there is a simpler explanation
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 December 2021 18:27 (two years ago) link
nyc positivity doubled in a week
^that's the one that says it's not just an artifact of more people getting tested ahead of the holidays
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Thursday, 16 December 2021 18:28 (two years ago) link
Xp right the simple explanation is everyone has it currently but no one knows bc vax works etc
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 16 December 2021 18:29 (two years ago) link
boston does have a measure that's independent of people testing, people testing correctly, people having access to testing, etc. i.e. toilet water. it's a laggy and noisy measure, so it's not perfect. but unless everyone in boston decides to stop going potty it doesn't have biases that change as a function of time, unlike testing. cases are up!
https://www.mwra.com/biobot/biobotdata.htm
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 December 2021 18:34 (two years ago) link
posted on the rona thread but yeah NYC is hot right now. had 3 coworkers in NY just test positive
― (•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 16 December 2021 19:52 (two years ago) link
one of my band members tested positive. vaccinated and boosted (ofc). says it feels like a bad cold
― STOCK FIST-PUMPER BRAD (BradNelson), Thursday, 16 December 2021 19:56 (two years ago) link
we're all gonna get covid for christmas
Santa Baby.
― Santa’s Got a Brand New Borad (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 16 December 2021 19:58 (two years ago) link
https://www.yahoo.com/news/omicron-dominant-wastewater-samples-florida-173842553.html
interesting point in this article: omicron has overtaken delta in Orlando, but hospitalizations are all delta
― Muad'Doob (Moodles), Thursday, 16 December 2021 20:13 (two years ago) link
Most likely because it takes a couple of weeks forInfection to hospitalization and omicron is new in town
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 16 December 2021 20:19 (two years ago) link
so glad the wife and I already decided we were staying around home for the holidays
― (•̪●) (carne asada), Thursday, 16 December 2021 20:36 (two years ago) link
This is where the calculus gets tricky for us. We skipped seeing my father-in-law for Christmas last year for obvious reasons, now that we are all vaxxed and boosted we had planned to go see him this year, but all the news this week makes us a little nervous. Thing for my wife, especially, is that he's 83. She, quite understandably, doesn't want to keep skipping seeing him because, well, he's 83.
― a superficial sheeb of intelligence (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 16 December 2021 21:00 (two years ago) link
My mom’s 93 and halfway across the country and I feel like I have no idea when I’ll see her
― covidsbundlertanze op. 6 (Jon not Jon), Thursday, 16 December 2021 21:11 (two years ago) link
My sister and her family just flew in from….. South Africa
― Heez, Thursday, 16 December 2021 21:14 (two years ago) link
Haven’t seen them in 3 years
― Heez, Thursday, 16 December 2021 21:16 (two years ago) link
Yeah, to be clear, not putting that out as a "woe is me" post, clearly a lot of people struggling far with far worse situations. Just frustrating how quickly risk calculus can change.
― a superficial sheeb of intelligence (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Thursday, 16 December 2021 21:18 (two years ago) link
Shut down a job today because the third person on our interview docket had a weird persistent cough
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 16 December 2021 23:05 (two years ago) link
new study, currently saying no evidence that Omicron is milder: https://www.ft.com/content/020534b3-5a54-4517-9fd1-167a5db50786
already dummies misinterpreting the study on both sides.
*This isn't saying "Omicron is definitely not milder", just that there's no evidence CURRENTLY to say that it is with confidence
*It acknowledges that hospitalizations/severe outcomes could likely be the case, just like in SA, but that the reason for it could be prior infection/immunity just as much as mildness.
― hopefully this review helped someone (Neanderthal), Friday, 17 December 2021 16:21 (two years ago) link
--- btw could we have a new thread at some point? There's over 15k posts in this one!
― kinder, Friday, 17 December 2021 16:25 (two years ago) link
holy FUCKING SHIT
― hopefully this review helped someone (Neanderthal), Friday, 17 December 2021 16:25 (two years ago) link
i never noticed that
― hopefully this review helped someone (Neanderthal), Friday, 17 December 2021 16:26 (two years ago) link
Posts are growing exponentially
― kinder, Friday, 17 December 2021 16:28 (two years ago) link
If we don't get it under control, at this rate we'll hit 800,000 posts by next spring.
Tbf, the thread precedes covid by some span.
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 16:28 (two years ago) link
not sure covid is thread worthy
― maf you one two (maffew12), Friday, 17 December 2021 16:30 (two years ago) link
It's no ebola.
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 16:31 (two years ago) link
Stop posting. Flatten the curve.
― DJI, Friday, 17 December 2021 16:57 (two years ago) link
This is the key part of the table from this Imperial study showing "no evidence" Omicron is less severe than delta. It's a simple logit regression. Basically the results tell us "loads of young people got Omicron, and very few of them needed hospital treatment" https://t.co/0ae8L6ofxG pic.twitter.com/Y77di6XaKC— Peter Sivey (@petesivey) December 17, 2021
― xyzzzz__, Friday, 17 December 2021 17:06 (two years ago) link
bookmarks make all threads short of course. this is an interesting document of sorts.
― When Young Sheldon began to rap (forksclovetofu), Friday, 17 December 2021 17:10 (two years ago) link
"outbreak 2: omicron and on"
― koogs, Friday, 17 December 2021 17:31 (two years ago) link
the comical thing about all this is that the one thing we DO know is that omicron spreads so fast we are definitely gonna know one way or the other about its severity profile two weeks from now, so a huge amount of ink is being wasted arguing about it right now.
OK I guess not really "wasted"; certain aspects of policy response that have to be decided right now do depend on the answer to this question, I guess.
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 17 December 2021 17:36 (two years ago) link
Not just so fast but apparently so easily, given the number of tales I've heard of even boosted people catching it. If you've gotten vaccinated, you've been boostered, and you wear a mask and you are reasonably cautious and it still breaks through, albeit with anecdotally mild symptoms, what else can you do?
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 17:40 (two years ago) link
Then again, as I understand it the majority of cases locally here have still been delta.
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 17:41 (two years ago) link
xxpost the thing that annoys me about that are all of the assholes who are like "WHY DON'T WE KNOW YET? OUR LEADERS NEED THIS INFORMATION TO ACT", as if we should wait until we know everything about Omicron before planning to deal with it.
the same people who scream "WHY DON'T WE KNOW WHERE THIS HURRICANE IS GOING YET, LIVES DEPEND ON IT" as if getting warning 5+ days in advance that your area might get hit isn't giving you ample time to prepare and evacuate if you need to, as opposed to waiting until the last minute to find out GPS coordinates for what street the hurricane is going to traipse down
― hopefully this review helped someone (Neanderthal), Friday, 17 December 2021 18:02 (two years ago) link
i almost certainly have omicron - i live in london, where it’s rapidly taking over, i’ve been vaxxed and boosted and previously infected with the OG strain - yet my family members continue to test negative, with zero symptoms, including my mother in law who’s supposedly, ha ha, ha ha ha, going back to france on sunday, hahaha.
― Tracer Hand, Friday, 17 December 2021 18:05 (two years ago) link
My wife (elementary school librarian) got new guidance on quarantining. It doesn't actually go into effect until mid-January, though!
― DJI, Friday, 17 December 2021 18:07 (two years ago) link
btw could we have a new thread at some point? There's over 15k posts in this one!
― kinder, Friday, 17 December 2021 16:25 (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink
I have a more radical solution to this, something along the lines of a circuit breaker where our "top" ten covid posters maybe take a two week break from blogging here idk
― fix up luke shawp (darraghmac), Friday, 17 December 2021 18:26 (two years ago) link
honestly if someone wants to threadban me from this thread, I would welcome it. I can't seem to stop myself, like a bad habit.
― hopefully this review helped someone (Neanderthal), Friday, 17 December 2021 18:31 (two years ago) link
ha ha wait is this me
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 17 December 2021 18:32 (two years ago) link
https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/warehouse-13-artifact-database/images/8/80/Mccarthy_holding_list.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20151221030058
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 18:36 (two years ago) link
Goddam it. https://progressive.org/downloads/5270/download/Screen%20Shot%202017-01-03%20at%209.48.56%20AM.png?cb=c4a7db57c9e999ed5e304327da730ae3&w=640
(That's two posts, will that count against me?)
Undoubtedly
― fix up luke shawp (darraghmac), Friday, 17 December 2021 18:37 (two years ago) link
I’ll gladly « top » you all
― A Pile of Ants (Boring, Maryland), Friday, 17 December 2021 18:50 (two years ago) link
#paymentfortoptenposters
― Karl Malone, Friday, 17 December 2021 19:21 (two years ago) link
― fix up luke shawp (darraghmac), Friday, 17 December 2021 bookmarkflaglink
rude imo
― xyzzzz__, Friday, 17 December 2021 19:22 (two years ago) link
Guys, this looks really bad
https://scontent-lga3-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.15752-9/262547195_254942183371341_4903698113448173654_n.jpg?_nc_cat=107&ccb=1-5&_nc_sid=ae9488&_nc_ohc=bTDZ6vpffxsAX8QZWD0&_nc_ht=scontent-lga3-2.xx&oh=03_AVKowKYNwxek7NkQ9AY1ot5-rdjbxWNObqDOAsh8NYKV1A&oe=61E1A18F
― longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Friday, 17 December 2021 19:42 (two years ago) link
is that my posting frequency
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 17 December 2021 19:43 (two years ago) link
That looks like my kid's homework.
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 19:57 (two years ago) link
She's done the projections, and it's even worse than we thought:https://i.imgur.com/xbTsj9B.jpg
― Josh in Chicago, Friday, 17 December 2021 20:00 (two years ago) link
personally i'm taking the same approach to man alive's posts that he takes to good faith attempts to answer that same question he asks every two weeks, i.e. ignoring.
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 17 December 2021 20:01 (two years ago) link
New York Reports Over 20,000 Covid-19 Cases, New Daily High
― mookieproof, Friday, 17 December 2021 20:09 (two years ago) link