 50 years. (And the other one courted the white supremacists before that.)

It’s an unavoidable part of voting calculations and “what’s the matter with Kansas”-style questions of why someone who would theoretically be harmed by white supremacy would vote against their interests.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:10 (five years ago)

The 'soccer mom' imagery was supposed to conjure up a suburban mother of school aged children with enough spare time and devotion to her kids to constantly drive them to their after-school soccer practice and games.

Because soccer skews heavily white, that inference was def intended. Because children + spare time to drive them around skews heavily toward middle class and married, those inferences were intended. Because kids of school age tends heavily toward the 29 -45 age bracket, that inference was def intended, too. Add all those together and there will be a noticeable skewing toward college education, but not as definite as the other demographics.

Lastly, because several of these factors tend to offset one another in terms of skewing toward liberalism vs. conservatism, the 'soccer mom' imagery was supposed to be the very model of the wavering centrist each party wants to capture. It's just an accurate reflection of how marketing people are taught to think. Hard to say how accurate it is, politically, but the idea sure got sold to candidates and pundits very effectively.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:11 (five years ago)

i know i'm probably imagining this, but mcconnell sounds old as hell right now

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:28 (five years ago)

maybe he'll pull a Pontypool and just die in the Senate chamber while repeating the same unremarkable word over and over again

"cloture....cloture....cloture....cl-cl-cloture..."

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:29 (five years ago)

god he's being such an assfuckstain

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

his hand doesn't look discolored anymore :(

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:33 (five years ago)

when he said "the democrats pioneered it", referring to the filibuster, i automatically said "but you perfected it", and was kind of surprised when he didn't say it with me

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:34 (five years ago)

staring at him hoping for a Redd Foxx chest-clutch death

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

lol @ "policymaking, which is what we do here", mr Graveyard

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

a lot of people give me shit for watching debates or state of the unions or whatever. i will say this: listening to mcconnell make this speech is excruuuuuuciating, like an order of magnitude more painful than the typical trump speech

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

the Pinter pauses would have me calling on his understudy to take over

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:38 (five years ago)

it is excruciating because mitch is twisting the knife

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:38 (five years ago)

what the democrats want, you see, is activist judges

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:38 (five years ago)

maybe Kavanaugh will have a little autoerotic asphyx accident this weekend

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:39 (five years ago)

oh bullshit, Mitch, they woulda confirmed a Republican nominee in 2016. like Dems always do.

like the Dems woulda Robert Borked in the 21st century

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:44 (five years ago)

"elections have consequences", he says, referring to trump's losing the popular vote by 3 million

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:45 (five years ago)

Rand Paul walking around the floor unmasked, that motherfucker

Neanderthal, Monday, 26 October 2020 23:56 (five years ago)

There's a guy near me who wears a Rob Paul shirt on the weekends, and has a sticker on his car still. I've had to restrain myself when I see him

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Monday, 26 October 2020 23:59 (five years ago)

welp, there it is.

it's done.

fuck

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:00 (five years ago)

globetrotters dunk all over the generals, again.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:03 (five years ago)

the globetrotters own the ball and got to have more players on the floor

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:04 (five years ago)

pretty cool that this asshole will most likely be shitting all over progressive legislation until after I’m dead

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:18 (five years ago)

Get power. Control the legislature and the executive. Pass laws that are unambiguous, constitutional, and hard to challenge.. Strive to make the court irrelevant.

These are the imperatives.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

Strange how the consequences of 2012 election didn't last as long as the 2016 elections huh

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:22 (five years ago)

Election's

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:23 (five years ago)

pretty cool that this asshole will most likely be shitting all over progressive legislation until after I’m dead

Had the same thought. She's the first person younger than me appointed to the court.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:35 (five years ago)

Not possible to make the court irrelevant without packing it, explicitly taking judicial review off the table or something along those lines.

Even if your progressive legislation is "unambiguous and constitutional," courts acting politically can create the basis to challenge it all the way up the ladder.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:36 (five years ago)

She’s a little older than I am but I bet she lives waaaay longer!!

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:36 (five years ago)

Xp ok but it's not like she reports to work tomorrow and immediately they hold a little internal vote and suddenly there's no Roe, no ACA, no same-sex marriage, and chattel slavery is reestablished.

Right? Don't they kinda have to rule on specific cases that come before them, through appellate channels, based on the facts and circumstances of each specific case?

Happy to be corrected but I suspect there are a few intermediate steps between Barrett's confirmation and The Handmaid's Tale

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:51 (five years ago)

3 Trump campaign emails in the last 2.5 hours. The most recent one carried the subject line "America: 3 Democrats: 0." I want him to die of hemorrhagic fever.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:51 (five years ago)

Right? Don't they kinda have to rule on specific cases that come before them,

sure

through appellate channels,

sure

based on the facts and circumstances of each specific case?

nope

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

(obviously there are intermediate steps, no one is claiming otherwise)

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

Theyre in motion as we type for sure

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 01:01 (five years ago)

I doubt they overturn Obergefell or specifically attack abortion. It’s going to continue the long campaign of attacking labor protections, voting rights and the rights of the accused. Their program is enabling minority rule forevermore, winning the culture war wouldn’t help them on that.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

The same money that has packed the courts with reactionaries can now turn to packing the docket with their cases designed to go up the rungs.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

Roberts doesn't overturn. He undercuts.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 01:08 (five years ago)

CivicScience Poll

Have you ever opted not to vote in the presidential election?
No
78%

Yes
20%

Other / Does not apply
2%

Based on 815 responses

CivicScience Says:
People who prefer comedy movies are more likely to answer No.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 01:21 (five years ago)

One believable analysis of the abortion issue is that our conservative overlords have no desire for a speedy resolution of the issue by overturning Roe v. Wade (which, at this point, would swiftly reduce the number of states where abortion is legal, but would not render it illegal altogether, much to the amazement of most anti-abortion voters). The abortion issue has been the primary driver of the conservatives' grip on power and once they 'win' they can't replace it with anything quite so viscerally powerful. They much prefer to crawl slowly to the point where the issue is politically exhausted.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 01:24 (five years ago)

hey one unrelated thought. during the last debate Trump said over and over that the reason why he paid $750 in taxes is because he prepaid "tens of millions" in years prior. has anyone followed up on this? clearly this is false, right?

frogbs, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:16 (five years ago)

how do you 'prepay' taxes years in advance? I know you can prepay during the same calendar year, but I've not heard of prepaying years in advance.

they just...give you refunds.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:17 (five years ago)

https://abc7ny.com/politics/can-americans-prepay-their-taxes/7258554/

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

I suspect there are a few intermediate steps between Barrett's confirmation and The Handmaid's Tale

Look out Oxford English Dictionary, new sample text incoming for "cold comfort"

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:19 (five years ago)

To be honest, and I'm actually being really sincere, I feel for parents and kids right now. The future is ever more grim.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

"Happy to be corrected but I suspect there are a few intermediate steps between Barrett's confirmation and The Handmaid's Tale"

yes, but it's close enough to be creepy

Dan S, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:25 (five years ago)

my best friend is 25 and was talking about how much more she should have accomplished by now and I pointed out how pointless it would be to define oneself by that anymore considering how rigged the game is.

she's had two historically major recessions since she was a teen - the ones I lived through prior to 2008 were relatively minor. I really wonder if 'long careers' will even be a thing anymore.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:26 (five years ago)

Our generations have been fucked by 2008 and 2020, no question

Nhex, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:38 (five years ago)

some people have asked me why I've been so paranoid about my savings despite doing fairly well and it's mostly cos I'm waiting for the day when my luck runs out.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:39 (five years ago)

I read that if he had prepaid his taxes that would still show up on the documents the NYT reviewed

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:42 (five years ago)

Also smacks of BS because 1st response was NYT story was fake news. Took him, what, 2 weeks to come up with the prepaid taxes excuse?

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:44 (five years ago)

he thinks taxes are Layaway at Wal-Mart

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:44 (five years ago)

Perhaps it means he was claiming deductions for money he spent years before

assert (MatthewK), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 02:58 (five years ago)

The NYT report was v detailed on how he paid taxes for the first time in over a decade after getting on The Apprentice, and (presumably deliberately) found all sorts of bullshit deductions like his upstate "park" after that, in order to claim back the amount that he'd had to pay. Presumably this has translated in his poison brain into pre-paying taxes and receiving a refund.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 03:09 (five years ago)

Yes, they will, at lots of places.

I doubt the civil service and the military will end up being the only organizations that recognize the value of retaining and rewarding experienced, devoted staff over time.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

Lol so many xp. Whatever.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

xps:
how do you 'prepay' taxes years in advance?

That's how capital gains/losses works. For individuals, if you lose X amount of value in a closed transaction, eg, a loss in a stock transaction, or an ownership stake in a casino becoming worthless, then that loss gets noted on schedule D. That amount X can offset capital gains (of the same class, like long term) in the same year, and if X is much larger than the gains, the balance of X is carried forward to future years. Invest $1000 M in 1990, they go bankrupt and all value is lost in 2000, and there's $1000 M in tax-loss carry forwards. If you still make $ 50 M a year in capital gains (of the same class), no taxes would need to be payed on capital gains (of the same class) for 20 years. The tax loss carryforward would just drop $950 M, $900 M, $850 M... In this example, the premise is that Trump paid taxes on the income and realized gains that produced the original $1000 M.

What bugs me about this, as someone who has never dealt with more than my own schedule Ds, is that tax loss carryforwards can't be applied against "ordinary" income, such as salaries for Apprentice appearances or license fees from Turkish Trump branded hotels. My suspicion is that Trump's lawyers structured those contracts so that ordinary income was realized as capital gains, and that's both fishy and beyond my ken.

Advanced Doomscroller (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 04:08 (five years ago)

This is a good piece; 16 reasons why the electoral environment is completely different in 2020 than it was in 2016, and none of them are good for Trump.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 10:45 (five years ago)

FYI jaymc and other Cook Co. voters, my gf and I received the emails last night confirming our ballots were received after using the dropbox last Tuesday, so it looks like there's a turnaround of about a week. Hopefully they recognize that picking up the gd pace is kinda crucial wrt this particular election.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 10:52 (five years ago)

I got my confirmation at 12:47am this morning.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 12:58 (five years ago)

Imagine what it must be like to have your elected officials fighting tooth and nail for your beliefs, however shitty and reprehensible they may be. Voting Democrat means watching your elected officials wither in the face of discomfort and immediately caving in for fear of being considered "divisive". I've got to swallow the bitter pill once again for this election, but I don't know for how many more elections I can in good conscience vote for spineless chickenshits that focus their efforts on memes and tweeting threats that have no bite because they are never, ever followed up on. Barrett's confirmation was inevitable, but I'm furious that the Dems couldn't get their shit together to drag their feet even a little bit.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:24 (five years ago)

Early vote total now 66.2 million this morning. If it’s 72 million or so first thing tomorrow then the average of at least six million a day is looking more in play; at the least it’s likely we hit 70 million by late this evening. What that also means is at some point today we pass 50% of the total 2016 vote.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:26 (five years ago)

Some more states starting to pass the 50% mark already, like California. Others of course further blowing past them — Florida at 67%, Texas at 86%, etc.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

Barrett's confirmation was inevitable, but I'm furious that the Dems couldn't get their shit together to drag their feet even a little bit.


yeah yeah yeah dems suck but seriously when does the murc’s law bullshit end? one, this sentence doesn’t even really make sense, two, Graham literally ignored the rules to get a vote when he wanted it.

Save it for when dems control the senate and decide to leave a bunch of Trump policies in place because it’s too much work to fix anything.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

serious question: what could the Dems have done? they're in the minority.

frogbs, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:32 (five years ago)

I was sort of hoping McConnell would drop over dead before the vote could happen

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:37 (five years ago)

all the shit that the dems could have done involve quorum rules which would still involve getting mitt romney and susan collins to get lost in Arches somewhere. it wasn't happening

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:37 (five years ago)

Probably nothing, but when the perception of a lot of your base is that you didn't try hard enough, that's a problem. In a reversed situation, the GOP would have dug deep and figured out more ways to drag things out. Watching the Dems continue to play a polite game of bridge while the GOP is playing a rigged game of Monopoly where they cheat at every turn is infuriating.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:38 (five years ago)

In a reversed situation, the GOP would have dug deep and figured out more ways to drag things out.

How? Are Republicans magic?

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:39 (five years ago)

No, but they bend the rules, break the rules, cheat where necessary. They fight dirty.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:39 (five years ago)

wHen tHEy gO lOw

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:40 (five years ago)

And that only works because they have a majority.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:40 (five years ago)

I think it's totally fine to be frustrated, angry and disheartened after her confirmation. Is my anger misplaced, maybe. But I can only shake my fist at McConnell for so long without recognizing the systemic failures of the party I support.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:41 (five years ago)

Procedurally speaking, his is like complaining that someone didn't try hard enough to stop a hurricane.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:41 (five years ago)

the perception of the Dem base is always that Dems are cowards and didn't do anything, whether or not it squares with reality.

often time it does, but in this particular instance, Chuck Schumer did initiate a closed door session to gum up the works, and Lindsay violated the rules of the committee in advancing the vote out of committee.

if Democrats refused to show up, there'd still be a quorum, so that wouldn't have achieved anything. can't filibuster anymore.

short of bringing the Symbionese Liberation Army into the chamber, this particular instance, there's not much else they could have done. (I am not commenting on other times, before anybody calls me Captain Save a Chuck)

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:41 (five years ago)

Probably nothing, but when the perception of a lot of your base is that you didn't try hard enough, that's a problem.

It's a problem that these people are absolute morons who are fooling themselves that there was anything to be done short of planting an IED in the Senate offices.

If the Dems win the WH and Senate and don't pack the court, then we can make this argument.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:42 (five years ago)

I mean, it would have been viscerally pleasing had the Democrats murdered several Republicans to reduce their majority and delay the vote until after special elections/appointments but it also would have been a bad idea.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:43 (five years ago)

The dems have their issues but McConnell is an evil fuck who has been playing the long game and was ready to strike the second the stars aligned in his favor. And the stars were most definitely aligned in the GOP's favor here.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:43 (five years ago)

and even had they boycotted the vote AND a quorum had been short, the Sergeant at Arms could have legally 'arrested' missing Senators and carried them into the Senate, which did happen once in 1988 (to a GOP Senator).

I'm kind of amused at the idea of Chuck Schumer being carried in

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:44 (five years ago)

This is all correct. I'm just angry and hopeless after another night of lost sleep, which is not helped at all by the construction site behind m house vibrating everything for the last two hours straight.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:44 (five years ago)

I mean, it would have been viscerally pleasing had the Democrats murdered several Republicans to reduce their majority and delay the vote until after special elections/appointments but it also would have been a bad idea.

― shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, October 27, 2020 8:43 AM (twenty-five seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

lol, yes, I just about posted this very thing. Like the only recourse the dems had in this instance was extralegal in nature.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:44 (five years ago)

A major problem with the Democratic Party right now is that they think they have to take the concerns of the Republican Party seriously when they don't get the same consideration in return, so they make unnecessary and stupid concessions when they are in power that are never reciprocated. Few people here, if any, are going to disagree with that criticism but there are only so many times you can beat someone up for a past mistake when they aren't in a position to correct it.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:47 (five years ago)

FWIW I feel the anger and hopelessness, jon. The day RBG died felt like election night 2016 part 2. Just gotta clench and look ahead and hope this election night doesn't result in me literally tearing my own face off and then proceed from there.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:48 (five years ago)

Trump is so beyond the pale and so dangerous (tbf slightly mitigated by also being lazy and incompetent) that just electing a Democrat is not corrective enough. They need to hammer in safeguards and laws that have been pried loose over the past several years, and ideally make a strong case for it so that they don't lose the house the next cycle. (Assuming they get the WH and Senate, or even just the WH, which, if they don't ... I don't even know anymore).

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:54 (five years ago)

btw, once again filed under "nobody knows anything, but maybe they do," it's somewhat telling, or at least worth noticing, that in their final pushes Biden has scheduled a stop in Georgia (and Harris is Texas), and Trump has scheduled a stop in ... Nebraska.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:56 (five years ago)

Nebraska probably didn’t put gathering restrictions on him

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 13:59 (five years ago)

I mean, it's perfectly in character for him to campaign in Nebraska literally just because he can and no one else will let him. But it does seems a poor use of his time and resources (which is also in character).

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:00 (five years ago)

I feel like part of the frustration comes from the fact that the one lever of power the Democrats have managed to get their hands on- the House- seems largely powerless in the face of a Republican Senate. Like, it seems that all they can do is launch investigations that ultimately get squelched. I would have hoped that they could launch an investigation into the rushed confirmation of Barrett as being part of a plot to suppress votes and attempt to steal or rig a national election, issue some strategic subpoenas, and try to slow things down at least. Clearly the Republicans were not just trying to help Trump’s chances by fast tracking Barrett, but also trying to game the system by suppressing down ballot votes in their own congressional races.

epistantophus, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:02 (five years ago)

In chilling opinion yesterday Brett Kavanaugh signaled he's willing to help Trump delegitimize election & throw out mail ballots cast heavily by Dems

Kavanaugh & Barrett worked on Florida 2000 recount for Bush & could do Bush v Gore 2.0 for Trump https://t.co/Elnsnvqr4u

— Ari Berman (@AriBerman) October 27, 2020

this is fine

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:07 (five years ago)

also the "intermediate steps" argument works both way; there are many things the Democrats could have done between Merrick Garland and now to prevent a Barrett confirmation, and largely didn't

like, I’m eating an elephant head (katherine), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:07 (five years ago)

but it also would have been a bad idea.

― shout-out to his family (DJP)

I don't even know who you are any more, DJP

Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:10 (five years ago)

xxpost this is fucked up, but....I don't think that would be enough votes to flip the election to Trump, as far behind as he is now.

though regardless, it's obviously a fucked up decision.

Bush v Gore 2.0 = kind of a poor analogy though in this article.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:11 (five years ago)

there are many things the Democrats could have done between Merrick Garland and now to prevent a Barrett confirmation, and largely didn't

What are the many things they could have done?

Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:11 (five years ago)

xpost this is why it's important that where possible in states that allow it, people returning ballots close to election date should drop them off in person. it shouldn't be necessary, but it's the only way to ensure we get every vote counted and get this cockroach the fuck out.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

What are the many things they could have done?

― Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, October 27, 2020 10:11 AM bookmarkflaglink

win the White House/take the Senate were the two direct things, though that's in the past now

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

My wife and I signed up to do some text banking for Michigan. Wisconsin was one of the states we were considering too, but since she grew up in Michigan she has a close tie to the state.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

Like invent a time machine and ask RBG to step down (my preferred method)?

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

The problem, as I understand it, is that different states have different standards for when ballots can no longer be accepted. The conservatives on the SC are being disingenuous, but even they are (legally) right that what flies in PA may not fly in WI. That's something states really need to clean up and deal with. I think I saw some statement from AOC yesterday or the day before that if NY were a swing state, its voting process and laws would be earning cries of bullshit as loud as those in FL or WI or TX or wherever.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

btw I got ridiculed by several people when I said this back in March.

epistantophus, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:21 (five years ago)

Like invent a time machine and ask RBG to step down (my preferred method)?


p sure she was asked...

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:21 (five years ago)

Re: WI voting, I don't see that ruling that ballots received after election day should not be counted where state law says they shouldn't signals that the SC would rule the same where state law says they should.

xp to JiC - bingo

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

Trump is so beyond the pale and so dangerous (tbf slightly mitigated by also being lazy and incompetent) that just electing a Democrat is not corrective enough. They need to hammer in safeguards and laws that have been pried loose over the past several years, and ideally make a strong case for it so that they don't lose the house the next cycle. (Assuming they get the WH and Senate, or even just the WH, which, if they don't ... I don't even know anymore).

― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, October 27, 2020 8:54 AM (twenty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

I mean, this is what it all really comes down to. Any system that a) doesn't correct for the fact that there will always be people trying to find ways to game the system in their favor and b) isn't dynamic enough to evolve its methods of correction as the methods of cheats and scoundrels evolve is a system doomed to collapse. Shit needs to be locked down during the Biden admin or it's game over, man.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:23 (five years ago)

frankly, Democrats should vote with the assumption in the back of their mind that the GOP will do everything in their power not to count their vote. that means voting in-person (safely), dropping off ballots if possible, double checking to make sure it was received.

it's fucked that we're in this position but i would pretty much say anybody who hasn't mailed a ballot back yet should consider not mailing it back at this point and either spoiling the ballot and voting in person, or dropping it off if that's allowed in your state.

sadly...there will be those that don't and aren't counted but if we can minimize that number, that helps.

god it just makes me so fucking angry and is exhausting.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

FWIW, I think a lot of dems have been operating under just that assumption. I mean, I opted to drop off my ballot (and briefly enter a building other than my home for the first time since March) rather than mailing it in specifically because of the DeJoy shit. A lot of the surge in early voting seems to be a direct reaction to likely GOP fuckery. It just remains to be seen if the surge is gonna be enough to effectively curtail it.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:27 (five years ago)

It may be worth noting again that Democrats seem to be sending in their mail ballots considerably sooner than Republicans. Democrats are +27.5% on returned ballots so far, but a narrower +12.7% on ballots requested but not yet returned.https://t.co/Ii5lBCeY9j

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 27, 2020

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

I'm in line to vote early in person. Probably a three hour wait, last day to do this in PA. Talk about voter suppression

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

Yesterday was the day we were supposed to mail our huge stack of postcards to Texas (fwiw I think they were designed to arrive *after* election day, a second wave thanking people for voting after a first wave of bazillions imploring people to vote). It was tough to drop them all in the closest box, which was more or less full! I'm not sure I'd seen that before. It was after the scheduled pickup time, too, so, nervous, I made sure to walk back in an hour and make sure it had been picked up, and indeed it was.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

I'm also sleep-deprived and furious that the pigs (yes, they're pigs) murdered a mentally ill neighbor yesterday evening. I'm missing therapy for this, and I need that appointment right now.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:31 (five years ago)

What are the many things they could have done?

― Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, October 27, 2020 10:11 AM bookmarkflaglink

obama could've forced garland onto the court with a recess appointment: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Recess_appointment

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:31 (five years ago)

But voter suppression leads to viral videos of people dancing in line and that's supposed to warm our hearts!

(xpost)

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

xp to neanderthal (and nate silver), yes that is somewhat encouraging, but the court's decision means that they're slamming the door on tens of thousands of ballots that favor the dems by 13 points.

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:32 (five years ago)

xpost <3 table - that story was fucked up

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

That is horrific, table. Thank you for voting.

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:39 (five years ago)

sorry to hear that table, that's messed up.

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:50 (five years ago)

That story is horrifying, sorry table.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:51 (five years ago)

p sure she was asked...
― A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will),

the NYT ran a story several weeks ago explaining how Obama mildly offended her in 2013 by quietly insisting she retire.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

ugh

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

Thanks for good thoughts, y'all. 💜

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

xxxxxxpost yes but the "700,000 unreturned ballots" stat is total, not Democratic ballots. Wisconsin doesn't report party affiliation for requested ballots, so we do not know what proportion of ballots that were returned for each party, as well as the proportion of the ballots that are outstanding for each party. as Wisconsin has never tracked that info, we can only guess.

Also, I looked at Wisconsin's stats, and they're confusing. they have in-person absentee voting, and their report for 10/27 shows 1,451,462 have been returned, and of that total, 352,073 were in-person absentee votes. the site Nate quotes (https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/WI.html) subtracts the in-person absentee votes from the ballots returned. but if these in-person absentee voters are counted in the ballots mailed, then there are only something like 362,000 ballots outstanding, not 700,000, if 352,073 person all just absentee voted in person.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

the NYT ran a story several weeks ago explaining how Obama mildly offended her in 2013 by quietly insisting she retire.



yeah I got yelled at years ago for suggesting the same. this isn’t specifically for RBG (RIP), but liberals have gotta stop getting high off their own supply and treat politics like the high stakes, long-term, quite literally life-or-death project it is. these issues are bigger and more important than any one celebrity politician

(and yeah, imo Justices are basically politicians. they’re certainly legislators now).

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Yes, leave us not forget Kennedy's strategic retirement giving us the gift of Captain Kegstand for the next several decades.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:09 (five years ago)

Kennedy was smarter and more ruthless than Ginsberg.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

i tweeted at Nate and the ElectionProject (Michael McDonald) guy to ask how to properly interpret the returned ballots stats for Wisconsin. hoping I get a reply.

should also be noted that about 30,000+ new ballots get returned a day based on what I saw in this last week's reports.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:18 (five years ago)

weirdly about 5 other tweeters are asking him to check this as well. I think it's probably 362,000 ballots outstanding, which is a big difference (I think they're estimating that even if 100,000 Dem votes weren't counted, Biden would still win WI or PA)

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:30 (five years ago)

Wisconsin doesn't report party affiliation for requested ballots, so we do not know what proportion of ballots that were returned for each party, as well as the proportion of the ballots that are outstanding for each party. as Wisconsin has never tracked that info, we can only guess.

Wisconsin doesn't track that information because it doesn't exist! There's no such thing as party registration and Wisconsin voters are free to vote in whichever primary they like (but not more than one.)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

well that makes sense then, lol

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

sidebar, but is the chatter about Bill Barr's invisibility/absence a thing of substance or something truther-y?

Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:12 (five years ago)

https://www.axios.com/scoop-the-lincoln-project-is-becoming-a-media-business-f366aea2-d730-4ad3-a601-e8380ebf96e8.html

Going to steal some of those Pod Save ad dollars. If we’re real lucky... Rick Wilson biopic.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:13 (five years ago)

xpost I wish, but I think I came across a post that noted he has made a few speaking engagements in the last few weeks.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

dammit

Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

is the chatter about Bill Barr's invisibility/absence a thing of substance or something truther-y?

Was half wondering about that myself this morning.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

along the same lines, when was pence's last negative test? did he skate out of it like usual?

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:18 (five years ago)

Saw a post about a negative test yesterday IIRC

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

below-average pence wiggles his way out of another jam

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

Let us not forget that his wife's name is Karen. If Pence gets in trouble she'll demand to see the manager and that will be the end of THAT.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

I haven't seen any official stats but I think he may be immune as I don't recall reading about any COVID cases among semi-sentient ventriloquist's dummies.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

Oh no, I take that back, Mortimer Snerd succumbed a few months ago iirc.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

Numbers numbers

With nearly 3 million early votes in a week before Election Day, more than 10% of Georgia's ~2,650 precincts have more than 50% of their *total* registered voters cast a ballot already.

I made a map of % turnout by precinct so far! #gapolhttps://t.co/LRGCqEVdTc

— stephen fowler (@stphnfwlr) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

Ah, so nice.

On Trump campaign call, @MikeKellyPA mocks Biden’s stutter and says voters should “Drop off some tapioca and let him make his way through that” instead of listening to the former VP.

— Gabby Orr (@GabbyOrr_) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

Also, not a surprise:

In recent days, registered Republicans have begun closing the early-vote gap among the total ballots cast in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, ⁦@AmyEGardner⁩ and ⁦@PostRoz⁩ report. https://t.co/3QZVRqaOOc

— Jenna Johnson (@wpjenna) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

Couple of useful Wasserman things to read. First, his own piece:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/polls-could-be-wrong-may-help-biden-not-just-trump-n1244753

Then, him interviewed here:

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/10/polling-guru-who-predicted-trumps-2016-win-is-betting-on-biden

Among other things, him on Florida and registration:

Voter registration is a feather in Trump’s cap, but it’s also critical to put (it) in context. Over the past couple of decades, we’ve seen a lot of registered Democrats, who have voted Republican at the federal level for president for years, formally switching their voter registration from D to R. For example, there is a county in North Florida: Lafayette County, which is basically—it used to be a Dixiecrat bastion.

In 2016, Democrats had a voter-registration advantage in that county of 59 to 34%. The county voted 82 to 15 for Donald Trump. And over the last four years, we’ve seen that county completely flip, and now Republicans have a voter-registration advantage of 62 to 27. That’s a 64-point swing in voter ID in four years. It doesn’t mean that Trump is gaining new voters; those are existing Trump votes. So keep that in mind. That’s one of the reasons we’re seeing Republican gains in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Florida.

The other thing that’s happening is that Democrats are winning a disproportionate share of young voters, and a lot of them are registering as unaffiliated or independent. But it is true that just in the past six months or so, since the presidential primaries, Republicans have done a better job of hitting the pavement because Democrats have been unwilling to knock on doors in the pandemic. And it’s an understandable decision. But we are also seeing that the past success Democrats have had both knocking on doors and registering young people on college campuses—that’s been way down during the pandemic, and that has helped Republicans to this lead.

So keep in mind that in the past six months, Republicans have added a net 344,000 registered voters in Florida, and Democrats, 197,000. In 2016, Democrats were the ones with that registration advantage, but there are gonna be over 10 million votes cast in Florida. And so it might be worth a percent on the margins. And a percent’s a lot in Florida, don’t get me wrong, but if you’re talking about the same kind of trend line in the other states—Wisconsin, Pennsylvania—would you rather be the candidate with a half-of-1% registration advantage? Or would you rather be the candidate who’s ahead seven points in polls? I’d rather be the Democrat.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 16:47 (five years ago)

thanks for posting those - digging through both

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

2.5 hours of waiting, I voted early in person, pig helicopter still circling my neighborhood even tho it's broad daylight and there aren't actions planned til tonight

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:05 (five years ago)

xpost only thing I don't like about the second article is they claim Wasserman predicted Trump's victory, when, in the link to his article, he emphatically says it's not a prediction, but a possibility.

but a good article nonetheless

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

From the Vanity Fair piece:

Bottom line?

Trump would need to win all of the states that are really close in the polls right now: Florida, Georgia, Texas, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina. Those are prerequisites for a Trump victory. And then he’s gotta break through in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Arizona to have a pathway to replicating his success in 2016. And right now that’s just very hard to see. I could actually see Biden doing better in Arizona than in Wisconsin or Pennsylvania.

…Keep in mind also that the piece of turf that, in my view, is most likely to flip from Trump 2016 to Biden 2020 is in Omaha, Nebraska: Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, where the district-level polling shows Joe Biden ahead in some cases by double digits.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:10 (five years ago)

despite everything having this panic set in yesterday and today, feeling like trump is going to win

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:19 (five years ago)

it's happening to me too, it's probably because there's so much to lose in our minds now and our brains know all of the bullshit that's happened over the last 4 years that our faith has dwindled.

i'm trying to distract myself mostly.

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

One thing I appreciate about keeping an eye on both Wasserman and Elections Project is that while they're both providing some useful and sanguine info, they do have different areas of focus and don't always agree on what they're seeing -- they've sparred/subtweeted each other before -- so even though both are thinking this is Biden's, they can still snipe a bit. Thus:

Florida's early vote is sending a confirming signal the state will be close. Registered Democrats lead in the early vote:

2016: +96,450 reg Dem
2020: +302,282 reg Dem

Trump 2016 margin: +112,911

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 27, 2020

FL's early vote data tells us virtually nothing about the vote preferences of the final electorate. We do have plenty of other evidence, however, that the state will be close. https://t.co/LvRRx7Bv2D

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

And in response to that!

I honestly don't know why some people stubbornly refuse to look at all election data as a whole https://t.co/7cVYYPDTPu

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

I'm just operating under the assumption that Trump will be reelected and ignoring everything that happens a week from now and on Wednesday I will either wake up pleasantly surprised or preemptively resigned to life in hell.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

Vegas odds (which have favored Biden since June 3rd) have gone even as of this morning.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

Would recommend keeping eye on the Turnout as Percent of Total 2016 Turnout option on the main Elections Project map, BTW:

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

Unlike the basic raw numbers site, which is certainly useful but is just that -- it makes it seem like there's only three states with really heavy voting -- you get a better sense of how some states are really off to the races all over the place. Texas and Hawaii, for instance, are essentially tied in those percentage terms at 86% plus (Hawaii apparently had a notable switch to balloting by mail and it's clearly a success). It also explains a bit more clearly why Biden is tending to Pennsylvania, not merely due to relative ease of access from Delaware and home connections -- unlike, say, Wisconsin, which is on the verge of hitting 50%, PA is only at almost 28%, so there's more votes to hit up and try and bank in advance, as well as more room for persuasion either way.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:28 (five years ago)

I take that back, Trump is actually favored (-105) now.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

Vegas odds (which have favored Biden since June 3rd) have gone even as of this morning.

Well, speaking of said state:

Joe Biden leads in Nevada, according to the final Times/Siena survey of the state.
Biden 49, Trump 43https://t.co/tazhwMwSM1

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 27, 2020

Certainly neither side is treating it as set, given upcoming visits.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

Further noted re Times/Siena survey:

Well this is our first post-debate poll, so you'll have to wait and see. Our prior NV polls were
Post-RNC: 46-42
Post-debate 1: 48-42https://t.co/nO65X71Oge

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 27, 2020

So emphasizing the supposition that the final debate essentially did nothing numbers-wise.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

I take that back, Trump is actually favored (-105) now.

where are you seeing that?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

Remember that Vegas lines are not set and do not change based on what they think will happen, they are to balance the money coming in on both sides. Ideally they want equal betting on both sides, then they make money on the vig on the losing bets.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

lol y'all look at that shit?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:04 (five years ago)

Can't find a source for those odds. Are you misinterpreting the graph on oddsshark (which cuts off on september 1)?

Dan I., Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:16 (five years ago)

Meantime

New: Fort Bend, Collin and Comal counties in TX just became the 4th, 5th and 6th counties in the U.S., to my knowledge, to surpass their 2016 *total* votes counted (as with Hays, Denton and Williamson, TX, population growth since '16 is a big factor here).

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

Where does this notion come from that betting odds operate on some sort of secret knowledge unavailable to normies

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:21 (five years ago)

lol probably from personal experiences of losing all bets by 1pt

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

Can't find a source for those odds. Are you misinterpreting the graph on oddsshark (which cuts off on september 1)?

― Dan I., Tuesday, October 27, 2020 11:16 AM (five minutes ago)

exactly, it was a hyperbolic tweet with that graph with the dates conveniently snipped off.

now back to your regularly scheduled programming...

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

Unlike e.g. 538 model, betting markets can price in the (perceived) probability that the election will be stolen.

Dan I., Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

it's not a secret

http://www.betsmart.co/how-do-oddsmakers-set-lines/

To guarantee a profit, bookmakers need to ensure that the picks coming in for each team in each matchup are as close to 50/50 as possible (if you are unsure why, read up on What are Sportsbook Margins?). But what happens if something suddenly changes? A star player gets injured in training or a big trade happens? What if the bookmaker misread where people were going to put money and set the opening prices incorrectly?

Money will start coming in more on one side than the other and the oddsmaker becomes “exposed”. There is the potential for the oddsmaker to have to payout more than they took on the event if the side with the most action wins!

To help avert disaster scenarios like this, oddsmakers are constantly monitoring the picks that are coming in to ensure that they are as close to 50/50 as possible in order to preserve their profit margin.

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

And if there are a bunch of folks out there with secret knowledge (republican legislators who know exactly what they're plotting behind close doors), that might appear in the markets xpost

Dan I., Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:25 (five years ago)

that doesn't mean they can be indicative of who is going to win (the better/more probable victor is usually favored) but if they lines move - that doesn't indicate necessarily that they have changed their opinion on who's going to win, it may be the money is coming in lopsided

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

right but money could be coming in lopsided for a good reason

Dan I., Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

sure, i'm just saying there's a tendency for people to read changes in vegas odds like changes in polling data and it's not the same thing

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

The Lincoln Project to build out its media business after the electionhttps://t.co/7eu5ITGPdP

— Jack Brewster (@jbruce218) October 27, 2020

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

It’s about time for Bill Maher to go away forever, maybe they can take his spot on HBO.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

we need a john wilkes booth project immediately https://t.co/Y3Sxcv60T3

— Brandy Jensen (@BrandyLJensen) October 27, 2020

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 18:49 (five years ago)

my sportsbook is now at Biden -190 and Trump +145, which is quite a terrible spread (they're pretty bad with any non-sports bets), but still, that's about as good for Biden as it's ever been. I got a max bet in when Biden was at -115 a few weeks ago (pre-debate, I think)

as ums mentioned the numbers don't mean much but where they expect most of the action to fall. as far as I can tell, a lot of gamblers are pro-Trump, or expect him to win. doesn't mean much, these guys are notoriously shit when it comes to prognosticating politics. I would imagine a lot of it is just FOMO from not grabbing Trump post-grab 'em by the pussy when his odds were at like +700 or whatever

frogbs, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

I take that back, Trump is actually favored (-105) now.

― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Tuesday, October 27, 2020 1:29 PM bookmarkflaglink

the betting markets like Betfair etc though have Biden 64-36 currently

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

which considering the info ums et al posted above, pretty damn good odds

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:35 (five years ago)

And if there are a bunch of folks out there with secret knowledge (republican legislators who know exactly what they're plotting behind close doors), that might appear in the markets xpost

― Dan I., Tuesday, October 27, 2020 2:25 PM bookmarkflaglink

that's a reach. if that were the case, it'd be easy as hell to win bets by just following the pumps and dumps

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

Biden in GA?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

most books offer bad odds and have a low max for that reason. I wanted to put my whole account on Biden but it only let me bet $100. anytime a sportsbook offers a non-sports bet it's purely for fun and to draw people in

frogbs, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

In the UK, William Hill is offering 50-1 odds on a 45 win.

Channel Four news on US redneck safari as I write.

scampopo (suzy), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

TOTAL CONFIDENCE. The Trump brand is so strong, he doesn't need to advertise! MAGA MAGA MAGA! *has aneurysm, shits self, dies*

Trump Pulls Florida Ads as Cash-Poor Campaign Enters Final Week

President Donald Trump’s campaign has all but pulled its advertising out of Florida, as it stakes its relatively small bank account on the industrial northern states that carried him to victory in 2016.

Since the beginning of the fall campaign on Labor Day, Trump has cut $24 million from his national ad budget, while former Vice President Joe Biden has added $197 million. Biden has outspent Trump three-to-one over that time.

Trump is now placing his final bet on just four battleground states: Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Polls show he’s down in all those states but Ohio, where it’s effectively even.

The president still has $350,275 budgeted to spend on ads in Florida through Election Day, but has canceled $5.5 million in the final two weeks of the campaign, according to data compiled from ad-tracking firm Advertising Analytics.

The Trump campaign says its organizational strength in Florida will carry it into Trump’s column on Election Night as Republicans get more in-person voters to the polls.

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:06 (five years ago)

Speaking of MAGA, was it something someone posted here or somewhere else that pointed out how important chants and mantras are to cult members? Drain the swamp, lock her up, etc.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

There's a practical take on that which I read saying that given the difference in early voting levels it would make more sense to concentrate on said states vs. Florida and its expense. But even so.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

Trump is now placing his final bet on just four battleground states: Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Pennsylvania

Spending in Michigan and Minnesota and not Wisconsin seems too dumb even for the Trump campaign. But whatever, maybe they know something I don't know.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

We call that Pulling a Hillary '16.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

Minnesota is an "industrial" state, huh

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:23 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ViEzjcc6sE

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

BREAKING: NBC moves historically-red Texas to "tossup" in presidential race. #Election2020 pic.twitter.com/1dMFc7srvV

— Antonio Arellano (@AntonioArellano) October 27, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

A recent Politico article reported that Trump has been "fixated on Minnesota" since 2016. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/minnesota-swing-states-425366

jaymc, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:29 (five years ago)

just four battleground states: Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Pennsylvania

That list of states has Trump's tiny fingerprints smeared all over it. He has a hard time learning new facts, but he still remembers his electoral college map from 2016 and he figures if they did it for him once, they can do it again. He figures DeSantos will deliver FL for him.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:32 (five years ago)

I obtained a copy of the "health care plan" that Kayleigh McEnany handed to Lesley Stahl in that massive binder. It was a large print list of bullet pointed highlights and slogans that was 10 pages long (including back and front covers). https://t.co/90P0xNlDx3

— Hunter Walker (@hunterw) October 27, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:34 (five years ago)

wonder if the Minnesota fixation has to do with his attacks on Ilhan Omar drawing such a rowdy response

frogbs, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2020/10/27/louis-dejoys-october-surprise/

I hope if Biden wins, trash like Dejoy are prosecuted for the things they have done

Change Display Name: (stevie), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

wonder if the Minnesota fixation has to do with his attacks on Ilhan Omar drawing such a rowdy response

― frogbs, Tuesday, October 27, 2020 3:40 PM (two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

50% hating Omar
50% wanting to bring it home for the My Pillow guy

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:43 (five years ago)

Big early vote milestone via Elections Project: at 69.2 million votes, the early total is now over 50% of the entire voting total from 2016.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

Y'al were curious about Cuban American voters?

https://www.newyorker.com/news/us-journal/how-pro-trump-disinformation-is-swaying-a-new-generation-of-cuban-american-voters

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

EP adds this'll mean going over 70 million by the day's end (and then some, I'm guessing) and I'm pretty well guessing we hit 72 million first thing tomorrow morning, maintaining the six million a day pace. If that holds, by Saturday morning we'd be at 90 million and 100 million by Election Day morning itself is thoroughly possible, even with Texas finishing early voting on Friday.

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:56 (five years ago)

Getting a lot of those enthusiastic, motivated votes banked early hopefully frees up Dem organizers to get more less motivated voters out to the polls on or before Election Day.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 20:57 (five years ago)

all the early voting favoring Dems seems like a pretty good thing in a pandemic - even if Trump voters are enthusiastic, how many of them are really willing to stand for several hours in the cold and risk a life threatening disease to cast a vote for a candidate most people think is going to get crushed anyway?

frogbs, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

and the total vote in 2016 was what... 130 million?

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:06 (five years ago)

ah, 136.5 million. fucking libertarians.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

136 million is what I saw referenced earlier today.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

all the early voting favoring Dems seems like a pretty good thing in a pandemic - even if Trump voters are enthusiastic, how many of them are really willing to stand for several hours in the cold and risk a life threatening disease to cast a vote for a candidate most people think is going to get crushed anyway?

― frogbs, Tuesday, October 27, 2020 4:06 PM (ten minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yeah agreed, who knows....a vote counted now is a vote counted now...it could be something as you get a flat tire, who knows

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

Can we somehow trick 20 million Trump voters into giving themselves explosive diarrhea on election day

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:27 (five years ago)

Talk about "exit polls," amirite?

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:30 (five years ago)

Early returns

A tan wave election

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:31 (five years ago)

Alfred, read that article, and tbh, all it really told me is that there are a load of 29-45 year old Cubans in Miami who aren't too smart. The quote from one left-leaning Cuban who laments that 'historical memory is short' is the definition of understatement-- it's as if people like Otaola are living in another dimension.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:39 (five years ago)

Isn't that all...you need to know?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:46 (five years ago)

I've been saying for years now this isn't complicated.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:46 (five years ago)

I mean, yeah, I guess that is all I need to know! Lol.

I have a... colleague, let's say, who is a young queer poet of Cuban descent...and he is the most conservative, reactionary poet of his generation that I've encountered. Very safe, measured, and frankly boring work. His family looks fabulously wealthy, and he is nice enough, but whew, his silence on certain issues is really telling to anyone paying attention. I thought of him a lot when I was reading that article

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:49 (five years ago)

If you're pro Trump you're either dumb, an asshole, or a dumb asshole, no matter your demographic

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:58 (five years ago)

Alfred[, read that article, and tbh, all it really told me is that there are a load of 29-45 year old Cubans in Miami who aren't too smart.

and you can thank the great schools of FL for that

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 21:59 (five years ago)

I don't know much
But i know you're a dumb racist asshole
That may be
All i need to know

Neanderthal, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

it's oNlY whEn you CALl me a dumb ASsHOLE THaT I'M foRceD TO VOTe FoR tRUmP

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:02 (five years ago)

and you can thank the great schools of FL for that

― (•̪●) (carne asada),

Unnecessary. Most public school districts, constrained by testing, are shit at history and, worse, criticizing America.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:03 (five years ago)

The President is particularly hunting votes from suburban White woman, a group with which the first lady may hold some appeal...

I won't pretend to be an expert on suburban white women, but I question whether this is actually true.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:04 (five years ago)

True, I was a little cringed out by that comment. Xp

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:04 (five years ago)

If you're pro Trump you're either dumb, an asshole, or a dumb asshole, no matter your demographic

Been my line from day one, tbh.

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:06 (five years ago)

so they're just dumb than? that's cool xp

(•̪●) (carne asada), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:07 (five years ago)

trump pretty clearly does not understand the suburbs

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:08 (five years ago)

I think getting suburban white women is clearly a goal, but he just has no concept of how to communicate with that demo. See his comment today about "getting your husbands back to work" for example.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:12 (five years ago)

a group with which the first lady may hold some appeal...

it's not like Melania has gone out of her way to make herself accessible and well-liked by the public at large. in a way, her choice to stay mostly out of sight is refreshing. she's the first presidential spouse since Bess Truman to deliberately shun the spotlight and that's fine. but I can't fathom how she could change or influence anyone's vote.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

The only people who give a shit about Melania have Pepe tattoos. Even Jesus freaks can’t turn her into an aspirational figure.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

Melania as a relatable, hardworking soccer mom is a little beyond the pale.

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

Don't all yr white suburban women aspire to be like a frosty Eastern European fashion model who doesn't care about anything? And who is the famousky distant third wife of a rich fat hideous asshole?

Imma go ask my wife and I will report back.

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:24 (five years ago)

The Daily podcast had an episode about the women who changed their minds since 2016, ie white suburban moms. It was a SUPER interesting story from an organizing perspective. Total "wine mom" stereotypes everywhere BUT some very touching moments. Worth a listen imo.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

Re Trump and Florida ads: this makes sense, but also reflecting a pattern elsewhere (this is also happening in Texas IIRC). Might not seem like much but it means RNC money they can’t use elsewhere in turn:

According to Ad Analytics, the suggestion that Trump is going dark on his TV buys in FL is false

The campaign switched payee to the RNC. Ads are still running.

The election is in a week.

— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) October 27, 2020

Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:32 (five years ago)

https://www.hindustantimes.com/rf/image_size_960x540/HT/p2/2020/08/28/Pictures/_10d553ce-e931-11ea-b0d0-732c2aa3f4c8.jpg

I AM MELANIA

Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:35 (five years ago)

i support wine moms

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:46 (five years ago)

Florida is so essential that the initial news about the ads made me scowl.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 22:50 (five years ago)

I could maybe believe they're pulling ads in Florida because they think they have it in the bag.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 23:10 (five years ago)

By which you mean, colostomy bag

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

Did Trump really make a joke about Biden being shot?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 23:38 (five years ago)

https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a34487228/supreme-court-throw-out-mail-ballots/?fbclid=IwAR2sH2MUqzmnbbdAAAhh_UupTuV3-xlvAaJBmaejSA8TLV2h66plpMboTjk

Everything's Blue In This Whorl (Raymond Cummings), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 23:39 (five years ago)

If you're pro Trump you're either dumb, an asshole, or a dumb asshole, no matter your demographic

Boy did you just let a large part of my extended family off the hook.

pplains, Tuesday, 27 October 2020 23:43 (five years ago)

xp ugh i can't handle the outrage-click articles right now

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Tuesday, 27 October 2020 23:56 (five years ago)

While not diminishing how fucked up the Wisconsin ruling was, that Esquire piece is shook alarmism.

Got one paragraph in and wondered if umair haque wrote it

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:08 (five years ago)

Like yes - that ruling could possibly throw out legitimate ballots by the thousand that were only late due to a gutted mail service. No argument, I'm angry about that.

This is 3 million miles away from "nobody vote by mail, none of them will be counted, all will be discarded" (which the article basically says)

Idg why journalists think it's a good idea to give liberals heart attacks a week out. There is nothing we can do in advance to stop any fuckery. And I doubt any of us are going to sit idly by and take it if and when it happens.

But if millions of voters are experiencing mental health crises, ain't gonna be in any shape to protest

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:12 (five years ago)

Idg why journalists think it's a good idea to give liberals heart attacks a week out

it gets clicks

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:18 (five years ago)

fbclid=IwAR2sH2MUqzmnbbdAAAhh_UupTuV3-xlvAaJBmaejSA8TLV2h66plpMboTjk

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:21 (five years ago)

Rule one of journalism is that The Story Has To Change

Fjord Explorer (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:23 (five years ago)

Wasserman notes this, and it's worth remembering:

We'll be watching Miami-Dade closely in the remaining early vote *and* on 11/3 to see if Dems can bring their turnout into closer alignment w/ elsewhere in FL. https://t.co/pCrnUUyze2

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:48 (five years ago)

Anyway, if you want to be nervy, it's in this realm

A lot of Trump's hope stems from this.

Biden's lead isn't *quite* comfortable enough in PA.

And although he has some *good* backup plans if he loses PA... namely AZ/FL/NC/GA...he doesn't have a *great* one being ahead only 1-3 points in those states.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:50 (five years ago)

am hoping Iowa and Arizona will turn to us this election, maybe North Carolina too, but it's too much for me to expect anything from Florida again

Dan S, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:52 (five years ago)

Unless there are actual changes in the situation, Nate has to somehow fill seven more days saying "Trump probably won't win, but there are plausible though unlikely scenarios where he does win" in different words every three or for hours, I feel for the guy

Guayaquil (eephus!), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

Like father...

Don Jr begins talking about peace deals, then gets into a tangent about how he was “negative 5” when Biden was elected to Senate. “Where the hell was I? Ah, yeah — Middle East peace.”

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 00:54 (five years ago)

Ugh. I cannot escape misery tonight anywhere...but ILX.

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:10 (five years ago)

It's rough out there

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:15 (five years ago)

Pennsylvania does seem increasingly like the key to the election

Dan S, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

it's soft and velvety in here, and smells like flowers

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:17 (five years ago)

Thought this was interesting. Also horrifying.

https://secureservercdn.net/192.169.223.13/lz3.b02.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Preventing_a_Disrupted_Presidential_Election_and_Transition_8-3-20.2.pdf

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

it's a parellel universe wall o' gina

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

Early vote count over 70 million.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

I'm guessing the eventual total of votes cast will arrive in the vicinity of 150 million this time. Which would be amazing in a pandemic year.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:29 (five years ago)

Early vote count over 70 million.

― Ned Raggett, Tuesday, October 27, 2020

hope it goes up to 100+ million

Dan S, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Thought this was interesting. Also horrifying.

https://secureservercdn.net/192.169.223.13/lz3.b02.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Preventing_a_Disrupted_Presidential_Election_and_Transition_8-3-20.2.pdf


I think this is the same set of simulations as was featured on the latest episode of Radiolab. A good listen.

https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/radiolab/articles/what-if

Alba, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

What pollsters will miss because #landlines

https://www.ksat.com/vote-2020/2020/10/27/the-youth-vote-in-texas-is-up-by-more-than-600-from-last-presidential-election/

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:48 (five years ago)

Just got back from voting. 2 hour wait and about 1.5 hours after they were supposed to close. Be sure to thank as many poll workers for their service!

Is there a good catch-all site for down ballot resolutions/propositions for localities? Before heading out to the polls, I had to struggle finding about what they logistically could result for my area.

Western® with Bacon Flavor, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 01:55 (five years ago)

Lol Trumps site got hacked

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

are there n00ds of him on it now

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

haven't found a catch-all for down ballot stuff but think Taniel's posts have been good

https://twitter.com/Taniel?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

Dan S, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:10 (five years ago)

What pollsters will miss because #landlines

https://www.ksat.com/vote-2020/2020/10/27/the-youth-vote-in-texas-is-up-by-more-than-600-from-last-presidential-election/

― Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, October 27, 2020 8:48 PM (thirty-one minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

they say young people don't vote but have they ever been subject to such an unlikeable, suffocating figure at the same time as a pandemic and a looming existential threat?? I can see young people getting involved in a way they didn't when I was 18 and it was Bush vs. Kerry

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

Meantime, a bunch of useless people like Benny Johnson and Jenna Ellis and the like are currently Mad On Twitter because Tucker Carlson did a Tony Bobulinski featured hour or something and literally nobody gave a shit. Seriously, they're posting stuff like this.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

If that youth vote is really 2:1 in Biden's favor then the polling error would seem to be in Biden's favor this year... seems like more people would be talking about it, though?

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

A number of people are, increasingly; Wasserman has mentioned potential polling errors favoring Biden a few times.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:34 (five years ago)

As for lame Hunter Biden attempts

Per pool reporter @EliStokols, at the Trump rally tonight, the WiFi network was called “Where is Hunter?” and the password was “10FORTHEBIGGUY."

It was "largely non-functioning"

— Ben Jacobs (@Bencjacobs) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

remember the polling errors were in Obama's favor in 2012 which is why it was so easy to forecast that race (and why Nate got all 50 states right)

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

Don't really understand how lefties can be upset that @ProjectLincoln is starting a media company unless they

a)felt the same way about @PodSaveAmerica/@crookedmedia or Young Turks or...

b)changed their mind about need for a conservative but responsible alternative to Fox News?

— Clara Jeffery (@ClaraJeffery) October 27, 2020

God she's embarrassing

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

Who could have missed the lefties crying out for a responsible conservative news outlet?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:40 (five years ago)

pretty sure they already get CNN

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:41 (five years ago)

if you're so tolerant, why won't you just adopt the beliefs you hate

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:46 (five years ago)

Liberals won't even consider sponsoring a conservative Presidential candidate I say I say what is going on here

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

funny how people still call CNN "Clinton News Network" considering all the water they carried for Dubya between 2001 - 2004

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 02:47 (five years ago)

You gotta have CNN be the liberal Fox News to establish a Both Sides: News Media Edition

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:18 (five years ago)

prepare for more parting shots from these assholes:

Our tweets are approved by career ethics attorneys and thankfully no longer overseen by you.@Interior increased the number ethics staff by 250% to remove the rotten stench from the blatant failure of the prior administration to invest in the ethics program. https://t.co/v3aFjYobbS

— Interior Press Secretary (@DOIPressSec) October 28, 2020

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

I know a lot of wishy-washy "fair and balanced" liberals who were even pushing the narrative - "c'mon guys we have to admit CNN is our own Fox News", as if the equivalent of a state-run media that has a destructive sphere of influence that has a direct line to the President and can destroy lives is in any way comparable a mediocre, corporate-choked media conglomerate that is likely to occasionally carry water for conservatives unwittingly (and wittingly).

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:26 (five years ago)

yeah our equivalent of Tucker is like, Seth Myers

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:27 (five years ago)

really wish we could have a progressive liberal news media network with actual teeth and acid tongue programming but many wishy washy Democrats would probably shit on it

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:29 (five years ago)

**ck yes, Urias

scampos sacra fames (outdoor_miner), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

lmao

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

I really hate CNN, I can't watch it for more than a couple of minutes at a time now, all of the both-sides screaming matches they set up between political 'opponents' are awful, it makes me cringe and it is not in any way illuminating

I'm also over MSNBC, it's more sane than CNN but it has the exact same news opinion coverage every single day. I'm on their side, I get it, but come on, how much of that same shit do you think we want to watch

Dan S, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:37 (five years ago)

have they ever been subject to such an unlikeable, suffocating figure??

idk I think Biden's about as bad as a lot of past Dem candidates

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

@ Dan S., my one bit of thankfulness re: being COVID-separated from my folks is not having to endure my dad's constant CNN and FOX watching. intolerable.

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:42 (five years ago)

broadcast news is evil

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:43 (five years ago)

that's my hot take of the day

24 hour news networks obv a very specific vortexing of that evil but the rot is built in

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:44 (five years ago)

With 54,000 in-person votes so far today, Harris County has now exceeded total turnout for the 2012 election, which was 1.2 million. #HarrisVotes #HouNews #VOTE

— Harris County Clerk (@HarrisVotes) October 27, 2020

This seems noteworthy. There are still three full days left of early voting, plus election day. Harris is the biggest metro in Texas, but it's not the only one. I wonder if the numbers in Dallas, Austin, and San Antonio are similar.

Johnny Fever, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:53 (five years ago)

how much of that same shit do you think we want to watch

all of it. all of the same shit, we want to watch it

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:53 (five years ago)

the beauty of the internet = the ability to pick and choose the news I read and where I get it from, having the shit excreted out of a tv set seems superfluous

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:55 (five years ago)

it's like we're in Videodrome

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 03:55 (five years ago)

at least Videodrome ended

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

i signed up for yelp purely to give 1* to everywhere i go that plays cable news in the waiting room.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:04 (five years ago)

can we add an asterisk to the title of the "people who YELP are scumbags" thread

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

I did used to love using those remote control apps to discreetly change the channel from Fox News every time I got my car repaired at the local CarMax, who inexplicably always had it on.

people would look around confused, then realize they were happy it wasn't on anymore.

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:09 (five years ago)

I wonder if the numbers in Dallas, Austin, and San Antonio are similar.

They are. And don't forget El Paso... only ~400k voters but like Austin, deep blue (+50 Dem lean). Nobody is racking up as many early voters as Harris County in Texas, as noted upthread it's the because since 2018 the County Clerk is now a Democrat and is actively helping people vote instead of hindering them. Thank Beto for that. Travis County (Austin) early voting will match their *total* 2016 vote sometime tomorrow.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:34 (five years ago)

Iconic Cuban-American author and unimpeachable anti-Communist intellectual, @CarlosAMontaner emphatically announces in this powerful ad, that far from being ‘socialists,’ @JoeBiden + @KamalaHarris are the true friends of freedom, liberty and democracy. #CubanosConBiden🇨🇺🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/GSsmNzkRsy

— Fernand R. Amandi (@AmandiOnAir) October 27, 2020

Bloomberg-funded ad aimed at Cuban-Americans in Florida, really interested to hear what Alfred thinks about this

Guayaquil (eephus!), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:36 (five years ago)

Meanwhile, in the world of animated gristle.

So @kennedynation interviewed Rudy Giuliani tonight on FBN. The whole interview is here:https://t.co/s3T3gDkLXI

Here's a clip from that interview.

(cc @mattwelch @nancyromm) pic.twitter.com/nnpytoFkzD

— Andrew Wimsatt 🖐 (@ajwimsatt) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:43 (five years ago)

look at that beautiful photograph of you, me, and bill bellamy

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:47 (five years ago)

Wasn't Bill available or something

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:51 (five years ago)

Also, it seems like Trump bussed a few thousand people to an airport outside Omaha for a rally and then didn't bother to arrange for busses back and there are all these old people standing out in the freezing cold a three mile walk from their cars

Guayaquil (eephus!), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:52 (five years ago)

they can pull themselves home by their bus straps

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:55 (five years ago)

welp that's one way to purge the voter rolls

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 04:59 (five years ago)

two more clips of Kennedy / Giuliani in the thread, if ppl enjoy that first.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:02 (five years ago)

Kennedy is such a loser.

"Nixon now! Nixon now!"

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:06 (five years ago)

"The irony was that we were deep in Gen X land where rebellion was the most popular flavor," Kennedy’s former boss Lauren Levine recalls in the book. "And being a Republican was the ultimate rebellion, as most, if not all, were left leaning."

lol that's...an interesting way to frame it

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:07 (five years ago)

But Kennedy really made the gossip columns because of the way she greeted a fellow Republican. "Finally out of the corner of my eye I spied a f---ing rock star real star,” she wrote. “ John McLaughlin was looking and I knew another headset was bound to intercept if I didn’t act fast, and I had to prove to him he was not the only Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) in the room.”

LON

Neanderthal, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:08 (five years ago)

Kennedy marched up to the “McLaughlin Group” host and Martha Stewart, McLaughlin’s date for the evening. “I instinctively hiked up my dress, half pulled down my red thong, wangled free of my red opaque satin Donna Karan hose (She was there too! Hi Donna!) and showed him my faithful pink GOP elephant tattoo on my pristine pelvis, which I’ll have you know is a hard spot to show off in confining evening wear,” she said. “He about spit out his mint julep all over Martha’s melons.”

The two became fast friends.

In the end, the meeting didn't improve the evening. “This huge night came to a solitary end, and I realized, as a choked on my tears, liberals are almost worse than loneliness,” Kennedy remembered.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:10 (five years ago)

She was first introduced to libertarianism when Kurt Loder suggested she read Ayn Rand's Introduction to Objectivist Epistemology.[34] She actively supported Gary Johnson in both the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections.[35]

In March 2012, Reason published an article by Kennedy saying atheism is a religion on par with theistic religions.[36]

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:12 (five years ago)

They are. And don't forget El Paso... only ~400k voters but like Austin, deep blue (+50 Dem lean).


Election Day turnout in El Paso is going to be tiny. They’re under curfew with field hospitals.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 05:49 (five years ago)

They've still managed to notch up about 200k early votes!

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:05 (five years ago)

yup, but if people in el paso can't vote on election day that means fewer democratic votes in texas.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:07 (five years ago)

.@hamiltonnolan wrote a really good piece about how trump's rallies are "inevitably held at the air­port, allow­ing him to exit Air Force One, hold forth to the ador­ing crowd, and then fly right out" - in this case with potentially deadly results https://t.co/m2BFN7HFdY https://t.co/HBqIVEEEfK

— Talia Lavin (@chick_in_kiev) October 28, 2020

if i wanted to boost my vote with seniors i would simply not strand them in a field in single digit temperatures.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:08 (five years ago)

this is exploding on twitter and reddit right now too.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:12 (five years ago)

and all this for one electoral vote

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:14 (five years ago)

really fucked up that the Democrats sabotaged the buses to kill those old Trump voters man, fucked up

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:19 (five years ago)

xp

if biden flips only AZ, MI and WI (which is not a crazy scenario) then it's a tie. it's not crazy to campaign there!

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:21 (five years ago)

though perhaps not on a freezing night during a pandemic that's worsening where you only paid for buses to drop off, and not pick up (which is apparently what happened? who knows)

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 06:25 (five years ago)

Bloomberg-funded ad aimed at Cuban-Americans in Florida, really interested to hear what Alfred thinks about this

― Guayaquil (eephus!),

It may work. I posted this here yesterday afternoon: https://www.newyorker.com/news/us-journal/how-pro-trump-disinformation-is-swaying-a-new-generation-of-cuban-american-voters

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 09:32 (five years ago)

c'mon clap, clap!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqlVCKfX3hk

Hmmmmm (jamiesummerz), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 10:04 (five years ago)

Trump campaign email tally: 18 since Monday night.

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:03 (five years ago)

I thought you meant ‘deaths at’

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:13 (five years ago)

I saw an article on Twitter this morning about Rogan going in on the media ignoring the laptop story and I'm still shook by the cesspool in the replies, even for the state of Twitter in 2020. Just an entire alternate universe out there about this story.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:16 (five years ago)

Pathetic: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/28/michigan-court-gun-advocates-voting

nashwan, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

Since I met my wife, I've spent a lot of time in Michigan over the last 15 years. It never fails to surprise me. I love the state and I hate the state.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

i've only there for a layover and had no desire to leave the airport

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:53 (five years ago)

xxxpost the crankverse is convinced that the media is ignoring the Hunter Biden story until after the election, so Nancy and Chuck can impeach Biden in January and install Comrade Kamala

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:55 (five years ago)

they are going to remove Nancy as speaker, install AOC as speaker, then impeach both Biden and Kamala, installing AOC as President, despite no being old enough.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 13:57 (five years ago)

Well birth certificates can be altered, as we well know

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:00 (five years ago)

I struggle with my love for Michigan. I love Ann Arbor and Detroit and the Upper Peninsula is some of the most beautiful land I've ever been on in the continental United States. But the rampant casual racism and hate makes it really hard to fully embrace the state. The number of pick-ups I've seen with full on gun racks and confederate flags in Northern Michigan is frankly astounding.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:01 (five years ago)

But bears.

Meanwhile:

New @CookPolitical: Texas's 38 electoral votes move from Lean R to Toss Up. Full analysis from @amyewalter: https://t.co/LL0dl3FW6l

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 28, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:02 (five years ago)

I'd much rather wander the wilds of Michigan than boring Illinois. So much great stuff in Michigan, but nothing really worthwhile in IL outside of Chicago, afaict. As far as guns go, why have I always known the term "Michigan Militia?" Why Michigan?

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:04 (five years ago)

There's going to be a ton of attention on Texas next week, and Trump is going to end up winning it by 2 points, which will be spun into a massive loss for Dems even though they've won a landslide elsewhere

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:05 (five years ago)

like Florida in 2018.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:06 (five years ago)

I struggle with my love for Michigan. I love Ann Arbor and Detroit and the Upper Peninsula is some of the most beautiful land I've ever been on in the continental United States. But the rampant casual racism and hate makes it really hard to fully embrace the state. The number of pick-ups I've seen with full on gun racks and confederate flags in Northern Michigan is frankly astounding.

this is true to some degree for every state i've been in tbh. so disillusioning

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:07 (five years ago)

I don't know, it seems much more amplified and open in Michigan. I mean, I grew up in the cornfields central Illinois and saw plenty of casual racism and idiots, but the only confederate flags I remember seeing were on the t-shirts and coke mirrors when the carnival rolled through town every summer, I can't recall seeing any full flags flown on the back of pickups. Last time we drove up from Ann Arbor to Bay City, I saw no less than 8 or 9 trucks with fill sized confederate flags anchored to the back. It really is a different world in Michigan.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:11 (five years ago)

Kid Rock makes summertime in Northern Michigan sound pretty lit, tbf

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

correct me if I'm wrong but Michigan was not part of the Confederacy

Nhex, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

Nhex, yeah, it's baffling. Which makes it even more shocking.

Eh, Kid Rock's idea of "Northern Michigan" is the suburbs north of Detroit.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

I'd much rather wander the wilds of Michigan than boring Illinois. So much great stuff in Michigan, but nothing really worthwhile in IL outside of Chicago, afaict. As far as guns go, why have I always known the term "Michigan Militia?" Why Michigan?

― Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, October 28, 2020 10:04 AM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Timothy McVeigh

peace, man, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:15 (five years ago)

I don't know, it seems much more amplified and open in Michigan. I mean, I grew up in the cornfields central Illinois and saw plenty of casual racism and idiots, but the only confederate flags I remember seeing were on the t-shirts and coke mirrors when the carnival rolled through town every summer, I can't recall seeing any full flags flown on the back of pickups. Last time we drove up from Ann Arbor to Bay City, I saw no less than 8 or 9 trucks with fill sized confederate flags anchored to the back. It really is a different world in Michigan.

― soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, October 28, 2020 9:11 AM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

i feel like this has changed a lot all over since i was a kid, i see that shit back in my hometown now all the time, never would have seen that growing up (not that it wasn't racist but not in that type of way, confederate flags etc)

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:15 (five years ago)

The South really did win the war.

Boring, Maryland, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

That's fair, ums. I haven't been back to the town I went to high school in for about twenty years and have no plans to ever do so since my family all moved away. It could very well be that dismal there now as well.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

I've seen plenty of people flying dixie in Northern California. Anywhere rural and white and you're going to get some idiot racist assholes.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-that-new-wisconsin-poll-that-has-biden-way-ahead/?ex_cid=story-twitter

lol there's a Biden +17 from a pretty good pollster

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:20 (five years ago)

Fuck it, why stop at +17? I say go higher!

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

like Florida in 2018.


Not really. Florida 2018 swung in the opposite direction than the rest of the country. It’s not that it didn’t swing far enough to flip which is what we expect of Texas. Florida swung the wrong way.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/27/opinion/2020-election-pennsylvania.html

Lol why do they let these clowns write op-eds

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:41 (five years ago)

Leeeeeeeeeeroy Jenkins

McAllen the give away herehttps://t.co/akYA6s7rsF

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 28, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:47 (five years ago)

xp Cletus Safari, never say die?

Nhex, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

You guys, there have always been a bunch of shithead Northerners who fly Confederate flags; I think people just assumed they were Lynyrd Skynyrd fans and didn't interrogate what they were seeing.

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:54 (five years ago)

I have a family member who worked for the Bay City health dept for years and absolutely LOATHES it there because of the people.

West Michigan is my entire heart but it's not because of the people, it's because of the landscape (mostly the lakes).

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

Early vote total now 73 million — *seven* million from yesterday morning. Whether or not that’s a new average who knows but it’s looking pretty clear we’ll hit 80 million at some point tomorrow before noon and 90 million by Saturday morning if not earlier. 100 million by Election Day morning increasingly possible.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 14:57 (five years ago)

folks i have some news the whole fucking country is racist as fuck.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

Not really. Florida 2018 swung in the opposite direction than the rest of the country. It’s not that it didn’t swing far enough to flip which is what we expect of Texas. Florida swung the wrong way.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, October 28, 2020

You misunderstood me or I wasn't clear. Expectations. We expected Gillum to beat DeSantis by at least three points and for Nelson to narrowly win.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:01 (five years ago)

Got u

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

I have a family member who worked for the Bay City health dept for years and absolutely LOATHES it there because of the people.

That's where my father in law lives and I really could never stand to live there. It's such a weird city, a lot of people struggling economically but also a sprinkling of super, super rich people all united in their casual racism. I was slightly heartened to see more Biden signs than Trump signs when I was last up that way.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:10 (five years ago)

There was a dude a couple grades older than me who had confederate flag on his pickup truck. Early 90s. In the Chicago suburbs. There was always talk that he was about to get his ass kicked for it but never happened.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

Is anyone else getting 20 somewhat unhinged emails a day from Jaime Harrison? The one with the subject line “are you up?” is my favorite.

JoeStork, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

I wish election day was like three weeks ago. I know a lot of people have already voted but I'm starting to worry there's a sizable contingent who sees the beginning of a really shitty COVID winter ahead of us and would rather adopt Trump's magical thinking than confront reality. basically you have one candidate saying "this is a real thing that sucks but we're going to get through it" and another saying "everything is already fine, do whatever you want, live it up"

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:17 (five years ago)

Arkansas and Michigan were admitted together to keep the slave/free dynamic going. Hearing about confederate flags being flown up there makes me go 50%-wtf and 50%-lol, Michigan gonna be Michigan.

Funny thing is that most of the people I know with Michigan ties are African Americans whose not-so-distant ancestors moved from the Delta to Detroit.

pplains, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:20 (five years ago)

TEXAS continues to be a stunner: Texas voters cast more than 8.1 million votes, 91% of total 2016 vote, so far according to data posted on the Texas Secretary of State website Wednesday morning. 6 days until election day.

— Abby D. Phillip (@abbydphillip) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:23 (five years ago)

Meantime people like Wasserman et al are basically going "Damn, that's serious" about the Wisconsin poll, so...not as much of a fluke as might be thought?

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:24 (five years ago)

but on the other hand, nate cohn's being more like "daaaaaang, look at that"

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

Is anyone else getting 20 somewhat unhinged emails a day from Jaime Harrison?

No but I got one from Madeleine Albright this morning! That was exciting.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:25 (five years ago)

COVID's devastating Wisconsin now, so to respond to pplains' post, it's possible Wisconsin residents will vote fully aware of what the president has wrought.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:26 (five years ago)

Wisconsin people can hold a grudge

signed, a Minnesotan

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

But...but...Nate Silver says it's a "persuasion election" and turnout is meaningless...

Early voting data can maaaayyybee give you some hints at *turnout*, but

i) it's by party registration, not party ID
ii) there's usually not a great way to tell how much the early vote is cannibalizing the late vote
iii) this is a persuasion election not a turnout one

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:28 (five years ago)

apparently neighboring states are kind of reflecting the results - Iowa, a state Trump carried in 2016 by 10, has Biden with a slight lead

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

In other words, as someone pointed out upthread, that is his way of hedging things this morning as he will have to do every 4 hours from now through election day.

xpost

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

Is anyone else getting 20 somewhat unhinged emails a day from Jaime Harrison? The one with the subject line “are you up?” is my favorite.

― JoeStork, Wednesday, October 28, 2020 11:14 AM bookmarkflaglink

yup. it feels like i'm dating an insecure lover

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

From: Jaime Harrison
Subject: Please don't open my last email, I'm sorry. What I meant to s-

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

loool

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

MC5 used to fly the rebel flag as a sign of rebellion. you see it in old photos of them. Shame seems to be a bit shortsighted, thunk they was radical.

Stevolende, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

There was a dude a couple grades older than me who had confederate flag on his pickup truck. Early 90s. In the Chicago suburbs. There was always talk that he was about to get his ass kicked for it but never happened.

― A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, October 28, 2020 10:14 AM (thirty minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Who?

jaymc, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:52 (five years ago)

I get a lot of texts from Jaime Harrison. "Y'all, it's close!" That sort of thing.

jaymc, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

seemed like there was some attempts at reclamation of confederate flag in rock music in the 70s-maybe early 80s (Tom Petty, et al) but at some point it was a... Lost Cause

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

i got a text from Nancy Pelosi that said "a/s/l?"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

xpost icwydt

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

I wonder where people got the idea that putting a confederate flag on a car was cool?

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 15:58 (five years ago)

Let's see, what else could make Wisconsin and nearby more annoyed at how a pandemic has been handled, hmm...

BREAKING: #Wisconsin is pausing all football-related activities. Saturday’s game at Nebraska will not be played due to an elevated number of COVID-19 cases.

— Bruce Feldman (@BruceFeldmanCFB) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:00 (five years ago)

for a second I thought that said they were pausing all non-football activities

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

Or more annoyed at the libs shutting things down because of covid. Could go either way, just saying.

change display name (Jordan), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

for a second I thought that said they were pausing all non-football activities

― Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal),

lol me too

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

ah yes, this is one of those non-turnout elections I've been hearing so much about

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

Or more annoyed at the libs shutting things down because of covid. Could go either way, just saying.

― change display name (Jordan), Wednesday, October 28, 2020 11:03 AM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

this is a different story because it's not precautionary, 20+ players on the team have the disease

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:07 (five years ago)

yeah....but the libs want to shut them down because of it. no fair

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

about now i would normally tap the sign that says "2020 early voting numbers are not useful if you want to make predictions about the outcome of close elections, and you should mostly ignore them and look at the polls".

and that's true!

but you would really rather your voters had already voted given this is happening:

We haven't see positive testing rates like this at any point during the US pandemic. Overall US positive test rate has shot up to 7.3%, and testing has decreased.

South Dakota 43.4%
Idaho 34.8%
Wyoming 31.5%
Wisconsin 28.0%
Iowa 26.4%
Alabama 25.2%
Nebraska 21.8%
Kansas 20.7%

— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) October 28, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

with the exception of el paso, the timing literally could not be worse for trump.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:10 (five years ago)

yes. it is getting frightening. I'm very glad i had a chance to vote early, by mail, and i really feel for those of you out there who have to go do it in person, right now. fuck this.

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:11 (five years ago)

Militia leader Stewart Rhodes tells Alex Jones that his group will be at polling locations and is ready to kill Democrats https://t.co/fHJSRQI6kQ pic.twitter.com/7oXjrupuRF

— Media Matters (@mmfa) October 28, 2020

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

I always get a grim LOL from tweets/headlines that include "... due to COVID" when announcing really obviously unsafe things being cancelled this fucking far into the outbreak. Like "Winconsin pausing all football-related activities - it appears that there is some sort of airborne virus that may pose a danger - we are looking into it, more info as it becomes available"

turn the jawhatthefuckever on (One Eye Open), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

i mean, in trump's defense though, who could have seen a spike in cases coming this winter? it was going down as recently as a few weeks ago, trends were showing it going down to 0% by december.

https://i.imgur.com/Vgw9qtJ.jpg

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:17 (five years ago)

i genuinely think a significant portion of america is willing to intentionally confuse reporting with causation and blame "liberal media" for the spread with the old "if you had only stopped talking about it, it would've gone away" argument. truly, who could've imagined that a contagious disease would slowly spread to less densely packed but also less militantly controlled environments except maybe everyone who had already been hit by that disease.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

Jaymc: the Casey Brothers

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

what diseases are waiting in the wings getting jealous of the rona hogging the limelight.

Stevolende, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:22 (five years ago)

donald trump

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

i genuinely think a significant portion of america is willing to intentionally confuse reporting with causation and blame "liberal media" for the spread with the old "if you had only stopped talking about it, it would've gone away" argument.

well sure, but what about the flu? every year it kills just as many as covid-19, and i don't hear anyone making a big fuss about it. but the liberal media turned it into a madhouse to get trump out, because they don't like how he calls them out.

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

I actually still have a rebel battle flag bandana floating around in my closet somewhere... why? Billy Idol.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

anyway re: that insane Wisconsin poll there's a Marquette one coming out later today which should tell us how legit that really is

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

"Biden up 30, declared King O' The Forests."

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

I've lived in michigan most of my life, in both the upper and lower peninsula, and live here now. I love it and hate it too but don't feel it's necessarily worse than other places I've lived; rural places are rural places everywhere and are more alike than not in my experience - if you've never been outside of Seattle, for example, the rest of Washington State will surprise you.

It does feel amplified here though as our largest and most famous city has a long history or racism and extreme levels of white flight and segregation and industrial job loss that really informs how a lot of how people in rural places think about big cities, combined with the vast majority of the population living in a relatively small area and a whole lot of empty rural space with declining overwhelmingly white populations and no real future unless you can get tourists to visit.

joygoat, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

Xpost Does that militia leader have eyeglasses and an eyepatch? Shouldn't he be wearing a monocle? That's what a real nazi would be wearing.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 16:58 (five years ago)

**Tim Taylor grunting noises**

New Monmouth poll of Georgia, trend from September:

Biden: 50% (+4)
Trump: 45% (-2)

Ossoff: 49% (+7)
Perdue: 46% (-2)https://t.co/YyK5COyY0G

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 28, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:00 (five years ago)

i refuse to let myself get my hopes up but damn

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

yeah idk I've seen a lot of analysis saying "it's more likely things are gonna swing further towards Biden in the last week" which I didn't really believe but yeah it turns out Trump tripling down on everything that makes him unpopular isn't really working

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

A whole lot of people walked into the voting booth in November 2016 and thought, "How bad could he be?" They've gotten their answer, every hour of every day for four years.

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:06 (five years ago)

Drag him Joe

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

a whole lot of empty rural space with declining overwhelmingly white populations and no real future unless you can get tourists to visit

Have you considered having the world's largest ball of twine?

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:09 (five years ago)

I'm from rural Wisconsin and even I do not know a single person who is voting Trump this year who did not in 2016. on the other hand I know at least 7 who voted Trump/3rd Party/Didn't Vote in 2016 who are going Biden this year because they are so fucking sick of him

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

btw one thing about that Georgia poll, Monmouth frequently leans R so this is a giant red flag for the GOP

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

Here the local Pizza Hut gives u half off if you say you're voting Trump.

Not half off the cost, they just throw half your pizza in the trash

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:13 (five years ago)

I'm on the phone now with YUM! FoodBrands™ right now to report this outrage.

pplains, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:14 (five years ago)

anyway re: that insane Wisconsin poll there's a Marquette one coming out later today which should tell us how legit that really is

― frogbs, Wednesday, October 28, 2020 11:31 AM (forty-six minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

In new Marquette Law School Poll, Joe Biden is the choice for president of 48% of likely WI voters, Donald Trump is the choice of 43%. Libertarian Jo Jorgensen supported by 2%, and 8% gave no choice. #mulawpoll

— MULawPoll (@MULawPoll) October 28, 2020

jaymc, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

oh well

that poll really hasn't budged all year

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:23 (five years ago)

Pretty sure Jo won't get 2%, thirty parties often poll better than they actually do

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

5% is still good!

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

key finding there is Biden is winning independents by 8 points, yet another thing that absolutely cannot hold if Trump is going to make this thing even close

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:26 (five years ago)

v surprised to see a poll where Biden is doing better in Georgia than most polls show him doing in North Carolina. seems impossible to imagine him winning the former but not the latter, so hopefully it's both.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

Biden voters who wish to eat a half-off Pizza Hut pizza should just go in and say "I'm voting for Trump" while smiling and holding up a written sign that clearly states "No way in hell is that true!"

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

In response to the Marquette poll

This is surely the best of the day for Trump by far, and it’s the gold standard pollster for the state showing him down 5 and at 43 as an incumbent https://t.co/qvDe2bsO55

— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

Also

Joe Biden leads in Michigan, according to the final Times/Siena survey of the state
Biden 49, Trump 41
Peters 49, James 41https://t.co/5UlYPlcqeg

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 28, 2020

This was the poll that put Peters up 1 point on James, terrifying liberals On Here. James keeps bumping up against a low/mid-40s ceiling https://t.co/nE4EQtV7RE

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

End of the season, looking like the end of the series, all the old cameos are coming back!

I had an amazing conversation this morning with ... Anonymous.

Anonymous is a true patriot.

We'll all be hearing a lot more from this person very, very soon.https://t.co/M8CgEc8hAT

— George Conway (@gtconway3d) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

(Turns out he's been talking to a mirror.)

(Or Kellyanne.)

(Or their daughter.)

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

will no one stay awake with me?

Biden
Peters
James

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

Even Wasserman's starting to hedge a bit on the 'don't interpret volume of early vote as a sign' stance in this thread -- in a very specific circumstance, but even so, one wonders.

In Sumter Co., FL, as of this morning 72,695 out of 105,612 registered voters (69%) have already voted - which I believe is the highest turnout rate outside of auto-VBM states.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

anonymous, isn't that the person who said all those quotes?

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:51 (five years ago)

anonymous, isn't that the person who said all those quotes?

probably refers to whoever wrote that notorious NYT op-ed saying that high administration officials were actively but secretly working to undermine, delay or bury Trump's most dangerous decisions, because they feared for the nation if he were allowed to exercise the full power of his office without restraint.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

Aimless is correct -- Conway links said op-ed in his tweet.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

That person will host the Project Lincoln Hour on Starz, coming in January.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 17:59 (five years ago)

Anonymous wrote Shakespeare's plays

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

I bacon to differ

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

xxp I think voodoo chili was making a joek

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:02 (five years ago)

Anyway, someone's nervous

The Texas election "could be tighter, only because you've had so many more voters..." - Lt Gov @DanPatrick, who reads polls better than any other politician in the state #TxLege

— Scott Braddock (@scottbraddock) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

anonymous is the 4chan guy

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

so, wait, Peters then is doing better than we thought?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:08 (five years ago)

MUCH better, yes.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:09 (five years ago)

And if that's the case and he holds, then assuming Jones loses in Alabama as is likely, there'd have to be four Democratic victories to tie in the Senate, five for a majority.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

Just read the NYT story in full, thanks.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

And if that's the case and he holds, then assuming Jones loses in Alabama as is likely, there'd have to be four Democratic victories to tie in the Senate, five for a majority.

― Ned Raggett,

Isn't it three wins + VP Harris tie breaking and four for the outright majority?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

Well yes but that's why I mentioned Jones -- that changes it from 53 GOP to 54. Collins, Gardner and McSally all appear to be toast one way or another at last check, so add in any one of Ernst, Tillis, Graham, Perdue and Loeffler (though runoffs likely in the latter two cases) and things are at least even/tiebreak. Two of them, excellent, and run up the score from there if possible.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

I mean, if Jones gets reelected, great! I'm just not hopeful.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:13 (five years ago)

Senator Tuberville, fucking hell

scampo-phenique (WmC), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:15 (five years ago)

I have no idea why everyone still thinks Kellyanne was the author of that piece. Show me one shred of evidence that she did anything but serve as a facilitator and mouthpiece of Trump's horrible ideas.

akm, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Plus the thing where George Conway describes Anonymous in glowing terms. No way it's her.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

Tuberville won't win, it'll be called back for holding

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:24 (five years ago)

I always assumed Jon Huntsman was Anonymous.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

daaammn

Absentee ballots counted after election day do not ‘flip the results of an election,’ as Justice Kavanaugh claimed. They are the results of the election. Period. pic.twitter.com/jgnHZCxoSw

— Bernie Sanders (@SenSanders) October 28, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

maybe. he was only ambassador for a little while though. and that doesn't strike me as being 'in the administration' to the extent that article implied.

akm, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

Trump just wants the convenience of knowing he won two days earlier. you can bet he'll suddenly flip on absentees the moment he realizes he's fucked.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

Trump doing his best to kill off his Nebraska voters: For hours, attendees - including many elderly Trump supporters - stood in the cold, as police scrambled to help those most at-risk get to warmth.
Thirty people needed medical attention over the course of the rally, Omaha police spokesman Michael Pecha told The Washington Post on Wednesday. Seven were taken to local hospitals "with a variety of medical conditions."...

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

the quotes in the articles from Trump attendees all suggest they'd gladly die at one of his rallies.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:36 (five years ago)

there is a Trump and it never goes out

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

And if a speech by the POTUS
Kills the lot of us
To die like dumbfucks
Is such a heavenly way to die

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

the quotes in the articles from Trump attendees all suggest they'd gladly die at one of his rallies.

If you're a New York Times reporter assigned to cover a Trump rally, do you quote the "I'm sure Mr. Trump didn't mean for this to happen, he probably wasn't briefed on the logistics" guy or the "MY LIFE FOR YOU!" guy? "MY LIFE FOR YOU!" makes it into the paper every single time.

but also fuck you (unperson), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:40 (five years ago)

Real shame ol' Ron isn't up for reelection this year, the way the state is looking:

Sen. Ron Johnson is so angry about this obviously satirical tweet about him, he just read it at the Senate tech hearing. Johnson says he wants the tweet taken down— "That could definitely affect my ability to get re-elected." https://t.co/Kx7782yBM7

— Will Sommer (@willsommer) October 28, 2020

Said tweet:

Sen Ron Johnson is my neighbor and strangled our dog, Buttons, right in front of my 4 yr old son and 3 yr old daughter. The police refuse to investigate.This is a complete lie but important to retweet and note that there are more of my lies to come.

— Mary T. Hagan (@marytherese5) October 18, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

Lol @ lunch

Meanwhile if you want to hear from the unhinged "all polls are wrong" contingent, here's a tidy distillation of how that thinking works. Feel free to tear it apart at your leisure

https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/522957-dont-believe-the-polls-trump-is-winning-bigly

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

i lold

https://thenib.com/are-you-prepared-to-lose-the-election/

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:51 (five years ago)

For example, the recent revelation of Hunter Biden’s hidden emails on his laptop, coupled with the link to his father, has come at an opportune time for the president. Moreover, if the economic recovery continues, the good news may continue putting wind in Trump’s sails.

Absolutely delusional.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

Speaking of delusional

Kushner told Woodward: "The most dangerous people around the President are over-confident idiots." https://t.co/WR8s5KeKut

— Dan Friedman (@dfriedman33) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

Wait, didn't that quote come out a while ago? because i definitely remember thinking "more like YOU'RE the dangerous delusional idiot around the president, you jerk" about Kushner pretty recently

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

pure uncut Trump

Why isn’t Twitter trending Biden corruption? It’s the biggest, and most credible, story anywhere in the world. Fake Trending!!!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 28, 2020

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:03 (five years ago)

Guess he really is losing

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

"Fake Trending??" WTF?

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:06 (five years ago)

After his son Eric, the only child still willing to visit the old man on his birthday, had wheeled his chair into the corner, so as to better avoid the stomach-churning sight of the balding lump of orange flesh slurping the lumpy tapioca pudding, the old man began to weep and muttered plaintively into his lap, "fake... pudding... fake.... pudding."

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:07 (five years ago)

They clearly placed all their hopes in Rowdy Rudy's laptop scheme, and there is no Plan B.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:09 (five years ago)

"has come at an opportune time for the president."

Lol yeah amazing that a bullshit attempt to smear his opponent that his team fabricated came at an opportune time!

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

The fact that most people in the media didn't fall for the EXACT SAME BULLSHIT he pulled with Hilary's emails is encouraging. "Oh gee just weeks before election a scandal about his opponent's emails surfaces, far enough out to effect election but not enough for it to be formally discredited. Again. What are the odds??" Jfc of that had worked…

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:15 (five years ago)

also we've had 4 years of "this guy met this other guy at a hotel in Prague" shit that mostly went nowhere

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:17 (five years ago)

OK, it's Miles Taylor, I'm told.

— Ben Smith (@benyt) October 28, 2020

this guy

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

poor google ahahah

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Trump does not know Miles Taylor, but he should be in jail.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:39 (five years ago)

No major revelations in his statement, but here it is:
https://milestaylor.medium.com/a-statement-a13bc5173ee9

jaymc, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

Trump already tweeted about him when he started publicly criticizing the administration a couple of months ago:

Many thousands of people work for our government. With that said, a former DISGRUNTLED EMPLOYEE named Miles Taylor, who I do not know (never heard of him), said he left & is on the open arms Fake News circuit. Said to be a real “stiff”. They will take anyone against us!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 18, 2020

jaymc, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

lol @ 'who I do not know (never heard of him)', Neanderthal otm

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:43 (five years ago)

Taylor? Whoopty fuck.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

when Anonymous turns out to be a deputy undersecretary somewhere that no one has ever heard of, I will allow myself a smug smile, then never think of them again https://t.co/td7EoMN06W

— Rosie Gray (@RosieGray) October 28, 2020

*three hours later*

https://t.co/YRBnBw1O6y pic.twitter.com/pWjhZ2G982

— Rosie Gray (@RosieGray) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

a real "stiff"

superdeep borehole (harbl), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

I mean did anybody really think it was going to be a big name? that'd be a lot harder to hide for a major player in the admin

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

Ohhh https://t.co/Yx2KJA4Dhv

— can (@can) October 28, 2020



Seems like a great lad

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

Personally, I was hoping for multiple no name stiffs all putting out competing "I am anonymous" statements, that would be more fun.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:52 (five years ago)

if only for the growing list of people Trump had to remember that he "didn't know"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

Militia leader Stewart Rhodes tells Alex Jones that his group will be at polling locations and is ready to kill Democrats

Spotify to sign Stewart Rhodes for $100 million, so that he can have Alex Jones on his own podcast


Biden voters who wish to eat a half-off Pizza Hut pizza should just go in and say "I'm voting for Trump" while smiling and holding up a written sign that clearly states "No way in hell is that true!"

if they only wish to eat it, they could just grab the fresh half from the top of the bin

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

I don't know Miles
Steven
Calvin
John
Michael
Oliver
Elvin
or Tom

But I do recall
the most famous DEEP STATE of all

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:54 (five years ago)

Liddl Donlad Trump Jr. (never heard of him, sounds like a loser)

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 19:55 (five years ago)

Focused on the issues

Trump is, at a rally six days from Election Day 2020, making fun of the hair of 2016 independent candidate Evan McMullin.

— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 20:03 (five years ago)

Genesis
Exodus
Leviticus
Numbers
And Anonymous.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 20:04 (five years ago)

Early vote over 75 million -- given projections of a vote total at/around 150 million, might as well call this a tentative 50% line that's been crossed.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

I really feel that the hubris gods should set Trump on fire for talking shit about anyone else's hair

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

Curse thee and thy blond rags

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 20:12 (five years ago)

I really feel that the hubris gods should set Trump on fire for talking shit about anyone else's hair

That he isn't already a sulphurous skeletal burned matchstick is for me concrete proof of the non-existence of an interventionist god

Change Display Name: (stevie), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 20:22 (five years ago)

For example, distrust of pollsters also leads to lower response rates for Trump supporters. Rasmussen finds that 17 percent of likely U.S. voters who “strongly approve” of the job Trump is doing say they are less likely to let others know how they intend to vote in the upcoming election. By comparison, only 8 percent of those who “strongly disapprove” of the president’s performance say the same.

Love to cite poll results as evidence that polls can't be trusted

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:17 (five years ago)

I knew the nuts at Ask Trump Supporters had truly gone off the deep end when they started proclaiming their distrust in polls because every time they'd ever been personally called by a pollster they just lied so the results can't be legit.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:22 (five years ago)

Big:

BREAKING: Supreme Court *rejects* Pennsylvania Republicans’ second attempt to block extended ballot deadline.

— Steven Mazie (@stevenmazie) October 28, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:28 (five years ago)

they care so little about polls that they need to expend lots of energy online explaining to people why the polls are wrong

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:28 (five years ago)

Justice Kavanaugh seems to have switched sides from the earlier PA order, abandoning Gorsuch, Alito and Thomas's position.

— Steven Mazie (@stevenmazie) October 28, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

Roffle.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:29 (five years ago)

he’s drunk

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

what's different between Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that there'd be different rulings?

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

Chicanery.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

The worst legacy of the Bush II years: Sam Alito, every year grinding out gross and evil opinion after opinion that never abandons the hackiest and most sinister of Republican notions of -- I use the term loosely -- governance.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

just for a break from the polls/courts... she is very good at this

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/10/becoming-aoc-cover-story-2020

Under a President Biden, “if his life doesn’t feel different,” she points to a cab driver whizzing by our table, “if their life doesn’t feel different,” she gestures to people walking by the beauty shop and Bengali Halal Grocery, “if these people’s lives don’t actually feel different”—now she is giving a stump speech over her omelet—“we’re done. You know how many Trumps there are in waiting?”

She is tired of incremental change, of “bullshit little 10 percent tax cuts,” she says. “I think, honestly, a lot of my dissent within the Democratic party comes from my lived experience. It’s not just that we can be better, it’s that we have to be better. We’re not good enough right now.”

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

Hahaha man they are just SAD.

Trump super PAC @AmericaFirstPAC is putting @TuckerCarlson's Tony Bobulinski's interview on the air in Pennsylvania + Wisconsin, beginning Friday >https://t.co/w8XTCSJIOJ

— Dave Catanese (@davecatanese) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:35 (five years ago)

Tony Bobulinski
Mr. Tony Bobulinski (ZILCH)

shout-out to his family (DJP), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:37 (five years ago)

Barrett and Kavanugh have plenty of time to make their marks but Alito has always seemed the most transparently evil

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:38 (five years ago)

what's different between Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that there'd be different rulings?

― Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal)

Answers to be found in this podcast, "Strict Scrutiny":
https://strictscrutinypodcast.com/podcast/hot-mess/

I don't 100% remember the details in part bc it was a little murky, also bc the justices didn't give any notes or commentary on the PA ruling because that case came through the shadow docket? (Oooooh.)

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:40 (five years ago)

Is that where they decide who gets shadowbanned?

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

the whole "Trump voters are intentionally skewing the polls" talking point is so idiotic, not only did this by and large not happen in 2016 but there's nothing in the world these idiots want more then for Trump to be leading in the polls, like are you telling me guys like Charlie Kirk & Bill Mitchell wouldn't go fucking crazy if there was a poll showing the race tied

furthermore the polls do seem to be pretty much in line with a President who has not garnered a net positive approval rating at a single point during his presidency, which I believe is a first

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

"the Republican football team likes to trail by 14 by pretending they're bad at football and then play for real in the 4th quarter"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

for days I couldn't figure out what Bobulinski's name reminded me of. I've learned the truth:

https://www.kroger.com/product/images/xlarge/front/0007313001237

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

hearing Boboli to the tune of Springsteen's "Cover Me"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

Pizzagate!

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:51 (five years ago)

If they do decide the air that Bobulinski interview, I can almost guarantee that Hunter Biden won't be elected president.

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:52 (five years ago)

Was Bobulinski one of the Sweathogs

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 21:59 (five years ago)

what's different between Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that there'd be different rulings?

Because PA and WI have different voting laws. Iirc, PA law allows the deadline to be extended and WI pretty explicitly does not.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:00 (five years ago)

"the Republican football team likes to trail by 14 by pretending they're bad at football and then play for real in the 4th quarter"

https://cindybruchman.files.wordpress.com/2014/09/giphy.gif

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:04 (five years ago)

what's different between Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that there'd be different rulings?

― Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, October 28, 2020 5:33 PM (twenty-five minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Remember these are decisions whether to take the underlying appeals (or not), not decisions on the merits, so there are limited written opinions (unlike cases where the SC decides to take the appeal). One significant difference appears to be that the PA ruling appealed from was by the PA Supreme Court (i.e. the highest court in PA) while the WI ruling appealed from was by the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals (i.e. the Federal Court just below the US Supreme Court with jurisdiction over WI).

Roberts:

“While the Pennsylvania applications implicated the authority of state courts to apply their own constitutions to election regulations, this case involves federal intrusion on state lawmaking processes,” the chief justice wrote. “Different bodies of law and different precedents govern these two situations and require, in these particular circumstances, that we allow the modification of election rules in Pennsylvania but not Wisconsin.”

Golden Boy:

In a separate concurrence, Justice Kavanaugh wrote that “the Constitution principally entrusts politically accountable state legislatures, not unelected federal judges, with the responsibility to address the health and safety of the people during the Covid-19 pandemic.”

In short, procedure matters, kids.

NB: I am an atty but not an expert, but I assume the reason the WI case went Federal was because the WI Supreme Court was packed with conservative assholes, meaning the Dems felt they had not chance there.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:17 (five years ago)

Sorry, omitted the following: Basically, the SC didn't want to fuck with a PA Supreme Court ruling interpreting the PA Constitution, but was fine telling the WI Federal Court to back off.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

Funny thing i just read

"Liberals are always shocked when originalist justices are sworn in and produce favorable results. We have to stop thinking of justices as politicians. It’s about an interpretive approach to the law and I think people will be surprised"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

Thanks PBKR!

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:19 (five years ago)

Oh god thank you I was trying to quote from the podcast and I just couldn't get my head around it.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:21 (five years ago)

The insanity of that decision is in the details, wherein Alito more or less states that the ballots should be allowed but they reserve the the right to throw them out later, after they're counted.

Josh in Chicago, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

I assume the reason the WI case went Federal was because the WI Supreme Court was packed with conservative assholes, meaning the Dems felt they had not chance there.

Yes.

In a separate concurrence, Justice Kavanaugh wrote that “the Constitution principally entrusts politically accountable state legislatures, not unelected federal judges, with the responsibility to address the health and safety of the people during the Covid-19 pandemic.”

Sure except WI is SO horrifically gerrymandered that Republicans won like 64 (out of 99) Senate seats with only 40-something % of the vote. So sure, Kavanaugh can claim that they should show deference to the state when they know Repubs have the state locked up.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:28 (five years ago)

How trusting he is!

Trump, dismissing Anonymous as a low-level staffer he didn't know: " I thought it might have been Hope Hicks, I thought it might have been Jared."

— Annie Karni (@anniekarni) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:31 (five years ago)

I thought it might have been Hope
Thought it might be the Kush
A real live lover, could have been a book

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:35 (five years ago)

Like the paranoid last days of the Khmer Rouge.. spies, counterrevolutionaries everywhere!

Andy the Grasshopper, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:42 (five years ago)

Sure except WI is SO horrifically gerrymandered that Republicans won like 64 (out of 99) Senate seats with only 40-something % of the vote. So sure, Kavanaugh can claim that they should show deference to the state when they know Repubs have the state locked up.

― Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, October 28, 2020 6:28 PM (twelve minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

For sure. I don't agree with any of this even from a legal standpoint, just articulating their bullshit Federalist Society "judicial restraint" rationale.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:43 (five years ago)

I'm not contesting anything you said, I can barely comprehend the facts of the matter! Just pointing out that the WI legislature basically CAN'T be held accountable by the people of the state.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:54 (five years ago)

Yeah these assholes have pretty much permafucked my state, don’t let it happen to you

frogbs, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:57 (five years ago)

Lissen, we already dragged Michigan once today, I don't know what else to tell you.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 22:58 (five years ago)

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal)
Posted: October 28, 2020 at 3:48:04 PM
hearing Boboli to the tune of Springsteen's "Cover Me"

#onethread

The little engine that choogled (hardcore dilettante), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:22 (five years ago)

Ah've been
lookin' for a pizza that'll come round here
and Boboli

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:32 (five years ago)

i hear "boboli" and im thinkin amadou and mariam

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

On the Kavanaugh thing, allowing for the possibility that he was just interpreting the law differently than the other justices, it seems like a bid for power. The fulcrum of the court at this point is Roberts +1 conservative, and being that +1 could have a lot of sway.

a man often referred to in the news media as the Duke of Saxony (tipsy mothra), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:39 (five years ago)

Are those political lean hit points?

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:48 (five years ago)

Kavanaugh is 100% the ideological center of the current Supreme Court

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:56 (five years ago)

that sounds right

Dan S, Wednesday, 28 October 2020 23:57 (five years ago)

Another one?

BREAKING: Supreme Court rejects Trump bid to block North Carolina mail-in ballot deadline extension

— Lawrence Hurley (@lawrencehurley) October 28, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

shout-out to his family (DJP) at 4:37 28 Oct 20

Tony Bobulinski
Mr. Tony Bobulinski (ZILCH)

lol

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 29 October 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

Trump, who shooed @MarthaMcSally off stage at his last AZ rally without letting her speak, just called her up and told her “you’ve got one minute.” And she is speaking very quickly!

— Eli Stokols (@EliStokols) October 28, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 00:19 (five years ago)

FiveThirtyEight national average, 6 days before the election

2016
Clinton: 45.1%
Trump: 42.0%

2020
Biden: 51.8%
Trump: 42.9%

— Niles Edward Francis (@NilesGApol) October 29, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

Money money money

Mike Bloomberg's Independence USA PAC out with $22.5 million more in the presidential race https://t.co/wfc7AwAGEK

— Rob Pyers (@rpyers) October 29, 2020

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

I'm a bit spooked by that article on 538 that says if Trump wins Pennsylvania, then Biden only has a 30% of winning the election. Pennsylvania looks pretty winnable for Trump!

Zelda Zonk, Thursday, 29 October 2020 03:54 (five years ago)

yeah, I'm worried too.

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:00 (five years ago)

they have Biden's chances of winning PA at 86%, his lead may "only" be 5 but the polling has been super steady there, if Trump wins it it's because there's a big shift that would impact all the Midwestern states

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

that said I think it's one of the states that will count in person before processing mail ballots so be prepared for a heart attack

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:03 (five years ago)

still, I don't think I can trust the polls after the last time

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:08 (five years ago)

well if you can't trust the polls what do the odds that 538 gives Trump matter at all then

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:09 (five years ago)

the polls weren't wrong by much in 2016, but no amount of polling can predict where the undecideds will land. this year there are half as many and all signs point towards them breaking towards Biden

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

whether one trusts opinion polls or doesn't trust opinion polls is irrelevant to the outcome. roughly 150 million votes will be cast, counted, fought over, and certified and we'll see how it sorts out. god knows how much stupid reasoning and toxic emotions will actuate that voting, but it's the only polling that really means anything and we will find out soon enough.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

Kanye WEst wins in shocker

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:14 (five years ago)

will of the people, man

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:17 (five years ago)

I think a lot of folks look at these what-if models ass-backwards. A win in one state can't affect the outcome of another state. The models answer the question "given the drivers of polling numbers leading to current predictions, for candidate X to win in state Y, how much change/error would there need to be in the underlying drivers for that to happen, and how would that play across the whole map?" So Trump winning PA is likely only if there is a large error in polling, which if systematically applied in that direction to all the polls, would be a situation where Biden has only a 30% chance. That's answering the question "what if the polls are wrong by 7% in Biden's favour" or similar - that would yield a low likelihood of a win for Biden. But if Trump pulls some fluke or stunt and happens to win PA, it's not like the other states go "well shit, PA went red so let's lean that way". So sure, Trump winning PA is a possibility, but it doesn't drag all the other states unless it's a nationwide driver like Biden has a stroke or something ($DEITY forbid).

assert (MatthewK), Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:25 (five years ago)

demographics play a big part too, if Trump outperforms by 3-4 in states like Florida and Texas it doesn't necessarily mean much for the Midwest. i think 538's model accounts for all that.

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:32 (five years ago)

In new petition, GOP candidates and state Rep. Toth ask Texas Supreme Court to REJECT Harris County votes cast in drive-thru lanes (100,000+ so far), calling it illegal curbside voting reserved for sick/disabled.
A new argument after earlier bid to end drive-thru voting failed.

— Chuck Lindell (@chucklindell) October 28, 2020

If these bastards pull this off, it's war.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:39 (five years ago)

I'm hoping for a Biden win in PA, but as much as I want it to happen, it seems like there is powerful support there for Trump, so I'm worried

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 04:54 (five years ago)

Please focus your worry to some limited area of PA, preferably fewer than 1000 registered voters, so as to have the maximum impact on the votes they cast. Generalizing your worry across the entire state only dilutes its power.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 29 October 2020 05:03 (five years ago)

who is Gritty voting for

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Thursday, 29 October 2020 05:38 (five years ago)

In a state with many vile institutions the TX Court of Criminal Appeals is the worst with the Supreme Court following closely behind. Incompetent even when not acting ideologically.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 29 October 2020 05:51 (five years ago)

NEWS: Facebook to BAN ALL POLITICAL ADS INDEFINITELY, beginning after the polls close on November 3rd

also cracking down on polling place intimidation posts and adding more rules as disinformation and the threat of violence rises approaching Election Day

― Josh in Chicago, Thursday, October 8, 2020 8:38 AM (three weeks ago)

is that a joke

― error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, October 8, 2020 8:42 AM (three weeks ago)

we will close the barn door after the horse has left the stable

― frogbs, Thursday, October 8, 2020 8:43 AM (three weeks ago)

reminder that they actively violate electoral law constantly in Washington, and spend more on lawyers fighting their violations than it would even cost to pay the relevant fines

also that indefinitely could mean "for two minutes"

― erratic wolf angular guitarist (sic), Thursday, October 8, 2020 9:00 AM (three weeks ago)

well who could have ever predicted this

In October, Facebook announced that after the polls close, it would ban all political ads indefinitely. The purpose of that policy is to prevent a campaign from declaring victory prematurely.

Both policies were part of a high-profile effort to convince the public that the company was taking election integrity seriously.

But on the first day of the moratorium, Facebook approved numerous Trump ads that appeared to violate its pre-election policies. At the same time, Facebook rejected scores of ads, many from groups aligned with Democrats, that do not violate its rules.

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Thursday, 29 October 2020 07:17 (five years ago)

Early voting now at 77.4 million — a slowing pace, which is a pity, but given all the numbers up until now maybe not totally surprising. 80 million will be reached today regardless but whether 90 million is made by Saturday morning, we’ll see.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 12:52 (five years ago)

Texas vote total at 94% of 2016 — pretty crazy in a good way.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 12:55 (five years ago)

Unsettling when you hear it framed this way (on the radio this morning): the millions of ballots still in transit that, in 29 states, will be thrown away if they don't arrive by Tuesday.

But I figure most of those 29 states must be solidly Republican anyway, and junked ballots won't matter. Are any of them key swing states?

clemenza, Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:03 (five years ago)

Desperately hope Biden wins Florida and the whole thing doesn't end up hanging on late declaring states

NEW NBC/Marist poll: In the battleground state of Florida, Biden holds a 4-point lead over Trump

In this final NBC/Marist poll, Biden earns support of 51% of likely voters while Trump earns 47%, a shift since September’s poll when both were tied at 48%https://t.co/aRIekCmVSS

— NBC News PR (@NBCNewsPR) October 29, 2020

Alba, Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:05 (five years ago)

i'll be goddamned if this all ends up hinging on chicanery in florida

global tetrahedron, Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:15 (five years ago)

Good morning!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:17 (five years ago)

lmaooooooooooo the hunter biden shit gets more hilarious

I stole Tucker Carlson’s trove of documents.

Awww, just kidding. Of course a major news network wouldn’t have scanned those documents first right? Or make a copy? Nope. They sent their only copy through the mail. If you believe that, then I have a bridge to sell you. https://t.co/JhTVvvUz5H

— Ted Lieu (@tedlieu) October 29, 2020

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:26 (five years ago)

Unsettling when you hear it framed this way (on the radio this morning): the millions of ballots still in transit that, in 29 states, will be thrown away if they don't arrive by Tuesday.

But I figure most of those 29 states must be solidly Republican anyway, and junked ballots won't matter. Are any of them key swing states?

― clemenza, Thursday, October 29, 2020 9:03 AM bookmarkflaglink

depending on the state, there may be ballot tracking (or there may not...ugh, variance). if there is, and the voter knows their ballot wasn't received, once again, depending on the state, they might be able to vote in person and 'spoil' their ballot so it is not counted if received.

that, of course, depends a lot on the state itself and that the voters are paying that close attention to their ballots en masse, so I'm going to go with your theory that these are mostly Republican states to calm my nerves

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:28 (five years ago)

so some deceptively good economy numbers today

(•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:30 (five years ago)

OCTOBER SURPRISE

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Thursday, 29 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/3cIYMeB.png

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 14:00 (five years ago)

BREAKING: Wisconsin Republican Party chairman says hackers stole $2.3 million from account dedicated to Trump reelection. https://t.co/5MwwE2zVkl

— The Associated Press (@AP) October 29, 2020

gotta be the same folks who stole Tucker's documents, right?

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 14:10 (five years ago)

I'm a bit spooked by that article on 538 that says if Trump wins Pennsylvania, then Biden only has a 30% of winning the election. Pennsylvania looks pretty winnable for Trump!

― Zelda Zonk, Wednesday, October 28, 2020 10:54 PM (yesterday) bookmarkflaglink

I think this needs to be read carefully. If you look at 538's interactive forecast, giving Pennsylvania to Trump *in isolation* does indeed produce a forecast where Biden wins only about 1/3 of the time. But if you simultaneously give Arizona to Biden, then the forecast flips and Trump wins only about 1/3 of the time. Alternatively, if you give Pennsylvania to Trump and both Michigan and Wisconsin to Biden, then Biden still wins a majority of the time.

The forecast model is smart enough to see how states are related to one another, but there's also a lot of uncertainty built in. It doesn't know whether Pennsylvania has gone to Trump because of targeted voter suppression in Philadelphia (which wouldn't necessarily affect other states), or because pollsters have once again underestimated the white working-class vote throughout the Rust Belt.

jaymc, Thursday, 29 October 2020 14:12 (five years ago)

On the hacking: They need to get ace GOP cyber czar Rudy G on the case.

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 29 October 2020 14:13 (five years ago)

these desperate emails from Jaime Harrison are getting to be... a lot.

tobo73, Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:36 (five years ago)

serioulsy wtf

just the subject headings

i'm sorry

please help

I don't like doing this

please Hadrian

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:38 (five years ago)

I donated a few weeks ago directly to several of the closest Senate races and then donated to a fund that split the donation to several of these races (as well as a couple of others). I now receive about 5 fundraising emails an hour, every hour, every day from various campaigns. Harrison, Warnock and Ossoff the main culprits, though Cal Cunningham pretty obnoxious as well.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

We're falling behind!!! WashPo says we're close! Can you rush us $5?

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:40 (five years ago)

https://64.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_melyan1Woy1qc11wzo2_500.gifv

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

I just want a gif of Biden sticking his hands in his pockets then pulling the pockets out to show their empty. Is this too much to ask?

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

LOL totally xp

DJI, Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

they're*

jesus

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

I did the same donate-across-the-board thing, and immediately got the deluge. And just as quickly unsubscribed from everything. On the one hand, I get it. On the other hand, if I've donated once I clearly know about your race. And on the third hand, Jamie Harrison, if I donated to your race multiple times over the past several months, then I not only know about your race, I also know you raked in record amounts of cash, and feel perhaps less pressure to donate even more to you the week before the election when I can donate instead to some other race that hasn't raked in as much.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

I donate with Myaddress+actb✧✧✧@gm✧✧✧.c✧✧

Half the campaigns use software that doesn’t understand the + so they never email me.

And I have a filter to trash for the rest.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:49 (five years ago)

And there are no senate campaigns set up to effectively spend money they receive this late. It’s a genuinely offensive and harmful grift at this point.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:50 (five years ago)

Serious "Dawn of the Dead" vibes here:

https://media.npr.org/assets/img/2020/10/28/ap_20294635623550_slide-505d40cb0efefdca3c357d499051f6f232b6166e-s1500-c85.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

(I should probably put that in 2020 images)

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

I am 100% expecting to continue to receive fundraising emails from the Trump campaign post-election.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 29 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

This might be my favorite political ad so far:

Biden campaign also going up on Comedy Central and Adult Swim with this animated climate change focused ad pic.twitter.com/0OjZnqz3PZ

— Johnny Verhovek (@JTHVerhovek) October 29, 2020

Darin, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:19 (five years ago)

Do y'all get texts about the election?? So fucking annoying and I don't know how to make them stop. I get at least one a day, often more.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

I got 2 last week, the only ones I've gotten this cycle.

scampo-phenique (WmC), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

I get texts every day. and robocalls too

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

you know you can unsubscribe from those mailing lists (the email ones anyway)

akm, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

My PA-based parents were complaining about endless texts the other day

rob, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

I get regular election-related texts for someone named Maria. A lot of people think this is Maria's phone for some reason, but it is not.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

Just text “Stop” to the texts

Boring, Maryland, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:33 (five years ago)

Perry Farrell once texted me, asking what my favorite Jane's Addiction song was, and I never heard from him again.

pplains, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gtcb4E0Ado0

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

How did Trump win? If we have to keep asking then we don’t get the commitment of his voters. 10s of millions of them will vote Tues. They’d walk “750 miles” in the freezing cold “just to hear him speak.” I wouldn’t do that to hear Bernie, Biden or JC himself. THAT’s how they win. https://t.co/YwNDE3PV3C

— Michael Moore (@MMFlint) October 29, 2020

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

I get regular election-related texts for someone named Maria. A lot of people think this is Maria's phone for some reason, but it is not.

I also get texts aimed at a woman (I can't remember the name; they don't pop up that often) who lives in Wisconsin. I've replied to several of them with:

WRONG NUMBER
NOT (NAME), NOT IN WISCONSIN

A few of them have responded, saying they'll take me off the list.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

Perry Farrell once texted me, asking what my favorite Jane's Addiction song was, and I never heard from him again.

― pplains, Thursday, October 29, 2020 11:35 AM (fifty-three seconds ago) bookmarkflaglink

lol

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

been caught canvassing

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:37 (five years ago)

ritual de lo electoral

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:38 (five years ago)

They're not from the same org so STOP doesn't work

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:40 (five years ago)

lol Michael Moore needs to get a clue about Blaire Eskine

Brad C., Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

that goddamm nokia

pplains, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:42 (five years ago)

Yeah that MM tweet is gold.

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:54 (five years ago)

The ad linked above is very good. Biden leaning into the "Will you shut up, man?" message as a clear winner.

but also fuck you (unperson), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

y'all https://t.co/I9wshcgwfP

— blaire erskine (@blaireerskine) October 29, 2020

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

How did Trump win?
A statistical blip of less than 80K votes and the vagaries of the Electoral College.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 29 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

come to my rally
outside
freezing, but no bus for you

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Thursday, 29 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

lol @ MM falling for a satire video

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Thursday, 29 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

Hmm, where should this go? I'll put it ... here:

Wow, did not know this about David Bowie pic.twitter.com/kJNiJbjT5T

— James Urbaniak (@JamesUrbaniak) October 29, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

I love a lad insane!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 29 October 2020 17:41 (five years ago)

a lot of v nice polls today

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:03 (five years ago)

links pls ty

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

yeah no sign the race is tightening and even if it is half the vote is in already

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:07 (five years ago)

here's Qunnipac:

Quinnipiac:

Biden +3 FL
Trump +1 IA
Biden +7 PA
Biden +5 OHhttps://t.co/j0mhcreiJC

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 29, 2020

+5 in Ohio is a real surprise, I pretty much assumed Trump had it in the bag

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:10 (five years ago)

But what if Trump gets literally every vote from now on?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

yeah I thought biden was doing better in Iowa than Ohio

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

poller probably mixed them up

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:17 (five years ago)

classic pollster error

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:19 (five years ago)

nice poll

Joe Biden leads in North Carolina, according to the final Times/Siena poll of the state
Biden 48, Trump 45
Cunningham 46, Tillis 43
Cooper 51, Forest 42https://t.co/S1ytZ3cbj9

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 29, 2020

nice poll

Biden leads the final Monmouth poll of Florida
Biden 51, Trump 45 ('high turnout')
Biden 50, Trump 46 ('low turnout')https://t.co/ZjQBH8EBJ8

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 29, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

this is handy if you want to get into looking at individual polls (which is now way to live, but i'm not one to judge)

Large pollster house effects this year, especially from Trafalgar:https://t.co/J6tX06EGae pic.twitter.com/YXpSehzeBr

— Matt Grossmann (@MattGrossmann) October 29, 2020

note quinnipac. you probably don't want to look at their polls individually.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:27 (five years ago)

Even if some of those are delusionally skewed, I cannot imagine Trumpoids looking at those numbers/trends and feeling confident & happy

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

note you cannot just add those numbers to polls and get the right answer. if you could it would be easy. but it gives you an idea of tendencies.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

from NC, a Trump +4 state in '16

60% of the likely electorate said they had already voted, and they backed Biden 55-39. Party reg was D40, R31, so very close to the current state figures (39-31)

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 29, 2020

Those same voters said they backed Clinton 39-35 in 2016. If that's right, then a lot of the Trump-->Biden swing is already banked here

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 29, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

right xxp. you can argue that the polls are off in an absolute sense, but unless they're becoming _more_ off, it looks to me like things are shifting toward biden on average in these final days. that would make sense given what is going on in the world. but who knows.

it's not out of the question that they're becoming _more_ off btw. weird things happen to polls in the final week. sample sizes go up, herding is stronger, etc.

cannot wait for this to be over btw i'm going insane.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

It's really not enough for Trump to lose on Tuesday. I want the Republican party driven into the ground so hard that newspapers will be forced to send out reporters deep into "Biden country" to understand what took them all by surprise.

Alba, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

the big wildcard here is when UPS is gonna find the Hunter Biden package that Tucker lost

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:36 (five years ago)

cannot wait for this to be over btw i'm going insane.

It's like sitting in a waiting room because the doctor called you in to discuss the results of your biopsy and now the doctor is running an hour late. Try flipping through an old copy of Esquire to distract yourself.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:37 (five years ago)

and the Esquire is covered with COVID.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

recently did just that! but no magazines!

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

Early vote count now 80 million. Three milestones of a sort to look for:

90 million -- why because round number

94 million -- this would be a full doubling of the 2016 early vote total

100 million -- round number but also just a massive amount all around as noted earlier in the thread, 2/3 of the projected vote total and 1/2 of the estimated US electorate as a whole.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

newspapers will be forced to send out reporters deep into "Biden country" to understand what took them all by surprise.

Sadly our local diner is closed for indoor service but I will happily stand on my porch with a cup of coffee and dispense folk wisdom about a political campaign that finally took normie liberals like me seriously

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

lmaooooo his own advisors are telling him the Hunter story is a dud

"Lock him up!" chants directed at Hunter Biden morphs into "Where is Hunter?" chants. It's a hate movement.

"They're calling me up, 'sir, you shouldn't be speaking about Hunter. You shouldn't be bad things about Biden b/c nobody cares.' I disagree," Trump says. pic.twitter.com/ZeBy063bfZ

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) October 29, 2020

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

haha

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:50 (five years ago)

xpost - Nope, they'll just stick with profiles on the sad Trumpers who get completely blindsided by the loss because orange baby man promised them a win.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:51 (five years ago)

god damnit I'm reading the "I disagree" part in the Adam Sandler Uncut Gems voice

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

I would have believed Tucker more if he had said his dog ate the top-secret Biden documents.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:52 (five years ago)

You guys are really underestimating the possibility that Tucker's secret documents include time travel schematics in addition to Hunter Biden dirt, and that he will travel back in time, months and months, to where that information might matter, to the handfuls of people who even care.

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:54 (five years ago)

Why is he standing in front of that sunglasses/car selfie meme?

xps

Evan, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

This is from the vote counter Wasserman relies on rather than Elections Project; this fellow has higher numbers overall so I'm always a hair cautious (lowballing seems safer on this front) but:

MAHALO, HAWAII!
You're the first state to exceed 2016 turnout...just got confirmation from a Honolulu reporter.

— John Couvillon (@WinWithJMC) October 29, 2020

Texas still on track to exceed 100% at some point tomorrow.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

o'wahoo!

Evan, Thursday, 29 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

Ned's covered this a lot already, but the early vote totals in Texas are the most shocking and almost unbelievable thing to me. Early voting there is currently at 94% of the 2016 total turnout. Either election day is going to be a ghost town in Texas or turnout is going to be massively higher there than in 2016.

Dan I., Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

yeee my home state of hawaii doing me proud xp

davey, Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:05 (five years ago)

and I just saw that Ned mentioned Texas literally two posts above me rather than like two days ago. sorry!

Dan I., Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

Haven't seen it mentioned, but it's worth noting that right now, 90% of eligible voters in Philadelphia are registered to vote, the highest numbers since 1984.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

Anybody got any good leads on where to donate to orgs in Texas that are driving people to the polls/generally getting the vote out?

Fetchboy, Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:24 (five years ago)

read that as donate organs in Texas

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

Physically driving people to polls is going to be a problem this year because of physical distancing. I'm not sure how covid-19 is curtailing that kind of GOTV activity, but I'm guessing that it's going to limit it pretty severely.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

xp

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sp-pU8TFsg0

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

Anyway, borrowing from the scale Kilgore Trout on Twitter has popularized in terms of trashing Trump's use of his time, here's how to think of that time left:

Today: 20% of time before the election
Tomorrow: 25%
Saturday: 33%
Sunday: 50%
Monday: 100%

And in terms of anything changing much or causing a change, nothing is happening.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

Should readjust the amount of time against the percentage of the electorate already having cast ballots.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

Indeed!

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:57 (five years ago)

BLOOMINGTON, Minn. (AP) — Trump administration officials on Thursday stripped Endangered Species Act protections for gray wolves in most of the U.S., ending longstanding federal safeguards and putting states and tribes in charge of overseeing the predators.
The U.S. Department of Interior announcement just days ahead of the Nov. 3 election could lead to resumption of wolf hunts in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin...

And what is Biden doing to secure that coveted 19-55 wolf hunter demographic?

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:58 (five years ago)

My Resignation From The Intercept

The same trends of repression, censorship and ideological homogeneity plaguing the national press generally have engulfed the media outlet I co-founded, culminating in censorship of my own articles.https://t.co/dZrlYGfEBf

— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) October 29, 2020

not sure if this is the thread for this lollery

stet, Thursday, 29 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

defend the indefensible: glenn fucking greenwald

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:00 (five years ago)

tyvm

stet, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:04 (five years ago)

And what is Biden doing to secure that coveted 19-55 wolf hunter demographic?

You're snarking but this is a live political issue in northern Wisconsin. Lots of people see grey wolves as pests and dispute that they're still endangered.

But I don't think this is going to move votes for him in the parts of Wisconsin where he's really hurting (traditionally Republican Milwaukee suburbs.)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:10 (five years ago)

Yeah I was going to say, surely this is more of a sop to the predisposed.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:11 (five years ago)

"We will prevent nasty grey wolves from moving into your beautiful suburbs!"

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:15 (five years ago)

Do Wine Moms Dream of Electric Sheep

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:19 (five years ago)

https://cdn.cjr.org/wp-content/themes/cjr2017/images-body/NY1.jpg

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:20 (five years ago)

I live in Wisconsin, the "single issue wolf voter" is definitely a thing

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:24 (five years ago)

Welp, there goes the country.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:27 (five years ago)

(JK, Wisconsin is literally one of the worst places in the globe right now for how COVID cases are trending.)

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:28 (five years ago)

Personally I'm a three wolf moon voter.

Also today I learned Glenn Greenwald's middle name

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

is it Gary

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

lol

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

Always be complaining

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:42 (five years ago)

(JK, Wisconsin is literally one of the worst places in the globe right now for how COVID cases are trending.)

― On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, October 29, 2020 3:28 PM (thirteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yup if you look at the top 20 cities for infections per capita, we've got #3 (Beaver Dam), #7 (Sheboygan, where I live), #8 (Wausau), #10 (Fond du Lac), #11 (Oshkosh), #12 (Manitowoc, my hometown), #14 (Appleton), #15 (Green Bay), #18 (Stevens Point), and #20 (Eau Claire). On Wisconsin!!!

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:44 (five years ago)

You're the Manitowoc Minute guy aren't ya

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

that dude had never even been to Manitowoc before he came up with that character

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 20:55 (five years ago)

re: the title of the thread, i thought this was a good piece

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/29/opinion/trump-arts-culture.html

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 21:41 (five years ago)

Yeah, I liked that, too.

jaymc, Thursday, 29 October 2020 21:42 (five years ago)

Every moment spent thinking about Trump is a moment that could have been spent contemplating, creating or appreciating something else. Trump is a narcissistic philistine, and he bent American culture toward him.

Wayne Grotski (symsymsym), Thursday, 29 October 2020 21:50 (five years ago)

that's not true, we have plenty of time to do that stuff now

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 21:53 (five years ago)

If you like ketchup on a well-done steak, then he's no philistine.

Andy the Grasshopper, Thursday, 29 October 2020 21:54 (five years ago)

Before Trump, I’d never had the feeling of wanting to fast-forward through the era I was living in, of longing to be in the future, looking back at how it all turned out.

i felt this a lot over the past 4 years, despite the fact they both my kids were born in that time, and i should have been savoring it. what a bunch of shit.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 29 October 2020 21:55 (five years ago)

To a point I brought up this morning:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/29/politics/mail-in-ballots-supreme-court-pennsylvania-wisconsin-north-carolina/index.html

All those in-transit ballots have to arrive by Tuesday to be counted in Wisconsin. So that is unsettling. Hopefully Biden's lead is large enough that late ballots won't matter.

clemenza, Thursday, 29 October 2020 22:26 (five years ago)

doesn't automatically discarding ballots have an equal chance of hurting Republicans?

Josh in Chicago, Thursday, 29 October 2020 22:34 (five years ago)

Potentially an even greater one, given that there's been a huge emphasis on the Democratic side to vote early regardless.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 22:35 (five years ago)

I just assumed it would hurt Democrats in blue states (and wouldn't matter to them in red states). Wisconsin is extremely important, and Biden's up 7-10 in most polls.

clemenza, Thursday, 29 October 2020 22:37 (five years ago)

Trump postponed tonight's Fayetteville, North Carolina rally to Monday, due to bad weather. Surprised he didn't just do it anyway.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, 29 October 2020 22:39 (five years ago)

xpost -- Remember that these are not nationwide decisions but individual state ones. The only reason Trump et al are venting is that these are swing states or seen to be.

Ned Raggett, Thursday, 29 October 2020 22:58 (five years ago)

Welp, add Minnesota to the list of states that might have hundreds of thousands of invalidated absentee ballots: https://cbsloc.al/37Uh7Ow

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

I’m not sure I buy this is bad for Biden, literally every Dem voter I know made a point to vote early because they knew the GOP was gonna try to steal it

frogbs, Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

it's Thursday, will the outstanding ballots really not be delivered by next Tuesday?

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

Trump is a narcissistic philistine, and he bent American culture toward him.

this lets America off the hook imho

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:48 (five years ago)

it's Thursday, will the outstanding ballots really not be delivered by next Tuesday?

https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/imageserve/5f626e7cde8955b36a7f436f/960x0.jpg

Un-fooled and placid (sic), Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

"Trump is a narcissistic philistine, and he bent American culture toward him."

this lets America off the hook imho

― it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Thursday, October 29, 2020

yes otm

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:55 (five years ago)

I guess the ruling in MN was like the one in WI. "However well-intentioned and appropriate from a policy perspective in the context of a pandemic during a presidential election, it is not the province of a state executive official to re-write the state’s election code, at least as it pertains to selection of presidential electors”. These court rulings are confusing

Dan S, Thursday, 29 October 2020 23:59 (five years ago)

THIS IS THE DECISION I HAVE BEEN WARNING ABOUT FOR WEEKS. There is NO Supreme Court precedent to back up the 8th Circuit. This is a radical made-up theory Republicans are using to prevent states from counting ballots! THIS IS DANGEROUS FUCKING TERRITORY! https://t.co/etL0CYFmCM

— Mark Joseph Stern (@mjs_DC) October 29, 2020

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

These court rulings are confusing

Ya think?

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 00:09 (five years ago)

that's scary. I always think Mark Joseph Stern is right

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

hah nice!

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/523500-georgia-senator-to-skip-debate-after-democratic-rival-goes-viral

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 30 October 2020 00:15 (five years ago)

THIS IS THE DECISION I HAVE BEEN WARNING ABOUT FOR WEEKS. There is NO Supreme Court precedent to back up the 8th Circuit. This is a radical made-up theory Republicans are using to prevent states from counting ballots! THIS IS DANGEROUS FUCKING TERRITORY! https://t.co/etL0CYFmCM
— Mark Joseph Stern (@mjs_DC) October 29, 2020
― On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Thursday, October 29, 2020 8:09 PM (twenty-three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

The US are ruined.

Van Horn Street, Friday, 30 October 2020 00:33 (five years ago)

I feel like I'm often lately trying to understand lawyers' interpretations of court decisions regarding the election that are arcane. I don't know who to believe, and the decisions themselves often seem like some kind of roulette, with no explanation that is coherent to us

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

what’s to stop state officials from counting all the ballots and daring DOJ to do something about it?

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, 30 October 2020 00:55 (five years ago)

what’s to stop state officials from counting all the ballots and daring DOJ to do something about it?

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:02 (five years ago)

Didn’t mean to do that

(•̪●) (carne asada), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:02 (five years ago)

Republican-controlled legislatures and their ability to choose electors, which they are champing at the bit for any excuse to deploy

Dan I., Friday, 30 October 2020 01:05 (five years ago)

Minnesota's "blessed" with a split legislature rn.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:14 (five years ago)

Right, and I guess it would take a SCOTUS travesty to even allow the interpretation that would let legislators pick the electors directly, but PA and WI are fully R controlled

Dan I., Friday, 30 October 2020 01:19 (five years ago)

(that is, an interpretation that would let legislators pick electors and also not be subject to a governor's veto)

Dan I., Friday, 30 October 2020 01:20 (five years ago)

you are thinking way beyond me. where does it go from it being about votes counted to 'legislators picking electors'

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

It's a "see what sticks" kinda election.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/trump-plan-legislature-appoint-electors-end-democracy.html

describes it better than I can

Dan I., Friday, 30 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

Tho I admit I'm lost now too.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

Avoid this if you're allergic to optimism:

National Journal has unlocked my column early, here it is, might need to fill out a form to access. Unlocked link: https://t.co/hVIxNV7YIp

— Charlie Cook (@CharlieCookDC) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

Not allergic to, but for sure no longer fluent in.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:35 (five years ago)

What is "optimism"?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

It's this thing in quotes.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

good morning!

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:39 (five years ago)

only the accelerationist in me is optimistic these days

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

good morning!

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:42 (five years ago)

love you guys :)

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:43 (five years ago)

I will say that in California it's kinda easy to be chill simply because we've been doing absentee/ballot drop off for years and this year will be busy but not unprecedented. Good story here with a Bay Area focus:

https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/Bay-Area-s-early-votes-are-pouring-in-15682880.php

As noted, in SF itself essentially half the registered voters in the city have already voted. With the further opened stations over the weekend, that number'll just spike up.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 01:53 (five years ago)

My sense is that this election is shaping up to be rather lopsided, and suppressing late votes hurts Republicans more than Democrats. However, if any action is taken by a state to wipe out a large amount of votes and reverse the results, I don't see how that winds up with anything less than an end to the country. I can't imagine that a massive portion of the country will just sit back and watch its votes be trashed and not take immediate action.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:57 (five years ago)

the cook article is nice to think about, but fails to account for all the chicanery. makes it hard to take seriously.

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, 30 October 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

Yeah I'm getting quite confident too, I've noticed that since the first debate there has been virtually no good polling for Trump whatsoever, this is nothing like in 2016 when Trump was ticking up every day leading up to the election and we were all like "come on that asshole is not getting that many votes"

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

but the chicanery! the chicanery, i say!

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

It's the absence of changing trends that seems to be driving a lot of current mood, combined with the still accelerating turnout. Everything's holding steady and Polling Twitter seems to be astoundingly sanguine more and more. Silver pretty much just said "Eh, nothing much will change, only interested in the last Pennsylvania polls."

To my mind the funniest anecdote is Ossoff ripping Perdue a new one and then Perdue going "Uh" and dropping out of the last debate.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 02:04 (five years ago)

Ossoff's finest moment, made possible because Perdue stood there and took it.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:06 (five years ago)

Given all the shenanigans being pulled with the post office prior to most states' early voting windows, my hunch was that almost everyone intended on dropping their ballots off in person anyway. Which means, another mostly botched attempt at supervillainy.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:11 (five years ago)

Right -- my impression was anecdotal there but that was being heavily pushed in response to DeJoy's summer foolishness.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

I was going to post that I actually think we'd have a war on our hands if a substantial amount of ballots are thrown out.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:14 (five years ago)

Pretty much where I'm at right now. The fear that's in the back of my mind is whether an overwhelming Biden/Democratic victory will be a call to war by the other side.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

Here's the stuff worrying me about Florida:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/29/miami-voter-turnout-democrats-433643https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/29/miami-voter-turnout-democrats-433643

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

that link didn't work

is this it?

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/29/miami-voter-turnout-democrats-433643

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 02:28 (five years ago)

there’s good points
some bad points
It all works out
I'm just a little freaked out

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 02:30 (five years ago)

Hold up, now Tucker says he has the documents, but things everyone should lay off Hunter?

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 02:31 (five years ago)

So "blame the guy who fathered him" is the strategy? Bold strategy when Trump's the opponent.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:33 (five years ago)

Aren't we not supposed to read too much into early voting numbers re FL

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:35 (five years ago)

I read too much, period.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:36 (five years ago)

This other Politico piece reads like hubristic bullshit. Why doesn't any journalist interviewing one of these "shy Trump voters are real!" assholes ever ask how come Trump has never broken 50% once in four years? Even when he was newly inaugurated, they wouldn't stick up for him? Just how shy are these fucking mythical people? Do they disintegrate on contact with sunlight?

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:51 (five years ago)

Duh. Shy Trump are literally vampires.

mildew and sanctimony (soda), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

so sick of hearing about the shy Trump voter, how many studies do we need that show these people by and large don't exist

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 02:54 (five years ago)

Biden campaign trolling the Q people hard with this one.

This storm will pass, and a new day will come. pic.twitter.com/PewrMRuRXx

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) October 30, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:58 (five years ago)

We're too
Shy shy
But Trump is our guy

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Friday, 30 October 2020 02:58 (five years ago)

OK, I'm kinda glad I don't follow the Q thing.

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 03:03 (five years ago)

And Silver literally just a minute ago:

The race is not tightening if you use any sort of robust methodology or look at the better polling. The tightening is almost entirely confined to a group of 3 or 4 pollsters that release a lot of polls and so can dominate polling averages that don't adjust for house effects, etc.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 30, 2020

If anything he sounds bored and wanting to look at other things now.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

Meanwhile in Houston:

JUST IN: Harris County, TX has surpassed its final 2016 turnout of 1.34 million, setting an all-time record.

That's about 54% of the county’s 2.48 million registered voters. Per @HarrisVotes, final turnout was between ~61-63% in ’08, ’12 & ’16, when the voter rolls were smaller.

— Jasper Scherer (@jaspscherer) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:22 (five years ago)

That's pretty nuts, i hope they can keep the momentum going through election day.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:24 (five years ago)

was gonna say that's why I'm not really worried about "this one county has lower turnout right now"

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:25 (five years ago)

xpost -- Strictly speaking they can't -- tomorrow is the final day of early voting in Texas. That's why Harris is going to, well, Harris tomorrow, as part of a final push, also why they have 24 hour poll stations open (in large part because they made an accomodation for night shift workers and the like).

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

At this point, I'm not really worried about the polls. The chicanery keeps me up at night, though. (Also the fact that I still haven't received notification that my ballot has been accepted! It's been almost two weeks!)

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

Last time I voted in Houston (2004, I believe) the poll worker informed me my sister had voted a few hours before, that my sister was precocious as a child, and that she could tell we were going to vote the same way. I had no idea who this lady was.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Friday, 30 October 2020 03:49 (five years ago)

Basically, this Susan Glasser piece:

I have a different fear this time: What if the polls are right -- and Trump still wins? The election may be over, but the counting is not. His path to victory through the Electoral College may rest with only a few states where Election Night results are ambiguous enough that Trump could question them and, instead, pursue a win via friendly Republican state legislatures and the pro-Trump Supreme Court.

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:50 (five years ago)

The pressure to shut down the PA vote count is going to be insane.

Even if the 538 forecast for PA proves accurate (Biden +5), given partisan disparities in mail-in voting, Trump could hold a 16 POINT lead by the end of Tue night.https://t.co/auZtvr1PuP pic.twitter.com/ErmMcjgDGn

— Justin Sandefur (@JustinSandefur) October 29, 2020

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 03:51 (five years ago)

I refuse to accept that

I’m now pushing my cowlick and my eyebrow hairs growing longer every day into my eyelashes, the brush of it on my lashes comforts me

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

My wife and I voted the same day at the same place, a few hours apart. I got confirmation my ballot was received a week later, Monday, but she's still waiting.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 04:14 (five years ago)

GROW IT FOR DEMOCRACY DAN S!

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Friday, 30 October 2020 04:16 (five years ago)

I thought they couldn't shut down the vote in PA on election night?

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 04:20 (five years ago)

who is they

edited for dog profanity (sic), Friday, 30 October 2020 04:29 (five years ago)

didn't the supreme court allow PA to continue vote counting after Tuesday?

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 04:36 (five years ago)

Vote counting never came into question. It had to do with when the votes were received.

Trump will probably SAY "i won" if he is winning a state EOB Tuesday but the states will keep counting votes legally received. Trump will thriw a fit but it's how it works

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 04:39 (five years ago)

I thought the PA order was that votes that were mailed by Tuesday would be counted if received within 3 days after the election

and even further out for North Carolina

Dan S, Friday, 30 October 2020 04:50 (five years ago)

Dan S is correct, from my understanding.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Friday, 30 October 2020 11:16 (five years ago)

My wife's ballot was finally officially received. She, like I (or rather, I, like she) requested a mail-in ballot but, when all the news about the mail broke some weeks ago, decided to drop it off in the box in person. So as I understand it, until we were notified that our ballots were received, our ballots were I suppose "unreturned" mail-in ballots, which implies to me there's got to be some constant large number of ballots across the country in the same not terribly concerning situation, showing up as missing or unreturned but in reality safe and sound just not entered into the system yet.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 12:52 (five years ago)

With all due respect to Ned, who probably isn't up yet:

Breaking: Texas just surpassed its 2016 total votes cast w/ one day of early voting & Election Day left to go.

The state is reporting 9,009,850 votes already cast, vs. the all-time record of 8,969,226 in 2016. This is massive.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 13:00 (five years ago)

Ha, was literally about to post that!

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 13:13 (five years ago)

wild

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 13:18 (five years ago)

This makes me unreasonably optimistic about TX, trying to keep it reasonable

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 13:22 (five years ago)

one thing: the Minnesota ruling is infuriating. It says ON THE BALLOT INSTRUCTIONS that it's good if postmarked by election day.

oddly could very well affect rural districts more as many are mail only, and someone on Twitter said it was a 45 min drive for them to drop off a ballot

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 13:23 (five years ago)

Just posted this on the Trump containment thread, but meant to put it here. Unfortunately there are too many opportunities to count to express the sentiment.

I can't help but marvel, in a very sad way, at how the Republican message has drifted so fully over the past four years to saying the quiet part out loud. They are just going all in on voter suppression by any means necessary, not even taking the time to pay lip service to the bullshit excuses about theoretical voter fraud. Nope, trying to prevent people from having their votes counted so that Rs can win without more votes is now just a central and explicit piece of their, um, "platform."

Lavator Shemmelpennick, Friday, 30 October 2020 13:28 (five years ago)

Re: PA voting decision: PA statute says only count votes received by the time polls close on election day. PA Supreme Court ruled that due to mail delays, coronavirus, etc., enforcing this statute would violate the PA constitution, so we will allow votes to be counted if they are received within 3 days after election day. PA GOP keeps trying to appeal to US SC to overturn the PA Supreme Court decision extending the deadline beyond what is provided by statute. None of the decisions by the US SC so far have been on the merits - all have been decisions on whether to hear the case at all or hear it on an expedited basis.

Call me naive, but I don't see this happening or the US SC ultimately overturning the PA Supreme Court decision. Even if they did, this does not automatically invalidate the statutes of other states that permit votes received after election day to be counted. It would be one thing for the SC to say a state court cannot overrule the state legislature who set the deadline of election day; it would be another thing entirely for the SC (I know, I know) to actively overrule the state legislature that has passed a law allowing votes received after election day to be counted.

the colour out of space (is the place) (PBKR), Friday, 30 October 2020 13:32 (five years ago)

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/523528-trump-changes-election-night-plans-cancels-party-at-trump-international

very very busy obviously

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 30 October 2020 13:41 (five years ago)

I can't help but marvel, in a very sad way, at how the Republican message has drifted so fully over the past four years to saying the quiet part out loud. They are just going all in on voter suppression by any means necessary, not even taking the time to pay lip service to the bullshit excuses about theoretical voter fraud. Nope, trying to prevent people from having their votes counted so that Rs can win without more votes is now just a central and explicit piece of their, um, "platform."

I agree, this is what is most concerning to me. Not just for this election, but in general. It's more than slightly terrifying to me that not only have they even given up trying to present a pretense or excuse, no matter how lame or unsupportable by any kind of facts, but a significant proportion of this country doesn't even care that this has happened. I mean, look no further than the AP itself representing a Supreme Court decision to count all votes being a "win for Democrats". It's as if everyone has just tacitly accepted not only that the GOP is openly suppressing votes, but that this is just a "fine" state of things that we all just have to accept as normal and not be outraged about. We've instituted coups in other countries for less voter suppression than we're seeing presented this year as normal.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 30 October 2020 13:42 (five years ago)

Thanks for that explanation, PBKR.

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 14:03 (five years ago)

re: ums's statement above, it does completely flummox and infuriate me that courts are making decisions that they know will disenfranchise voters who LEGITIMATELY FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS ON THEIR BALLOT and aren't aware of every ruling that is reported in the news.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:28 (five years ago)

Early vote at 83.5 million this morning, 6.5 million up from yesterday morning. If that figure repeats or exceeds, 90 million by tomorrow morning.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 14:29 (five years ago)

i'm very curious to see how this voter suppression plays out. i mean, i'm going to assume it benefits republicans because they are trying to hard to do it.

but...if you start casting out ballots there have to be republican ones that will be cast out too

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:38 (five years ago)

I'm not sure that "everyone" is accepting voter suppression right now. See the massive turnout of pissed off Democrats, for example. A consensus seems to growing that a voting rights bill has to be a top priority next year.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

I know Ezra Klein and Nate Silver are fairly well hated here, but I found this interview to be pretty insightful on election nuts and bolts.

https://www.vox.com/21538214/nate-silver-538-2020-forecast-2016-trump-biden-election-podcast

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:44 (five years ago)

also if the number of pissed off Dems and unaffiliated voters turn out in record numbers in many areas to vote Trump out, pretty sure they're not going to see an obviously manipulated result (ie, where only like 75 million votes are recorded despite like a turnout of 150 mill or something) and shrug and go "ooh well, next time". like there would be demonstrations in the streets far beyond anything we've seen this year.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

i just erally don't want that to happen because I don't trust cops

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

all predictions that Democrats are going to tear things down are generally wishful thinking

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:52 (five years ago)

here's my final thought on the election. if Trump wins, I feel like reality will have broken. like, 2016, I get it. Hillary was massively unpopular, Trump was steadily gaining the last 10 days, the undecideds broke for the party that wasn't in charge the last 8 years, it makes sense. we wanted to deny it at the time but all the numbers said "Trump can definitely squeeze out an EC victory". my feeling at the time was that a lot of people I knew were just not taking this seriously, Trump still was widely seen as more entertaining than dangerous, Hillary's email story really did play into everything people didn't like about her. whatever.

this year we're all still shook and maybe experiencing some PTSD but it's all different. Biden is way ahead, there are virtually no worrying polling signs for him, even the outlets like Politico which are desperately trying to turn in some "Trump can still win!!!" headlines are relying on shit like "well early turnout is down in this one county (while it shatters records everywhere else)". he's nowhere near as disliked as Clinton. none of these scandals are sticking and the GOP's last ditch effort to go all-in on Hunter is incredibly pathetic. more important than that, nobody is treating Trump as a joke anymore. the people I know who found him amusing in 2016 are fucking sick of him now. as I've pointed out before, everyone I know who is voting Trump voted for him in 2016. meanwhile I know a handful of people who voted Trump/3rd Party/sat out '16 who are now voting Biden because they can't stand him anymore. It's not like 2004 where you could say "yes the war is absolutely a disaster, but that doesn't affect ME"...this year fucking sucked for everyone, minus Jeff Bezos and Kim Kardashian I guess. For Trump to win right now he is going to either A) need basically all the undecideds to vote for him, which I cannot fathom happening, in fact I'd be fucking stunned if he got even close to 50% there, or B) some massive coordinated "shy Trump voter" effect which thus far has not been shown to exist, in fact his numbers are right in line with a president who has literally never had a net positive approval rating, whose party gave up a ton of House seats in 2018 despite having a fairly favorable map. I just don't see how it happens.

Which leaves C) they literally steal the election. This is the thing I'm really concerned about, but even still, I'm not sure how they pull this off. Like what's gonna happen if Trump "wins" PA by a hundred even though we all know there's 50,000 ballots left to count? can you imagine the insane protests we'd see?

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 14:53 (five years ago)

Booming post, frog

Moodles, I agree that federalizing election law should happen, but given the current state-level patchwork (and knee-jerk tenther bullshit) it should be coordinated with state efforts as well

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:55 (five years ago)

can you imagine the beautiful policing of those protests? beautiful like you've never seen

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:56 (five years ago)

the type of people who are going to protest on behalf of Joe Biden are probably not going to be torching police cars, and if that kind of thing does pop off they're going to pack their kids back into the SUV and go home.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

they're not protesting on behalf of Joe Biden, they're protesting against Donald Trump. protesting against a demon tends to have a much different effect on demeanors.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:58 (five years ago)

taking Lyft to the protests

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 14:59 (five years ago)

the “shy” Trump voters in 2020 have got to be just the weirdest fucking 55-60 people in this country. unfortunately, I’m willing to bet I’m related to about 9 of them

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:03 (five years ago)

there are no shy Trump voters, just short Trump voters and shit-stained Trump voters

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:04 (five years ago)

Wasserman getting bolder:

Four days out, and we're on the cusp of another major evolution in how we view America's electoral map.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

can you imagine the beautiful policing of those protests? beautiful like you've never seen

― Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Friday, October 30, 2020 2:56 PM (three minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yeah i mean what we've seen from protests this year is that the administration / regime has no qualms about using full force of power, in the open, to stymie them, and the media cooperates. i think they're itching to take it even further and they have the hardware for it. i think the only thing really stopping them is their own incompetence and ability to make others in power do what they want, although they have managed to eke out significant gains there in the past month. ultimately i don't think it's enough to outright steal the election but i mean it's still very possible.

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:11 (five years ago)

And the 24 hour thing in Houston adds more votes to the tranche:

Good morning! Between 7PM last night and 7AM this morning 10,250 people voted in Harris County.

This morning County Clerk @CGHollins will be casting his vote at Wheeler Avenue Baptist Church.

Still need your #IVoted sticker? 120 locations are open until 7PM. #HarrisVotes pic.twitter.com/cgxok4td12

— Harris County Clerk (@HarrisVotes) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:12 (five years ago)

Amazing. I saw a tweet last night suggesting that a good story would be to interview the voters going to the polls at 3 AM.

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:15 (five years ago)

agree, but there’s a good chance that person could be a shift worker or in the gig economy and it might fuck up the narrative about who is actually working class in this country

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:31 (five years ago)

Essentially that was the idea of this expansion -- to give people working those schedules a chance to vote when they wouldn't be able to otherwise. Saw a number of tweets from/about people saying just this.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:32 (five years ago)

agree, but there’s a good chance that person could be a shift worker or in the gig economy and it might fuck up the narrative about who is actually working class in this country

― A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, October 30, 2020 10:31 AM (eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

let's focus on real working class people who own companies that lease construction equipment and drive $80,000 ford f-150s

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:41 (five years ago)

Part of me is curious about researching the absolute shittiest concession speeches in history because I have a feeling this could be up there... but then again I don't want to jinx anything.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

Trump isn't giving a cocnession speech

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

"Do u want me 2 concede? 2 CONCEDE DEEZ NUTS"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

His concession speech will be one final refusal to flush the toilet.

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:43 (five years ago)

WHY WON'T THE LAMESTREAM MEDIA REPORT ON HUNTER BIDEN'S CONNECTIONS TO BOFA?????

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:44 (five years ago)

roses are red
violets are blue
FAKE NEWS
invalid command or file name

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

In re Pennsylvania:

Pennsylvania Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar says 2,236,162 voters have returned their mail/absentee ballots to date. That's about 73 percent of ballots, she says. She stresses that voters *hand-deliver* ballots to dropboxes/county offices and NOT mail them.

— Justin Sweitzer (@justin_sweitzer) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:47 (five years ago)

the good news about that at least is they can do that between now and ED

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

This Farhad Manjoo column is a good counterweight to Michelle Goldberg's about how Trump's command on our attention has prevented us from engaging with art and culture:

Yet when I got to thinking about how Trump has redirected our attention, I realized I was mistaken. All the time we spent focused on him has not been for nothing; there has been an unexpected upside to his omnipresence. Even as Trump’s presidency has been tiring — not to mention profoundly cruel, deadly and embarrassing for our nation — it has also been something else: motivating.

With nearly every tweet, Trump gave us a new 10-car pileup from which we couldn’t look away. But in the process of making us look at him, Trump forced many of us to actually look for the first time. By turning us into a nation of rubbernecks, he has pushed us to reckon with why things are crashing in the first place and to examine the faulty infrastructure of our democracy.

If we’re lucky, this will be his only lasting legacy. For many of us, Trump has shattered the comfortable bliss of not having to pay attention.

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 15:56 (five years ago)

His concession speech will be one final refusal to flush the toilet.

He's gonna issue a series of executive orders — and by that I mean he's gonna upper-deck every toilet in the White House.

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

Re his concession speech, fat chance.

“President Trump has called off plans to appear at the Trump International Hotel on election night, and is likely to be at the White House instead, according to a person familiar with the plans.” ⁦@maggieNYThttps://t.co/KQSTmW2Fh0

— Michael Tackett (@tackettdc) October 30, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:14 (five years ago)

Interesting that the famously sanguine Trump camp isn't referring to it as a victory party

Also through Vox Klein/Silver piece is pretty solid, with numerous truths therein

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

Crossed it a little while ago but the early vote total is now well over 60% of the entire 2016 vote.

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 16:25 (five years ago)

He’s just scared to leave the White House in case he’s not allowed back in.

scampopo (suzy), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

he will sue everyone

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

he will declare a class-action libel lawsuit against everyone who lives in a sanctuary city

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:28 (five years ago)

there's an early voting place at a city park couple blocks from me, observationally walking the dog (which now happens all times of the day since i've been wfh) but it's been line out the door nonstop, plus brisk business for the staffed drop off mail-in ballot boxes in a tent outside near the street

(this is all good we were 82% Clinton - %10 Trump in 2016

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:29 (five years ago)

Ned - this map from the NY Times which i just remembered is kind of cool if you're looking at specific districts or regional early voting you can drill down to the neighborhood level on this to see how the district voted in 2016

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/election-2016-voting-precinct-maps.html#13.11/44.9380/-93.1967

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:30 (five years ago)

Good stuff!

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 16:32 (five years ago)

Also through Vox Klein/Silver piece is pretty solid, with numerous truths therein

― Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, October 30, 2020 11:15 AM (eleven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

One benefit of the edited transcript of the podcast interview is that it edits out Silver's bad contrarian take on why the Electoral College is good.

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

He deserves nothing less than Ceaușescu's last night in office.

Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 30 October 2020 16:35 (five years ago)

does he think the electoral college is good because its existence benefits him personally?

xp

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

*professionally

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

I never got past Electoral high school

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

I'm gonna guess Electoral College has a racist team name

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:01 (five years ago)

Electoral College Football Team

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

One benefit of the edited transcript of the podcast interview is that it edits out Silver's bad contrarian take on why the Electoral College is good.

― jaymc, Friday, October 30, 2020 12:35 PM bookmarkflaglink

He deserves nothing less than Ceaușescu's last night in office.

― Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, October 30, 2020 12:35 PM bookmarkflaglink

pretty harsh on Silver but i get it

Doctor Casino, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:08 (five years ago)

does he think the electoral college is good because its existence benefits him personally?

xp

― glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Friday, October 30, 2020 11:50 AM (sixteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

It was something incoherent about how it's good that states get to make up their own rules, because some can go ahead and practice voter suppression if they want, but others don't have to. Klein said, "But isn't that an argument against the Electoral College?" and Silver replied, "Well, I guess maybe I'm contradicting myself."

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:11 (five years ago)

Silver is not ah a historian.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

he’s a painfully silly man when he’s talking anything besides numbers

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:12 (five years ago)

He is awful at kung fu

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:17 (five years ago)

Enter the Wonk

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

NBC/Marist poll of NC (among likely voters):

Biden 52%
Trump 46%

Oct 25-28, +/- 4.7%

Among registered voters, it's Biden 51%, Trump 46%

— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) October 30, 2020

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:18 (five years ago)

Silver is not ah a historian.

one of my favorite deep cuts by The Fall

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:20 (five years ago)

Holy shit @ North Carolina

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

for a sec i thought that was national and about had a heart attack lol xxp

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

but yeah that's fuckin hot

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:22 (five years ago)

it would be pretty funny if it ended up as such a blowout that Trump's angle ends up being something like "this has never happened before so it can't be real! fake news!"

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:24 (five years ago)

xxp simon lol

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:25 (five years ago)

his angle is that he was doing the very best that anyone had ever done, until covid-19, which is fake, took him down, because the media kept talking about it.

it doesn't matter than many other global leaders managed to maintain or even improve their political standing through the pandemic. perhaps these other extremely lucky leaders displayed some leadership abilities and their people responded to it? who knows, it's a mystery!

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

NORTH CAROLINA
COME ON AND RAISE UP

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

it would be pretty funny if it ended up as such a blowout that Trump's angle ends up being something like "this has never happened before so it can't be real! fake news!"

― it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, October 30, 2020 1:24 PM bookmarkflaglink

"Nobody's ever won 400 EVs before, we checked!"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:31 (five years ago)

"Thanks to me the biggest landslide in history! I got people more out to vote than you've ever seen before, Legally- or otherwise! Too bad you know what I'm still President!"

nashwan, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:35 (five years ago)

y'all laugh but

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:38 (five years ago)

"I won, 180 to 358! Some people say 180 is a bigger number!"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:39 (five years ago)

"Congratulations to the President of the Upside Down."

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:40 (five years ago)

"I won, 180 to 358! Some people say 180 is a bigger number!"

― Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, October 30, 2020 10:39 AM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

iirc 24 is the highest number

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

but three is the magic number!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:42 (five years ago)

Numbers have been very unfair, very unfair.

jmm, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:43 (five years ago)

https://pbbmath.weebly.com/uploads/4/5/2/1/45219553/published/capture_17.jpeg?1499449056

Josh in Chicago, Friday, 30 October 2020 17:44 (five years ago)

Numbers is the worst book of the Bible!

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

Two Corinthians far better

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

I'm sure they'll have no difficulty figuring out the numbers

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DHFB40WOMOo&ab_channel=JMRieger

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DHFB40WOMOo&ab_channel=JMRieger

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

why why why why

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:46 (five years ago)

ya'll tried reading Job past the first chapter of God's boasts? He's worse than Kanye in 2013.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

http://youtu.be/DHFB40WOMOo

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

ah a historian

Well, let's see, Norwegian synth-pop act from the early 1980s, biggest hit "Take on Me," driven by an innovative video that combined live action and animation during a time when the then-nascent format of MTV was...

Oh, wait, never mind

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:55 (five years ago)

NC looking good. and something to bear in mind

Early votes and processed mail ballots, which are likely to be relatively stronger for Mr. Biden, will be reported around 7:30 p.m. Election day results, which are likely to be relatively stronger for Mr. Trump, will be reported between 8:30 p.m. and 1 a.m. Officials estimate that upward of 98 percent of ballots cast will be reported on election night.

i.e. expect AP to call NC on the night. if NC and FL (which should also call that night) go biden then as long as biden at least holds clinton's states he's won, regardless of late ballot bullshit in PA etc., and it's very difficult to see how he wouldn't hold those states in a world where he flipped NC/FL.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:56 (five years ago)

Re: Trump's change of election night plan, my alarmist take is that he plans instead to hunker down while the cops and proud boys mobilize

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 17:58 (five years ago)

Interesting that the famously sanguine Trump camp isn't referring to it as a victory party

Right now, he probably understands that if a victory lap is taken on the night of Nov. 3, it won't be him taking it. He must rely on a delayed result to have a shot at winning. Therefore, if he does get the indecisive results he wants, he can make his planned statements about 'many, many people are saying there was much fraud, etc.' from the impressive and official surroundings of the WH press room, or even more likely the Oval Office! Those statements claiming fraud may already be drafted by now.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:12 (five years ago)

remember he claimed the election HE WON was fraudulent so he's not just gonna saunter off

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

I just said something approaching this in the Greenwald thread but:

Cautiously, I have this sneaking suspicion that even some Republicans are feeling Trump fatigue and if he looks like a loser on Tuesday, they won't necessarily try all that hard to overturn the will of the people.

I don't mean national-level politicians, necessarily. But the apparatus of secretaries of state, state election commissioners, state legislators, state-level judges. If it's a losing battle to grind through every ballot when clearly the tide of the nation is against them, what's their incentive to fight on?

Perhaps some of them will just say "fuck it, why am I busting my ass for this out-of-touch loser maniac?"

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

it's basically "aw come on, Uncle Carl, why's your dick out again, it's Christmas!"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:21 (five years ago)

yes along those same lines I'm wondering to what extent a lot of these people have been making private-sector contingency plans, and having seen the writing on the wall are already halfway out the door.

It's probably only here, with the prospect of doing something else with their lives, that some of these people might acknowlege a little shame—not pubicly of course, but to themeselves

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

In September I read a Miami Herald or Politico story in which Ron DeSantis was already sending feelers out to the Biden people.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:28 (five years ago)

Silver's noted this before as he says but:

Gonna keep repeating this point, because it has a variety of implications for vote counting, what happens if some ballots come in after the deadline, etc.: There is lots of evidence that Democrats sent their ballots in sooner than Republicans.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 30, 2020

In Florida, for example, mail ballots received by the morning of Oct. 14 were +21 D by party registration. But ballots received in the past 48 hours were just +6 D.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 18:30 (five years ago)

Particularly if Ds with outstanding mail ballots are hearing messages from the Biden campaign etc. and are also now more likely to use dropboxes, or to decide to vote in person instead, it's not clear what the partisan composition of late-arriving mail ballots will look like.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

not pubicly of course, but to themeselves

nice to think they might, but I guess we'd never know.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:32 (five years ago)

we don't really need to know so long as they get the fuck out of the way

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:33 (five years ago)

Perhaps some of them will just say "fuck it, why am I busting my ass for this out-of-touch loser maniac?"

Well, unless they can invalidate enough votes in their state to flip a Senate race to the Republican candidate and thereby keep control of the Senate...

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:39 (five years ago)

AZ doesn't notify you if ballot was accepted but I just checked some website and mine was accepted, phew. I'm sure that fucker Gosar will be reelected to the House but if AZ goes for Biden I'll be ecstatic.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

Like, there's no way the Texas GOP doesn't fuck with the Harris County votes as much as possible if Hegar beats Cornyn by a slim margin.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

lmao if the GOP court decisions end up fucking over GOP voters

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:44 (five years ago)

not pubicly of course, but to themeselves

Pubic shame isn't what it was

Alba, Friday, 30 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

They are already trying to throw out 100,000 votes in Harris County

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

Xxp I did have a brief freakout cause it said it didn't have my ballot. But then I removed the space in my last name (eg vandyke not van dyke). Obv I'm pretty used to that being an issue with my name.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:47 (five years ago)

Texas messes with itself.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 30 October 2020 18:48 (five years ago)

Nancy Pelosi sent me this grift

I am incredibly concerned.

I was just informed we’ve fallen behind Republicans in the early vote count.

AND that I’m facing a dangerous $97,891 budget gap to fix it.

Hear me, Robert: We’ve worked too hard and shattered too many expectations to lose this election now.

If we’re going to win, I have no choice but to fill this budget gap before tomorrow’s End of Month Deadline.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:00 (five years ago)

so shameless

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:01 (five years ago)

New national Opinium poll has Biden even leading with white voters:

Going into the weekend, Biden held a comfortable, nine-point national lead in polling averages, and multiple recent polls have depicted an even larger lead in the popular vote for Biden. In the latest Opinium Research/Guardian poll, released on Friday, Biden led Trump by 14 points, 55-41.

The poll, which surveyed 2,009 US adults online from 26-29 October, found severe deterioration for Trump among some of his most reliable supporters, including white voters, a group he won by 15 points in 2016, and which no Republican presidential candidate has lost for 50 years. Biden holds a narrow, 49-47 lead among white voters, the poll found.

The poll additionally found that a 57% majority of likely 2020 voters who did not vote in 2016 supported Biden.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/oct/30/us-election-roundup-trump-biden-battleground-states-pandemic

Alba, Friday, 30 October 2020 19:02 (five years ago)

joe biden: he sucks so bad even white people will vote for him

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:04 (five years ago)

yeah my gut won't listen to anything since 2016 but my brain is screaming "Biden landslide incoming"

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:08 (five years ago)

New national Opinium poll has Biden even leading with white voters:


I believe the result but the argument for ignoring individual polls is particularly strong if they come from British pollsters (same goes for yougov), and extra strong if the claim in the headline comes from a subsample of the sample.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:11 (five years ago)

This cannot POSSIBLY be good news for Republicans. New voters and previous non-voters just don't turn out to show how much they love Big Daddy Incumbent. They just fucking don't. This is a "please get this motherfucker out of our lives" election. Period.

We have exceeded 20M voters who didn't cast a ballot in '16 having already voted in this election - 20,357,512 to be exact.

That's 27.2% of all ballots cast, and more people than live in any one US state other than CA, TX, and FL.

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) October 30, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:12 (five years ago)

The poll additionally found that a 57% majority of likely 2020 voters who did not vote in 2016 supported Biden

guessing there are a lot of ‘Covington Kids’ who’ve turned 18 over the last 4 years but ngl I would have thought this particular number would be higher

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:13 (five years ago)

You know what correlates with Democratic turnout? Republican turnout. You know how close these elections are going to be? Close. Ignore the early voting counts.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:16 (five years ago)

Ignore the early voting counts.

This.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

You know how close these elections are going to be? Close.

the possible results range from "Trump wins by a hair" to "Biden wins in a landslide."

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:19 (five years ago)

You know what correlates with Democratic turnout? Republican turnout.

OTMFM

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:20 (five years ago)

didn't seem to be the case in 2018

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 19:21 (five years ago)

Eh. I'm not Mr. Hope and Change, never have been, but no one here's telling themselves or voters to kick it through Tuesday night. Letting people feel good about data is salutary and necessary, especially during COVID.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

and people forget about uh 2018

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

lol frogbs beat me

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:22 (five years ago)

didn't seem to be the case in 2018


Exactly. No one knows the correlation accurately enough to predict close elections.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

No offense, but to insist on reminding people REMEMBER 2016 is tiresome at this point. Adding caveats to Joe Biden's chances on the Friday before Election Day is like having to salute the flag before criticizing America.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:23 (five years ago)

I mean by all means have fun hitting refresh. And these numbers are good for civil society. And if I had to guess then I’d say they were good news for democrats. But I don’t understand why you’d use them to tell you what was going to happen in the election when we have actual polls where people say who they’re voting for.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

No offense, but to insist on reminding people REMEMBER 2016 is tiresome at this point.


1000% missing the point.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:25 (five years ago)

Then I didn't understand your point.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

We have a ton of information that makes us confident biden is going to win. Early vote counts are not part of that.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

otm re: optimism (not that I think caek is saying Remember 2016 - I get good value out of caek's posts).

I'm just tired of showing any optimism before having a friend put their fingers on my lips and launch into a Neil Simon-esque monologue about how I dare not utter a positive statement about Tuesday or Biden will be smote by Yahweh in retaliation.

also the 700th smug utterance of "the polls were wrong in 2016" as if that's a) a correct way of looking at what happened or b) an astute observation in 2020

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:26 (five years ago)

i think some of my friends are literally in the Twilight Zone ep where they're going to see results that Biden won but be convinced that he lost and isn't President for 4 years

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

We have a ton of information that makes us confident biden is going to win. Early vote counts are not part of that.

― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, October 30, 2020

If that's your point, sure. I haven't followed early voting other than MDC's because local media needs a horse race.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:27 (five years ago)

I’m not advancing a minority review here. Everyone who predicts elections says the same thing except a bunch of people who are like the Democratic version of unskewers who have glommed onto a dataset that has no precedent in history to make claims about the future.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

i feel like obsessive notation of early voting numbers, which may or may not be happening itt i can't say for sure, is basically just anxiety management

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

I think biden is going to win btw.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:28 (five years ago)

we did do a lot of the EV analysis in 2016 too which did kind of prove why it was pointless to hyperfocus on it, yes.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:29 (five years ago)

it actually turned into a thing where lots of locals in Orlando were yelling in 2018 at Democrats to "hurry up and vote" when the early voting totals in FL looked a bit weaker for Democrats, and several responded "why? does my vote count less since I'm waiting for Election Day? the fuck does it matter when I vote?"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:30 (five years ago)

The CW on this race race is going to end up being "Biden was consistently above 50% in swing state polls. Why did anyone think Trump had a chance?"

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:31 (five years ago)

Uh, anyway, FWIW

Missed this, but @StPetePolls this week found Biden leading 54%-43% in #FL13, a senior-heavy St. Pete/Clearwater seat that voted for Clinton 49.6% to 46.4% in 2016. https://t.co/aVabcyyaut

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2020

P.S. 56% of their sample was age 50+ and 74% had already voted.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

Agree with everyone here, I think there is only one correct view to rationally hold which is

probability of Biden winning decisively is quite high

probability of Trump winning or election close enough to get mired in court review is quite low but is such a bad outcome it would be inhuman not to worry about it a lot

people are probably overfocusing on "pollsters missed big in 2016" (actually in just a few states which turned to be decisive) and not "pollsters, having learned something from 2016, were pretty much right on in 2018."

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:34 (five years ago)

Pollsters 2016 in the opposite direction to 2012 is another good thing to remember

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:35 (five years ago)

*missed

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:35 (five years ago)

that's the analogy I usually use. same thing coulda happened to Obama if the error was in Romney's direction.

and just imagine the President Romney years

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

This is a good tweet about early voting

A Democratic upset in a 2018 race for "Harris County judge" just might deliver Texas to Biden. Meanwhile, recent Dem wins in PA State Supreme Court races could thwart voter suppression in that tipping-point state.

Downballot elections, they matter folks!https://t.co/nCT5VfUuC5 pic.twitter.com/tJDcY1bkXV

— Eric Levitz (@EricLevitz) October 30, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:37 (five years ago)

Optimistic fundraising email of the day is from Meraz Ben-David, Democratic Senate candidate in -- well, I'll just let you read it

Joe Biden has started advertising heavily in Wyoming, which means two things: Democrats are starting to realize that Wyoming is winnable (!!), and advertising has just gotten twice as expensive. That makes it hard to stay on the air.

Will you help us keep our ads on the air in these last few days?

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

"A Democratic upset in a 2018 race for "Harris County judge" just might deliver Texas to Biden."

I hate this phrasing. If Biden wins Texas it's the voters in Texas who delivered those electoral votes to Biden. All the judge is doing is refraining from standing in their way.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:41 (five years ago)

Yeah there’s been a tendency to report court decisions that favor voting as wins for democrats rather than ... voters

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

in comparison to Diebold voting systems, which delivered 2004 to Dubya

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:42 (five years ago)

Wyoming? wtf

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:46 (five years ago)

"Wyoming? WTF" is their state song iirc

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:47 (five years ago)

I don't remember how many of y'all besides clemenza posted regularly to the 2012 threads, but there was a sense that Obama would win but narrowly, perhaps with the smallest popular vote total ever. It turned out most pollsters besides Silver had underestimated his chances: the election results went from a close to a comfortable win. That was nice.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:48 (five years ago)

I mean what would you write if you were trying to get people to give money to your Wyoming Dem Senate campaign?

Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:50 (five years ago)

xpost yep, I posted to that thread. there were a lot of angry conservative politicians who were writing anti-Silver screeds, convinced he was manipulating data that should have reflected toss-up chances for Romney into a decisive Obama lead.

Rasmussen predicting a Romney win was the icing on the cake - the comments section was hilarious to read the day after.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

I was posting as NINO CARTER at the time I think

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:53 (five years ago)

I'm pretty much assuming at this point that Biden will be the decisive winner, if not on Tuesday night, then shortly thereafter, and Trump will complain and bitch about it and scream election fraud and theft but will get no traction on it, and Republicans will start slowly backing away, and he'll rage tweet throughout the holidays and not go to the inauguration, and then will quickly move to OANN on a non stop basis claiming Biden is illegitimate and he will hopefully start to fade from public view as he becomes a niche Alex Jones sort of fool.

akm, Friday, 30 October 2020 19:56 (five years ago)

"becomes"

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Friday, 30 October 2020 19:59 (five years ago)

Trump will take a cyanide pill to prove his devotion to his people and people will blow-up the photo all over TWitter and prove itw as just a Tic-tac

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:04 (five years ago)

akm is probably not wrong, but in between his rage tweets he will continue to dismantle any and all environmental regulations and protections he can find

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:04 (five years ago)

I hate this phrasing. If Biden wins Texas it's the voters in Texas who delivered those electoral votes to Biden. All the judge is doing is refraining from standing in their way.

It's accurate though. Texas has been solidly GOP-controlled for like twenty years now and so the mechanics of voting and representation here are deeply partisan. Republicans actively gerrymander, disenfranchise, and make the acts of registering and voting as hard as possible (such as requiring ID to vote since the 2014 immediately after the Supreme Court hobbled the Voting Rights Act). If Biden wins Texas it's the elected officials in charge of voting at the county level who since 2018 (thanks to Beto) are now Democrats and actively took steps to make it possible for more people to vote. It's far more than just not standing in the way of voters, it's removing very large roadblocks between them and the voting booth that the GOP has put up.

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:05 (five years ago)

good luck Florida

Raw footage of mailroom in post office here in Miami Dade. Source revealed “mail in ballots are within these piled up in bins on the floor. Mail has been sitting for over week!.” @AmandiOnAir @PeterSchorschFL @MarcACaputo @GlennaWPLG @CNNPolitics @NewsbySmiley @realDonaldTrump pic.twitter.com/DO8jx1VUnz

— Dem House Leader (@kionnemcghee) October 30, 2020

edited for dog profanity (sic), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:35 (five years ago)

I love to work at the post office in Miami Dade and discard all the Biden votes

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

If Texas goes blue and Florida doesn’t, does this mean we can never hear about that godforsaken state again unless it’s about a gator fighting the world’s largest python?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:41 (five years ago)

If Texas goes blue and can redistrict as a blue state, that would be a victory for the ages.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

godforsaken

It's Neanderthal's fault for listening to all that metal.

edited for dog profanity (sic), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

good afternoon!

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:47 (five years ago)

This is getting...mostly just stupid.

Breaking on @MSNBC: A new emergency appeal has been filed in the Supreme Court challenging Minnesota's policy on face masks at polling places.

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 20:48 (five years ago)

I'm convinced that there would be just as many, say, "Michigan man" or "California man" stories out there if reporters from all over the country spent as much time digging through other states' police reports, but it's way more trendy to keep making fun of Florida.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

only Neanderthal and I make good Florida jokes.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:50 (five years ago)

Meantime:

In WSJ/NBC polling, Trump is +9 among "disengagers" —people who voted in 2016 but not 2018

Biden is +21 among voters who registered in the past two years or who voted in 2018 but not 2016, and those voters outnumber the disengagers.

More:https://t.co/e09m7OfUiU

— Ben Pershing (@benpershing) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 20:51 (five years ago)

I mean WSJ had to keep digging for some group to throw out as some positive spin.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

Separately, paywalled, but of interest:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/gops-biggest-feud-gives-dems-huge-senate-chance-in-georgia

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 20:53 (five years ago)

i like this tweet

Generic ballot: Closing days of 2016 v 2020. One of these things is not like the other. pic.twitter.com/a0TMf3s3tc

— Todd Eberly (@ToddEberly) October 29, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 20:54 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iIdntHAhTv0

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:00 (five years ago)

one of my wife's friends, who is about as apolitical a person as you'll ever encounter, became a citizen today explicitly to vote for Biden. I know it's just one person but if someone as disengaged as her is showing up....

frogbs, Friday, 30 October 2020 21:08 (five years ago)

i voted today

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:09 (five years ago)

i farted today

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

could have farted in the voting booth to kill two birds with one stone

superdeep borehole (harbl), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

i farted today

― Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), vrijdag 30 oktober 2020 22:11 (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

To see if you still feel?

A Scampo Darkly (Le Bateau Ivre), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:12 (five years ago)

Final @GallupNews preelection fav rating of the 2 side candidates: pic.twitter.com/fYUmKG1sKV

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 30, 2020

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:18 (five years ago)

(Seems insane to me that Trump's favorability ratings could have gone up among U.S. adults since 2016, but maybe "adults" means something different these days.)

On average, this critic grades 8.3 points lower than other critics (Eric H.), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:21 (five years ago)

Isn't Gallup now considered a somewhat below-average polling organization in terms of reliable accuracy?

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

more on that Twitter story about Miami-Dade ballots

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article246838887.html

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:27 (five years ago)

A bit of gloom for you (though not sure a low Floridan Latino turnout would be such a bad thing for Biden!)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-30/biden-aides-see-warning-signs-in-black-latino-turnout-so-far

Alba, Friday, 30 October 2020 21:33 (five years ago)

Isn't Gallup now considered a somewhat below-average polling organization in terms of reliable accuracy?

― the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Friday, October 30, 2020 5:25 PM (thirty-two minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

yes, their main virtue (and it's a big one) is they've been asking the same approval question for decades. you can ignore them for voting intention.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 October 2020 21:59 (five years ago)

xpost -- Wasserman thread in response to that Bloomberg story, and I've seen other reactions as well:

A few points:

1) Black & Latino turnout wasn't particularly great in '16, and even a modest increase vs. '16 would boost Biden
2) Polling has told us all along that Black/Latino Dems are more skeptical of VBM than white Dems https://t.co/v2pgwwZXbv

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 30, 2020

Ned Raggett, Friday, 30 October 2020 22:18 (five years ago)

In other non-surprising news...

Quick thread. Warning: not super exciting.

1. In the course of our reporting on Trafalgar Group—part of the due diligence we often do while entering polls—we've learned that some of their polling was done for partisan clients that weren't clearly disclosed.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 30, 2020

Darin, Friday, 30 October 2020 22:20 (five years ago)

Democrats say Biden’s strength among other groups - namely seniors and suburbanites - will compensate for any drop-off in Latino support.

For every working class person of color who doesn't go to the voting booth, we'll win two white Republicans in the Atlanta suburbs.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 30 October 2020 22:25 (five years ago)

I mean...yeah

jaymc, Friday, 30 October 2020 22:30 (five years ago)

whatever happens on Tuesday I have no doubt that Dem leadership will learn All the Wrong Lessons

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 30 October 2020 22:56 (five years ago)

If Biden loses I'm pretty sure they will release a statement saying they promise they'll run Bernie next time.

DJI, Friday, 30 October 2020 22:59 (five years ago)

A bit of gloom for you (though not sure a low Floridan Latino turnout would be such a bad thing for Biden!)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-30/biden-aides-see-warning-signs-in-black-latino-turnout-so-far

― Alba, Friday, October 30, 2020 5:33 PM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

yeah, I'm the only Miami-Dade County person on ILX and have stopped caring about early voting, precisely because it's not determinative.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 30 October 2020 23:46 (five years ago)

HEAR ME, ROBERT

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 31 October 2020 00:14 (five years ago)

The Biden campaign co chair

We're delivering assistance to Angelenos facing economic hardship during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Starting Monday, with our new Early Pay LA program, @LADOTOfficial will offer a $20 discount on parking citations paid within 48 hours. https://t.co/jqG5kxudvi

— MayorOfLA (@MayorOfLA) October 31, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 01:45 (five years ago)

🤮

Give me a Chad Smith-type feel (map), Saturday, 31 October 2020 02:00 (five years ago)

I've been following that 538 graphic with all the little red and blue dots the past few weeks; Biden hit 90 in 100 simulations for the first time tonight.

They are, reportedly, still going forward with the election.

clemenza, Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:14 (five years ago)

https://i.imgur.com/TghybTj.png

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:33 (five years ago)

dammit, meant to post this slightly edited version

https://i.imgur.com/YuDCAwB.jpg

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:34 (five years ago)

That cartoon dog has become part of my life too the past few weeks.

clemenza, Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:38 (five years ago)

i'm cautiously optimistic about the shape of this distribution:

https://i.imgur.com/aF7UtER.png

90% of the outcomes are biden victories, first of all. but of the winning simulations, the most common are around the 400 EV/landslide territory.

these models don't include voter suppression and litigation fuckery, of course. but still, if in 2017 you showed me a flash-forward of the election polls right now, i would be feeling much better

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:38 (five years ago)

it's NOT a dog, clemenza, it's FIVEY FOX

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:39 (five years ago)

fivethirtyeight.com is in its mid 1990s GamePro era

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:40 (five years ago)

The Trump distribution graphic is literally the mirror image--I guess that's inherent in the math and not just happenstance?

clemenza, Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

yeah, it's the mirror. i'm not sure why they present it twice. i guess because if you're a trump fan, your ideas got there first?

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 03:48 (five years ago)

Harris County ends early voting with almost 1.44 million votes after seeing a surge of 90K votes Friday, the most in a day since Oct. 19 (the 7th day of early voting)

Final totals, minus some remaining mail ballots:

In-person: 1,264,811
Mail: 170,410
Total: 1,435,221 #txlege

— Jasper Scherer (@jaspscherer) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:01 (five years ago)

Early vote jumped today in Hidalgo Co (McAllen), as @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @JulianCastro rallied supporters

County finishes w 187,893 early + mail votes.

There were 173,437 total votes there in 2016

E Day to come.

— Jonathan Martin (@jmartNYT) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:02 (five years ago)

That second result is kinda key — a valley focus for Texas that caek had pondered.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:05 (five years ago)

Nate Silver is Sushi X

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:12 (five years ago)

xp word. also

BREAKING: El Paso in-person early voting today is nearing 15,000, according to Lisa Wise of @EP_Elections. We have surpassed our entire 2016 turnout of 218,890, with Election Day still to come.

— Bob Moore (@BobMooreNews) October 31, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:14 (five years ago)

El Paso numbers are promising given the COVID situation there.

jaymc, Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:39 (five years ago)

I know in terms of things like the long game usurpation of SC seats and voter suppression, the GOP is all about cementing minority rule by whatever underhanded means necessary. But inasmuch as they usually at least try to make it all look above-board to undiscerning eyes, I have to wonder (perhaps naively): has rigging an election outright ever really been part of the GOP playbook? Like if Biden's win is decisive, is there any historical precedent suggesting that they're liable to just be all nakedly 'nope' about it? Via means that are at all effective, anyway (as I'm sure President Pissbaby will still be nope-ing his head off as they drag him out of the WH gate)?

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 31 October 2020 04:41 (five years ago)

is there any historical precedent suggesting that they're liable to just be all nakedly 'nope' about it

https://peopledotcom.files.wordpress.com/2016/08/gw-bush-painting-435x580.jpg

edited for dog profanity (sic), Saturday, 31 October 2020 05:14 (five years ago)

Another Texas note:

Just in: Travis Co., TX (Austin) reports 553,290 votes cast for the entire early voting period - 118% of the total votes it cast for president in 2016. And we’ve still got Election Day to go.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 05:57 (five years ago)

Also per Ralston the last minute Nevada stops by Trump and Pence appear to have achieved...nothing:

Final post of the night, all:

In-person early voting is over in NV, and Dems have a robust firewall in Clark County. Turnout has been high, so there will not be as many votes left for Tuesday as some thought.

I'll do a deeper dive and modeling tomorrow.https://t.co/QaEyq6FUeb pic.twitter.com/6NxTVlq0f6

— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 05:59 (five years ago)

Per Elections Project Nevada is at 88% of its 2016 vote already.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 06:00 (five years ago)

California is at 66% in comparison but I predict a big rush over the weekend as people finally work through all the propositions. Combined with expanded ballot drop off points in many areas, those numbers will rapidly increase.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 06:02 (five years ago)

I know in terms of things like the long game usurpation of SC seats and voter suppression, the GOP is all about cementing minority rule by whatever underhanded means necessary. But inasmuch as they usually at least try to make it all look above-board to undiscerning eyes, I have to wonder (perhaps naively): has rigging an election outright ever really been part of the GOP playbook?

Think Rehnquist in Arizona as a young poll watcher intimidating Black voters.

Realizing it can't win because its policies are unpopular, the GOP resorts to suppression and, yeah, minority rule.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 09:32 (five years ago)

Also per Ralston the last minute Nevada stops by Trump and Pence appear to have achieved...nothing

wait, was trump visiting vegas? imo he didn’t have a prayer in clark county of all places

mellon collie and the infinite bradness (BradNelson), Saturday, 31 October 2020 09:43 (five years ago)

Here's a fun and probably useful data project on 538, predicting at what rate each state will have proceeded with their count by close of broadcast on election night:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/

--



lol / aww at poor western Hawaii being eagerly in the "all counted quickly" category

Although almost everyone in Washington votes by mail, late-arriving ballots can favor Democrats; if that happens again this year, the party could improve its margins in the days after Election Day.

this will likewise be anticlimactic on the day, but having seen lots of TV ads of the absolute mutants running on the R side in the last few weeks, will be fascinating to see if swings and margins do come into play. I don't have a vote, but this week I did take a fat sharpie down to the Chinese / Vietnamese part of town to draw C&Bs on the forehead of a dude running against Inslee, having seen his posters from a car the day before.

edited for dog profanity (sic), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:12 (five years ago)

With all the attention we've paid to Florida itt, it had skipped me that the early votes there are typically tabulated before polls close: that's going to have a huge effect on the TV horse race.

edited for dog profanity (sic), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:17 (five years ago)

You bet. We'll get the Panhandle's vote an hour later because it's on central ime.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:24 (five years ago)

*time

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:24 (five years ago)

and it's deep red with the exception of Leon County, home of Tallahassee.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:25 (five years ago)

maybe I’m misremembering but isn’t Jacksonville one of the very few metros in the US that’s reliably red? like one of maybe three? or am I missing a bunch.

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:38 (five years ago)

Duval County is somewhat conservative for an urban county. It began moving away from the Democratic Party somewhat sooner than the rest of Florida. Despite the small Democratic plurality in registration, the county's Democrats are nowhere near as liberal as their counterparts in other large Florida counties, such as Miami-Dade and Orange. The county has only supported a Democrat for president four times since 1956, the last being in the 1976 cycle when Jimmy Carter managed to take the county.

The Republican edge in Duval has lessened somewhat in recent years. It swing from a 16-point win for George W. Bush in 2004 to only a three-point win for John McCain in 2008. Mitt Romney won an equally narrow margin in 2012. In 2016, Donald Trump only won the county by fewer than 6,000 votes even as he narrowly carried Florida.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:53 (five years ago)

I know Gillum won the county in 2018.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:56 (five years ago)

Fingers crossed and all that, but what's giving me some hope is America's dogged contrarianism. The only thing we hate more than losers is winners, and there's nothing more satisfying than taking a winner down. Especially sore winners, especially winners that barely won.

Those Texas numbers ... again, who knows, but I wonder, looking back on all of this, what was the earliest point that anyone thought Texas was a real Democratic possibility? I seem to recall even back in 2015 that Texas was unique among its peers for lack of enthusiasm for Trump. Either way, certainly underscores the reality that local races may be gerrymandered to hell, but the presidential race is all about turnout, running up those numbers.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 31 October 2020 12:19 (five years ago)

Early voting numbers in the morning at 89.5 million. Things slow down over the weekend and this last weekend means a number of states have stopped early voting in the run up to Tuesday, but we’ll be at 90 million soon enough and all predictions are 100 million by Tuesday morning is pretty well likely.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 13:23 (five years ago)

wait, was trump visiting vegas? imo he didn’t have a prayer in clark county of all places


No but Adelson is there and he was screaming about getting money from him for the campaign so I’m sure homages were in order. And he did want to make a last Vegas appearance but health officials and the government said “Yeah no” so he did one across the Arizona border the other day and complained about it.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 13:31 (five years ago)

ICYMI: Seven Pennsylvania counties are now officially waiting to count mail ballots until Nov. 4, per @cbszak.

That's a big deal for PA results. Why?

These seven counties *currently* have received 141,977 ballots. Trump won PA by 44,292 votes in 2016.

— Cara Korte (@CaraKorte) October 31, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 31 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

Pennsylvania is going to be an end of week regardless, that's not new news.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

mostly GOP counties, no? or counties won by Trump?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

It's not news, but what makes it newsworthy is

Oddly enough, Trump won 6 of these 7 counties pretty handily in 2016.

Having 6 Trump counties in a swing state without results on election night could make Trump STFU about wanting results that night — and reduce the chances of him taking it to SCOTUS to try and stop counting. https://t.co/28eVQ1U7KO

— Angry Staffer (@AngrierWHStaff) October 31, 2020

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 31 October 2020 14:45 (five years ago)

Also good to set expectations in advance. If they are deliberately waiting until Wednesday to count votes, then it lessens the chance that it's seen as a mysterious delay.

jaymc, Saturday, 31 October 2020 14:48 (five years ago)

ahhh ok that makes sense

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 14:49 (five years ago)

Texas Texas Texas -- useful thread:

Morning update: Texas reporting 9,669,246 votes cast at the close of early voting. That's 57% of registered voters and 700,020 more votes than were cast in Texas in *all of 2016.*

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:13 (five years ago)

and I helped!

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

man that's a lot of shy Trump voters!

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:14 (five years ago)

Also good to set expectations in advance. If they are deliberately waiting until Wednesday to count votes, then it lessens the chance that it's seen as a mysterious delay.

― jaymc, Saturday, October 31, 2020 9:48 AM (twenty-four minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Actually, forget what I said. I missed that these are specifically mail ballots, and now knowing that they're GOP counties makes me doubt their intentions.

jaymc, Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:19 (five years ago)

Ned Raggett at 8:23 31 Oct 20

Early voting numbers in the morning at 89.5 million. Things slow down over the weekend and this last weekend means a number of states have stopped early voting in the run up to Tuesday, but we’ll be at 90 million soon enough and all predictions are 100 million by Tuesday morning is pretty well likely.


I go for a walk by my local polling place with my dog every morning, been generally busy, line out the door a bit

this morning it was crazy, pizza food truck there, volunteers handing out beverages, line all the way down the block and around the corner

assuming this is a reaction to the ruling about mail ballots but I think it's safe to say numbers in MN will be huge this weekend

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:27 (five years ago)

Post-election, I want to see interview after interview with Biden voters expressing their searing, bilious hatred of Donald Trump. The Chuck Todds of the world are gonna want reconciliation and national unity; don't give it to them. If Trump loses, it's gonna be by a historic margin, and the significance of that revulsion has to be preserved and indeed honored.

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:42 (five years ago)

Trump will actually get negative EVs

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:48 (five years ago)

A New Mexico note:

Today is the last day of in-person early voting, and there are still some mail ballots outstanding. NM is at 93.2% of its 2016 total vote. I did not have NM going over 2016 on my bingo card

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

sounds like they're takin' it to the streets

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:54 (five years ago)

It's almost as if people have hated this guy so much for so long they're coming out in droves to (hopefully) vote against him. Weird. I guess that's what happens when there is literally only one way people can remove a president from office and it only happens after a 4 year wait.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:57 (five years ago)

Yah mo burn this motherfucker

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

guessing the calculation of Wisconsin's absentee ballots was indeed not right as Michael's page now reflects far fewer ballots having been sent out, and ergo, far fewer outstanding. problem is they include their early in-person absentee votes in the same total.

so 14% ballots outstanding from those requested, and that's more like 196,000 outstanding than the 700,000 that was being bandied about.

also I have been told by those in Wi that anybody who requests an absentee can also vote in person as a backup, much like FL, so we won't know if the people who failed to return their ballots just went and voted in person early or on Tuesday or what. may not be that many 'unreturned' at all.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

and naturally there's always a degree every year of people who are sent ballots, never return them, and don't vote at all, but i don't know what that typical number is

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

So what are we doing tomorrow? Starting a new thread like always? I think we should have a standalone thread for election results regardless.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:03 (five years ago)

Jeo Binden for presidetn

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:05 (five years ago)

Trump is going to get dunked on so hard. I can’t wait!!

(•̪●) (carne asada), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:16 (five years ago)

if this turnout means what it looks like it does, i think we'll know the result on tuesday

treeship., Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:21 (five years ago)

Get in loser, we’re going voting. pic.twitter.com/vGT7oMCi7Q

— Katie Porter (@katieporteroc) October 31, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

The official White House story is that this massive turnout is a measure of the president's incredible popularity. Most popular president ever!

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

if this turnout means what it looks like it does, i think we'll know the result on tuesday


Taps the sign.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:23 (five years ago)

i really want him to lose texas

treeship., Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:26 (five years ago)

my heart would feel so full if he lost texas as well as georgia and all the upper midwest states that put him over the top last time. (in this scenario, he obviously also loses florida and pennsylvania).

treeship., Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:27 (five years ago)

If trump loses Texas (or Georgia or NC) then it’s not good news for him in Florida, but Florida is a bit of a weird one. It’s demographically unusual and it’s elections don’t correlate very closely with anywhere else.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:31 (five years ago)

i got an email today titled "Have you ever had your lunch stolen at work?" and I thought it was another Jaime Harrison email until I realized it was a Reddit subscription email

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:36 (five years ago)

In echoes of the Axelrod "we'll find out who's bluffing on election day" line from 2012, note that a top official at the NRSC says bluntly that data is showing Trump losing AZ in this @pkcapitol @seungminkim piece https://t.co/uJYpC7Y97p

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:39 (five years ago)

One for UMS upthread:

The final GOTV push with @Ilhan pic.twitter.com/MNoSXvuU4T

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

my heart would feel so full if he lost texas as well as georgia and all the upper midwest states that put him over the top last time. (in this scenario, he obviously also loses florida and pennsylvania).

My fantasy is having Texas and Florida in the bag on Tuesday night so that Pennsylvania doesn't even matter.

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:41 (five years ago)

Further:

pic.twitter.com/vNAGnCV6Sq

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:43 (five years ago)

I think if he has Florida he can probably not worry about Texas or a prolonged wait for Pennsylvania.

Alba, Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

Based on me being pretty conservative with this simulator.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/oct/30/build-your-own-us-election-result-plot-a-win-for-biden-or-trump

Alba, Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:45 (five years ago)

I think if he has Florida he can probably not worry about Texas or a prolonged wait for Pennsylvania.


It’s not over if biden wins Florida early but I promise I’ll stop posting caveats on everyone’s optimistic posts in this thread if he does.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:49 (five years ago)

I'm confident Biden will win the election but not Florida.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:50 (five years ago)

Biden up 290-0, Trump says "he's not mathematically eliminated"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:51 (five years ago)

aw 😎❤️ omar

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:52 (five years ago)

My fantasy is having Texas and Florida in the bag on Tuesday night so that Pennsylvania doesn't even matter.


If biden not only wins Texas but wins it by a margin so large they can call it on election night then he’s going win the popular vote by like 15 points.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:53 (five years ago)

fine by me

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

i kinda want Trump to lose so big that he actually screams at his followers for being pussies and they still thank him for it

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:55 (five years ago)

lol just went to look at recent AZ polls on RCP and all but one of them were from right wing pollsters

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:57 (five years ago)

obv not saying this is happening

but a blue Texas in the future is pretty much an extinction level event for the GOP right?

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:59 (five years ago)

it's interesting because up until 1980, Texas was predominately a blue state, and hasn't been since, but in today's polarized elections when you can typically throw states like CA, NY, and TX into respective columns before polls close, it's not a great sign.

that being said, I firmly feel like the next candidate they drag out could simply be barely right of Marco Rubio and suddenly win Texas easily.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:02 (five years ago)

though I feel weird using colors pre-2000 cos red and blue didn't exist to describe parties before then (which is nuts, cos it's one of those things you feel like has been around foreer)

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:03 (five years ago)

Sabato's Crystal Ball feels that Dems have a pretty solid shot at 50 Senate seats, and that the other 3, including both in GA, are toss-ups.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:04 (five years ago)

Guessing both GA seats will go to a run-off, if Biden's the clear winner I would bet both of my dollars that both go Republican.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:07 (five years ago)

we really only technically need 50 with Kamala being the tie-breaker, but I'd much rather have 51 or 52 so we don't have to worry about cumstains like Manchin.

boy will it be frustrating though if it takes us a while to know if we have the Senate or not, given its importance.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:16 (five years ago)

it's interesting because up until 1980, Texas was predominately a blue state

To be fair, up until 1980, Southern politicians were still figuring out which side was the more racist one, and aligning themselves accordingly

Anaïs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

yeah Dixiecrats et al

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:21 (five years ago)

everybody get in your bucket, post-election (assuming biden wins):

(a/i): (see bucket H below), the möbius strip connects here

a) fuck the republicans, and their full embrace of trump for eternity. and for the years that they all pushed things forward in his direction, too. never let them forget (this is my current bucket). something snapped. there is no "normal" to go back to.

  • political sector: DSA, local-focused with a few national-level champions (the crew, etc), mask-wearing proponents, abolish/replace wholesale rather than "reform", half-measures and tepid responses can no longer be acceptable, given the realities
b) thank god that's over. what a nightmare that was. it will be so nice to not have life dominated by trump. let's get back to normal.
  • political sector: democrat, votes most of the time, national issues, wears a mask when everyone else is too, reform, incremental, has generally positive feelings about the clintons
c) ken boner
  • political sector: ._., back to the barren wastelands of their interior minds, there are many questions which have many answers and lead to so many more questions. can a closed system contain an exponentially-growing series of questions and answers? doesn't know who malthus is either. can't find a mask
d) we have to work with republicans. it should be a time of great healing. we're not getting 60 votes in the senate anytime soon, which means we have to find 10 or so republicans to cross the aisle. joe biden can make this happen. we must never forget what the republicans did, but we must also remember to forgive and offer them chances to move on as well.
  • political sector: claire mccaskill, "center-left", hears the word "centrist" and doesn't flinch, older people, compromise, across the aisle, a good idea should start out with a preemptive concession by the majority party, puts the mask on when the rules say you have to, chuck todd, gerald ford, RBG's friendship with Scalia
e) i voted for trump in 2016, i admit it. i thought, we're not doing good under democratic presidents, why not give him a chance? i'm sorry. i was wrong.
political sector: an average of 10-35 people per state, no more than 1500 people in the united states, zero politicians, masks disappear through their incorporeal smoke-faces

f) listen, we'll see how biden does, but trump left him the best economy there ever has been. biden will probably make washington name their football team the "socialists", but i'm praying for this country

  • political sector: about 20% of the entire country, many people in your neighborhood, anti-mask, anti-covid-19, hates when race comes up, several people in your family, stupid fucks, run of the mill republican politician
g) trump didn't lose, he's just getting ready for the next phase, the great reset is coming soon, there is an 80-year pattern of great changes in this world, you can trace it back to WWII, then Civil War, then the American Revolution, and also way further back than that. it is happening again now, in ways that we can't understand
  • political sector: about 5% of the entire country, never sure about anything, has at various times claimed that everyone would die from covid-19 and that the whole thing was a hoax, lacks an internal editor, thinks masks are part of a conspiracy, louie gohmert, climate skeptics
h) the second civil war isn't approaching, it's already here. i'm ready and so are my fellow patriots. we have to defend our country, the true americans. i am someone who takes oaths seriously. i keep them close to my heart, where i also keep my boys who are proud. now let's talk tactical combat gear
  • about 15-20% of the entire country. yearns to fight a giant race war. feels very violent toward mask-wearers. tom cotton, josh hawley. creepy as fuck
i) see (a/i) above. the mysterious point at which h and a meet. local, armed, prepared to get violent if that's where it goes

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:27 (five years ago)

yeah if Ossoff doesn’t somehow manage 50% then I fully expect both seats to stay in the GOP column. Shame, bc as much as I’d enjoy watching Trump lose GA I’d rather have at least one of those seats

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

would be so ironic if ACB caught the rona, wasn't aware of it spread it around a bit and succumbed to it during the lame duck.
speshly if she'd been really generous to Mitch, Kavanagh and a few others with it.
But would that mean they suffered enough?

Stevolende, Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

Guessing both GA seats will go to a run-off, if Biden's the clear winner I would bet both of my dollars that both go Republican.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, October 31, 2020 12:07 PM (fifteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

agreed

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:29 (five years ago)

xpost She had it already, iirc.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:30 (five years ago)

can't she get a relapse?

Stevolende, Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:32 (five years ago)

Sumter Co., FL (The Villages) update: we're up to 81,262 early votes cast out of 105,612 registered voters - a 77% turnout rate, the highest in the state. https://t.co/7hJkcln5TP

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:36 (five years ago)

I love her

pic.twitter.com/XLA6rnLCqN

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) October 31, 2020

liberté, égalité, scampé (gyac), Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:47 (five years ago)

Google search trends over the last 7 days (color in each state determined by the topic with most searches)

Different parts of the country care about different things. pic.twitter.com/xSCrXncaq6

— Jens Nordvig (@jnordvig) October 31, 2020

Alba, Saturday, 31 October 2020 17:54 (five years ago)

tbf, hunter biden's lovechild does live in my state.

pplains, Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:00 (five years ago)

that's bad news for the SC senate race. the rest of those red states are the deeeeeeep red ones, the ones that vote for trump even in a landslide biden victory. so if people in SC are actually caring about hunter biden, that sucks.

on the other hand, maybe that's a measure of how bad lindsey graham sucks. even with a constituency that spends their spare time conducting oppo-research, he's in a tight race

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:01 (five years ago)

but a blue Texas in the future is pretty much an extinction level event for the GOP right?

so this is what Shor said in that NYMag interview. Is this the only scenario where Texas goes blue? is he right about the rest? does this mean I should be even more nervous about Tuesday? no idea.

If education-based polarization reaches a point where Texas becomes the tipping-point state, then that means that Michigan and Minnesota and Maine and Wisconsin are all gone.

lukas, Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:11 (five years ago)

Lots of delicious quotes here in here

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/senate-trump-republicans-elections/2020/10/30/9eacb5b6-1aaf-11eb-aeec-b93bcc29a01b_story.html

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:18 (five years ago)

This is maddening.

Texas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out 100,000 ballots in Harris County cast through curbside voting. They drew Judge Andrew Hanen, one of the most notoriously partisan Republican judges in the entire federal judiciary. This is alarming. https://t.co/VODOZrCoUF

— Mark Joseph Stern (@mjs_DC) October 31, 2020

jaymc, Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

but a blue Texas in the future is pretty much an extinction level event for the GOP right?

Not necessarily -- the effects that are pushing AZ, TX, GA, NC to being swing states (migration to growing cities in places with warm weather) are pushing the cold states with post-peak urban centers in the opposite direction. Ohio is already not a swing state anymore. There's a timeline in which PA, MI, WI, MN all look like Ohio does now and Ohio looks like Indiana does now and Illinois looks like Minnesota does now, and that's a world where Republicans are nationally competitive without Texas I think?

xp I agree with the Shor quote if I'm interpreting it correctly

Guayaquil (eephus!), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:20 (five years ago)

Wow:

Obama going after Trump in MI: “He’s still worrying about his inauguration crowd being smaller than mine...He’s still talking about that. Does he have nothing better to worry about? Did no one come to his birthday party when he was a kid? Was he traumatized? What’s with crowds?”

— Yamiche Alcindor (@Yamiche) October 31, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:23 (five years ago)

If those Harris county votes get tossed there will be fucking riots

frogbs, Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:24 (five years ago)

Enten on the polls and the state of play

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/10/31/politics/polling-trump-biden-analysis/index.html

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:26 (five years ago)

The argument against counting the curbside votes needs to be "your jurisdiction told you this was okay and let you do it, so you voted in good faith. But your jurisdiction was wrong to do so, so fuck you your vote is invalid."

That's very different from individual voters making a stupid mistake and having their ballot spoiled as a result.

When your county says "this is how to vote," and you believe them, that's on the county, not on you.

If the GOP wants to go there (and clearly they do), I won't be surprised, but it's a different fight from "HURR DURR I THOUGHT I WAS VOTING 4 BIDEN BUT ACCIDENTALLY FILLED IN THE KANYE BUBBKE OOPS."

Because there were probably also some Trumpoids in the curbside line.

marzipandemonium (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:29 (five years ago)

It should be apparent to everyone by now that one of the best ways to suppress votes is to create a host of arbitrary rules which must be followed without the slightest deviation or the vote will be invalidated, while making it much harder for a particular set of voters to follow those rules. Then you claim that "the rules are the same for everybody and we're just impartially enforcing the law". Jim Crow worked along similar lines.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:31 (five years ago)

MJ Stern drives me crazy because he is basically on the right side of everything but his dial never goes below "THIS IS IT, THE END OF DEMOCRACY," and it makes me crazy if I'm too attentive to his stuff, there is a range

Guayaquil (eephus!), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

It should be apparent to everyone by now that one of the best ways to suppress votes is to create a host of arbitrary rules which must be followed without the slightest deviation or the vote will be invalidated, while making it much harder for a particular set of voters to follow those rules.

Or just selectively enforcing those rules. Can't throw out votes if nobody sues to have them thrown out.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:35 (five years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzxKomdvs_8
"Remove 45" with De La Soul · Styles P · Talib Kweli · Pharoah Monch · Mysonne · Chuck D · Posdnuos

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:45 (five years ago)

So apparently the Biden/Harris Austin rally was canceled and the campaign bus was almost run off the road.

https://crooksandliars.com/2020/10/biden-harris-campaign-cancelled-austin-tx

a certain derecho (brownie), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:53 (five years ago)

not sure about the bus being run off the road - doesn't look like it from the video unless there's another video out there

a certain derecho (brownie), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:56 (five years ago)

The lifted truck behind the bus in the video I saw almost ran another car off the road but not the bus.

I assume that Harris wasn’t on the bus or the Secret Service would have made life unpleasant for some F-150 owners.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:58 (five years ago)

True to form the lifted truck didn’t seem to be doing it on purpose just driving like a moron.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, 31 October 2020 18:59 (five years ago)

An interesting thread:

Next week is going to be horrible, for multiple reasons. One reason I haven't seen mentioned much in the media has come up a lot in my discussions with Wall Street types: the personal desperation of the Trumpies if he loses 1/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

Trump himself, of course, faces likely financial ruin from his unpayable debts and perhaps criminal charges if he loses the shield of office. Quite a few officials will probably also face criminal charges for abuse of office, both political and financial 2/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

But there's another, more mundane issue facing many lower-level Trump minions: they may not get the traditional soft landing available to former officials, in which you move into a cushy lobbying or industry job 3/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

Normally service in government is a plus on your resume; serving this government, not so much. For one thing, everyone knows that the Trumpies aren't the A team, or even the B team; they're people who had nothing better to do 4/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

What about K Street? The usual connections won't count for much: Democrats control the House. If they take the Senate too, they will play hardball, giving McConnell very little chance to shape legislation — and anyway, it's obvious that MM personally despises Trump and co 5/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

So if you are, say, Trump's Deputy Assistant Secretary for small endangered mammals, who's going to offer you a job? You pretty much burned your bridges by joining this administration, and that has jammed the revolving door. 6/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

And if you're tempted to mock my mixed metaphor, all I can say is that if Biden wins, the upper hand will be on the other foot 7/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

What all this means is that we're going to be looking at some very desperate people, many willing to do extreme things to pull this out 8/

— Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) October 31, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Saturday, 31 October 2020 19:18 (five years ago)

Seems bad

This is state terrorism. The @GrahamPolice & @AlamanceNC are violently attacking children in North Carolina, rounding up & arresting Democratic poll watchers, & beating & arresting voters at polling places.

— Mark Hughes (@markhughesfilms) October 31, 2020

frogbs, Saturday, 31 October 2020 19:36 (five years ago)

they are going to fucking steal this election

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Saturday, 31 October 2020 19:40 (five years ago)

Here’s how the Harris county sitch is gonna play out:
1. courts vote to throw out the ballots on Monday
2. angered Texans pack the polls on Tuesday
3. Supreme Court rules that the original votes need to be counted, spoiling untold ballots
4. Texas legislature claims “chaos” and tried to send their own electors

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:02 (five years ago)

tbf this is the first election of our young country, we'll get it figured out eventually

a certain derecho (brownie), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:08 (five years ago)

Trump in PA explicitly saying he’s counting on the Supreme Court to throw the election

frogbs, Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

I guess more likely is they don’t appeal to the Supreme Court if/when they lose on Monday

glengarry gary beers (voodoo chili), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:17 (five years ago)

They’re gonna have to throw out so many ballots

National Average Lead 3 Days To #ElectionDay

2000: Bush +2
2004: Bush +2.3
2008: Obama +6.4
2012: Obama +0.5
2016: Clinton +2.9
2020: Biden: +8.7

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 31, 2020

frogbs, Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:25 (five years ago)

Feel like the UN should be doing more to monitor the election in this failed state

big man on scampus (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:27 (five years ago)

Lots of delicious quotes here in here

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/senate-trump-republicans-elections/2020/10/30/9eacb5b6-1aaf-11eb-aeec-b93bcc29a01b_story.html

This wouldn't load a story for me, just a link to free live updates - if anyone feels like pulling delicious quotes, go ahead

edited for dog profanity (sic), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:30 (five years ago)

New: Georgia finishes its early voting period at 3,880,984 votes cast, 95% of its '16 total votes cast. Notable counties surpassing '16 total votes cast:

1. Forsyth +14%
2. Paulding +8%
3. Henry +6%
4. Hall +4%
5. Fulton +2%
6. Gwinnett +1%

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:36 (five years ago)

Can not fathom how this massive turnout is anything but disastrous for the GOP

frogbs, Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:38 (five years ago)

Trump in PA explicitly saying he’s counting on the Supreme Court to throw the election

Here's the clip from Trump's Reading, PA rally: “If we win on Tuesday or — thank you very much, Supreme Court — shortly thereafter…”pic.twitter.com/erqh5uNMsk

— The Recount (@therecount) October 31, 2020

edited for dog profanity (sic), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:40 (five years ago)

From a Texas journalist on the judge in that Harris County case:

Hanen is very conservative, but he’s surprised observers before (as when he left DACA in place.) Let’s hope he puts the kibosh on this complaint—> https://t.co/h8MrEKzRVA

— EricaGrieder (@EricaGrieder) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

Feel like the UN should be doing more to monitor the election in this failed state

― big man on scampus (Noodle Vague), zaterdag 31 oktober 2020 21:27 (eighteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Was going to say, seems like a no-brainer to have the UN present. But then I learnt something today on wiki:

International organizations such as the Organization of American States, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), the European Union, the Commonwealth Secretariat, the Council of Europe, and the African Union regularly deploy monitoring teams. The United Nations no longer provides monitoring services; instead, it focuses on electoral assistance. Individual governments also participate in monitoring efforts, generally under the umbrella of an international organization. These national efforts are normally managed by the local electoral commission. A wide array of NGOs also participate in monitoring efforts. The Carter Center, for example, played a key role—with the United Nations Electoral Assistance Division and the National Democratic Institute—in building consensus on a common set of international principles for election observation

I did not know that! Send in the African Union imo.

A Scampo Darkly (Le Bateau Ivre), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:49 (five years ago)

Frankly, any presidential candidate who, this close to the election, is talking about 'IF we win' rather than 'WHEN we win' knows that he's about to get his ass dragged down several miles of gravel road.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:52 (five years ago)

Yeah that leapt out at me too.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:58 (five years ago)

Here's hoping. Gonna have to order extra bourbon though if I am to make it to Wednesday. If it comes down to my sanity or my liver, it's an easy choice.

marzipandemonium (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 31 October 2020 20:59 (five years ago)

You can always get another liver.

Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:01 (five years ago)

As Kilgore Trout said: “I hope they never leave.”

It's come to this: A neighbor reports that AG William Barr's house in McLean is being picketed by Trump supporters who believe he's not doing enough to lock up Joe Biden pic.twitter.com/Ko6Mbyfi97

— Glenn Kessler (@GlennKesslerWP) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:04 (five years ago)

It's almost as if the GOP constituency at this point is COVID in human form. Ultimately, they'll ravage anyone sans discrimination. Good luck reaping what you've sown, you venal fuckers.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:11 (five years ago)

1. Forsyth +14%
2. Paulding +8%
3. Henry +6%
4. Hall +4%
5. Fulton +2%
6. Gwinnett +1%

half of these (Forsyth, Paulding, Hall) are Republican strongholds

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:13 (five years ago)

Could be a sign either way? Already seeing a bunch of speculation.

Ned Raggett, Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:23 (five years ago)

i have a pretty strong stomach for this stuff but the texas drive through thing is fucked up.

the only thing i can say to make it seem less bad is ... if they go ahead and discard them, it's probably a net of "only" 25,000 votes for biden. i might live to regret saying this but texas is a huge electorate, and the presidential election is unlikely to be that close.

of course this is not the GOP's only move, and these things add up. and there are other elections going on.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:24 (five years ago)

Could be a sign either way? Already seeing a bunch of speculation.

2020 early voting analysis in a nutshell.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:24 (five years ago)

just as an example set of polls, if this is correct it doesn't matter what happens in PA/TX/FL/GA.

New CNN/SSRS polls show Biden ahead in four battleground state polls
MI Biden+12, 53-41
AZ Biden+4, 50-46
WI Biden+8, 52-44
NC Biden+6, 51-45https://t.co/kzfD9zlhZX

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 31, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:25 (five years ago)

re: that Recount clip, Trump's wearing proper villain-in-a-corny-70s-thriller black leather gloves

Change Display Name: (stevie), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:34 (five years ago)

I think at this point I'm comfortable predicting the biggest presidential blowout since, what, '84? I am not, however, comfortable predicting that the legitimacy of that blowout won't be compromised by the GOP stirring up an unprecedented level of bullshit.

OrificeMax (Old Lunch), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:40 (five years ago)

gonna close this tab and repeat to myself three times "i know nothing, i believe nothing"

lukas, Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:40 (five years ago)

CNN's giving a lot of play to “If we win on Tuesday or — thank you very much, Supreme Court — shortly thereafter..."

I'm maybe being naive here, but I'm taking that as Trump bluffing to demoralize (and depress) Democratic turnout--making it seem that everything's been taken care of already, no need to vote. I don't even want to think about that meaning exactly what it seems to mean.

clemenza, Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:41 (five years ago)

seems more likely to drive anti-Trump turnout

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:44 (five years ago)

I'm taking that as Trump just spewing words from his barely-functioning brain like always

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Saturday, 31 October 2020 21:48 (five years ago)

I’m ready for anything

brimstead, Saturday, 31 October 2020 22:04 (five years ago)

seems more likely to drive anti-Trump turnout


Yeah wasn’t there a study recently that asserted that Trump’s threats to fix the election just make people more determined to vote?

Ape Hole Road (Boring, Maryland), Saturday, 31 October 2020 22:40 (five years ago)

uh we're seeing it now

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 22:44 (five years ago)

It’s a natural experiment

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

It’s a natural experiment

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:00 (five years ago)

I doubt anyone motivated by electoral probity is not already turning out for biden, regardless of what trump says in the next couple of days.

This stuff he says is bad electoral politics because it depresses turnout on his own side: “the election isn’t fair and don’t worry we’re going to fix it in the courts later” is not a message that motivates yourself own voters.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:07 (five years ago)

I can't get much angrier right now. This is such a toxic place to live
I fucking hate it

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:19 (five years ago)

the thing about throwing out votes in Harris County and saying that it won't matter because Texas is huge so it won't be close either way, is that the only way Biden and maybe Hegar win in Texas is if it's close.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:36 (five years ago)

sorry for garbled syntax. What I mean is, a Democratic win in Texas is a longshot and will only happen with tight margins.

Mr. Cacciatore (Moodles), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:37 (five years ago)

Just did myself a favor and got myself banned from FB for three days for saying "fuck you, cunt" to a male Trump voter cheering the ambush on.

Meanwhile, my friend reported someone who posted "Defeat Biden and that half-breed Kamala" and was told it didn't violate community standards.

#FBexit

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:40 (five years ago)

Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweephttps://t.co/bIOVhFRaQh

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 31, 2020

I know this is likely an outlier since it doesn’t correlate with any of the other polls we’ve gotten but still hard not to feel a little PTSD from shit like this

frogbs, Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:52 (five years ago)

yeah

Dan S, Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:53 (five years ago)

Nobody show this video to @realDonaldTrump 🤭 🏀 pic.twitter.com/r5HaS0ufuE

— chris evans (@notcapnamerica) October 31, 2020

(•̪●) (carne asada), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:54 (five years ago)

It's a uh huge outlier

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:55 (five years ago)

Sorry I’m drunk and watched that way too many times

(•̪●) (carne asada), Saturday, 31 October 2020 23:55 (five years ago)

Don't overreact to one poll ad infinitum

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:00 (five years ago)

Pretty much polling Twitter is treating it as an outlier. Wasserman in response:

Updated rough personal rankings of the Trump '16 turf likeliest to flip to Biden:

1. Nebraska's 2nd CD
2. Michigan
3. Arizona
4. Wisconsin
5. Pennsylvania
6. North Carolina
7. Georgia
8. Florida
9. Texas
10. Maine's 2nd CD
11. Iowa
12. Ohio

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:00 (five years ago)

And Silver:

Certainly Trump's best result in a high-quality poll in a while. We have gotten/will get lots more high-quality polls though and there haven't been many others with results like this. https://t.co/eSgsuL01wZ

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:02 (five years ago)

And Cohn himself in a follow up

It is also worth noting, though, that Selzer can be wrong, and has been before. No pollster has been put on a higher pedestal, but in the end everyone in this business is subject to sampling error and so on. If you expect perfection out of N=800 polls, you won't get it

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) October 31, 2020



And this Selzer Iowa poll is off on its own, not just in Iowa but in terms of the overall story. Every national poll has shown doing Biden way ahead of Clinton among white voters / white working class voters. He's excelled across the white, northern tier.

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 1, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:04 (five years ago)

Georgia more likely to flip than Florida??? I'm skeptical

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:07 (five years ago)

May seem strange but I’ve seen more than one person suggest it in recent weeks.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:10 (five years ago)

A further thing from Wasserman (who remember is a House district guy above all else)

If you want to play the "unskew Selzer" game, one thing I can tell you is that Republicans are not about to win #IA01 (which flipped blue in '18 by 5%) by 15%. https://t.co/Dxy4rJbFYc

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 1, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

hi! xpost

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:16 (five years ago)

One last one:

Possible that the Selzer DMR poll is the pro-R equivalent of the Langer ABC/WaPo wildly pro-D Biden +17 result in Wisconsin several days ago. Both are very respected pollsters, but those can’t both be true at the same time.

— Kyle Kondik (@kkondik) November 1, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:17 (five years ago)

Lol the commenters in Silver's thread are ridiculous

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:19 (five years ago)

xp that makes me feel better

Dan S, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:19 (five years ago)

Remember - every good poll for Biden is a mirage, but one positive poll for Trump means he's won

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:22 (five years ago)

Two of Trump's laundry-list of promises today: first woman on the moon, first human on Mars.

Is this brand new? First I've heard of it. He presented the later like it's already happened: "And we're going to land someone on Mars--it's very exciting."

clemenza, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

He's sending Kush to Mars

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:26 (five years ago)

With no space suit

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:27 (five years ago)

he never said they would be alive when the landed

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:29 (five years ago)

Infrastructure week in the asteroid belt

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:30 (five years ago)

I figure he must be arbitrarily grabbing stuff at the last minute from every winning president of the past 50 years, and that's the JFK promise.

clemenza, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:30 (five years ago)

Decided to check into Iowa early vote numbers as well — most requested ballots have been returned for all parties/non-party pref voters. Very few rejected, and the difference between GOP and Dem there even slimmer. Overall it’s 56% of the 2016 total.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/IA.html

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

Yeah I thought of the WI +17 too. Are polls like that normal in the final week if the race truly is stable? I dunno usually I don’t try to pay attention to the minutia

Good news is there were some CNN polls in 4 swing states, all good results for Biden, even with an entire MOE in Trumps favor he’s easily winning WI and MI, and slightly winning AZ and PA

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:31 (five years ago)

There's gonna be Cuban missiles on Mars, and we are gonna free South Vietnam from the Branch Davidians

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

He's talked about Mars for a couple of years - better to go there because the moon isn't exciting, very low energy

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:32 (five years ago)

Moon is a liberal star

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:33 (five years ago)

i thought the military was giving everyone free regeneron? did i dream this?

Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:37 (five years ago)

Separate thought too re mail ballots in general — if you look at Elections Project’s site you’ll see that 33 million mail ballots aren’t returned and that might freak you out. But: literally over a third of those are California, where the state mailed out a ballot to everyone; a large amount would never be returned anyway, etc. That could affect internal contests but not the presidential end result. So it’s 21 million in practical terms, and a number of those are similarly in states that switched to sending one out to all, again not expecting everyone to vote that way. So basically check out the states individually — and see what they’ve done or haven’t done — to see where concern might matter.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

so one thing I'm trying to square

a lot of polling of early voters is showing that they tend to lean heavily Dem - I'm seeing stuff like "people who voted early are 63-37 Biden, those who plan to vote in person are 61-39 Trump".

but when you break it down by party registration there seems to be a fairly even R/D split, and the 65+ demo leads all age groups. which implies that a lot of registered R's and seniors are voting Biden, as well as a huge chunk of independents. this seems like good news, but I'm not seeing any of the 538 guys comment on it yet. so what's going on here?

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:42 (five years ago)

Mother mother
Everybody thinks the polls are wrong

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:43 (five years ago)

Because as our own caek has always indicated with his sign tapping you can’t know for sure quite that. It’s certainly a strong assumption — McDonald and Wasserman keep going back and forth on this — but it’s just not a guarantee.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:46 (five years ago)

Selzer in Iowa is the best pollster in the country so that poll should be taken seriously.

But it doesn’t make a ton of sense.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:48 (five years ago)

this seems like good news, but I'm not seeing any of the 538 guys comment on it yet. so what's going on here?


The polling people are generally of the view that you should not use early voting data which tells you something that may or may not correlate with the outcome, and is based on early voting in unprecedented circumstances, when you have perfectly good polls lying around.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:51 (five years ago)

Meantime once again

Trump has finished and left, but there’s thousands of supporters who have been let loose into the night with no sign of the shuttles they’ve been told will take them back to parking. People are filling the street, blocking the road for ambulances and police. pic.twitter.com/uMgfvUZ4Jg

— DJ Judd (@DJJudd) October 31, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

don't read too much into one poll, move on

bush ii also made a big thing of Mars for some reason in one of his SOTUs. somewhere there must be some single-issue crank GOP consultant who just really loves Mars and keeps generating studies promising it's an electoral winner.

Doctor Casino, Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:53 (five years ago)

xp

It’s 41° for those wondering. https://t.co/jk4B24ecJS

— DJ Judd (@DJJudd) November 1, 2020

liberté, égalité, scampé (gyac), Sunday, 1 November 2020 00:55 (five years ago)

Silver is nettled

Man, Democrats' anxiety levels is off the charts. Which, of course. But it's a good night to have a glass of wine or whatever and chill out about the polls. It's pretty unlikely that the overall polling outlook is going to look much different on Tuesday morning than it does now.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2020



We've gotten a lot of data, most of it very recent. 91 million people have already voted. There's no October surprise unless you want to count the latest COVID spike, which isn't good news for Trump. Trump can win but there's not much indication of a last-minute surge toward him.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:02 (five years ago)

There’s a comment in there about some bad polling dropping midnight, not taking that seriously but Jesus Christ my nerves are getting frazzled

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:06 (five years ago)

now that Trump is officially history, can we talk about the size of Hunter Biden's schlong in that new Chinese sex tape?

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

...if it's OK with DJP, that is

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:07 (five years ago)

I clicked over to @Politics_Polls, saw a Wisconsin poll with Trump +1 and my heart sank. Pollster is AtlasIntel, which is rated B/C by 538, but people don't seem to be taking it seriously. I dunno.

jaymc, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:11 (five years ago)

I’m really not worried about Biden winning at all. It’s all about the Senate for me.

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:16 (five years ago)

This seems somewhat reassuring (headline if you don't want to click: "Trump has cast doubt on a peaceful transfer of power, but the preparation for one is well underway").

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/31/politics/presidential-transition-planning/index.html

clemenza, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:23 (five years ago)

Anita Dunn, a senior adviser to the Biden campaign and Harvey Weinstein

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:27 (five years ago)

xxp yeah the Senate seems much more iffy

Dan S, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

The Atlas poll was an online poll. Those are low quality

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:28 (five years ago)

I wonder if Nate silver is aware of the senate election in Iowa

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:30 (five years ago)

Xpost lots of idiots saying IT'S A TREND. RACE TIGHTENING

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

Yeah the Atlas one was like 89% white so Trump +1 ain’t so bad

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:31 (five years ago)

xp ugh

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:32 (five years ago)

xxxxxp I agree with Dan S

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

Cory Gardner's loss cancels out Doug Jones' loss, those seem like givens. I think Mark Kelly and Cal Cunningham will win, but I'm not confident about Sara Gideon beating Susan Collins, or about any of the other senate races

Dan S, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:33 (five years ago)

I don't think they've done another poll in the state

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

so, like, I'm trying to be cool and read the room here: am I understanding that we do not want to talk about the size of Hunter Biden's gigantic schlong? just asking

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:34 (five years ago)

xp yeah Naenderthal's right, I double checked and they haven't done another poll in that particular state

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

The race in Houston Texas is tightening up

thousand-yard spiral stairs (f. hazel), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:37 (five years ago)

hehehe that's great! funny post, f. hazel. I was just listening to Yo La Tengo's cover of that on their covers album Yo La Tengo is Murdering the Classics (Egon Records, 2006)

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:40 (five years ago)

anyone else on this board like Yo La Tengo? I know Dr. Morbious did...

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:41 (five years ago)

could you stop posting, please?

brimstead, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:44 (five years ago)

do.............................................. you want me to answer that?

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:47 (five years ago)

cause like, answering your question requires me to post. so, yeah

lemme know if I can post to answer your question

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:50 (five years ago)

here's a URL for all you politics junkies out dere

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/31/politics/cnn-polls-michigan-wisconsin-arizona-north-carolina/index.html

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:52 (five years ago)

edited for dog profanity (sic)
Posted: October 31, 2020 at 16:40:20
Trump in PA explicitly saying he’s counting on the Supreme Court to throw the election


Twitter now rightly flagging that clip as manipulated media. Trump was being sarcastic when he thanked the Supreme Court, having just been whining about the court allowing ballots to be counted in some states late and thus delaying the election result.

Alba, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:54 (five years ago)

Lol at gyacs link. HE DID IT AGAIN

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:56 (five years ago)

xp thank you for posting, Alba! bluggggggh, I hate Trump. hate hate hate hate hate hate hate hate hate hate Trump. cannot wait until he gets a swift kick in his boompa and leaves the White House, Washington D.C., USA! it's Joe time baby :)

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:57 (five years ago)

sorry I know I'm posting a lot right now but I just wanted to say that I also really liked gyac's funny second twitter embed of the freezing cold torture! I mean, I HATE it, but I also really like it! you fellow ilxors know what I mean

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:58 (five years ago)

This is like luriqua posting after a stint at the Betty Ford clinic

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 01:59 (five years ago)

xp (I guess I should clarify that it wasn't technically freezing cold. freezing cold is 32° F but it was 41° F there)

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:00 (five years ago)

I figured out this Hunter Biden laptop thing. It’s just like Willy Wonka’s golden ticket. You find one and you get to spend a magical day at Fox News. I hear Tucker does an impressive barrel roll.

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:05 (five years ago)

Early voting over 91 million and that does in essence mean another milestone per Elections Project — over 66% of the entire 2016 vote, two thirds. A remarkable amount.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:08 (five years ago)

burrito I like Yo La Tengo a lot

Blues Guitar Solo Heatmap (Free Download) (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:09 (five years ago)

me too dude, me too

xp wow, just wow

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:12 (five years ago)

President Donald Trump is seen between pumpkins during a campaign rally at Pittsburgh-Butler Regional Airport in Butler, Pennsylvania. Photo by @ReutersBarria pic.twitter.com/oWQdP15gS7

— corinne_perkins (@corinne_perkins) October 31, 2020

pplains, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:18 (five years ago)

Nate Cohn has a good post about the Selzer poll in Iowa.

jaymc, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:21 (five years ago)

I find this calming:

https://kendallkaut.substack.com/p/why-joe-biden-is-going-to-win

Some might argue, “The state polls were well off in ‘16, I don’t trust them.” The state polls missed in the Midwest, in large part, in 2016 because many failed to weigh by education. Most major pollsters now weigh by education. So it’s not even an apples-to-apples comparison between ‘16 polls and ‘20 polls. If pollsters still use the ‘16 framework, Biden would have a much bigger lead.

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:46 (five years ago)

That's good, yeah.

clemenza, Sunday, 1 November 2020 02:55 (five years ago)

another bit of context on the IA poll:

Independents, again, are key in this race. This is a group Trump carried in 2016.

Our September poll showed Biden leading with independents 50% to 38% (+12)

Today, Trump wins them back and leads 49% to 35% (+14)https://t.co/0CcpU32GDn

— Brianne Pfannenstiel (@brianneDMR) October 31, 2020

theres no indication that Biden's standing among independents has slipped, this poll has to be a big outlier

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:20 (five years ago)

Maybe independent Iowans are big fans of coughing COVID on each other in bars while they drown their sorrows at poor corn prices.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:25 (five years ago)

the only way i'll be worried is if tomorrow's polls and the final polls show something similar. is worth nothing that a lot of the positive Biden polls ranged 10/23 - 10/30 and the Iowa poll spanned only the 29th-30th - so i'll be curious to see if other polls that span just the last few days show any shift.

honestly though I'm tapped out of worrying and gonna watch sports all day tomorrow.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:27 (five years ago)

polls don't just randomly shift like that though, nothing's changed in the final days except for new all-time high scores in the Covid count

no matter how sound your methodology is you're going to get weird outliers with 800 person samples roughly 5% of the time. that's what WI+17 was and that's got to be what this is.

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:32 (five years ago)

i agree with that. it's funny watching the Twittersphere shit itself though

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:35 (five years ago)

lol Nate Silver took the gloves OFF

I'm sure assholes like you would give "my profession" a hard time in pursuit of whatever vainglorious angle you're trying to play. But 10% things happen 10% of the time and empirically based on our forecasts that's exactly how often they do happen. https://t.co/8oqu1OmvAz

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 1, 2020

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:38 (five years ago)

So he stranded rally attendees in the cold without return shuttles again? These morons will never learn how much he actively hates them.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:47 (five years ago)

Sorry, I see that was already covered upthread.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Sunday, 1 November 2020 03:49 (five years ago)

It’s 41° for those wondering. https://t.co/jk4B24ecJS

— DJ Judd (@DJJudd) November 1, 2020

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:07 (five years ago)

email from James Carville I just got:

Nancy asked.

And now I’m begging.

So you can bet your own butt this is important!

Trump just announced he amassed $265 MILLION to win his re-election. $265 MILLION!

I’m calling on grassroots Democrats to band together like a mob of angry bees! Nancy launched an emergency 4X-match to outraise him -- but she can only keep it open until tonight’s midnight deadline. >>

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:07 (five years ago)

very glad he specified we can bet our *own* butts

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:07 (five years ago)

although DJ Judd should clarify that technically it's 41° for everyone there, not just those wondering

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:08 (five years ago)

New Washington Post-ABC News polls: Biden +7 in PA (down from +9 last month), Trump +2 in FL (down from +4 last month). @danbalz @sfcpoll @emgusk https://t.co/LptpjqLZA2

— Dave Weigel, Re-Animator (@daveweigel) November 1, 2020

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:09 (five years ago)

Nate Silver makes it into the SNL opening.

clemenza, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:10 (five years ago)

good to see that the +2 is actually a move towards Biden

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:11 (five years ago)

i wonder if Nate enjoys that kind of exposure

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:12 (five years ago)

I assume you're referring to Joe, cause as we've all seen in that leaked Chinese sex tape, Hunter definitely doesn't need a +2

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:13 (five years ago)

what the FUCK is you talkin about?

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

Hunter Biden is abnormally well-endowed in the penal area.

the burrito that defined a generation, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:15 (five years ago)

open for an October surprise

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:16 (five years ago)

i wonder if Nate enjoys that kind of exposure

I've got to believe he loves it, even if he might not admit to that (and even if it gives competitors a chance to caricature him).

clemenza, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:21 (five years ago)

so that AtlasIntel has called 81% of races correctly, has a Simple Average Error of 8.8 points, and its Advanced and Predictive scores aren't great, 538 sez they're average. online survey, ima say it's likely bogus for Wisconsin

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:22 (five years ago)

it also got a 89% white sample

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:24 (five years ago)

half of AtlasIntel's summary of their poll is them bragging about how good their polling performance has been too. it reads like a press release

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 04:26 (five years ago)

In 2016, Clinton won the TX counties containing Houston, Dallas and Austin by 541k votes. In 2018, Beto won them by 682k. Biden's likely on pace to win them by 1 million+.

And that's not even including San Antonio/El Paso.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 1, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 05:24 (five years ago)

i have a new sign, it says "whenever you talk about texas turnout numbers you have to use per cent, or you have to acknowledge that the population of texas is growing rapidly", and i'm tapping it ;-)

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 1 November 2020 05:32 (five years ago)

People seem to misinterpret that growth, too - Beto won natives, Sen. Blobfish won the non-native Texans.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 1 November 2020 05:44 (five years ago)

Direct deposit into the spank bank. https://t.co/KmWGjdwBxD

— Bradley Whitford (@BradleyWhitford) November 1, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 1 November 2020 05:54 (five years ago)

He hit that three like it was a Yemeni wedding https://t.co/J8zgqpEN0R

— accidentally racist spooky display name (@websiteidi0t) October 31, 2020

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Sunday, 1 November 2020 08:27 (five years ago)

lol at that 'seen between pumpkins' tweet

nashwan, Sunday, 1 November 2020 09:34 (five years ago)

That Yemeni wedding tweet...whew.

Reading the replies on the original is some sad, sad stuff. Lots of whites with blue checkmarks being like 'he's so cool omg what village will his drones strafe next'

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 1 November 2020 11:57 (five years ago)

23,975,574 Americans who didn't vote in the 2016 election have already voted.

7,816,118 of these voters were voting for the first time in their life.

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) November 1, 2020

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 13:07 (five years ago)

I'm gonna idly speculate, perhaps unhelpfully, at least a fifth of those are votes for 'four more years' sadly, whether young first time voters or just commonly apathetic types who sat out last time but then got red-pilled by antifa setting fire to their minecart, but let's hope it's far far less.

nashwan, Sunday, 1 November 2020 13:28 (five years ago)

The Yemeni wedding tweet is not funny.

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Sunday, 1 November 2020 13:57 (five years ago)

Hm okay I'm open to that, crut. I personally don't know if it's supposed to be "funny" as much as pushing against the adulation? But I don't swim in those waters much so I'm probably missing something.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:00 (five years ago)

Election Day weather forecast: Great!

Outside of the Pacific NW (where folks vote by mail), basically no rain/snow is in the forecast across the entire country. That means voters waiting in pandemic-mandated lines outside polling places should stay dry, if maybe a little chilly. pic.twitter.com/TI4CJAgIQg

— Steven Shepard (@POLITICO_Steve) November 1, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:04 (five years ago)

Reading the replies on the original is some sad, sad stuff. Lots of whites with blue checkmarks being like 'he's so cool omg what village will his drones strafe next'

― healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, November 1, 2020 11:57 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

I'm not familiar w the full context of verified white ppl being flippant(?) about USian-dealt horrors? Fwiw it appeared in my timeline being RTed by @WyzeChef, a Ferguson organizer. I apologize if it was tone-deaf or inappropriate.

Ima Gardener (in orbit), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:05 (five years ago)

I apologize if it was tone-deaf or inappropriate.

Don't worry about it. Saying something positive about Barack Obama is always tone-deaf and inappropriate, if you're map or table.

but also fuck you (unperson), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:16 (five years ago)

There’s nothing wrong with that tweet.

It’s a legit response (funny? I laughed) to misguided Obama adulation.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:17 (five years ago)

Putting aside whether or not the tweet is supposed to be funny, I fail to see the analogy between atrociously bungled strikes that killed civilians instead of the intended target and a nothing-but-net three pointer.

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:19 (five years ago)

Good morning!

Turnout of FL's registrants so far:

Dems: 64.3%
GOPers: 64.1%
NPA/others: 49.7%

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 1, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:22 (five years ago)

They are not analogous, that’s the point.

The “joke” is this scrim of celebrity that obscures the atrocities. It’s a sendup of responses like Bradley Whitford’s “spank bank” line.

error prone wolf syndicate (Hadrian VIII), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:24 (five years ago)

I've never read this guy, but this is worth a peek:

https://kendallkaut.substack.com/p/why-joe-biden-is-going-to-win

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:30 (five years ago)

Nate Silver gave Donald Trump around a 30% chance to win. 30% events happen all the time.

ok, and now he has Trump at 10%. so why write an entire article arguing that Biden is a shoo-in?

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:33 (five years ago)

i'm acting way too cranky this morning so will bow out of this thread.

real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:35 (five years ago)

ok, and now he has Trump at 10%. so why write an entire article arguing that Biden is a shoo-in?

― real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt),

to...reassure you?

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 1 November 2020 14:42 (five years ago)

Wow

🚨 State Legislative Chamber Rating Change 🚨

We are getting rid of our final Toss-Up in our forecasts:

TX House | Toss-Up → Tilt D (FLIP)

D Maj. 50%
R Maj. 44.4%
Tie 5.6%

See our nationwide state legislative forecast:https://t.co/yKxc3sFaOU pic.twitter.com/A8I6jYyiMY

— CNalysis (@CNalysis) November 1, 2020

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 15:45 (five years ago)

Putting aside whether or not the tweet is supposed to be funny, I fail to see the analogy between atrociously bungled strikes that killed civilians instead of the intended target and a nothing-but-net three pointer.

― real muthaphuckkin jeez (crüt), Sunday, November 1, 2020 8:19 AM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

This. I think it's totally fair to criticize Obama's foreign policy and use of drone strikes, but this often gets twisted into a caricature of Obama as a gleeful mass murderer, which...c'mon.

jaymc, Sunday, 1 November 2020 15:53 (five years ago)

On ABC, Trump adviser Jason Miller signals a legal battle against ballots not yet counted by Tuesday. "If you speak with many smart Democrats, they believe that President Trump will be ahead on election night ... And then they're going to try to steal it back after the election."

— Will Saletan (@saletan) November 1, 2020

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 15:59 (five years ago)

Will enjoy courts saying "where are you guaranteed a right to have all ballots counted on Election Day"

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:01 (five years ago)

In a 6-3 decision

frogbs, Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

who are these Smart Democrats

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:02 (five years ago)

do we have a new thread yet?

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

NYT-Siena polls:

Arizona: Likely voters
Biden 49%
Trump 43%

Florida: Likely voters
Biden 47%
Trump 44%

Pennsylvania: Likely voters
Biden 49%
Trump 43%

Wisconsin: Likely voters
Biden 52%
Trump 41%

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) November 1, 2020

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:04 (five years ago)

Xpost nah, even they aren't gonna do that. They have been deferential to rules passed by state legislatures and only overturning decisions made by fed courts.

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

Emerson also has Biden at +6 Wisconsin, Trump at +2 Iowa

Lover of Nixon (or LON for short) (Neanderthal), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:06 (five years ago)

This. I think it's totally fair to criticize Obama's foreign policy and use of drone strikes, but this often gets twisted into a caricature of Obama as a gleeful mass murderer, which...c'mon.

― jaymc, Sunday, November 1, 2020 7:53 AM (ten minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

The problem is that what libs and Dems who worship Obama would have us believe is that none of the drone strikes, reinvigoration of border carceral apparatus, and other actions which should rightly be considered *war crimes* or at least *crimes against humanity* even happened, and that Obama is some "effortlessly cool" and "progressive" leader when really he's just a neoliberal murderer.

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:08 (five years ago)

Early vote at 93.2 million. Further notes from McDonald:

2020 #earlyvote as % of 2016 total turnout

HI 111%
TX 108%
MT 99%
NC 95%
GA 94%
NM 93%
NV 91%
FL 91%
TN 90%
OR 88%
CO 87%
AZ 87%
NJ 80%

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) November 1, 2020

Questions now for overall turnout:

- How much more mail is yet to be returned? (Keep in mind some states accept ballots postmarked by Election Day)
- How much mail is returned, but not entered as processed yet?
- How much Election Day vote will be cast?

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) November 1, 2020

Should add

- A few states are still offering in-person early voting. How much more in-person?

— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) November 1, 2020

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:09 (five years ago)

McDonald's percentage listing doesn't cover every state near the top, but it's a good range. Washington's at 97.9%, for instance.

Ned Raggett, Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

Pointing out the normalization of the silence around Obama's many crimes is always a worthy pursuit imho, particularly if it's taking aim at an establishment that seeks to distract from reality by being all "wow he can hit a three-pointer my pants are creamy."

healthy cocaine off perfect butts (the table is the table), Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:15 (five years ago)

There isn’t much silence around his war crimes, or else you wouldn’t be so aware of it, it’s simply that most people are able to sustain conflicting ideas and understand the degrees of nuance inherent in people, and how it’s amplified when are you the commander in chief of most the powerful defense in the world.

Van Horn Street, Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:24 (five years ago)

GET OUT: US politics November 2020

Alba, Sunday, 1 November 2020 16:26 (five years ago)


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