Mandatory military service C or D, or...

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"Oh shit! I think I'm pro-draft!"

Due to gathering personal fear that our military is about to go banana republic on our asses (see http://www.newsday.com/news/opinion/ny-vppin3494396oct14,0,7265251.column?coll=ny-viewpoints-headlines ), I have actually begun to support this idea more strongly than in the past. My dad was a naval officer (and my grandfather too), so I get to hear a lot of conversation and some email, and I strongly suspect that there was one nearly-democrat in the military (esp. in the officer corps), and now he's running for president. I'm hoping y'all can talk me out of this position, but I'm thinking the only way to get a true cross section of people in there is by making service a requirement. Yeah, I know this is one of those "if we have a draft, the terrorists have already won" issues. And I've seen http://www.straightdope.com/classics/a1_140b.html too, so maybe we need to change the constitution (*collective gasp*). Um, and make it cost _ONE BILLLLL-YON DOLLARS_ to buy your kid out of it. That will help the deficit, and not deplete the pool too much.

Hunter (Hunter), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:05 (twenty-two years ago)

Dud. The rich and powerful will always be able to evade a draft.

hstencil, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:17 (twenty-two years ago)

I don't think governments should conscript people against their will; it's just not a power I think they should have or use.

Sam J. (samjeff), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:22 (twenty-two years ago)

I've been thinking a lot about this too, and although I dislike the draft, I also have a problem with the way military service is set up today. It seems like it used to be expected for the sons of prominent families to spend some time in the military, like real time. I think this led to a more well-rounded political and social elite. (I'm not happy about the way the elite run the country, but it's a fact of life, and we may as well try to have the best elite class we can!)

I think we would make more sane decisions about where to send our troops if there were more rich boys in the infantry, and if girls were included as well.

teeny (teeny), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:23 (twenty-two years ago)

It's slavery - you're compelled to serve against your will.

I'm pretty much anti-slavery all the way around.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:24 (twenty-two years ago)

Dud.

luna (luna.c), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:27 (twenty-two years ago)

It should be like in Germany, where you have the choice between joining the army or a civilian service program.

fletrejet, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:30 (twenty-two years ago)

exactly!! make it mandatory to do 16 months of either military, Americorps, Peace Corps, or Habitat for Humanity, stuff like that, and I think you'd really have something

we'd have about 1,000,000,000,000,000,000 more homes for poor people and aqueducts in 3rd-world countries and good stuff like that PLUS all that character-building crap

Bush could have pushed thru a requirement like this in the wake of Sep 11 and no-one would have batted an eye

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:33 (twenty-two years ago)

It seems like it used to be expected for the sons of prominent families to spend some time in the military, like real time.

Oh like in the Vietnam era, when Dubya passed others on a waitlist to get into the Texas Air National Guard, then disappeared for a year?

Yes there have been a few in the "higher classes" that go to war, but in general I think it's way more the case that the rich evade service of any kind. That's why they called 'em the Draft Riots, back in the Civil War days....

hstencil, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:39 (twenty-two years ago)

In Germany, you're getting a free education out of it. And, I believe, you have a choice of not serving (and thus not getting your benefits), which makes it a voluntary action.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:40 (twenty-two years ago)

hstencil I don't get how your last sentence follows from the one before it.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:42 (twenty-two years ago)

Milo, do you believe that the gov should be able to tax you? That is indirectly "stealing" your labour. Why can the government take part of your labour directly?

fletrejet, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:48 (twenty-two years ago)

I'm not definitely against National Service, esp. if there are community-based alternatives. It would be bloody expensive though, and in this world of technology-driven warfare, it seems militarily unnecessary.

N. (nickdastoor), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:49 (twenty-two years ago)

Tracer's first post is totally OTM.

Ally-zay, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:51 (twenty-two years ago)

If you could do Habitat for Humanity for a year, wouldn't that result in the same, or a similar, sort of wealth distribution in the military, just with the added circumstance that a lot of houses were getting built?

Maria (Maria), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 17:57 (twenty-two years ago)

1. The well-off will always be able to stay out of harm's way if they so choose, draft or no draft.

2. Conscripts and draftees are fucking terrible soldiers by and large. They desert, go AWOL, break rules and don't care about doing the job right. Not to say we don't have more than enough jackasses in the military as is, but not nearly as many as if we started making everybody do 16-24 months of service. I don't even like to think about it. Conscripts are the guys shooting children in the Gaza Strip because they've been poorly trained and then sent to spend a bunch of time being ridiculously bored in "hostile" territory.

3. Starship Troopers.

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:01 (twenty-two years ago)

Nick the gov't is getting a workforce that numbers possibly in the millions! It would cost a lot to house and give stipends to all those people but the govmint wouldn't have to pay the mandatory kids the same as the sign-ups and career military guys. Ditto with all the public works projects, which could be run by organizations that already exist.

The long-term payoff to the country's infrastructure would be ENORMOUS, not to mention those of other far-flung countries that projects would be happening in.

"ask not what your country can do for you," etc; although that ain't really gwb's philosophy is it

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:02 (twenty-two years ago)

haha Maria what would Rand say!!

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:02 (twenty-two years ago)

tom otmfm

cinniblount (James Blount), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:03 (twenty-two years ago)

There are poor draft dodgers as well, FYI.

The funny thing is if I was given the choice that Tracer laid forth I'd join the damn Army. This is possibly unsurprising.

Ally-zay, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:03 (twenty-two years ago)

uh, Tracer (key point in bold):

"The nation is at this time in a state of Revolution, North, South, East, and West," wrote the Washington Times during the often violent protests that occurred after Abraham Lincoln issued the March 3, 1863, Enrollment Act of Conscription. Although demonstrations took place in many Northern cities, the riots that broke out in New York City were both the most violent and the most publicized.
With a large and powerful Democratic party operating in the city, a dramatic show of dissent had been long in the making. The state's popular governor, Democrat Horatio Seymour, openly despised Lincoln and his policies. In addition, the Enrollment Act shocked a population already tired of the two-year-old war.
By the time the names of the first draftees were drawn in New York City on July 11, reports about the carnage of Gettysburg had been published in city papers. Lincoln's call for 300,000 more young men to fight a seemingly endless war frightened even those who supported the Union cause. Moreover, the Enrollment Act contained several exemptions, including the payment of a "commutation fee" that allowed wealthier and more influential citizens to buy their way out of service.
Perhaps no group was more resentful of these inequities than the Irish immigrants populating the slums of northeastern cities. Poor and more than a little prejudiced against blacks-with whom they were both unfamiliar and forced to compete for the lowest-paying jobs-the Irish in New York objected to fighting on their behalf.
On Sunday, June 12, the names of the draftees drawn the day before by the Provost Marshall were published in newspapers. Within hours, groups of irate citizens, many of them Irish immigrants, banded together across the city. Eventually numbering some 50,000 people, the mob terrorized neighborhoods on the East Side of New York for three days looting scores of stores. Blacks were the targets of most attacks on citizens; several lynchings and beatings occurred. In addition, a black church and orphanage were burned to the ground.
All in all, the mob caused more than $1.5 million of damage. The number killed or wounded during the riot is unknown, but estimates range from two dozen to nearly 100. Eventually, Lincoln deployed combat troops from the Federal Army of the Potomac to restore order; they remained encamped around the city for several weeks. In the end, the draft raised only about 150,000 troops throughout the North, about three-quarters of them substitutes, amounting to just one-fifth of the total Union force.

Drafts used as a way to drive a wedge between different ethnicities that have poverty in common - BIG DUD.

hstencil, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:03 (twenty-two years ago)

Milo, do you believe that the gov should be able to tax you? That is indirectly "stealing" your labour. Why can the government take part of your labour directly?

Requires me, first, to buy into the "taxes are theft!!!" fallacy.

And second, requires that this be confined solely to "labour." It's not. Military service and "civilian alternatives" aren't a 9-5 community service effort. They are your life.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:05 (twenty-two years ago)

Well-off and well-connected kids have been going to the service academies for generations. This does not make them well-rounded, because the service academies are run by gung-ho big dick morons like my favorite one-star, Taco "What Rape Problem?" Gilbert.

Rich kid in the infantry = the guy with no friends in his own platoon.

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:07 (twenty-two years ago)

Totally agree with Tracer's first post. I would have no problem with being forced to join a civilian service org. You wouldn't even have to force me. Though it's probaby a lot better in theory than it would be in practice. (surprise surprise!)

oops (Oops), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:10 (twenty-two years ago)

i am pro this if being a contestant on time commanders = one of the options

mark s (mark s), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:11 (twenty-two years ago)

They are "your life" for a year or too.

And conscript armies are great as long as your troops are motivated (Napolean conquered most of europe with one).

fletrejet, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:12 (twenty-two years ago)

Lose the attitude, hstencil, I was just asking! It really wasn't clear in your first post. Thanks for clearing it up though.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:13 (twenty-two years ago)

(I think that was one of the parts of Gangs of New York that I blocked from my memory.)

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:14 (twenty-two years ago)

there are a few massive problems with the civil service thing. One: It's not the military but it's compulsory and contractual, so what do they do if you just don't show up in the morning or goldbrick your way through twelve months of 'work'? Can't exactly fire you. Harsh reprimands would seem insane, since it's all 'civil' service.

Also, people would be highly unlikely to stick around and make a career out of it, at least in the proportions necessary to generate a sufficient supervisory corps. All indians and no chiefs.

Third, do these kids get free medical and dental too? If it's civil service, what are the entry requirements for physical and mental health? I mean even the severely handicapped should have something to offer, right?

These are all problems the military doesn't have because 1. it IS voluntary 2. it DOES discriminate. A national civil service program would have a lot more trouble with these issues. A lot.

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:17 (twenty-two years ago)

Tries to remeber the first world war draft in a country that isn't US, but I'll leave that for one of our Quebec counterparts to recall.

Mr Noodles (Mr Noodles), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:17 (twenty-two years ago)

Tracer, it's pretty much been proven completely impossible for hstencil to lose the attitude on ILX, he approaches all posts as if you just stabbed his mother in front of him.

Ally-zay, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:19 (twenty-two years ago)

They are "your life" for a year or too.
Unless, while serving in the military or in the conscious objector support corps, you get killed.

But what's your argument here, slavery's OK, if it's only for a year?

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:20 (twenty-two years ago)

I wasn't trying to give you attitude, Tracer. Sorry about that.

hstencil, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:24 (twenty-two years ago)

Yes that's it exactly milo, we're all slavery-loving slave-lovers, sheesh!! Here's some GRAY for your paintbox. Here, take it. Really! Go ahead! Well, i won't make you, whatever.

I think if the idea is to make JUST the military compulsory but no public service then I'm behind it 100% because Tom thinks it may degrade our ability to invade and occupy every other country on earth effectively PLUS it will turn America into what it's been angling to be for years now: a giant police force with the power to raise taxes! Everybody wins! Shit, where'd my gray paint go.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:27 (twenty-two years ago)

No problem stence. I think it rubbed off on me though!!

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:27 (twenty-two years ago)

Anyway Tom it can't be impossible, cause tons of countries do it.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:30 (twenty-two years ago)

I mean ALL the cool countries these days are. Israel, Germany, you know. *Flips hair*

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:36 (twenty-two years ago)

Yeah, China too!

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:36 (twenty-two years ago)

North Korea has an awesome program where you go to work for the civil service or the military automatically as soon as you pop out of the fucking womb!! It's bad-ass

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:37 (twenty-two years ago)

Switzerland too right? Aren't they taking over the world tomorrow?

Mr Noodles (Mr Noodles), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:39 (twenty-two years ago)

but basically a 1-2 year mandatory civil service commitment would really fuck up the labor costs in this country and jack up a lot of our private industry as it now stands. Personally I think a better solution is to just stop requiring EVERYBODY to have a fucking bachelor's degree to get a decent job.

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:39 (twenty-two years ago)

I think the tit-for-tat idea (ie getting college paid for) rather than a compulsory program is pretty good, but that has the same problems of inequality built into it.

(xpost w Tom)

the other problem is: why tie it solely to college?

g--ff c-nn-n (gcannon), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:45 (twenty-two years ago)

Yes that's it exactly milo, we're all slavery-loving slave-lovers, sheesh!! Here's some GRAY for your paintbox. Here, take it. Really! Go ahead! Well, i won't make you, whatever.

Funny, did you notice that sentence that was italicized?

Yeah, that was the statement, and the person, that I was responding to.

Crazy, huh.

But what, exactly, isn't "slavery" about forcing me (with a gun to my back) to devote my life to a military cause (or a civilian alternative) - and possibly my death - that I don't wish to take part in?

You want to make it easier/better for people to volunteer for something like this? Great.
You want to give some great incentives for a year of military service/social service - free education, for instance? Great.

But when you start talking about making it mandatory, forcing people to do something or else go to jail, that's enslavement.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:52 (twenty-two years ago)

I think the tit-for-tat idea (ie getting college paid for) rather than a compulsory program is pretty good, but that has the same problems of inequality built into it.

But at the same time, it serves to erase some inequality. If I could volunteer for a year with a group, all bills paid, and get a free college education from any public institute, I'd sign up in a heart beat. It would be an easy opportunity for people who wouldn't otherwise be able to go to university (or tech school, or whatever), to do so, without coming out after 4 years beaten down by debt.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 18:58 (twenty-two years ago)

TS: Slavery vs Indentured Servitude

Dan Perry (Dan Perry), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 19:00 (twenty-two years ago)

>But what, exactly, isn't "slavery" about forcing me (with a gun to
> my back) to devote my life to a military cause (or a civilian
> alternative) - and possibly my death - that I don't wish to take
> part in?

Slavery is when a private individual owns another individual.

The government expects people to do certain things - this is not slavery. If you get a speeding ticket and have to show up to court, is it "slavery" that the government makes you show up in court?

fletrejet, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 19:03 (twenty-two years ago)

Slavery is when a private individual owns another individual.
Um, not quite.

OK, not at all.

The government expects people to do certain things - this is not slavery. If you get a speeding ticket and have to show up to court, is it "slavery" that the government makes you show up in court?
In what way is a traffic ticket and a court date analgous to the draft?

(Hint: they aren't)

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 19:11 (twenty-two years ago)

RE: indentured servitude - that is a form of (semi)voluntary enslavement, but in use it refers to those who were indentured servants as repayment for something (a debt, Atlantic passage, etc.), which isn't the case with compulsory service.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 19:13 (twenty-two years ago)

>In what way is a traffic ticket and a court date analgous to the draft?

Hint: its the government making you do somethign against your will.

fletrejet, Wednesday, 15 October 2003 19:17 (twenty-two years ago)

Also, it takes up years of your time and you're forced to be away from your friends and family and you could possibly be shot and/or killed and/or tortured in the name of something you don't believe in. You see, they're remarkably similar.

NA (Nick A.), Wednesday, 15 October 2003 19:21 (twenty-two years ago)

fletjet, your argument is too broad. The government enforces many compulsory behaviors on its citizens, but it's specious to equivocate them all (although as a libertarian minded dude I think the government has gone WAY outside the appropriate boundaries.)

F*ck conscription. It's a total DUD. It's morally wrong. I could see the rationale if the country was in obvious (um, like in an invasion) but beyond that, conscription strikes me as instrument of a political war and little else. What the government should do is what it has done on a very minor level: make it valuable to serve the country.

And f*ck all mandatory "service" or "work" that the government comes up with. The last thing I need in my life are goons like the US Congress coming up with creative ideas (read: inefficient, expensive boondoggles designed to win reelection) to keep me busy in hopes of indoctrinating me on some vacuous social cause.

don weiner, Thursday, 16 October 2003 10:41 (twenty-two years ago)

you think a Congressman could win an election on a platform of spending millions on public works? you're even more of an optimist than i am!

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 16 October 2003 11:12 (twenty-two years ago)

Oh god no, so very dud. I do not think ppl should be forced to join the military against their will. Also for selfish reasons I don't want to see any male member of my family having to do this.
I agree with the point that someone made up thread about ppl who have been forced into it not doing such a good job. Think about ppl that are forced to work in factories or some such. The same slacker mentality would apply.

Pinkpanther (Pinkpanther), Thursday, 16 October 2003 11:19 (twenty-two years ago)

Has it though? I'm surprised nobody here has any first-hand experience with this. There's a German guy in my class now who lived in Iowa for a year. What the German military is doing in Iowa is beyond me. But he didn't really have any horror stories to tell. It seems like a lot of democratic countries just do this as a matter of course. If it's such a huge obvious dud, why in the world do they do it?

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Thursday, 16 October 2003 11:27 (twenty-two years ago)

Americans in overtly selfish me-first behavior SHOCKAH.

Dan Perry (Dan Perry), Thursday, 16 October 2003 12:23 (twenty-two years ago)

Anybody who thinks conscription is a good idea who has not actually been in the military or worked as a federal civil servant should try it sometime. Also anybody who thinks socialism is cool should try working as a federal employee, too, it's a boatload of fun. Yippee, pay banding and "compensation reform."

TOMBOT, Thursday, 16 October 2003 15:40 (twenty-two years ago)

Frankly we have quite enough stupid lazy shitbags in the military and civil service already without making everybody in the whole goddamn country join up.

Tracer, tell us about the taxation rates of those cool democratic countries with mandatory service. I bet Americans would LOVE to pony up as much as the Germans do so we can have the privilege of painting murals over graffiti tags after graduating high school.

TOMBOT, Thursday, 16 October 2003 15:43 (twenty-two years ago)

Tracer,

I'm not suggesting that any pol could win on a public service platform. In fact, that sort of misses the point entirely.

The point is that the imperialist federal government is inherently political because it is overseen by political appointments. Ergo, if something as obnoxious as AmeriCorps ever had a mandatory service requirement for US citizens, "participants" would be at the behest of political patronage. (And if we're going to even wonder about the constitutionality of conscription, can we please ruminate on the constitutionality of the federally funded Americorps, too?) I'm just not ready for guys like John Ashcroft or Hillary Clinton or Trent Lott to indoctrinate young adults with projects they deem politically palatable.

This issue has nothing to do with being selfish or not wanting to serve the country. It has everything to do with being a political stooge, a pawn in a system designed to relieve the freedom of all in favor of the few who will then use it to attain or sustain political power.

don weiner, Thursday, 16 October 2003 16:18 (twenty-two years ago)

tom's the only person on this thread who knows what he's talking about. everyone else is speculating on shit they've read in magazines and seen on tv.

cinniblount (James Blount), Thursday, 16 October 2003 16:35 (twenty-two years ago)

And if you buy into what Tom's been saying, start extending the same axioms into everything that the government makes us do. It adds insight into a lot of systemic problems that the state faces.

don weiner, Thursday, 16 October 2003 16:57 (twenty-two years ago)

When I turned 18 and sent in my draft card 6 years ago, there was "conscientious [sp?] objector" box to check on the card; I had to just write it on. I find this to be extremely troubling. The apparatus is still in place to conscript people into military service, but they've eliminated that troublesome objecting-to-war caveat.

Tom Breihan (Tom Breihan), Thursday, 16 October 2003 17:58 (twenty-two years ago)

I talked to a German today. He said everyone had to do the military service/social service thing and it had nothing to do with getting free tution to college. He had no strong feelings either way towards it.

"Tracer, tell us about the taxation rates of those cool democratic countries with mandatory service. I bet Americans would LOVE to pony up as much as the Germans do so we can have the privilege of painting murals over graffiti tags after graduating high school."

I would love to pay higher taxes to see fat fuck Americans be forced to get up and do some damn work. American taxes are too low as it.

fletrejet, Thursday, 16 October 2003 18:25 (twenty-two years ago)

Amen. Fucking fat asses. Whiney babies. God damn hippies.

fletrejet is right, Thursday, 16 October 2003 19:42 (twenty-two years ago)

milo do you consider jury duty to be a form of "slavery?"

In that it's not entirely mandatory, I can be excused without alternate service, and at most I'm serving a day or two (with rare exceptions), no.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Friday, 17 October 2003 06:22 (twenty-two years ago)

I think it's OTM to say that no one who hasn't been in the military can answer this well, but that it may be equally OTM to say that anyone who has been in the military can't speak to what the culture would be like if its population were radically changed. Also, some loss in the "effectiveness" (or equivalent) of the military might be tolerable if the real interest served by conscription is one of "social equality," as end in itself, means to elimination/reduction of income-redistribution (I admit to ignorance wrt the econ side effects here), and/or pillar of civic/democratic culture. Michael Walzer and Mickey Kaus to thread.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Friday, 17 October 2003 07:00 (twenty-two years ago)

all my friends who spent 12-14 months doing the military service say that it was a complete waste of (their) time and (public) money.
same for the civil service, only that you can't get your driving license for free, and there's no headquarter where you can stay for all that time, so if you don't live with your parents you're in serious trouble.
i'm so glad spain stopped this nonsense, there's no military/civil service anymore. what a waste of time.

joan vich (joan vich), Friday, 17 October 2003 10:02 (twenty-two years ago)

Classic, SIR!

Patton, Thursday, 23 October 2003 11:12 (twenty-two years ago)

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2003/11/03/draft/index.html

Oiling up the draft machine?
The Pentagon is quietly moving to fill draft board vacancies nationwide. While officials say there's no cause to worry, some experts aren't so sure.

- - - - - - - - - - - -
By Dave Lindorff


Nov. 3, 2003 | The community draft boards that became notorious for sending reluctant young men off to Vietnam have languished since the early 1970s, their membership ebbing and their purpose all but lost when the draft was ended. But a few weeks ago, on an obscure federal Web site devoted to the war on terrorism, the Bush administration quietly began a public campaign to bring the draft boards back to life.

"Serve Your Community and the Nation," the announcement urges. "If a military draft becomes necessary, approximately 2,000 Local and Appeal Boards throughout America would decide which young men ... receive deferments, postponements or exemptions from military service."


Local draft board volunteers, meanwhile, report that at training sessions last summer, they were unexpectedly asked to recommend people to fill some of the estimated 16 percent of board seats that are vacant nationwide.

Especially for those who were of age to fight in the Vietnam War, it is an ominous flashback of a message. Divisive military actions are ongoing in Iraq and Afghanistan. News accounts daily detail how the U.S. is stretched too thin there to be effective. And tensions are high with Syria and Iran and on the Korean Peninsula, with some in or close to the Bush White House suggesting that military action may someday be necessary in those spots, too.

Not since the early days of the Reagan administration in 1981 has the Defense Department made a push to fill all 10,350 draft board positions and 11,070 appeals board slots. Recognizing that even the mention of a draft in the months before an election might be politically explosive, the Pentagon last week was adamant that the drive to staff up the draft boards is not a portent of things to come. There is "no contingency plan" to ask Congress to reinstate the draft, John Winkler, the Pentagon's deputy assistant secretary for reserve affairs, told Salon last week.

Increasingly, however, military experts and even some influential members of Congress are suggesting that if Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld's prediction of a "long, hard slog" in Iraq and Afghanistan proves accurate, the U.S. may have no choice but to consider a draft to fully staff the nation's military in a time of global instability.

"The experts are all saying we're going to have to beef up our presence in Iraq," says U.S. Rep. Charles Rangel, the New York Democrat. "We've failed to convince our allies to send troops, we've extended deployments so morale is sinking, and the president is saying we can't cut and run. So what's left? The draft is a very sensitive subject, but at some point, we're going to need more troops, and at that point the only way to get them will be a return to the draft."

Rangel has provoked controversy in the past by insisting that a draft is the only way to fill the nation's military needs without exploiting young men and women from lower-income families. And, some suggest, by proposing military service from middle- and upper-class men and women, Rangel may be trying to diminish the odds of actually using them in combat. But Rangel is hardly alone in suggesting that the draft might be needed.

The draft, ended by Congress in 1973 as the Indochina War was winding down, was long a target of antiwar activists, and remains highly controversial both in and out of the military. Most military officers understandably prefer an army of volunteers and career soldiers over an army of grudging conscripts; Rumsfeld, too, has long been a staunch advocate of an all-volunteer force.

According to some experts, basic math might compel the Pentagon to reconsider the draft: Of a total U.S. military force of 1.4 million people around the globe (many of them in non-combat support positions and in services like the Air Force and Navy), there are currently about 140,000 active-duty, reserve and National Guard soldiers currently deployed in Iraq -- and though Rumsfeld has been an advocate of a lean, nimble military apparatus, history suggests he needs more muscle.

"The closest parallel to the Iraq situation is the British in Northern Ireland, where you also had some people supporting the occupying army and some opposing them, and where the opponents were willing to resort to terror tactics," says Charles Peña, director of defense studies at the libertarian Cato Institute. "There the British needed a ratio of 10 soldiers per 1,000 population to restore order, and at their height, it was 20 soldiers per 1,000 population. If you transfer that to Iraq, it would mean you'd need at least 240,000 troops and maybe as many as 480,000.

"The only reason you aren't hearing these kinds of numbers discussed by the White House and the Defense Department right now," Peña adds, "is that you couldn't come up with them without a return to the draft, and they don't want to talk about that."

The Pentagon has already had to double the deployment periods of some units, call up more reserves and extend tours of duty by a year -- all highly unpopular moves. Meanwhile, the recent spate of deadly bombings in Baghdad, Falluja and other cities, and increasing attacks on U.S. forces throughout Iraq have forced the U.S. to reconsider its plans to reduce troop deployments.

Those factors -- combined with the stress and grind of war itself -- clearly have diminished troop morale. And many in the National Guard and reserves never anticipated having to serve in an active war zone, far from their families and jobs, for six months or longer. Stars and Stripes, the Army's official paper, reports that a poll it conducted found that half the soldiers in Iraq say they are "not likely" or are "very unlikely" to reenlist -- a very high figure.

Consider that the total enlistment goal for active Army and Army reserves in the fiscal year ended Oct. 1 was 100,000. If half of the 140,000 troops currently in Iraq were to go home and stay, two-thirds of this year's recruits would be needed to replace them. And that does not take into consideration military needs at home and around the globe.

"My sense is that there is a lot of nervousness about the enlistment numbers as Iraq drags on," says Doug Bandow, another military manpower expert at Cato. "We're still early enough into it that the full impact on recruiting/retention hasn't been felt."

Next page | Many '60s-era draft loopholes have already been closed
1, 2

teeny (teeny), Tuesday, 4 November 2003 13:12 (twenty-two years ago)

The Pentagon, perhaps predictably, sees a more hopeful picture.

Curtis Gilroy, director of accession policy at the Department of Defense, concedes that troop morale is hurting. "There are certainly concerns about future reenlistments. Iraq is not a happy place to be," Gilroy says. "[But] I think a certain amount of that is just grumbling. What we're interested in is not what people are saying, but what they do." So far, he reports, reenlistments and new enlistments remain on target.


Beth Asch, a military manpower expert at the Rand Corp. think tank, agrees that current retention and new enlistment figures are holding up. But she cautions that it may be too soon to know the impact of the tough and open-ended occupation in Iraq. "Short deployments actually boost enlistments and reenlistments," Asch says. "But studies show longer deployments can definitely have a negative impact."

While she thinks it is unlikely that the military will have to resort to a draft to meet its needs, Ned Lebow, a military manpower expert and professor of government at Dartmouth College, is less confident.

"The government is in a bit of a box," Lebow says. "They can hold reservists on active duty longer, and risk antagonizing that whole section of America that has family members who join the Reserves. They can try to pay soldiers more, but it's not clear that works -- and besides, there's already an enormous budget deficit. They can try to bribe other countries to contribute more troops, which they're trying to do now, but not with much success. Or they can try Iraqization of the war -- though we saw what happened to Vietnamization, and Afghanization of the war in Afghanistan isn't working, so Iraqization doesn't seem likely to work either.

"So," Lebow concludes, "that leaves the draft."

Purely in mechanical terms, a draft is a complicated and difficult thing to get off the ground. It would require an act of Congress, first, and then the signature of the president. Young men are already required to register with the Selective Service system, but if the bill were signed into law, it would still take half a year or more to get the new troops into the system. Federal law would require the Selective Service to immediately set up a lottery and start sending out induction notices. Local draft boards would have to evaluate them for medical problems, moral objections and other issues like family crises, and hear the appeals of those who are resisting the draft.

Under law, the first batch of new conscripts must be processed and ready for boot camp in 193 days or less after the start of the draft.

But if the mechanics of the draft are difficult, the politics could be lethal for Bush or any other top official who proposed it.

Already, the American public is almost as split today over the war in Iraq as it was about the war in Indochina nearly four decades ago, though not yet as passionately. But a new draft would likely incite even deeper resentment than it did then. In the last war fought by a conscript army, draft deferments for students meant that nobody who was in college had to worry about being called up until after graduation, and until late in that war, it was even possible, by going to grad school (like Vice President Dick Cheney), to avoid getting drafted altogether. In the Vietnam War era, college boys could also duck combat, as George W. Bush did, by joining the National Guard.

But that's all been changed. In a new draft, college students whose lottery number was selected would only be permitted to finish their current semester; seniors could finish their final year. After that, they'd have to answer the call. Meanwhile, National Guardsmen, as we've seen in the current war, are now likely to face overseas combat duty, too.

"If Congress and Bush reinstitute the draft, it would be the '60s all over again," predicts Lebow. "It's hard to imagine Congress passing such a bill, but then, look how many members of Congress just rolled over and played dead on the bill for $87 billion for Iraq and Afghanistan."

New York Rep. Rangel and Sen. Fritz Hollings, D-S.C., introduced companion bills in the two houses of Congress to reactivate the draft last January, at a time when Bush was clearly moving toward an invasion. While both bills remain in the legislative hopper, neither has gone anywhere.

Even among those who think the public might support a draft, like Bandow at the Cato Institute, few believe Bush would dare to propose it before the November 2004 election. "No one would want that fight," he explains. "It would highlight the cost of an imperial foreign policy, add an incendiary issue to the already emotional protests, and further split the limited-government conservatives." But despite the Pentagon's denials, planners there are almost certainly weighing the numbers just as independent military experts are. And that could explain the willingness to tune up the draft machinery.

John Corcoran, an attorney who serves on a draft board in Philadelphia, says he joined the Reserves to avoid the draft during the Vietnam War. Today, he says, the Bush administration "is in deep trouble" in Iraq "because they didn't plan for the occupation." That doesn't mean Bush would take the election-year risk of restarting the draft, Corcoran says. "To tell the truth, I don't think Bush has the balls to call for a draft.

"They give us a training session each year to keep the machinery in place and oiled up in case, God forbid, they ever do reinstitute it," he explains.

"They don't want us to have to do it," agrees Dan Amon, a spokesman for the Selective Service. "But they want us to be ready to do it at the click of a finger."


salon.com

teeny (teeny), Tuesday, 4 November 2003 13:13 (twenty-two years ago)

Best news story in a long while, this.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Tuesday, 4 November 2003 16:47 (twenty-two years ago)

FUCKING CHRIST

I still have 4 years of inactive reserve commitment remaining, I don't need to hear this shit.

TOMBOT, Tuesday, 4 November 2003 16:50 (twenty-two years ago)

Tom, I suggest tearing your cruciate ligament.

Mark C (Mark C), Tuesday, 4 November 2003 17:27 (twenty-two years ago)

five years pass...

holy crap i think i might be considering the nat'l guard???

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:37 (seventeen years ago)

i think i have discussed this with T-MB-T on here before, but new shit has come to light

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:40 (seventeen years ago)

are you trying to get paid while serving as little as one weekend a month and two weeks a year

horrible (harbl), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:41 (seventeen years ago)

ie - the national guard will pay me a 2LT salary (approx 2k/mo) AND cover housing (at approx 800/mo) AND, in MN at least, kick in about 75% of my tuition if i give them 8 years...that *INCLUDES* med school AND residency. moreover, guarantees are in place that disallow med students/residents from being called up while still being educated. MOREOVER, if you do something like a surgical residency, you might actually fulfill your service requirements BEFORE finishing your training

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:43 (seventeen years ago)

wait, no, MN requires two years of "drill duty" after residency, which might mean you give them a little more than 8 years. but yeah, basically they are saying that they will pay 45-55k a year to just do what i'm doing already

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:44 (seventeen years ago)

plus a 90% chance of getting called up (for only 90 days, tho). plus "called up" 7 years from now will more likely be disaster relief and not wars of imperial conquest

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:45 (seventeen years ago)

i am seriously like a heartbeat away from doing this

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:46 (seventeen years ago)

meanwhile i have a friend at the uniformed services med school who is going to have to give 8+ AFTER residency, whoops lol, sorry bro

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:46 (seventeen years ago)

gimme inputs

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 01:50 (seventeen years ago)

I know a few MD’s who went this route and none have complained.

A few points:

- When you’re called up. That’s it. Pack your bags. It will happen and it will always happen at the most inopportune time.

- Because of your background your assignment will be fairly tailored. However, do not join till you get assurance of your preference.

- Haggle. Haggle. Haggle. I don’t know about MN but most state’s have a difficult time meeting their quotas--use this to your advantage to score every signing bonus imaginable.

The National Guard is a great service and I’m positive you’ll be happy with the work you’ll do.

Allen, Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:21 (seventeen years ago)

i heard obama was abolishing the military

srsly, is money the only reason to do this? because if it is, i'd hesitate

velko, Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:23 (seventeen years ago)

nah, money is not the only reason. given that much of what the guard does is "humanitarian," it jives with my feelings about service, in general. and while i was and continue to be vehemently against the war in iraq, and war in general, part-time work as an MD in the service seems like a pretty good way to pay my debt to society w/o having to kill anyone. i'm leery of sudden call-ups, esp since the reason they're dangling so much money is because docs are in short supply abroad, but there are rules in place to limit tours for health professionals to 90 days, with 18 months between tours. given that you don't get called up during school or residency, this means that you chance one tour of duty during your entire 8 year tenure. figure if i go into it knowing that, the sudden call-up won't be as disruptive. and again: healthcare ppl are crucial to disaster relief, which is a lot of what the guard does, and i'm into that.

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:42 (seventeen years ago)

that sounds like a good way of looking at it.

velko, Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:44 (seventeen years ago)

but yeah, the money is nice, too, can't lie

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:45 (seventeen years ago)

we know doctors in the Army National Guard and they've seemed pretty happy about it; I can't ask them about it since they've all been redeployed away from our (huge) local base. I guess that's a possible downside: moving around a lot. But none of them had been sent to Iraq, as of last year, if that's something that's bothering you.

Euler, Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:49 (seventeen years ago)

sure they're guard?? and not reserve? i was under the impression that one of the advantages was that you DIDNT get moved around a lot (unless activated, in which case you're theirs). you just chilled in your home state, working a civilian job. i didn't think they moved you around from base to base

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 02:55 (seventeen years ago)

hmm you might be right. I'm not sure anymore, sorry!

Euler, Thursday, 6 November 2008 03:01 (seventeen years ago)

gbx, please be aware that once the military has you, they do not need to keep a single one of their promises. The recruiter can pitch whatever set of inducements he wants to and tell you these things are guaranteed; they are not.

The military will do with you exactly what it pleases, when it pleases and how it pleases and you would have no legal recourse. Try to evade any order they give you and you will not only be slapped back into line, but considered a coward to boot.

Aimless, Thursday, 6 November 2008 03:45 (seventeen years ago)

I understand this. However, medical pros tend to be given more latitude than enlisted soldiers, simply because they are in very short supply. Moreover, the pitch I'm getting isn't the usual signing-bonus stuff, it's a formal program with formal guidelines. They're subject to change, sure, but the fact that they're in writing and officially titled and so on seems to me that they're much less likely to get changed without notice. A turgid bureaucracy ought to make for less sudden moves. But I appreciate the warning; it's my biggest concern with military service, in general. This program specifically, and the Nat'l Guard generally, seems to sidestep that concern by design. The chances that I'll get shipped off to be cannon fodder are very, very low---docs just don't get that kind of treatment. They're too expensive.

the perfect blovian move (gbx), Thursday, 6 November 2008 04:06 (seventeen years ago)

gbx, please be aware that once the military has you, they do not need to keep a single one of their promises. The recruiter can pitch whatever set of inducements he wants to and tell you these things are guaranteed; they are not.

The military will do with you exactly what it pleases, when it pleases and how it pleases and you would have no legal recourse. Try to evade any order they give you and you will not only be slapped back into line, but considered a coward to boot.

This is simply not true. Get everything promised written into your contact and you’ll be fine. However, it is important to note that an implied contract does not exist. Read your contract and nag, nag, nag.

Allen, Thursday, 6 November 2008 04:18 (seventeen years ago)

I'm pretty ignorant about the military (and carry plenty of biases), but I'll give my casual impression.

1. If you don't like war, don't join the military (both from a practical and philosophical standpoint)

2. In the era of stop-loss, I would be somewhat skeptical of military terms of service.

But what do I know.

Super Cub, Thursday, 6 November 2008 06:48 (seventeen years ago)

1. this makes sense, tho again i would just be doing a civilian job (fixing up dudes) in a military setting. part-time.
2. yeah.

i love to hear this again and again (gbx), Friday, 7 November 2008 00:27 (seventeen years ago)

i mean, i am extremely wary of the military-industrial complex, but i am also a pragmatist and recognize that we do not live in a world where it's abolition will be coming any time soon. also, i'm hoping that by the time i'm actual eligible for real-deal activation, we will not be so deeply embroiled in occupations and imperial conquest

i love to hear this again and again (gbx), Friday, 7 November 2008 00:30 (seventeen years ago)

yeah i am all anti-war and -military and whatever but if you can get them to pay for school with such minimal (on paper) obligations on your part, and get good experience out of it, i think just do it. joke's on them!

horrible (harbl), Friday, 7 November 2008 01:09 (seventeen years ago)

If you can imagine getting sent to Iraq or some other imperial conquest zone for 90 days, and thinking of it neutrally or positively (in terms of serving your country, not for life satisfaction, obviously), then this sounds like a great idea. If that scenario is something you want to avoid at all costs, then it's probably not worth it.

Maria, Friday, 7 November 2008 02:29 (seventeen years ago)

Given that I'd be working to save the lives of both soldiers and civilians (...I want to do emergency medicine), I'd be inclined to think that it'd be a decent thing to do. Doctors aren't required to do any shooting. Plus, again, in theory, I wouldn't be going anywhere for another 7 years or so. Plenty of time for your galactic president to shape things up.

nb i wouldn't be considering this if mccain had been elected.

i love to hear this again and again (gbx), Friday, 7 November 2008 02:34 (seventeen years ago)

"your" = "our" of course.

i love to hear this again and again (gbx), Friday, 7 November 2008 02:34 (seventeen years ago)

gbx, please be aware that once the military has you, they do not need to keep a single one of their promises. The recruiter can pitch whatever set of inducements he wants to and tell you these things are guaranteed; they are not.

otm, recruiters are scumbags

BYE! GOOD (latebloomer), Friday, 7 November 2008 02:36 (seventeen years ago)


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