Oscars 2011 Long-range anticipation thread

Message Bookmarked
Bookmark Removed

don't want to get sucked into the bullshit this early, but i guess it's happened and there's no stopping it

http://nymag.com/daily/entertainment/2010/09/oscar_futures_the_social_netwo.html
http://www.deadline.com/2010/09/big-fall-fest-whos-up-or-down-for-oscar/

sexy mfa (history mayne), Friday, 17 September 2010 17:02 (fifteen years ago)

like a presidential election, this anticipation shit gets earlier and earlier.

a cankle of rads (Gukbe), Saturday, 18 September 2010 01:11 (fifteen years ago)

JLG not there, I'm not there

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 18 September 2010 02:49 (fifteen years ago)

but The King's Speech vs The Social Network will be lol

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 23 September 2010 11:31 (fifteen years ago)

just curious, given the Social Network jizzwagon -- has any film won Best Picture where the entire principal cast was under age 30?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:19 (fifteen years ago)

(I can guess who will answer first)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:19 (fifteen years ago)

Slumdog Millionaire?

raging hetero lifechill (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:30 (fifteen years ago)

what about Oscar winners whose script was written at an under-thirty level?

raging hetero lifechill (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:30 (fifteen years ago)

idk what that means

l'avventura: pet detective (history mayne), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:31 (fifteen years ago)

I guess Slumdog Millionaire qualifies, tho on the sixth-grade script level too

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:39 (fifteen years ago)

ok I just read about The King's Speech and have to say ARE U KIDDING ME?

No Good, Scrunty-Looking, Narf Herder (Gukbe), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:41 (fifteen years ago)

all the characters with characters in titanic were kids, weren't they? apart from the framing device i guess.

caek, Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:41 (fifteen years ago)

king's speech trailer looks like shakespeare-in-love era miramax shit

caek, Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:42 (fifteen years ago)

I would consider Gloria Stuart, David Warner and Kathy Bates part of the Titanic principals.

I am aghast that J Timberlake is still just 29 when it seems like he's been plaguing us for a quarter-century.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:48 (fifteen years ago)

I'd have thought you preferred his acting chops.

raging hetero lifechill (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:49 (fifteen years ago)

in your eyes he acts like a singer.

raging hetero lifechill (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 15:50 (fifteen years ago)

he wasn't terrible in that Richard Kelly movie even tho the part didn't make much sense.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 29 September 2010 16:01 (fifteen years ago)

Year-round coverage here:
http://www.awardsdaily.com/

jaymc, Wednesday, 29 September 2010 16:34 (fifteen years ago)

two weeks pass...

foreign film submissions:

http://www.indiewire.com/article/updated_list_of_foreign_language_academy_submissions

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 15 October 2010 04:22 (fifteen years ago)

I Am NOT Love(d), amirite?

Also, was Tuesday, After Christmas not eligible for Romania for some reason? That Whistle film is meant to be pretty poor, I thought.

No Good, Scrunty-Looking, Narf Herder (Gukbe), Friday, 15 October 2010 05:55 (fifteen years ago)

fuck yeah Dogtooth. Never getting a nod, though, of course. By the end of next week I think I'll have seen five of these.

I liked Incendies more than I was expecting to.

Simon H., Friday, 15 October 2010 06:15 (fifteen years ago)

three weeks pass...

let the forecast bullshit begin!

http://www.goldderby.com/predictions.html

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 6 November 2010 01:38 (fifteen years ago)

Not seen most of those, but I'm going to go ahead and say it's another grim year.

Excited about seeing Winter's Bone at some point though.

Gukbe, Saturday, 6 November 2010 01:39 (fifteen years ago)

So Annette Bening's gonna get the lion's share of the The Kids Are All Right promotion?

sandra lee, gimme your alcohol (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 6 November 2010 01:45 (fifteen years ago)

she's the only one I've seen promoted

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 6 November 2010 09:51 (fifteen years ago)

I think Frownland will win best picture retrospectively. How ELSE can justice be done? Right, Morbz???????

Kevin John Bozelka, Saturday, 6 November 2010 10:42 (fifteen years ago)

bluh, worst film of 2009

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:26 (fifteen years ago)

Is it now CW that Eisenberg will be nominated? Usually somebody w/ his low commercial profile and relative youth has to be a conventionally pretty woman or get abused throughout the role (ie, Gabourey Sibide) to make the cut.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:34 (fifteen years ago)

Matt Damon (relative youth) was nominated in '97, and Jeremy Renner (low commercial profile) last year.

sandra lee, gimme your alcohol (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:35 (fifteen years ago)

they had flashier roles though

Gukbe, Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:35 (fifteen years ago)

in the BA category in recent years: Keira Knightley, Carey Mulligan.

sandra lee, gimme your alcohol (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:36 (fifteen years ago)

On another note: I read in the NYT a couple of weeks ago that the studio's trying to pull a Michael Douglas SA nod before he croaks.

sandra lee, gimme your alcohol (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:37 (fifteen years ago)

all those ppl had legit movie star potential (and again, women in their 20s are a whole diff deal -- I wonder why); not sure Hollywood believes that about J.E.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:42 (fifteen years ago)

I dunno -- I see Eisenberg turning into, at worst, a Brad Dourif or Chris Walken type who always gets supporting work.

sandra lee, gimme your alcohol (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:47 (fifteen years ago)

I don't think he'll be quite as character-actory, but yeah, supporting roles in bigger pictures, lead in indies.

Gukbe, Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:49 (fifteen years ago)

btw anyone seen Inside Job? Gonna do so this afternoo.

sandra lee, gimme your alcohol (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 6 November 2010 14:51 (fifteen years ago)

uh FROWNLAND is in my top three of the decade!

Taylor McSwift (Tape Store), Saturday, 6 November 2010 16:58 (fifteen years ago)

also it was 2007/2008 :)

Taylor McSwift (Tape Store), Saturday, 6 November 2010 16:58 (fifteen years ago)

actually idk if it's top three but prob top ten! :)

Taylor McSwift (Tape Store), Saturday, 6 November 2010 16:59 (fifteen years ago)

Seems to me there's already a thread for this, jerks.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Saturday, 6 November 2010 17:02 (fifteen years ago)

i'm into separating Oscars and detrius.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 6 November 2010 19:31 (fifteen years ago)

The Governors Awards shindig:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/15/movies/15oscar.html

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 17 November 2010 12:42 (fifteen years ago)

Film 2010 was hyping Toy Story 3 to get best picture, which seems obvious when you think about it.

I'm being a smartass here, but in a fun way (NotEnough), Wednesday, 17 November 2010 12:54 (fifteen years ago)

no.

NYT w/ none of the important news as usual -- like who presented JLG's award or who pretended to accept, if such a charade took place.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 17 November 2010 13:31 (fifteen years ago)

lol at claudia winkelman/film 2010

caek, Wednesday, 17 November 2010 13:47 (fifteen years ago)

I'm all for that ad campaign.

Ned Raggett, Wednesday, 17 November 2010 22:46 (fifteen years ago)

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences on Thursday announced its list of the 15 films that are still in the running for this year's feature documentary Oscar.

The most visible documentaries of the year — Charles Ferguson's "Inside Job" (about the financial system meltdown) and Davis Guggenheim's "Waiting for 'Superman' " (about the U.S. education system) — both made the cut after being left off the International Documentary Awards list of nominees.

Other veteran documentary filmmakers were recognized too: Alex Gibney's "Client 9: The Rise and Fall of Eliot Spitzer" is on the list, as is "Waste Land" by Lucy Walker.

The other 11: "Exit Through the Gift Shop," "Gasland," "Genius Within: The Inner Life of Glenn Gould," "The Lottery," "The Tillman Story," "Precious Life," "Quest for Honor," "Restrepo," "This Way of Life," "Enemies of the People" and "William Kunstler: Disturbing the Universe."

The documentary branch members will now select the five nominees, which will be announced in January. The Oscars will be handed out Feb. 27.

—Nicole Sperling, LA Times

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 19 November 2010 12:51 (fifteen years ago)

Notable omissions:

Oceans
Babies
Catfish
Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work

Domingo Halliburton (jaymc), Friday, 19 November 2010 13:55 (fifteen years ago)

(Notable in that all grossed more than $3 million domestically.)

Domingo Halliburton (jaymc), Friday, 19 November 2010 13:55 (fifteen years ago)

I'm amazed that that many ppl can look at closeups of Joan Rivers

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 19 November 2010 15:11 (fifteen years ago)

Not surprised Catfish didn't make the cut. Sort of shocked Gift Shop did, tho.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Friday, 19 November 2010 15:45 (fifteen years ago)

Banksy obv has good PR ppl

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 19 November 2010 15:48 (fifteen years ago)

disappointed at no Marwencol, but the Gift Shop nod is good news.

Simon H., Friday, 19 November 2010 15:56 (fifteen years ago)

xp ha speaking of which http://www.indiewire.com/article/hyping_the_gift_shop_experts_talk_marketing_and_distribution_of_banksy_doc/

caek, Friday, 19 November 2010 15:58 (fifteen years ago)

Wait, Last Train Home got snubbed? And A Film Unfinished? Craziness!

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Saturday, 20 November 2010 02:34 (fifteen years ago)

Also, lol that Glenn Gould snorefest made the cut.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Saturday, 20 November 2010 02:48 (fifteen years ago)

Go Jacki Weaver!!

yuoowemeone, Sunday, 21 November 2010 09:05 (fifteen years ago)

More than ever:

Toy Story 3

Best picture
Best animated feature

Now, Sunday, 21 November 2010 10:01 (fifteen years ago)

"Restrepo" was terrific.

I didn't see "Toy Story 3" and probably wouldn't even like it, but I'd still like to see it win Best Picture on general principle (the general principle being that I'm sure it's way better than the stuff that typically actually wins.)

Guayaquil (eephus!), Sunday, 21 November 2010 13:33 (fifteen years ago)

that might be the ultimate film snob comment.

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 14:49 (fifteen years ago)

in a good way, obv

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 14:49 (fifteen years ago)

uh NO.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 15:30 (fifteen years ago)

The precedent would be The Return of the King: giving Film 3 of a shitload-moneymaker series an "artistic" prize that says thanks for all the moolah. Not the kind of things "film snobs" say. Film snobs don't give a fucking shit about who wins Oscars.

I know you ppl think all Pixar films come from Mt Sinai, but eh computer animation.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 15:35 (fifteen years ago)

I think "I don't want to see x but it's probably better than everything else the plebs want to celebrate" is pretty snobbish. No offense, Eephus.

I also don't think ROTK is the right precedent here.

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 15:53 (fifteen years ago)

also Morbs is the critic that wouldn't even bother to try the Ratatouille so.

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 15:54 (fifteen years ago)

yeah sure, that's why one of my major regrets of the last month is that i haven't had time to see Jackass 3D.

Industry articles have said the studio push for a TS3 win is 'zackly based on the ROTK "it's for the series" rationale, Guk.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:00 (fifteen years ago)

There is no precedent for Toy Story 3 winning best picture. That's why I'd like to see it win.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:08 (fifteen years ago)

Ah, if you meant industry push for the award than yeah, ROTK is the go-to strategy. xpost

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:08 (fifteen years ago)

I think the Academy opened the BP nominations to ten partly so they could regularly nominate animated films for the top prize w/out having them win.

Actors are not going to vote for it.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:18 (fifteen years ago)

Having the animated feature category will always stack the decks against one winning Best Picture. Are they doing 10 again this year? I'm sure they'll want Inception animated. Is Winter's Bone in with a shot as a token indie feature?

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:21 (fifteen years ago)

I'd prefer Inception animated, but instead it'll be nominated.

WB has a shot.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:24 (fifteen years ago)

nominated, not animated. though I'm sure they'd like to see that too. xpost lol

Has anyone seen The King's Speech? It looks like a parody of 'worthy' award-baiting British (English) drama.

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:24 (fifteen years ago)

oh, this guy:

http://www.thefilmexperience.net/Awards/2010/tally.html

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:26 (fifteen years ago)

has True Grit even been screened for critics? or is that based solely on pedigree/buzz?

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:27 (fifteen years ago)

not sure

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 16:28 (fifteen years ago)

It'll be a feat if a doc gets a BP nod in that 10-deep slate.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Sunday, 21 November 2010 17:43 (fifteen years ago)

Michael Moore could've w/ F9/11, I think

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 17:47 (fifteen years ago)

gawd I honestly thought BP = British Petroleum here and was like 'wha???' Need sleep obv.

Kevin John Bozelka, Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:02 (fifteen years ago)

I have seen practically NONE of these, but my wife is in the Producer's Guild and the For Your Consideration screeners have started rolling in. Can't say I'm excited about any of them, but I guess we'll watch The Social Network and Winter's Bone on Thanksgiving. What is "Get Low"?

ralph NAGLer (admrl), Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:03 (fifteen years ago)

Robt Duvall/Bill Murray Southern folk comedy? haven't seen yet

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:05 (fifteen years ago)

Huh, sounds like it could go either way.

We also have

Alice In Wonderland (probably not going to bother with)
Despicable Me (what is this even about?)
Toy Story 3 (seen)
How To Train Your Dragon (huh?)

ralph NAGLer (admrl), Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:08 (fifteen years ago)

I have a slew but am most excited about the ones I don't have to do RSVP screenings for now. tho I wd like to see S.Coppola on the big screen since Harris Savides shot it.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:17 (fifteen years ago)

Yeah we get invited to screenings too but we never go, we're far too busy and important.

Some Folks Call It A Sling Blade (admrl), Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:19 (fifteen years ago)

I've heard How To Train Your Dragon is really good xxpost

Gukbe, Sunday, 21 November 2010 18:41 (fifteen years ago)

Haven't gotten much in the way of screeners yet, beyond the Focus batch. :(

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:01 (fifteen years ago)

Minor league crux awards = victim of the economy?

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:04 (fifteen years ago)

Crix

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:04 (fifteen years ago)

It's mys first year of screeners! Only got the Focus and Overture ones so far.

Simon H., Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:11 (fifteen years ago)

so stoked I can't fucking type.

Simon H., Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:11 (fifteen years ago)

I've heard How To Train Your Dragon is really good xxpost

― Gukbe, Sunday, November 21, 2010 1:41 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark

i heard this too

Onigaga (Princess TamTam), Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:26 (fifteen years ago)

xpost I remember the feeling. Vaguely.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Sunday, 21 November 2010 20:31 (fifteen years ago)

so j-franks and anne hathaway are presenting

guess they aren't getting nominated or

rip whiney g weingarten 03/11 never forget (history mayne), Monday, 29 November 2010 18:23 (fifteen years ago)

Hathaway is probably not. Franco almost certainly is. When was the last time a nominee hosted?

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Monday, 29 November 2010 18:28 (fifteen years ago)

Walter Matthau at the 1975 Oscars?

Domingo Halliburton (jaymc), Monday, 29 November 2010 18:43 (fifteen years ago)

(Nominated for The Sunshine Boys; lost to Nicholson in Cuckoo's Nest. Cohosted with Goldie Hawn, Gene Kelly, George Segal, and Robert Shaw.)

Domingo Halliburton (jaymc), Monday, 29 November 2010 18:55 (fifteen years ago)

I guess Paul Hogan was also host the year his screenplay for Crocodile Dundee was (inexplicably) nominated.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Monday, 29 November 2010 19:54 (fifteen years ago)

Jeffrey Wells weighs in!

Excuse me and due respect, but this is close to ridiculous. These guys would be great for hosting the MTV Awards, maybe, but they're not skilled or funny or pizazzy enough to handle the Oscars. What are the producers thinking? Ratings, I know, but every good Oscar host needs a little Lenny Bruce running through his/her veins, and Franco and Hathaway, trust me, do not have that quality -- it's not in them.

Franco and Hathaway are cool and gifted and sensitive, certainly, but they don't have that command-of-the-spotlight, look-at-me and then fucking-listen-to-me quality. This is the worst Oscar hosting idea since...when?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 29 November 2010 20:31 (fifteen years ago)

This is the worst Oscar hosting idea since...when?

2009: hugh jackman

rip whiney g weingarten 03/11 never forget (history mayne), Monday, 29 November 2010 20:33 (fifteen years ago)

Franco is sensitive?

look at it, pwn3d, made u look at my peen/vadge (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 29 November 2010 20:33 (fifteen years ago)

Justin Timberlake was on Access Hollywood Live today (it was just on, ok) and for a second I could've sworn Billy Bush was interviewing Moby.

Cunga, Monday, 29 November 2010 20:38 (fifteen years ago)

I had just woken up and couldn't see, but still.

Cunga, Monday, 29 November 2010 20:42 (fifteen years ago)

So it's official: Franco and Hathaway

I'm fine with this if we're getting James "I thought the scene would go better if I lit up beforehand" Franco and not James "See, kids, what I'm doing is a little thing called Performance Art" Franco.

Cunga, Monday, 29 November 2010 20:49 (fifteen years ago)

Jeffrey Wells is a horrible person, but in this case, he's right.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Monday, 29 November 2010 21:12 (fifteen years ago)

Timberlake is a better host type than Franco – he seems to like industry twaddle.

look at it, pwn3d, made u look at my peen/vadge (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 29 November 2010 21:12 (fifteen years ago)

Jackman did a funny opening number

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 29 November 2010 21:24 (fifteen years ago)

really Cunga, a stoner Oscars? so they seem even longer?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 29 November 2010 21:40 (fifteen years ago)

I was kinda shocked to learn that one of the younger Oscar co-hosts was Mort Sahl.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 17:44 (fifteen years ago)

Might as well have been Morley Safer.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 17:52 (fifteen years ago)

pshaw, Sahl was termed a "sick comedian" at the time he MC'd (1959)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 17:55 (fifteen years ago)

I'm guessing he didn't do his joke that Marilyn Monroe converted to Judaism when she married Arthur Miller... so he could eat her.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 17:57 (fifteen years ago)

my bad, that was an Oscar Levant joke

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 19:35 (fifteen years ago)

Christian Bale a shoo-in for Best Supporting Actor?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=71l-kIhJ5j8

piscesx, Tuesday, 30 November 2010 20:17 (fifteen years ago)

Skeletor (Christian Bale)

look at it, pwn3d, made u look at my peen/vadge (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 20:18 (fifteen years ago)

yeah, he is

it's borderline co-lead

rip whiney g weingarten 03/11 never forget (history mayne), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 20:19 (fifteen years ago)

not sure if I mentioned he reminded me of Art Carney in The Honeymooners

He's kinda awful

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 20:30 (fifteen years ago)

In other words, a lock.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 20:41 (fifteen years ago)

close

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 20:48 (fifteen years ago)

So with all this lip service to how SUPER-WIDE OPEN all the acting categories are this year, maybe now's a good time to put that theory to the test. Here's what I gather are the soft frontrunners pre-crix awards. I'm laying odds at least 15 of these emerge on nomination day.

Firth
Franco
Bridges
Duvall
Eisenberg

Bening
Portman
Lawrence
Kidman
Williams

Rush
Bale
Ruffalo
Garfield
Harris

Carter
Manville
Leo
Adams
Hershey

Hedging bets that crix/Globes will make Manville have to slum in supporting.

Miss Garrote (Eric H.), Tuesday, 30 November 2010 21:09 (fifteen years ago)

two weeks pass...

So is Manville basically dead in the water at this point?

Zsa Zsa Gay Bar (jaymc), Thursday, 16 December 2010 22:51 (fifteen years ago)

Effectively yeah.

benanas foster (Eric H.), Thursday, 16 December 2010 23:45 (fifteen years ago)

Still feeling 16 of those 20 from a few weeks back.

Firth
Franco
Bridges
Duvall Gosling
Eisenberg

Bening
Portman
Lawrence
Kidman
Williams

Rush
Bale
Ruffalo
Garfield
Harris Hawkes

Carter
Manville Lead girl in True Grit
Leo
Adams
Hershey Kunis

benanas foster (Eric H.), Thursday, 16 December 2010 23:47 (fifteen years ago)

You guys that sure about Kidman/

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 16 December 2010 23:50 (fifteen years ago)

I don't think Jacki Weaver is out of it just yet.

Zsa Zsa Gay Bar (jaymc), Thursday, 16 December 2010 23:59 (fifteen years ago)

You guys that sure about Kidman/

Eric's predix for lead actress actually looks the safest of all four of those categories.

Zsa Zsa Gay Bar (jaymc), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:09 (fifteen years ago)

Kidman's looking pretty locked now, yeah. Berry's probably too little too late and Swank is just not going to happen.

benanas foster (Eric H.), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:19 (fifteen years ago)

But Swank v. Bening 3!

Zsa Zsa Gay Bar (jaymc), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:38 (fifteen years ago)

If that actually happens, I vow to never start another detrius thread ever again. You have my word.

benanas foster (Eric H.), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:50 (fifteen years ago)

But Swank v. Bening 3!

ha -- yeah. I noted this on the other thread. But it ain't gonna happen.

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:51 (fifteen years ago)

If it happens, it means that the Oscar blogger brigade actually ARE running shit, and I will be forced to retire my game for moral reasons.

benanas foster (Eric H.), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:52 (fifteen years ago)

I run a clean game.

benanas foster (Eric H.), Friday, 17 December 2010 00:52 (fifteen years ago)

hey, Wild Grass is eligible!

http://www.awardsdaily.com/2010/12/248-feature-films-eligible-for-best-picture/

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 21 December 2010 18:12 (fifteen years ago)

two weeks pass...

I am smelling the possibility of a True Grit/Fincher split, just sayin'

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 14:57 (fifteen years ago)

a true split

Princess TamTam, Wednesday, 5 January 2011 15:03 (fifteen years ago)

I linked to this in the detrius thread

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/05/movies/awardsseason/05oscar.html?hp

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 15:18 (fifteen years ago)

TG just doesn't have a lot of competition right now

Princess TamTam, Wednesday, 5 January 2011 15:22 (fifteen years ago)

moving from the once-inevitable TSN to TG bcz of a bit more $$$ in the till: Oscar in a nutshell

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 15:27 (fifteen years ago)

but surely NCFOM having won a few years ago will hurt True Grit's chances.

Gukbe, Wednesday, 5 January 2011 16:31 (fifteen years ago)

perhaps

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 16:39 (fifteen years ago)

nahhh TSN has still got it in the bag.

Simon H., Wednesday, 5 January 2011 17:22 (fifteen years ago)

suspect you're right, but let me live in hope.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 17:45 (fifteen years ago)

Would be fun to bet on which major film is going to end up shut out this year, which one will be 6-ish nominations, no wins.

the point at which the whole world gets to try on the glasses (Eazy), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 17:52 (fifteen years ago)

It's the lesser evil in the long run, Doc: if Fincher's movie loses out this year, they'll have to give it to one of his Millenium flicks.

Simon H., Wednesday, 5 January 2011 18:16 (fifteen years ago)

k, I don't know what those are; the Tattooed Girl series?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 18:26 (fifteen years ago)

the same.

Simon H., Wednesday, 5 January 2011 18:37 (fifteen years ago)

well that wdnt make me upset, as I'm not seeing those.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 19:06 (fifteen years ago)

Good interview with Scott Rudin on producing both The Social Network and True Grit.

the point at which the whole world gets to try on the glasses (Eazy), Wednesday, 5 January 2011 20:36 (fifteen years ago)

Nathaniel at Film Experience posted newly updated Oscar nom predictions.

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 6 January 2011 02:14 (fifteen years ago)

Dave Karger sez that True Grit's box office success is forcing Academy voters to remember that Steinfeld is actually a lead actress.

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 6 January 2011 02:34 (fifteen years ago)

I always figured that the TG "supporting actor" ruse was a ploy to sidestep the Portman juggernaut.

Simon H., Thursday, 6 January 2011 02:36 (fifteen years ago)

People get their tits in an uproar about this much more than when Timothy Hutton won "supporting" for Ordinary People. (or when Pacino was mominated below Brando for The Godfather)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 6 January 2011 02:53 (fifteen years ago)

Well, those are guys, who are superior to women anyway.

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 6 January 2011 02:58 (fifteen years ago)

wait morbs do you really think true grit is better than the social network?

maybe i'm just gay (Tape Store), Thursday, 6 January 2011 12:16 (fifteen years ago)

for sure. (and I don't love True Grit)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 6 January 2011 12:47 (fifteen years ago)

two weeks pass...

no Uncle Boonmee, but Dogtooth (wouldnt win in a million years):

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM SHORTLIST

Hors la Loi (Outside the Law) - Algeria
Incendies - Canada
In a Better World - Denmark
Dogtooth - Greece
Confessions - Japan
Biutiful - Mexico
Life, Above All - South Africa
Tambien la Lluvia (Even the Rain) - Spain
Simple Simon - Sweden

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 January 2011 16:33 (fifteen years ago)

fuck yes INCENDIES!

sean gramophone, Thursday, 20 January 2011 16:34 (fifteen years ago)

not seeing Biutiful under any circumstances.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 January 2011 16:51 (fifteen years ago)

xp I've heard that the chances for Incendies to get the nomination are very good.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 16:58 (fifteen years ago)

well, only 4 are being dropped from the 9.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:09 (fifteen years ago)

Yes, but that it will almost certainly be one of the ones that remains.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:26 (fifteen years ago)

I'd be surprised if Dogtooth and Confessions both stayed.

Simon H., Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:40 (fifteen years ago)

Does anyone know the deal with the Weinstein Co.'s marketing of The Company Men?

At the theater last weekend, I saw the trailer, which began "This fall..." I'd never heard of the movie before, so I assumed it meant fall 2011 (even though that seemed pretty far in advance). As I watched, I thought: Oh man, this is totally going to get a ton of Oscar buzz. Three Oscar winners in the cast, a movie that seems to be about The Way We Live Now and that addresses unemployment in a much fuller and probably less pandering way than Up in the Air did, etc.

Now I see that this had a late-2010 release in N.Y. and L.A.

What's the thinking there? There's no chance it's going to get nominated in any Oscar category -- shit's been sewn up for weeks. If you're Harvey Weinstein, why wouldn't you notice that the field is already crowded and wait a couple months so that it can be the first major contender from 2011?

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:45 (fifteen years ago)

Part of what I don't get is that Blue Valentine (also a Weinstein film) was in a similar position w/r/t its release date, but somehow the studio was able to drum up advance buzz and keep it afloat, even though in a lot of ways it's a less Oscar-friendly film.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:48 (fifteen years ago)

I first saw the trailer for it at The American back in September. I think there were either tweaks that had to be made or it just wasn't very good and they decided not to throw all the Oscar campaign money at it they originally intended to. Then they just dumped in January. I didn't know it got 2010 NY/LA release runs though.

Gukbe, Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:50 (fifteen years ago)

(ha xpost)
Maybe The Company Men is -- despite an A from Entertainment Weekly and **** from the Chicago Reader -- not actually that good, I dunno. But then why even go through the charade of the limited release?

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:53 (fifteen years ago)

I guess this explains it:

"Don’t expect to see much of an Oscar push for The Company Men since Harvey would rather put all his eggs in ‘The King’s Speech’ basket, and they don’t have the Oscar campaigning money they once had.”
http://indiegeniusprod.com/BestMoviesEver/company-men-gets-pulled-by-weinsteins/

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:55 (fifteen years ago)

There's no chance it's going to get nominated in any Oscar category

The hopes were that it would. It got its 1-week release, and deservedly got panned. But it was always going wide in January whether there was acclaim or nominations, or so they said. It might've been in Affleck's and John Wells' contracts that it wd get a limited FYI release.

It really sucks.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:55 (fifteen years ago)

xp I mean, that explains why it's not being marketed more aggressively.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 17:56 (fifteen years ago)

It got its 1-week release, and deservedly got panned

Really? Metacritic score is 73, with glowing reviews from Gleiberman, Denby, Zacharek, Holden (and I just read J.R. Jones's rave last night). No one's review is scored lower than a 50.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:00 (fifteen years ago)

73 is obv. not awesome, but The Fighter and Black Swan are both at 79.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:01 (fifteen years ago)

Huh: the woman who plays Affleck's secretary in this movie directed me in a college production of Midsummer Night's Dream 14 years ago.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:12 (fifteen years ago)

3 stars from Ebert.

From the guys who brought you Fay Weldon (Eazy), Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:14 (fifteen years ago)

The trailers look dreadful.

Gus Van Sotosyn (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:21 (fifteen years ago)

OK, now tell me what the deal is with The Way Back.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:23 (fifteen years ago)

The Way Back looks awesome. theres your frekaing deal!!!

Princess TamTam, Thursday, 20 January 2011 18:26 (fifteen years ago)

dude, the critics logged on RT are 50% studio hoes to begin with.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 January 2011 19:10 (fifteen years ago)

the other 50% are tricks

da croupier, Thursday, 20 January 2011 19:16 (fifteen years ago)

obviously unsuitable for bringing up in an oscars thread then

zvookster, Thursday, 20 January 2011 19:20 (fifteen years ago)

honestly dunno why ppl care abt the oscars like this. i mean i'll watch and discuss the actual awards but

zvookster, Thursday, 20 January 2011 19:21 (fifteen years ago)

I dunno, I like it for the same reason I like electoral politics.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 20 January 2011 19:35 (fifteen years ago)

I guess the only 3 reviews of The Company Men I read were the pans by Andr3w Schenk3r, me, and Armond. The positive ones are more like "well, they tried to make a movie about the recession, that's nice" instead of raves.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 20 January 2011 20:12 (fifteen years ago)

Love that The Fighter got a nomination from the Costume Designers Guild for excellence in period film.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Friday, 21 January 2011 03:57 (fifteen years ago)

Denby's rave was my first clue that The Company Men looked sinister.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 03:58 (fifteen years ago)

The second: critics praising Affleck's "maturity."

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 03:59 (fifteen years ago)

Ryan Gosling is terrible in Blue Valentine

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Friday, 21 January 2011 05:20 (fifteen years ago)

Nah, just his hair.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 12:03 (fifteen years ago)

actually hes pretty good

Princess TamTam, Friday, 21 January 2011 12:03 (fifteen years ago)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O_05qJTeNNI

Princess TamTam, Friday, 21 January 2011 12:08 (fifteen years ago)

btw, Ed and that guy who used to post here started handicapping the nominations:

http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/category/awards/

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 21 January 2011 12:34 (fifteen years ago)

was Andrew Garfield in Never Let Me Go? Eric thinks so.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 14:24 (fifteen years ago)

uh, yes?

Ed going out on a limb predicting Hailee Steinfeld will be in Best Actress (geez, like the girl from Whale Rider was).

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 21 January 2011 14:32 (fifteen years ago)

sorry – I meant to say, "was he any good?"

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 14:36 (fifteen years ago)

Ryan Gosling is terrible in Blue Valentine

I thought both were good, but Williams was better; Gosling is a little mannered.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Friday, 21 January 2011 14:47 (fifteen years ago)

gosling is a good actor but his dickhead persona bugs me

Princess TamTam, Friday, 21 January 2011 14:50 (fifteen years ago)

has he a persona? Never noticed.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 14:53 (fifteen years ago)

is that sarcasm?

David Warner (Princess TamTam), Friday, 21 January 2011 14:59 (fifteen years ago)

Ed going out on a limb predicting Hailee Steinfeld will be in Best Actress (geez, like the girl from Whale Rider was).

I'd actually be more surprised about Kidman getting snubbed (as he predicts) than Steinfeld getting nominated.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Friday, 21 January 2011 15:00 (fifteen years ago)

(Oh it looks like it's Eric that's predicting that.)

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Friday, 21 January 2011 15:04 (fifteen years ago)

is that sarcasm?

the only recent interview of his I've read was in Esquire? Seemed like any other intense young actor who Cares About His Craft.

Dave Karger's latest predictions.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 15:05 (fifteen years ago)

Oh I don't mean irl, I'm sure he's a perfectly nice guy, it just seems like he's always playing smarmy jerkoffs. Ed Norton and Kevin Spacey played too many of them and now you can't drag me to their movies.

or, i guess the thing about Intense Young Men is that when they're intense in the 'wrong' way it can drive you crazy

David Warner (Princess TamTam), Friday, 21 January 2011 15:07 (fifteen years ago)

Which is why I understand the poor reviews he's gotten for BV in some quarters; he's one of those actors who still believes in the Method.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 21 January 2011 15:09 (fifteen years ago)

I don't quite understand how Jennifer Lawrence is going to stick in Best Actress if her film is thought to be likely shut out except for adapted screenplay.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 21 January 2011 15:24 (fifteen years ago)

great opening sentence by Eric today:

http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/2011/01/oscar-2011-nomination-predictions-directing/

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:10 (fifteen years ago)

calling bullshit on the Fincher comment.

Gukbe, Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:15 (fifteen years ago)

yeah sounds to me like self-deprecation in the face of mega-hype. at the same time, my guess is that if you put together two big names/egos like sorkin and fincher it isn't going to be all tea and scones. so fincher has kind of said zuckerberg isn't a genius, while sorkin has said he is, etc, etc. so fincher calling it a big glib is part of that maybe -- and he's right, in a way.

moholy-nagl (history mayne), Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:27 (fifteen years ago)

but i don't think either director has hidden themselves -- 'the fighter' is more characteristically david o russell-y than 'three kings', even if it was an assignment. basically he hates his mother, is the theme of all his films except 'three kings' (i can't remember if he does in 'flirting with disaster', but you get the idea).

moholy-nagl (history mayne), Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:29 (fifteen years ago)

Fincher also much better now than he was at the time of Fight Club, so I don't know when growing as an artist became the same thing as sublimating yourself. Also one of the great things about TSN is the way the script (while open to interpretation) does see it all one way while Fincher seems to see it another way.

Gukbe, Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:36 (fifteen years ago)

obv i disagree, prefer '90s Fincher

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:42 (fifteen years ago)

Fair enough but do you think he's given up whatever artistic integrity he might have had to win awards? I can see the argument with Benjamin Button (though I'd disagree), but are Zodiac and The Social Network really awards-bait?

Gukbe, Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:46 (fifteen years ago)

I don't quite understand how Jennifer Lawrence is going to stick in Best Actress if her film is thought to be likely shut out except for adapted screenplay.

I still think it has a shot at a Best Pic nod and best supporting actor for John Hawkes.

Not that that necessarily matters. Kidman will probably get nominated without any other nominations for Rabbit Hole (though I guess that's slightly different because she's Nicole Kidman).

I'm just not sure who would replace her -- esp. if you're suggesting it's someone in a movie that gets more nominations.

I'm assuming Portman and Bening are locks, Lawrence and Kidman are very likely, and then the fifth spot will go to either Michelle Williams, Hailee Steinfeld, or Lesley Manville.

For the sake of argument, though. let's assume that the Steinfeld is in the "very likely" camp (as many are starting to predict) and Lawrence is on the bubble. Blue Valentine isn't getting any other nominations (Best Actor field is too crowded at this point for Gosling); Another Year might get original screenplay, but that's it.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Sunday, 23 January 2011 18:48 (fifteen years ago)

at this point I'm just hoping for a show fitting for Hollywood's worst year ever. ie, need a Cher song nomination.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:05 (fifteen years ago)

"are Zodiac and The Social Network really awards-bait?"

I don't give a damn, they're just not as good as Se7en and Fight Club.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:06 (fifteen years ago)

The last decade produced Benjamin Button, but I'll take Fincher over Fincher a decade ago. I've tried and failed twice to finish Fight Club and can't even look at Brad Pitt in Se7en.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:08 (fifteen years ago)

*I'll take Fincher NOW rather

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:08 (fifteen years ago)

i think staging and propelling a script as dense as TSN's without getting lost or snarled, while letting as many actors work as entertainingly as fincher does, is pretty much the most you can hope for out of a movie director

difficult listening hour, Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:13 (fifteen years ago)

at this point I'm just hoping for a show fitting for Hollywood's worst year ever. ie, need a Cher song nomination.

Hyperbole had its greatest year ever though.

Gukbe, Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:25 (fifteen years ago)

king's speech was OK

cozen, Sunday, 23 January 2011 19:32 (fifteen years ago)

final Film Experience predix:

http://thefilmexperience.net/prediction-index/

find it hard to believe that either Kunis/Hershey, or Social Network score, won't make it.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 24 January 2011 18:43 (fifteen years ago)

Has Bardem "surged" in recent days?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 24 January 2011 18:44 (fifteen years ago)

no idea, app he's thought to be a finalist for the "fifth spot" w/ Duvall & Gosling

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 24 January 2011 18:47 (fifteen years ago)

Has Bardem "surged" in recent days?

I think so. Biutiful opens this week (after the brief qualifying run). The trailer touts Bardem's Oscar potential. Julia Roberts also lavishly praised his performance a couple weeks ago and specifically mentioned that she hopes he gets nominated.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:00 (fifteen years ago)

It's not a bad "surprise" prediction to make -- I would guess people feel more passionate about Bardem's perf than they do about Duvall's.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:03 (fifteen years ago)

I hope JR's giant mouth delivers the kiss of death

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:03 (fifteen years ago)

Did you see the film, Morbs?

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:34 (fifteen years ago)

Innaritu? no, I've suffered enough.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:35 (fifteen years ago)

and Bardem has an Oscar! who is he, Shelley Winters?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:36 (fifteen years ago)

Yeah, Iñnaritu is one of the few directors about whom I'll totally generalize without watching another film again.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 24 January 2011 19:40 (fifteen years ago)

Franco: I will be at school. I will be at Yale. Fox Searchlight asked me if I would go to New York to be ready ... in case that I was nominated. I said, 'No (laughs). I'm not gonna miss class to go and presume that I'm going to be nominated, but if you want to bring out a camera crew to Yale and wait and see if I get nominated, I'd be happy to step out of class and say I'm very grateful (laughs).'

James Mitchell, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:20 (fifteen years ago)

The "pre-show" is insufferable.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:36 (fifteen years ago)

John Hawkes!

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:39 (fifteen years ago)

Michelle Williams! Javier Bardem!

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:40 (fifteen years ago)

127 Hours made the lineup.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:43 (fifteen years ago)

And The Town did not.

V. happy about Williams.

Steinfeld staying in supporting at least makes that category interesting.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:46 (fifteen years ago)

Also, Dogtooth!!

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:46 (fifteen years ago)

I'd be more stoked about Dogtooth making it if Bardem's nod didn't make it obvious that fucking Biutiful is gonna win. Happy for Incendies, Williams, Hawkes, Ruffalo.

Simon H., Tuesday, 25 January 2011 13:59 (fifteen years ago)

Biutiful would've won w/ or w/o Bardem.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 14:39 (fifteen years ago)

I mean, probably. But actually, that category does not always reward the film that receives nominations elsewhere: e.g., No Man's Land won over Amelie in 2001; The Lives of Others won over Pan's Labyrinth in 2006. (Even last year, The White Ribbon was nominated for cinematography but lost.)

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 14:43 (fifteen years ago)

Dogtooth would never win as long as anything else in the category featured disease, poverty or children (preferably all three, as Biutiful apparently does).

Also glad the director's branch recognizes that C Nolan's "work" is an insult to their profession.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 14:44 (fifteen years ago)

also glad Giraffe-Neck Drip didn't make the supp actor list

however, eff no Cher song

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 14:47 (fifteen years ago)

The question now is predicting Banksy's Oscar acceptance 'speech'.

Davek (davek_00), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 14:48 (fifteen years ago)

I pray that's not gonna happen, or that Monique drops a TV on him.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 14:48 (fifteen years ago)

I never thought I would be rooting for Trent Reznor to win anything, but I really liked the score to The Social Network.

not the sort of person who would wind up in a landfill (Nicole), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 15:32 (fifteen years ago)

Kind of lol but mostly sad: I know all of the words to "We Belong Together" because I've probably endured 3037 viewings of Toy Story 3.

not the sort of person who would wind up in a landfill (Nicole), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 15:38 (fifteen years ago)

Come to think of it I may very well know all of the dialog to Toy Story 3.

not the sort of person who would wind up in a landfill (Nicole), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 15:38 (fifteen years ago)

including the "spend the night in the box" speech from Cool Hand Luke?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 15:43 (fifteen years ago)

man, this thread is really in neytral w/ no Eric.

Carpetbagger on foreign film:

“In A Better World” has to be seen, at least initially, as the favorite. Susanne Bier’s film won the prize for best foreign-language film at the Golden Globes earlier this month, and it addresses a pair of social issues in the thoughtful, if schematic, way that often appeals to Academy voters: alternating between an African refugee camp and a middle school in rural Denmark, it examines relations between the West and Islam on one plane and the conflict between violence and reason on another. Plus, Ms. Bier is a known and liked figure in Hollywood: she is on a jury at the Sundance Film Festival right now, and one of her earlier films, “After the Wedding,” was also nominated for an Oscar.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 16:08 (fifteen years ago)

Yeah, I knew Lotso. He was a good toy. A friend. We had the same owner, Daisy. I was there when Lotso got unwrapped. Daisy loved us all. But Lotso... Lotso was special. They did everything together. Never seen a kid and toy more in love. One day we took a drive, hit a rest stop, had a little playtime. After lunch, Daisy fell asleep. She never came back. So we waited. Lotso wouldn't give up. It took forever, but we finally made it back to Daisy's. But by then, it was too late. Something changed inside Lotso that day. Something snapped.

--some of the best writing of the year.

Davek (davek_00), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 16:09 (fifteen years ago)

i'm mostly surprised at how many of these movies i've actually seen this year (as of now, 7/10 best picture noms)

opeth winfrey (donna rouge), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 16:12 (fifteen years ago)

It was a higher box-office field than usual.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 16:17 (fifteen years ago)

man, this thread is really in neytral w/ no Eric.

I'm busy updating stuff at work w/Oscar info.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:12 (fifteen years ago)

Plus, Ms. Bier is a known and liked figure in Hollywood: she is on a jury at the Sundance Film Festival right now, and one of her earlier films, “After the Wedding,” was also nominated for an Oscar.

She's also worked in English, directing H. Berry and B. del Toro in Things We Lost in the Fire (2007).

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:14 (fifteen years ago)

has anyone seen Rabbit Hole?

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:15 (fifteen years ago)

Seeing it on the 2nd of February. You can find screener rips online if you're especially desperate.

Dianne West, who steals every Allen film she's in, has a top supporting role! Kind of can't wait..

Davek (davek_00), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:22 (fifteen years ago)

heh, Waiting For Superman snubbed

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:23 (fifteen years ago)

i saw it, Alf, posted abt it in the detrius thread - kind of a standard domestic drama w/some good acting, chick who plays the sister is really good

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:25 (fifteen years ago)

there's a couple mild twists that i didnt know about b4hand, which i think was good

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:25 (fifteen years ago)

The Way Back totally deserves its makeup nom, amazing work in that movie

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 17:39 (fifteen years ago)

I saw Rabbit Hole; better than about half the BP nominees. Middlebrow grief 'play of quality' tho (Cynthia Nixon played Nic's role off-Broadway).

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 18:05 (fifteen years ago)

I'm probably the only one who noticed that all of the movies nominated for original screenplay are from the first half of the alphabet, while all of the ones nominated for adapted screenplay are from the last half. Wonder if that's ever happened before.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 18:18 (fifteen years ago)

haha

caek, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 18:25 (fifteen years ago)

what about the B-F range in Best Actor nominees? the narrowest ever?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 18:36 (fifteen years ago)

oh jaymc, never change

cozen, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 18:43 (fifteen years ago)

what about the B-F range in Best Actor nominees? the narrowest ever?

It ties 1962 (Lancaster, Lemmon, Mastroianni, O'Toole, Peck) but falls short of 1983 (Caine, Conti, Courtenay, Duvall, Finney) and 2004 (Cheadle, Depp, DiCaprio, Eastwood, Foxx).

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 18:57 (fifteen years ago)

I deserved that.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:02 (fifteen years ago)

Kind of curious to know how you guys would vote in this (too many of these I haven't seen).

Darin, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:04 (fifteen years ago)

I've seen every nominated film except Rabbit Hole and Goar-geous or whatever that Bardem movie is called. I'd probably vote for Bening, Adams, Renner, and Eisenberg.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:13 (fifteen years ago)

Pree-ty

not the sort of person who would wind up in a landfill (Nicole), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:16 (fifteen years ago)

Larvae-ly

not the sort of person who would wind up in a landfill (Nicole), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:17 (fifteen years ago)

Treac-ly

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:18 (fifteen years ago)

I'd vote for Winter's Bone by default (True Grit #2, TS3 #3 and screw the rest).

Franco talkin' shit!

http://hollywood-elsewhere.com/2011/01/thats_it_for_fr.php

He's right of course, but Danny Boyle in awards mode is no improvement.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:21 (fifteen years ago)

lol i thought b-f range was some morbsian abbrev i didn't get

call all destroyer, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:24 (fifteen years ago)

Happy Michelle Williams got nominated, since every girl I've ever had a crush on is 50% Jen Lindley, but I didn't think her performance was special - it was basically the same thing she did in Brokeback and Wendy & Lucy and several other movies.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:52 (fifteen years ago)

(Cynthia Nixon played Nic's role off-Broadway).
--and John Slattery played the husband.

Actually really surprised that Inception didn't get a Best Editing nomination. Editing was the action hero of that film.

From the guys who brought you Fay Weldon (Eazy), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 19:58 (fifteen years ago)

i've seen a few people say that. trying to get past the fact that i thought it was a shitty film, wasn't the editing totally straightforward? feel like people are confusing structure in the script with editing?

caek, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:04 (fifteen years ago)

Usually Nolan relies on editing to make his movies incoherent; here, his nominated script did that job.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:07 (fifteen years ago)

I can understand thinking that the script was illogical or trite, but it was definitely coherent.

polyphonic, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:10 (fifteen years ago)

but I didn't think her performance was special - it was basically the same thing she did in Brokeback and Wendy & Lucy and several other movies.

Don't really remember her perf from Brokeback.

She was v. good in Wendy & Lucy, but I think Blue Valentine better demonstrated her range.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:11 (fifteen years ago)

it was obscure and one of those dull sudoku stories he thinks are drama, but i don't think it was incoherent.

none of that has anything to do with editing though.

caek, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:12 (fifteen years ago)

xp -- i didn't like inception but i think that tugging feeling it managed to exert on you even amidst all the complexity is its best feature and yeah i think that was mostly the script.

i only saw like a dozen movies this year but the one where i was really impressed by the editing, as a way of sustaining sense in a really complicated structure that didn't feel like it had been locked in by the script, was the social network. combined with certain decisions about staging (simple things like putting zuckerberg on the side of the table by the window in one deposition and the opposite side in another, so that we sense just from the way the two-shots work which deposition we're in) i thought it made the movie really smooth.

difficult listening hour, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:15 (fifteen years ago)

With Inception, I was thinking of the three-level/three-speed sequence.

From the guys who brought you Fay Weldon (Eazy), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:17 (fifteen years ago)

no nom for Andrew Garfield?! this is the most surprising non-nom since Jim Carrey for Truman Show. he was the best thing about the film imo.
still he's SpiderMan so fuck em.

piscesx, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:20 (fifteen years ago)

James Franco: “I got to hear your whole interview with Colin Firth. You’re going to be polishing his statue, eh Meredith? I guess we know who you’re rooting for.”

Meredith Vieira: “I will polish yours as well.”

max, Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:34 (fifteen years ago)

get in line, Vieira

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:36 (fifteen years ago)

i think that tugging feeling it managed to exert on you even amidst all the complexity is its best feature and yeah i think that was mostly the script.

Tugging out of the theater.

Garfield gave the most boring of the four main performances. Armie Hammer was much better.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:41 (fifteen years ago)

Franco seems like such a raging douchebag.

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:43 (fifteen years ago)

no nom for Andrew Garfield?! this is the most surprising non-nom since Jim Carrey for Truman Show

Hmmm. I don't think it's any more surprising than snubs of, say, Jack Nicholson for The Departed or Angelina Jolie for A Mighty Heart. Bale and Rush were the only ones in that category that felt like locks to me.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:45 (fifteen years ago)

he's a d-bag for noticing that TSN is (except for the regatta scene) a very artily shot, collegiate episode of The West Wing?

xp

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:45 (fifteen years ago)

Hey, you're the one who claimed screen comedy stopped in the 1930's -- here's a movie for you, old man.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:46 (fifteen years ago)

it was obscure and one of those dull sudoku stories he thinks are drama, but i don't think it was incoherent.

none of that has anything to do with editing though.

― caek, Tuesday, January 25, 2011 8:12 PM (33 minutes ago) Bookmark

the editing in the bit when they're all in different levels simultaneously was tyte

obviously it's in the script to an extent

a very artily shot, collegiate episode of The West Wing

would pay to see, but 'the west wing' was pretty artily shot already and also it's not like a tv show doofus because it has to create all its characters and tell their stories in one go. you may as well say any dialogue-heavy movie is 'like a tv show', from 'the front page' (an artily shot 'lou grant') onwards.

read before patoing (history mayne), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 20:56 (fifteen years ago)

I'm sure there'll be TSN-Zuckerberg sequels, with this one being titled Episode I: People Sue Over Programming

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 21:01 (fifteen years ago)

I haven't seen the Social Network, so no, I'm just basing my douche assumption on interviews with him, and that godawful short story Esquire published

boots get knocked from here to czechoslovakier (milo z), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 21:03 (fifteen years ago)

Moneyball may be the TSN sequel.

An Artily Shot Sesame Street (Eazy), Tuesday, 25 January 2011 21:03 (fifteen years ago)

'the west wing' was pretty artily shot already

artily shot does not register when camera is pointed at Rob Lowe.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 03:07 (fifteen years ago)

wait are we suggesting that the regatta scene is the exception in an artily shot eyeroll movie? because it's the only part in the whole movie that contains any shots that make you think about their "artistry", which of course is not a good thing; i defy anybody to get through that scene (complete w/ w. carlos imitation) without their brain just screaming LOL KUBRICK. plus the scene immediately following it is the worst thing in the entire movie. "I SAY OLD BOY, MY DAUGHTER'S SIMPLY MAD ABOUT THIS NEWFANGLED FACEBOOK CONTRAPTION! DO YOU HAVE THIS ACROSS THE POND?"

difficult listening hour, Wednesday, 26 January 2011 03:58 (fifteen years ago)

I like how Fincher got all "lol u amateurs that wasn't tilt-zoom" about the regatta scene.

Gukbe, Wednesday, 26 January 2011 05:10 (fifteen years ago)

haha yeah so did i actually.

difficult listening hour, Wednesday, 26 January 2011 05:19 (fifteen years ago)

difflisthr, I assume that means you hate the whole of Tarantino.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 12:47 (fifteen years ago)

Strong field this year; I've seen eight of the best picture noms and liked them all to varying degrees. Best would be either True Grit or Winter's Bone probably.

Rejoice that you weren't eaten (chap), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 13:57 (fifteen years ago)

Mila Kunis totally should have got a supporting nom for Black Swan - amazing performance imo but nobody really seems to mention it even if they liked the film.

jed_, Wednesday, 26 January 2011 15:24 (fifteen years ago)

if I ever wanted to cast a young woman expert at cunnilingus, I'd cast Kunis.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 15:24 (fifteen years ago)

amazing performance imo but nobody really seems to mention it

She did get a few high-profile nominations, e.g. Golden Globe and SAG Award.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 15:28 (fifteen years ago)

ah cool, i didn't realise. her performance plays a pretty crucial role in making the film work, imo.

jed_, Wednesday, 26 January 2011 15:37 (fifteen years ago)

She's the only actor I could stand, but any attractive young actress who was game could have played it.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 15:38 (fifteen years ago)

After watching Animal Kingdom last night, I'm not entirely sure what's so great about Jacki Weaver's performance. It's an interesting character, to be sure, but I feel like she didn't even have all that much to do until the final 20 minutes.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 16:32 (fifteen years ago)

I agree with you. I'm just bored of these heist movies; I've seen that Euripidean mom before.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 16:33 (fifteen years ago)

http://www.ifc.com/news/2011/01/harvey-weinstein-considers-pg-.php

I enjoyed the movie. But the biggest difference between an R and a PG-13 is that kids can go see it on their own. And I have a hard time imagining any kid that isn't a mega-nerdlinger wanting to see "The King's Speech." "Dude, forget 'The Mechanic' this weekend! The guy from 'Bridget Jones' drops the F-bomb!

Your cousin, Marvin Cobain (C. Grisso/McCain), Wednesday, 26 January 2011 18:23 (fifteen years ago)

many of you probly know about the Ebert/Mubi contest:

http://mubi.com/notebook/posts/2817

I think he's way off base on a couple of those.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 27 January 2011 16:52 (fifteen years ago)

Ebert: "Conventional wisdom says The King's Speech or The Social Network. They both got 12 nominations."

Except The Social Network got 8.

Tyler/Perry's "Dude (Looks Like a Lady)" (jaymc), Thursday, 27 January 2011 16:56 (fifteen years ago)

difflisthr, I assume that means you hate the whole of Tarantino.

haha, not a fan at all but unsure what the connection is. there's that watch-this-guys shot in jackie brown where the camera cranes up to watch SLJ's car go around the corner, but i don't mind that shot. the only reason i dislike tarantino is that i'm a squeamish moralist.

difficult listening hour, Thursday, 27 January 2011 17:10 (fifteen years ago)

alf otm re: garf, he was pretty much a nothing in TSN i thought

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Thursday, 27 January 2011 17:10 (fifteen years ago)

Tom Hooper won the DGA award. His inclusion in the noms was the only reason I just knew that the Nolan snub was because the academy realised that Inception wasn't a particularly well directed film on a number of levels.

I really shouldn't care about the Oscars, and I don't really, but if The King's Speech wins Best Picture I'm going to be really annoyed.

Gukbe, Sunday, 30 January 2011 07:33 (fifteen years ago)

TKS is pretty good, but nowhere near as good as inception. I wouldn't be annoyed at TKS winning, it's like being annoyed that it gets cold in winter, you know it's coming.

전승 Complete Victory (in Battle) (NotEnough), Sunday, 30 January 2011 10:11 (fifteen years ago)

I haven't seen 127 Hours, but TKS is running neck and neck with The Fighter for worst picture in that nominations list.

Gukbe, Sunday, 30 January 2011 10:16 (fifteen years ago)

the academy realised that Inception wasn't a particularly well directed film on a number of levels.

Guys, the Academy didn't understand the plot of Inception. I didn't. My smartest middle-aged friend didn't. It's a stupid, pretentious, contrived piece of shit.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 30 January 2011 15:59 (fifteen years ago)

(let's say the directors' branch didn't understand it. the writers' branch pretended to.)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 30 January 2011 16:01 (fifteen years ago)

i don't hate tks but it has an annoying "gimme an oscar" recipe to it -- british royalty, ww2, a pinch of not-full-retard.

a nan, a bal, an anal ― (abanana), Sunday, 30 January 2011 16:03 (fifteen years ago)

lol Jeffrey Wells:

Devotees of eternal cinematic Movie Godz justice are tonight contemplating the drinking of hemlock, the inhaling of lethal gas and leaping from high rocky cliffs. For Tom Hooper, a highly talented, handsome, intelligent and likable fellow who directed a very commendable 1993 film called The King's Speech, has won the DGA award for feature film directing...and when I heard this news about 80 minutes ago, I folded. My face turned ashen gray and I died a little inside. Because I knew then and there that the Best Picture Oscar race was all but over. The King's Speech will almost certainly win and...

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 30 January 2011 16:12 (fifteen years ago)

I entered the MUBI contest. I'm quite likely going to win--I've got my finger on the pulse of Hollywood.

clemenza, Sunday, 30 January 2011 16:20 (fifteen years ago)

I've got mine on the taint of Hollywood.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 30 January 2011 16:22 (fifteen years ago)

Didn't know that Hooper directed John Adams, which is better than most of the Oscar finalists, including The King's Speech.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Sunday, 30 January 2011 18:41 (fifteen years ago)

haha did he??? i was actually comparing the two in my head the other day! mostly because when i saw John Adams i was really bugged by how IN UR FACE the direction was*... i get that the idea was to make history seem immediate and real or w/e but it felt overcooked to me. king's speech's direction was showy in a similar way but it bothered me less.

*i was also bugged by what a lame-o John Adams apparently was. whenever Franklin and Jefferson were onscreen i was just like, why couldnt the miniseries be about those cool bros instead of this angry toad

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Sunday, 30 January 2011 19:05 (fifteen years ago)

i didnt realize he also did that movie where samantha morton played Myra Hindley. that one was alright

marios balls in 3d for 3ds (Princess TamTam), Sunday, 30 January 2011 19:08 (fifteen years ago)

Kunis also won the Marcello Mastroianni award at Venice xxxxxposts

maybe i'm just gay (Tape Store), Sunday, 30 January 2011 19:32 (fifteen years ago)

why couldnt the miniseries be about those cool bros instead of this angry toad

Exactly how the other Framers regarded Adams.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 31 January 2011 00:11 (fifteen years ago)

so it's like TKS. why couldn't that film be about the nazi-sympathising abdicating dude instead of the lame-o with the stammer?

Gukbe, Monday, 31 January 2011 00:21 (fifteen years ago)

he was obnoxious and disliked, you know that sir

xp

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 31 January 2011 00:21 (fifteen years ago)

think madonna's upcoming film will handle the wallis 'n' eddie story

history mayne, Monday, 31 January 2011 00:38 (fifteen years ago)

TKS won Best Ensemble at the SAG awards.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 31 January 2011 04:02 (fifteen years ago)

gag

Simon H., Monday, 31 January 2011 04:05 (fifteen years ago)

Caption this photo:

http://www.latimes.com/media/alternatethumbnails/photo/2011-01/59129354-30195142.jpg

Ned Raggett, Monday, 31 January 2011 05:01 (fifteen years ago)

I recognize that guy in the middle--he was in the Vengaboys Six Flags commercial.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LU2yt6wOoK0

clemenza, Monday, 31 January 2011 05:03 (fifteen years ago)

"M. White shares stories from ILTMI."

An Artily Shot Sesame Street (Eazy), Monday, 31 January 2011 06:39 (fifteen years ago)

http://hollywood-elsewhere.com/2011/01/after_the_fall.php

kind of hilare 1) what a gaping arsehole j-wells is 2) how seriously people take this shit

kind of doubt bigelow and fincher were as classless as is suggested

history mayne, Monday, 31 January 2011 12:35 (fifteen years ago)

I guess all detrius now goes under Oscars, huh? *fart*

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 31 January 2011 15:02 (fifteen years ago)

i forgot to search for the popular 'directors guild' thread, silly me

history mayne, Monday, 31 January 2011 15:12 (fifteen years ago)

think madonna's upcoming film will handle the wallis 'n' eddie story

Yah but it sounds pathetic -- according to madonna they are poor misunderstood nazi sympathizers whom history has just been unfairly mean to. Could be v. funny though.

Peyton Flanders (Nicole), Monday, 31 January 2011 15:32 (fifteen years ago)

oscars are racist say guardian
http://www.guardian.co.uk/film/filmblog/2011/feb/07/oscar-nominations-hollywood-black-swan?CMP=twt_fd

cozen, Monday, 7 February 2011 17:45 (fifteen years ago)

It's a streaming luncheon!

http://www.awardsdaily.com/2011/02/oscar-nominees-luncheon-today/

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Monday, 7 February 2011 17:55 (fifteen years ago)

Well, there was one omission we can all surely agree was uncomfortable this year. There were no black nominations.

Ignoring a few of the more obscure technical categories, there was not one significant nomination of a black actor, writer or director.

yes, feel free to ignore any categories that contradict the entire point of yr essay.

i honestly don't know if there were any but if there were some then why say none?

jed_, Monday, 7 February 2011 17:55 (fifteen years ago)

baftas really transparently trying to secure a "british" win at the oscars imo, but glad hooper did not get director

The image post from the hilarious "markers" internet persona (history mayne), Sunday, 13 February 2011 23:05 (fifteen years ago)

If Best Picture Nominee Posters Told The Truth

Gukbe, Tuesday, 15 February 2011 05:29 (fifteen years ago)

Eric & Ed back at predix btw:

http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/category/awards/

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 16 February 2011 15:56 (fifteen years ago)

current list of presenters/performers:

http://thefilmexperience.net/blog/2011/2/17/academy-presenters-our-annual-academy-nudging.html

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 17 February 2011 16:34 (fifteen years ago)

lolz:

A number of pundits have already pointed out, in comparing Firth's easy win here against Annette Bening's increasingly uphill battle to reach endgame over in Best Actress, how AMPAS continues to think that men age like fine wine and that women spoil faster than leaky, raw chicken breast tenders in a Styrofoam tray. Firth's emerging worry lines and crow's feet are as much to account for his easy win as his affected stammer as the emotionally crippled King Bertie, and the presence of a couple of actors whose youth and charisma make Oscar feel all funny in his special area only underline Firth's win. (For that matter, you might say Firth's Oscar chances last year weren't so much dashed by Bridges's battles with the bottle as they were by Tom Ford's taste in men, culled from the very same smoldering age bracket Oscar simply can't stomach.)

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Thursday, 17 February 2011 18:23 (fifteen years ago)

Filling out my office-pool ballot right now. Only category I'm still dithering about is Makeup. Alice in Wonderland vs. King's Speech. Both won prizes from the Costume Designers Guild.

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:19 (fifteen years ago)

Oops, obv. meant Costume Design, not Makeup. (

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:20 (fifteen years ago)

you mean costume not makeup, right?

i put king's speech

xp ha

caek, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:20 (fifteen years ago)

is there a thread for posting predictions or is here as good as any?

caek, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:21 (fifteen years ago)

"best picture - HOW TO BE"

max, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:23 (fifteen years ago)

who's got two thumbs and was overlooked for best supporting actor 2009

this guy

caek, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:24 (fifteen years ago)

Yeah, I took a deep breath and went with King's Speech, too.

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:28 (fifteen years ago)

max, have you seen how to be? rebecca pidgeon is in this one.

caek, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:29 (fifteen years ago)

Here's what I picked (we didn't vote on Sound Mixing or the three shorts categories):

PICTURE: The King's Speech
DIRECTOR: David Fincher
ACTOR: Colin Firth
ACTRESS: Natalie Portman
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Melissa Leo
ORIG SCREENPLAY: The King's Speech
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Social Network
ANIMATED: Toy Story 3
CINEMATOGRAPHY: True Grit
ART DIRECTION: The King's Speech
COSTUME: The King's Speech
MAKEUP: The Wolfman
FILM EDITING: The Social Network
VISUAL EFFECTS: Inception
SOUND EDITING: Inception
ORIGINAL SCORE: The King's Speech
ORIGINAL SONG: "We Belong Together" (Toy Story 3)
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Inside Job
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM: In a Better World

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:37 (fifteen years ago)

i havent seen how to be yet but i know one of the guys who made it

max, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:42 (fifteen years ago)

what gives you the confidence to vote on sound editing but not sound mixing

Princess TamTam, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 17:48 (fifteen years ago)

all of jaymc's picks could come through, but I still think either Bale or Leo is going to lose. And I suspect that Inside Job could pay for the Obama-has-no-clothes segment.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 23 February 2011 20:28 (fifteen years ago)

Nice Bunuel quote I never saw before:

"Nothing would disgust me more morally than receiving an Oscar. Nothing in the world would make me go accept it. I wouldn’t have it in my home."

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 23 February 2011 20:33 (fifteen years ago)

you think exit wins instead of inside job?

caek, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 20:33 (fifteen years ago)

but I still think either Bale or Leo is going to lose.

I should note that I tend to fairly conservative about my predictions. Unless I have a really strong hunch, I tend to go with the expert consensus. This is mostly because I bet on the results, and I'd feel worse about losing dark-horse picks than losing favorites.

So, for instance, I will not be surprised in the least if Leo loses, but neither Steinfeld and Bonham Carter feel solid enough to stake anything on.

jaymc, Wednesday, 23 February 2011 20:49 (fifteen years ago)

you think exit wins instead of inside job?

Nope (and I pray not, haaaaated it)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 23 February 2011 20:59 (fifteen years ago)

I will not be posting a list of picks as I don't want anyone tying me in the Ebert contest.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Friday, 25 February 2011 14:52 (fifteen years ago)

wow, looks like The King's Speech has finally killed the Oscars on ILE.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 02:10 (fifteen years ago)

here's the spoiler show rundown:

http://www.deadline.com/2011/02/snorefest-oscar-show-rundown-exclusive-spoilers-from-the-annotated-schedule/

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 04:34 (fifteen years ago)

and massive pundit prediction chart:

http://www.awardsdaily.com/Predictions/main.php

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:15 (fifteen years ago)

I saw jaymc a couple of days ago; too bad this boner-inducing chart wasn't a conversation piece.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:18 (fifteen years ago)

if HBC wins, it'll be a long evening.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:18 (fifteen years ago)

yes, one of the Awards Daily 'no guts no glory' suggestions was a King's clean sweep.

I will be offline at the usual party, so yall have fun.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:20 (fifteen years ago)

consensus is so depressing. at least the minor awards will be interesting.

a nan, a bal, an anal ― (abanana), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:22 (fifteen years ago)

you can listen for my bellowing if Bansky wins.

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:27 (fifteen years ago)

PICTURE: The King's Speech
DIRECTOR: David Fincher
ACTOR: Colin Firth
ACTRESS: Natalie Portman
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christian Bale
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Melissa Leo

So, all these are miles ahead as favourites in the odds. The only award the bookies rate as even a two-horse race is Best Director (and Fincher's still like 1/2 to Hooper's 6/4). Didn't the main categories used to be a bit ... closer?

Alba, Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:28 (fifteen years ago)

True Grit is a decent outside bet at 33/1.

Alba, Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:29 (fifteen years ago)

not consistently, no. xp

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:29 (fifteen years ago)

tho I can see Fincher and Leo losing, I really can

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:30 (fifteen years ago)

Yeah, you're right. Actually, the odds on Leo vs Steinfeld are similar to Fincher v Hooper – I misspoke. Still, it would be nice to have a big award with no clear favourite.

After seeing (the amazing) Animal Kingdom this morning, the only film featured in those six categories I've not seen is The Town. Kind of tempted to watch it tonight for completeness's sake, but it looks kind of lame.

Alba, Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:33 (fifteen years ago)

it's not even on regular tv in the uk

basically, even though i started this thread (five months ago) http://www.big-t-shirts.com/ProdImages/big/792.jpg

this odyssey that refuses to quit calling itself (history mayne), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:34 (fifteen years ago)

Supporting Actress almost always promises a surprise.

Rich Lolwry (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 26 February 2011 19:34 (fifteen years ago)

we all do, even if we don't want to admit it xpost

Gukbe, Saturday, 26 February 2011 20:06 (fifteen years ago)

i dont, i havent watched the oscars since the 90s... i just read this thread cuz it seems like end of year movie talk got shunted here from the detrius thread

ℳℴℯ ❤\(◕‿◕✿ (Princess TamTam), Saturday, 26 February 2011 20:14 (fifteen years ago)

added scoops to link above:

Billy Crystal does a monologue at the 2/3 point

Kirk Douglas to present supporting actress

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 27 February 2011 17:15 (fifteen years ago)

can't believe i'm rooting for the social network

a nan, a bal, an anal ― (abanana), Sunday, 27 February 2011 20:22 (fifteen years ago)

ditto

Simon H., Sunday, 27 February 2011 20:23 (fifteen years ago)

i have to fill out a ballot 4 the oscar party im going 2 tonight so i think im just going 2 copy yours jaymc. if i win i will gladly split the bottle of champagne + 'mystery prize' with you

other option is just fill out a lol ballot & wait for toy story 3 to take best picture

WINNING. (Lamp), Sunday, 27 February 2011 20:26 (fifteen years ago)

rooting for True Grit even tho it'll just get Cinematography and maaaayyybe Sup Actress.

Re: no horseraces upthread, i wouldn't worry oscar voters don't = pundits/bookies. There's always surprises.

Cosmo Vitelli, Sunday, 27 February 2011 20:47 (fifteen years ago)

I'll be v happy if INSIDE JOB loses, i'll be v v happy if GASLAND wins

maybe i'm just gay (Tape Store), Sunday, 27 February 2011 20:52 (fifteen years ago)

What did you dislike about Inside Job? Too tricksily innuendo-filled with the interview editing?

Alba, Sunday, 27 February 2011 20:56 (fifteen years ago)

you know the prob w/ the massive pundits' prediction chart above? no one logs who has the best track record. jaymc, any idea?

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 27 February 2011 21:09 (fifteen years ago)

(I mean past prediction success)

kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 27 February 2011 21:09 (fifteen years ago)

Yeah, I don't hate INSIDE JOB (WASTELAND, on the other hand...), but I'd rather see the Academy celebrate something formally exciting.

maybe i'm just gay (Tape Store), Sunday, 27 February 2011 22:05 (fifteen years ago)

Tell me about Wasteland. I haven't seen it it's just out in cinemas here.

Alba, Sunday, 27 February 2011 22:07 (fifteen years ago)

I'm rooting for Exit Through the Gift Shop simply because it might result in an epic Dr. Morbius rant.

reggaeton for the painfully alone (polyphonic), Sunday, 27 February 2011 22:08 (fifteen years ago)

watched every second of the oscars last year, but didn't feel particularly rewarded for it. i mean i feel sorry for the academy and their diminishing tv ratings, but there's not an awful lot of draw in sitting down to watch celebrities sitting down to watch celebrities.

kelpolaris, Sunday, 27 February 2011 22:10 (fifteen years ago)

xxpost -- walking out the door but this piece pretty much nails it: http://www.indiewire.com/article/ego_vs._altruism_turning_trash_into_art_in_waste_land/

maybe i'm just gay (Tape Store), Sunday, 27 February 2011 22:14 (fifteen years ago)

Please don't make Biutiful win best foreign language picture, Academy. Pretty please?

Alba, Sunday, 27 February 2011 22:54 (fifteen years ago)

fingers crossed for Dogtooth! IT CAN HAPPEN!

Gukbe, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:17 (fifteen years ago)

i'm rooting against exit because the british press will be extra insufferable tomorrow if that and king's speech win

caek, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:23 (fifteen years ago)

they'll be insufferable if anything british gets any award at all. they'd probably be insufferable AND indignant if Britain wins nothing. basically you're fucked no matter what happens.

Gukbe, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:26 (fifteen years ago)

it's the self-congratulatory stuff that bothers me, especially the kind of stuff i imagine would follow a banksy win.

caek, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:28 (fifteen years ago)

is Apatow getting the Lifetime Achievement this year?

Cosmo Vitelli, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:29 (fifteen years ago)

i think the King's Speech stuff would be a lot worse. that's the kind of classic, British pride that appeals to the average BBC/ITV viewer. xpost

I really like a lot of British films, and I want the industry to succeed and I'm sad about the UK Film Council etc etc..., but that parochial raising up of everything British really gets on my tits. Kermode especially.

Gukbe, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:30 (fifteen years ago)

the only british media i encounter is the guardian, which is why the banksy win worries me.

caek, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:33 (fifteen years ago)

does kermode like 'the king's speech'? i hated it and hope it loses

this odyssey that refuses to quit calling itself (history mayne), Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:35 (fifteen years ago)

literally the only time i ever heard kemode/mayo was them talking about the king's speech. iirc it sounded like a 3/5 review, slightly patronising "(surprisingly) well done" tone. but i guess once the britfilm momentum gets up and as the voice of semi-serious criticism on the national broadcaster, he has little choice.

caek, Sunday, 27 February 2011 23:38 (fifteen years ago)

he wasn't terribly enthusiastic about it in the original review, but once the momentum got going he can't say anything bad about it. he's oftentimes very forgiving of British films in a way he isn't towards anything else. a notable exception would be his (not totally incorrect) insistence that The Queen is a TV movie and shouldn't be on the big screen. Once TKS took off in theatres he was always supportive and glowing about it.

Gukbe, Monday, 28 February 2011 00:10 (fifteen years ago)

Any hints on a stream site for a poor britisher?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 28 February 2011 00:13 (fifteen years ago)

i imagine nothing solid will come up until the actual ceremony starts in a little over an hour.

Gukbe, Monday, 28 February 2011 00:14 (fifteen years ago)

Cool, ta. I think I miscalculated the time difference - I thought it was about 11:30.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 28 February 2011 00:16 (fifteen years ago)

Do people really, I mean really, enjoy watching these red carpet scenes for more than 5 minutes?

La descente infernale (Le Bateau Ivre), Monday, 28 February 2011 00:16 (fifteen years ago)

im enjoying that tim gunn is one of the interviewers

johnny crunch, Monday, 28 February 2011 00:17 (fifteen years ago)

would watch for things like this, from Richard Brody: Jesse Eisenberg to Robin, saying he doesn't have a TV "but I love watching you in person."

Gukbe, Monday, 28 February 2011 00:20 (fifteen years ago)

So do people have any hints, streamwise, for when it starts? (I have some people over post-pub to watch it, but by the looks of things they will fall asleep before it starts anyway)

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 28 February 2011 00:31 (fifteen years ago)

1am

caek, Monday, 28 February 2011 00:32 (fifteen years ago)

Thanks, I was more asking about streams than times. Is the Oscar.go.com site free?

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 28 February 2011 00:34 (fifteen years ago)

Poor Marisa Tomei--I can't see her or even hear her name without immediately laughing and thinking of George Costanza groping himself on the couch.

clemenza, Monday, 28 February 2011 00:34 (fifteen years ago)

"I have a thing for funny, sstocky, bald men" "I noticed you threw in stocky this time". Or something.

textbook blows on the head (dowd), Monday, 28 February 2011 00:36 (fifteen years ago)

three weeks pass...

You must be logged in to post. Please either login here, or if you are not registered, you may register here.