Artificial intelligence still has some way to go

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i once read absalom, absalom! in one sitting. (weird period in my life emotionally). can ai do that????

treeship., Tuesday, 28 November 2023 13:44 (ten months ago) link

(this is what i mean by "good enough", xposts to kate! good enough to pass for sports illustrated, even if it gets caught in the year 2023. the ability of LLMs to fool enough people with bland nonsense isn't going to get worse -- it'll only get better. at the same time it feels like a very elitist thing to say "it's not good enough for me, but it seems to be good enough for other people", even though that's close to what i think. i wish it was bad enough that people would reject it out of hand. but i don't really see that rejection. it seems 'good enough'!

― z_tbd

i guess what i'm saying isn't really a judgement on the quality of the writing per se, whether or not it passes a turing test or whatever... my focus is more on the material conditions under which ai is used, the capitalists who replace good writers with "good enough" ai. that's the important thing to me, not the ai itself.

when i see that sports illustrated is replacing writers with ai, i look at that within the context of print magazine publishing in 2023... a lot of magazines have closed, and the ones that haven't, one of the big-name examples is newsweek, which is pretty infamous for having its brand bought out at bargain prices by grifters who are using it to try and spread right-wing propaganda.

i lost a career once due to "good enough" technology. i went to school for medical transcription. i type 100 words a minute (this might not surprise anybody who is aware of my posting volume here) and i have a pretty good vocabulary. it was a good living. until they came up with computers that could listen to a recording and figure out what the speaker was saying. it wasn't perfect - not even to the level of youtube's auto-subtitles, at the time - but it was "good enough". it didn't get rid of the entire field of transcription, mind you. there still had to be humans involved to listen to the recordings and check them for accuracy. i mean you're talking medical chart notes here, the legal ramifications of having a computer mishear you...

so people with lots of experience in the field started doing that. i was one of the people without lots of experience in the field. i was 33 years old and i guessed i needed to find another career.

when i look at the material conditions people here, people who had careers doing journalism, are going through... they remind me a lot of what i went through 15 or so years ago.

i don't regret that i don't have a career typing up chart notes. i don't see the point of me spending my life doing work that isn't _necessary_. i switched tracks and i'm now working in a field that didn't exist when i first went to college. it was good work five years ago. now it's increasingly redundant and unnecessary. ai does a lot of what i used to do.

the issue isn't ai for me. the issue is what the fuck life i'm supposed to have when careers pop into and out of existence in a five year span. maybe our value as human beings shouldn't be dependent on what we're paid to do. maybe the people who perpetuate those values are _a problem_.

Kate (rushomancy), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 14:43 (ten months ago) link

reading that this morning felt good, thank you.

ꙮ (map), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 16:16 (ten months ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWmkXRrr2YY

It is a disgusting... (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 16:26 (ten months ago) link

lmao

ꙮ (map), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 16:40 (ten months ago) link

lol yess

z_tbd, Tuesday, 28 November 2023 16:44 (ten months ago) link

why aren't they doing more research to investigate how easily AI can eliminate CEO and board of directors positions?

NetDragon Websoft, a Chinese gaming company, claims to be using an AI program as its CEO, though it's almost certainly just a PR stunt. little-to-no information about what it's actually doing
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/netdragon-appoints-its-first-virtual-ceo-301613062.html

Vinnie, Tuesday, 28 November 2023 16:54 (ten months ago) link

in medicine people have been using decision support for doctors which i assume they dont want to use for personal pride reason but it make ssense

so why not a ceo software

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK543516/

| (Latham Green), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 21:15 (ten months ago) link

I just want to humourlessly point out "AI CEOs" would mean software optimized to maximize shareholder value making decisions about layoffs, plant locations, personnel policies, wages, etc. Please understand I'm not saying human CEOs are good, just that being ruled by an algorithm could be worse!

the issue isn't ai for me. the issue is what the fuck life i'm supposed to have when careers pop into and out of existence in a five year span. maybe our value as human beings shouldn't be dependent on what we're paid to do. maybe the people who perpetuate those values are _a problem_.

― Kate (rushomancy), Tuesday, November 28, 2023 9:43 AM (six hours ago)

I started reading Brian Merchant's new book on the Luddites on Sunday and he mentions how at the dawn of the industrial revolution using machines to eliminate livelihoods was perceived as a moral question. He even quotes Elizabeth I telling some inventor guy he can't have a patent for a knitting machine because it would destroy jobs

rob, Tuesday, 28 November 2023 21:47 (ten months ago) link

Okay I had to try to track that Elizabeth quote down: https://conversableeconomist.blogspot.com/2019/03/the-story-of-william-lee-and-his.html

what you say is true but by no means (lukas), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 22:27 (ten months ago) link

Just wait till AI CEOs have to deal with AI peons unionizing...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QFfaL3_Mv0s

It seems more likely that companies charging usurious royalties and licensing on monopolized AI models will be the thing that keeps human labor a thing far past the point where anyone would really want to do it.

Philip Nunez, Tuesday, 28 November 2023 22:31 (ten months ago) link

Okay I had to try to track that Elizabeth quote down: https://conversableeconomist.blogspot.com/2019/03/the-story-of-william-lee-and-his.html

― what you say is true but by no means (lukas), Tuesday, November 28, 2023 5:27 PM (four minutes ago)

ha, thanks, that's actually even better, I didn't love having to hand it to Elizabeth I

rob, Tuesday, 28 November 2023 22:40 (ten months ago) link

I just want to humourlessly point out "AI CEOs" would mean software optimized to maximize shareholder value making decisions about layoffs, plant locations, personnel policies, wages, etc. Please understand I'm not saying human CEOs are good, just that being ruled by an algorithm could be worse!

― rob

ok, well, look at the selection process and expectations of ceos now

i think it would be fair to say that human ceos are people optimized to maximize shareholder value making decisions about layoffs, plant locations, personnel policies, wages, etc

now

who is reaping the benefit from those processes

with human ceos, you can say, ok, sure, it's ceos themselves

having an "ai ceo", to me, that doesn't seem better _or_ worse. capital can't be bothered to exploit workers themselves, so they've programmed an ai to do it for them. as an added bonus, blaming "ai" for their own exploitative actions helps shield them from responsibility for those actions.

if you were really going to "replace" a human ceo with an AI, the profit that would have gone to that ceo ought logically to go to the workers, right? but that doesn't make sense, because... i mean, this stuff ought to be data-driven, right? is there _any_ evidence that CEOs create anything of value? legitimate and serious question, are decisions made by human ceos objectively better than decisions made by a fucking random number generator?

Kate (rushomancy), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 01:13 (ten months ago) link

i've come up with a brilliant new ai to replace landlords, you pay it money and it does nothing

Kate (rushomancy), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 01:15 (ten months ago) link

AI Christ

a very very unfair (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 03:34 (ten months ago) link

i once read absalom, absalom! in one sitting. (weird period in my life emotionally). can ai do that????

― treeship., Tuesday, November 28, 2023 8:44 AM (fourteen hours ago) bookmarkflaglink

lol thats out there, salute

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 03:57 (ten months ago) link

AIbsalom, AIbsalom! is that anything

Ethinically Ambigaus (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 12:37 (ten months ago) link

AbsAIlom

Ethinically Ambigaus (Bananaman Begins), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 12:37 (ten months ago) link

xp i want to lol but come on, it is better. Tho kind of funny on its own terms for being self-conscious and try-hard.

― Ethinically Ambigaus (Bananaman Begins), Tuesday, 28 November 2023 bookmarkflaglink

I like Faulkner's fiction but that's hack work. Automating it isn't the end of creativity.

I can see a scenario where a writer automated this hackwork under their name, leaving them to write what they want to write. This is a positive.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 13:45 (ten months ago) link

it is hackwork, but it has some charm, some humanity.

one problem for me might be aesthetic. (there are also other, bigger problems). living in a world filled with formulaic advertisements and other kinds of content made by people working under a deadline is not great. it might be similar --- perhaps unrecognizably so --- to live in a world where all that junk was made by robots. but there is an invisible difference, an uncanniness, an eeriness to knowing that the messages that surround you were made by robots and not people.

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:06 (ten months ago) link

when i read something online -- like a facebook comment or something --- and, halfway through, i realize that it was written by ai, i feel betrayed. it's hard to describe. the internet right now is populated by bots, so like accounts that pose as human beings and do an ok job impersonating them. that is deeply weird and unsettling if nothing else.

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:08 (ten months ago) link

if i believed, as you suggested, that automating all this content production will free people up to be creative, i would accept it as a reasonable price to pay. but i don't think we have the right political economy for that. i don't think workers are going to be the beneficiaries of this wave of automation.

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:09 (ten months ago) link

"it is hackwork, but it has some charm, some humanity."

I'd be surprised if Faulkner liked doing it.

People have said for the last 20 years or more that automation would bring the end of jobs and so on.

I've yet to see anything like this. The nearest is offshoring but that's people doing the work somewhere else for lower cost. That can brutally shift if economies go under.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:17 (ten months ago) link

I said this already but humans are already cranking out robotic creative work to serve capitalism. cf Corporate Memphis. If this is what gets automated, who would even notice? Besides the out of work designers obv. But again, most of humanity used to work on farms. And even from a capitalist point of view, Western economies have been stuck in a low productivity growth plateau for a long time. We need a jump start if we have a hope in hell of paying off pension obligations. I for one welcome etc etc

Humanitarian Pause (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:35 (ten months ago) link

There's a lot of work that needs doing, whether it's care work, community works, so much that isn't done here because of austerity policies.

Nevermind the work that is underpaid. Huge amounts of wage theft.

Plenty out there, but the political and business class don't want to pay, or they deny it needs doing, or they don't see value in it. Or if there is exploitation comes in quickly enough, instead of hiring.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:41 (ten months ago) link

pension obligations? we don’t need an AI for that, nearly all jobs in the US dumped pensions and you get a 401k with bad administration rates

ɥɯ ︵ (°□°) (mh), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 14:45 (ten months ago) link

I suppose there will soon be organizations who's sole focus is to verify something was not generated by ai.

Also the age of the "non-ai " content internet is over so ai is going to be trianed on other ai recursively to who knnows what end.

only the wayback machine at internet archive will be "pure"

| (Latham Green), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 15:03 (ten months ago) link

Well pension obligations are still pretty big for unionized industries but yes point taken. More broadly though productivity growth is how we get rising living standards. AI seems like a very good bet to accomplishing this.

Re: care work, social work etc - AIs will never do this, can't do it, and yes that work needs to start being paid commensurate with its social value.

Humanitarian Pause (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 15:24 (ten months ago) link

Robocare for the elderly has been a goal as long as self-driving cars and frankly I think we'll make better adoption with the former than the latter. People really loved their AIBOs! Also, given how quickly people took to even the most limited ELIZA routines decades ago, there's an argument to be made that a lot of this kind of care work would be preferable if done by machine than another potentially judgy human (or one you could be ashamed pooping in front of or confessing your worst impulses).

Philip Nunez, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 15:47 (ten months ago) link

there are also examples of it going haywire and giving very inappropriate messages to patients struggling with psychological issues.

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2023/06/08/1180838096/an-eating-disorders-chatbot-offered-dieting-advice-raising-fears-about-ai-in-hea

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 15:56 (ten months ago) link

i dont think ai will ever do these complicated human jobs, technology never maps one to one with human behaviors, itll do little tasks where its very clear what the paramaters are, just like all other computer programs, ai is just computer programs, with a compelling misleading name

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 15:59 (ten months ago) link

i hope so

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:00 (ten months ago) link

that is my impression too, but i am also worried about it being forced into places it doesn't belong, causing havoc and destroying jobs

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:00 (ten months ago) link

im sure thatll happen, and is in fact already happening see sport illustrated story, but thats not ais fault that just business

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:06 (ten months ago) link

But does that mean there won't be another magazine that will hire human staff and be a good read and sustainable? AI doesn't stop that either.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:08 (ten months ago) link

i blame drew ortiz

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:09 (ten months ago) link

yeah its not ai that stops that its private equity et al, if you want to talk at something truly disastrous talk about the total financialization of our whole sitch

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:10 (ten months ago) link

its the money guys who are really enthused about ai, its not hard to see why particularly considering they view whatever content product item they churn out as being basically interchangeable, they dont know whats good, they dont even acknowledge that theres such thing as good, the saving grace is that theyre wrong no one wants this computer slop, a computer will never write even the shittiest x man movie

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:17 (ten months ago) link

likewise just like crypto a lot of the ai hype is just driven by big investors needing somewhere to put their money and then hopefully get out before the last song plays

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:18 (ten months ago) link

in this world where journalists breathlessly report on valuations when you invest free advertising comes with it, once unprofitable companies started going public vcs realized you can make a lot of money on hype alone

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:20 (ten months ago) link

that is my impression too, but i am also worried about it being forced into places it doesn't belong, causing havoc and destroying jobs

― treeship., Wednesday, November 29, 2023 10:00 AM (eighteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

this is just the market. whoops the Q3 profits weren't as great as we hoped, better lay off 1/4 of our workers before the next quarter starts so we can show a decrease in costs. AI is just another lever to pull

ɥɯ ︵ (°□°) (mh), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:21 (ten months ago) link

lag∞n got most of that while I was typing, once again

ɥɯ ︵ (°□°) (mh), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:22 (ten months ago) link

:)

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:23 (ten months ago) link

ai is just computer programs, with a compelling misleading name

― lag∞n, Wednesday, November 29, 2023 7:59 AM

Yeah seriously

G. D’Arcy Cheesewright (silby), Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:24 (ten months ago) link

there's a cynical optimism to be had that all this AI funding gives rise to an "actually profit-maximizing regime" that eliminates the parasite rentier/investor class.

also, I'm a fan of the AI-gone-wrong computer slop -- unleash it on the next marvel phase, I say!

Philip Nunez, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:27 (ten months ago) link

read a thing that said that openai is full of people who really believe theyre on their way to making actual computer intelligence, funny how these extremely clever computer people believe this very silly thing, calling it religious or a cult seems accurate

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:28 (ten months ago) link

There's frankly more overlap between the two groups than anyone should find comfortable...

Philip Nunez, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:30 (ten months ago) link

need to pull some sort of mechanical turk scheme on them where the sentient computer tells them to transfer cash to my account

lag∞n, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:33 (ten months ago) link

In the sense that people thought SBF was a sentient computer, that would totally work!

To be fair to AI hypers, actual human intelligence is way overrated by humans (we get outsmarted by bears all the time!), so the gulf between the two is probably not as big as people want it to be.

Philip Nunez, Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:36 (ten months ago) link

Bears?

treeship., Wednesday, 29 November 2023 16:37 (ten months ago) link


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