My BP nom list:
BabelUnited 93The DepartedDreamgirlsFlags of Our Fathers
Could also be World Trade Center, Letters from Iwo Jima, Little Miss Sunshine, Bobby, and I have a weird feeling Children of Men could end up in the running if it has box office legs, though jaymc and morbs have expressed scepticism.
PS I have seen none of these films, but doing so is never a requirement to play this game.
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:02 (eighteen years ago)
Bobby won't get anywhere near the Best Pic nominees. You'd think that the Golden Globe and SAG Ensemble nods would be indicators, but it's also the kind of star-studded movie that the Globes go crazy for (look, it's Lindsay Lohan! and there's Sharon Stone! etc.), and SAG Ensemble nominations are often given to movies that simply have a large ensemble. But overall reception wasn't particularly great, and an Oscar film it ain't.
World Trade Center doesn't seem likely. I'm not sure it ever really caught on, and it's hard to imagine Academy voters going with two 9/11 films. (That said, I'm beginning to have doubts about United 93. Seems a little too criticky.)
You're also forgetting a major contender: The Queen
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:13 (eighteen years ago)
Bobby gets the aging lefty nostalgics, with a musty stench of import hanging over it. Keep in mind these are people who writ Crash into the history books.
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:16 (eighteen years ago)
(if one of the Clints squeezes in, it will be the Japanese one)
DiCaprio (Departed)Gosling (the only iffy one)O'TooleWill SmithWhitaker
CruzDenchMirrenStreepWinslet
CondonEastwood FrearsInnarituScorsese
(subject to change once DGA noms come out)
and the rest, as Bill Murray usta say, who cares.
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:17 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:19 (eighteen years ago)
will Gore take best doc? i really hope jesus camp gets a nom.
― mahalo 4 ur kokua (grady), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:20 (eighteen years ago)
Gore seems an early lock for best doc, but that category has been known to zag when a zig is expected.
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:23 (eighteen years ago)
(All the nominated pictures' directors are chosen, with the exception of Eastwood replacing Dayton/Faris -- which looks like the list that Morbius is predicting as well.)
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:24 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:26 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:26 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:28 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:30 (eighteen years ago)
xp
Is Babel worth seeing at all?
― mahalo 4 ur kokua (grady), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:31 (eighteen years ago)
Eddie MurphyJack NicholsonMichael SheenAlan ArkinJackie Earle Haley
Supporting Actress:
Jennifer HudsonCate BlanchettAdriana BarazzaRinko KikuchiAbigail Breslin
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:31 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:32 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:33 (eighteen years ago)
― Eric H. (Eric H.), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:35 (eighteen years ago)
Yeah, I don't see them nominating Cohen and Ken Watanabe may be the only other lead on the radar. This is a good scoreboard site:
http://www.oscarwatch.com
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:36 (eighteen years ago)
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:37 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:37 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:38 (eighteen years ago)
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:41 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:42 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:45 (eighteen years ago)
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:45 (eighteen years ago)
Yeah, I was thinking of it as the Full Monty slot.
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:47 (eighteen years ago)
what about Babel's role as the "globo-Crash"? i forget who I stole that from.
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:52 (eighteen years ago)
What are the chances of Pan's Labyrinth breaking out of the foreign pic ghetto?
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:54 (eighteen years ago)
About $60 million, but lots of great word-of-mouth, surprise hit, etc.
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:56 (eighteen years ago)
― Eric H. (Eric H.), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:56 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 17:58 (eighteen years ago)
Heh.
At first I thought you meant you saw Little Miss Sunshine, and I was reading "strippers" as "beauty-pageant contestants." Eek.
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:00 (eighteen years ago)
― Eric H. (Eric H.), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:01 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc (jaymc), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:08 (eighteen years ago)
The Death of Mr LazarescuL'EnfantPan's Labyrinth VolverZwartboek
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:18 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:23 (eighteen years ago)
― ‘•’u (gear), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:26 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn (Alfred Soto), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:27 (eighteen years ago)
― s1ocki (slutsky), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:28 (eighteen years ago)
Apoctalypto is ineligible for FL nom, correct?
(on technical grounds, not because the Jews are responsible for all wars)
― Edward III (edward iii), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:28 (eighteen years ago)
― jed_ (jed), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:31 (eighteen years ago)
Much harder if Nicholson does for same film.
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:35 (eighteen years ago)
― ‘•’u (gear), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:40 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:44 (eighteen years ago)
― ‘•’u (gear), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:45 (eighteen years ago)
walhberg deserves it way more.
― s1ocki (slutsky), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:46 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:49 (eighteen years ago)
― ‘•’u (gear), Friday, 5 January 2007 18:50 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Sunday, 25 February 2007 23:31 (eighteen years ago)
― forksclovetofu, Monday, 26 February 2007 01:13 (eighteen years ago)
― forksclovetofu, Monday, 26 February 2007 05:31 (eighteen years ago)
― Alba, Monday, 26 February 2007 09:24 (eighteen years ago)
― Alba, Monday, 26 February 2007 11:05 (eighteen years ago)
― Nicole, Monday, 26 February 2007 11:58 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Monday, 26 February 2007 14:31 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc, Monday, 26 February 2007 14:35 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Monday, 26 February 2007 14:43 (eighteen years ago)
― Eric H., Monday, 26 February 2007 18:13 (eighteen years ago)
― Nicole, Monday, 26 February 2007 18:16 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 26 February 2007 18:40 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Monday, 26 February 2007 18:43 (eighteen years ago)
― Eric H., Monday, 26 February 2007 19:02 (eighteen years ago)
― Nicole, Monday, 26 February 2007 19:04 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Monday, 26 February 2007 19:12 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 26 February 2007 19:35 (eighteen years ago)
― kenan, Monday, 26 February 2007 21:31 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:09 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:14 (eighteen years ago)
― kenan, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:27 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:28 (eighteen years ago)
― gabbneb, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:37 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:39 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:44 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:51 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:54 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Monday, 26 February 2007 22:55 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 23:00 (eighteen years ago)
― nickalicious, Monday, 26 February 2007 23:01 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 23:06 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 23:07 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc, Monday, 26 February 2007 23:13 (eighteen years ago)
― nabisco, Monday, 26 February 2007 23:14 (eighteen years ago)
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― nabisco, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 00:02 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 00:10 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 15:14 (eighteen years ago)
― forksclovetofu, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 15:31 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 16:00 (eighteen years ago)
― jaymc, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 16:11 (eighteen years ago)
― Alfred, Lord Sotosyn, Tuesday, 27 February 2007 16:13 (eighteen years ago)
Jesus, do I feel sorry for anyone who prefers The Departed to Goodfellas.
― Eric H., Wednesday, 28 February 2007 05:12 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 28 February 2007 14:37 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 28 February 2007 14:38 (eighteen years ago)
― Edward III, Wednesday, 28 February 2007 15:54 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 28 February 2007 15:59 (eighteen years ago)
― dan selzer, Wednesday, 28 February 2007 16:09 (eighteen years ago)
― Dr Morbius, Wednesday, 28 February 2007 16:12 (eighteen years ago)