US.gov kills another good internationalist idea.

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First Kyoto , then the AMB treaty now. The US goivernment has scuppered and IMF plan to institue a kind of bankruptcy protection to nation states that suffer financial crises. Witness argentina last year if it had had protection from its creditors for just a short while, its crisis might not have had nearly as severe consequences as have been observed.

US.gov killed off this plan using its large IMF block vote, presumably because Wall Street Banks make huge ammounts of money out of the expensive bail outs that inevitably have to happen. Making money out of the misery of people living in these countries. Once again short term greed triumphs over common sense, long term gain and the aspirations of ordinary people the world over.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 07:42 (twenty-two years ago)

I knew this was you. I HATE banks, nobody who works at one is on familiar terms with the common children's fairy tale, 'The Goose Who Laid The Golden Eggs'. I'm going back to sleep.

suzy (suzy), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 07:46 (twenty-two years ago)

Yes, everyone who works at a bank is a completely heartless asshole.

(good thing I'm losing my job next Friday.)

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:40 (twenty-two years ago)

Does every thread have to be about your job this week?!

Ally (mlescaut), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:44 (twenty-two years ago)

Hey, next week it all be about being unemployed. Maybe we should start a new board, ILHstencil.

Pete (Pete), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:46 (twenty-two years ago)

IBHstencil.

Dan Perry (Dan Perry), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:48 (twenty-two years ago)

uh I'd still post what I posted if I wasn't losing my job. Characterizing everybody who works in a particular industry = dud.

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:49 (twenty-two years ago)

not to mention that I really doubt that most "Wall Street Banks" make money off of IMF or World Bank bailouts considering most bailouts occur because "Wall Street Banks" lose their shirts in a given country. The bank that I work for doesn't do hardly any business in Argentina any more for this reason. When a country defaults on a loan, that means the creditors who lent it money take a loss.

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:52 (twenty-two years ago)

btw - I'm not opposed to this bankruptcy protection idea, or to the idea that most developing nations' debts should be forgiven.

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 13:58 (twenty-two years ago)

Yeah but Hstencil, its okay if the banks to make a loss, and go out of business, sacking all their employees cos there's loads of jobs for those people to go and get. I think that's what Ed was trying to say.

Pete (Pete), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:01 (twenty-two years ago)

well that clearly makes a lot of sense.

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:02 (twenty-two years ago)

When I say something like wall street banks, or us.gov for that matter, I am generally refering to the people at the top who run tings and employ lobbyists and the like.

I think that the banks feared that bankruptcy protection for countries could see them having to take cents on the dollar, or payment freezer which they wouldn't like, but I reckon in the long term its better for everyone than a massive default and the country equivalent of scrabbling down the back of the sofa to find money to pay the rent.

Genrally what happens now is the IMF hands over money to meet loan payments (to banks and countries) in exchange for financial strictures like closing schools and hospitals or firing civil servants in a rather short-termist knee jerk way. International protection from creditors would give a country a chance to belt tighten in a more considered and constructive way and the banks will just have to wait for their money.

Pete that's not what I was saying at all. One should ask who's making the money at banks, it sure isn't the employees, sure they get paid but that's not where the real money is. I can be fairly sure that hstencil's CEO has not taken a pay cut recently.

I'm not attacking the banks for the sake of attacking the big nasty banks, btu for there short term outlook on problems such as this. And the fact is the US government shot this proposal down and as always, especially with this government, you have to follow the money.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:11 (twenty-two years ago)

(Sorry Ed - I was joking to wind up hstencil. I know pretty much what you meant).

Pete (Pete), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:15 (twenty-two years ago)

uh, but Ed why would banks be opposed to taking cents on the dollar as opposed to a default where they don't get anything?

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:17 (twenty-two years ago)

When a country defaults, the loan doesn't go away it just accrues and what's more the interest rates on a good deal of those loans will rise, leading to higher payments just as soon as the country has fired all its civil servants and got its bailout money from the IMF/World Bank/Concerned countries.

So say a couple of months of defaults followed by a bail out looks good on the balence sheet at the end of the year, whereas six months bankruptcy followed by cents on the dollar looks like a big hit on the balence sheet even if it mean that a revenue stream is secure years into the future.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:21 (twenty-two years ago)

I'm not convinced that's entirely the case, as loans can be restructured and whatnot. I'm obviously not an expert on how the IMF and World Bank work, but it doesn't seem to me that:

1. bailouts are automatic and guaranteed to happen (has Argentina been bailed out yet? Turkey fucked its chances on getting another loan because of crossing the U.S. over the Iraq war)...
and
2. these bailouts mean that money goes straight from the WB or IMF to the country then to the creditor. Those institutions have strict (if sometimes misguided) policies on reforms that need to be in place before they bail out a country.

Also, while I have sympathy for citizens in Argentina, I don't have much sympathy for civil servants who may lose their jobs, as they've clearly let their people down. Let's not pretend that Argentina's problems are entirely due to outside forces - economic mismanagement has been a problem there for ages. Not to mention that I don't think electing Peronistas is gonna help, either.

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:29 (twenty-two years ago)

Don't forget that the civil servants that get fired or the pay cuts are people like doctors, teachers, dustmen.

Bailouts do not necessarily happen but they often do and the money does generally go to sating the slavering jaws of creditors (not always banks sometimes its a neighboring country that needs money for something that it sold the defaulting country). But the reforms and bailouts tend to be kneejerk reactions caused by crises built up over years. There is no international mechanism for a country to say, 'look we're having some difficulties, can we gain protection to sort some stuff out'. Corporations seek chapter 11 (Administration, UK) to restructure, so why shouldn't countries. it seems reasnoble to me. If Argentina had been able to seek protection when its Peso-Dollar peg started to go wrong there would have been less upheaval with in the country (5 finance ministers (or was it presidents) in 2 months).

If a country is able to seek protection then there is a better chance that everyone will get their money back sooner. Which is of course not what banks want, ideally a bank wants a loan to go on for ever with the interest being taken care of. Anything that makes it easier for countries to reduce their debt burden is not good for banks as it will hit their revenues.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:41 (twenty-two years ago)

uh, but, uh

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:46 (twenty-two years ago)

yeah see I agree with you on bankruptcy protection for countries, I'm just not entirely convinced as to whose fault it is that the U.S. nixed it.

hstencil, Wednesday, 21 May 2003 14:47 (twenty-two years ago)

Ed do you have a blog?

chester (synkro), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 15:38 (twenty-two years ago)

no, not for a while. Let me graduate and I may restart it, why do you ask?

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 16:41 (twenty-two years ago)

Because he is interested in your beliefs and would like to subscribe to your newsletter.

jm (jtm), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 16:46 (twenty-two years ago)

I plan to restart mid june.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 16:51 (twenty-two years ago)

(Sorry Hstencil, my bank is full of cunts and morons from the call centre all the way up and this thead comes at a time when I am hyper-aware of this fact).

suzy (suzy), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 16:53 (twenty-two years ago)

Also it is hard to find liberal weblogs with an actual knowledgable economic focus.

Save yourself the printing costs of a newsletter, I'll just read the blog.

chester (synkro), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 17:37 (twenty-two years ago)

Anything that makes it easier for countries to reduce their debt burden is not good for banks as it will hit their revenues.

Exactly, which is why most countries don't bother reducing their debt unless they absolutely must. However, for every country that pleads "Chapter 11", someone else still ends up paying....

Nichole Graham (Nichole Graham), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 19:40 (twenty-two years ago)

Hit the bank's revenues.

Its will be the big banks and the rich countries which is as it should be. I'm sure the IMF wouldn't make it easy to do.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 19:47 (twenty-two years ago)

how many countries had approved kyoto before bush ditched it? 0.
what have been the reprecussions fo scrapping the abm? none.
the imf is a serious disaster, but allowing bankruptcy protection for third world countries with profligate spending is a stupid idea. argentina spent extravagantly like most depressed nationalized states, their industry is inefficient and their government is corrupt, why should they be protected?

keith (keithmcl), Wednesday, 21 May 2003 23:57 (twenty-two years ago)

Europeans are from Venus, Americans are from Mars?

N. (nickdastoor), Thursday, 22 May 2003 00:02 (twenty-two years ago)

Fuck internationalism, fuck foreign aid, fuck bailouts.
Fuck sending a percentage of my weekly paycheck (no matter
how small, and filted down through various levels of
buearocracy) to foreign governments who can't pay their bills.

squirl plise (Squirrel_Police), Thursday, 22 May 2003 02:51 (twenty-two years ago)

now there's a rational and well-thought-out argument.

hstencil, Thursday, 22 May 2003 02:53 (twenty-two years ago)

More-so than you think, smug little man.

splise (Squirrel_Police), Thursday, 22 May 2003 02:55 (twenty-two years ago)

right.

hstencil, Thursday, 22 May 2003 03:15 (twenty-two years ago)

keith, the UK government and all other EU had not only ratified kyoto but inistitued stronger european level restrictions on greenhouse emissions. Targhets which the UK is meeting without any adverse effect on economic growth.

Abrogating the ABM is probably one of the key causes of North Korea restarting its Nuclear Weapons and Missile programmes.

Aiding foriegn development helps us all . If we help devlop the economies of the poorest nations that improves the global economic outlook.

We offer bankruptcy protection to the most badly managed and corrupt corporations so why not to countries where peoples lives, even more than just their livelihoods are at stake.

Global poverty is the key cause of terrorism, war, refugees, and asylum seekers. If we can solve the problems of global poverty we can solve many of the problems that currently concern us.

Furthermore it is a moral duty to help those less fortunate than ourselves.

Ed (dali), Thursday, 22 May 2003 06:13 (twenty-two years ago)


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