who wants to be a milllionaire/fraud: the doc [actually this thread is abt "intuition" btw]

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OK it goes w/o saying that this was poor as journalism, not least bcz presented by that creepy suck-up creep MARTIN BASHIR who is IMO far more deserving of obloquy than james ingram or wacko jacko or blimey throw a rock in sleb-land

HOWEVAH:
The thing I tht was interesting which of course they skated over was the incidence of intuition as the basis of suspicion viz:
RESEARCHER: "yyy came over to me and said, 'Something strange is going on here.'"

This feeling — "something is not right" — arose long before anyone worked out the actual mechanism of the cheat (assuming it was one: the programme made not the slightest attempt to put any alternative view -> basically it was a dramatisation of the prosecution's case...)

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:01 (twenty-two years ago)

I am fascinated by "knowledge" which does not yet have evidentiary justification, is I guess why I watched this and why it gripped me: the sense that ppl on the floor while the programme was still in progress had of "something's up here but i have no idea what"

Mostly I felt ppl's rationalisations of this intuition were not to the point: after-the-fact rejigging in favour of the actual tales of the clues unfolding

We most of us have tremendously sensitive antenna for jinks and jags in the behaviour of others — and yet we seem to have desperately poor language for exporing it.

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:05 (twenty-two years ago)

We most of us have tremendously sensitive antenna for jinks and jags in the behaviour of others

true. it must be a psychological adaptation that helped us survive/reproduce back in the day in our ancestral environment.

Sébastien Chikara (Sébastien Chikara), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:11 (twenty-two years ago)

I watched it in the pub last night, and at times it was the quietest I've ever seen a pub full of people (I've never seen an England match featuring a penalty shoot-out in a pub, mind). Still, maybe it was just the influence of the obviously biased doc, but I find it quite easy to see how people were suspicious, especially every time the Major changed his mind (ie the A1/Craig David question).

The question is how much of this is due to actual knowledge that something was up, and how much is vague engrained tendancy to be suspicious of people, especially those who appear to be doing very well at things (record-breaking sportsmen, political conspiracy theories etc) that was subsequently proved to be justified in this sense.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:16 (twenty-two years ago)

"in this sense" = "in this case", obv.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:17 (twenty-two years ago)

Intuition = sixth sense = telepathy? Becoming sensitive to the fluctuating electronic pulses in people's brains and electro-magnetic fields? Noticing that the Major is behaving MIGHTY weird and was shite in the first prog. up to £4k (or however much). I didn't watch it but should've, though now I know Bashir presented it I am glad I didn't. Tarrant didn't think anything was up, did he? Mr Tecwen Whittock on R5Live yesterday was v. v. shaky when asked to actually deny that he'd cheated rather than just refute the evidence.

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:25 (twenty-two years ago)

I couldn't have been the only person wondering why the coughing dude who knew all the answers wasn't in the hotseat and not the Major?

Matt DC (Matt DC), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:27 (twenty-two years ago)

Wasn't he a potential contestant though? Maybe the plan was for whoever did the test fastest to be helped out by the other two. Good point though Matt. Would've been a fuck of a lot easier, even if he didn't know who designed Paris.

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:31 (twenty-two years ago)

yes i agree he was behaving quite strangely esp. towards the end BUT eg Tarrant said "I didn't suspect for a second, I just tht he was barking" (also, a comment made not quite so explicitly: "plus I also tht his wife was a total monster and he wz pussywhipped")

sebastien i guess i am wondering eg also abt actually real physical pointers like SMELL, which all but the anosmic surely respond to (i have always assumed it is the main mechanism in dowsing for example)

haha the whole office just started debating it

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:37 (twenty-two years ago)

sorry multi-crossposting

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:39 (twenty-two years ago)

not telepathy no, just other ways of reading behaviour than we are comfortable with: faces changing in an indescribable way, tension in a body etc etc

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:41 (twenty-two years ago)

comfortable with producing it as reliable evidence, for example

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:42 (twenty-two years ago)

haha our designer just suggested that the ingrams £50,000 debt = their phonebill for actually getting onto the programme!!

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:45 (twenty-two years ago)

I didn't believe most of the production types when they said they smelt a rat. But his behaviour was very noticably different from other successful players of the game (making him a spectacularly useless cheat). It was this that they were picking up on I guess.

Richard Jones (scarne), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:48 (twenty-two years ago)

a poor argument:
"he does not know who audrey out of coronation street's daughter is" = "he cannot know what a googol is"

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:50 (twenty-two years ago)

mark s : yesyes i was on real physical pointers.
we seem to have desperately poor language for exporing it.
a job needing a rich language for exploring it would be, like, fbi agents specialized in interrogation, who probably have courses inspired by evol. psy, cybernetic and the work done @ palo alto etc on this type of body language.

Sébastien Chikara (Sébastien Chikara), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:56 (twenty-two years ago)

yeah...not so much what he did do [although he did [a few times] immediately say 'I think this and none of the others' only to do a complete and unqualified u-turn before answering] but more what he didn't do. the absence of actually considering the possibility of losing. never saying 'this is a lot of money--it is a big risk--I will do it anyway...but I am crazy to.'

I think it must've been really weird there. the weird things he was saying/doing, the normal things he wasn't saying/doing. and if you'd noticed the coughs. haha.

he would've gotten away with it, too. if he hadn't been so stupid/had been a better actor.

[p.s. anyone that knows anything about magnitude knows nano=v. small, mega=big, giga=bigger. if not knowing the actually powers of ten. but you already know that.]

RJG (RJG), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:58 (twenty-two years ago)

I actually thought that last question was ridiculously easy for the kind of big money riding on it, although this may just be me being abnormal for finding out what a googol is at the age of seven.

His wife's body language, especially when coughing, kind of gave things away as well.

Matt DC (Matt DC), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 13:59 (twenty-two years ago)

i would imagine those kinds of courses make it harder to rely on yr intuitions not easier (partly bcz you have to translate yr specialist knowledge into non-specialist language at trial: to convince a layperson that yr grounded hunch is not merely one individual's prejudice...)

a good story abt this = "the mistake of the machine" in the father brown stories

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 14:00 (twenty-two years ago)

ts: "moral evidence" vs "forensic evidence" (this is what all the father brown stories are basically about)

the ingrams's conviction is based on NO unassailable forensic evidence: it's *all* variations of "they are this kind of person = they would never have behaved in such-and-such a way in such-and-such a circumstance"

we all make this kind of judgment all the time, and absolutely rely on it: it is odd the feeling one has of it turning to airy nothing under the microscope

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 14:15 (twenty-two years ago)

internal "lie detector test" is a more precise concept than intuition to talk about this module.
I don't think of knowledge as a nuisance that clogs one's "good savage" sensibility. When a concept is elegant, covers a lot of ground and explain real phenomenons it rings true: at the trial they would have to show how the suspect acted like a nervous monkey or something, i dunno.

Sébastien Chikara (Sébastien Chikara), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 14:33 (twenty-two years ago)

This intuition tale is a fake. My theory is that there were a bunch of meddling kids, without whom they would have got away with it.

If you've ever watched Darren Brown (of I've remembered the name right - I did start a thread about him), he has an astounding ability to read people's reactions. There was one where he was blindfolded and in a different room, and he could tell whether the person at the other end (a much-decorated army officer) was lying, without error. I can't tell how he does it, but it has to come from these kind of cues, hints of tightness in the voice, micro-expressions, trying to hard to be convincing, all sorts of little things like that. (If I were an advertising agency, I'd pay him an absolute fortune to work for me! He can use these abilities to persuade and even control too.)

Martin Skidmore (Martin Skidmore), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 15:59 (twenty-two years ago)

internal "lie detector test" is a more precise concept than intuition to talk about this module

Yes, maybe: I mainly think it's interesting that we have this feeling we all share — "something is weird about this" — which we all kind of recognise but don't have an agreed name for. After all, the Major in this instance *wasn't* lying exactly: one of the weird things is that he was actually — in the course of his endless rambling answers — telling a lot of the truth: he very early on announced that he now had a strategy, and he was very open about the fact that his decisions were not based on things he knew about or had heard about. And the people who guessed something was wrong DIDN'T have oodles of arcane specialist knowledge to back them up: and the specialist knowledge they did have — ie a very close working knowledge of how the game had worked previously — was not one they could particularly use in court (because they gained this knowledge by working for the firm which stands to gain by ingrams's conviction...)

I don't think of knowledge as a nuisance that clogs one's "good savage" sensibility

Maybe not, but then by calling it "knowledge" you're prejudging the issue. nuisance = a very good description of some briefly trendy chunk of non-knowledge which everyone involved happens to believe is true (viz that the xyy chromosome produced violent psychopaths, a biological "fact" which was fashionable for a while in the 60s and late 70s). "good savage" is a comical piece of knockabout argument, but almost the entire British legal system is based on the idea that a jury of 12 ordinary people have to be persuaded = arcane knowledge MUST be translated into terms convincing to those w/o this knowledge. Awe before the expertise of the powerful is not a good substitute for common sense. Miscarriages of justice as often as not relate either to "nuisance-knowledge" (ie experts claiming to have proved something they have not proved) or evidence kept from a jury bcz their "good savage" (= common sense) sensibility wd read it differently to the expert's reading.

I think I found this (basically terrible) documentary interesting bcz the clumsiness of the translation from one species of knowledge to another was so very clumsy.

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 16:05 (twenty-two years ago)

"common sense" made me think of the cyc a.i. effort
"The knowledge base is built upon a core of over 1,000,000 hand-entered assertions (or "rules") designed to capture a large portion of what we normally consider consensus knowledge about the world. "

more on your comments later maybe

Sébastien Chikara (Sébastien Chikara), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 17:13 (twenty-two years ago)

what i didnt get was the coughing guy somehow actually took the seat after the Major but he only got £1000 - what the hell happened there?

stevem (blueski), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 17:19 (twenty-two years ago)

actually what the Ingrams were building was a kind of AI machine designed to win Who Wants to be a Millionaire when the person in the hotseat doesn't know anything except how to read...

of course what they ended up building was an Artificial Stupidity machine which could be spotted and stopped by people who didn't know the answers or how the machine worked...

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 17:23 (twenty-two years ago)

what the documentary and the police investigation missed that that Tecwen W had a guy sitting behind him who knew ALL the answers who wz quietly farting whenver the correct ones came up

sadly when he moved into the hotseat TW could no longer make out the giveaway smells over the stench of tarrant's eau-de-cologne

mark s (mark s), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 17:25 (twenty-two years ago)

I think I found this (basically terrible) documentary interesting bcz the clumsiness of the translation from one species of knowledge to another was so very clumsy.

In the end up, the documentary was so gauche to the point that you could see the bits that just weren't translated.

Cozen (Cozen), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 20:18 (twenty-two years ago)

I like the comparison w/ Father Brown - this really was 'the tale of the disgraced Major'. The English are esp. 'sensitive' to the idea of the 'posh' fraud - see Raffles, or Fawlty Towers - and class, of course, is another of those hush-hush Millionaire 'themes'.

Andrew L (Andrew L), Tuesday, 22 April 2003 20:29 (twenty-two years ago)

Aye, 'posh' people are the only ones who win big, and then there's almost a sense of distaste, like "they don't need the money"; as if that somehow stops them wanting the money more than a 'non-posh' person. And yet we also have this thing in Britain wherebye when a 'working class' person wins big on the lottery there's almost a tangible sense of "oh well, they'll just waste it" as if they can't be trusted with money because they've not grown up with it. It's the respect for old-money thing which is a barrier to education-and-hard-work-inspired social mobility; no one wants to work for it, just win it or cheat or or inherit it.

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 08:12 (twenty-two years ago)

this is prob skewing the thread a bit but i always thought yr 'lady if you have to ask' thread on ilm was better suited here ("hhhm well could she have known about said obscure technical nonsense?! zzzz" = point missed) because understandably on ilx there is a tremendous drive to interrogate lazy constructs that are taken for granted, and generally the belief that every writer must have in order to function it seems is that everything must be wholly explicable. but as woolly sounding as it is i do wonder if some "things" (urgh, sigh) are beyond exegesis, maybe a sort of pop magic dog-whistle, glossolalia over rhetoric... intuition over evidence

or yeah, maybe just the sound of a rheumy-eyed brain clicking off :)

barthes would have made something good up

Chip Morningstar (bob), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 08:59 (twenty-two years ago)

I'm still with electrical-pulse-field sensitivity being interpretable as telepathy, myself.

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:02 (twenty-two years ago)

yeah but no one can write abt dreampop oceanic whorl blah about that corny theory! electrical pulses are pretty embarassing to chew over in the pub

Chip Morningstar (bob), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:10 (twenty-two years ago)

I dunno, I've done it!

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:14 (twenty-two years ago)

I was under the impression that the Major's helper was chatting to the other contestants about what the answers were, and hence he was able to help him so easily.

I think it would be possible if you worked on the show to think something was up. Also it's hardly as though they're fabricating this, unless all the stories of the producer being called etc are all lies too.

Ronan (Ronan), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:17 (twenty-two years ago)

Wait a minute, surely it would seem the most suspicious to someone sitting next to a person who coughed during the right answers? I'm guessing it must have been particularly loud to be heard from the chair.

Note: almost all I know about this I read on this thread.

Andrew Farrell (afarrell), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:25 (twenty-two years ago)

Yes one of the others got wise to it, but it took him a while to be sure. I'd imagine he was a key witness.

Ronan (Ronan), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:30 (twenty-two years ago)

the dude sitting right next to him, who helped him answer the paris-planner/anthony eden-item of clothing questions, said he didn't think anything was wrong and when his son said "he was at it, dad," after the show, the old guy said he said "...do you think so?"

RJG (RJG), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:35 (twenty-two years ago)

No that guy did say he was a bit suspicious, at least that's how I remember it.

Ronan (Ronan), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:38 (twenty-two years ago)

I remember him remembering it differently to how it happened, too.

like. they played the tapes of tec asking about paris and the guy telling him and tec saying "I thought so." and then coughing. and then the guy said "no, I remember him asking but it was after the question had been answered and he said "did you know that?"."

RJG (RJG), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:47 (twenty-two years ago)

there were two other guys further away from tec who didn't clap when MCI 'won.' they were banging on in this show about how they 'knew' something was up.

RJG (RJG), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:48 (twenty-two years ago)

no the documentary ppl said that guy had said he was suspicious: he didn't, not exactly...

if the documentary had been totally confident their version of events was unassailable, they'd have shown the whole of the defence version: they chickened out = the proesecution story has confusions and breakdowns

i believe the major etc wz guilty as sin btw, i wz just fascinated by what counted as evidence and how: for example, when he took the phonecall from celador that they taped and they said "we think you were cheating and we're not going to pay" he replied "oh right ok er er er i mean i refute that claim of course" => he was totally expecting the call and expecting to be caught (cf father brown passim heh) and responded accordingly => he wasn't shocked or outraged or angry or upset

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:56 (twenty-two years ago)

But they were shocked by that, and did mention it, or is that what you're saying?

Ronan (Ronan), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 09:59 (twenty-two years ago)

I don't know if it wz evidence in the trial: it wz GOOD evidence in the doc, almost the only time you felt "well they couldn't have doctored that" or "but s/he's just saying that, s/he might be lying or mistaken" (where bashir is involved, i suspect everyone)

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:09 (twenty-two years ago)

The evidence of how they behaved after, ie a massive fight, was also quite good surely.

Ronan (Ronan), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:11 (twenty-two years ago)

yes except it was relayed entirely second-hand: and mainly by the security guy who i found the least convincing witness for the prosecution, he always sounded like he was telling the story he'd been told to tell, not things he'd actually observed and had thoughts abt himself

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:13 (twenty-two years ago)

of course if you were going to invent how they behaved weirdly afterwards, wd you think of a massive fight?

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:14 (twenty-two years ago)

No I would think of them morphing back into lizard form at the interdimensional portal.


I think coupled with the wife's reaction, it is quite plausible.

What do you think were the reasons they "knew something was up"? I mean it seems clear they did, because producers were notified etc.

Ronan (Ronan), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:21 (twenty-two years ago)

also coupled with the fact that the wife is (or anyway comes across in TV shorthand as) a 33rd Degree Saurian Termagent!!

I thiunk the first to formulate their suspicions caught a whiff of something palpable but hard to describe: like maybe how the audience as a whole were not quite responding as usual? I think oddness wd have been magnified by that: there'd have been an unusual kind of tension or mood, even noises. If the ppl who claimed they noticed something was up all noticed it, then others noticed it too — and still others wd have been responding to the unconscious response to this, w/o knowing what it was they were responding too.

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:32 (twenty-two years ago)

one of the most interesting things one of the researchers said was that in the control room, at the win, ppl "didn't know how to react" => unconscious certainty something was amiss + conscious awareness of no good evidence = paralysis

the floor manager was certain enough to act, but he also totally passed the buck of decision, to someone who wasn't even there!

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 10:35 (twenty-two years ago)

saw bits of the doc but I didn't like have the stomach for it. really terrible.

Well the production ppl have a few series worth of experience in doing these millionaire shows. they have a pretty good idea how the contestants behave when q's are asked.

The major's behaviour (the way he would dramatically change his ans) surely gave these ppl a clue that something was wrong. The audience w/ their reaction as well (as you point out mark).

Tarrant didn't notice anything bcz he was surely concentrating on the job. and even if he did I think he would have (unconciously) suppressed any suspicions.

Julio Desouza (jdesouza), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 11:03 (twenty-two years ago)

Maybe lots of people in the audience felt something was up but didn't react because it's not the done thing? Either a; "they can't possibly be cheating" or b; "I'm sure someone else will do something, let's go home and drink sherry".

Nick Southall (Nick Southall), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 11:39 (twenty-two years ago)

The audience reaction (haha a man who hasn't followed the case or seen the show opines!) might not have been down to suspicion of cheating. Normally the audience can identify with the contestant, know how they feel when unsure, understand the shifts and hesitations and fears and doubts, but the major's reactions and thinking aloud seem to have been utterly different from the usual, so maybe all empathy was lost.

Martin Skidmore (Martin Skidmore), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 16:03 (twenty-two years ago)

If I understand correctly the major took over an hour to do his round, long pauses, hesitations, retractions etc.

One of the things which I don't think was mentioned was the fact that by taking so long he was stopping the other contestants having a crack at winning the million. If you sitting watching him take 10 minutes to answer a question a. you'll be pretty pissed off with him watching your chane slip away b. you'll probably start paying attention to what other people i.e Tec and his wife are up to.

Plus they're thinking he's a major? A leader of men, how can he be such a ditherer, this isn't what's expected from an officer. No wonder people were suspicious.

Billy Dods (Billy Dods), Wednesday, 23 April 2003 17:27 (twenty-two years ago)

Yeah I was just reading this thing about body language on the internet and they said 'by the way, there's no point trying to use any of this stuff to conceal your intentions because people are so expert at picking up minor variations it's obvious when you're faking'. (ie intuition is a series of pre-conscious judgments) (that you could possibly elaborate).

(But you can still learn about body language to try to judge if someone's lying or flirting or whatever - like you didn't know. It might come in handy in the case where you say to your friend, 'That girl was flirting with you,' and he's like, 'she was not,' even though you know he knows. You can say, 'Come on, she had her wrists opened towards you and she was touching her skirt!')

bedroom, Thursday, 24 April 2003 08:35 (twenty-two years ago)

i'm like: "that person was nice - i wonder if they like me"
friend: "they were so flirting with you!!"
mark s: "haha i never notice stuff like that"
friend: "did the actual real blowjob not give anything away!!??"
mark s: *makes international symbol of subtleties going over his head*

mark s (mark s), Thursday, 24 April 2003 08:39 (twenty-two years ago)

Ha ha. Plus, this makes your life sound soo glamorous.

bedroom, Saturday, 26 April 2003 22:57 (twenty-two years ago)

sadly it is made up

mark s (mark s), Sunday, 27 April 2003 10:56 (twenty-two years ago)

Have you ever watched the big poker championship games? The winner is whomever can disguise their feelings the best. It's not a test of luck or even knowing your probabilities - at such high levels all the players end up being even regarding knowledge of the cards and how to bet effectively - it's a test of reading others while remaining completely unreadable yourself. There are lots of ways of doing this, but it seems the tried-and-true expressionless dull-eyed stare is the most common amongst champions.

I have also read that research is being done into how we read body language, and how we can do it better - some scientist has actually developed a short training regimen which teaches people to become much better at decoding expressions with a tremendous degree of success (or at least one source says so).

I believe the term 'intuition' as it stands is simply a catch-all for a great deal of small things we pick up (perhaps involuntarily) using the standard suite of five senses that are then processed 'under the radar' of the conscious mind (in the way that most people do not break all songs down into arrangements and individual notes when they hear them, while even the most rudimentarily-schooled musicians tend to automatically do this).

As we continue to advance research into the ways we observe and interpret things outside of our linguistic capabilities for dissection and description and gradually systemize things like reading expressions, we will have more and more basis for using the left side of our brain to process the same information.

I wish I could find that face-reading research and some documentation on winning poker faces, I'd link to it.

Millar (Millar), Sunday, 27 April 2003 18:53 (twenty-two years ago)


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