The 2009 Baseball Prospectus annual

Steven Goldman:

We are pleased to report that we have received notice of Amazon shipping copies of BP 2009 ahead of the official on-sale date of February 16. We very much hope you enjoy this year’s edition and look forward to seeing you along the tour trail.

btw not too surprised at the prelim projected standings in the Depth Charts -- cept are the Marlins really as weak as the Nats?

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/

Morbs, does this usually appear in bookstores on the 16th or is this the shipping date?

That WAS the shipping date... I've been checking the wrong stores the last couple years, but if it's already shipping, it should be on shelves next week.

got it!

(Linc Ctr B&N)

btw not too surprised at the prelim projected standings in the Depth Charts -- cept are the Marlins really as weak as the Nats?

i was wondering!! tbh the fish don't have a very 'prospectus' team. they got rid of jacobs (awful, esp w/ runners on base - anecdotal evidence btw but i think im right) but still plan to start cantu and uggla, both who were basically only valuable for home runs and both who played totally over their heads as of last year. dunno why they don't have the nats projected for like 70 wins tho...

not to mention cody ross, who i love to death but idk if dude is good for 25 home runs this year

but last year they had an awful bullpen, awful defense, starters were genuinely bad until sanchez really picked it up. i think they have potentially the deepest staff in the nl east atm tho

i guess the braves starters are pretty good. dunno how the phillies plan to go at it w/ brett meyers as their number 2...

MLB on Pecota & PECOTA:

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090216&content_id=3834948

book tour (N Silver too superstar for it):

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=1181

didya know David DeJesus led majors in % baserunners driven in last year?

hmmm goldstein, normandin, goldman, and laurila in boston. not the most exciting crew.

Goldman's very funny and I like Laurila.

...bcz Laurila and Rob Neyer are the only writers I see at the SABR convention who comment on my Mr. Met/Yo La Tengo shirt.

You can download the BP annual's index from the site (no the book doesnt have one):

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=1184

Why do they never come to SF? Frickin' East Bay.

Wait, no player index? This makes life difficult. Is Jason Lane in this book?

i think the index may be on their site somewhere? not sure but take a look.

see 4 posts above

not sure if i wanna buy this - bought it last year, enjoyed it, but i have the pecota spreadsheet so really what else could i ask for

at this point i enjoy their player writeups more than their stats.

the game has a heartbeat, cankles.

I'm blind, sorry. Lane's not in here. I know he sucks and all, but in 17AB he's hitting .412/.444/.941

dude, 17 ab

BP Manhattan tour stop at 6 tnite, 18th/5th B & N.

didn't remember Twins had gotten such 'lucky' run production last year til I read their chapter today.

I just picked this up for the first time and I like it. The Astros seem to be the luckiest team on the face of the earth.

I think the writing is good.

Goldstein's 3 best organizations: Rays, A's, Rangers. He thinks AL-NL gap may be considerably greater 5 years from now.

Eh you can never tell. A couple of crazy trades, a bunch of busts and suddenly everything evens out again.

Goldstein also said he turned down a full-time scouting job in his home area (Chicago) this winter. Pay: $28,5000 (they "went a little high for a starting salary"). The panel spent 5 minutes telling a guy who was going for a sports management degree that he'd almost certainly be miserable and poor.

that's $28,500. comma is in the right place

Maybe the stogies and straw hats can be expensed.

I banged my toe on the book the other night, it swelled up.

Changing the floor for replacement value has really dramatically affected WARP.

I assume bcz of Hamels missing time, PECOTA has Phils tied for East 2nd with Braves at 87 wins.

BP projects the Yanks, BoSox, and Rays for 99 (!!), 95, and 94 wins respectively! WAHT?

they're gonna feast on the birds i guess

And the AL West and Central.

i don't doubt they'll have the 3 highest win totals in the league, but i'd go lower.

http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1894410_1893209_1893477,00.html