My Favorite Wife: The Justin Verlander Thread

Message Bookmarked
Bookmark Removed

Every player headed for the HOF deserves his own thread. Go make a Robinson Cano thread, someone.

Verlander's turnaround seems real. Or if you simply look at 2014 as a blip, he never really went away. He's now 7-0 with Houston, 32 hits in 60.2 innings, 77 K against 10 BB (not counting the postseason). For his career, he's in the neighborhood of Halladay.

Verlander: 190-114, 3.44, 1.179 WHIP, 3.16 K/BB, 124 ERA+
Halladay: 203-105, 3.38, 1.178 WHIP, 3.58 K/BB, 131 ERA+

Clear advantage Halladay, and it's doubtful Verlander's career rate states are going to end up better than where they are now. But if he stays relatively strong for another two or three seasons, Verlander's HOF resume will be solid.

clemenza, Monday, 16 April 2018 11:26 (seven years ago)

Icky old-school appreciation:

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/23174792/justin-verlander-last-dying-breed-mound

"The ace starter, the workhorse, the guy who can lift a team on his back and carry it across the finish line -- one-name guys like Gibson, Unit, Rocket, Koufax, Verlander -- these are the legends of the game."

Three surnames and two nicknames. I don't think he really understands the "one-name" concept.

clemenza, Monday, 16 April 2018 11:45 (seven years ago)

incredible game last night yet overshadowed (ahem) by Big Bart

thots and players (rip van wanko), Monday, 16 April 2018 11:55 (seven years ago)

They had exactly the same Game Score: 86.

clemenza, Monday, 16 April 2018 12:06 (seven years ago)

xxp Oh yes, the famous one-word nickname, Unit

francisF, Monday, 16 April 2018 15:56 (seven years ago)

He understands half the concept. If you say Elvis, Marilyn, Jackie, Beyonce, or LeBron, I know who you're talking about. And, it's true, if you say Koufax, I know you mean Sandy Koufax the baseball player, and not certified accountant Fred Koufax from Lansing, Michigan.

clemenza, Monday, 16 April 2018 16:30 (seven years ago)

I don't understand the thread title!

Van Horn Street, Monday, 16 April 2018 23:23 (seven years ago)

I think it's worth remembering that the Tigers had Scherzer, Verlander and Price (and Porcello) in their rotation at one point.

Van Horn Street, Monday, 16 April 2018 23:27 (seven years ago)

two weeks pass...

Almost up to 150 IP with the Astros--better right now than in 2011.

clemenza, Wednesday, 2 May 2018 14:32 (seven years ago)

two weeks pass...

Justin Verlander Breaking Ohtani's Ankles with an 88 mph Slider. 🤢

Pitcher-on-Half-Pitcher Crime. šŸ‘®ā€ā™‚ļøšŸšØšŸš” pic.twitter.com/6Otnryc715

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 17, 2018

na (NA), Thursday, 17 May 2018 19:12 (seven years ago)

gonna need that gif'ed pronto

na (NA), Thursday, 17 May 2018 19:14 (seven years ago)

i think ohtani got away with the check swing?

mookieproof, Thursday, 17 May 2018 19:29 (seven years ago)

Every player headed for the HOF deserves his own thread. Go make a Robinson Cano thread, someone.

sigh, it was a simpler time...

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Thursday, 17 May 2018 19:46 (seven years ago)

Another strong start. Puzzling pitch count, though: 111 over 6.2 innings, but low hits (5), walks (0), and strikeouts (5). A lot of foul balls, I guess.

clemenza, Tuesday, 29 May 2018 02:22 (seven years ago)

one month passes...

Four homers surrendered to the Tigers, the least-homering team in MLB.

RIP.

Andy K, Sunday, 15 July 2018 21:27 (six years ago)

two months pass...

Justin Verlander just compared himself to Dory of 'Finding Nemo': "Keep swimming. Just keep pitching."

— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) October 12, 2018

mookieproof, Friday, 12 October 2018 20:20 (six years ago)

Posnanski has Verlander #92 on his 100-greatest countdown (and managed to sneak in a photo of he and Kate Upton engaging in a little no-you're-schmoopy).

clemenza, Saturday, 13 October 2018 19:10 (six years ago)

six months pass...

I noticed Verlander is 27-10 with the Astros, which is the same record as Carlton in '72 (famously, with the last-place Phillies). A comparison:

Carlton             Verlander

IP: 346.1 305.1
H: 257 216
K: 310 401
BB: 87 56
HR: 17 42
ERA: 1.97 2.36

Huge advantage for Carlton in HR; huge advantage for Verlander in strikeouts. After you make all the adjustments for era, park, etc., Carlton's WAR was 12.1, Verlander's 10.0--he's basically (with a World Series winner, yes, rather than a last-place team) put together Steve Carlton's 1972 over two seasons.

clemenza, Sunday, 12 May 2019 13:20 (six years ago)

A little Monday-morning quarterbacking here, but what exactly was it that gave Verlander such pause about going to the Astros? Was it all the young talent and playing for a potential dynasty that he was worried about?

clemenza, Wednesday, 22 May 2019 18:15 (six years ago)

2800 strikeouts

mookieproof, Sunday, 26 May 2019 19:26 (six years ago)

two months pass...

He went off on Manfred and the baseball a few weeks ago. Something from Posnanski this morning:

Back to Verlander: He has now allowed 31 home runs this year — an astounding 1.64 homers per nine innings. He also has a 2.81 ERA. These two things happening concurrently does not compute. Here are the best ERAs for pitchers who have allowed 1.6 or more homers per nine innings:

1. Justin Verlander, 2019, 2.81
2. Mike Fiers, 2018, 3.56
3. Ramon Ortiz, 2002, 3.77
4. A.J. Griffin, 2013, 3.83
5. Bert Blyleven, 1986, 4.01

From 2005-15, Verlander's HR/9 rate was 0.8 (ERA, 3.52); 2016-18, 1.2 (ERA, 2.97); this year, 1.6 (ERA, 2.81). That's bizarre.

clemenza, Saturday, 17 August 2019 13:41 (five years ago)

He's given up three in a game four times this year.

Obviously...he's leading the league in WHIP!

When he pitched for Detroit, it used to be way more doubles than home runs but the numbers have gotten closer since he was traded and this year it's 31 HR, 23 2B.

timellison, Saturday, 17 August 2019 16:41 (five years ago)

tbf, houston's a more homeriffic park than detroit

(and also the ball is juiced)

mookieproof, Saturday, 17 August 2019 20:52 (five years ago)

Taking this weirdness to the next level: complete game two-hitter, 11 strikeouts, no walks, 99 pitches...both hits HR, loses 2-1.

clemenza, Thursday, 22 August 2019 02:38 (five years ago)

didnt throw a single pitch w a runner on base

johnny crunch, Thursday, 22 August 2019 02:53 (five years ago)

That is an insane all time loss.

earlnash, Thursday, 22 August 2019 03:46 (five years ago)

According to sports betting sites, it was the biggest single game upset in 15 years.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Thursday, 22 August 2019 06:08 (five years ago)

I noticed this weird headline last night on The Detroit Free Press (slightly altered this morning): "Vintage Verlander pitches Tigers to 2-1 victory in Houston." Maybe that's behind this unfortunate story:

http://www.freep.com/story/sports/mlb/tigers/2019/08/22/houston-astros-detroit-free-press-justin-verlander/2081318001/

Just what baseball needs, a shot of Donald Trump.

clemenza, Thursday, 22 August 2019 14:32 (five years ago)

The Tigers beat Justin Verlander again. They continue to win the trade.

— anthony fenech (@anthonyfenech) August 22, 2019

Andy K, Thursday, 22 August 2019 14:56 (five years ago)

five months pass...

lol this guy should really stop talking

brimstead, Saturday, 15 February 2020 18:41 (five years ago)

one month passes...

http://www.cbc.ca/sports/baseball/mlb/justin-verlander-donation-coronavirus-relief-1.5522293

Whatever you think of him, that's great.

clemenza, Sunday, 5 April 2020 00:24 (five years ago)

five months pass...

Tommy John

Andy K, Saturday, 19 September 2020 17:30 (four years ago)

Worth it financially: set to make $33M next year. Is it worth it beyond that? His HOF induction is a lock, he plays for a despised team, and I'll stop there.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 September 2020 19:08 (four years ago)

Re the HOF: while he benefitted in terms of run support and probably a few extra wins, I assume the sign-stealing doesn't stick to Verlander the way it will with Altuve or any other hitter.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 September 2020 19:15 (four years ago)

He probably won’t be back until the last month of next season. And he’ll be going on 40 in the 2022 season. If he’d been mediocre I could see him hanging it up, but I feel like he’s got to feel like he has a few years left in him.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 19 September 2020 19:18 (four years ago)

has anyone else had TJ at age 37?

mookieproof, Saturday, 19 September 2020 21:17 (four years ago)

Moyer had it at like 47!

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 19 September 2020 22:15 (four years ago)

I've no doubt he'd still be effective at 40, I'm just not sure why he'd push himself to get there (beyond the obvious incentive of the big payday...I'm so clueless about contracts; I assume he forfeits the money if he were to retire?).

clemenza, Sunday, 20 September 2020 01:14 (four years ago)

Yup. But if he w aged to retire I’m sure the team could work with him to renegotiate since they’d want to avoid paying that full salary (opting to defer likely) while he’s hurt.

But I totally get why someone would want to keep playing baseball as long as possible. A) you’re playing baseball. B) it’s all you know, life after any career can be scary. C) you’re playing baseball!!! Who wouldn’t want to play ball as long as possible?!

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Sunday, 20 September 2020 01:20 (four years ago)

most successful big leaguers are insanely competitive; i'm sure he's no different

mookieproof, Sunday, 20 September 2020 01:28 (four years ago)

one year passes...

pretty remarkable season, at 39, coming off TJ

12-3, 1.89, 0.88 WHIP, just passed schilling and gibson for 14th on the all-time K list

mookieproof, Sunday, 17 July 2022 01:24 (two years ago)

didn't know he was still pitching tbh. that's amazing.

call all destroyer, Sunday, 17 July 2022 01:32 (two years ago)

Posnaski had a shareable piece two weeks ago about his chances for 300 wins:

https://joeposnanski.substack.com/p/verlander-and-300?r=1jtu0&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

62 more wins would seem almost impossible to me, unless he is indeed Randy Johnson (or a chemically-assisted Roger Clemens).

clemenza, Sunday, 17 July 2022 01:40 (two years ago)

He is honestly incredible

Love that Kershaw is still doing it too

āœ–, Sunday, 17 July 2022 01:48 (two years ago)

Pos' stats are a bit misleading -- Randy Johnson had 75 wins from his age 39 season onward.

Verlander's FIP is over 3.00, but most pitchers need a year to return to form after TJ, so he might be getting better.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Sunday, 17 July 2022 12:12 (two years ago)

Another great start today: now 13-3 (yes, yes, I know), 1.86 ERA, the usual excellent rate stats. Gotta be one the half-dozen greatest years ever for a 39-year-old starter (post-war, anyway). But he'd lose the Cy Young to McClanahan.

(Manoah pitched well today too, and he's hanging on. But unless both those guys get shelled a couple of times, he's got no chance.)

clemenza, Saturday, 23 July 2022 23:15 (two years ago)

Or maybe the best-ever for a 39-year-old starter. Checked Randy Johnson (hurt) and Clemens (so-so), and beyond them, who else would there be? Even Cy Young (so-so), Walter Johnson (last season, hanging on), and Christy Mathewson (three years into retirement) don't rate.

clemenza, Saturday, 23 July 2022 23:19 (two years ago)

Yeah, Clemens was so-so in his age 39 season, but won the Cy at age 41 and posted a sub-2.00 ERA the year after. Narrowing the search down to a specific age is a bit misleading.

Even so, Phil Niekro had a 10.0 WAR season at age 39 (he was very good and pitched over 300 innings), Wainwright was great just last year. I'm sure there are others.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Sunday, 24 July 2022 09:40 (two years ago)

Clemens was so-so in his age 39 season, but won the Cy at age 41 and posted a sub-2.00 ERA the year after.


just astonishing. for a power pitcher to last that long, and be that good, at that age - incredible. i don’t care how many drugs he took, it’s still extraordinary.

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 24 July 2022 14:18 (two years ago)

For that same reason, I kind of put Niekro (and Hough, who led the league in IP at 39 with 285, and was pretty effective in a hitter's year) in a separate category.

clemenza, Sunday, 24 July 2022 14:39 (two years ago)

check out nolan ryan's age 40, 42, and 43 seasons, particularly 1989, when he was 42:

239 IP, 16W-10L, 11.32 K/9, 3.69 BB/9, 3.20 ERA, 2.51 FIP, 7.0 fWAR

his competition for best pitcher in the AL in 1989 was a pair of royals, Saberhagen and Mark Gubicza, both of whom struck about half as many as people but also gave up fewer walks and home runs.

Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Sunday, 24 July 2022 15:03 (two years ago)

Embarrassed that I forgot to check Ryan. How about Warren Spahn at 42?

23-7, 2.60, 259.2 IP, 22 CG (different time, I know--1963--but still, 42!). His age-41 season was better by WAR.

clemenza, Sunday, 24 July 2022 16:18 (two years ago)

'63 was also the year that Spahn and Marichal hooked up for this:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SFN/SFN196307020.shtml

15.1 innings, 1 run, against a lineup that 1-5 went Harvey Kuenn, Mays, McCovey, Felipe Alou, and Cepeda.

clemenza, Sunday, 24 July 2022 16:21 (two years ago)

i didn't realize Spahn pitched into his 40s, let alone so well! i guess i should have figured by his 363 wins, which is one of those numbers seared into my brain even as i've forgotten so many other things

Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Sunday, 24 July 2022 16:25 (two years ago)

while we're doing rando old pitcher tidbits, as i was scanning the internet to look for good old pitchers i ran across good 45-year-old charlie hough throwing the opening day / opening franchise game for the florida marlins in 1993! hough toughed it out for 200+ innings that year, which i find impressive given that i'm 39 and when i bend down to tie my shoes i usually give a heavy grunt and take lord's name in vain

Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Sunday, 24 July 2022 16:27 (two years ago)

A couple of excellent 40-year-old seasons: Jamie Moyer and Bartolo Colon.

clemenza, Sunday, 24 July 2022 16:32 (two years ago)

final rando aside, sorry:

if i could go back in time and try to be a pro baseball player again (I topped out at age 13), but have to deal with the same constraints (my ISO is 0.00; all of my skills are like "mini" versions of what larger people can do), i would appear out of nowhere to myself and say "hey squirt! hey lil fucker! you're done for. you cannot be ozzie smith. instead, you must learn how to throw a knuckleball. a knuckleball specialist is like a placekicker - a wild card, the only possible way that lil squirts can possibly be useful to a professional team. also, don't worry about hannah not liking you back -- she ends up being a meth head. ok good luck! also, don't go to college!" *poof*

Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Sunday, 24 July 2022 16:35 (two years ago)

haha great asides, Karl

They do the Shug a loo, do the Shy Tuna, do the Kemba Walker (fionnland), Sunday, 24 July 2022 18:27 (two years ago)

haha, glad it's not a threadender at least :)

Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Sunday, 24 July 2022 18:55 (two years ago)

Another random great age 39 season from a guy who pitched forever: Hoyt Wilhelm in 1962, in 93 innings of relief he posted a 1.94 ERA (192 ERA+) and 90 K's in 93 IP (8.7 K/9 IP). His rate stats wouldn't look out of place in a discussion of the best relievers of today, except that the league average was 5.3 K/9 IP. So he was a 39 year old reliever with a sub-2.00 ERA striking out the equivalent of about 14 K/IP today. And he remained good for another six or seven years!

NoTimeBeforeTime, Monday, 25 July 2022 07:59 (two years ago)

14 K/IP

should be 14 K/9 IP, obviously

NoTimeBeforeTime, Monday, 25 July 2022 08:00 (two years ago)

one month passes...

Easing his way back: 5 IP, 0 H, 1 BB, 9 K. Probably finished for the night, but not sure.

clemenza, Saturday, 17 September 2022 01:46 (two years ago)

one month passes...

I don’t want to clutter up the postseason thread with any more Verlander talk, but I had some stuff to add and remembered I could post that here.

Two people who disagreed with me about G1, Thermo and Tracer, were on the postseason thread kinda sorta saying that they understood leaving in McCullers; Verlander should have been pulled in the 5th (maybe even the 4th), but McCullers wasn’t as clear-cut.

All those runs were home runs tho, right? I tuned in part way through but it didn’t look like he was getting into constant jams and walking people or anything.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, November 2, 2022 8:56 AM

yeah the 3rd and 4th he was three up three down. the other innings he only gave up a walk and a hit (apart from the homers lol)
― Tracer Hand, Wednesday, November 2, 2022 9:16 AM

it did seem like he was (basically) in control. what you may be able to ding baker for is using mccullers in the first place, who relies on breaking balls. philly, as we have seen, enjoys that stuff. javier, as fine a starter as the astros have imo, with an absolutely wicked fastball, may not even pitch until game 6. if there is a game 6.
― Tracer Hand, Wednesday, November 2, 2022 9:22 AM

McCullers gave up five home runs--they were teeing off on him. He didn’t have time to get into jams; baseballs kept leaving the park. I find the McCullers-maybe vs. Verlander-definitely-not argument bizarre.

I also looked into some of the analogies that NoTime drew in his post the other day:

Re:Verlander, in G7 of the 2003 ALCS (the Pedro-Grady Little game), Torre pulled Clemens in the fourth inning. There was speculation at the time that he was retiring and it was his final game. Didn't matter to Torre, Clemens was done. Bochy won three championships with the Giants by not being sentimental with his SP's. He had former CY winners like Zito, Peavy, and Lincecum and used a quick hook with them, reassigned them to the bullpen, whatever it took to win.

With Clemens in 2003, I just see a world of difference. The Red Sox were up 4-0 when Clemens got pulled, in an inning that went HR/BB/single--and it’s G7, not G1. And they’re facing Pedro Martinez. Verlander squandered a lead, but he was never behind. And it’s G1. (I want to go all Allen Iverson here with those four words.)

Former Cy Young winner Barry Zito was already eight years removed from his Cy in 2010--he was hardly the same pitcher by then--and former Cy Young winner Jake Peavy was seven years removed from his; I don’t think they make very good analogies for Verlander, who’s going to win the Cy Young this year (and never mind the totality of their careers). And for what it’s worth, Peavy gave up 4 runs in 5 innings in his first WS start in 2014--almost identical to Verlander--and in his second, he gave up 6 runs in 1.1 innings. I don’t see a quicker hook there in either game.

The Tim Lincecum of 2010 (but not 2012 or 2014) is a much better comparison for Verlander--he didn’t win the Cy, but he finished 10th and was coming off two in a row.

Lincecum started two games in the 2010 Series. In the first (a G1), he gave up 4 runs in 5.2 IP--again, very similar to Verlander. In the second start, with the Giants up 3 games to 1, he pitched exceptionally well and completed 8 innings. I don’t know where the quick hook is there, either.

I can’t win this argument, because everybody already knows the answer: Verlander gave up two more runs. (Nobody posted as it was happening, just the next day.) Sometimes good decisions blow up, and sometimes bad ones work out. But even after this one blew up, it’s 5-5 with both starters out. Houston should still win that game. I put most of the blame on Verlander, and a little bit on the offense that didn’t score a run in the next four innings. I don’t blame Baker at all for G1.

I blame Baker almost totally for G3.

(Yes, I do have the game on right now.)

clemenza, Thursday, 3 November 2022 00:43 (two years ago)

i'm not sure i want to cosign your post, but i agree that verlander deserved more leeway in game one than mccullers did in game three

but that's mostly due to mccullers deserving none at all

mookieproof, Thursday, 3 November 2022 02:06 (two years ago)

I wasn't making an exact analogy, I was saying that those winning managers understood (when many of their peers didn't) that playoffs aren't like the regular season, and require different strategies for pitchers. I think we're in agreement here! That was the lesson of the Pedro-Grady Little game, Little was sentimental about his SP ("Pedro's my guy!") instead of ensuring that they won the game. And I think that's what happened with Dusty and Verlander in Game 1.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Thursday, 3 November 2022 07:48 (two years ago)

To expand on that, it's part sentimentality and expectation, going into the game, I'm sure Dusty envisioned that Verlander could give him six or seven strong innings. When he was strong in the first three innings, it only reinforced that point in Dusty's mind. Then Verlander got into trouble and Dusty didn't alter his mindset quickly enough. Bochy, for instance, to his credit, rarely fell into that trap.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Thursday, 3 November 2022 08:11 (two years ago)

I went through your examples just because I didn't think any of them really fit Verlander's situation, but fair enough. I think pulling Nola last night and having that decision blow up shows, yet again, that there's no right answer--anything can happen.

Not counting bad stuff people do off the field, there are very few great players I've rooted against in my time watching baseball. I almost always want great players to do great things (not against the Jays, of course, although sometimes even then). So I hope Verlander finally has a great Series game tonight. I wanted David Price to get out from under his cloud in 2018, and I was really happy when he did (still think he should have won Series MVP). Kershaw's still kind of unpredictable, but I'm glad he's had two or three really good postseason starts no.

And then, after the game, I want Verlander to say, "All credit to Dusty, because after G1, I knew he had my back, knew that he trusted me. So I never looked over my shoulder once tonight, even when I got into that jam in the 6th." And then I want him to say, "Thanks to Clemenza, too. You took my side against the world--you're an inspiration."

clemenza, Thursday, 3 November 2022 14:20 (two years ago)

fuck Justin Verlander imo

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 3 November 2022 14:38 (two years ago)

Is it the Trump connection? Truthfully, I was disappointed to hear that.

clemenza, Thursday, 3 November 2022 15:04 (two years ago)

indeedy

Tracer Hand, Thursday, 3 November 2022 16:23 (two years ago)

Ya. I’m now on team fuck Verlander too, now that I know that. I hope his arm flys off mid fastball.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 3 November 2022 17:11 (two years ago)

There’s no need to hope for that, just hope he continues to have a worse WS record than Barry Zito. Which he will, unless he plays until he’s 70.

And he can take his shithead brother with him as well.

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Thursday, 3 November 2022 17:19 (two years ago)

Fine. I hope his penis turns into an innie instead. His arm can stay.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 3 November 2022 18:31 (two years ago)

i just assume any white baseball player is a conservative republican

na (NA), Thursday, 3 November 2022 18:54 (two years ago)

Yeah but there’s voting that way, which is obviously bad in itself, and there’s being golf buddies with Trump.

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Thursday, 3 November 2022 18:56 (two years ago)

Slightly related, I have been watching US feeds of the ws, and I have to say some of these election ads are appalling. Like absolutely grotesque garbage that would get pulled off the air up here.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 3 November 2022 19:09 (two years ago)

Some?

immodesty blaise (jimbeaux), Thursday, 3 November 2022 19:13 (two years ago)

i've seen a couple that were merely cringy/questionable. but a lot of been hair-raising in their unhinged lunacy.

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 3 November 2022 19:41 (two years ago)

two weeks pass...

Running tabulation I enjoy checking in on: award shares on Baseball Referencew. With his unanimous Cy Young, Verlander now sits third all-time in CY shares.

1. Roger Clemens (7 wins) - 7.66
2. Randy Johnson (5 wins) - 6.50
3. Justin Verlander (3 wins) - 5.21

He passed five guys this year: Pedro, Carlton, Kershaw, Scherzer, and Maddux.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 16:06 (two years ago)

He should share his secret of how he returned from TJ surgery at age 39 (looking twice that) with his lowest ERA ever.

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 17:18 (two years ago)

You think PEDs? I have to assume that on the cusp of the HOF, and all the financial rewards that go along with that, that he couldn't possibly be that stupid...But then Cano got caught in the homestretch, so who knows? (Verlander also spent time on the IL this year, which would seem at odds with PED use.)

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 17:37 (two years ago)

I follow enough other things to be suspicious of people making sudden, late career improvements, yeah.

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 18:16 (two years ago)

I don’t think the league is even testing this season cos of the collective bargaining agreement lapsing so ĀÆ\_(惄)_/ĀÆ

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 18:18 (two years ago)

As I say, anything's possible, witness Tatis, who will take years to climb out of this, if he even manages to. (They must have been testing last season for him to have been caught, no?) It's just hard for me to imagine the level of stupidity it would require for Verlander to risk losing the HOF for the sake of two or three extra seasons. I guess it's possible he's someone who just doesn't care about getting in there, but after money, players play for championships, and they play for awards/honors/legacy. Verlander's already rich as God, he's got two WS now, so that last, especially legacy, would seem to me to be what it's all about right now.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 20:43 (two years ago)

Clemens and Bonds presumably had both tons of wealth, honours and promising hall of fame cases before they started on the bad stuff. I don’t know for definite about JV, obviously, it’s just my inclination to suspect it with the way his stats took off, his age and especially his history of injury and surgery.

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:07 (two years ago)

Clemens and Bonds also played in an era where steroids were really common and nobody had really been punished for using them yet, if Verlander was pitching in that era he'd 100% be using them

frogbs, Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:11 (two years ago)

That's the difference to me--that Bonds and Clemens and the others did so in 1998-2004, not 2022.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:14 (two years ago)

Found this, which I have zero recollection of:

https://www.si.com/si-wire/2013/08/09/justin-verlander-retorts-peds-allegations

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:16 (two years ago)

Clemens and Bonds also played in an era where steroids were really common and nobody had really been punished for using them yet, if Verlander was pitching in that era he'd 100% be using them


Ofc, and they were just the guys that got caught, there are surely others who were never named or proven.

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:19 (two years ago)

xp that’s what I kept thinking about watching him pitch in postseason too - his velocity was pretty sustained even when he was being drawn out on lots of pitches.

ĀÆ\_(惄)_/ĀÆ

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:19 (two years ago)

Also this, which was maybe a reaction to the above:

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/15429713/justin-verlander-asks-changes-ped-rules-dee-gordon-tests-positive

(Made me laugh: "Verlander said he is strict about what he puts in own body. He said his girlfriend, supermodel and actress Kate Upton, has suggested he take some of the vitamins she does, but he refuses unless things are NSF-certified.")

There were definitely lots of people who didn't get caught, including, I'm pretty sure, a handful in the HOF. But I think what we're saying is that using in the year 2000 had no repercussions, not yet. Using in 2022, if you get caught, has major repercussions.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:21 (two years ago)

Verlander was Cano gets suspended vs. Verlander when former Tigers teammate Jhonny Peralta got suspended. pic.twitter.com/rnKEdhkeIZ

— Mike Axisa (@mikeaxisa) May 15, 2018

after several days on ā€œthe milk,ā€ (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:23 (two years ago)

Twitter's demise will be a great gift to every living baseball player.

clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 21:25 (two years ago)

i will say that i was sort of surprised when i saw Verlander’s face recently. i hadn’t paid too much attention to him in a couple of years. he suddenly looks kind of beefy and bloated around the jowls in a way that i associate with mcgwire, clemens etc.

Tracer Hand, Sunday, 20 November 2022 09:55 (two years ago)

comeback player of the year (AL)

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 23 November 2022 08:36 (two years ago)

More like PEDs are making a comeback! (Kidding.)

clemenza, Wednesday, 23 November 2022 14:45 (two years ago)

eight months pass...

Steeling myself for when these ads are every other commercial on Houston TV in the autumn:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IGiKhz_5YFI

an icon of a worried-looking, long-haired, bespectacled man (C. Grisso/McCain), Tuesday, 1 August 2023 23:17 (one year ago)

Lost, but pretty solid start yesterday: 7 IP, 2 runs, 2 BB, 4 K. Of course hoping for him vs. Scherzer in a crucial September game.

clemenza, Sunday, 6 August 2023 13:03 (one year ago)

I didn't realize he won his 250th game the other day (and 251st last night)--did that get any attention? There must have been stories about how he'll be the last guy ever to win 250. He turned 40 in February, so 300 seems almost inconceivable. But I wouldn't rule it out completely if he wants to keep going. Ryan pitched till he was 46, Randy Johnson 45, Clemens 44; whether one or all of them got some help, probably.

clemenza, Saturday, 12 August 2023 14:30 (one year ago)

Carlton lasted to 43, but his was terrible his last two seasons.

clemenza, Saturday, 12 August 2023 14:32 (one year ago)

"he"

clemenza, Saturday, 12 August 2023 14:32 (one year ago)

He seems quite ready to play till nobody wants him, so I guess it'll be health and money, in that order--if he's healthy, I'm sure someone will be willing to pay him.

https://www.sportico.com/leagues/baseball/2023/justin-verlander-mets-300-wins-chase-1234730600/

clemenza, Saturday, 12 August 2023 16:08 (one year ago)

I feel like 300 wins is one of those achievements that'll definitely be accomplished but it'll truly require a Maddux-like level of being consistently injury free and declining slowly vs precipitously.

There's no one under the age of 30 with 100 career wins. Top 3: Berrios (29 yrs old, 81 wins), Marquez (28 yrs old, 65 wins), Giolito (28 yrs old, 60 wins).

omar little, Saturday, 12 August 2023 16:51 (one year ago)

I wonder if Verlander's injury troubles the last few seasons have been a trade-off: costing him wins, obviously, but saving him innings and extending his career. If he is serious about 300, I'd do my best to stay in Houston.

clemenza, Saturday, 12 August 2023 17:00 (one year ago)

one month passes...

Had the game on in the background last night, listening more than watching. Two outs away from a shutout; got a great inning-ending DP early in the game after loading the bases.

clemenza, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:00 (one year ago)

one month passes...

Man, that Justin Verlander's a great pitcher.

https://phildellio.tripod.com/lincecum.jpg

(Kidding around here.)

clemenza, Friday, 10 November 2023 14:56 (one year ago)

lol

mojo dojo casas house (gyac), Friday, 10 November 2023 16:59 (one year ago)

five months pass...

Returns tonight. He was good last year, but how long can he keep this up? Clemens won a Cy Young at 41; probably had some help. Spahn, Johnson, and Ryan were good. Maddux was so-so. I don't know if there are any other relevant comparisons.

clemenza, Friday, 19 April 2024 22:39 (one year ago)

he got shelled in his two minor league rehab outings

mookieproof, Friday, 19 April 2024 23:15 (one year ago)

Didn't know that...I should have included Seaver and Glavine; both so-so at 41. I left out guys like Jamie Moyer and Bartolo Colon--impressive careers, but not the same caliber as the others. Left out Niekro, too, for obvious reasons.

clemenza, Friday, 19 April 2024 23:51 (one year ago)

One guy who famously tried to stretch it out and fell apart at 41 was Carlton.

clemenza, Friday, 19 April 2024 23:53 (one year ago)

6 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 K, 0 BB, 78 pitches is nice work, even if it is against the nats

8/21 first-pitch strikes is subpar, but maybe even more impressive that he overcame it

mookieproof, Saturday, 20 April 2024 00:40 (one year ago)

one month passes...

260th win, top 10 in strikeouts:

https://www.mlb.com/news/justin-verlander-passes-greg-maddux-for-10th-all-time-in-strikeouts

clemenza, Saturday, 25 May 2024 06:48 (one year ago)

I agree with the URL here: unlikely but not impossible.

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/will-justin-verlander-get-to-300-wins-why-milestone-is-unlikely-but-not-impossible-for-astros-veteran/

6% according to the Favorite Toy. The first necessity is someone who actually cares about getting there, and Verlander does seem to check that box. With the indifference to pitcher wins in the analytic era, it might be more of a curiosity than anything else if he managed to pull it off.

clemenza, Friday, 31 May 2024 02:24 (one year ago)

His 0.4 fWAR/-0.1 bWAR so far this season isn't doing him a lot of favors in the projections department.

Which team would be willing to roster him for the sake of vanity counting stats when he's marginally above replacement and in questionable health?

Mrs. Ippei (Steve Shasta), Friday, 31 May 2024 03:19 (one year ago)

The Angels

Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Friday, 31 May 2024 03:22 (one year ago)

Which team would be willing to roster him

most of them?

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Friday, 31 May 2024 05:13 (one year ago)

three months pass...

Has he ever looked worse?

0-3, 6.93 ERA, 39 avg GameScore over last 5 starts against mostly <.500 teams.

Mrs. Ippei (Steve Shasta), Tuesday, 3 September 2024 19:46 (nine months ago)

Feel like he looks worse every start, maybe he’s not recovering as well as he used to after games

Romy Gonzalez’s utility infusion (gyac), Tuesday, 3 September 2024 19:47 (nine months ago)

I get this mental image of him, Scherzer, and Kershaw limping to the finish line, waiting to see which one falls down first and withdraws from the race.

clemenza, Tuesday, 3 September 2024 19:53 (nine months ago)

The Dodgers want Kershaw to be back and ready for the playoffs. If they need him...good luck, L.A.

I've never seen a more cursed starting rotation predictable outcome.

omar little, Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:01 (nine months ago)

Has Scherzer been sighted at all? I know DeGrom was throwing quite recently

Romy Gonzalez’s utility infusion (gyac), Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:08 (nine months ago)

Verlander struggling since return from IL, only 71 ip for season, so Mets off the hook for $17 mil in '25. Scherzer on IL again, only 39 ip. Cohen's decision to eat money/move on from both last year paved the way for '24 success, with Stearns' smart signings of Severino/Manaea.

— John Harper (@NYNJHarper) September 3, 2024

Romy Gonzalez’s utility infusion (gyac), Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:10 (nine months ago)

I was going to include deGrom in that group, but I read he's pitching well in the minors--the finish line still seems a ways down the road for him (unless he just suddenly decides it isn't worth it anymore). Scherzer, not sure what's going on.

clemenza, Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:11 (nine months ago)

Verlander and Scherzer tied as the active leaders in strikeouts with 3,405 (in 3,397 and 2,874 IP, respectively)

omar little, Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:14 (nine months ago)

(xpost) "Worth it" in terms of what he puts his body through, I should say--obviously, it's really worth it in other ways.

clemenza, Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:30 (nine months ago)

In deGrom's last 254.2 IP (2020-2023), which at one point might've been a not atypical number for a starting pitcher --

397 Ks, 0.734 whip, 192 ERA+, 2.12 ERA

omar little, Tuesday, 3 September 2024 20:33 (nine months ago)

no amount of flashy stats can combat how frustrated all of us are to not see him pitch in his prime

Michael F Gill, Wednesday, 4 September 2024 00:22 (nine months ago)

Otm

H.P, Wednesday, 4 September 2024 00:38 (nine months ago)

no amount of flashy stats can combat how frustrated all of us are to not see him pitch in his prime


We’ll always have the videos at least. Anyway, his peers and the kids still both respect him, even washed he’s still clearly a legend & getting a hit off him means something.

Casas stood at his locker inside the visitors' clubhouse, preparing for an interview following the Sox's crucial series-clinching win against the Astros. A clubhouse attendant approached Casas's area, gathering his game-worn gray New Balance cleats, packing the first baseman's bag as the team prepared to head back to Boston.

"Excuse me, don't take those please," Casas said to the clubbie.
Casas turned the cleats around, showing that they had been authenticated.
Why?
"(Those are the cleats worn)on my Justin
Verlander hit,' Casas said.

Romy Gonzalez’s utility infusion (gyac), Wednesday, 4 September 2024 00:50 (nine months ago)

no amount of flashy stats can combat how frustrated all of us are to not see him pitch in his prime

― Michael F Gill, Tuesday, September 3, 2024 5:22 PM (yesterday)

I feel like I just got carded at the bodega.

Mrs. Ippei (Steve Shasta), Wednesday, 4 September 2024 16:29 (nine months ago)

It may hurt more as a Mets fan.

Michael F Gill, Wednesday, 4 September 2024 19:50 (nine months ago)

yikes, just when you thought he couldn't look worse...

Mrs. Ippei (Steve Shasta), Monday, 9 September 2024 03:00 (nine months ago)

That's got to be one of his half-dozen worst starts ever.

clemenza, Monday, 9 September 2024 17:33 (nine months ago)

four months pass...

Thread title delivers: Verlander uses his wife’s zoom account to attend a presser, a journalist (not on mute!) points this out. Absolutely embarrassing

Being accidentally unmuted in 2025 is crazy https://t.co/VuOC8WmHjb pic.twitter.com/YvWkdYNKGi

— dylan (@sfgsalsa) January 13, 2025

gyac, Monday, 13 January 2025 23:12 (five months ago)

i'm willing to believe Verlander might overperform expectations in 2025, he was "okay" in the first half of 2024 and maybe he'll be reasonably effective coming off a healthy offseason. he missed two months and was terrible after that, so maybe there's some reason for slight optimism that he'll have his shit together for SF. I'm not drafting him for my fantasy team again though...

omar little, Tuesday, 14 January 2025 19:18 (five months ago)

It helps that he’ll be playing half his games in SF.

gyac, Tuesday, 14 January 2025 19:21 (five months ago)

if i went to SF as a pitcher I think I could break out with an ERA in the low 4s and my fastball reaches maybe 50.

omar little, Tuesday, 14 January 2025 19:35 (five months ago)

two months pass...

yeah no, he looked good in a couple ST games

imperial frfr (Steve Shasta), Wednesday, 9 April 2025 20:30 (two months ago)


You must be logged in to post. Please either login here, or if you are not registered, you may register here.