OSCARS 2013

Man, I'd love to see Jennifer Ehle in supporting actress, but I think she's got the longest odds of his on-the-bubble candidates.

(In that category, at least.)

Unless Dowd scores a coup, I'm likely not going to be thrilled with anyone in that category. Swap in the entire female cast of Cosmopolis in my opinion.

not zackly sure why The Master fell off so dramatically from its This Year's Tree of Life start.

I lasted 25 minutes w/ Compliance.

Probably because it's nowhere near as good as Tree of Life.

we disagree there but it's the Oscars, honeybunch

No, it's life we disagree on.

Spielberg and Aldrich are part of life!

Pretty sure one of those two are dead.

hmmm, R.K.O. says The Intouchables is getting nominated.

http://www.slantmagazine.com/house/2013/01/oscar-2013-nomination-predictions-picture/

Jackie Weaver!

http://oscar.go.com/nominees

Silver LInings Playbook first film in ages in which we get nominees for every acting category.

Amour housed.

Bigelow omitted from Best Director, which means Spielberg gets it.

Will Tippin has been nominated for an Oscar - there is no god.

@Glenn__Kenny: If I said "Emmanuelle Riva" to any random film blogger this time last year they would have responded "Gesundheit." Fuckers.

nice to see Paul Epworth get some due.

Just realized John Hawkes got snubbed.

It has been 15 years since Spielberg last won, but that's only thing I really see potentially getting in the way of a Silver Linings Playbook sweep (remember when As Good As It Gets took the tops?). I wonder if Harvey Weinstein's gonna be soft on Lincoln since he's tight with DDL, but I could almost see him pulling some "Django vs Lincoln" shit to try and shame voters and send them to his dance flick.

a SLP vs Lincoln would be schizophrenia vs depression.

SLP is the new as Good As It Gets, isn't it? :(

i think it's jones vs deniro for supporting too. Both have trophies, but it's been awhile and while jones has consistently been good in stuff, they might want to encourage deniro to stop doing obvious horseshit and do less obvious horseshit like SLP

Supporting actor category less apt than supp actress to throw those curveballs though.

"he said, biting nails furiously"

is it even a curveball, though? all five have trophies already - arkin isn't going to get TWO lovable scamp ones, waltz already has one for a tarantino movie, and hoffman's nod is just a "we still like you, bro" move. Jones is definitely the fave but DeNiro's a close second.

A curveball in the way the supporting actress category often is, I mean. It's usually the category to offer one upset.

someone tell me about Quvenzhané Wallis

like, is it okay if I steal her and raise her as my own daughter or does she have a family already

I don't disagree with Bobby in second place.

dan copy and pasted her name from Google to get the z and accent in the right place

SLP and Lincoln are both up for Adapted Screenplay so that should probably forecast the winner

lol no, I c+p'd from the official nomination list

also first thing that happens after I adopt her is that her name is getting changed to something like Alexis or Denise

Bigelow omitted from Best Director

*does little dance*

Just realized John Hawkes got snubbed.

he's quite OK in that, but it is a standard disability soap, except set in Berkeley.

three ways i see this going

best supporting actress: hathaway/field/weaver (and if weaver takes it, it's over)

best supporting actor: jones/deniro (and if deniro takes it, it's over)

best actress: lawrence (and if lawrence doesn't take it, it may not be over)

best actor: cooper/day-lewis/jackman (and if jackman takes it, UH OH)

best picture: winner of best adapted screenplay or LES MIS IN A SHOCKING LOL WELL THAT'S HOLLYWOOD

def true about Weaver winning as bellwether. I'd be genuinely shocked if Lawrence beats Chastain though, only because Oscar only tolerates pretty neurotics in supporting actress turns.

nice to see Paul Epworth get some due.

― piscesx, Thursday, January 10, 2013 8:57 AM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

what can i say, he makes me laugh

croup wtf are you smokin', even with 2 wins already DDL is getting best actor

also good for Joaquin, and he should stay home as a fuck-you anyway

Joaquin my favorite of the BA's but he has no chance.

Waltz now joins Hoffman in the "we'll be seeing you in this category often" category

croup wtf are you smokin', even with 2 wins already DDL is getting best actor

one of harvey weinstein's cigars

Other recent acting four-for-four noms: Reds, Network, Guess Who's Coming to Dinner.

maura just pointed out on Twitter that the lead singer from stellastar* was nominated for Best Short Film

i will say if field takes supporting than DDL is a lock

if i had to do a pool today i'd probably go Hathaway/Jones/Lawrence/DDL/Lincoln, but I hear that weinstein cackle in the distance

Jabba the Hutt doesnt 'cackle'

he's quite OK in that, but it is a standard disability soap, except set in Berkeley.

Which makes it an extra shock to be overlooked by the Oscars, no? Maybe it wasn't MOR enough?

http://www1.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/David+O+Russell+Harvey+Weinstein+63rd+Annual+9VpSI4iTC5Al.jpg

you might have been a good director, but now you're bantha fodder

whoa directors, leaving out Biggy and Ben Affect, cool, then u shit in the punchbowl w/ Haneke.

how does "shit in the punchbowl" translate in German?