2013 NLCS: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Fuck, I'm marooned out at a restaurant, won't get back until halfway through. Morbs' post makes me sad, though. Joe fucking Kelly.

Oh, still no score!

wow, kelly looks awful

Yep

But he has a lot of wins so he is good.

- mike matheny

sorry man, shoulda gone w/ "he's in the lineup!"

Can I killfile the fucking "all-time postseason" idiot graphics plz?

Kelly needed that 1-2-3 DP

yes, how was that not out

beltran beltranning

Scully thinks nonrusty Ethier catches it

i thought it was going to be a home run. i turned on the TV and the ball was in the air.

synchronized bullpen stretching routines

it's the cardinal way

whoever invented post season cap patches shd be executed, and they shd keep executing people until there are no more patches

lol

well you have a guy on third and leave your pitcher in? not sure if i like it.

third second

i thought he was through six but he was only through five. so yes keep the pitcher in.

grnki is a good hitter too

are we sure that isnt LaRussa in a Matheny mask?

fuck

puiiiig

when's he gonna cost them a game with his reckless style?

some ballsy fielding that inning

good thing donnie pinch ran for gonzalez!

going to the ninth

99 MPH

18 runs in his last 14 starts

Samsung using LCD Soundsystem

wow @ that beard. wow.

Button yr damn shirt

i was about to say Wilson usually walks a whole lot of people, what happened to that

not quite

YEAH

wowwwwwwwwww

not quite

that was not smart

lordamighty

jerry meals thinks he was safe

you have to call him out there

tag shmag, he was obv out

woo our bench suuuucks

somehow subtracting Ty wigginton made it worse

nice

it could have been really interesting

this game sucks i hope they both lose

to inning 12

Lance Lynn is coming in so there's that

it has been a great game

xxpost

this is the trade off we must make for him not to start game 4

Just got home, who won?

And if the great majority of voters were guided by JAWS, that'd be compelling evidence that Trout's far ahead. But they're not (not yet, anyway--20 years from now, who knows?)--Kershaw's hardware will figure in prominently. You're arguing "should"; I'm talking about "is."

But I also realize pitchers are a much bigger roll of the dice. Trout's similarity comps include seven HOF'ers, one player who will go in, Vada Pinson, and Tony Conigliaro. Kerhaws's include Seaver, Clemens, Palmer, and Pedro--great start--but also Gary Nolan, Vida Blue, and Lefty Liefeld (?).

Zone was a mess all series but I think the better team won. Cards beat Kershaw twice and Greinke once. Dodgers also had Hanley and Ethier in the lineup but they were hardly a presence. We'll get em next year.

All SP's vs CF's (not all OF's or all position players) isn't a fair comparison (different sample sizes). But Kershaw is clearly the best pitcher in baseball based on a body of work stretching over a few years, so it would be like Johan Santana getting knocked around in '06-'07. Whether they continue(d) on a HOF path isn't really the point.

He was never the best in baseball, but Andy Pettitte had a lot of meltdown starts in the playoffs considering his reputation as a big time pitcher (and possible HOFer). I count at least six (although none since 2001).

But Kershaw is clearly the best pitcher in baseball

hmmmmm

kershaw is obviously the best pitcher in baseball, yes

same thing i mentioned with the trout vs cabrera thing -- unless we're talking hitters in coors, everyone is apparently perfectly happy to acknowledge park factors, but no one actually cares to include them in their evaluation of players

i think kershaw is probably in the top 2, maybe still the best even in LA, but i'd put verlander right up there even with this last year under his belt

well yeah i mean you almost have to weigh more recent seasons more heavily when you're talking about who the best pitcher/player is RIGHT NOW. if we weigh each season equally then over the last 3 years verlander is right there with him, maybe even better

Whether he's #1 or #1A doesn't really change the argument.

Dodger Stadium has averaged about a 96 PF during Kershaw's career, the last few years Coors is around 115-120, down from it's high 120's heyday in the 90's. So basically there's a good reason why Coors was and remains a special case.

ok -- coors being super special doesn't make other park differences smaller or something, kershaw would still look like a different pitcher in most other parks

That's what I was thinking of (xpost). At any given time there are, what, maybe five to ten starting pitchers who are more or less in their prime and on a HOF track? Today's list starts with Verlander, Kershaw, and Felix, and you can fill in the rest different ways. I don't think Andujar was one of those pitchers in 1985, but I'd have to go back and check.

wasn't alive at the time, but andujar had a career losing record coming into 1985, so i doubt it

i was wondering, in WAR, who is best starting pitcher of the past 5 years?

Verlander -- Lee -- Felix -- Kershaw -- Greinke (in fWAR)

no idea how to find that in bb-ref but kershaw has a 0.1 lead on verlander there

kershaw would still look like a different pitcher in most other parks

Not so different -- his home/road splits this year were almost identical, his ERA was half a run higher on the road but the difference is probably due to luck, because his peripherals are virtually the same.

Dodger stadium is interesting for park factors... the symmetric outfield suppresses doubles and triples, night games you dont see many home runs, but when its warm you get an uptick. Whats the stat equivalent for that? hehe

xp h/r splits are never a reliable way of determining that, especially in a 1-season sample size (for his career his road ERA is 0.86 higher)

during andujar's time i remember that the dominant pitchers everyone seemed to fear were guys like the usual HOF suspects + candelaria, mario soto, steve rogers, dave stieb, frank viola, and yeah andujar for several years. but he was only "great" for 3 seasons iirc.

some of those guys were incredibly good too. perennial all-stars, guys who started the all-star game, deservedly feared.