BATTERS
(most likely to most definitely)Barry Bonds - no explanation necessaryRickey Henderson - dittoSammy Sosa - probably gonna get to 650+ HRs one way or anotherFrank Thomas - couple of MVP awards (maybe a third this year?), insanely great hitter in the '90sJeff Bagwell - crazy mix of patience, power, speed, avgRafael Palmeiro - the most stealthy creep to the 500 HR mark everMike Piazza - amazing hitter, too bad about the defenseAlex Rodriguez - might have financially crippled the Rangers but might be worth itDerek Jeter - a handful of World Series titles, clutch play, fine hitterRoberto Alomar - spitting and turning into Alfredo Griffin shouldn't hinder his chances too muchKen Griffey, Jr. - will he get to 500 HR? unluckiest bastard on the planet, should still slip into the Hall either wayNomar Garciaparra - He's a great hitter, like Jeter w/more power, better average, better defense.Ivan Rodriguez - amazing defense, not too shabby with the bat either
(maybe?)Todd Helton - He hasn't been around for long but you've gotta believe playing in Coors for another ten years will make him look really good. or will it hurt his chances?Edgar Martinez - Best righthanded swing I've ever seen. hard to say though, his stats don't totally add up and he didn't bust loose until 8-9 years agoFred McGriff - The guy has been about as consistent as you can get, usually hitting 30-35 HR per year and knocking in 100-105 ever since '87 or something. Hit his peak power before the power surge in the '90s. Should get to 500. First 500 guy not in HOF?Roberto Alomar - spat on an ump then suddenly began channeling Alfredo Griffin. still a shoe-in?Craig Biggio - I read some stuff about how he was the best player in the '90s, based in terms of speed, OBP, power, etc. Does he deserve it?Larry Walker - three batting titles, legendary arm, great speed, MVP...and of course Denver and injuries. hmm...Jason Giambi - The lefty Frank Thomas up until this year, circa '91-'97Jeff Kent - If only because of the relative shortage of 2nd basemen who have power. MVP winner too, though Bonds shoulda won.Bernie Williams - a really good Yankee CF, won some titles, etc. could be enough.Jim Thome - I was surprised to see this guy closing in on 400 HR already.Vladimir Guerrero - This guy will hit anything and hit it far. Gary Sheffield - This guy's still only 34 or something, he's been around forever. Carlos Delgado - Kinda like Thome, quietly putting together a great careerManny Ramirez - Huge RBI numbers, great power and average. Weird guy though, not exactly Mr. PersonalityJuan Gonzalez - Probably not, but you never know.Ichiro - I mean, I think they might induct him even if he retires in 3-4 years. Just based on his playing in Japan and impact here. Maybe.
PITCHERS
Clemens, Big Unit, Maddux, Glavine...yeah, no doubt.
Pedro? Like the righthanded Koufax, he is. Might last a little longer though...
Mussina? If he keeps it up another 6-7 years I think so.
Mulder, Hudson, Zito...who knows? I'll bet at least one of them makes it.
If Wells and Moyer keep pitching til they're 47..hmm...
Kevin Brown - I'm gonna have to say no, though if he puts together 3 more great years that would be yes.
Curt Schilling - He wasn't HOF great until three years ago and he's getting up there...probably not.
Prior, Wood....we'll see.
And of course all those damn relievers. Who the hell knows? Your guess is as good as mine.
(p.s. Javy Lopez should get in for what he's done for my fantasy team this year)
― ham on rye (ham on rye), Thursday, 11 September 2003 09:12 (twenty-two years ago)
― J0hn Darn1elle (J0hn Darn1elle), Thursday, 11 September 2003 11:03 (twenty-two years ago)
Frank Thomas - couple of MVP awards (maybe a third this year?), insanely great hitter in the '90s
The first half of the 90's. Huge dropoff and several BAD seasons mean no HOF
Derek Jeter - a handful of World Series titles, clutch play, fine hitter
The only reason he's really making it is because every Yankee team needs to have someone from a dynasty in the Hall. He needs a number of better seasons and an MVP or two.
Ken Griffey, Jr. - will he get to 500 HR? unluckiest bastard on the planet, should still slip into the Hall either way
Nope.
Todd Helton
It will be very hard for any Coors-based field player to make it in just because of Home-Road splits. Most BBWAA members are smart enough to look at numbers like that these days.
Edgar Martinez -
He's closer than Griffey
Fred McGriff - First 500 guy not in HOF?
Yes.
Roberto Alomar - spat on an ump then suddenly began channeling Alfredo Griffin. still a shoe-in?
Craig Biggio - I read some stuff about how he was the best player in the '90s, based in terms of speed, OBP, power, etc. Does he deserve it?Larry Walker - three batting titles, legendary arm, great speed, MVP...and of course Denver and injuries. hmm...
Coors thing... Wasn't he a Brewer at some point?
Jason Giambi - The lefty Frank Thomas up until this year, circa '91-'97
This season is a wash for his average. After he had the eye surgery he's hitting .320 or something like that.
Jeff Kent
A boring choice to not make it in.
Bernie Williams - a really good Yankee CF, won some titles, etc. could be enough.
Nope. Not when you have Andrw Jones out there.
Jim Thome - I was surprised to see this guy closing in on 400 HR already.
Already at 34 years old. He's probably going to break down sometime soon -- he has a bad back, doesn't he?
Vladimir Guerrero - This guy will hit anything and hit it far.
Still too young to call. Gary Sheffield
cf. Crime Dog
Carlos Delgado
No, no, no, no...
Manny Ramirez - Huge RBI numbers, great power and average. Weird guy though, not exactly Mr. Personality
He's in if he does well for the team he's on next year. He's Albert Belle without the threat of violence.
Juan Gonzalez
Pussy. < / Google >
Ichiro - I mean, I think they might induct him even if he retires in 3-4 years. Just based on his playing in Japan and impact here. Maybe.
Very possible in a Clemente (without the horrible ending) way
― ModJ, Thursday, 11 September 2003 12:11 (twenty-two years ago)
― Kris (aqueduct), Thursday, 11 September 2003 14:29 (twenty-two years ago)
Helton currently has the 27th highest career batting average of all time (.333). If he keeps it up, it will be hard to ignore him, Coors Field or not.
Barry Larkin, who retires this year, should get some sentimental HOF votes -- more for playing on the same team for 18 years than for his MVP or World Series ring -- but will come up short, I think.
― jaymc (jaymc), Thursday, 11 September 2003 14:43 (twenty-two years ago)
And if you are going that way, you can't ignore Pujols.
― felicity (felicity), Thursday, 11 September 2003 16:21 (twenty-two years ago)
― dyson (dyson), Thursday, 11 September 2003 16:28 (twenty-two years ago)
― gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 11 September 2003 16:36 (twenty-two years ago)
I was thinking about starting a NL Cy Young thread. There is a small chance that Prior could win, but only if the Cubs make the playoffs. He also needs to win at least 17, I should think. (He's at 15 now.) The big question, of course, is do you just give it to Gagne and be done with it?
― jaymc (jaymc), Thursday, 11 September 2003 16:52 (twenty-two years ago)
― felicity (felicity), Thursday, 11 September 2003 16:55 (twenty-two years ago)
― dyson (dyson), Thursday, 11 September 2003 16:56 (twenty-two years ago)
Felicity, where have you been?! It took the baseball threads to bring you out of hiding!
― Mr. Diamond (diamond), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:00 (twenty-two years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:00 (twenty-two years ago)
I was busy voting in Cook County elections -- early and often, you know. But I am going of of my mind with Chicago baseball.
― felicity (felicity), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:02 (twenty-two years ago)
― dyson (dyson), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:08 (twenty-two years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:11 (twenty-two years ago)
― Mr. Diamond (diamond), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:22 (twenty-two years ago)
― Mr. Diamond (diamond), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:26 (twenty-two years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:30 (twenty-two years ago)
― gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:33 (twenty-two years ago)
ok, I'm going to stop the running commentary now..
― Mr. Diamond (diamond), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:46 (twenty-two years ago)
― gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 11 September 2003 17:55 (twenty-two years ago)
re: Helton, he's hitting something like .335 for his career. And he's signed w/Denver through 2009 or something, right? Shouldn't be mistaken for Dante Bichette or Vinny Castilla...
Griffey still gets in, because when he was at his peak, he was the best player in the game. But he's certainly not a shoo-in anymore...
My Cubs bias made me list Prior...might as well talk about Pujols who is of course still young. There's a chance he could win the triple crown, though...
― ham on rye (ham on rye), Thursday, 11 September 2003 18:13 (twenty-two years ago)
Bill Meuller, if the Bo Sox make it.
― ModJ, Thursday, 11 September 2003 18:35 (twenty-two years ago)
― gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 11 September 2003 18:39 (twenty-two years ago)
― Mr Noodles (Mr Noodles), Thursday, 11 September 2003 18:48 (twenty-two years ago)
After what's happened to Griffey and Belle, I ain't predicting HOF status for anyone that's had less than 10 years of ML service (& that includes ARod). I'd go dig up some article about the Bill James HOF criteria check, but I have to do, um, stuff.
PS: AL MVP = Tim Hudson (or the Bill James / Theo Epstein braintrust)
― David R. (popshots75`), Thursday, 11 September 2003 18:51 (twenty-two years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Thursday, 11 September 2003 19:13 (twenty-two years ago)
― Mr Noodles (Mr Noodles), Thursday, 11 September 2003 20:24 (twenty-two years ago)
Leee to thread!!!!
― gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 11 September 2003 20:30 (twenty-two years ago)
Of course not being dominant at his position probably won't hurt Palmeiro, who might get both 3,000 hits and 600 HR if he keeps it up another couple of years.
― ham on rye (ham on rye), Thursday, 11 September 2003 22:30 (twenty-two years ago)
― gygax! (gygax!), Thursday, 11 September 2003 22:37 (twenty-two years ago)
― Mr. Diamond (diamond), Thursday, 11 September 2003 22:40 (twenty-two years ago)
― ham on rye (ham on rye), Friday, 12 September 2003 04:56 (twenty-two years ago)
― Leee (Leee), Friday, 12 September 2003 05:53 (twenty-two years ago)
The fookin' Mariners should be drawn & quartered for dicking around w/ Edgar Martinez back in the days when Jim Presley was sucking ass for the Tridents. EM missed 3 years, age 24-26 - that's potentially another 100 HRs, 300 runs, 300 RBIs, etc etc etc. Had he those years under his belt in addition to what he's accomplished, there'd be no doubt of his HOF credentials.
― David R. (popshots75`), Friday, 12 September 2003 06:43 (twenty-two years ago)
― Bruce Urquhart (Bruce Urquhart), Friday, 12 September 2003 07:05 (twenty-two years ago)
Now what will you say if Johnny Viagra gets to those other plateaus?? He could quite conceivably finish in the top ten in RBIs and HR w/3000 hits.
― ham on rye (ham on rye), Friday, 12 September 2003 08:47 (twenty-two years ago)