It Looks like it's going to be FOUR MORE YEARS OF Bush: What's in store?

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- Roe Vs. Wade overturned?
- War with Iran?
- War with North Korea?
- More Terrorism?

Predict away....

Alex in NYC (vassifer), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:06 (twenty years ago)

The worst economy you can possibly imagine?

adam... (nordicskilla), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:09 (twenty years ago)

more terrorism for sure. bush seems to have no desire to make any sort of attempt at getting to the root of the muslim hatred for the us. so it will fester and grow. and frankly, without reassessing our relationship with israel we should expect it.

Emilymv (Emilymv), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:14 (twenty years ago)

A stronger Canadian dollar!

Huk-L, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:15 (twenty years ago)

the supreme court will become anything but.

Emilymv (Emilymv), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:16 (twenty years ago)

I am completely at a loss. This is so depressing. Holy shit.

Je4nne ƒury (Jeanne Fury), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:18 (twenty years ago)

more rubber stamps

Freelance Hiveminder (blueski), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:18 (twenty years ago)

Kerry just conceded (so says CNN). All is lost.

Alex in NYC (vassifer), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:18 (twenty years ago)

Rupublican control of the House, the Senate, the Presidency, and the Supreme Court means Bush can write his own checks, regardless of whether his ass can cash them or not. So yeah, expect more war, more intolerance, more religion, more warping of the basic underlying ideas of the Constitution. More rampany unchecked corporate control, more disparity between rich and poor, fewer jobs, less education, fewer environmental protections. Expect stem cell research to never become a reality in this country. Expect our science and industry to slump badly.

Expect the worst.

Kenan (kenan), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:22 (twenty years ago)

Can we at least destroy marriage in retaliation?

Loose Translation: Sexy Dancer (sexyDancer), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:23 (twenty years ago)

Expect stem cell research to never become a reality in this country.

I keep wondering what the passage of the California proposition, though, will mean. (I've heard some interesting arguments for it from people I wouldn't have expected to back it -- a lot of it has to do with scoring early patents.)

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:24 (twenty years ago)

For Canada:
• Trade dispute overload time hooray!
• Missile shield $$$ black hole forced down our throat
• everytime we do something progressive like, say, marrying a gay couple or decriminalizing the smoking of a joint we can look forward to more "slowdowns at the boarder"
• the possibility of getting sucked into some dumbass war we normally would have no part in

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:27 (twenty years ago)

Roe v. Wade being overturned would be great for this country. Getting that issue out of the Court would eliminate an enormous red-herring litmus test. But I doubt it will happen.

The best news about the next four years is that Bush won't feel so politically compelled to acknowlege the far right. Let's just hope and pray that he won't.

don weiner, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:33 (twenty years ago)

School Prayer. The minimum wage has no chance of a living wage. Backlash against Hispanics, now that Bush got their vote.

jocelyn (Jocelyn), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:33 (twenty years ago)

don i do not follow how row v wade being overturned would be "good" and "get the issue out of the court", unless I missed something and you are a giant prolifer.

next four years: fuck it, the glory days of this country are behind us. more of the same. I'm more concerned with the growing consolidation of the evangelical movement in the US; they're voting Bush because they see Iraq as an attack on Muslims. Look for a goddamned Holy War in the next 50 years.

kyle (akmonday), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:36 (twenty years ago)

Four more years of this...

http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2004/ALLPOLITICS/11/03/election.main/top.bush.tuesday.ap.jpg


Happy now?

Alex in NYC (vassifer), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:37 (twenty years ago)

An interesting election day in 2006 for more senate and house seats reversals, possibly. (How many are up for grabs that year?)

twiki's ho and dr. theo slapping ass, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:37 (twenty years ago)

old people not seeing social security checks and wondering why. "Oh, well at long as it keeps away those terrorists, I'm happy to live in a ratty nursing home."

twiki's ho and dr. theo slapping ass, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:39 (twenty years ago)

Well, it depends on how things stand in 2006. Things would have to get really sketchy for BushCo and the GOP in general for a swapback.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:40 (twenty years ago)

don weiner, what the fuck is wrong with you?

I currently cannot imagine anything worse than a lame duck Dick Cheney.

Then again, Nixon got re-elected too.
We'll see.

TOMBOT, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 16:44 (twenty years ago)

$2 to the £1

massve defecit

china reposeses the cars and tvs of america

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:09 (twenty years ago)

Now is a good time not to have any outstanding debt of your own. On anything, really.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:11 (twenty years ago)

$2 to the £1

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

adam... (nordicskilla), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:12 (twenty years ago)

I AM PAYING OFF A GIANT UK CREDIT CARD BILL WITH SHITTY AMERICAN DOLLARS.

adam... (nordicskilla), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:13 (twenty years ago)

prayer in school. ten commandments posted everywhere. loyalty oaths.

invasion of Cuba. Heavy sanctions on Venezuela. Ignoring China.

book burnings. relocation camps.

badgerminor (badgerminor), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:19 (twenty years ago)

Dollar will fall, would have done whoever won as oil is still high and the defecit is unlikely to be reigned in anytime soon. US is in hock to the rest of the world and the dollar is not as important as it was. Ther eis much less of a need to buy dollars to pay for things, especially oil, now the euro is established. If china continues it's dollar peg and japan continues to prop up the dollar against the yen the only direction for dollars to flow to is europe. $1.9 to the pound would not be unlikely, it's been there already this year., $2 might be streching it a bit.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:20 (twenty years ago)

"An interesting election day in 2006 for more senate and house seats reversals, possibly. (How many are up for grabs that year?) "

-doubtfull, unless the democrats dump Terry McAufille (party chair)
I wanna be optimistic that Daschel is voted out so maybe someone with a brain will be the new rankin democrate in the senate

jb, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:24 (twenty years ago)

The rise of North American city-states?

Star Hustler, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:26 (twenty years ago)

Heh. We were talking last night about building a wall around Cook County.

Kenan (kenan), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:33 (twenty years ago)

what does nostradamus say, 'damus fans?
something relevant i'll bet.

do we know how well gordon brown gets on with george bush?
cause that's going to be interesting.

piscesboy, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:39 (twenty years ago)

Maybe next time terrorists will attack the RED states. Did I say that already? I was thinking it before.

redfez, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:40 (twenty years ago)

expect the US EPA to become little more than ashell. Forests to be logged, the arctic to bedrilled and emisssion curbs to be loosened.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:42 (twenty years ago)

Oklahoma City. Red State on Red State action.

badgerminor (badgerminor), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:42 (twenty years ago)

Maybe next time terrorists will attack the RED states. Did I say that already? I was thinking it before.

http://altura.speedera.net/ccimg.catalogcity.com/210000/214300/214324/Products/7707642.jpg

"Pulling only makes it tighter!"

Freelance Hiveminder (blueski), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:45 (twenty years ago)

With rebublicans in control of the House AND the Senate, as well as have a republican president, we're in for a real treat! It has been for the last four years, but he can do almost anything he wants now that he doesn't have to worry about getting reelected.

In the past 4 years, GW hasn't vetoed a single bill, spending or otherwise, and we have the largest increase in government accompanied with the largest deficit in history. The last four years of blame of 'things not going well' ranged from Clinton, terrorists and Iraq whether these be accurate targets or not. Next sacrificial lambs seem to be the trial lawyers.

"Pulling only makes it tighter!"

http://www.misslucifercrib.blogger.com.br/bob.jpg

redfez, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:54 (twenty years ago)

"The first time I noticed George W Bush was when he passed out in my bathtub at the Hyatt Regency in Houston. He was with a guy who had come to sell—

"Look, I'm not going to put this next sentence on the record. Let's just say that 'a friend of mine' was buying cocaine. I have friends in Houston from all walks of life. Lawyers. Professional men. Bush was hanging around with this crowd of what you might call gilded coke dilettantes.

"I remember Bush as a kind of a butt-boy for the smart people. This was in the late 1970s, when he was in his drunken-fool period. He couldn't handle liquor. He knew who I was, at that time, because I had a reputation as a writer. I knew he was part of the Bush dynasty. But he was nothing, he offered nothing, and he promised nothing. He had no humour. He was insignificant in every way and consequently I didn't pay much attention to him. But when he passed out in my bathtub, then I noticed him. I'd been in another room, talking to the bright people. I had to have him taken away.

"If George W Bush wins again, the United States faces utter disaster. If this president is re-elected, we are facing the total death of the American Dream as I know it, and I have spent a lot of time knowing it. I would tell them that if this gang of criminals get in once more, we will be in the position of a family who have sent the Hell's Angels written invitations to their Thanksgiving party.

"Such a decision represents a serious error of judgment. Because certain people never leave."

—Hunter S. Thompson, The Independent on Sunday, Oct 31, 2004

You've Got to Pick Up Every Stitch (tracerhand), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 17:56 (twenty years ago)

tecumseh's curse?

artdamages (artdamages), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 18:08 (twenty years ago)

tecumseh's curse?

We can only hope! Er, wait, no! Does that mean Cheney would take over and then we could REELECT him TWO MORE TIMES?!

redfez, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 18:30 (twenty years ago)

What the fuck is wrong with you Tombot?

I am generally pro-choice Kyle. But I think that turning the Court into a referendum on Roe v. Wade has been a cynical election strategy played brilliantly by both sides. I think it's been bad for the country on that level, and arguably it's a bad decision made by the Court originally. Let the states decide this issue or legislate it properly on a federal level. The people of this country want abortion legal, and it will always be legal. Four more years of Bushco is not going to change that.

Ed's mostly OTM.

(massive x-post)

don weiner, Wednesday, 3 November 2004 19:22 (twenty years ago)

NB a weak dollar may help bush and act as an export stimulus, and a european import disincentive (expect more trade wars as well I'm sure, probably would have happened whoever won). It comes down to what china does. China may let the renminbi float to ease an overheating economy. That would spread out the weakness of the dollar a bit. Who Bush picks to replace Greenspan will be very interesting.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 19:27 (twenty years ago)

I'm hearing lots of people talking about "the death of Liberalism". This is so fucked up.

Alex in NYC (vassifer), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 19:39 (twenty years ago)

I'm watching the Canadian parliament on CBC Newsworld right now, watching our leaders' response to the U.S. election. Our Conservative Party is attacking our governing Liberal Party about its sour relationship with the Bush administration, urging our prime minister to heal the rift. Our NDP Party is telling the House about Canadian anxiety and the need to refuse involvement with the missile defence plan.
It's wonderful theatre. Much yelling of "Shame, shame."

Bruce S. Urquhart (BanjoMania), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 19:43 (twenty years ago)

IFUCKING HATE THOSE CONSERVATIVE FUCKWADS GGGRRRRRR

Thermo Thinwall (Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 19:51 (twenty years ago)

From http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=topNews&storyID=6704093:

"Republicans, having expanded their control of Congress, were positioned on Wednesday to provide greater help to President Bush to push a stepped-up conservative agenda in his second term.

The Republican president has sought to extend tax cuts, promote pro-business policies and appoint anti-abortion judges and he may make another attempt to secure a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriages.

"With a bigger majority, we can do even more exciting things," House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, a Texas Republican, told a local television station in his state."

Nemo (JND), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 19:56 (twenty years ago)

"Exciting"

yuhyu7u

MC Transmaniacon (natepatrin), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 20:00 (twenty years ago)

(yes, I actually typed that second line with my fucking skull)

MC Transmaniacon (natepatrin), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 20:00 (twenty years ago)

'exciting'

oh my god thinking about tom delay getting excited just makes me want to punch people in the face (starting with rudy 'davinci veneers' ghouliani) and/or hide under my bed.

maura (maura), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 20:01 (twenty years ago)

Please, Hammer, don't hurt us.

Nemo (JND), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 20:26 (twenty years ago)

it's sad that iraq's continuing decline is still so (necessarily) inseparable from bush-hate, its one of the things a kerry victory would have liberated 'us' from. if iraq does become a failed state, "told you so" feels like such an enfeebled response.

m. (mitchlnw), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 21:09 (twenty years ago)

Ann Coulter isn't going away anytime soon, that's for damn sure. Barring murder-by-pie

Riot Gear! (Gear!), Wednesday, 3 November 2004 21:11 (twenty years ago)

well they've announced they don't plan to be nearly as moderate as they were first term, they've got a conservative mandate now

cinniblount (James Blount), Thursday, 4 November 2004 22:41 (twenty years ago)

You can question your leader, but not as much before. And careful you don't lose the privilege in the future

gabbneb (gabbneb), Thursday, 4 November 2004 22:47 (twenty years ago)

Has anyone done like me and completely shunned any news/tv coverage of Bush, the election aftermath, virtually since the end of Kerry's concession speech? I've lost all interest in American politics.
It's pretty sad.

Bumfluff, Thursday, 4 November 2004 22:48 (twenty years ago)

I know I've ignored it.

Nowell (Nowell), Thursday, 4 November 2004 22:49 (twenty years ago)

I've more or less ignored things. Couldn't bear to listen to the acceptance speeches. My NYTimes and WashPost for today remain, in their bags, in the front seat of my car. They will be discarded shortly.

tobo (tobo), Thursday, 4 November 2004 23:00 (twenty years ago)

can someone point me to another source that Hager was appointed to any post today? Because this has been floating around for two years; to the best of my search-engine abilities, he may or may not have actually been appointed back in June of this year. I haven't seen anything about any appointment happening today.

kyle (akmonday), Friday, 5 November 2004 01:01 (twenty years ago)

The guardian has paul wolfowitz as an outside chance for secretary of state. If that happens I'm going to build a bunker on spitzbergen.

Maybe Christopher Hitchens will blow it for Bush by giving Wolfowitz a blow job in the White House.

Rockist_Scientist (rockist_scientist), Friday, 5 November 2004 01:18 (twenty years ago)

http://bestmessageboardever.com/uploads/post-5-1099568636.jpg

\(^o^)/ (Adrian Langston), Friday, 5 November 2004 01:37 (twenty years ago)

Paul McCartney, on the CBS morning news, talked about how his band all group hugged before each performance and said a prayer together because "we're that kind of a band."

Eric H. (Eric H.), Friday, 5 November 2004 14:33 (twenty years ago)

How likely actually is it that abortion will be illegal in four years? All things like supreme court appointments considered? 20%? 80%?

Gravel Puzzleworth (Gregory Henry), Friday, 5 November 2004 14:50 (twenty years ago)

It probably depends on how healthy some of those justices are. I'd imagine that a couple who are getting up there might try to stay on as long as humanly possible, out of sheer decency. I hope.

Eric H. (Eric H.), Friday, 5 November 2004 15:26 (twenty years ago)

unlikely. even if roe v wade was overturned, this would go over to the states to decide on their own. and then I don't think most states would make it illegal at this point (maybe Utah. Fuck Utah!). Regardless, Arlen Specter just warned bush about trying to nominate any anti-abortion judges and said they'd never get approvedd. So good on him.

kyle (akmonday), Friday, 5 November 2004 18:04 (twenty years ago)

double the expected number of jobs created over the last 10 months, result of bush tax cuts, say the news

m. (mitchlnw), Friday, 5 November 2004 18:30 (twenty years ago)

"How likely actually is it that abortion will be illegal in four years? All things like supreme court appointments considered? 20%? 80%?"

Totally impossible in states like California and New York. The likelihood that a Federal law banning abortion will pass is currently still very slim so even Roe v Wade is overturned (and this is not at all unlikely) control of this issues would revert to the state level and there is currently not a chance in hell the California state legislature for example (which is overwhelmingly Democrat) would pass a law banning abortion. But you wouldn't be able to get an abortion in a slew of red states almost immediately (not that you really can anyway mind you--huge parts of this country make getting an abortion so difficult that it might as well be against the law.)

Alex in SF (Alex in SF), Friday, 5 November 2004 18:39 (twenty years ago)

Total x-post with Kyle there.

Alex in SF (Alex in SF), Friday, 5 November 2004 18:44 (twenty years ago)

Alex and Kyle quite correct here. In ways this becomes a question of federalism, which can also be seen as what will happen vis-a-vis gay marriage/civil unions. And then it becomes very interesting indeed, because there's a sublimated but not buried tension between 'letting the states do their own thing' and 'trying to make the law of the land God's law' impulses on the right which will inevitably come into conflict. It was already surfacing strongly with the failure of the amendment this year. As much as some would want to expiate 'sin' (however conceived) entirely from America, institutionally they're going to find themselves in a theoretical bind -- for the moment. If some specific and specifically successful political approach resolves that tension, then I would REALLY get worried. For now, though, I doubt it.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Friday, 5 November 2004 18:47 (twenty years ago)

Oh they've resolved that tension, Ned. It's called "fuck that Federalist when it's not convenient" (see Medical Marijuana, the election of 2000, partial birth abortions, etc.) The thing is though I am pretty sure they still don't have enough votes (and they will never have enough popular support so they are really risking a huge backlash) to make abortion illegal on a national level. The Religious Right is strong, but they aren't strong enough that they could exist without the help of deluded moderates who would completely abandon the party if they tried to make abortion illegal.

Alex in SF (Alex in SF), Friday, 5 November 2004 18:54 (twenty years ago)

It's called "fuck that Federalist when it's not convenient" (see Medical Marijuana, the election of 2000, partial birth abortions, etc.)

But it can't last as a consistent option, it's a hedge, as you note -- the lines hold but aren't THAT strong, and you've essentially outlined a key breaking point right there at the end of your post. I remember saying as much to Brian way the hell back in 2000 on that point, actually, so if they want to push it all the way -- well, I would hate to say 'bring it on,' I leave that to Bush. But I would raise my eyebrows if they really wanted to let a specific ideological subset *completely* dominate all other concerns.

What's been talked about for years but has yet to be specifically made incarnate is when, where and how a perceived final break between various wings of the GOP occurs (but perhaps more accurately the first word should be 'if' -- there are never any guarantees). I think we're agreed that there's some set of 'moderates,' deluded or not, that is still cleaving to the GOP because 'it's not the Democrats' at least. The hope is some sort of quid pro quo or attempt to rein in, and the question is, can that be maintained for longer? The explosion of fear and angst over the last few days has assumed it can't be and/or that the radical wing is ALL of the GOP -- there is, however, a calculation at work as well Rove-wards that could yet assume that said radical wing will eventually, slowly, replace all of the GOP as it stands. Could it? Good question...

Ned Raggett (Ned), Friday, 5 November 2004 19:02 (twenty years ago)

This guy definitely thinks so.

http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2004/11/05/viguerie/index.html

Alex in SF (Alex in SF), Friday, 5 November 2004 19:05 (twenty years ago)

Let him think his time is now if he chooses. If this guy figures that everything he's been working for for forty years is essentially now on the verge of being achieved, at base one of two things occurs:

1) He's right. He's right *and* there's enough continual popular acceptance beyond the election itself to justify this, which is not derailed by any potential reversals on various fronts for the current adminstration. Right now we're hoping he's not right, but what if he is?

2) He's wrong. Having sowed the wind, he reaps the whirlwind, and then we see the fallout. Overreaching could result in reaction, and triumphalist assumptions do not bear out in terms of reality.

It is beyond obnoxious (to put it mildly) that the political calculus has reached a point where what was theoretical now becomes potentially practical. But as I was saying to some friends the other day, America is an experiment in continual practice. This, rightly or wrongly depending on who you are, is the next step.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Friday, 5 November 2004 19:14 (twenty years ago)

six months pass...
It's interesting reading this thread again, and how apocalyptic we all were.

Sure, things are bad and getting worse.

Sure, we might decide to go public with our attempts to take down Iran, starting in July.

Etc.

But look at Bush's approval ratings. Look at his failure to win support for any policies besides cutting taxes.

LBJ had better approval ratings. Nixon had better approval ratings after Watergate.

I haven't read all the posts on this thread, but I wonder if anyone pointed out that this was a President in the middle of a war who only garnered about 50.5% of the popular vote.

From a perspective of just seven months later, our handwringing about the ultimate triumph of conservative Republicanism was wayyyy overblown (suspiciously overblown, even. It makes me wonder if American progressives really are, as George Somerby puts it, "born to lose" in national electoral politics.)

What's weird is that no one in the news media seems to have caught on to this, yet. The cable guys are still interviewing people from the Heritage Foundation about the new victory of God in politics. Bumiller still writes her Washington memo as if Bush is emperor for life. He's not, and he has no successor.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Monday, 23 May 2005 20:57 (twenty years ago)

Blount very cogently pointed out that while Democrats tend to think NEOCON will last forever, Neo-cons tend to think that even moreso.

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:06 (twenty years ago)

And why am I getting a username/password request every time I load this thread now? Who posted a link to a private host?

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:06 (twenty years ago)

Because JON "NOISE GENIUS" WILLIAMS posted an inline image that links to a presumably borked ".mac" account.

Thanks, Jon.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:13 (twenty years ago)

Anything could happen between now and 2008, no doubt. but if the simmering continues, and the lid is too tight, I wouldn't be too shocked if Pat Buchanan or Gingrich or both decide to form an offshoot party or collaborate with the Libertarians to make a formidable third party for Election 2008. If that happens, good bye Neo Cons after 2008.

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:16 (twenty years ago)

Wishful thinking there, Donut? I don't think that combination would necessarily truly be formidable.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:17 (twenty years ago)

Formidable enough to siphon votes away from whoever will be the "Republican" candidate.. Neither Perot nor Nader were formidable either, but at least one of them each made a difference for an election result.

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:18 (twenty years ago)

2008's a long way away yet. We'll see.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:19 (twenty years ago)

..while surely combined with other factors *COUGHSHITTYCAMPAIGNINGBYTHEINCUMBANTSCOUGHCOUGH* but anyway...

and yes, a lot can happen in a year.. especially three.

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:20 (twenty years ago)

I just had this discussion with someone yesterday. The whole conservativism in politics is completely overblown/overrated. Bush won because he was a more interesting guy to apathetic voters. This is why I think voting should not be encouraged/promoted. If people aren't interested in voting, they should stay home and not fuck up the vote. i.e. if they don't care, don't shame them into making a decision about something that they really don't care about.

Anyway, Dems have to put up someone more fun than Gore or Kerry. Someone with a bit of an attitude .. Estelle Getty or Poochy ...

diedre mousedropping and a quarter (Dave225), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:20 (twenty years ago)

Bush won because he was a more interesting guy to apathetic voters.

I don't think that really sums it up. Sorry.

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:22 (twenty years ago)

Buchanan and Gingrich are just jealous that someone took away their "evillest man in America" lanyards.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:22 (twenty years ago)

Not totally, but I think it had a lot more to do with it than a shift in public sentiment toward religious fundamentalism.

diedre mousedropping and a quarter (Dave225), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:23 (twenty years ago)

HAHAHAHAHAHAAH!

Let the "most Evil right-wing" battle begin.

*insert Pink Flamingos footage*

Not totally, but I think it had a lot more to do with it than a shift in public sentiment toward religious fundamentalism.

And also a completely waffling too-much-too-late campaign by Kerry... if not perhaps just a not-so-great choice for a Dem candidate. And about a gazillion other factors too.

donut debonair (donut), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:24 (twenty years ago)

But look at Bush's approval ratings. Look at his failure to win support for any policies besides cutting taxes.

so what? he's not up for reelection. it doesn't matter for him or for the next three years how unpopular he is, he can do as much damage as he likes.

kyle (akmonday), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:27 (twenty years ago)

I dunno, things seems both better and worse to me than they did at the time. It's been nice to watch the Social Security "plan" sink like a rock tied to an anvil in cement booties. (Altho it's not technically dead yet, and they can still screw up the system even if they don't get to scrap it wholesale.) The Schiavo grandstanding was a richly deserved embarrassment for them. And in general, some undefined but evidently real "center" of the country seems uncomfortable with a lot of the Jesusland stuff.

BUT...the Democrats still seem mostly clueless about how to go anywhere useful from here. They've shown they can get united to stave off the worst of the worst, but they still let the bankruptcy and tort reform bills through, and at least some of Bush's assaults on environmental protections are probably going to stick. Harry Reid makes Tom Daschle look charismatic. And the absence of any obvious broad support isn't keeping the Christian right from pushing its full-throttle holy war.

And the bigger problems -- an increasingly undereducated, underinformed and undermotivated population waking up much to slowly to the unfamiliar realities of a competitive world -- are almost totally absent from the political landscape. (OK, that makes me sound like Tom Friedman, but he's not wrong about everything.)

So, right, no apocalypse. But we're heading into the second decade of our decline from prominence, and we give no sign so far of doing it gracefully.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:27 (twenty years ago)

(i guess i should say "decline from predominance," as we'll still be prominent for some time to come -- unfortunately it seems likely to be in the manner of a pampered thug who no one can afford to completely ignore just yet)

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:30 (twenty years ago)

But look at Bush's approval ratings. Look at his failure to win support for any policies besides cutting taxes.

it doesn't matter for him or for the next three years how unpopular he is, he can do as much damage as he likes.

Sorry, I meant these as two separate things. i.e. NOT ONLY is he unpopular, but he ALSO isn't even getting his agenda across.

Gypsy's right about the bankruptcy and tort reform stuff, and although I don't know much about it it, that never stopped me from spouting off about anything before, so why stop now? I'm not sure how much those were "Bush's" issues, and how much they were the issues of congressional Republican leadership. Anyone know?

In any case, it's over now for Bush. Well, it will be over around June or July, when congressional campaigning really begins in earnest. That's why he's been so hell-for-leather on this Social Security barnstorming tour - he knows that in order to get any signature domestic legislation across it's going to have to happen NOW or it's not going to happen at all. Haha and just to show you how completely, egregiously boneheaded he and whoever the fuck is advising him - Rove? - are, the filibuster thing threatens EVERYTHING. So so greedy.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:37 (twenty years ago)

A fear of hubris on the right -- it's about the war and it's the NRO so a lot of this is not something many here will agree with, but it's the last paragraph that's the killer, and can be applied elsewhere.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:39 (twenty years ago)

I mean really, can we stop with the "ooh the Republicans are master strategians" or whatever? They are not! They're very good at marching in lockstep. They are fantastic at saying things they know to be untrue with utter conviction. These are important qualities for success in the modern mediascape. But SMART? They can't even defeat 16-year-olds in IRAQ, much less twist the minds of an entire nation, even with every major news organization giving them blowjobs.

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:41 (twenty years ago)

Because JON "NOISE GENIUS" WILLIAMS posted an inline image that links to a presumably borked ".mac" account.

Thanks, Jon.

-- Tracer Hand (tracerhan...) (webmail), May 23rd, 2005 6:13 PM. (tracerhand) (later) (link)

Hey, eat a dick. Not my fault someone can't be bothered to pay for a .mac account and the image breaks MONTHS later. Also, I don't get any annoying dialog because my ILX preferences are set to only show X new messages.

Cool Hand Luuke (ex machina), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:45 (twenty years ago)

*mmpphh*

Tracer Hand (tracerhand), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:47 (twenty years ago)

I'm not sure how much those were "Bush's" issues, and how much they were the issues of congressional Republican leadership.

They were really issues of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce -- the quieter but more legislatively effective partner in the "fiscal"/"social" conservative alliance. They'd like to see Social Security done too, but I think they're really more interested in issues like those (and probably a lot of lower-profile stuff that's happening that most of us aren't even tuned into), changes in overtime requirements, etc.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:52 (twenty years ago)

And no, they're not master strategists. At the moment, for various reasons, they're more effective than the Democrats. Which is saying oh so very little.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Monday, 23 May 2005 21:53 (twenty years ago)

If the Democrats want to reclaim control of US politics, they need to reposition themselves as Libertarians. The Bush administration's greatest weakness right now is their busy-body public policy and economic recklessness. They need to flip the script and paint the Republicans as the party of big spending, which is exactly what they have become.

Matthew C Perpetua (inca), Monday, 23 May 2005 22:39 (twenty years ago)

I think some kind of left-libertarianism is the way to go -- both politically and policy-wise -- but articulating it would take some new thinking and new leadership, and I don't know where that would come from.

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Monday, 23 May 2005 22:45 (twenty years ago)

PERRY '08

Ned Raggett (Ned), Monday, 23 May 2005 22:46 (twenty years ago)

Well, since he didn't get Pope...

gypsy mothra (gypsy mothra), Monday, 23 May 2005 22:55 (twenty years ago)

I took the .mac image out.

teeny (teeny), Monday, 23 May 2005 23:08 (twenty years ago)

The Democrats, to me at least, need to start marketing themselves as being very socially libertarian (in other words, gay rights and pro guns at the same time) while alternately taking Perpetua's mention of "turning the tables" on the Republicans when it comes to spending. That, and try to make "liberal" back into something more like its actual meaning than the negative connotations neo-cons have ascribed it.

Alan Conceicao (Alan Conceicao), Monday, 23 May 2005 23:23 (twenty years ago)


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