World Health Organization trials show new Ebola vaccine to be highly effective
― Lee626, Friday, 31 July 2015 12:24 (nine years ago) link
it's over!
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-35308743
― goole, Thursday, 14 January 2016 18:24 (eight years ago) link
maybe not...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/01/15/ebola-case-reported-in-sierra-leone-one-day-after-who-declared-the-outbreak-over/?hpid=hp_hp-more-top-stories_ebola-920am%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
― sleeve, Friday, 15 January 2016 16:44 (eight years ago) link
they were pretty straightforward about the fact that they expected some recidivism
― Copy rights, pleasing all star wars fans, hiring professionals. (forksclovetofu), Friday, 15 January 2016 16:45 (eight years ago) link
great roundup from huffington post here
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ebola-panic-us_us_56fabbd7e4b014d3fe243d86?n4h5rzyr8vs6mvx6r
― goole, Tuesday, 29 March 2016 19:29 (eight years ago) link
Anthrax making another comeback:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-08-11/scientists-warn-anthrax-just-one-threat-as-russian-permafrost-m/7720362
Ice-age diseases potentially to follow.
― On a Raqqa tip (ShariVari), Thursday, 11 August 2016 11:07 (eight years ago) link
this seems scary: https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/19/asia/china-coronavirus-spike-intl-hnk/index.html
― JoeStork, Monday, 20 January 2020 21:03 (four years ago) link
We all gonna die and no one gives a fuck?
― nostormo, Friday, 24 January 2020 20:32 (four years ago) link
the population of the wuhan metropolitan area is like 20million and we're talking about only a few hundred cases currently, seemingly all or mainly from tainted meat consumption. i'm not worried
― bidenfan69420 (jim in vancouver), Friday, 24 January 2020 20:34 (four years ago) link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ne-UnC2QpsU
― GK Chessington's World of Adventure (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 January 2020 20:37 (four years ago) link
I'm not worried, but that's still the *reported* number of cases. The question is how fast it can spread. Certainly the Chinese government is taking it seriously enough to more or less lock down Wuhan, which is nothing to sniff at for a population of 11 million. 26 dead so far, a couple of cases in the US, a couple in Europe. Those numbers are tiny, but if I've learned anything from movies and books it's that we're all going to die and/or turn into zombies.
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 24 January 2020 20:39 (four years ago) link
26 million people are on quarantine. This is serious. Cases are spreading woeldwide and i wouldn't believe the chinese numbers
― nostormo, Friday, 24 January 2020 20:40 (four years ago) link
― nostormo, Friday, January 24, 2020 1:32 PM (seven minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink
go to hell imo
― american bradass (BradNelson), Friday, 24 January 2020 20:41 (four years ago) link
Not worried too, but this looks like SARS part 2, numners will rise probably
― nostormo, Friday, 24 January 2020 20:41 (four years ago) link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jlxmKsTvcLg
the people will survive imo
― GK Chessington's World of Adventure (Noodle Vague), Friday, 24 January 2020 20:47 (four years ago) link
Everything is grist if all you want to do is amuse yourself, but if you're going to make fun of it, at least say something witty.
― A is for (Aimless), Friday, 24 January 2020 20:56 (four years ago) link
I got a couple of disposable face masks yesterday.
― Yerac, Friday, 24 January 2020 20:57 (four years ago) link
My shoulder hurts, is it coronavirus
― Swilling Ambergris, Esq. (silby), Friday, 24 January 2020 21:01 (four years ago) link
is it your dominant arm?
― Yerac, Friday, 24 January 2020 21:02 (four years ago) link
Xi Jinping just called it a 'grave situation' and 30 Chinese provinces are now on high alert.
― pomenitul, Saturday, 25 January 2020 14:11 (four years ago) link
48 million people on lockdown, 42 deaths, that discrepancy shows that the Chinese government must know even more than it is saying out loud.
― Josh in Chicago, Saturday, 25 January 2020 14:15 (four years ago) link
I've been writing about this on the China thread, but to sum up.My wife is from Hubei, her sister is in Wuhan and parents in Ezhou, both on lockdown now. Actually sister and her son were due to fly over to the UK on Wednesday, obviously that has been cancelled. Everyone is just staying home, which works for a while but not forever of course. Also the summer school I run brings about 200 students from Wuhan to the UK every summer, this is also a concern, school will be out of business if they cancel. The word is that this isn't as serious as SARS but is spreading more rapidly.
― mfktz (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Saturday, 25 January 2020 14:58 (four years ago) link
Holy shit Camaraderie! Best wishes for your fam.
― Li'l Brexit (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 25 January 2020 15:38 (four years ago) link
so far all is fine! just a bit of a stress, of course, and my wife is pretty worried of course.it's really odd to see Wuhan and especially Ezhou on the news
― mfktz (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Saturday, 25 January 2020 15:45 (four years ago) link
obv I don’t know how this will all shake out but the level of hysteria in some corners of the internet borders on imo wishful fantasies that it’s a worse case scenario and level of subconscious craving for this sort of apocalypse is it’s own sort of frightening
― Mordy, Monday, 27 January 2020 16:33 (four years ago) link
Nothing new under the sun, etc. Eschatological yearnings are here to stay.
― pomenitul, Monday, 27 January 2020 16:34 (four years ago) link
a lot of people subconsciously prefer the apocalypse over their status quo; nb i think this is to some extent misguided but it isn't new
― GK Chessington's World of Adventure (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 January 2020 16:36 (four years ago) link
only to some extent misguided to prefer apocalypse to their status quo?
― Mordy, Monday, 27 January 2020 16:43 (four years ago) link
Depends on your status quo, no?
― pomenitul, Monday, 27 January 2020 16:45 (four years ago) link
part deliberate understatement as a joke, part i am sympathetic to thinking that a radical upheaval of everything feels preferable to just trudging along sometimes
e.g. the very real pain of having your head sawn off still works as a joke preference after you've had toothache for long enough
― GK Chessington's World of Adventure (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 January 2020 16:45 (four years ago) link
They were semi-careful on the radio this morning to be alarming but ... cautiously alarming. The guy who briefed the WHO said, if it's not contained, worst case he expects this to peak late April or early May, with 150,000 cases *per day.* That's what his model showed, at least, and only the worst case scenario. But that's a pretty bad scenario!
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, 27 January 2020 16:45 (four years ago) link
there's probably a whole discussion about who's entitled to feel un-Panglossian and who isn't but it shd probably go on another thread. disaster has always been an appealing spectacle to many people for good, bad and indifferent reasons. personally i hope the people of Wuhan and environs can get back to their preferred daily routine asap
― GK Chessington's World of Adventure (Noodle Vague), Monday, 27 January 2020 16:47 (four years ago) link
I suspect it’s more about the spectacle than the despair but I don’t have evidence or anything
― Mordy, Monday, 27 January 2020 16:51 (four years ago) link
I had to take my daughter to the doctor for something unrelated yesterday and most people were wearing facemasks. TBF, large Chinese population in my neighborhood so maybe people are assuming that there's a decent risk someone here has traveled to Wuhan. Also I think facemasks are just more of a thing in China itself after SARS etc so people from there are probably more accustomed to breaking them out.
So far from what I can glean, it's not so much how deadly this is as how fast it can spread and how new it is (i.e. no one has built up immunity) -- in other words so far it doesn't look likely to kill a large percentage of its victims, but it may just have so many victims that it will cause a significant number of deaths, particularly among more vulnerable populations?
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 27 January 2020 18:15 (four years ago) link
Or I guess 80 deaths / 2700 cases maybe is particularly deadly?
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 27 January 2020 18:20 (four years ago) link
SARS apparently had a 10% death rate and a 50% death rate for patients over 65 years, by comparison. Avian flu was much higher -- 60%, but much less transmissible.
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 27 January 2020 18:21 (four years ago) link
IANAV but my sense is that the fear depends on believing that China is lying about the numbers but aiui WHO has been on the ground and would know if a massive coverup was underway?
― Mordy, Monday, 27 January 2020 18:28 (four years ago) link
So far I actually get a sense of China really trying to get out ahead of this in comparison to past outbreaks, but who knows.
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Monday, 27 January 2020 18:30 (four years ago) link
That's what his model showed, at least
Seems like it would be hard to build a reasonable model for that when you haven't discovered the method of transmission, yet.
― A is for (Aimless), Monday, 27 January 2020 18:31 (four years ago) link
I’ve started seeing people - mostly Chinese I think - wearing facemasks in the UK and California. On the street, in meetings,...
― seandalai, Monday, 27 January 2020 20:20 (four years ago) link
I was going to buy a box of disposable facemasks on amazon but they seem to be mostly sold out/on backorder. Might pop out today to try to get more from a local store. Even if I don't use them for this I want to start wearing them on planes.
― Yerac, Monday, 27 January 2020 20:24 (four years ago) link
xp I always see Chinese tourists wearing masks out and about in London, haven’t noticed an uptick. I remember being impressed when I was in HK (I think?) that the escalators were disinfected on their handrails, but ofc it makes a huge amount of sense considering.
― steer karma (gyac), Monday, 27 January 2020 20:31 (four years ago) link
I went to my local asian grocery store on saturday and every one of the dozen or so people working there was wearing a mask and latex gloves which has never been the case before
― joygoat, Monday, 27 January 2020 20:32 (four years ago) link
apparently masks being worn in NYC
what exactly is wrong with people
― a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Monday, 27 January 2020 20:37 (four years ago) link
I am so into the masks. I wish it became common in nyc especially in winter. (keeps your face warmer, provided humidity, makes people leave you alone).
― Yerac, Monday, 27 January 2020 20:42 (four years ago) link
that's true, could add a cane for the last
― a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Monday, 27 January 2020 20:43 (four years ago) link
Some work rando accosted me in the restroom like Kevin McCarthy in Invasion of the Body Snatchers. Okay, dude I've never talked to before, congratulations on working from home for the foreseeable future, I hope your incipient prepperdom serves you well.
― Dr. Teeth and the Women (Old Lunch), Monday, 27 January 2020 20:49 (four years ago) link
Oh ok, so there has been totally a run on masks. https://www.bbc.com/news/51245373
― Yerac, Monday, 27 January 2020 23:22 (four years ago) link
My nephew who has been living n Shanghai for 12 years, is married to a Chinese girl and is moving back to the UK, his wife and kid are flying out this week - 3 months early - because of the situation, he's saying most everyone there is staying home, minimising interactions and so on.
― Maresn3st, Tuesday, 28 January 2020 11:22 (four years ago) link
2018 nCoV death toll to 108 as of last hour.R0 (how many newly infected when an infected enters) estimates I've seen are 2.8 and 3.8. In hospitalized, 15% mortality. Total mortality in infected likely lower (3-4%). Fairly infectious during the asymptomatic incubation period.
Science-wise, 79% sequence similarity to SARS, 98.5% sequence similarity to other bat corona viri. So its bats, again.
I have a case of N95 masks and plenty gloves, but stocked up on hand sanitizer and instant potato flakes today.
― Darth Bambi (Sanpaku), Tuesday, 28 January 2020 11:43 (four years ago) link