Robotman oddly cheery: US General Election 2012 part IV

The last 7 days. Fill 'er up!

*barfs*

Speaking for us all:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OjrthOPLAKM

hey world, don't film your kids crying and put it on the internet. you think it's funny? no, it's fucked up.

they see me trollin...

http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/10/barack-obama-is-a-great-president-yes-great.html

"For anybody who voted for Obama in 2008 and had even the vaguest sense of his platform, the notion that he has fallen short of some plausible performance threshold seems to me unfathomable."

http://imgs.isidewith.com/results-image/195622771.jpg

"The sense among Obama’s wavering supporters that he has failed rests upon a two-part indictment."

What an idiot.

gtfo with those isidewith jpgs

Ohio Ohio Ohio

http://www.wlwt.com/news/politics/Husted-Suspend-court-ruling-to-avoid-confusion/-/9837768/17199052/-/7kpc8dz/-/index.html?absolute=true&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=wlwt

Ohio's top elections official wants a court to suspend a federal ruling expanding the conditions under which provisional ballots are counted in the battleground state.

U.S. District Judge Algenon Marbley ruled last week that provisional ballots cast in the wrong precinct and in the wrong polling location altogether must still be counted in Ohio.

Secretary of State Jon Husted is appealing the decision to the 6th U.S. Court of Appeals in Cincinnati. His attorneys urgently asked the court on Friday for a stay on the order, pending its appeal.

They argued the suspension was needed so the election could proceed without the harm and confusion caused by last-minute litigation.

Marbley said he based his decision on the rationale that such problems arise because of mistakes by poll workers.

COUNT THE VOTES

Husted is a real piece of work.

is there a decent article/can someone sum up easily how the frankenstorm will effect this ting?

Frankenstorm might diminish Obama popular vote margin in NY and NJ, but I'm still worried about the close battleground states no matter what Nate Silver is projecting:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/virginia-politics/post/poll-presidential-race-too-close-to-call-in-virginia/2012/10/31/507469c6-235e-11e2-8448-81b1ce7d6978_blog.html?hpid=z2

ad for sean duffy, the real world congressman

http://youtu.be/errkE2orSmk

EMMA: Hey, Olivia. What’s it gonna be?
OLIVIA: Hi Emma. Hmmm. Latte, cappuccino? I can’t make up my mind.
EMMA: That’s how I felt about this election… until I took a good look at the candidates.
OLIVIA: And?
EMMA: I’m for Sean Duffy. He’s pretty cool, actually. He’s part of this new generation of leaders, the kind we need in Washington. He’s a good husband and father and he fights for small businesses, like mine. So I can keep the doors open and even hire more people.
OLIVIA: He’s the cute one, right?

that transcript sounds verbatim like the young twentysomethings I used to work with circa 2004

lol dogg your wife used to polish Puck's nutz

http://por-img.cimcontent.net/api/assets/bin-201210/6d95d06b8b328ba97f9b8a66f16bc661.jpg

(Sean "The Cute One" Duffy, not DJP!)

was gonna say

remember when she was applying to get into some top-ranked grad school program while on the show (I think either Stanford or Princeton?) and when she didn't get in she started ranting about Affirmative Action? did actual Harvard grad Pam ever hear that and lol at her?

Robotman oddly cheery: US General Election 2012 part IV

^^^ this is excellent (i loved the JLA discussion last thread), am sad though that we long since missed the window to have the highly topical "The Symmetries Are Just The Right Height"

one of my two conservative friends on FB keeps going on and on about how people are being "banned from fB" for criticizing Obama. Where is this nonsense originating from?

ever since i took over fB

the contents of his empty echoey head?

people seem to have difficulty distinguishing between "criticizing Obama" and "being a big fucking racist"

try pointing this out to your friend, along with asking him how many birther jokes he's posted, see what happens

people seem to have difficulty distinguishing between "criticizing Obama" and "being a big fucking racist"

Balloon Juice has this problem apparently

http://www.splicetoday.com/pop-culture/what-me-worry

I really love the layout of Splice Today, fwiw. Really nice design.

Needs more links at the top.

Approps of nothing much, I'm listening to NPR for the first time in more than a year. Man, I've missed this. Somehow since moving to Texas I've lost touch with it.

i'm watching an NBA feed from michigan and there was an ad for JUDGES saying something like "they've fought for our jobs" or something to that effect. pretty gross

http://www.buzzfeed.com/mckaycoppins/the-making-of-romneys-storm-relief-event?s=mobile

"the frequency of extreme weather situations"

I love this campaign ad:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Alzz11k9yMk

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight
In our model, Romney has just a 3% chance of winning conditional upon losing Ohio; Obama has just an 8% chance.

what is nate silver's favorite baseball team

"....ahhhhhh....that was nice"

I thought if Obama loses Ohio, he still has a lot more ways to get 270?

yeah but in the universe where he loses ohio he isn't likely to win a lot of those other ways to get to 270

that Ohio is such a close call means whether it goes his way is kind of independent of whether other states go his way, though

xp that's not how 538 works though? The universe where he loses Ohio is just the universe where the actual poll there was on the low side of the margin of error.

CRISIS ON INFINITE EARTH

S

I think this Jeep bullshit will drive Mitt's independent numbers in Ohio down even further by next Tuesday. EVERY paper in the state is saying it's a load of bullshit.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:SecretwarsII3.png

i think mitt could shit in a pizza box on stage during a press conference and it wouldn't change a damn thing

Biggest obstacle to that happening is that Mitt doesn't know what pizza is.

xp that's not how 538 works though? The universe where he loses Ohio is just the universe where the actual poll there was on the low side of the margin of error.

― Andrew Farrell, Wednesday, October 31, 2012 9:38 PM (4 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

that is how 538 works! that's why there's only an 8% chance of him winning if he doesn't win ohio, even though there are plenty of different ways he can...the ohio was on the low side of the margin of error' universes are that 8%.

that Ohio is such a close call means whether it goes his way is kind of independent of whether other states go his way, though

― some dude, Wednesday, October 31, 2012 9:36 PM (11 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

? it's not independent because for the most part the country swings as a whole not on a state-by-state basis

Taking sides in terms of importance:

Silver's career vs. Obama winning a second term

― Raymond Cummings, Monday, November 5, 2012 11:46 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

sleep tight tonight, pal

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/332579/crush-them-michael-walsh#

CRUSH THEM

FINISH THE JOB

Kathryn Jean Lopez ‏@kathrynlopez
All time best moment of the election might be Mitt getting into Kid Rock.

Not completely disagreeable

Please let the end of this election be Mitt and Kid getting thrown out of a Waffle House.

Before or after the credits?

kid rock is such the perfect off brand springsteen for romney

ok is that just the first hyperlink for 'ghw bush' he found or is he implying that bush I NEVER SHOULD'VE BEEN PRESIDENT cuz of cia connections???

i don't get the feeling that Michael Walsh has the ability to 'imply' things

FOUND IT!

http://s3.amazonaws.com/files.posterous.com/temp-2010-10-26/eFkosAjqaIBggwtzprlrnevlqlAbCwpGtrhvftiFFzjwrJsanojyquenahmy/BloomCountyElectioneering.jpg.scaled1000.jpg?AWSAccessKeyId=AKIAJFZAE65UYRT34AOQ&Expires=1352181502&Signature=eI9gKvwCjoV%2B13PdLDQLMsDWyhY%3D

http://telebunny.net/toastyblog/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/121105_bloom.gif

I want a straw boater for tomorrow night

straw boat veterans for truth

shit, that earlier strip didn't load:

http://sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-snc7/416977_10151106810426596_1360704667_n.jpg

Nate Silver explains the adjustment: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/nov-5-late-poll-gains-for-obama-leave-romney-with-longer-odds/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

kid rock is such the perfect off brand springsteen for romney

― GOOD LUCK USA! (lag∞n), Tuesday, 6 November 2012 01:34 (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

yessssss

Florida remains too close to call. The FiveThirtyEight forecast has the race there within two-tenths of a percentage point, which would be close enough to trigger an automatic recount.

“I think he’s run a horrible campaign,” Andy Nimmo, a small business owner from Bedford told TPM. Nimmo thinks Romney will win, and handily. But said Romney should have fired his campaign staff long ago.

“To me, when you look at him on TV, it sounds like rhetoric, it sounds plastic, it sounds like he’s being handled,” he said. “You don’t really get the feeling that it’s coming from his heart, but I know him and I know that it is.”

"He has seen things you wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the coast of Orion. He watched c-beans glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser Gate."

c-beans!

Yeah whoever told him to make that 47% remark should have been fired. Though i definitely believed it came from his heart.

Too bad Romney didn't fire his obviously horrible campaign staff. Ironic, since firing people seems to be the one thing he is good at and seems to take real joy in.

ok conversation between dave wasserman and nate silver on twitter has me wobbly as fuck so i'm going to bed

good luck usa

http://www.google.co.uk/imgres?q=good+luck&start=147&um=1&hl=en&client=firefox-a&rls=org.mozilla:en-GB:official&biw=1600&bih=708&tbm=isch&tbnid=nios2T8ltjw66M:&imgrefurl=http://www.vectorfree.com/good-luck&docid=P3hIQFYKqMSI9M&imgurl=http://www.vectorfree.com/media/vectors/good-luck.jpg&w=1024&h=768&ei=6eeYUJTGFpO00QWp3oCwCw&zoom=1&iact=hc&vpx=1238&vpy=88&dur=316&hovh=177&hovw=237&tx=105&ty=97&sig=108454059976001042603&page=5&tbnh=139&tbnw=186&ndsp=39&ved=1t:429,r:53,s:100,i:163

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_sAdb9rH0Pgg/Sgm4PsLR53I/AAAAAAAAA0o/tDfp14aqNHo/s1600/Goodluck.1

Don't go riot...

pro-tip: if Obama wins tonight, suggest executing every last motherfucking Republican in the country tomorrow, might save some hassle next time

lefty shows his teeth at last

aquadusco

ok conversation between dave wasserman and nate silver on twitter has me wobbly as fuck so i'm going to bed

YES

:-(

deep bench, no starters

― captain angeroo (upper mississippi sh@kedown), Monday, November 5, 2012 6:37 PM (Yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

http://i1.sndcdn.com/artworks-000031332913-w43jok-original.jpg?f6d22d0

Good luck, Nate Silver.

Is that the looming Monolith?

Vice President Joe Biden tells press 'oh, I don't think so' when asked if this is the last time he'll vote for himself - @NBCNews

i have voted

pro-tip: if Obama wins tonight, suggest executing every last motherfucking Republican in the country tomorrow, might save some hassle next time

whats wrong with you

i'm an idealist

suggest execute

This has been on the cusp of my understanding for a while now, but it occurs to me (and I'm sure that is is by no means a unique perspective/projection) that the oligarchy is vehemently opposed to Obamacare because, once it's fully in effect, we're likely to see a slow-but-steady middle class mass exodus from soul sucking shit jobs where people are lashed to the mast due to their need for continued health coverage. Seeing a potential shift in what work means to people (and what people are willing to tolerate as their options open up) is something I'm excited to see during Obama's second term.

that's not necessarily true. a lot of huge corporations would love to not have to deal w/ health care anymore. if anything, that they don't support universal health care more is 'the conspiracy'.

Remember a few years back when a bunch of US companies got themselves all in a snit because, under NAFTA , they couldn't be as competitive in bids since they had to provide healthcare for their employees and Canadian companies didn't?

wait – there's a middle class?

yeah, all the people making $100K - $750K/year

I agree with Old Lunch on this one, I completely think that Obamacare will increase job mobility and will ultimately drive wages higher as short term jobs with health care become more feasible.

yeah but that's part of a larger shift that's already happening (a slow shift from a full-time labor force to a freelancer economy) so it will be hard to isolate what effect obamacare will have.

I suppose, but I will at least be personally more motivated to look for contract work when my health benefits no longer need to come from my long-term employer.

yeah but you won't be alone in that = doesn't suggest wages for contract work will go up, the opposite really

whereas on the other side you will have more full-time jobs turned into high paying contract work

I don't think contract wages will go up, I think salaried wages will.

well places that aren't paying for health care anymore can pay more, but if people are buying their own health care that 'cancels out'. I dunno my only point is 'so many things going on at once w/ the changing labor force that it will be hard to attribute this or that effect to obamacare'.

obv it's a very good thing overall and *esp* in the context of the already changing labor force