Why Do People Vote For Bush/Reagan, etc.

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A month or two ago my boss was talking about Arnold Schwarzenegger being elected governor of California. He said "if somehow Arnold gets elected president, this country will eventually become Communist in ten years". Puzzled, I asked him why he thought this. He said, "you know his father was Communist..." I told him that Schwarzenegger's father was a member of the Nazi party during the war and that that was a completely different thing from being Communist. He said, "oh". and then proceeded to go on about how he was voting for Bush, because "that's the only one worth voting for."

I mention this not to mock my boss (he's a nice guy if obviously ignorant about politics) but to ask: Is this the typical Bush voter?

Do Bush, Reagan, or other right-wing monsters get elected because of people's ignorance or because people like their leaders to be evil bastards?

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:39 (twenty years ago) link

i think it's safe to assume just as many ignorant people vote for democrats

ryan (ryan), Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:41 (twenty years ago) link

ryan otm

Curt1s St3ph3ns, Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:43 (twenty years ago) link

True. I guess it's like after all the things done by Reagan and Bush, what makes people see what they do as good? I mean, I realize people have different reasons, but what does the average voter actually know about their candidates? Do they vote out of sympathy for their views or just because it's
"what you do"?

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:45 (twenty years ago) link

Republican voters clearly don't have brains. I mean look at young Bush. What brainwashed gump would vote for that thing again?

Pack Yr Romantic Almanac (Autumn Almanac), Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:48 (twenty years ago) link

i'm not meaning this as "republicans are evil and democrats are good"
i guess it's just weird how much i've noticed people who say they're voting for Bush (and to be honest where i live that's all i see) tend to ignore or rationalize or not even be aware of the negative influence (or even downright evilness) of what he stands for?. I guess it all depends on your value system. Obviously.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:52 (twenty years ago) link

It's the same in Australia. People who support Howard seem to deftly ignore all the danger he's put the country in, all the gung-ho charging into foreign invasions, all the Bush arse-licking, all the blind prejudice against immigrants and gay people, etc.

Pack Yr Romantic Almanac (Autumn Almanac), Sunday, 6 June 2004 02:56 (twenty years ago) link

has anyone read the new tom frank book yet? it supposedly takes on the concept of why people decide to vote for govt types who screw them over...

maura (maura), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:00 (twenty years ago) link

That's really what I'm curious about. Like for instance, something like the funding of Central American death squads with drug money in the name of fighting Communism, or Reaganomics, the starting of a war in Iraq on the flimsiest of evidence, tax cuts for the rich, etc. What does the average guy on the street think of this? How do they intepret this and turn this into a vote for Bush or Reagan?

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:01 (twenty years ago) link

I agree that it's safe to say that many people vote unthinkingly for Democrats just as they do for Republicans. But a critical difference is that many people vote unthinkingly for Republicans because the Republican, like them, seems to hate people who think too much.

Or maybe they just like squinty dudes. That seems to be a prerequisite. Even Clinton did it.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:02 (twenty years ago) link

How many people on the street know about Reagan's international record? (For that matter, how many Americans know the record of any recent President, none of them have clean hands(

Reaganomics and tax cuts for the wealthy I chalk up to the 'American Dream' - a lot of working/middle-class folks think that they'd be wealthy with the right breaks, and to the fact that the American popular conscience has divorced 'taxes' and 'services.' The right has pounded "Taxes R Theft" and racist 'welfare queens driving cadillacs' dogma for decades and it has worked.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:06 (twenty years ago) link

Republican = Democrat. The same type of people vote for both.

A Nairn (moretap), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:06 (twenty years ago) link

Latebloomer, I sympathise. I went to my fave bar once and ended up chatting with a woman who was visiting town with her boyfriend. They were from a more 'hicks' area. Anyway, she was in a very similar profession to mine, so we had an okay conversation, then she told me she was voting for Bush. Upon further probing, she seemed completely unaware of all the damage that's been done, is being done. This from someone all too aware and bothered by the fact that the Medicaid system regularly allows the most vulnerable people to slip through the cracks. I found it all very disconcerting, and when she went to use the restroom, I left in anger.

I really think a lot of the answer to your original question is to do with religion, though. I've seen some polls done along these lines. By and large, hardcore religious people in the U.S. just seem to see the GOP as their party.

Bimble (bimble), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:08 (twenty years ago) link

Well I suppose I'm just referring to why people vote for certain politicans in general, not just Republicans. Obviously Democrats have plenty of blood on their hands as well. It's just that with someone like a Reagan or a Bush the amount of ignorance regarding what negtive influence they actually represent seems staggering.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:08 (twenty years ago) link

has anyone read the new tom frank book yet? it supposedly takes on the concept of why people decide to vote for govt types who screw them over...

a text version of tom frank's harper's magazine article is here.

every "limousine liberal" should read it. and think.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:08 (twenty years ago) link

All politicians can and do have negative influence, it's much more a matter of how well they present themselves to the public through the media.

A Nairn (moretap), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:12 (twenty years ago) link

well, obfuscating the debate on 'real' issues with yank-at-the-heart/knee-jerkingstrings imagery has worked well for the GOP over the past twenty-odd years. (morning in america, welfare queens, willie horton, the constant assailing of cultural 'improprieties' like piss christ and mapplethorpe and janet's boob, the highway to the dubya zone photo op, the bush speechwriter who went to a christian college in illinois and who drops oblique faith-based references into every one of his speeches, etc.) then there's the style-over-substance turn that the media has taken, where the ability to have a beer with a candidate's public persona is more important than said candidate's stance on issues.

maura (maura), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:13 (twenty years ago) link

"Reaganomics and tax cuts for the wealthy I chalk up to the 'American Dream' - a lot of working/middle-class folks think that they'd be wealthy with the right breaks, and to the fact that the American popular conscience has divorced 'taxes' and 'services.' The right has pounded "Taxes R Theft" and racist 'welfare queens driving cadillacs' dogma for decades and it has worked."

yeah, actually you're probably OTM.

"I really think a lot of the answer to your original question is to do with religion, though. I've seen some polls done along these lines. By and large, hardcore religious people in the U.S. just seem to see the GOP as their party."

that certainly is a large part of it, but i've seen not-so-religious people (which describes my boss pretty well) proclaim their intention to vote for someone like Bush/Reagan as well. I guess it's like Miloauckerman just said, that the right-wing has convinced people of the evils of anything promoting taxes, welfare, regulation, etc.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:16 (twenty years ago) link

"then there's the style-over-substance turn that the media has taken, where the ability to have a beer with a candidate's public persona is more important than said candidate's stance on issues. "

OTM.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:18 (twenty years ago) link

this is all true. what's also true is that many (NOT all) of what are presented as "typical democrats" these days are pretty revoltingly smug. as always, the right goes overboard in their culture war/"elitist" bashing. but the brie-munching sneering-at-flyover-country "limousine liberal" does exist.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:19 (twenty years ago) link

and if you don't believe me, then the next time you're in NYC i will gladly introduce you to some such creatures (if a random walk through the west village or the upper west side doesn't convince you that their existence is not an urban legend).

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:21 (twenty years ago) link

Is Momus a liberal, though?

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:21 (twenty years ago) link

(and no, i do NOT exempt myself from that charge. it's like being a recovering alcoholic, i guess -- i hope that i'm not TOO MUCH of a "dry drunk," is all.)

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:23 (twenty years ago) link

But also I wouldn't say that the people who would vote for Bush are ignoring the issues and seeing his style as what convinces them to vote for him. It's not really that complicated of a thing. They just share opinions with the canidate they vote for.

A Nairn (moretap), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:27 (twenty years ago) link

Thanks for linking that article, Eisbar!

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:38 (twenty years ago) link

the brie-munching sneering-at-flyover-country "limousine liberal" does exist.

yeah, maybe it's because that liberal was tired of being sneered at by flyover country, especially when his formerly liberal but still brie-eating buddies tricked flyover country into doing the sneering.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:59 (twenty years ago) link

which do you think came first?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 03:59 (twenty years ago) link

"Let me repeat that: They're voting REPUBLICAN in order to GET EVEN WITH WALL STREET."

I love it when you can almost see the author's head start to explode.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:06 (twenty years ago) link

That's the way to win, Gabbneb, "he picked on me first!!!" (Note the other stereotype of limo lib'ruls - whiners)

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:11 (twenty years ago) link

win what?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:13 (twenty years ago) link

(I don't hate flyover country, if that weren't obvious)

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:13 (twenty years ago) link

well don't forget the right wing (or the supply-side, i should say) has it's economists too. some of them even have nobel prizes. i hang out with economists (one of my best friends is doing an econ phd at UCSD) and they're not as uniformly liberal as you'd think. they disagree among themselves and many of them are actually very right-wing - of course they see themselves as following the economics equivalent of realpolitik or something.

so while i think frank's article is awesome i have to wonder at how he states the economics in the article as incontrovertible fact.

vahid (vahid), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:16 (twenty years ago) link

a text version of tom frank's harper's magazine article is here.

every "limousine liberal" should read it. and think.

That's an interesting read. But it makes me think that being condescending towards people who think you are condescending doesn't really convince me you're not. Ya know?

bnw (bnw), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:20 (twenty years ago) link

i hang out with economists and they're not as uniformly liberal as you'd think.
I don't think anyone would expect a group of economists to be uniformly liberal. Quite the opposite in 21st century America - I'd expect a group of econ students to be raving libertarians and moving a little bit away from that as they got older.

Gabbneb, win anything. Elections, culture wars, whatever. Whining that flyover American done picked on them poor liberals is weak.

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:21 (twenty years ago) link

I have no problem with being thought of as 'weak' and don't regard this problem as a battle.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:23 (twenty years ago) link

i was going to say that gabb's "which do you think came first?" is really a chicken-or-egg type question; and, like most of those sort of questions, it's pointless to answer it. but milo beat me to the punch. anyway, what's important is NOT "who started it?" but acknowledging that MAYBE the other side (in flyover land or elsewhere) AREN'T totally hallucinating. that side has its share of bullshit and fantasy into which they've bought (again, milo OTM re the "liberals = whiners" stereotype), but that doesn't mean that the other side is absolutely correct in EVERYTHING.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:24 (twenty years ago) link

actually, most conservative economists tend to be monetarists/disciples of milton friedman. monetarism is NOT supply-side, and supply-side is widely seen among academic economists (INCLUDING monetarists) to be nonsense.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:25 (twenty years ago) link

OK great milo you've got your head screwed on straight but but on both sides of the press i see a sort of misrepresentation of the current economic situation being sorted and understood as one party's fault or the other.

when i saw paul krugman speak last fall he was very, very careful to point out that most of the economic indicators right now are completely haywire and screwy and contradictory. basically, don't vote for kerry or bush based on economics, because the real economists don't understand what's going on. he urged us all to vote against bush based on voting against american empire, which is a tough sell, because HEY we like EMPIRE!

czeslaw milosz compared america to rome in 1968! "As for the US, was it not Rome, hungry for peace, bread and games?" of course now our peace is pax americana and our games are wargames =(

vahid (vahid), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:26 (twenty years ago) link

x-post: Eisbar that's great and i hope you're an economist because then you can come down to UCSD and tell these guys what's up - i can't because i'm just a physical chemist and i don't know enough to talk shop with them.

vahid (vahid), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:27 (twenty years ago) link

i am SO not an economist, vahid! wanna know my undergrad econ grades?

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:28 (twenty years ago) link

um also mundell who won the nobel prize in 1999 - isn't he a university of chicago supply-sider? and laffer used to shop in the bookstore i worked at and as i recall the economists at UCSD treated him a bit like royalty ... as this insidious person whose ideas were obviously completely wrong but somehow, dangit, they just couldn't PROVE that laffer was wrong ... it was just something they felt to be false...

vahid (vahid), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:29 (twenty years ago) link

i got a C+ in AP econ and a 2 on the AP test!! it was the only one i didn't pass!! =(

vahid (vahid), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:29 (twenty years ago) link

I think I got a 2 on the AP test. Better than I expected, as the class seemed to consist mostly of formulas and charts and I spent most of it pissed off that they didn't even pay lip service to anything outside of 'merican capitalism.

I got kicked out a few times for bitching about things like the class being shown a biography of Bill Gates (as someone to emulate). Red America was holding me down, man!

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:39 (twenty years ago) link

because they belive in what they believe...reagon gives them hope.

anthony, Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:46 (twenty years ago) link

"I think I got a 2 on the AP test. Better than I expected, as the class seemed to consist mostly of formulas and charts and I spent most of it pissed off that they didn't even pay lip service to anything outside of 'merican capitalism.
I got kicked out a few times for bitching about things like the class being shown a biography of Bill Gates (as someone to emulate). Red America was holding me down, man!"

haha my economics class in high school was so crappy the books didn't even get to the soviet union breaking up (this was 1997). the teacher even taught it like that was still the case, talking about the soviet union in the present tense. the guy was an old bastard who obviously hated his job and didn't even botherto control the kids in class.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:52 (twenty years ago) link

reagon gives them hope.

Crikey, that's impressive work for a dead bloke.

Pack Yr Romantic Almanac (Autumn Almanac), Sunday, 6 June 2004 04:59 (twenty years ago) link

Why Do People Vote For Bush/Reagan, etc.

`Cos they're zealous, knee-jerk conservatives who vote for people based on the color of their tie and precious little else.

reagon gives them hope.

Who's Reagon?

Alex in NYC (vassifer), Sunday, 6 June 2004 13:35 (twenty years ago) link

Or maybe they just like squinty dudes

Check out the covers of Time and Newsweek over at Drudge - see what I mean?

But it makes me think that being condescending towards people who think you are condescending doesn't really convince me you're not.

Who is being condescending? Frank? How? Is he trying to convince anyone of his lack of condescension?

The article reminded me of a meme I've carried around for a while but had not really applied yet in this context. Basically, in a mass media age, people who lack various kinds of power feel a loss of sense of worth/respect when they are not proportionately a subject of the media and therefore seek attention by combining in masses, often using spectacle, to draw attention that they could not gain as individuals. The impact is only heightened when a new medium arrives and increases the attention devoted to other people - before, status/identity could be determined within the bounds of your community; after, media might give disproportionate attention (and thereby status/identity) to certain members of your community, if they don't ignore it altogether (denying it any status/identity). In a social sense, it may explain, for instance, why ethnic groups hold parades, chant slogans, and wave flags. Lots of other examples I can think of. But I think it's most useful in explaining something about popular political movements. The populist 1830s happened to coincide with the rise of cheap printing presses and a concomitant explosion in newspaper publishing. The region-defending civil war coincided with the development of more powerful presses and the development of 'pictorial' newspapers. The first major agrarian populist and labor movements slowly developed during the 1870s and 80s as newspapers grew significantly in number and circulation, and then exploded in the 1890s with the consolidation of much of the media, as well as the first widespread use of banner headlines and caricatures. One of the great populists of this period, Edward Bellamy, was a former newspaper man. Radio history doesn't necessarily scan very well here - popular radio broadcasting largely began during the '20s at a time when politics turned conservative, although this may be the first instance of a mass movement turning reactionary instead of progressive, though the 'golden age' of radio beginning in the mid-'30s coincided with major unionization efforts, a mass movement of substance but also literally of identification. There is no typical agrarian or workers' movement to correspond to the rise of television in the late '40s and '50s, perhaps because the programming was not unrepresentative of the people who might form such a movement. However, the programming wasn't exactly representative of the people who led the civil rights movement that developed simultaneously. When television turned its attention in the '70s to cities and the minorities and sexual revolutionizers who lived there, the populist response turned decidedly reactionary. That reaction grew again in the '90s and especially the mid-to-late '90s as radio turned to 'shock jocks' and tv started becoming looser again via stuff like Friends, HBO Independent Productions, and Will and Grace (Clinton knew exactly what he was doing with the VChip), followed by the explosion of the content-unregulated internet, the mainstreaming and sexualization of multicultural youth culture, the growth of the market and increasing attention to Wall Street news and the super-rich, many of whom were newly rich, young and from minority groups, all culminating in the evening news forcing people to hear about the President getting a blowjob. So when Bush (or Reagan, or Lieberman, even) talks about how horrible this stuff is ('restoring honor and dignity to the White House,' etc.), that speaks to what makes people who feel unrepresented by the media angry, even if they think the politicians' policies hurt them (they don't think this, necessarily). And voting for these guys, and identifying/participating as a Republican, is a way of being part of a mass movement, like the old populist movements, that will simultaneously stick it to the unfairly-represented people and get them attention and a sense of identity/status. Kerry is very smartly, and probably more successfully than Bill Clinton, trying to be an alternative person these people can identify with at a minimum acceptable level, provided that they decide Bush isn't doing a great job. I think Kerry could end up looking more Reaganesque to some people than Bush does.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 14:33 (twenty years ago) link

It also reminds me of a post a few months ago when a hurricane was threatening to land in VA-NC and move up the coast to New York and Boston, and Kenan was complaining about how much attention it was getting and no one ever pays that much attention to bigger hurricanes when they hit Texas. The major newsmedia live in New York and the Northeast corridor, and seem to people in the rest of the country to be disproportionately concerned with what goes on in that region. And they quite probably are. But the example also reveals what people in the rest of the country miss about the Northeast - a lot of friggin people live there. When a hurricane hits Galveston, assuming it affects a range even wide enough to cover San Antonio, Austin, Wichita and Oklahoma City, it's hitting at best maybe 16-17 million people, say 20 tops. But when it hits the Outer Banks and moves up to Boston, it's hitting, in metropolitan areas alone, upwards of 45 million.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 14:55 (twenty years ago) link

That 45 million is also ten times the population of the prairie populist heartland of Kansas and Nebraska.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 15:03 (twenty years ago) link

I think that people vote for the candidate they can most easily project their own hopes and dreams upon. Reagan fit this bill for so many, with his journey from small-town boy to Hollywood star to governor of one of the largest states in the union. In his ascendance voters saw the possibility of their own. He won a second term, despite his then-apparent flaws, because he was pitted against a specter of the 1970s, Walter Mondale, and all that that entailed.

The story of Bill Clinton is very much the same. He became the country-boy ascendant (despite all his Rhodesian trappings) and easily vanquised an out-of-touch relic in the twilight of a long career in the corridors of Washington. The Republicans made the crucial mistake of nominating yet another relic in '96, offering voters no alternate 'bridge to the 20th century.'

There's a great moment in Oliver Stone's "Nixon" (I'm not generally a fan of Stone, but ... ) where Anthony Hopkins' Nixon stands before the famous eyes-downcast portrait of JFK and says, "When they look at you, they see what they want to be. When they look at me, they see what they are." That's one of the more eloquent summations of the crux of American electoral politics that I've ever encountered.

rasheed wallace (rasheed wallace), Sunday, 6 June 2004 15:05 (twenty years ago) link

It's all about not feeling weak.

Kerry (dymaxia), Sunday, 6 June 2004 15:05 (twenty years ago) link

obv. should be bridge to 21st century above.

rasheed wallace (rasheed wallace), Sunday, 6 June 2004 15:06 (twenty years ago) link

Kerry is very smartly, and probably more successfully than Bill Clinton, trying to be an alternative person these people can identify with at a minimum acceptable level

see what I mean?

that projection idea is very perceptive, and explains something about Kerry's "Let America Be America Again" theme

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 15:07 (twenty years ago) link

(and also why Bush's recovery narrative works so well)

gabbneb (gabbneb), Sunday, 6 June 2004 15:08 (twenty years ago) link

Why Do People Vote For Bush/Reagan, etc.

`Cos they're zealous, knee-jerk conservatives who vote for people based on the color of their tie and precious little else.

this is an enlightened response, why not just say they drag their knuckles? the amazing thing is that anyone does vote republican in a climate where all of academia attempts to program liberalism into youth, where the major media sources(if you include entertainment all lean far left) and where to admit you'r erepublican makes people like Alex assume you're a racist, bigoted, homophobe. Obviously it must be bcause there is more of a message than on the left. Supply-side is not a discredited theory, look at the current increase in tax receipts to see that Arthur Laffer was correct. Most conservatives actually find their economic base in Hayek, and mostly it has to do with the inefficiency of government regulation and meddling in the economy. the attempted rewrite of the 80s as only being good for the wealthy is a bit puzzling since the economy expanded by a third during the 80s, and clinton's boom was really reagan's boom as only a war interrupted 17 years of continuous growth. Current tax cuts have caused the economy to grow faster in the past 12 months than in any 12 month span in the past 20 years. I know the level of political sophistication is low here but the smugness with which the inanity is offered i suppose only adds to the cocoon nature of this place. Look man all of my friends are democrats and we're all enlightened tolerant souls so how come everyone else is so dumb eh? also the idea of people feeling powerless is only an issue because washington politics now infects people's lives far more than it should. the kneejerk response to look to washington whenever anything happens on mainstreet(i imagine a movement to ban bulldozers will start soon after the rampage here in Granby) is bizarre, when has anything fruitful ever come down the pike from washington, pretty well never.

keith m (keithmcl), Monday, 7 June 2004 02:21 (twenty years ago) link

Why do people vote for Bush/Reagan?

For starters, because the alternative was worse. Jimmy Carter was a lousy president and both Mondale and Dukakis ran horrible campaigns. Gore didn't exactly run a competent campaign either, given his position of a ten lap head start. But yeah, I suppose pesky issues like dismal competition will always figure last when it comes to deciding how the fuck dudes like Bush/Reagan ever get elected to anything.

gabnebb, your meme is an interesting one. Always nice to see some credible, independent thought around here...that post is very Josh Marshall like.

dan carville weiner, Monday, 7 June 2004 02:49 (twenty years ago) link

Who is being condescending? Frank? How? Is he trying to convince anyone of his lack of condescension?

I find his portrayal of the midwest to be somewhat cartoonish and strawman-ish. And I don't know if he's trying to convince anyone of his lack of condescension, but he's doing a good job of confirming it. There's a lot truth in the piece I think, but also a lot of bias.

I think you are right that a lot of the "backlash" stems from feeling under-represented. That the rise in media has magnified certain extreme cultural elemets that scare/disturb/concern the many, many people outside the loops. (Why has there been no backlash in the other direction? Can people be culturally shocked into becoming more left?)

I don't think its all culture however. I think policy-wise, a lot of the middle class Republicans feel that the Dems work does not benefit them. Part of that might be the divide between the lower class and middle class. And part of it might be as simple and ugly as race. Plus for as long as I can remember, it's the Republicans who have been handing out the farming subisidies, not the Dems.

bnw (bnw), Monday, 7 June 2004 03:12 (twenty years ago) link

hey um latebloomer ask your boss if Schwarzenegger is eligible to run for president, I'd like to hear what his response is.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 03:43 (twenty years ago) link

the attempted rewrite of the 80s as only being good for the wealthy is a bit puzzling since the economy expanded by a third during the 80s, and clinton's boom was really reagan's boom as only a war interrupted 17 years of continuous growth.

who's attempting to rewrite history HERE?

Eisbär (llamasfur), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:07 (twenty years ago) link

whoa I didn't see that. Someone trying to claim that the '91 was recession was due to Desert Storm? Weird...

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:08 (twenty years ago) link

Since I actually know some Republicans (like, all 30 or so of my in-laws, for starters), and since my own wife voted for George W. Bush in 2000, I have assorted thoughts on this. Most people's political beliefs are pretty vague, for one thing. They have a sort of general sense of what they think is "right" and which party is most likely to do what they think is right, and that's how they tend to vote (although the vagueness is a prominent enough feature to account for most of your swing voter types, who can be swayed by anything from an attack ad to just liking the way a candidate looks -- which is why I'm still positive Kerry's going to lose, he looks like a smug motherfucker and that's going to hurt him).

I'm discounting the sizable minorities on both sides who pay close attention to issues and ideology, call up Rush Limbaugh or write letters to The New York Times, because they're statistically dispersed enough that it's really the vague voters who matter. And they not only can't articulate to you much about specific policies, the background of international affairs or who will actually win or lose in the Medicaid drug bill, they think there's something a little puzzling about people who can talk about those things. They're the kind of people who find the whole business of politics kind of distasteful and wish people wouldn't argue about it all so much. Which makes them borderline irresponsible citizens in my book, but of course people have to have the right not to be engaged in their own self-governance. And I still respect anyone who votes for any reason more than anyone who can't even be bothered (people who deliberately sit out an election as a matter of principle are a different matter -- I think that's a legitimate stance too).

Anyway, my wife swears she's not voting for Bush again. So that's one down.

spittle (spittle), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:09 (twenty years ago) link

also this is rich coming from someone who admittedly doesn't pay taxes:

The right has pounded "Taxes R Theft" and racist 'welfare queens driving cadillacs' dogma for decades and it has worked.

-- miloauckerman (suspectdevic...), June 6th, 2004.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:09 (twenty years ago) link

btw bnw Frank is from the Midwest.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:15 (twenty years ago) link

i also remember a whole lotta right-wingers pissing and moaning after clinton raised taxes in 1993 (raising the marginal rates FOR THE UPPER BRACKETS, NOT THE LOWER BRACKETS) -- all of the gloom and doom about how raising taxes was going to sink the economy, blah blah blah. and, of course, precisely ZERO republicans voted for the 1993 legislation.

of course, we all know what an economic shambles america was from 1993-2000. that's when the republicans were beginning to claim that it was a "continuation of the reagan recovery." yup.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:23 (twenty years ago) link

I'm just raking in the dough, screwing the IRS so I can buy me a Benz. (And a backpack.)

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:30 (twenty years ago) link

minus the backpack, same as a Republican.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:31 (twenty years ago) link

i'm not admitted in texas, mr. auckerman. if the IRS gets wind o' yo ass, yer on yer own.

Eisbär (llamasfur), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:32 (twenty years ago) link

it's not enough that he lives somewhere with no state income tax, is it?

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:33 (twenty years ago) link

Haha, yr funny. Strange that you take the 'I don't pay taxes' out of context with what I earned and do. Weak.

(Hint: 'self-employed' construction worker, probably 8000 miles on my truck I can tie directly to work, various other expenses - cleared about $11k. Do the math.)

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:34 (twenty years ago) link

I don't pay taxes /= I get a big refund due to deductions and whatnot.

Mainly I'm just needlin' ya tho so don't sweat it.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:36 (twenty years ago) link

'self-employed' construction worker, probably 8000 miles on my truck I can tie directly to work, various other expenses - cleared about $11k.

those are PRECISELY the ones that the IRS looks at MOST closely. self-employeds have the HIGHEST audit rate of all taxpayers. and no, i'm NOT joking.

i just hope you keep good records :-)

Eisbär (llamasfur), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:36 (twenty years ago) link

Thanks to Dick Armey and KB Hutchison I might even get a refund for not having to pay an income tax next year. (Big question: is Congress stupid enough to actually do that? Answer: Probably.)

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:36 (twenty years ago) link

er, not having to pay a state income tax

miloauckerman (miloauckerman), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:37 (twenty years ago) link

I have a pet theory on why lots of people vote the way they do.. it's the "Why Can't Things Just Be Nice" demographic. They don't know about a lot that goes wrong because it requires effort to seek out this information and more effort to understand and believe it, and hell, we all have limited amounts of time and busy lives. And the more overwhelmed you are in some aspects of life (no job security these days, health care's a mess, everybody's in debt, the war on terra, people dying in Iraq, etc.) the less tolerance you have for processing information about things being wrong elsewhere - the more you want things to Just Be Nice. (Culturally too - why did we have to hear about Clinton's adultery on TV? Why can't things Just Be Nice?) It's these people that say they just need to believe that George W Bush is doing the right thing for our country. The more uncertainty they have in some aspects of life the more tightly they have to hold on to certainty in others because otherwise everything will seem ungrounded, an insupportable condition. Yeah, you could just sneer and call them lazy/ignorant/etc., and I find it frustrating myself to encounter people who visibly are pained if you express an opinion or give information that doesn't match their worldview. But on the other hand it's not too far from the college radio DJ who wilts before your eyes when you say you think Bright Eyes is horrible 'cause he's built his whole worldview on a few flimsy ideals about certain bands and certain records. People who are trying to keep their lives together and want things to Just Be Nice don't want to know that George W Bush is a horrible president, they literally need this ideal of George W Bush 'cause everything else is going to hell, and they at least need to know that it's happening because George W Bush is doing what's necessary and right. Otherwise, not only is the nation screwed up, but there wasn't even a good reason for all the hardships this brings upon regular people, just incompetence on the part of our leaders.

daria g (daria g), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:53 (twenty years ago) link

god forbid lefty ILXors ever meet some intelligent right-wingers (there are a few out there, seriously).

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 04:56 (twenty years ago) link

not following this too terribly closely yet but I must say that just because Tom Frank is from the Midwest doesn't mean he can't be condescending toward it--and condescension is one thing Frank is very, very good at being.

Matos W.K. (M Matos), Monday, 7 June 2004 05:06 (twenty years ago) link

I don't dispute that Frank can be condescending, but I did think it worth noting that he is from the Midwest, and therefore has at least some experience with what he's writing about (I'm pretty sure he's actually from the KC suburbs, and he has addressed them quite often in his writing prior to the Harper's piece and new book). Let's give him some credit as he's not, say, Momus.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 7 June 2004 05:08 (twenty years ago) link

http://images.amazon.com/images/P/0385333781.01.LZZZZZZZ.jpg

TOMBOT, Monday, 7 June 2004 06:59 (twenty years ago) link

"hey um latebloomer ask your boss if Schwarzenegger is eligible to run for president, I'd like to hear what his response is. "

it would be, "oh".

latebloomer (latebloomer), Monday, 7 June 2004 07:25 (twenty years ago) link

seriously i don't think he was putting much thought into what he was saying.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Monday, 7 June 2004 07:26 (twenty years ago) link

neither am i right now for that matter, i'm tired....zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.

latebloomer (latebloomer), Monday, 7 June 2004 07:31 (twenty years ago) link

http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=4954&sequence=0

the tables are pretty good in this one.

the attempted rewrite of the 80s as only being good for the wealthy is a bit puzzling since the economy expanded by a third during the 80s

these two statements are not contradictory at all, that's my point here.

teeny (teeny), Monday, 7 June 2004 14:45 (twenty years ago) link

daria more or less stated the main reason why I feel Reagan et al win (which I'm taking the question to mean, since people vote for many different reasons). they're scared and just want someone 'tough' who'll keep shit in order.

oops (Oops), Monday, 7 June 2004 18:16 (twenty years ago) link

thats part of the reason people like bush. they see shit blowing up in iraq and they see something being done. they dont particularly understand the ramifications w/r/t creating thousands more terrorists, geopolitical consequences or in some cases, even where iraq is on the fucking map. but hey were TAKING IT TO THE TERR'ISTS.

bill stevens (bscrubbins), Monday, 7 June 2004 19:02 (twenty years ago) link

Why Do People Vote For Bush/Reagan, etc.
Because the only alternative the average non-political knows about are named Carter, Mondale, Dukakis and Kerry.
Also, I suspect part of the reason is that Reagan, Bush I and Bush II are much more entertaining than Carter, Mondale, Dukakis and Kerry could ever hope to be.
So, I propose we offer two more extra posts for election every four years: Village Idiot...and Master of Sleepytime. We can elect the Republican candidate for Village Idiot and the Democrat for Master of Sleepytime.
Gimme a second. I have to write up a ballot...

Lord Custos Omicron (Lord Custos Omicron), Monday, 7 June 2004 22:42 (twenty years ago) link

i would like frank more if he ever, ever, ever, ever, ever wrote anything positive about anything (except for a few bands on sub pop, and even that was about a decade ago)--if i felt he actually wanted good things to happen and didn't just want to gloat as his more accurate perception of all the bad things that are happening and have happened.

amateur!st (amateurist), Monday, 7 June 2004 22:58 (twenty years ago) link

Apparently, Bush voters are fatter than Gore voters.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 9 June 2004 01:43 (twenty years ago) link

someone smart seems to agree with me about "smartypants"

Eisbär (llamasfur), Sunday, 13 June 2004 18:26 (twenty years ago) link

One thing Republicans/conservatives/righties have figured out that leftists seem to still be struggling with is that they know how to communicate with the voting public on a "common sense", this-is-how-this-will-effect-you level. Leftists too easily come off as flakes or elitists to the majority. One look at the state of talk radio oughta confirm this.

iiii, Sunday, 13 June 2004 18:55 (twenty years ago) link

Tom Frank gives a very detailed account of America's rightward swing, but seems oddly mute on why it's happening. He's keen to skewer the approach of David Brooks -- Mr 'Red America v Blue America' -- but ends up 'refuting' Brooks' statistically-backed myths with nothing more than a slightly sarcastic tone, a lot of 'one hundred years ago'-type history, and rather too much detail about Kansas, his special subject. Brooks' 'Divided America' picture continues to be confirmed by empirical data like the new Gallup Poll which shows extreme and unprecedented levels of polarization in George W. Bush's job approval ratings, with 89% of Republicans approving of Bush, but just 12% of Democrats doing so. Usually in an election year the incumbent rushes towards the middle ground, but Bush shows no sign of doing this. For him, right just cannot be wrong.

Unfortunately, based at least on his Kansas studies, Tom Frank seems to agree:

'Out here the gravity of discontent pulls in only one direction: to the right, to the right, further to the right. Strip today's Kansans of their job security and they head out to become registered Republicans. Push them off their land and the next thing you know they're protesting in front of abortion clinic. Squander their life savings on manicures for the CEO and there's a good chance they'll join the John Birch Society. But ask them about the remedies their ancestors proposed- unions, antitrust laws,
public ownership- and you might as well be referring to the days when knighthood was in flower.'

Now, I think that in November the nation will point out that right can be wrong. But the question remains, why does being a victor take people right, and being a victim also take people right? Why this weird alliance in the US between victors and victims? Why this double sense of the nation as victim (of 9/11, of course, but also of other, more nebulous things) and victor (post-war dominant global power)? And how come the Republican party has managed to map its own sense of itself as victor-victim to the mood of, if not the whole nation, at least the 'heartlands'? Could it be that the aspiration of 'the American dream' has now been matched by the horror of 'the American nightmare'? Could it be that Bush is not rushing to the middle ground in an election year because there is no middle ground any more, or rather, the middle ground is somewhere else, in that extreme place where victim meets victor? The troubling thought is that it's in exactly that place, where humiliation meets triumphalism, and the middle class middle ground collapses, that fascism begins.

Momus (Momus), Sunday, 13 June 2004 22:00 (twenty years ago) link

This is a good post, I think.

Gregory Henry (Gregory Henry), Sunday, 13 June 2004 23:52 (twenty years ago) link


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