OSCARS 2013

is it even a curveball, though? all five have trophies already - arkin isn't going to get TWO lovable scamp ones, waltz already has one for a tarantino movie, and hoffman's nod is just a "we still like you, bro" move. Jones is definitely the fave but DeNiro's a close second.

A curveball in the way the supporting actress category often is, I mean. It's usually the category to offer one upset.

someone tell me about Quvenzhané Wallis

like, is it okay if I steal her and raise her as my own daughter or does she have a family already

I don't disagree with Bobby in second place.

dan copy and pasted her name from Google to get the z and accent in the right place

SLP and Lincoln are both up for Adapted Screenplay so that should probably forecast the winner

lol no, I c+p'd from the official nomination list

also first thing that happens after I adopt her is that her name is getting changed to something like Alexis or Denise

Bigelow omitted from Best Director

*does little dance*

Just realized John Hawkes got snubbed.

he's quite OK in that, but it is a standard disability soap, except set in Berkeley.

three ways i see this going

best supporting actress: hathaway/field/weaver (and if weaver takes it, it's over)

best supporting actor: jones/deniro (and if deniro takes it, it's over)

best actress: lawrence (and if lawrence doesn't take it, it may not be over)

best actor: cooper/day-lewis/jackman (and if jackman takes it, UH OH)

best picture: winner of best adapted screenplay or LES MIS IN A SHOCKING LOL WELL THAT'S HOLLYWOOD

def true about Weaver winning as bellwether. I'd be genuinely shocked if Lawrence beats Chastain though, only because Oscar only tolerates pretty neurotics in supporting actress turns.

nice to see Paul Epworth get some due.

― piscesx, Thursday, January 10, 2013 8:57 AM (41 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

what can i say, he makes me laugh

croup wtf are you smokin', even with 2 wins already DDL is getting best actor

also good for Joaquin, and he should stay home as a fuck-you anyway

Joaquin my favorite of the BA's but he has no chance.

Waltz now joins Hoffman in the "we'll be seeing you in this category often" category

croup wtf are you smokin', even with 2 wins already DDL is getting best actor

one of harvey weinstein's cigars

Other recent acting four-for-four noms: Reds, Network, Guess Who's Coming to Dinner.

maura just pointed out on Twitter that the lead singer from stellastar* was nominated for Best Short Film

i will say if field takes supporting than DDL is a lock

if i had to do a pool today i'd probably go Hathaway/Jones/Lawrence/DDL/Lincoln, but I hear that weinstein cackle in the distance

Jabba the Hutt doesnt 'cackle'

he's quite OK in that, but it is a standard disability soap, except set in Berkeley.

Which makes it an extra shock to be overlooked by the Oscars, no? Maybe it wasn't MOR enough?

http://www1.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/David+O+Russell+Harvey+Weinstein+63rd+Annual+9VpSI4iTC5Al.jpg

you might have been a good director, but now you're bantha fodder

whoa directors, leaving out Biggy and Ben Affect, cool, then u shit in the punchbowl w/ Haneke.

how does "shit in the punchbowl" translate in German?

"The last time Austria and Germany got together and produced something, it was Hitler...but this is much better." -- Seth McFarlane on Best Foreign Language Feature nomination of Amour

Good luck watching him for 3-1/2 hrs, everybody

Bummed about Matthew McC and Ann Dowd, but whatever because THEY KICKED HELEN MIRREN TO THE CURB!!!

DGA to Oscar ratio is 2/5; fairly shocking.

http://www.slate.com/articles/arts/culturebox/2013/01/down_with_argo_ben_affleck_s_iran_hostage_movie_is_the_worst.html

did Skyfall get more nominations than ZDT?

Also, the way I see it right now:

Lincoln
Spielberg
DDL
Lawrence
Jones
Hathaway
Kushner, et al
Haneke (a la Pedro Almodovar auteur token screenplay win)

xpost no, the same

also what is it with you (and others) and Ann Dowd? It's a hatefully drawn character.

That's how it's drawn; that's not how she executes it.

sorry, meant to type "You're a hatefully drawn character."

Christ, you.

tot missed that Haneke got a writing nomination. Surely Foreign Film will be enough?

I wonder if Leo will attend, looking forlorn again:

http://i.imgur.com/9MHhU.gif

Foreign film will go to something different, no doubt. They still have that inscrutable committee deciding, right? I'm guessing No or Kon-Tiki.

always the ring bearer, never the groom xpost

I think there's going to be enough of a backlash about the Bigelow dis that Boal will win for screenplay. maybe.

What tangled webs.

The observations I posted in my Oscar notes blog:

– Zero Dark Thirty, thought to be the soft frontrunner going into the nominations this morning, took a pretty sizeable hit thanks to its director Kathryn Bigelow getting snubbed. Actually, the biggest snubs of the morning came in that category, with Hollywood’s golden boy Ben Affleck and fellow DGA nominee Tom Hooper (Les Miserables) also missing out on bids. Big shakeups there.

– Most surprising showing in the major categories: Amour. Emmanuelle Riva was expected to probably show up in the best actress lineup as well as the best foreign film category, but it made major showings elsewhere, with appearances in best picture, best director and best screenplay. Somewhere Michael Haneke’s frown just got turned upside down, if only ruefully/ironically. I am relishing the thought of him getting the obligatory Pedro Almodovar token win in the screenplay category.

– Speaking of Emmanuelle Riva, at 85 years old, she is officially the oldest nominee in best actress ever. Conversely, Quvenzhane Wallis is the category’s youngest contender ever at 9 years old (though she was actually 6 when the movie was shot). Pretty impressive spread.

– Silver Linings Playbook becomes the first movie to get nominations in all four acting categories since Reds in 1981. Harvey Weinstein spent his money strategically. Two other movies, however, did get nods in three of the four acting categories this morning: Lincoln (as expected) and The Master (which was snubbed in every other category).

– Whoever wins best supporting actor this year, it won’t be their first time on the podium. Every single one of them has won an Oscar before. Currently pouring one out for snubee Matthew McConaughey’s g-string.

– Minnesota native John Hawkes got snubbed in best actor for his role in The Sessions. It was a baity part, but if I’m to be totally honest, it was no Teardrop. If it’s Joaquin Phoenix that he made room for, I’m cool with that.

– In below-the-line categories, the biggest shock of the morning was the dismissal of The Intouchables in best foreign film. Never has a movie seemed more tailor-made for the category.

– Maggie Simpson is now an Oscar nominee. Good job, Maggie Simpson.

Wonder whether the speed of Boal/Bigelow rewriting their movie after OBL's assassination earns him points with other screenwriters. (Been reading articles painting him as interestingly insufferable, though.)

Surprised The Master didn't get a screenplay nom.

Also insufferable to many but otm last year with all major categories months in advance (before The Artist had opened in the U.S.), Bret Easton Ellis predicted a few months ago on Twitter that Silver Linings would win Best Picture, Actor, and Actress.

i wonder if taking dictation from the guvmint earns Boal points with other screenwriters

I went to see "Argo" a few weeks back, but I got a call 20 minutes from the end that my daughter had thrown up in school, so I had to leave early. What did I miss? Did all the hostages die? They all died, didn't they?

Does "Silver Linings ..." have any sort of momentum at all? At least people actually saw those turds "As Good as it Gets" and "Little Miss Sunshine."

The most I see Silver Linings mustering is two acting wins instead of one. But, yeah, we'll see how hard Weinstein hits Lincoln.

yeah the fact that lincoln has done way bigger box office than silver linings does benefit it

Little Miss grossed $60 M domestically, much of that after its AA attention I'm sure. (I've still avoided that turd btw.) Silver Linings is at 34 M now.

lol, forgot that shakespeare in love beat saving private ryan...it's a REMATCH