Ichiro/Sisler Watch!

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o come on in cool points few touch ichiro right now, you sabrmetricians aren't accounting for tail availability

cinniblount (James Blount), Thursday, 19 August 2004 19:40 (twenty years ago) link

he seems to be doing alright after the beaning and ultimately he didn't even miss a game because of that rainout.

and in cool points Ichiro ownz

Gear! (Gear!), Friday, 20 August 2004 23:41 (twenty years ago) link

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=schwarz_alan&id=1861009

just imagine if he hadn't hit .255 in april!

John (jdahlem), Saturday, 21 August 2004 19:23 (twenty years ago) link

And imagine if Roy Hobbs had given him Wonderboy.

One John Pastier wrote on the SABR e-list:

"[Ichiro] is hot right now and has a good shot at the record, but is also one of the least run-productive of the 21 players to ever get (or be on pace for) 235 or more hits in a season. Almost 84% of his hits this year are singles, which is by far the highest proportion in this group.  His closest competition is himself in 2001, with 79%.  His walk rate isn't good either, but that's
almost a prerequisite for getting a very high number of hits...

"According to Baseball Prospectus, Ichiro's Equivalent average (.316) is currently 27th-best in the majors, and his runs above replacement (51.8) is 18th.  His Runs above Position (24.2) is 23rd, and Runs above Replacement at Position
(42.9) is 20th.  What does an all-time single-season hits record signify if the holder isn't one of the ten best hitters in the major leagues that year?"

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 25 August 2004 20:45 (twenty years ago) link

If I hit that many singles, I'd be wearing a dress.

Guess which HOFer (Leee), Wednesday, 25 August 2004 20:50 (twenty years ago) link

ugh

Gear! (Gear!), Wednesday, 25 August 2004 20:56 (twenty years ago) link

"What does an all-time single-season hits record signify if the holder isn't one of the ten best hitters in the major leagues that year?"

that the record holder's approach at the plate is vastly different from the average, or at least the top 10 hitters?

big deal. it's a power/strikeout game now, and ichiro is not a power/strikeout hitter. shock.

i think it makes what he's doing even more impressive.

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 25 August 2004 21:08 (twenty years ago) link

that should be "approach at the plate and/or skill set" because i don't want anyone to start with some "but ichiro could just be patient and mash home runs if he wanted to" bs. his approach is a phenomenal example of a player maximizing the skills he brings to the table.

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 25 August 2004 21:12 (twenty years ago) link

Ichiro does this for another 6-7 seasons and he belongs in the HOF, pure and simple.

Gear! (Gear!), Thursday, 26 August 2004 00:05 (twenty years ago) link

Re the "dress" quote above, the Mick said that about Charlie Hustle.

As a SABR listee pointed out, there may be a batting title winner with the most hits ever by a winner (Ichiro) and one with the least hits ever by a winner (Bonds).

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Friday, 27 August 2004 18:39 (twenty years ago) link

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/recap?gid=240831114

TORONTO (AP) -- Ichiro Suzuki was a big hit at SkyDome.

Suzuki got three hits to finish with 56 in August, the most in a month by a major leaguer since 1936, and the Seattle Mariners rallied past the Toronto Blue Jays 7-5 Tuesday night for their season-high fifth straight victory.

The last player to get so many hits in a month was Cleveland's Roy Weatherly in July 1936.

``Of course I know him,'' Suzuki joked. ``Who is that?''


i'm with ichiro on that one.

he's now on pace for 264 hits...

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 1 September 2004 03:18 (twenty years ago) link

another gem from ichiro:

"I don't feel like I'm in a zone. I'm going out and doing the same things I always do," Suzuki said. "I've kind of ran out of things to say."

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 1 September 2004 03:20 (twenty years ago) link

Sep 2 Outfielder Ichiro Suzuki collected two more hits to remain on pace to break the single-season record for total hits, but the bigger story on Wednesday was the fact that he was walked intentionally by the Blue Jays in the seventh inning. "That's the kind of stuff they do with Barry Bonds," Mariners coach Bob Melvin told the Seattle Times. "You don't usually do it with a singles hitter, and you're putting speed on the bases, too."

the leglo (the leglo), Friday, 3 September 2004 13:02 (twenty years ago) link

Two years ago, Ichiro was intentionally walked many many times. His walk total that year (68?) is 20+ more than any number of walks he's garnered in the majors. It's nothing new, but it is interesting, and at least it makes more sense to pass Ichiro THIS year, given the squiggles he's got hitting behind him.

David R. (popshots75`), Friday, 3 September 2004 13:07 (twenty years ago) link

Was there a guy on 2nd when Ichiro was walked?

gygax! (gygax!), Friday, 3 September 2004 13:11 (twenty years ago) link

Better question: was Sisler Canadian?

David R. (popshots75`), Friday, 3 September 2004 13:21 (twenty years ago) link

ichiro gets pitched around often with risp, probably largely due to his rookie season when he hit around .500 in that situation for most of the year.

John (jdahlem), Friday, 3 September 2004 19:11 (twenty years ago) link

this is probably the wrong place to write about this but hey, this board has very little semblance of structure/order:

A-Rod 2004 (w/ RISP)

BA: .210
OBP: .309
SLG: .363

Hmmmm..

gygax! (gygax!), Friday, 3 September 2004 20:19 (twenty years ago) link

4 for 4 so far tonight. Mark Buerhle's taking it pretty well.

oops (Oops), Sunday, 5 September 2004 00:06 (twenty years ago) link

perfect on the night.

he's gonna do it.

John (jdahlem), Sunday, 5 September 2004 01:22 (twenty years ago) link

currently Ichiro has 223 hits(!) and 27 games remaining in which to get the 34 hits needed to tie George Sisler. His current batting average is .379, his SLG is .474. He is on pace for 270 hits.

Gear! (Gear!), Sunday, 5 September 2004 02:01 (twenty years ago) link

wow.

maura (maura), Sunday, 5 September 2004 02:37 (twenty years ago) link

He's hitting far above .400 since the all-star break.
Did you see some of the pitches he turned into hits tonight? Amazing.

oops (Oops), Sunday, 5 September 2004 06:27 (twenty years ago) link

he's hitting .477 since the break to be exact! with a slugging percentage around .600 and an OBPS of 1.100

Gear! (Gear!), Sunday, 5 September 2004 06:53 (twenty years ago) link

only 1-4 today.

He's slumping!!

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Sunday, 5 September 2004 23:06 (twenty years ago) link

the decline has begun!

Gear! (Gear!), Monday, 6 September 2004 00:58 (twenty years ago) link

A Sunday Times column by the author of the new book "Behind the Numbers" (which I received as swag but haven't read yet):


No Power, No Patience, but the Hits Keep Coming

By ALAN SCHWARZ

For someone hitting .251, Bret Boone gives Ichiro Suzuki an awfully hard time. Whenever Suzuki, the Mariners' lightning-quick leadoff man, scoots safely to first on a four-hopper to short, a flare to center or a 30-foot bunt for yet another three-hit game, Boone accosts him in the Seattle dugout.

"Are you gonna count those as hits?" Boone says. "Nobody else in the world can get hits like that!"

To which Suzuki calmly and confidently says, "On purpose."

As it turns out, Suzuki, who entered this weekend's series with the White Sox leading the major leagues with a .374 batting average, has left more than his contemporaries scratching their heads. He has left fans of statistics at a loss as well - specifically for ways to quantify how good a player he truly is.

On a pace to smash the record for hits in a season (George Sisler's 257 for the 1920 St. Louis Browns) and hitting a spectacular .400 since April, Suzuki lacks the two skills that beguile the numbers folks: power and patience. Meanwhile, his off-the-chart attributes are reflexively dismissed: hitting for average (which is generally overrated), speed (which is hard to measure) and defense (which is even harder).

Like the Yankees' Derek Jeter, whose all-around game is about as popular among stat types as a calculator with a low battery, Suzuki is a round peg in baseball's increasingly square world. As Athletics General Manager Billy Beane says, "He's a very difficult player to get a handle on."

Dodgers General Manager Paul DePodesta put it this way: "Ichiro creates anxiety when he's in the box and on the bases. He forces you to play differently on defense. And when a guy behind Ichiro hits a home run, who's to say that bad pitch wasn't caused because he was on base? You can't measure everything. Part of the beauty of this game is that it's not completely scientific."

Sure enough, many of Suzuki's numbers are often served with salt. He is on a pace to get 264 hits, but because he walks so infrequently, he is also on a pace for 706 at-bats, another record. With so few walks and a vast majority of his hits being singles, his O.P.S. (on-base plus slugging percentage) is .884, placing him 41st in the majors and 7th among baseball's generally more power-oriented right fielders. His 32 stolen bases are nice, but his being caught 10 times tends to even out their benefit. And although he's among the top defensive right fielders, making 2.33 plays a game and reaching 86.6 percent of balls hit into his area, you will not win many arguments with such esoteric fielding data.

(At least there's no Roger Maris-like controversy over how Suzuki's season is 162 games long rather than Sisler's 154. Hits per game, anyone?)

When the numbers settle like flakes in a snow globe, Suzuki's appeal becomes more aesthetic than scientific. And thankfully, although baseball offense is moving more and more toward power and walks, the game does retain its soft spot for all-around players that the numbers often hide.

Henry Chadwick, the 19th century writer who espoused the use of statistics to evaluate players, invented categories like sacrifice hits and stolen bases to discourage home runs, which he considered narcissistic displays of brute force. (He also argued that running 360 feet was too tiring.)

New York Giants Manager John McGraw also railed against the Babe Ruth-catalyzed power boom of the 1920's, calling Ruth a bum who would hit into "a hundred double plays before the season is over."

And Ty Cobb, a prime focus of the slapper-versus-slugger debate, complained about the death of fundamental baseball in a 1952 personal letter. "The hit-and-run, stolen base, bunt and sacrifice bunt are deteriorating from unuse," Cobb wrote, "and they only hit for their amusement and pleasure for the home run."

Suzuki, a native of Japan, speaks of achieving balance in his game, of not neglecting the defense and base-running aspects of baseball that statistics have yet to appreciate. He says only one number concerns him: "Getting as many hits as you can during a year."

Not slugging or on-base percentage, the statistics that measure power (of which Suzuki has little) and patience (of which he has even less). By all accounts, it was the suggestion of Seattle's hitting coach, Paul Molitor, that he take more pitches and drive balls farther - essentially adapt himself to the modern game - that led Suzuki to struggle in April, when he batted .255. Only by shaking free of that approach did his amazing season start.

Suzuki immediately began rapping out hits, his skills once again asserting themselves as some of baseball's most well rounded, if not most appreciated.

"They idolize technique and skill in Japan more than Americans do," said the Dodgers' pitching coach, Jim Colborn, who coached and scouted there for eight years in the 1990's. "How you do something is paramount in Japan. Here, it's more about achieving the numbers. Power is the American way."

With the last two World Series champions relying on speedy singles-hitting leadoff men (Anaheim's David Eckstein and Florida's Juan Pierre), the science of baseball statistics must grudgingly accept that the game has other dimensions to conquer. And every time Suzuki gets one of his beloved hits - whether it travels 400 feet or 90, bounces one time or seven - he offers that pesky reminder.

Like a cat eating 264 canaries, Suzuki is forcing baseball to consider what the numbers, even the newest ones, do not say.

On purpose.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 13:53 (twenty years ago) link

He only has 54 RBIs, that is incredible (or is Seattle that bad?)

gygax! (gygax!), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 16:06 (twenty years ago) link

Seattle got all sorts of old all at once, but it's not as if their optimally performing lineup would be so stacked as to allow Ichiro ample opportunity to drive in the bottom third of that line-up.

David R. (popshots75`), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 16:52 (twenty years ago) link

I think it's more surprising that he's scored only 89 runs despite being on base as much as he is.
Then again, the low RBI and R totals aren't so surprising considering that Seattle are nearly last in the league in runs scored.

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 17:42 (twenty years ago) link

Both Raul Ibañez and Bret Boone are underperforming in a big way.

gygax! (gygax!), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 17:48 (twenty years ago) link

Expecting a lot out of Raul Ibañez -- who has previously exceeded 18 HR and .350 OBP once each -- says more about foolish optimism than his performance. His raw numbers are in line with his career.

At what point does Ichiro's pursuit of .400 eclipse the Sisler mark? If he gets above .390?

.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 18:27 (twenty years ago) link

Also re: Ibanez - he had that great 2K3 in a park that's very friendly to hitters, & he went to a place where hitters don't fare so well (or, at least, that's the accepted wisdom, & I believe Park Factor measurements bear this out).

David R. (popshots75`), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 18:55 (twenty years ago) link

That would be something, if he could approach .400, considering he'd have to hit around .520 the rest of the way to make it (with his high number of at bats). Right now, I wouldn't put it completely past him.

Gear! (Gear!), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 18:59 (twenty years ago) link

i'm become pretty convinced i was henry chadwick in a past life.

John (jdahlem), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 20:06 (twenty years ago) link

Ha, do you subscribe to running 360 feet as being too tiring? Chadwick has slavish adherents in the Krukkers and Dibbses of the world (hits, RBI, pitching wins)...

I did the math on Ichiro nad indeed, it takes .520 to get him to .400. A 2-for-5 at this stage doesn't always raise his BA a point.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 13:59 (twenty years ago) link

"He only has 54 RBIs, that is incredible (or is Seattle that bad?)"

It isn't bad for a leadoff hitter on a terrible team.

Earl Nash (earlnash), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 14:30 (twenty years ago) link

"do you subscribe to running 360 feet as being too tiring?"

that was the kicker

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 20:18 (twenty years ago) link

I just posted this on ILE but it's funny how Ichiro is far better this year than in 2001 and he may not be in the top 10 in AL MVP voting.

gygax! (gygax!), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 20:28 (twenty years ago) link

surely he'll be top 10, esp if he breaks sisler's record??

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 20:29 (twenty years ago) link

mora's got a higher OBP...

:-O

gygax! (gygax!), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 20:37 (twenty years ago) link

He certainly will be top 10; if he breaks Sisler I expect he'll be second, perhaps. Writers understand [sic] hits.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 20:40 (twenty years ago) link

B..b...but he didn't deserve to win in 2001, either! Top five, OK, but MVP? Giambi wuz robbed.

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Wednesday, 8 September 2004 21:18 (twenty years ago) link

don't know if it's been pointed out but there's a since-mostly derailed sister thread here Ichiro Suzuki for any of you cats who don't ever venture over to the all-inclusive other

John (jdahlem), Thursday, 9 September 2004 00:25 (twenty years ago) link

Learned on today's SABR e-list: Ichiro is poised to shatter Lloyd Waner's 1927 mark of 198 SINGLES in a season. And in a debate over whether Ich *tries* to hit singles rather than XBH, listee John Pastier says:

"Ichi's 3.13 GB/FB ratio is second in the majors.  Anyone bent on driving the ball into the ground knows that he won't be getting many doubles, and will get no triples or HRs that way...."

ie, It's an amazing skill... the question is if he'd help the team more than if he sacrificed the few-walks, 84% singles approach for a potentially higher OBP *and* SLG.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 9 September 2004 17:55 (twenty years ago) link

XBH's give a team a better chance to have big innings. It also takes fewer batters to "manufacture" runs. That is, a team with all singles hitters will need to get three hits to produce one run, whereas a team with singles and power hitters can score more runs with fewer hits.

That's a problem with Seattle's offense this season -- their best hitter is a singles hitter, so he needs a lot of help to drive in or score runs. Ichiro's SLG isn't so bad ~.480, but that's a bit misleading since most of hit hits are singles. His isolated power is ~.110, which is actually quite awful.

So yeah, a team with a below average offense like Seattle would probably be better off if he were hitting .330/.420/.520 with ~50-60 XBH than the .370/.420/.480 or whatever he's hitting now.

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Thursday, 9 September 2004 20:24 (twenty years ago) link

i'd imagine all teams would be better off with those first numbers. ichiro's higher batting avg is negligible since so many hits are infield singles.

doc, why would you think ichiro would be capable of batting even .275 if he started sitting back and trying to drive the ball? his entire strategy is to rely on his speed and ability to make contact, slap the ball to deep second or deep short and either beat the throw or hope it squeezes through. it might be an interesting experiment if it hadn't already been done - that schwarz article said molitor tried to get him to do just that at the beginning of the season, and it was a disaster.

John (jdahlem), Thursday, 9 September 2004 20:39 (twenty years ago) link

i'd imagine all teams would be better off with those first numbers
Yeah, maybe I should have exagerrated the differences more -- say .290/.380/.520 (OPS is the same, but sacrifice hits for power and walks).

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Thursday, 9 September 2004 21:40 (twenty years ago) link

But the numbers in my last post look nothing like Ichiro numbers, so we'd be talking about swapping him with a completely different RF with those sorts of numbers (and decent speed) and asking, "would Seattle be better off with this other guy"?

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Thursday, 9 September 2004 21:42 (twenty years ago) link

Although the whole point is kind of moot because you normally wouldn't care about what sorts of hitters you would need to maximize the potential of such a shitty offense on a losing team.

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Thursday, 9 September 2004 21:43 (twenty years ago) link

http://deadspin.com/last-night-on-fox-sports-1-the-worst-sports-panel-disc-1182957398

Haha good grief

polyphonic, Thursday, 22 August 2013 18:44 (eleven years ago) link

was sure before i clicked that Pete Rose wd've been invited

Miss Arlington twirls for the Coal Heavers (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 22 August 2013 18:56 (eleven years ago) link

wow what a meas

k3vin k., Thursday, 22 August 2013 19:58 (eleven years ago) link

Read a couple of things yesterday that both concluded he'd be at or very close to 4,000 if he'd started in Seattle at age 21. A big factor is that all those years in Japan, he was playing a 136-game schedule.

clemenza, Friday, 23 August 2013 12:59 (eleven years ago) link

I think that's a pretty safe conclusion.

One bad call from barely losing to (Alex in SF), Friday, 23 August 2013 15:05 (eleven years ago) link

Something something something beard. Someone help me out, I'm feeling less than 100 today.

Shannon Leeedles (Leee), Friday, 23 August 2013 17:17 (eleven years ago) link

"Suzuki, Orix Right Fielder"

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 23 August 2013 17:49 (eleven years ago) link

Per the time I sat in RF in Seattle, Ichiro has/had an amazing lower body.

Miss Arlington twirls for the Coal Heavers (Dr Morbius), Sunday, 25 August 2013 08:15 (eleven years ago) link

one year passes...

Between the Lines, Japanese Star Is Known as a First-Class Spanish Trash Talker

Veteran first baseman Carlos Pena remembered one of his frequent encounters with Ichiro. He was defending first for the Tampa Bay Rays, and Ichiro had just arrived on one of his patented infield hits. Ichiro peered over at Pena and asked, "Que coño tu mira?," or, "What the hell are you looking at?" Pena clamped his lips together to prevent the laughter from bursting through.

mookieproof, Thursday, 4 September 2014 15:40 (ten years ago) link

ten months pass...

ichiro hit his first double of the season (in 247 plate appearances) for his 2900th MLB hit

career ops+ of 109 now

mookieproof, Thursday, 30 July 2015 00:28 (nine years ago) link

as Mantle said of Pete Rose, if i hit like Ichiro -- nah

skateboards are the new combover (Dr Morbius), Thursday, 30 July 2015 00:29 (nine years ago) link

two weeks pass...

he and ty cobb now have 4,191 pro* hits

mookieproof, Saturday, 15 August 2015 01:30 (nine years ago) link

one month passes...

Pitched an inning today. Better line than Buehrle.

clemenza, Sunday, 4 October 2015 22:54 (nine years ago) link

how can you post something from that article and not post this

http://giant.gfycat.com/GreatShyCranefly.gif

qualx, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 05:17 (nine years ago) link

a fair point.

also

http://mlb.mlb.com/images/7/1/0/153227710/100415_mia_ichiro_strike2_med_poelcx2q.gif

mookieproof, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 14:30 (nine years ago) link

@JoeFrisaro
The #Marlins are signing Ichiro Suzuki today for the 2016 season.

mookieproof, Tuesday, 6 October 2015 15:30 (nine years ago) link

ichiro looks so delighted in that gif

How Butch, I mean (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 6 October 2015 19:55 (nine years ago) link

three years pass...

Yusei Kikuchi clearly influenced by Ichiro's history with Mariners.

“Mr. Ichiro is a person in the sky, a legend. I don’t know if he really exists. I want to meet and talk with him first. When I do have the opportunity to step on the field with him, it will be a great moment.”

— Greg Johns (@GregJohnsMLB) January 3, 2019

mookieproof, Thursday, 3 January 2019 21:07 (five years ago) link

eight months pass...

https://www.instagram.com/p/B2XyM3cgLHz/

Sally Jessy (Karl Malone), Saturday, 14 September 2019 05:24 (five years ago) link

three years pass...
seven months pass...

50-year-old Ichiro’s pitching line tonight against a High School girls all-star team

9.0 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 K, 116 P

He topped out at 86 mph on the mound and recorded two hits at the plate pic.twitter.com/AA9AJCZB0Z

— Yakyu Cosmopolitan (@yakyucosmo) November 21, 2023

mookieproof, Tuesday, 21 November 2023 17:38 (eleven months ago) link

two months pass...

He could still do it

.@JRODshow44 had the ultimate throwing partner on day one: Ichiro pic.twitter.com/00SC2r7b1T

— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) February 15, 2024

Roman Anthony gets on his horse (gyac), Thursday, 15 February 2024 07:53 (nine months ago) link


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